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Perspectives on Energy Efficiency
  Opportunities and Strategies:
  O         ii    dS       i
     Technology and Policy

 Risø International Energy Conference 2009
             September 14, 2009
                       14
               Brian T. Castelli
Alliance Directors: Bi-Partisan
Elected Officials and Industry Leaders
    Guided by an elected Board of Directors
    Leaders of environmental, consumer, and trade
     associations; state and local policy makers; corporate
     executives




Senator Mark     Jim Rogers, CEO   Bi-partisan, bi-cameral Honorary Vice Chairs
                                                                             2
Pryor (D-Ark.)   Duke Energy
About the Alliance (cont’d)
   b     h lli       (     d)
 NGO coalition of 150 prominent business, government, environmental and
                   150+
 consumer leaders.
 Conduct
        policy, education, research, technology deployment, market transformation
 and communication initiatives
                   initiatives.
 Headquartered in Washington, D.C. with operations in Eastern Europe, South Africa,
 Mexico, India and several states in the U.S.




                                                                               3
Energy Efficiency –
the Greatest Energy Resource
 h
                                   America's Greatest Energy Resource  
                         Energy Efficiency and Conservation Improvements Since 1973 
                        Have Reduced Annual Energy Consumption by 52 Quads in 2008 


 Energy Efficiency and Conservation                                                                            52

                         Petroleum                                                          37

                       Natural Gas                                          24

                               Coal                                        22

             Nuclear Electric Power
             Nuclear Electric Power                       8

                           Biomass                   4


        Conventional Hydroelectric               2


       Geothermal, Solar and Wind            1


                                      0                  10       20              30       40        50             60
                                                                                 Quads

             Energy Efficiency and Conservation                 2008 Domestic Production         Net Imports
                                                                                                                         4
                                                 Alliance to Save Energy, June 2009
Huge EE Potential Remains

                                 Energy Effi i
                                 E      Efficiency Potential 40%
                                                   P t ti l




Adapted from McKinsey Analysis
Slide 5

A9        ASE, 4/7/2008
Many Barriers
Slide 6

A7        ASE, 4/7/2008
EE potential is uncertain
         i li          i
   Depends
                                              Note:
    - Discount rates                     Supply potential is
    - Economic growth                    uncertain too

    - Energy prices
    - Capital turnover
    - Technology development
    - Market barriers
    - Policy to overcome market barriers

                                                         7
The ‘New Green Economy’
and Green Jobs
  d         b
   The
    Th creation of so-called ‘
            ti     f     ll d ‘green j b ’ h
                                     jobs’ has
    been touted as a major selling point for
    energy efficiency programs.
    - Investing $1 million in energy efficiency
      generates 19 to 25 jobs
        Efficiencymore labor intensive than energy
                          labor-intensive
         production - $1 million in energy production
         creates only 5 to 10 jobs
        (MRG Associates 2004)


                                                        8
Energy Efficiency in Practice
        ffi i     i       i
   Energy efficiency as a resource
    E       ffi i
    - Energy Efficiency Resource Standards
    - ‘White tags’
    - Carbon market offsets
    - Efficiency projects substituting for generation
      in electricity forward capacity markets




                                                        9
Energy Efficiency in Practice
        ffi i     i       i
   Energy Effi i
    E      Efficiency Resource Standards
                      R        St d d
    (EERS)
    - Efficiency counterpart to renewable portfolio
      standards
    - Require a certain percentage of a utility’s load
      to be met with efficiency measures
    - Implemented by several
      US states. Federal
          states
      program has been
      proposed alongside
                                                                                      10
      renewable standards.         States with Energy Efficiency Resource Standards
Energy Efficiency in Practice
        ffi i     i       i
   Energy Effi i
    E      Efficiency Resource Standards
                      R        St d d
    (EERS)
    - In some EERS programs, efficiency credits
      are tradable, making efficiency itself a
                  ,      g          y
      tradable commodity




