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Yili Inner Mongolia Group
Team 5 - TierOne Consulting - MIB 2 Hangzhou
Andreja Miletic| Bijan Nekoie | Kristin Hartlich | Maricarmen Gonzalez | Thabang Sekete
TierOne Consulting Team

Maricarmen Gonzalez

Thabang Sekete

Kristin Hartlich

Andreja Miletic

Bijan Nekoie

2
Agenda
Objective & Overview

SCQ: Situations | Complications | Question

SWOT Analysis

Strategic Recommendations
Short-term Strategy | Medium-term Strategy

Future Considerations & Takeaways
3
Company Objective

4
“Our goal is to become one of the
Top 20 enterprises in the world dairy
industry by 2010, and Top 10 by
2015.”
Pan Gang (2007)
Chairman and President
Yili Inner Mongolia Group

5
Overview

6
70% of Farmers’
income in Inner
Mongolia was
related to Yili

Favorable Climate
Conditions

“Green” Image of
Inner Mongolia

Yili Inner Mongolia Group

Proximity of
Resources

7
Yili’s Product Mix Overview

UHT milk

47

Milk beverage

22

Ice cream

13

Milk powder and other dairy products

12

Yogurts

2

Others
%

4
0

10

20

30

40

50
8
Timeline
Small SOE’s joined in Inner Huhhot, Mongolia
Yili reorganized into shareholder enterprise: major
shareholder municipal government

Yili receives “Best Taxpayer” award. RMB 1.3
Billion paid to Huhhot between 1999-2004

Industry dominated by Yili & Mengniu
Yili ranked 3rd globally for production volume of
over 30 million tons while accounting for
US$12.3 billion in revenues

Revenues grow 500% from 1992
+ IPO in Shanghai – 96.9 Million
RMB raised

Mengniu is formed from
former Yili employee
Foundation of
Inner Mongolia
Mu Quan Yuan
Xing Animal

Top 20 of Dairy Industry by 2010
Top 10 of Dairy Industry by 2015

Feed

UHT processing
Organic product
research begins

1993

1996

1999

2002

2003

2004

2006

2007

…

...
Situations | Complications | Question

10
Situations

China
Expensive
Considered luxury
product

Milk & Dairy
Products
Consumption

11 kg

Lactose
intolerance

18 kg

Available only in big
cities

25 kg

Per Capita

2002

2004

2006
11
Situations
BEFOR
E
7-10 Days

Technology
AFTER

Transportation

4-6 Months

Adequate
Transportation to
reach remote areas

12
Situations
Protein energy
sources
local/imported
Silage/substitutes
Local/imported

Dairy Industry
Supply Chain

Feed Mill Companies

Individual farmers
Private farms
State-owned farms

Milk stations
Middleman

Group of farmers

Cooperatives
Own farms
Farming bases

Processors

Dairy Imports

Consumers

Distributors
Retailers/Food Services
Home Delivery

Consumers
Situations

Coinvest in Farmland

“Locking in”
Source milk

10 %

Exclusive Supply Contract

40 %

Contract with Milk-stand Owners

50 %
China’s Dairy Industry

15
Complications
China historically not a milk nation

Culture
Law

Consumer’s Distrust in Chinese Milk Product
Lactose intolerance
Unfavorable Tax & Property Laws
Government Regulations

Dependence on farmers (no ownership of cows)

Resources

Manage Channel Relationships
No self-sufficiency

Competition

New market entrants
Imports of Milk (international conglomerates)
Local conglomerates

Core Values

Quality and Safety
Growth and Innovation
Adaptation to International Standards
16
SWOT Analysis: Strengths

Technology and Safety

Relationship Management

Marketing

Customer & Employees

17
SWOT Analysis: Weaknesses

Products

Government

Sources

Costs

18
SWOT Analysis: Opportunities

China is a growing market for the dairy industry
• UHT milk
• Baby milk powder

Lock-in cooperative
management structures
Obtain new sources of “green”
arable land
Expanding business through M&A or JV

19
SWOT Analysis: Threats
Sociological

Lactose intolerance
Consumer preferences

Technological

Economical

Imitation of technology and production processes

Competition from both local players and international
conglomerates
Increased purchasing power in urban areas

Environmental

Political

Sensitive weather and environment

High dependence on government

20
Question

How can Yili increase its revenue to
become the Top 20 in the dairy industry by
2010 and Top 10 by 2015, while maintaining
its core values and competitive advantage?

