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Strategy
on
demand
Rapidly
changing 00:00:10/00:00:09/00:00:08/
?
Strategizing in an ivory
tower is over
😊
😎
The gap is bigger than ever
How might we close the gap
…by creating
hypotheses!
and become experts in turning
assumptions about the future into
something we can act on…
Happens simultaneously
and on demand
Hypothesis
Hypothesis
Hypothesis
Hypothesis
Hypothesis
Act on what is
Not just on what is
Deductive / Inductive / adductive
Deductive / Inductive / adductive
Deductive / Inductive / adductive
Deductive / Inductive / adductive
Deductive: From a general rule to a specific
conclusion (is always true)
Inductive: From a specific observations to
a general conclusion (may be true)
Abductive: From incomplete observations to
best prediction (may be true)
Design
Doing
“Design is
something that you
do at the end of an
engineering proces
to make things look
good!”
McKinsey
1
3
2
“Companies view design narrowly, focusing on
aesthetics and form: the color, material, and finish
of products.”
”Companies broaden their design emphasis to encompass
end-to-end user experiences.”
”Companies realize that design infuses everything they do;
it transforms the entire company.”
Everything around us
is designed
More or less
Products
Services
Processes
Organizations
Strategies
“Everyone designs who
devises courses of
action aimed at
changing existing
situations into
preferred ones”
Empathize
Hypothesize
Experiment
Validate
Build
Iterate
Design Doing is
INNOVATION LABSDESIGN CAPABILITIES
Design is a
Innovation is just a
possible
Hypotheses
”All science, all
business insight,
everything of value in
life, originates not with
data, but with a
brilliant hypothesis”
Nike story
…
…
…
…
And measure…
To verify that, we will..
We believe that
Hypothesis card
…
We are right if…
the speed of runnners.
prototype different soles and shoes.
reinventing the shoes of athletes especially how the soles touch the ground
will improve the performance of athletes
Improving the performance of athletes
And measure…
To verify that, we will..
We believe that
Hypothesis card
an athlete breaks a world record wearing our shoes.
We are right if…
Strategy on
demand
• Diagnosis
• Guiding Policy
• Coherent set of actions
Happens simultaneously
and on demand
Hypothesis
Hypothesis
Hypothesis
Hypothesis
Hypothesis
Translate any strategy into a set
of hypotheses that are
actionable, driven by user needs
and constantly measured
through instant feedback.
Focus area
Focus area
Focus area
Focus area
Hypothesis 1
Hypothesis 3
Hypothesis 2
Focus area
Hypothesis 1
Hypothesis 3
Hypothesis 2
Remedy lane
Dynamic Roadmap Focus area … … … …
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
Insights → Concept → LaunchHypothesis → MVP →
Stage card
Concept
Insights
Launched
MVP
Hypothesis
MVP
Launched
Output -> Outcome -> Impact
Outcomes > Output
Outcome?
a change in behaviour
that impacts business
results
+
Constantly
measure outcomes
The kernel of any good strategy.