                                                  11
Energy Efficiency in Practice
        ffi i     i       i
   Efficiency in forward capacity markets
    - When electricity distribution networks hold
      auctions f generators t bid f contracts, some
          ti     for      t    to    for      t t
      distribution networks now allow entities to
      propose efficiency programs to meet projected
      load
    - The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
      recently required that the PJM interconnection
      (serving much of the mid-Atlantic coast region
                            mid Atlantic
      and some of the mid-west region) allow providers
      of efficiency programs to bid in their forward
                   yp g
      capacity market                               12
Energy Efficiency in Practice
        ffi i     i       i
   Evaluation, Measurement,
    Evaluation Measurement & Verification
    - ‘EM&V’ – how to measure the additionality of
      efficiency programs?
       ffi i              ?
    - With programs promising or claiming
      quantifiable energy savings, we must
             tifi bl         i           t
      develop metrics to measure success
    - Several US states have developed their
      own protocols, but they vary
       The  same CFL bulb gets credited with different
        savings depending on what state it’s in, based on
        different states’ assumptions
                  states
                                                            13
       Similar issue across EU
End-Use Technology Example
Smart Grid - Potential Benefits
 Enhance customer service
 Improve operational efficiency
E h
  Enhanced DR and l d control
           d        d load    t l
 Customer behavior
 Support new utility business models
I t
  Integrate intermittent RE and PHEVs
         t i t    itt t       d PHEV
                    “The Green Grid; Energy Savings and Carbon Emissions Reductions
                    Enabled by a Smart Grid.” Report, No. 1016905
End-Use Technology Example
  d        h l          l
   Smart grid and consumer d t
    S     t id d            data
    display systems
    - Allow real-time or near-real-time
      knowledge of energy usage.
               g         gy     g
    - Pilot program energy use reductions
      highly variable: 1%-27% (Darby
                       1% 27% (Darby,
      2006)
    - Design of human interface (viz. data
                                  (viz
      display) very important, also real-time
      pricing
                                                15
End-Use Technology Example
  d        h l          l
   Smart grid and consumer d t
    S     t id d            data
    display systems
    - Could facilitate demand response
       Not
         ot  necessarily reducing tota e e gy use d ect y –
              ecessa y educ g total energy        directly
        peak shaving tends to just move
        demand to other times of day, though
                                     y      g
        it could reduce transmission line loss




                                                          16
Supply-Side Technology
Example
      l
   Combined Heat d Power
    C bi d H t and P
    - Greater fuel use efficiency through the
      capture of waste heat in electricity generation,
      or generation of electricity while producing
      heat
    - Can be used in a y thermal ge e a o
      Ca              any e a generation
      system
    - Popular in Scandinavia
    - Increasingly available in smaller-scale units
                                                         17
Miracles Wanted
 i l          d
   American Ph i l Society list (Sept. 2008)
    A   i    Physical S i t li t (S t
    - energy storage             -solid-state lighting
    - thermoelectric devices     -lightweight materials
    - advanced windows           -advanced ventilation
    - ultrathin insulators       -thermodynamic cycles
    - behavioural research
   Others
    - High temperature superconductivity
    - Clean energy resources
The American Political
Perspective
        i
   Energy efficiency is b
    E          ffi i    i becoming i
                                 i increasingly
                                          i l
    visible in national policy-making
    - Energy Policy Act of 2005 (EPAct ‘05)
    - Energy Independence and Security Act of
      2007 (EISA)
    - Stimulus (February 2009)
    - Energy & Climate bill now in Congress
        AmericanClean Energy and Security Act (House
        of Representatives) and American Clean Energy
        Leadership Act (Senate)
                                                        19
2005 Federal Energy Legislation
   Energy Policy Act of 2005 will by 2020:
    - Reduce U.S. energy use by 2%
    - Reduce electricity demand by 4%
    - Reduce oil use by 0%
   Energy savings from
    - Appliance standards
    - Tax incentives – lots of incentives for buildings
    - Federal energy management
    - New programs authorized (but not funded –
      some have since been funded in the stimulus
      bill)                                           20
2007 Federal Energy Legislation
   Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 will
    by 2020 (2030):
    - Reduce U.S. energy use by 4% (7%)
                        gy     y    ( )
    - Reduce electricity demand by 4% (5%)
    - Reduce oil use by 5% (10%)
    - Reduce CO2 emissions by 5% (9%)
                                 %
   Energy Savings from:
    - Vehicle CAFE standards
    - Appliance standards
    - F d l energy management
      Federal                    t
    - Certain building standards
    - R&D program authorizations
                                                  21
American Recovery and 
    Reinvestment Act
•   Major focus: the largest spending and tax bill in the 
    M j f         th l      t    di     d t bill i th
    nation’s history
•   Larger than the New Deal
•   Big time opportunities …
•   But also big time issues 
    about implementation
    about implementation
•   Major victory for the 
    Administration, but not without need for $150 billion 
                                             $
    compromise to secure moderate Rs and get to 60 
    votes in the Senate.
Stimulus: Potentially $65 Billion related to energy efficiency