21
Methodology

22
Linkages

Core Values

Capabilities

Resources

Social Corporate Responsibility
Quality and Safety
Innovation & Growth (“Going Green”)
Research & Development
Experience in Management
Long-term relationships with Farmers
R&D in UHT processing
Marketing Program
Current Contracts
Government Influence
Processing Plant
Market Share & Brand Equity

Expected Outcomes
23
Strategic Recommendations
Short-term Strategy

24
Short-term Strategy

Both

International

National

25
Short-term Strategy
Vertical Integration
Short-term Strategy
Vertical Integration

Dividends &
Stock
Options

Incentivization Program
Less cash
Farmer Lock-in

Veterinarian

Services

Strengthening
Relationships
with Farmers

Incentive options

Discounts in
Cow Feed

Voting
Rights in
Consortium
Results of Vertical Integration

Core Values

✓

Capabilities

✓

Resources

✓

Expected Outcomes

Yili’s supply is secured
Long-term relationships with Farmers increases
Minimizes the effects of urban migration
28
Strategic Recommendations
Medium-term Strategy

29
Medium-term Strategy

Both

International

National

30
Medium-term Strategy
Enter Top 10 in Sales $ by 2015
Key Weakness:
Competitive Disadvantage due to tax breaks for JV
Net Income Figures: Yili vs Mengniu

Effective Tax Rate %: Yili vs Mengniu
35.0%

$1,800.00
30.0%
$1,600.00
25.0%

$1,400.00

Inner Mongolia Yili
Industrial Group Co.,
Ltd.

$1,200.00
$1,000.00
$800.00

Mengniu Dairy Co.
Ltd.

$600.00

Inner Mongolia Yili
Industrial Group Co.,
Ltd.

20.0%
15.0%

Mengniu Dairy Co. Ltd.

10.0%

$400.00
5.0%

$200.00
$-

0.0%

Dec
'05

Dec Dec Dec Dec
'06 '07 [E] '08 [E] '09 [E]

Dec '05 Dec '06 Dec '07 Dec '08 Dec '09
[E]
[E]
[E]

31
JV Agreement
Horizontal Integration

JV with New Zealand
Close proximity
Asia Pacific Region
Source of arable land and cows
Strong perception of safety and high
quality products
Westland is known for its green
processes and R&D
Westland is a cooperative based
company

32
Westland JV

35% Tax break before 2012
International Brand Exposure
Increase Brand Awareness & Equity in China
Tax reduction reinvested into Marketing, Tech & Land

Advantages
Boost in Revenues by 50% & Resources by 25%
Access to R&D Technology, Training, Land & Cows
Import Westland products (cheaper cost)
Milk Powder & Other Dairy Products
Yoghurt & Others
Streamlining Yili’s production
Reducing Yili’s COGS by RMB 2.5bn

33
JV Product Mix

Yili Product Mix

Yili & WestLand Product Mix

UHT Milk (141M tons)
4%
12%

18%

Ice Cream (39M tons)

UHT Milk

Yoghurt (600k tons)
47%

Milk Beverage
47%

13%

Milk Beverage (6.6M
tons)

2%

13%

Ice Cream

Milk Powder & Soy
(3.6M tons)

22%

Milk Powder, Soy,
Yoghurt & Others

22%

Others (1.2M tons)

34
Results of Horizontal Integration

Core Values

✓

Capabilities

✓

Resources

✓

Expected Outcomes

35% Tax Break
Focus on the UHT production and R&D
COGS savings from imports
Marketing program expansion
35
Future Considerations

36
Forecasted Timeline
Tainted Milk Scandal  milk,
infant formula, animal feed affected. 11
countries completely halt foreign,
Chinese imports

Top 20 of Dairy Industry by 2010
Top 10 of Dairy Industry by 2015

Yili sole-sponsors Beijing Olympics:
100 million RMB + seven additional plants.
Tax benefits are lifted from foreign and
domestic joint ventures, given grace period
to transition to appropriate tax bracket
$214 million to acquire
Oeania Dairy, NZ

