Update on georgias hospitals enterprise innovation institute march 27
Jackson County Economic Forecast
1. Economic Trends and Forecasts
Jackson and Josephine counties
The Job Council
August 2014
Ainoura Oussenbec
Workforce Analyst
Oregon Employment Department
2. Jackson County – Moderate Growth
Employment increased by
• 2.6 percent statewide
• 5.1 percent in Bend MSA
• 1.6 percent in Jackson County
• 3.9 percent in Josephine
County
3. The Unemployment Rates Improved but…
July 2014 June 2014 July 2013
U.S. 6.2 6.1 7.3
Oregon 6.9 6.8 7.8
Bend MSA 8.1 8.1 9.4
Corvalis MSA 5.3 5.3 5.9
Eugene-Springfield
6.8 6.7 7.6
MSA
Medford MSA 8.5 8.5 9.5
Portland-Vancouver-
Hillsboro MSA
6.1 6.1 7.2
Salem MSA 7.0 7.0 8.2
In Percent
4. Jackson County: Growth Industries
• Manufacturing up by 270 jobs
• Health care and social assistance up by 220 jobs
• Accommodation and food services up by 340 jobs
• Government up by 250 jobs
• Construction up by 150 jobs
* In the past 12 months, as of July 2014
5. Jackson County: Industries Losing Jobs
• Retail trade down by 90 jobs
• Information down by 70 jobs
• Financial activities down by 60 jobs
* In the past 12 months, as of July 2014
6. Josephine County – Different Picture
Growth Industries:
• Manufacturing up by 280 jobs
• Professional and business services up by 210 jobs
• Health care and social assistance up by 210 jobs
• Construction up by 80 jobs
Industries and sectors losing jobs:
• Retail trade
• Wholesale trade
• Government
7. OED Has Many Job Listings
As of August 18 2014, there were 882 job listings posted
at OED for the Rogue Valley – a very high number.
In addition, we now have access to HWOL data
(Help Wanted On Line) for the state and Medford area.
8. 5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Help Wanted Online Ads
The Conference Board's Help Wanted Online Data Series
(Seasonally Adjusted)
Medford MSA Total Ads
January 2008 - July 2014
Source: The Conference Board Help Wanted OnLineTM (HWOL)
9. Data from HWOL for the Medford Area
Top 25 Occupations in July 2014
Employer Number of Ads by Number of Online Advertisements, Medford MSA
Providence Health & Services 108
Number
Employer
of Ads
Asante Health System 82
Registered Nurses 283
Rogue Valley Medical Center 64
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 170
Lithia Auto Stores 60
Retail Salespersons 140
Safeway Companies 42
First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers 88
Jackson County 41
Personal Care Aides 66
Medical and Health Services Managers 59
Macy's 27
Insurance Sales Agents 56
Prestige Care, Inc. 26
Social and Human Service Assistants 55
Department of Veterans Affairs 25
Physical Therapists 53
Western Express 19
Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 50
Occupational Therapists 48
Sears Holdings Corporation 18
Critical Care Nurses 46
Avamere Health Services 18
Customer Service Representatives 46
State of Oregon 17
Waiters and Waitresses 42
Harry & David 16
First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and
Emeritus Corporation (Assisted Living) 16
Serving Workers 39
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material
U.S. Army 16
Movers, Hand 36
Emeritus Senior Living 15
Cooks, Restaurant 36
Army National Guard 14
Medical Assistants 33
Top 25 Employers in July 2014
by Number of Online Advertisements, Medford MSA
10. Data from HWOL for the Medford Area
Top 25 Hard Skills in July 2014
by Number of Online
Advertisements, Medford MSA
Employer
Number
of Ads
JavaScript 102
Bilingual 100
Patient electronic medical record 84
Pediatrics 63
Critical care 62
Microsoft Windows 56
Billing software 47
Food preparation 45
Bilingual Spanish 38
Private practice 37
Customer relationship management 32
Auto sales 31
Technical support 30
Quality control 29
Quality assurance 29
Geriatrics 28
Behavioral health 27
Instrumentation 27
Accounts receivable 25
Pallet jacks 24
Software development 23
Forklifts 22
Top 25 Certifications in July 2014
by Number of Online Advertisements,
Employer
Number
of Ads
Medford MSA
