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March 2015
Disruption ahead
Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson
Contents
Smart machines and cognitive computing
•	Cognitive computing enters the enterprise
•	Our take: the disruptive power of cognitive computing
•	Here comes Watson
IBM’s billion-dollar baby
•	IBM investments in Watson
•	Sizing up Watson’s competition
•	What makes Watson unique
•	The Watson Ecosystem
Building blocks of the Watson architecture
•	Architecture overview
•	Watson Advisors
•	Watson Platform Components
•	Watson Platform Services
•	Watson Data Services
•	Watson Foundation Products
Let’s pick Watson’s brain
•	How Watson works
•	Problems suitable for Watson
•	Guidelines for an effective Watson knowledge database
•	Data sources usable by Watson
•	Problems not suitable for Watson
•	Our take: Watson’s limitations
Watson in action
•	Watson use cases
•	Case study: changing the world of health care
Realizing business value with Watson
•	Steps to a Watson solution
•	Deloitte is positioned to help
•	Deloitte’s cognitive computing offerings
•	Next steps
Let’s talk
Meet Watson
Cognitive computing is a rapidly evolving technology that holds the
potential to reshape how work gets done, how businesses grow, and how
markets and industries evolve.
While many technology players—large and small—are investing in
developing cognitive computing or artificial intelligence (AI) solutions, as of
March 2015, IBM is the only company marketing a cognitive computing
platform that’s specifically designed to support the development of a
broad range of enterprise solutions. Deloitte has joined IBM in investing
time, money, and people toward applying Watson technologies to help
solve our client’s business problems.
IBM Watson combines natural language processing, machine learning, and
real-time computing power to sift through massive amounts of
unstructured data—documents, emails, journals, social posts, and more—
to answer questions fast. Like humans, Watson learns from experience and
instruction.
Cognitive computing is still in its infancy. However, it’s not too soon to
imagine how your business and industry could be positively disrupted by
this new technology. Our goal for publishing this white paper is not to
provide definitive answers—the technology is changing too fast—but to
help you understand the fundamentals of Watson and cognitive
computing and to inspire you to begin planning how you can take
advantage of these new technologies.
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson2
Smart machines and cognitive computing
Cognitive computing enters the enterprise
Developing machines capable of exhibiting human-
like intelligence has been a goal of artificial
intelligence (AI) since its inception as a research
field in the mid-1950s. Natural language processing
and machine learning are two of the subfields of
AI. While AI has matured considerably over the
decades, advances in processing power and data
storage make using AI more feasible for solving
enterprise problems.
Today’s smart machines with AI capabilities are
already changing how humans work. Here are
three examples:
•	Machines that enhance human capabilities, such
as an employee using a wearable computing
device to answer almost any question.
•	Machines replace humans, such as a cognitive
virtual assistant used as an automated customer
service representative.
•	Humans and machines work side by side, such as
a warehouse employee working with a mobile
robot to move boxes.
Deloitte’s Tech Trends 2015 points out that the
first example--augmenting human capabilities and
knowledge--could hold more promise for business
by amplifying our intelligence for more effective
decision making.
Cognitive computing is a relatively new term, often
used as a synonym for artificial intelligence. Unlike
traditional computer systems, which are
programmed by people to perform certain tasks,
cognitive systems have the ability to learn through
their interactions with both data and humans. They
can even adapt and get smarter over time.
Cognitive computing is part of an even larger trend,
broadly referred to as “big data.” IBM estimated that
80% of data today is unstructured (i.e., in the form
of natural language), with the remaining 20% being
structured data (i.e., in the form of rows and
columns). Cognitive computing is primarily focused
on unstructured data.
As with any new technological development, early
adoption accompanied by smart strategies and
effective execution can position businesses for
competitive advantages that can last for years. At
Deloitte, we share Gartner’s view that “the risk of
investing too late in smart machines is likely greater
than the risk of investing too soon.”
“For Gartner clients, the risk
of investing too late in smart
machines is likely greater than
the risk of investing too soon.”
IBM Bets on New Watson Unit to Ignite
Smart Machine Era Growth
Gartner Inc., January 14, 2014
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson3
Cognitive computing is starting to emerge as a real opportunity and threat for many businesses. It is a
component of the broader trend around big data, but it is particularly important because cognitive
computing focuses on the realm of unstructured data, which is clearly dominant in volume over that of
structured data. If we embrace and harness the power of cognitive computing, we can help our
clients positively disrupt their businesses and industries. It may even hold transformative potential for
Deloitte’s businesses.
Deloitte’s Tech Trends 2014 specifically called out Cognitive Analytics™ as a potential business
disruptor. Deloitte coined the term “Cognitive Analytics” to describe the application of analytics and
cognitive computing technologies to enhance human decisions.
In November 2014, Deloitte University Press published the article, Demystifying artificial intelligence:
What business leaders need to know about cognitive technologies, clarifying the distinction
between the field of artificial intelligence (AI) and the technologies emanating from it, which we call
cognitive technologies. The article provides an overview of some of the key cognitive technologies.
And it argues that, driven by billions of dollars of investment in commercialization and ongoing
improvement in performance, cognitive technologies are destined to have a growing impact on
business over the next three to five years and beyond.