Overseas R&D center in
Wageningen University,
Netherlands

Strategic
Partnership with
Italian Sterilgarda
Alimenti Spa,
acquiring filtration
technology  creating a
new liquid milk product

Global
Ranking:
12

Agreement with Dairy
Farmers of America

2004

2006

2007

2008

2012

2013

2014
Takeaways

38
Strategy

Both

International

National

39
Takeaways

“We have a responsibility to help the
development of the industry and focus more on
green production and brand development with
environmental protection. We want to make sure
all parties – consumers, farmers, and government
work together.”
Pan Gang (2007)
Chairman and President
Yili Inner Mongolia Group

Top 20 in 2010

✓

Top 10 in 2015

✓
40
你们有问题吗?
…MOO MOO…

谢谢!

41
Appendix

42
Buying Cows?

−
Imported nearly
250,000 live heifers.
Spent more than
$250 million on
100,000 foreign
heifers. Live hog
imports will reach
12,000 head.

Net profit is 14
times larger than
from growing 1 acre
of corn. Breeding
dairy cows are
expected to recover
four per cent to
75,000 head.

+

43
Cows: Yes or No?

44
Milk Scandal
2002 EU bans imports from China
Imports halted. China’s system to control residues of veterinary medicines in farmed
animals to be too lax. Animal imports banned.

2004 Avian Flu
Avian Flu + Foot in mouth disease causes EU to halt imports of poultry,
pork, mutton, beef and dairy products from China.

2008 Chinese milk scandal
Melamine incidence to appear to have a higher protein content. 11 countries
stop all imports of Chinese dairy products completely.

2009 Leather milk
Leather-hydrolyzed protein, boosts protein-content ratings of milk.

2013 Fonterra scandal
Bacterial presence in unsterilized pipes used to move whey during the production process.
Fonterra recalls all products

45
JV Financial Implications
18% of Yili products now produced by Westland
Estimated COGS reduction of RMB2.5bn
Yili Income Statement
18,000.00

Yili COGS comparison JV expected
effects

Sales

16,000.00

14,000.00

Cost of Goods Sold
(COGS) incl. D&A

14,000.00

12,000.00

Gross Income

12,000.00

10,000.00

SG&A Expense

16,000.00

10,000.00
8,000.00

8,000.00

EBIT (Operating
Income)

6,000.00

Income Taxes

4,000.00

Net Income

2,000.00
0.00

Expon. (Sales)
Dec '04

Dec '05

Dec '06

Cost of Goods Sold
(COGS) incl. D&A

6,000.00

COGS incl D&A excl.
18% Production Cost

4,000.00
2,000.00
0.00
Dec '07

46

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Yili Inner Mongolia Expansion Strategy