                                                          23
Funding in Millions of US Dollars
Core Energy EfficiencyFunding
             ff          d
   SEP                                Smart Grid Investment Grant 
                                        Smart Grid Investment Grant
     - Appropriated: $3.1 billion       Program
                                         - Appropriated: $4.5 billion
   EECBG 
      C G
     - Appropriated: $3.2 billion      Smart Grid Demonstration 
                                        Projects
   WAP                                  - Appropriated: $615 million
    - Appropriated: $5 billion
                                       HUD s EE Public Housing 
                                        HUD’s EE Public Housing
   Green Jobs                          Capital Funds
     - Appropriated: $500 million        - Appropriated: $4 billion

                                       HUD’s Green Retrofit Program
                                         - Appropriated $250 million
                                                                      24
 Cap on carbon: 83% reduction in covered 
  C          b     83% d ti i              d
  emissions by 2050 (85% of emissions are covered)
 Building codes, building labels, appliance 
  standards and labels
  standards and labels
 Renewable electricity standard of 20% by 2020 –
  a quarter may be met through EE, or 40% if 
  g
  governor requests
               q
 Vehicle emissions standards
L d
  Land use planning to reduce VMT
             l   i        d     VMT           25
   Renewable electricity standard of 15% by 2021
    R     bl l t i it t d d f 15% b 2021
       4% may come from efficiency if governor petitions
   Improvements in model building energy codes
       30% by 2010
       50% by 2016
   Energy Efficiency in Manufacturing
       Funding for research and implementation of EE technologies,
        expansion of IACs
   Clean energy investment fund
    Cl           i    t   tf d
       Loans, loan guarantees, etc., for commercialization of clean energy 
        technologies
                                                                        26
   New energy efficiency standards
    N           ffi i      t d d
       for portable lighting fixtures, commercial furnaces and reflector 
        lamps; new appliance test procedures
        lamps; new appliance test procedures
   State building retrofit grant program
       Grants for retrofits of residential and commercial buildings
        G t f        t fit f id ti l d                 i l b ildi
   Voluntary building energy performance information 
    program
    - To display relative energy performance; raise public awareness
   Residential High‐Performance Zero‐Net‐Energy Buildings 
    Initiative
    - Goal to enable residential buildings without net emissions to be       27

        cost‐effective by 2020
Thank You!
 h k


            Brian Castelli
      Alliance t S
      Alli     to Save E
                       Energy
                   @
          bcastelli@ase.orgg
            www.ase.org


                                28

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Perspectives on Energy Efficiency: Opportunities, Strategies, and Technologies