Diagnosis
Guiding Policy
Coherent set of actions
+
Evidence and outcome
Customer perception
Behavioural patterns
Internal processes
Imagine tracking
outcomes for Mobilepay
HYPOTHESIS
Customer perception
Behavioural patterns
Internal processes
DESIRED OUTCOMES
App is useful and easy to use
Measure: App store ratings between 4-5 stars
More people pay back money to their friends and family
Measure: Increase of transactions below DKK 250
Less cash withdrawals and deposits
Measure: Reduction of cash handling time
Design doing
Billede af nils og
frederik (frederik har)
Design doing is
• 1 hour to build the visual brand
• 1 day to build the webshop including
product pictures
• Bootstrap everything
1. Customers’ perception
2. Customers’ behaviour
3. Our internal processes
Marketing Sales Packaging Distribution
Customer
support
We can use Instagram
to inspire people
We can use Instagram
to test new products
before we launch
We can use instagram
to gain knowledge
about our audience
People want to buy
eternal bouquets
online
If we sell giftcard we
will sell more flowers 3
We can peak the
experience by putting a
small chocolate in the
box
We can reduce
amount of complaint
with better packaging
We can successfully
send flowers via mail
Poeple will still buy if
for pakkeshops only
We can always end a
customer interaction
in a positive way
We can use customer
support as a feedback
loop for our product
development
If we’re on several
platforms the
customer always know
how to get in contact
Growth and
scale
We can create an
attractive product for
retail
We can use our data
to direct growth
We can scale this
business model into
distribution centers
Dynamic Roadmap
We can sell more
flowers if our
packaging is pink
We can use customer
feedback to better
our business
If we make a pipck and
collect option people
will use it
People will pay extra
for same day delivery
We can increase
basket size if we show
how you can combine
bouquets
We can get more sales
if people feel social
proof
Wider bouquets are
more attractive
This is an attractive
product for
gasstations
This is an attractive gift
for big corporations
We can increase awareness by
joining other social and discovery
networks such as pinterest
Sales
Sell eternal bouquets online
the speed of runnners.
prototype different soles and shoes.
reinventing the shoes of athletes especially how the soles touch the ground
will improve the performance of athletes
Improving the performance of athletes
And measure…
To verify that, we will..
We believe that
Hypothesis card
an athlete breaks a world record wearing our shoes.
We are right if…
Will people buy it?
Yes, they will.
Marketing
We can use Instagram to gain
knowledge about our audience
We can use Instagram to test
new products before we launch
Marketing
Wider bouquets are more
attractive
Packaging
We can send flowers in
poster cylinders
We can reduce amount of
complaint with better packaging
We can send flowers in triopac
packaging
We can peak the experience by
putting a small chocolate in
the box
We can sell more flowers if our
packaging is pink
Eksperiment 4
Design doing is
Marketing
Talking at an event and
pushing a coupon code will
generate sales
Get 15% off. Use MB15
when checking out
www.evighedsbuket.dk
Eternal Bouquets.
For eternal love.
You will need to
#1
Strategizing and execution happens
simultaneously.
#2
strategy
hypotheses
constant validation
customer
insights.
#3
Focus on value
outcomes
#4
Educate design
solve problems
develop
#5
”What is your strategy?”
”A dynamic set of hypotheses
that are continously validated and
changed through design doing.”
templates
Dynamic Roadmap Focus area … … … …
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
And measure…
To verify that, we will..
We believe that
Hypothesis card
…
We are right if…
3. Internal processes
2. Behaviour outcome
1. Perception outcome
Measure
Behavioural outcome
Current behaviour
Hypothesis
…
…
…
…
…
Insights → Concept → LaunchHypothesis → MVP →
Stage card
Thank you

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Design Doing is Strategy on Demand

Editor's Notes

  1. Oliver – partner here at 1508. Doing business development, strategy and whatever else is needed. Prior to 1508. Building startups. Failing and one success. Nils Oskar – For the past 4 years… People calling saying that they needed an app.. Why? Because it’s in our Horizon 2 strategy. And are you sure you need an app? Yes! But what problem are you trying to fix. It doesn’t matter it’s in our horizon 2 strategy. Ok. But let’s try and fall in love with the problem instead of just building something that no one will use.