  • 1. Yili Inner Mongolia Group Team 5 - TierOne Consulting - MIB 2 Hangzhou Andreja Miletic| Bijan Nekoie | Kristin Hartlich | Maricarmen Gonzalez | Thabang Sekete
  • 2. TierOne Consulting Team Maricarmen Gonzalez Thabang Sekete Kristin Hartlich Andreja Miletic Bijan Nekoie 2
  • 3. Agenda Objective & Overview SCQ: Situations | Complications | Question SWOT Analysis Strategic Recommendations Short-term Strategy | Medium-term Strategy Future Considerations & Takeaways 3
  • 5. “Our goal is to become one of the Top 20 enterprises in the world dairy industry by 2010, and Top 10 by 2015.” Pan Gang (2007) Chairman and President Yili Inner Mongolia Group 5
  • 7. 70% of Farmers’ income in Inner Mongolia was related to Yili Favorable Climate Conditions “Green” Image of Inner Mongolia Yili Inner Mongolia Group Proximity of Resources 7
  • 8. Yili’s Product Mix Overview UHT milk 47 Milk beverage 22 Ice cream 13 Milk powder and other dairy products 12 Yogurts 2 Others % 4 0 10 20 30 40 50 8
  • 9. Timeline Small SOE’s joined in Inner Huhhot, Mongolia Yili reorganized into shareholder enterprise: major shareholder municipal government Yili receives “Best Taxpayer” award. RMB 1.3 Billion paid to Huhhot between 1999-2004 Industry dominated by Yili & Mengniu Yili ranked 3rd globally for production volume of over 30 million tons while accounting for US$12.3 billion in revenues Revenues grow 500% from 1992 + IPO in Shanghai – 96.9 Million RMB raised Mengniu is formed from former Yili employee Foundation of Inner Mongolia Mu Quan Yuan Xing Animal Top 20 of Dairy Industry by 2010 Top 10 of Dairy Industry by 2015 Feed UHT processing Organic product research begins 1993 1996 1999 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 … ...
  • 10. Situations | Complications | Question 10
  • 11. Situations China Expensive Considered luxury product Milk & Dairy Products Consumption 11 kg Lactose intolerance 18 kg Available only in big cities 25 kg Per Capita 2002 2004 2006 11
  • 13. Situations Protein energy sources local/imported Silage/substitutes Local/imported Dairy Industry Supply Chain Feed Mill Companies Individual farmers Private farms State-owned farms Milk stations Middleman Group of farmers Cooperatives Own farms Farming bases Processors Dairy Imports Consumers Distributors Retailers/Food Services Home Delivery Consumers
  • 14. Situations Coinvest in Farmland “Locking in” Source milk 10 % Exclusive Supply Contract 40 % Contract with Milk-stand Owners 50 %
  • 16. Complications China historically not a milk nation Culture Law Consumer’s Distrust in Chinese Milk Product Lactose intolerance Unfavorable Tax & Property Laws Government Regulations Dependence on farmers (no ownership of cows) Resources Manage Channel Relationships No self-sufficiency Competition New market entrants Imports of Milk (international conglomerates) Local conglomerates Core Values Quality and Safety Growth and Innovation Adaptation to International Standards 16
  • 17. SWOT Analysis: Strengths Technology and Safety Relationship Management Marketing Customer & Employees 17
  • 19. SWOT Analysis: Opportunities China is a growing market for the dairy industry • UHT milk • Baby milk powder Lock-in cooperative management structures Obtain new sources of “green” arable land Expanding business through M&A or JV 19
  • 20. SWOT Analysis: Threats Sociological Lactose intolerance Consumer preferences Technological Economical Imitation of technology and production processes Competition from both local players and international conglomerates Increased purchasing power in urban areas Environmental Political Sensitive weather and environment High dependence on government 20
  • 21. Question How can Yili increase its revenue to become the Top 20 in the dairy industry by 2010 and Top 10 by 2015, while maintaining its core values and competitive advantage? 21
  • 23. Linkages Core Values Capabilities Resources Social Corporate Responsibility Quality and Safety Innovation & Growth (“Going Green”) Research & Development Experience in Management Long-term relationships with Farmers R&D in UHT processing Marketing Program Current Contracts Government Influence Processing Plant Market Share & Brand Equity Expected Outcomes 23
  • 27. Short-term Strategy Vertical Integration Dividends & Stock Options Incentivization Program Less cash Farmer Lock-in Veterinarian Services Strengthening Relationships with Farmers Incentive options Discounts in Cow Feed Voting Rights in Consortium
  • 28. Results of Vertical Integration Core Values ✓ Capabilities ✓ Resources ✓ Expected Outcomes Yili’s supply is secured Long-term relationships with Farmers increases Minimizes the effects of urban migration 28