In January 2015, Cognitive Technologies: The real opportunities for business was published
based on an analysis of over 100 recent applications and pilots of cognitive technologies across 17
sectors. The report identifies the three main categories of application of cognitive technologies:
product, process, and insight. And it offers a framework organizations can use to guide decisions
about investing these categories in technologies.
In Deloitte’s Tech Trends 2015, Amplified Intelligence suggests that AI’s more promising application
is to augment workers’ capabilities, rather than replace them.
Our take: the disruptive power of cognitive computing
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson4
Here comes Watson
You’ve probably heard about Watson’s Jeopardy!
victory in 2011 against two human contestants.
Winning the TV game show required Watson to
demonstrate encyclopedic knowledge, to decipher
convoluted statements, and to deliver lightning-fast
responses. Watson’s performance was not flawless,
but it still won by a large margin. In addition to being
an ingenious PR stunt, the event was seen as a new
milestone in the development of AI—and possibly
even the beginning of a new era in computing.
IBM sees cognitive computing as the third major
technological wave that could transform our world:
•	Tabulating Systems Era (late 1800s to 1940s).
Mechanical devices were invented that helped
people organize data and make calculations.
•	Programmable Systems Era (1940s to 2010s).
Scientists have built electronic programmable
computers, which humans program to perform
specific tasks. This era has led to huge
technological leaps—space exploration, creation
of the Internet, and more.
•	Cognitive Systems Era (2010s). Cognitive systems
are fundamentally different from traditional
computers; cognitive systems learn from their
interactions with data and humans—essentially
continuously reprogramming themselves.
The changes that are coming over the next 10 to
20 years—building on IBM’s Watson technology—
could transform how we live, work, and learn.
Figure 1 illustrates IBM’s progress with Watson.
Figure 1
IBM has consistently improved Watson since its 2011 Jeopardy! debut
2880 cores
5+ days to retain Wikipedia,
general corpus
2-3 sentences input
Single-user system
Single power 750, 240% faster
<day to ingest
Medical corpus
20 pages of input
Thousands of size
Watson Engagement
Advisor and Watson
Developers Ecosystem
Watson cloud service
Few hours to ingest
Broad industry corpus
Dialogue chaining
Psycholinguistics
8 cognitive API services
Watson Discovery Advisor
and Watson Analytics
Size
Spreed
Corpus
Flexibility
Users
Size
Spreed
Corpus
Flexibility
Users
Size
Spreed
Corpus
Flexibility
Users
Jeopardy! Watson offerings Cognitive services
2011 2013 2014
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson5
IBM’s billion-dollar baby
IBM investments in Watson
In January 2014, IBM announced the formation of
the IBM Watson Group, headed by Senior Vice
President Michael Rhodin. IBM is committing
$1 billion to the initiative, creating a 2,000-person
business unit focused on building, marketing, and
delivering cognitive computing solutions.
Approximately one-third of IBM’s research
resources will be dedicated to Watson.
IBM is investing $100 million in a venture fund to
support the development of Watson-enabled apps
such as Welltok, which answers personalized health
questions, and the Fluid Expert Personal Shopper
(XPS), an e-commerce application that aims to
replicate the best of in-store experiences and assist
customers with purchases.
IBM is also committing resources and support to
universities to encourage students to develop
Watson-enabled apps and to prepare them to
become the next generation of cognitive
technologists. Ten leading technology institutions,
listed below, are currently participating:
•	Carnegie Mellon
University
•	University of
California, Berkeley
•	The Ohio State
University
•	University of Michigan
•	Rensselaer Polytechnic
Institute
•	The University of Texas
at Austin
•	New York University
•	Northwestern
University
•	Stanford University
•	University of Toronto
In the fall of 2014, these universities introduced
cognitive computing courses using a cloud-based
version of Watson. Additional universities will join the
initiative in 2015. It’s interesting to note that all of the
currently participating universities, except Rensselaer,
are part of Deloitte’s own university relations program.
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson6
As of March 2015, IBM is the only company
marketing a cognitive computing platform that’s
specifically designed to support the development
of a broad range of enterprise solutions.
Sizing up Watson’s competition
It’s difficult to draw strict boundaries around what
represents Watson’s competition. For this comparison,
we’ve focused on products on the market that
possess the defining elements of cognitive computing:
natural language processing (NLP), humanlike
understanding learning capabilities, real-time
processing, and artificial intelligence.
Many large technology players are investing in
cognitive computing or AI. Digital personal
assistants, such as the Siri® voice recognition
software by Apple Inc., Google Now, and
Microsoft’s Cortana respond to natural language
requests and understand context. Apple has
extended these capabilities to integrate Siri voice
recognition with the Apple CarPlay™ software
system. Google has purchased DeepMind, which
uses AI for e-commerce and games. In 2014,
Microsoft announced the addition of Delve to its
Office 365 family. Delve proactively identifies
relevant enterprise content based on how the user
interacts with others through Microsoft Office
products and documents.
There are also a growing number of cognitive
computing niche players that offer applications
ranging from sentiment analysis to conversion of
graphs into words. However, none of these rivals are
prone to making Watson obsolete. As of March
2015, IBM is the only company marketing a
cognitive computing platform that’s specifically
designed to support the development of a broad
range of enterprise solutions. IBM Watson combines:
•	Deep cognitive computing capabilities.