  2. Vuca world Tech Gartner Hype cycle
  3. 5-year plans is out Ivory tower
  4. Executing on an initiative that was planned and decided three years ago seems ridicoulus
  5. Why? Tech is rapidly changing the world. And humans are irrational by nature.
  6. Hypotheses is the answer to bridge the gap Design doing will help you validate hypotheses continously and get constant market and user feedback
  7. Egypt story Act on what is needed – not on what is planned. Learn: This is not something new, but most companies seem to have forgotten
  8. Egypt story Act on what is needed – not on what is planned. Learn: This is not something new, but most companies seem to have forgotten
  9. Egypt story Act on what is needed – not on what is planned. Learn: This is not something new, but most companies seem to have forgotten
  10. Egypt story Act on what is needed – not on what is planned. Learn: This is not something new, but most companies seem to have forgotten
  11. Design doing might be the answer to bridging the gap and validating hypotheses fast and instant. The perfect way to execute on abductive methods. Respect for thinking – but this really is doing
  12. Companies that excel at design grow revenues and shareholder returns at nearly twice the rate of their industry peers. “In the first phase, companies view design narrowly, focusing on aesthetics and form: the color, material, and finish of products.  In the second phase, companies broaden their design emphasis to encompass end-to-end user experiences.  In the final phase, companies realize that design infuses everything they do; it transforms the entire company.” 
  13. “In the first phase, companies view design narrowly, focusing on aesthetics and form: the color, material, and finish of products.  In the second phase, companies broaden their design emphasis to encompass end-to-end user experiences.  In the final phase, companies realize that design infuses everything they do; it transforms the entire company.” 
  14. This is why I as a person with a background in Law and Economics call myself for a designer.
  15. A few years back every job post had the sentence: ”we are looking for someone with an entrepeneurial mindset. They were actually looking for designers. Designers that thinks this way. Respond quickly  to changes in human behaviour, society, technology and science.
  16. Trend… Closing innovation labs. Building internal design capabilities…
  17. One of the cornerstones of design is hypotheses.
  18. Here is a good example. Phil Knight and Bill Bowermann founded Nike on a deep interest in optimizing athlete’s performance. Their hypothesis was that optimizing the soles, support and how the shoes touched the ground would give extra speed to the athlete. They spent years prototyping soles and shoes. For the first prototypes they used a waffle iron to create a new type of knurled rubber sole, from which they themselves sewed interim shoes and tested on runners. It took them 100 attempts, but they did find the sole, which has since not only revolutionized sports footwear, but made running a people's sport.   Phil and Bill had a hypothesis and they tested it rigorously and fast. They mitigated risk by using a waffle iron before investing in expensive manufacturing equipment. Learning from Phil and Bill we can mitigate risk and diverge our strategy before it is too late. But how do we act fast on our hypotheses? https://www.popularmechanics.com/technology/gadgets/a21841/nike-waffle-iron/
  19. To this day NIKE constantly hypothesize , prototype and test
  20. Jealous
  21. Move from initaitives to hypotheses Use design doing to validate or invalidate hypotheses
  22. Product-market-fit
  23. Map, design and explore business models
  24. Colleagues showed me this that they had done for one of our customers. A dynamic roadmap of hypotheses. Build up of what they called remedy lanes.
  25. Every strategy has a focus area Business unit (IT, digital, sales, HR) Trend in the market (Agile, AI etc.)
  26. This is your diagnosis But remember - it’s user driven
  27. This is your guiding policy Also user driven. What is the thing you want your customers to say about your product.
  28. Not initiatives hypotheses Abductive learning
  29. Output – if you launch the app your job is done - makes people do what is planned Outcome – what change have your product/service made – makes people do what is needed Impact – how has this effected the business, humanity and earth – makes people dare to matter
  30. Marginal gains
  31. Case story Hypothesis to Concept/Prototype to Product Heavy experiments
  32. Case story Hypothesis to Concept/Prototype to Product Heavy experiments
  33. Story: 4 ddw. Ekstra tid. Lav virksomhed. Test test test.
  34. Not initiatives hypotheses
  35. Behaviroual and perception
  36. Not initiatives hypotheses
  37. Insta – behaviour
  38. Not initiatives hypotheses
  39. Bukettyper (brede) Behaviroual
  40. Not initiatives hypotheses
  41. Packaging internal processes
  42. Packaging internal processes and perception
  43. Not initiatives hypotheses
  44. Packaging internal processes and perception