  • 1. Perspectives on Energy Efficiency Opportunities and Strategies: O ii dS i Technology and Policy Risø International Energy Conference 2009 September 14, 2009 14 Brian T. Castelli
  • 2. Alliance Directors: Bi-Partisan Elected Officials and Industry Leaders  Guided by an elected Board of Directors  Leaders of environmental, consumer, and trade associations; state and local policy makers; corporate executives Senator Mark Jim Rogers, CEO Bi-partisan, bi-cameral Honorary Vice Chairs 2 Pryor (D-Ark.) Duke Energy
  • 3. About the Alliance (cont’d) b h lli ( d)  NGO coalition of 150 prominent business, government, environmental and 150+ consumer leaders.  Conduct policy, education, research, technology deployment, market transformation and communication initiatives initiatives.  Headquartered in Washington, D.C. with operations in Eastern Europe, South Africa, Mexico, India and several states in the U.S. 3
  • 4. Energy Efficiency – the Greatest Energy Resource h America's Greatest Energy Resource   Energy Efficiency and Conservation Improvements Since 1973  Have Reduced Annual Energy Consumption by 52 Quads in 2008  Energy Efficiency and Conservation 52 Petroleum 37 Natural Gas 24 Coal 22 Nuclear Electric Power Nuclear Electric Power 8 Biomass 4 Conventional Hydroelectric 2 Geothermal, Solar and Wind 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Quads Energy Efficiency and Conservation 2008 Domestic Production Net Imports 4 Alliance to Save Energy, June 2009
  • 5. Huge EE Potential Remains Energy Effi i E Efficiency Potential 40% P t ti l Adapted from McKinsey Analysis
  • 6. Slide 5 A9 ASE, 4/7/2008
  • 8. Slide 6 A7 ASE, 4/7/2008
  • 9. EE potential is uncertain i li i  Depends Note: - Discount rates Supply potential is - Economic growth uncertain too - Energy prices - Capital turnover - Technology development - Market barriers - Policy to overcome market barriers 7
  • 10. The ‘New Green Economy’ and Green Jobs d b  The Th creation of so-called ‘ ti f ll d ‘green j b ’ h jobs’ has been touted as a major selling point for energy efficiency programs. - Investing $1 million in energy efficiency generates 19 to 25 jobs  Efficiencymore labor intensive than energy labor-intensive production - $1 million in energy production creates only 5 to 10 jobs  (MRG Associates 2004) 8
  • 11. Energy Efficiency in Practice ffi i i i  Energy efficiency as a resource E ffi i - Energy Efficiency Resource Standards - ‘White tags’ - Carbon market offsets - Efficiency projects substituting for generation in electricity forward capacity markets 9
  • 12. Energy Efficiency in Practice ffi i i i  Energy Effi i E Efficiency Resource Standards R St d d (EERS) - Efficiency counterpart to renewable portfolio standards - Require a certain percentage of a utility’s load to be met with efficiency measures - Implemented by several US states. Federal states program has been proposed alongside 10 renewable standards. States with Energy Efficiency Resource Standards
  • 13. Energy Efficiency in Practice ffi i i i  Energy Effi i E Efficiency Resource Standards R St d d (EERS) - In some EERS programs, efficiency credits are tradable, making efficiency itself a , g y tradable commodity 11
  • 14. Energy Efficiency in Practice ffi i i i  Efficiency in forward capacity markets - When electricity distribution networks hold auctions f generators t bid f contracts, some ti for t to for t t distribution networks now allow entities to propose efficiency programs to meet projected load - The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission recently required that the PJM interconnection (serving much of the mid-Atlantic coast region mid Atlantic and some of the mid-west region) allow providers of efficiency programs to bid in their forward yp g capacity market 12
  • 15. Energy Efficiency in Practice ffi i i i  Evaluation, Measurement, Evaluation Measurement & Verification - ‘EM&V’ – how to measure the additionality of efficiency programs? ffi i ? - With programs promising or claiming quantifiable energy savings, we must tifi bl i t develop metrics to measure success - Several US states have developed their own protocols, but they vary  The same CFL bulb gets credited with different savings depending on what state it’s in, based on different states’ assumptions states 13  Similar issue across EU
  • 16. End-Use Technology Example Smart Grid - Potential Benefits  Enhance customer service  Improve operational efficiency E h Enhanced DR and l d control d d load t l  Customer behavior  Support new utility business models I t Integrate intermittent RE and PHEVs t i t itt t d PHEV “The Green Grid; Energy Savings and Carbon Emissions Reductions Enabled by a Smart Grid.” Report, No. 1016905
  • 17. End-Use Technology Example d h l l  Smart grid and consumer d t S t id d data display systems - Allow real-time or near-real-time knowledge of energy usage. g gy g - Pilot program energy use reductions highly variable: 1%-27% (Darby 1% 27% (Darby, 2006) - Design of human interface (viz. data (viz display) very important, also real-time pricing 15