Watson uses natural language processing,
machine learning, and evidence-based
hypotheses and scoring.
•	Enabling hardware. Watson’s processing
power and storage capabilities deliver
cognitive functionality in real time.
•	Support community. IBM is building the Watson
Partners Program around its Watson offering—
including app developers, content providers, and
service providers.
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson7
Cognitive computing offerings by niche players
To learn more about niche players, read Gartner’s reports, “Cool Vendors in Smart Machines, 2014” and “Predicts 2015: Sourcing Strategies Shift From ‘Built to
Last’ to ‘Built to Adapt’”.
Company Summary of cognitive functions Use cases
Luminoso
Luminoso Insight Engine: Uses NLP to identify patterns in text and perform
sentiment analysis
Analyze customer feedback to proposed product design changes; review how
consumers feel about food items or grocery store experience
AlchemyAPI
AlchemyAPI: Uses NLP to process textual information, applies deep learning
techniques to image recognition, and performs sentiment analysis
Assist claims management (insurance and warranty), technical support, product
returns (complaint management), brand and product intelligence, retention
management, and complex question answering
Digital Reasoning
Synthesys: Uses NLP and machine learning to analyze all formats of data to
perform “semantic relationship analysis” in order “to mitigate risk or expand an
opportunity”
Scan up to billions of communications from thousands of traders to spot
language patterns and identify potentially fraudulent activity
Highspot Highspot: Uses machine-learning techniques to perform enterprise search
Assist users in finding content within the enterprise and within cloud-based
applications
Lumiata
Lumiata: Applies “graph analysis” to patient data but does not use cognitive
techniques
Enable medical professional to interrogate the underlying “clinical model of
[the] patient”
Sentient
Technologies
Sentient: Millions of AI processing nodes enables powerful predictive modeling
for lending institutions
Helps improve loan origination decisions to achieve breakthrough outcomes
Enterra Cognitive Reasoning Platform: Uses NLP, AI, and big data analytic techniques Used in supply chain to reduce waste, etc., and assist in medical research1
IPsoft Amelia: NLP (understands 20 languages), machine learning, and AI
Assist with service desk support, help field engineers troubleshoot, and
support procurement2
Next IT Alme: Multilingual NLP and AI Assists with customer service
1 http://www.enterrasolutions.com/big-data/analytics
2 http://www.ipsoft.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Amelia_Brochure.pdf
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson8
What makes Watson unique
In technical terms, IBM Watson is an advanced
open-domain question answering (QA) system with
deep natural language processing (NLP) capabilities.
At this point, the Watson Software as a Service (SaaS)
platform is most effectively used to sift through
massive amounts of text—documents, emails, social
posts, and more—to answer questions in real time.
Watson accepts questions posed by the user in
natural language and provides the user with a
response (or a set of responses) by generating and
evaluating various hypotheses around different
interpretations of the question and possible answers
to it. Unlike keyword-based search engines, which
simply retrieve relevant documents, Watson gleans
context from the question to provide the user with
precise and relevant answers, along with confidence
ratings and supporting evidence.
Its learning capabilities allow Watson to adapt and
improve hypothesis generation and evaluation
processes over time through interactions with
users. Developers and other users can improve the
accuracy of responses by “training” Watson.
IBM is also continuing to expand Watson’s
capabilities to incorporate visualization, reasoning,
ability to relate to users, and deeper exploration to
gain a broader understanding of the information
content. Watson recently launched a new platform
service that has the ability to ingest and interpret
still and video images, which is another significant
type of unstructured data. (See Figure 2.)
Explores
Relates
Perceives
Visualizes
Reasons
Generates
and evaluates
hypotheses
Understands
natural language
Adapts
and learns
Figure 2
Watson will continue to evolve
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson9
The Watson Ecosystem
Today, the Watson technology is commercialized as
a Software as a Service (SaaS) platform. However,
Watson has also created a separate business
model—The Watson Ecosystem—which serves as a
marketplace where Watson-related products and
services can be sold, with IBM likely taking a share
of the revenue generated.
 
The Watson Partners Program is a distinctive
element of the Watson Ecosystem targeted on
partnering with third-party developers. The Watson
Ecosystem works with this global community to
develop Watson apps, facilitate access to content,
and provide specialized skills to assist in app
development. (See Figure 3.)
 
IBM has approximately 150 ecosystem partners
signed up to develop “Powered by Watson”
cognitive solutions. When approved to join the
partner program, members have access to the
following:
•	Watson Developer Cloud. Provides application
tools, methodologies, software developer kits
(SDK), and application programming interfaces
(APIs) needed to build cognitive applications. All
released APIs are available to developers. (See
page 16.)
•	Watson Content Store. Provides developers
access to content partners who sell their data
or provide it for free.
•	Watson Talent Hub. Allows developers to find
certified talent partners to fill skill gaps such as
linguistics, natural language processing, machine
learning, user experience design, and analytics.
