In June 2016, with the culmination of 18 months work by the the team from IIER, Imperial College, Future Earth Ltd and the Trust, we visited Accra to debut the WASH sector prototype of our modelling app at the Accra International Conference Centre, 22nd June 2016. resilience.io is an open-source, collaborative human, ecological, economic, resource systems, modelling platform to enable “public good” we also showed this video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EGyCyxyatAQ

1. 1
Welcome to
Accra International Conference Centre
22nd June 2016
The Debut..

2. 2
The Debut..
“Look to the past to help us move forward in the future”.
National Development Planning and Cities
Prof Peter Head CBE FREng
FRSA
Chief Executive
Inaugural Cabot Institute Fellow
University of Bristol

3. National,city-region scale integrated systems platform
Risk informed
Policy
Investment
Planning
Procurement
CHEER open-source Collaborative
Human, Ecological, Economic
Resource system platform model
to enable “public good”

5. www.icesfoundation.org
Open access free at source for decision making

6. March 2015
Bellagio
March 2016
Bellagio Roadmap
FOR ACTION
Workshops supported by Rockefeller Foundation
“If things are
getting easier,
maybe you're
headed
downhill”.

7. #roadmap2030
http://ecosequestrust.org/roadmap-for-habitat-iii/
• Enabling environment to create smart partnerships between national and
municipal government, civil society, academia, faiths and the private sector
• How to implement the urban agenda
• Addresses 16 cross-cutting themes in an integrated approach

8. Collaboration for transformation
“A successful sustainable development agenda requires partnerships
between central and local governments, the private sector, academia
and civil society which put people and planet at the centre”
CHEER Collaborative Human,
Ecological, Economic Resources
Enabling system for public good
Common service infrastructure

9. • Implementation of the decentralization policies and
programmes
• To strengthen leadership and capacity at all levels of
the decentralised government machinery
• Enhance civil society participation
• Promote a sustainable, spatially integrated and orderly
development of human settlements to support socio-
economic development
• Regularly improve demographic data base on
population and development
Ministry of Local Government and
Rural Development Policy Objectives

10. Communities
Water
Industry
Buildings
Energy
Ecology
Transport
Learning
Enabling
Platform
collaborative
intelligence
Climate
adaptation
Municipal
finance
Trusted collaborative laboratory
Education
Civil
society
“The strength of the palm tree is in
its branches”

11. Urban demonstrator in Greater Accra
Metropolitan Area, (GAMA) Ghana

13. Human Capital Development Strategy
National Infrastructure Plan
Economic Growth Strategy
Social, Economic, Environmental
And Institutional Policies & Strategies
Spatial Development Framework
SDGs, Agenda 2063 and other global
development frameworks

14. Plus Expenditure Gap 22% -needs PPP plus Revenue Increase
Ghana GDP 2014 $39bn Infrastructure and Human Settlements Development 5.6% GDP
4 years 2014-2017

15. #roadmap2030
Population growth in Ghana cities 2014 14.6 million 2030 22.1million
Investment in infrastructure and human settlements in cities
Investment in cities to meet SDGs Infrastructure 3.8% GDP
43% Energy 29%Transport 21% Water, sanitation, flood 7% Communications
Affordable housing 2.2% GDP
Total 6.0% GDP
With the right urban development policies it is estimated that 30%
of this finance could come from Green Bonds and 20% from
private sector including Pension Funds.
Also use of GCF funding, share of which for Ghana at 0.2% GDP
per year is $78m per year, which could be drawn in now.

16. Key:
Proposed plan of urban investment
Traditional investment
Quality assurance / evidence / technical support
Collaboratory
• Independent
• Cross sector
• Quality assurance
• Transparency
• Procurement
• Data in/output
UDIF
• Investors: private equity,
pensions, impact
investors, development
banks
• Public, private or mix
• Unlimited revolving fund
• One major full cost loan
type to keep costs low
• Local needs determine
transformational change
Implementing
Entity
Projects
Sustained finance for equitable green growth
Infrastructure investment
Municipalities
INVESTORS / FUNDERS
e.g. GCF, Bonds, Private
LOCAL
COLLABOR-
ATORY
Portfolio of projects
UDIF
ROI
Implementing
Entity
Reduced project design cost
Speeding up delivery

17. Urban development policy
1. Use a participatory, enabling systems tool, like resilience.io
that will build capacity to plan land use, manage revenues
and bring forward bankable projects with risk assessments
at all scales.
2. Improve municipal finance, including improved revenues, to
improve local currency credit ratings
3. Negotiate guarantees from national and international
sources like GCF to underpin green and municipal bonds and
to build climate finance funds
4. Create pooled finance ‘revolving’ Urban Development Funds
UDIF to reduce transaction costs by sharing
5. Create scaling funds RIIF to grant fund new cities to set up
operating enabling systems, supported by urban knowledge
networks like UCLG, ICLEI, C40, Cities Alliance, 100 Res Cities