Certified Registered Nurse 362
Basic Life Support 334
Commercial Driver's License 255
Certified in Nursing Administration 105
Advanced Cardiac Life Support 104
Certification in Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation 87
Licensed Practical Nurse 86
Health Insurance Portability and
48
Accountability Act - HIPPA
Family Physician / Internal Medicine (FP/IM) 47
Pediatric Advanced Life Support 43
Occupational Safety & Health Administration
39
Certification
First Aid certification 37
Board Certified 35
Certified Public Accountant 34
Registered Medical Assistant 33
Certified Nursing Assistant 31
Certified Purchasing Manager 30
Automotive Service Excellence 30
Physical Therapist Certification 29
Neonatal Resuscitation Program 28
11. OED’s Forecast for The Region is Moderate
According to OED’s Projections for 2012-2022,
Employment growth is estimated at 13 percent in Jackson & Josephine counties.
Statewide employment increase is estimated at 15 percent.
Growth Industries (above the average of 13 percent):
• Health care
• Professional and business services
• Leisure and hospitality
• Construction
12. OED’s Forecast for The Region is Moderate
Top Growth Occupations with Higher Wages*
• Registered Nurses
• Truck Drivers, Heave and Tractor-Trailer
• General and Operations Managers
• Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers
• Medical Assistants
• Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School
* - above the median of $15.83 per hour)
13. Almost Half of Oregon Employers Had
Difficult to Fill Jobs in 2013
Top 25 Occupations in Oregon
With the Highest Number of Vacancies Reported as Difficult to Fill, 2013
Occupation Vacancies
Difficult to
Fill
Share of
Total
All Occupations 32,602 15,576 48%
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 1,163 968 83%
Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse 1,083 930 86%
Personal Care Aides 1,304 922 71%
Home Health Aides 484 469 97%
Customer Service Representatives 1,165 454 39%
Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers 353 353 100%
Registered Nurses 960 332 35%
Massage Therapists 327 327 100%
Ushers, Lobby Attendants, and Ticket Takers 587 300 51%
Cooks, Restaurant 383 290 76%
Forest and Conservation Workers 280 280 100%
Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors 286 248 87%
Carpenters 298 238 80%
Retail Salespersons 836 223 27%
Teacher Assistants 301 214 71%
Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 246 212 86%
Nursing Assistants 487 199 41%
Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 208 187 90%
Software Developers, Applications 446 170 38%
Computer Occupations, All Other 190 156 82%
Roofers 151 151 100%
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 554 137 25%
Electricians 151 132 87%
Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and
Tenders, Metal and Plastic 129 126 98%
Tire Repairers and Changers 126 126 100%
14. Difficult to Fill Occupations in Southern Counties
South West Oregon:
Coos, Curry, Douglas, Josephine and Jackson counties
About 42 percent of this region’s job vacancies in 2013
were reported as “difficult to fill”, compared with 48
statewide.
For a complete report, go to
http://www.qualityinfo.org/pubs/difficult.pdf
15. Top Occupations in Southwest Oregon, 2013 Difficult to Fill
Difficult to
fill vacancies
Vacancies
Grand Total 1166
Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer 142
Firefighters 123
Bill and Account Collectors 73
Customer Service Representatives 57
Insurance Sales Agents 50
Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants 34
Registered Nurses 33
Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 33
Personal Care Aides 33
Cooks, Restaurant 30
Retail Salespersons 29
Medical and Health Services Managers 26
Nursing Assistants 24
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food 22
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks 19
Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 18
Tax Preparers 17
Social and Human Service Assistants 17