Deloitte is one of the first global systems integrators
to become a member of the Watson Partner
Program. Under this program, our teams will have
access to a Watson instance, including Watson
Experience Manager, for experimentation and
learning. We have teams who have already begun
exploring the possibility of creating cognitive
applications through the Watson Developer Cloud.
As Watson’s technologies continue to mature,
Deloitte intends to join the Watson Talent Hub as
both a systems integrator and an advisor.
Watson Talent Hub bridges App
Partners resource gaps by providing
a marketplace for critical cognitive,
big data, UI, and mobility skills.
Watson Developer Cloud delivers the
tools, methodologies, software developer
kits, and API(s) for App Partners to build the
next generation of cognitive applications.
Watson Content Store provides
sources of free and fee-based content,
including public, subscribed, and
enterprise content.
Watson Developer Cloud
Watson
Platform
& Tools
Enhance User
Experience
App Partner
Content
Provider/PartnerWatson
Content
Store
Talent Partner
Figure 3
IBM Watson Ecosystem
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson10
Architecture overview
Figure 4, on the following page, illustrates the five
types of technologies that augment and support
Watson’s cognitive capabilities:
•	Watson Advisors. These IBM-designed solutions
target a multi-industry or industry-specific task.
Examples include answering customer or agent
questions (Engagement Advisor), conducting
document research (Discovery Advisor), or
processing and advising on compliance requests
(Policy Advisor). Industry-specific offerings include
Watson for Oncology, Watson for Wealth
Management, and Chef Advisor. Other one-of-a-
kind advisor solutions are likely to be developed
in the future.
•	Watson Platform Components. Watson
Explorer, now available, and Watson Analytics,
currently in beta, expand Watson’s capabilities to
more effectively mine structured data, including
the integration of existing databases. IBM intends
to move toward a hybrid environment, which
leverages insights from both unstructured and
structured data—all calibrated to the specific
business situation.
•	Watson Platform Services. Watson was
introduced with only the Question Answer
application program interface (API). One year
later, Watson now has a total of 13 APIs and
SDKs, with more coming soon and throughout
the year. (See page 16.)
•	Watson Data Services. In October 2014, the
Watson Curator was introduced to help clients
efficiently assess and gather relevant information
across multiple sources. This service helps subject
matter experts create higher-quality information
collections.
•	Watson Foundations. IBM is branding many
of its existing information management and
analytics software products under the Watson
umbrella as a bridge to cognitive computing.
The following pages provide an overview of each of
these major architectural components.
Building blocks of the Watson architecture
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson11
Specialties
IBM Watson Platform Services
IBM Watson Data Services
IBM Watson Industries
IBM Watson Advisors IBM Watson Platform Components
IBM Watson Foundations
Health care Financial Svc. Public Sector X-Industry
Engagement Discovery Policy
Partner Sol.Oncology Wealth Cooking
Watson Analytics
Watson Explorer
Watson Curator
Data lake: structured and unstructured data (manuals, procedures, status
reports, procedure manuals, policy statements, blogs, forums, wikis)
Tooling
Assemble
Ingest
Train
Deploy
Admin
Model
Annotators
Content
Concept
Insights
Personality
Insights
Speech to
Text
Text to
Speech
Tradeoff
Analytics
Visual
Recognition
Visual
Rendering
Concept
Expansion
Language
Identification
Machine
Translation
Message
Resonance
Question
and Answer
Relationship
Extraction
A
Figure 4
Building blocks of the Watson architecture
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson12
Watson Advisors
Watson is developing three solutions that apply cognitive computing capabilities
to address multi-industry tasks: Engagement Advisor, Discovery Advisor, and
Policy Advisor. In 2015, Watson is expected to launch three Industry Advisors:
Watson for Oncology, Watson for Wealth Management, and the Chef Advisor.
As of March 2015, only the Engagement and Discovery Advisors are available for
app development. The other Advisors are available through IBM’s Beta Program;
they are expected to be released for commercial use at the end of 2015.
IBM Watson
Engagement Advisor
Now available for app
development; version 2.0
expected in 2015
The Engagement Advisor helps businesses deliver more personalized interactions with their customers. Customers can
ask questions in plain English, such as through customer self-service or an agent, and receive tailored answers along
with supporting evidence. For example, customers may ask: How do I apply for a savings account? What are my
benefits? Which is the best product based on my requirements?
In 2015, Engagement Advisor 2.0 will be integrated with Cognea, a new IBM acquisition. This integration will expand
the Engagement Advisor’s capabilities by adding virtual assistants with distinct “personalities” that can communicate
with people through conversation.
IBM Watson Discovery Advisor
Now available for app
development
The Discovery Advisor acts as a research assistant to clients engaged in R&D activities, such as the pharmaceutical industry.
It allows the researchers to focus on the most relevant information and quickly connect pieces of supporting evidence
spread over millions of documents. For example, researchers can ask: Which cancer therapies inhibit the FLT3 mutation?
IBM Watson Policy Advisor
Now in beta; commercial release
expected late 2015
The Policy Advisor assists clients with compliance or policy-related decisions. For example, the advisor can automatically
process applications, such as those filed for Social Security benefits, against related policies. For example, clients can
ask: Can this procedure be approved based on NY state guidelines?