18. National urban transformation
Urban
Development
and
Investment
Fund (UDIF)
Urban
Development
and
Investment
Fund (UDIF)
Urban
Development
and
Investment
Fund (UDIF)
Urban
Development
and
Investment
Fund (UDIF)
Urban
Development
and
Investment
Fund (UDIF)
Urban
Development
and
Investment
Fund (UDIF)
National
Resilience
Investment
Implementation
Fund (RIIF)
Testing
2018
Scale up
2019-2022
Funding
Training
Research
CHEER Platform
Data
Land register
Knowledge
sharing
Income
2%
Income
2%
Philanthropy
Venture funding
“No one tests the depth of the
river with both feet”

19. Ghana-UK Research and Innovation Centre for
Inclusive Growth
• Carry out ambitious research agenda
• Make significant economic and societal impact
• Add value by increasing infrastructure, building capacity,
encouraging interdisciplinary working in social science and
beyond
• Enable research collaboration in the UK and across Sub Saharan
Africa
Focus Areas:
• Migration, mobility and development
• Dynamics of inequalities
• Innovation and inclusive economic growth
• Shocks, security, risks and resilience
April 2017-2022 UK Government GCRF contribution £5m
“When you are sitting in your own house, you don’t learn
anything. You must get out of your house to learn”.

20. Ghana Partnership Platform for Philanthropy
• Strategic philanthropists “who seek greater impact by taking an approach that is guided by
particular values and aims, clear goals and key performance indicators, direct oversight and
governance, and sharing of skills, abilities, and experience, as opposed to monetary gift
giving” A ‘strategic philanthropy fund’ SPF could build early stage investment in CHEER
tools, demonstrator RIIF’s and UDIF’s.
• Venture philanthropists, who seek social impact and financial return, are ideally suited to
invest in national revolving RIIF funds, to provide support for a number of years, typically
10, to scale up of the CHEER approach across each country. Return 2% above Libor.
• Social Impact Investment foundations can use the CHEER platform and be part of UDIF
funds to support improved social conditions in urban areas like inclusion and poverty
reduction, with evidence of impact coming from the regional CHEER model and monitored
over time.

21. Thank you
“If an opportunity is not taken when it comes, it passes away”
@PeterHeadCBEpeter.head@ecosequestrust.org

22. Stephen Passmore
Accra International Conference Centre
22nd June 2016
The Debut..

23. The Debut..
Celebration!!

24. resilience.io strong foundations
Future Cities Africa
Resilient, Inclusive Centres
of economic growth
 Global search
 Best modellers, scientists and technology
 Create open source, integrated city-region
model
 Demonstrate and scale up

25. WASH SECTOR
GAMA Technical Group

26. WASH prototype
● Model development
● Set of specifications – http://resilience.io
● 50 Process blocks developed that describe
input output, energy, material and labour
● Computer modules built and tested
● ABM & RTN
● Three Use cases developed with the GTG
to demonstrate functionality and benefits
● Visualisations for decision support and
basic user interface
● Package
● Data
● 200 plus data sets collected that describe
WASH in GAMA as well as socio-economic,
GIS, process and technology.

27. Debut activities
MLGRD - Good tool in the development
of the urban areas, we need such a
model.
UoG - resilience.io prototype gives a
faster and more accurate solutions for
development (urban) planning
AMA - Is important to help in decision
making and inform policy
Training - The model is very good, and
can help us to improve and prioritise
quality decisions in my Assembly

28. Next steps

29. Thank you
#GAMAresilience
@ResilienceIO
http://resilience.io
“It’s a great thing for GAMA…
a great thing for Ghana…
and I believe that it will be a great thing for Africa.”

31. using resilience.io

32. 1.1 Question: How much treatment capacity do we need?
Total GAMA: 6,651 m3/day
Human excreta production (m3/day)
Human excreta

33. 1.1 Question: What technologies and capacity can meet future needs?
Additional treatment needs capacity
needs by 2025 : 200,000 m3/day

34. 1.1 Question: How will the proposed system(s) affect other
sectors?
New desalination plant substantially
increases electricity needs:
350,000 kWh /day

35. 1.1 Question: What will be the cost and is it affordable?
Population and Demands 2015 2025
Population 4.39 million 5.68 million
Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day
Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day

36. 1.1 Question: What will be the cost and is it affordable?
Population and Demands 2015 2025
Population 4.39 million 5.68 million
Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day
Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day

37. 1.1 Question: What will be the cost for GAMA?
Population and Demands 2015 2025
Population 4.39 million 5.68 million
Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day
Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day
Public Decentralised (million USD) 2010-2015 2015-2025
Expenditure for treatment capacity 90 260
Expenditure for public toilets 42 192
Total Capital Costs 132 352

38. 1.1 Question: Will it be affordable?
GAMA – 15 MMDA values 2015 (million USD) 2025 (million USD)
Total operational costs per year 55.6 80.5
Revenues from public toilet use 33.0 82.0
Costs per Citizen per year (USD) 12.7 11.6
GAMA – 15 MMDA values 2015 2025
Greenhouse emissions in tonnes per year 2011 7516
Total jobs for sewerage system 82 625

39. Thank you