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WHY TRUST IN DATA IS IMPORTANT
WHEN WE BUILD ML ALGOS?
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR AI FOR UNILEVER
NALLAN SRIRAMAN (SRI)
GLOBAL HEAD OF TECHNOLOGY (DATA & ANALYTIS)
SEP 2019
Copyright (c) Unilever 2019
Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 2
51 Billion Euros
in annual turnover 2018
Lots of Operational
Data
Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 3
Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 4
Why almost every AI prediction
made public got it wrong?
Is there a lesson for us in the
Corporates to Learn?
What can we do about it?
§§
Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 5
AI World Cup 2018
predictions almost all wrong
The World Cup 2018 was the top
sporting event of year, and AI
researchers at Goldman Sachs,
German Technische University of
Dortmund, Electronic Arts, Perm
State National Research University
and other institutions ran machine
learning models to predict outcomes
for the multi-stage competition.
Most however were totally wrong,
with only EA — which ran its
simulations using new ratings for its
video game FIFA 18 — correctly
favouring winner France. The EA
game engine is backed by numerous
machine learning techniques
designed to make player
performance as realistic as possible.
https://medium.com/syncedreview/2018-in-review-10-ai-failures-c18faadf5983
6
https://www.firstpost.com/tech/news-analysis/game-of-thrones-ai-algorithm-predicts-who-will-finally-
sit-on-the-iron-throne-6436491.html
The new algorithms developed at the Technical University of Munich (TUM) in
Germany predict that Daenerys Targaryen has the highest chance (99 percent)
of surviving the harrowing world of Game of Thrones.
Copyright (c) Unilever 2019
Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 7
How we used social media analytics
to call Brexit.
Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 8
WHY THIS HIGH DEGREE OF WRONG PREDICTIONS
LEADING TO ERODING TRUST IN AI?
Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 9
Simple reason – Lack of Data Coverage
supporting aspects of prediction
Lack of data – Game of Thrones
Conscious bias – Trump and Brexit
Unconscious bias –World cup
The bias erodes trust in “Predictors”
CONSUMER
INSIGHT &
MARKETING
INNOVATION
SUPPLY CHAIN
TALENT &
ORGANISATION
E2E DIGITISED
OPERATIONS
ABUNDANCE OF DIGITAL SIGNALS ACROSS THE UNILEVER VALUE CHAIN
SUPPORTED BY THE DATA LAKE FOUNDATION
TECHNOLOGY
& DATA ANALYTICS
Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 10
HOW ARE WE ESTABLISHING TRUST ?
Protect the Lake becoming
swamp from in coming data
Establish transparency in
what data makes up the
predictions and what is not
Hire data scientists without
“Tunnel" VisionPic curtesy © Networkworld
Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 11
ESTABLISH TRANSPARENCY IN
DATA THAT MAKES UP THE PREDICTIONS
via Data Catalogue and Business glossaries
Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 12
© Scott Adams

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  • 1. WHY TRUST IN DATA IS IMPORTANT WHEN WE BUILD ML ALGOS? BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR AI FOR UNILEVER NALLAN SRIRAMAN (SRI) GLOBAL HEAD OF TECHNOLOGY (DATA & ANALYTIS) SEP 2019 Copyright (c) Unilever 2019
  • 2. Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 2 51 Billion Euros in annual turnover 2018
  • 4. Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 4 Why almost every AI prediction made public got it wrong? Is there a lesson for us in the Corporates to Learn? What can we do about it? §§
  • 5. Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 5 AI World Cup 2018 predictions almost all wrong The World Cup 2018 was the top sporting event of year, and AI researchers at Goldman Sachs, German Technische University of Dortmund, Electronic Arts, Perm State National Research University and other institutions ran machine learning models to predict outcomes for the multi-stage competition. Most however were totally wrong, with only EA — which ran its simulations using new ratings for its video game FIFA 18 — correctly favouring winner France. The EA game engine is backed by numerous machine learning techniques designed to make player performance as realistic as possible. https://medium.com/syncedreview/2018-in-review-10-ai-failures-c18faadf5983
  • 6. 6 https://www.firstpost.com/tech/news-analysis/game-of-thrones-ai-algorithm-predicts-who-will-finally- sit-on-the-iron-throne-6436491.html The new algorithms developed at the Technical University of Munich (TUM) in Germany predict that Daenerys Targaryen has the highest chance (99 percent) of surviving the harrowing world of Game of Thrones. Copyright (c) Unilever 2019
  • 7. Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 7 How we used social media analytics to call Brexit.
  • 9. WHY THIS HIGH DEGREE OF WRONG PREDICTIONS LEADING TO ERODING TRUST IN AI? Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 9 Simple reason – Lack of Data Coverage supporting aspects of prediction Lack of data – Game of Thrones Conscious bias – Trump and Brexit Unconscious bias –World cup The bias erodes trust in “Predictors”
  • 10. CONSUMER INSIGHT & MARKETING INNOVATION SUPPLY CHAIN TALENT & ORGANISATION E2E DIGITISED OPERATIONS ABUNDANCE OF DIGITAL SIGNALS ACROSS THE UNILEVER VALUE CHAIN SUPPORTED BY THE DATA LAKE FOUNDATION TECHNOLOGY & DATA ANALYTICS Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 10
  • 11. HOW ARE WE ESTABLISHING TRUST ? Protect the Lake becoming swamp from in coming data Establish transparency in what data makes up the predictions and what is not Hire data scientists without “Tunnel" VisionPic curtesy © Networkworld Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 11
  • 12. ESTABLISH TRANSPARENCY IN DATA THAT MAKES UP THE PREDICTIONS via Data Catalogue and Business glossaries Copyright (c) Unilever 2019 12