Industry-specific Advisors
Now in beta; commercial release
expected late 2015
•	Watson for Oncology. Searches medical journals, texts, guidelines, and leading practices to help physicians make
more informed treatment decisions for cancer patients.
•	Watson for Wealth Management. Captures the investment knowledge of leading wealth management managers
and other resources to help individuals meet their financial goals.
•	Chef Watson. Sifts through quintillions of possible combinations of ingredients, flavors, and individual preferences
to help cooks discover new recipes.
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson13
Watson Platform Components
IBM Watson Analytics
Watson Analytics supports analysis and visualization
of structured data with a natural language interface.
Its interactive, mobile-compatible dashboard allows
users to ask questions about their data in natural
language. This allows anyone to independently
discover patterns or insights hidden in their data to
inform better decisions. For example, this platform
can provide easy access to information that can
support customized sales presentations or help
financial advisors select appropriate investments for
their clients. (See Figure 5.)
Figure 5
IBM Watson Analytics
1
Text to provide an overview of what’s being shown in the visualization will go here.
Easier to
Understand
More
Predictive
Combination Predictive Model
Single
Key Drivers
Combined
Key Drivers
Predictive Model
Sales 1
1C
43 5
1 2 2
2
1
3
4
5
6
7
8
2
Which fields influence Sales?
What else is interesting about this field?
Consumer
Customer Satisfaction is strongly
associated with Years of
Experience.
Communication Scores is strongly
associated with Department.
Communication Scores is strongly
associated with Department.
Consumer
A combination of fields can
together predict the values of
Sales.
Interaction between Years of
Sales Exper.. And Number of
Clients Visits is a key driver.
Interaction between Years of
Sales Exper.. And Number of
Clients Visits is a key driver.
Technical Training is a key
driver of Average Sales.
Technical Training is a key
driver of Average Sales.
Technical Training is a key
driver of Average Sales.
Explore Sales 2
BOARDS RETAIL PERFORMANCE
2
Analysis Detail
146 Input Fields were evaluated.
60 Input Fields were potentially useful.
Average Sales
5 strong predictor and 3 moderate
predictors were found.
Top Field Associations
12 statistically significant associations
were found between fields.
2
View
Edit
AddSales
Won or Lost
Target : 2 targets.
Export Pin
1
Text to provide an overview of what’s being shown in the visualization will go here.
Easier to
Understand
More
Predictive
Combination Predictive Model
Single
Key Drivers
Combined
Key Drivers
Predictive Model
Sales 1
2
1
3
4
5
6
7
8
2
Explore Sales 2
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson14
IBM Watson Explorer
Currently available; previously called
“IBM InfoSphere Data Explorer”
Watson Explorer combines content and data from
many different systems throughout the enterprise
and presents them to users in a single view,
dramatically reducing the amount of time users
spend looking for information.
Explorer can search structured and unstructured
data pulled from a wide range of sources—digital
file systems, email, logs, social networks, wikis,
CRM, and more—to deliver data, analytics, and
cognitive insights customized for the user’s role,
context, and current activities. It also incorporates
Watson’s cognitive question-and-answer
exploration capabilities on top of the 360-degree
view to provide users quick context to their
questions and activities.
Explore Analyze Interpret
Figure 6
Watson Explorer platform
Mobile Security Collaboration Query
Routing
3. Management and application development
2. Indexing, search, and analytics
1. Connectivity
Indexing
DBMS Cloud
Search Text Analytics Content Analytics
Application
Builder
Studio Content
Miner
Solution
Gallery
SCMEmailFile
Systems
ExternalCRMSocialSupportCMS Big DataWikis
12
34
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson15
Watson Platform Services
Question Answer
Uses natural language processing to understand
user questions and provide ranked answers
supported by evidence and confidence levels.
Example: Helps call center representatives find quick answers
to customer questions to improve customer satisfaction.
User Modeling
Uses linguistic analytics to construct a personality
profile of an individual by analyzing his or her social
media activities and other online text.
Example: Helps marketers target offers by analyzing the
customer’s online activity to understand shopping behaviors.
Message Resonance
Analyzes message content and scores how it is likely to
be received by a target audience. Also suggests words
that are highly likely to receive a desired response.
Example: Enables organizations to mitigate negative press during
a crisis or engage consumers during a new product launch.
Machine Translation
Translates text between languages: English,
Spanish, Brazilian Portuguese, French, and Arabic.
Example: Customer service representatives for global
companies can quickly search a database for answers that
are translated into their native language.
Relationship Extraction
Analyzes text to find relationships between
sentence components (nouns, verbs, subjects, etc.)
Example: Provides related information, such as the city’s
best restaurants, when a user asks “What can I do tonight in
London?”
Language Identification
Identifies the language in which text is written.
Example: Determines a travel app user’s language to
provide quick recommendations.
Visualization Rendering
Allows users to easily generate customized charts
and graphs from their data.
Example: Users can quickly transform answers to a business
question into an intuitive dashboard or visual report in seconds.
Concept Expansion
Maps euphemisms or colloquial terms to more
commonly understood phrases.
Example: Interprets phrases so that they can be analyzed;“The
Big Apple” would be interpreted as “New York City.”
Concept Insights (new)
Explores information based on the concepts behind
your input, rather than limiting investigation to
findings based on traditional keyword searches.
