Blockchain will play a pivotal role in building a sustainable and efficient financial system. Natural Capital now offers some of the world's most promising investment opportunities, especially around vital wetlands restoration.
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Financing the Future of Sustainability
1. Alan Laubsch
Natural Capital Markets
alan@lykke.com
Financing the Future of Sustainability
Blockchain, Natural Capital, and the Digital Economy
FCCT Bangkok
March 23 2017
10 years earlier, Ray Kurzweil saw that the energy miracle is here. Solar. With solar at 0.1% of global power, he estimated that withing 2 decades solar would have the capacity to power 100% of the world’s energy needs. To put this in context, Exxon’s forecast was for solar to be at 3% in 25 years. But we reached 3% just on plan, 5 doublings from 0.1%. And we are now 5 doublings from 100%. The implication is: we don’t need coal anymore, which is the second biggest source of carbon emissions in the world.
Of course, most people missed that. From 2000 to 2016, energy analysts underestimated the growth of solar 14 out of 16 years. Just like mobile phone analysts underestimated every single 2 year period of growth from 2000-2010, because they were stuck in a linear mindset. If we want to see into the future, we need to spot the exponentials.
This is called the second half of the chessboard, for the inventor of chess who asked for a grain of rice in the first square, to be doubled with every square.
“Blockchain is not one of the most important developments in the last 20 years. It's one of the most important innovations in the last 200 years along with double entry book keeping and the joint stock corporation” Alex Tapscott summarizing Oct 2015 Economist Blockchain Cover Article