  • 31. Medium-term Strategy Enter Top 10 in Sales $ by 2015 Key Weakness: Competitive Disadvantage due to tax breaks for JV Net Income Figures: Yili vs Mengniu Effective Tax Rate %: Yili vs Mengniu 35.0% $1,800.00 30.0% $1,600.00 25.0% $1,400.00 Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd. $1,200.00 $1,000.00 $800.00 Mengniu Dairy Co. Ltd. $600.00 Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd. 20.0% 15.0% Mengniu Dairy Co. Ltd. 10.0% $400.00 5.0% $200.00 $- 0.0% Dec '05 Dec Dec Dec Dec '06 '07 [E] '08 [E] '09 [E] Dec '05 Dec '06 Dec '07 Dec '08 Dec '09 [E] [E] [E] 31
  • 32. JV Agreement Horizontal Integration JV with New Zealand Close proximity Asia Pacific Region Source of arable land and cows Strong perception of safety and high quality products Westland is known for its green processes and R&D Westland is a cooperative based company 32
  • 33. Westland JV 35% Tax break before 2012 International Brand Exposure Increase Brand Awareness & Equity in China Tax reduction reinvested into Marketing, Tech & Land Advantages Boost in Revenues by 50% & Resources by 25% Access to R&D Technology, Training, Land & Cows Import Westland products (cheaper cost) Milk Powder & Other Dairy Products Yoghurt & Others Streamlining Yili’s production Reducing Yili’s COGS by RMB 2.5bn 33
  • 34. JV Product Mix Yili Product Mix Yili & WestLand Product Mix UHT Milk (141M tons) 4% 12% 18% Ice Cream (39M tons) UHT Milk Yoghurt (600k tons) 47% Milk Beverage 47% 13% Milk Beverage (6.6M tons) 2% 13% Ice Cream Milk Powder & Soy (3.6M tons) 22% Milk Powder, Soy, Yoghurt & Others 22% Others (1.2M tons) 34
  • 35. Results of Horizontal Integration Core Values ✓ Capabilities ✓ Resources ✓ Expected Outcomes 35% Tax Break Focus on the UHT production and R&D COGS savings from imports Marketing program expansion 35
  • 37. Forecasted Timeline Tainted Milk Scandal  milk, infant formula, animal feed affected. 11 countries completely halt foreign, Chinese imports Top 20 of Dairy Industry by 2010 Top 10 of Dairy Industry by 2015 Yili sole-sponsors Beijing Olympics: 100 million RMB + seven additional plants. Tax benefits are lifted from foreign and domestic joint ventures, given grace period to transition to appropriate tax bracket $214 million to acquire Oeania Dairy, NZ Overseas R&D center in Wageningen University, Netherlands Strategic Partnership with Italian Sterilgarda Alimenti Spa, acquiring filtration technology  creating a new liquid milk product Global Ranking: 12 Agreement with Dairy Farmers of America 2004 2006 2007 2008 2012 2013 2014
  • 40. Takeaways “We have a responsibility to help the development of the industry and focus more on green production and brand development with environmental protection. We want to make sure all parties – consumers, farmers, and government work together.” Pan Gang (2007) Chairman and President Yili Inner Mongolia Group Top 20 in 2010 ✓ Top 10 in 2015 ✓ 40
  • 43. Buying Cows? − Imported nearly 250,000 live heifers. Spent more than $250 million on 100,000 foreign heifers. Live hog imports will reach 12,000 head. Net profit is 14 times larger than from growing 1 acre of corn. Breeding dairy cows are expected to recover four per cent to 75,000 head. + 43
  • 44. Cows: Yes or No? 44
  • 45. Milk Scandal 2002 EU bans imports from China Imports halted. China’s system to control residues of veterinary medicines in farmed animals to be too lax. Animal imports banned. 2004 Avian Flu Avian Flu + Foot in mouth disease causes EU to halt imports of poultry, pork, mutton, beef and dairy products from China. 2008 Chinese milk scandal Melamine incidence to appear to have a higher protein content. 11 countries stop all imports of Chinese dairy products completely. 2009 Leather milk Leather-hydrolyzed protein, boosts protein-content ratings of milk. 2013 Fonterra scandal Bacterial presence in unsterilized pipes used to move whey during the production process. Fonterra recalls all products 45
  • 46. JV Financial Implications 18% of Yili products now produced by Westland Estimated COGS reduction of RMB2.5bn Yili Income Statement 18,000.00 Yili COGS comparison JV expected effects Sales 16,000.00 14,000.00 Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) incl. D&A 14,000.00 12,000.00 Gross Income 12,000.00 10,000.00 SG&A Expense 16,000.00 10,000.00 8,000.00 8,000.00 EBIT (Operating Income) 6,000.00 Income Taxes 4,000.00 Net Income 2,000.00 0.00 Expon. (Sales) Dec '04 Dec '05 Dec '06 Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) incl. D&A 6,000.00 COGS incl D&A excl. 18% Production Cost 4,000.00 2,000.00 0.00 Dec '07 46