Example: Can be used to improve search queries with
results that are more conceptually related.
Speech to Text (new)
Transcribes the human voice into written word,
currently in English only.
Example: Enables voice control over apps and devices.
Text to Speech (new)
Understands natural language to generate
synthesized audio output with appropriate cadence
and intonations, currently in English and Spanish.
Example: Assists vision impaired people or enable audio
reading of texts and emails to drivers.
Visual Recognition (new)
Analyzes the visual content of images and video
frames to understand the content directly without
the need for a textual description.
Example: Could be used to organize and ingest large
collections of digital images or understand consumer
shopping preferences based on image queries.
Tradeoff Analytics (new)
Helps users make better choices to best meet
multiple conflicting objectives, by finding optimal
alternatives across multiple criteria.
Example: Could be used to help customers make buying
decisions by analyzing the pros and cons of products based
on the customer’s personal needs and requirements.
Personality Insights (new)
Enables deeper understanding of people’s
personality characteristics, needs, and values to
help engage users on their own terms.
Example: Can analyze text from a customer’s twitter stream
to help a travel agency decide between leading with a
budget or luxury trip offer.
Additional Watson APIs
The following APIs are expected to be released in
2015 or beyond: Semantic Expansion, Policy
Knowledge, Policy Evaluation, Dialogue, Sentiment
Extraction, Sentiment Analysis, Industry
Accelerators, Question Generation, Medical
Information Extraction, Ontology Creation.
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson16
Watson Data Services
Watson Curator
Watson Curator helps users assess and gather relevant
text documents across multiple sources using a guided
and intuitive review process. It helps subject matter
experts create higher-quality information collections
much quicker and automatically manages superseded
and contested information. The Watson Curator is
hosted as a Software as a Service (SaaS) on SoftLayer,
an IBM company.
Watson Foundations
Watson Foundations Products
IBM’s preexisting products, in the IBM Analytics
Unit, and also included in the Watson brand
Data and information management
Includes Information Server; MDM Server;
Federation Server; Optim; Guardium; DB2 with BLU;
IMS; Informix; Industry Models; PureData;
BigInsights; Streams; Sensemaking; FileNet/ECM
family of products
Business and advanced analytics
Includes Cognos BI, TM1; SPSS Statistics, Modeler,
Analytic Catalyst, and Data Collection; Decision
Manager; Content Analytics
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson17
Let’s pick Watson’s brain
How Watson works
According to Watson’s developers, advanced
hypothesis generation and scoring combined with
deep natural language processing and machine-
learning capabilities are what make Watson unique.
Here’s how it works:
•	When presented with a question, Watson
analyzes the question to determine what type of
information is needed (such as a person’s name
or geographical location) as well as various
possible interpretations of the question
(hypotheses) and the evidence supporting them.
•	Watson searches across its knowledge repository
for possible answers to the question and various
interpretations. It forms many hypotheses around
the answer—possibly hundreds or even
thousands—and gathers evidence supporting
them.
•	Watson then performs deep comparisons
between the language of the question and the
response using reasoning algorithms to score the
hypotheses it generated.
•	Using its advanced analytics algorithms, Watson
aggregates the individual comparison scores to
derive a final confidence score to each possible
answer and ranks them accordingly, providing
the user with the highest-rated answers. This
final aggregation is domain (industry) specific and
is tuned by examining the relevance of each
comparison algorithm.
•	Watson’s confidence scoring can improve over
time through interactions with the users, who
“train” the system.
As Figure 7 shows, Watson’s parallel processing
capabilities allow it to evaluate thousands of
hypotheses and tens of thousands of pieces of
evidence in response to a single inquiry and
consolidate the results—all in almost real time.
Synthesis
Question
100s of
possible answers
Multiple
interpretations
1,000s of pieces
of evidence
Question and
topic analysis
Question
decomposition
Hypothesis
generation
Hypothesis
generation
Hypothesis and
evidence scoring
Hypothesis and
evidence scoring
Final confidence
merging and
ranking
Response and
confidence
100,000s of scores from many
deep analysis algorithms
Balance and combine
Figure 7
How Watson processes a question
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson18
Problems suitable for Watson
According to IBM, 90 percent of the world’s data
was generated just in the past two years, and 80
percent of the data is in an unstructured format—
emails, social posts, articles, and more, including
Word, HTML, or PDF documents. In today’s world
of big data, we have a growing need to manage
content that spans the “four V’s”: huge data size
(volume), high-speed data accumulation (velocity),
great diversity of data formats and sources (variety),
and increasing need of data assurance (veracity).
(See Figure 8.)
IBM Watson was designed to help businesses mine
massive amounts of data to solve certain types of
business problems. A good candidate for Watson
has one or more of these characteristics:
•	Requires posing questions in natural
language. People who need fast answers to
questions they pose in natural language can
benefit from Watson. Typical examples in retail
include consumers looking for online product
recommendations or, in financial services,
investors researching financial instruments.
Watson also can provide decision support in
areas such as compliance, customer service, and
enterprise knowledge management.
