Stephen Passmore and Peter Head of The Ecological Sequestration Trust are joined by Bob Bishop of the International Centre for Earth Simulation to discuss there pioneering project creating Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Models

2. Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling
Stephen Passmore - Bob Bishop - Peter Head

4. The Ecological Sequestration Trust
• UK NGO 2011 speed up and scale up transformative urban/rural development
• Operate in space between private, public, knowledge and civil society sectors
• Leading experts foster integrated systems thinking and collaborative approaches
• Develop tools and demonstrators to support implementation of post 2030 agenda

5. resilience.io - city-region systems
model

6. Risk Management in City Regions
Focus on Integrated approach to Planetary Health
CHEER

7. The natural world is massively complex

8. The Atmospheric System The Oceanic System
The Crustal Plate System The Space-Weather System

9. The Ecological Sequestration Trust (TEST)
and the
International Centre for Earth Simulation (ICES)
cooperate to ensure that
City-Regional Models integrate all Earth-System Dynamics

10. When things go wrong!

12. Planetary Health
Underpins Sustainable Development Goals and New Urban Agenda

13. Collaboration for transformation
“A successful sustainable development agenda requires partnerships
between central and local governments, the private sector, academia
and faiths/civil society which put people and planet at the centre”
CHEER Collaborative Human,
Ecological, Economic Resources
Enabling system for public good
Common service infrastructure

14. CHEER system must be practical and create value
• Social and Physical
• Data driven
• Evidence for investment
• Performance based
procurement
• Metrics for SDG delivery

15. 15
The role of accessible integrated earth-regional systems
modelling for risk-based decision making

16. 16
Future Cities Africa
World’s first demonstration of the functionality of the
resilience.io prototype model through a sector application in
Accra. The outputs highlight relevant resilient solutions and
inform policy and/or planning decision-making, investment
and links to SDGs.
Cities in Africa to become future proofed to climate,
environment and natural resource challenges, so that they are
inclusive and resilient, and have growing economies.
Output 3
Sector investigation workshop-Thursday 26th March 2016 ILGS

17. Investing 1% GDP per year ($40m) in
public transport rather than just building roads
including dedicated walking and cycling routes

18. Samartex Apartments, AccraOOA
World Bank / IFC Head office Accra
World Bank Head office, AccraCo-Arc -OOA- Arup
Samartex Apartments Accra
Samartex Apartments, AccraOOA
Standards for energy efficient higher quality
buildings and training to
design and build them
Samartex Apartments Accra
Samartex Apartments, AccraOOA

19. 19
Global warming, floods and disease

20. WASH resilience.io prototype requested
● Model development
● Set of specifications – http://resilience.io
● 50 Process blocks developed that describe
input output, energy, material and labour
● Computer modules built and tested
● ABM & RTN
● Three Use cases developed with the GTG
to demonstrate functionality and benefits
● Visualisations for decision support and
basic user interface
● Data
● 200 plus data sets collected that describe
WASH in GAMA as well as socio-economic,
GIS, process and technology.

21. Urban demonstrator in Greater Accra
Metropolitan Area, (GAMA) Ghana
full supply
intermittent
no supply
sewage pipeline

22. GAMA Technical Group
Collaborative Laboratory
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
June Aug Sept Nov Jan Mar May
Count
Month 2015-16
TEST/CA Staff
GAMA Stakeholders
MLGRD “helps to consider
the complexities and
difficulties faced in planning
and implementation of WASH
sector”
Private Sector “Can use
resilience.io to better evaluate
resilient initiatives and work
in PPP to deliver new
infrastructure around GAMA”

24. using resilience.io

27. Very well received..
MLGRD - Good tool in the development of the urban areas,
we need such a model.
UoG - resilience.io prototype gives a faster and more accurate
solutions for development (urban) planning
AMA - Is important to help in decision making and inform
policy
Training - The model is very good, and can help us to improve
and prioritise quality decisions in my Assembly
• 3 results workshops including live model runs
– 97% think the resilience.io prototype is functional
– 71% think resilience.io is suitable to inform policy/investment decision making (high degree)
• Training and installation session
– 90% like to be involved in further development & 100% like to use as part of their role/institution
• High level debut event
– It’s a great thing for GAMA, a great thing for Ghana, and I believe it will be a great thing for
Africa Robert Ansah - AMA

28. Sustained finance for equitable green growth
Infrastructure investment
Reduced project design cost
Speeding up delivery
Permanent revolving fund

29. Roadmap 2030 -16 cross cutting themes
• Enabling environment to create smart partnerships between national and
municipal government, civil society, academia, faiths and the private sector
• How to implement the New Urban Agenda
• Addresses 16 cross-cutting themes in an integrated approach