  • 18. End-Use Technology Example d h l l  Smart grid and consumer d t S t id d data display systems - Could facilitate demand response  Not ot necessarily reducing tota e e gy use d ect y – ecessa y educ g total energy directly peak shaving tends to just move demand to other times of day, though y g it could reduce transmission line loss 16
  • 19. Supply-Side Technology Example l  Combined Heat d Power C bi d H t and P - Greater fuel use efficiency through the capture of waste heat in electricity generation, or generation of electricity while producing heat - Can be used in a y thermal ge e a o Ca any e a generation system - Popular in Scandinavia - Increasingly available in smaller-scale units 17
  • 20. Miracles Wanted i l d  American Ph i l Society list (Sept. 2008) A i Physical S i t li t (S t - energy storage -solid-state lighting - thermoelectric devices -lightweight materials - advanced windows -advanced ventilation - ultrathin insulators -thermodynamic cycles - behavioural research  Others - High temperature superconductivity - Clean energy resources
  • 21. The American Political Perspective i  Energy efficiency is b E ffi i i becoming i i increasingly i l visible in national policy-making - Energy Policy Act of 2005 (EPAct ‘05) - Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA) - Stimulus (February 2009) - Energy & Climate bill now in Congress  AmericanClean Energy and Security Act (House of Representatives) and American Clean Energy Leadership Act (Senate) 19
  • 22. 2005 Federal Energy Legislation  Energy Policy Act of 2005 will by 2020: - Reduce U.S. energy use by 2% - Reduce electricity demand by 4% - Reduce oil use by 0%  Energy savings from - Appliance standards - Tax incentives – lots of incentives for buildings - Federal energy management - New programs authorized (but not funded – some have since been funded in the stimulus bill) 20
  • 23. 2007 Federal Energy Legislation  Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 will by 2020 (2030): - Reduce U.S. energy use by 4% (7%) gy y ( ) - Reduce electricity demand by 4% (5%) - Reduce oil use by 5% (10%) - Reduce CO2 emissions by 5% (9%) %  Energy Savings from: - Vehicle CAFE standards - Appliance standards - F d l energy management Federal t - Certain building standards - R&D program authorizations 21
  • 24. American Recovery and  Reinvestment Act • Major focus: the largest spending and tax bill in the  M j f th l t di d t bill i th nation’s history • Larger than the New Deal • Big time opportunities … • But also big time issues  about implementation about implementation • Major victory for the  Administration, but not without need for $150 billion  $ compromise to secure moderate Rs and get to 60  votes in the Senate.
  • 25. Stimulus: Potentially $65 Billion related to energy efficiency 23 Funding in Millions of US Dollars
  • 26. Core Energy EfficiencyFunding ff d  SEP  Smart Grid Investment Grant  Smart Grid Investment Grant - Appropriated: $3.1 billion Program - Appropriated: $4.5 billion  EECBG  C G - Appropriated: $3.2 billion  Smart Grid Demonstration  Projects  WAP - Appropriated: $615 million - Appropriated: $5 billion  HUD s EE Public Housing  HUD’s EE Public Housing  Green Jobs Capital Funds - Appropriated: $500 million - Appropriated: $4 billion  HUD’s Green Retrofit Program - Appropriated $250 million 24
  • 27.  Cap on carbon: 83% reduction in covered  C b 83% d ti i d emissions by 2050 (85% of emissions are covered)  Building codes, building labels, appliance  standards and labels standards and labels  Renewable electricity standard of 20% by 2020 – a quarter may be met through EE, or 40% if  g governor requests q  Vehicle emissions standards L d Land use planning to reduce VMT l i d VMT 25
  • 28. Renewable electricity standard of 15% by 2021 R bl l t i it t d d f 15% b 2021  4% may come from efficiency if governor petitions  Improvements in model building energy codes  30% by 2010  50% by 2016  Energy Efficiency in Manufacturing  Funding for research and implementation of EE technologies, expansion of IACs  Clean energy investment fund Cl i t tf d  Loans, loan guarantees, etc., for commercialization of clean energy  technologies 26
  • 29. New energy efficiency standards N ffi i t d d  for portable lighting fixtures, commercial furnaces and reflector  lamps; new appliance test procedures lamps; new appliance test procedures  State building retrofit grant program  Grants for retrofits of residential and commercial buildings G t f t fit f id ti l d i l b ildi  Voluntary building energy performance information  program - To display relative energy performance; raise public awareness  Residential High‐Performance Zero‐Net‐Energy Buildings  Initiative - Goal to enable residential buildings without net emissions to be   27 cost‐effective by 2020
  • 30. Thank You! h k Brian Castelli Alliance t S Alli to Save E Energy @ bcastelli@ase.orgg www.ase.org 28