•	Requires context-based search. Watson can
help researchers quickly locate relevant
information within huge amounts of text from
various sources. For example, Watson can help
health care researchers by precisely sifting
relevant information from thousands of journals,
genomic information databases, and patient
records. One difference between Watson and
Google is that Google is primarily driven by
keyword search, while Watson can understand
the context—the semantic relations among the
keywords—to retrieve far more precise results.
•	Requires inference chaining. Watson can support
decisions that require inference chaining (A infers B,
B infers C, and so on). Analysts or researchers can
build an inference graph based on an inference
chain to observe a broad spectrum of downstream
considerations. Convergence in the inference graph
with high confidence scores may reveal hidden
insights and more important inferences.
•	Allows active learning and decision support.
Watson is not a plug-and-play solution; the system
must be trained to identify appropriate answers.
Watson is built on active learning technologies
that can adapt to changes in data and user
requirements. By routinely interacting with
subject-matter experts, Watson can be trained or
retrained based on feedback from users. In this
way, Watson gets smarter over time as a result of
this feedback loop, and users can gain more
accurate results from Watson.
Figure 8
What makes a good Watson use case?
Volume Velocity Variety Veracity
•	Needs ability to sift
through large amounts
of data, such as all
Wikipedia content
•	Transforms the user
experience with
contextual relevance
and active dialogue
•	Needs responses to be
available in real time or
near real time
•	Needs deep natural
language processing
•	Leverages different
sources of unstructured
information
•	Requires ability to load
different file formats
(PDF,HTML, etc.)
•	Leverages evidence-
based insights with
weighted confidence
•	Benefits from a
continuous learning
capability
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson19
A problem suitable for Watson is one that requires
searching through huge volumes of text and
images, which have been added to the Watson
knowledge base, called the “corpus.” Each corpus
is virtually partitioned into secure hosting
environments, separating one client’s data from
another. An effective corpus must be:
•	Comprehensive. The corpus must contain the
information required to formulate correct answers.
•	Easily retrievable. Content must be ingested
into Watson so that correct segments of
information can be quickly located.
•	Physically available. Content can come from a
variety of sources, but it must be legally available
(licensed) and ingested by Watson.
•	Clean. Content must be cleansed and curated for
Watson to be effective.
•	Secure and private. Content should not include
individual user information, such as financial
transaction information or identifiable patient
records. Typically, this type of data is best
handled on traditional customer or provider
platforms designed to address security and
privacy concerns.
As of March 2015, only text documents can be
added to the Watson corpus for cognitive
computing. Watson currently has trouble ingesting
and interpreting certain types of PDF documents,
but IBM is working to resolve this issue.
Guidelines for an effective Watson knowledge database
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson20
Data sources usable by Watson
The following types of data sources are not directly
usable by Watson’s cognitive computing functions
at this time:
•	Spreadsheets and nested tabular data
•	Report data, such as call data records, sensor
logs, meter data
However, IBM offers a vast array of Business
Analytics and Information Management
technologies that effectively process structured
data, including Watson Analytics and Watson
Foundation Products. We expect to see the
unstructured and structured aspects of Watson to
become more compatible and synergistic over time.
Figure 9
Data sources usable by Watson as of March 2015
Client Content Public Content Third-Party Content
Customer
Question Sets
Unstructured Data
•	Product literature
•	Manuals/
Specifications
•	Guidelines
•	Procedures/Policies
•	Journals
•	Best practices
•	FAQs
•	Certification tests
•	Brochures
•	Call logs
•	Images
Structured Data
•	Client profiles
•	Product/Part lists
•	Company directory
Unstructured Data
•	Wikipedia
•	Industry definitions
•	Open source content
•	Regulatory guidelines
•	Images
Structured Data
•	Type systems
Unstructured Data
•	Subject matter
domain content
•	News feeds
•	Market data
•	Business reports
•	Industry intelligence
•	Risk analysis
assessments
•	Industry definitions
•	Images
Structured Data
•	Taxonomy/ Ontology
•	Type systems
•	Market data
Unstructured Data
•	Sets of questions
with known answers
relating to key
concepts
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson21
Problems not suitable for Watson
Watson is not a silver bullet capable of answering
every question. For example, it is not able to
execute complex numeric calculations, summarize
information, or conduct inductive reasoning. In
general, the following problems are not appropriate
for Watson:
•	Complex mathematical computation. Watson
can perform only very simple number calculations
and comparisons. For example, it would know that
“20 years before 1988” has the same meaning as
“in 1968.” However, Watson should not be
expected to perform complex numeric calculations
like bill payment analysis and complex logic
reasoning like gaming. Watson cannot answer
questions such as “What is the standard deviation
of today’s hourly temperatures?” unless the value
has been calculated by someone and added to
Watson’s corpus.
•	Predictive analysis. Watson Advisors cannot
perform predictive analysis or predict the future,
because it is designed to extract existing
knowledge instead of creating new knowledge. It
can only find candidate answers by comparing
huge amounts of data and considering their
statistical strength. For example, users should not
expect Watson to answer such questions as
“What will be the stock price of XYZ Company
tomorrow?” or “When will the next earthquake
occur in Los Angeles?” However, Watson
Analytics leverages IBM SPSS to enable predictive
analytics using very sophisticated models and
algorithms; these predictive analytics capabilities
do not incorporate Watson’s cognitive computing
capabilities, NLP, hypothesis generation, and
adaptive learning capabilities at this time.
•	Inductive reasoning. Watson is not able to make
a judgment or assimilation from various sources. It
can provide supporting information for users to
make better decisions, but Watson itself cannot
replace users in making judgments or decisions.
For example, Watson is not good at answering
“What is the best insurance policy for me?”
because the answer requires evaluating
information about the user and various insurance
plans. In addition, Watson cannot yet combine
information from various documents or create an
answer that is a deduction from multiple passages
it finds, such as providing a critical summary of an
article that has been placed in its corpus.
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson22
Our take: Watson’s limitations as of March 2015
IBM is still in the early days of developing and
deploying cognitive computing capabilities, but we
expect them to evolve rapidly, thanks to IBM’s
strong commitment supported by a $1 billion
investment. By teaming with IBM early in the
Watson development cycle, Deloitte should be well
positioned to help shape Watson-related offerings
to our clients’ business needs.
Consider the following potential limitations as you
explore how Watson may help your organization.
•	Watson mainly searches text. Watson does a
good job of searching massive amounts of
unstructured data, such as text in journals,
emails, and social posts, including Word, HTML,
and some PDF documents. Traditional analytics
tools are better suited for structured and semi-
structured data. However, a new platform service,
Visual Recognition, analyzes visual content of
images and video frames to understand the
content without a text description.
•	Watson understands only English. Currently all
materials added to the corpus must be in English,
and at this time, questions should be asked in
English. Watson is trained to understand nuance
and correlation, and even sarcasm; adding
additional languages will be a challenge.
However, IBM has announced a partnership with
CaixaBank to develop Watson in Spanish, a
partnership with SoftBank to develop Watson in
Japanese, as well as plans to accelerate their own
efforts to develop Watson in Brazilian
Portuguese. In addition, Watson API services,
such as Machine Translation, can currently
translate text between languages: English,
Spanish, Brazilian Portuguese, French, and Arabic.
We don’t expect today’s language capabilities to
be a significant limitation, since most
international business is conducted in English.
•	Some Watson technologies may not be
integrated. Some of the technologies added to
the Watson “brand” may not be fully integrated
with Watson’s cognitive capabilities. We expect
that this will be resolved over time.
•	Only Watson Engagement Advisor and
Watson Discovery Advisor have been
released. So far, we have seen new use cases
based on only the Engagement and Discovery
Advisors. IBM expects to release Watson Policy
Advisor later in 2015, followed by the Industry
Advisors.
•	App development requires IBM involvement.
Developers must rely on IBM to help resolve
back-end problems and train the system. Watson
Lab Services (similar to other IBM Software Brand
lab services) typically will provide deep subject
matter expertise. Deloitte regularly subcontracts
with IBM lab services for this type of assistance.
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson23
Watson use cases
IBM Watson is designed to support business uses
across a broad range of industries and functional
areas. IBM is initially focused on developing
solutions in areas such as customer engagement,
health care, finance, retail, and travel/hospitality. A
few use cases are highlighted below, and more are
accessible on the IBM Watson portal on Deloitte
Resources.
Watson explores the great outdoors
IBM collaborated with Fluid, Inc., and The North
Face to build the Fluid Expert Personal Shopper
(XPS), a Watson-enabled shopping tool. XPS
provides a personalized shopping experience that
replicates a conversation a customer may have with
a salesperson at a brick-and-mortar store. For
example, if a customer asks about camping gear for
a winter hiking trip to Patagonia, XPS would
answer the question by pulling information from
a wide variety of sources, such as product
descriptions, customer loyalty information, sales
histories, customer reviews, outdoors blogs, and
travel magazines.
Watson goes to medical school
The IBM Watson team has collaborated with highly
regarded health care providers and a health
insurance company to help medical professionals
diagnose illnesses and identify treatment options.
Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center worked
with IBM to develop a Watson-enabled diagnosis
tool to provide physicians with evidence-based
diagnosis and treatment suggestions for cancer
patients. The tool includes supporting evidence and
the data source with every suggestion to aid the
doctor’s decision-making process. The tool points
out areas where more information is needed and
updates suggestions as new data is added. The
solution’s corpus combines patient data with
massive volumes of medical literature, which will be
enhanced as new oncology techniques, treatments,
and evidence are added to the corpus.
Watson as the doctor’s advisor
View this video to see how a doctor may interact with
Watson to better inform diagnosis and treatment
decisions. While Watson may not currently have all the
capabilities demonstrated, IBM is actively pursuing
research, acquisitions, and partnerships to enhance
Watson. For example, IBM’s acquisition of Cognea in May
2014 will likely accelerate development of Watson’s voice
recognition capabilities.
Short version
(2 minutes)
Full version
(8 minutes)
Watson in action
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson24
Figure 10
Selected IBM Watson case studies
Company
Solution Area
Product
Description Data Sources
The North Face and Fluid, Inc.
Customer engagement
Fluid’s Expert Personal Shopper
(XPS)
Provides a highly personalized shopping
experience
Product information, customer loyalty
data, sales histories, user reviews, blogs,
and relevant magazines, publications, and
travel documents
Memorial Sloan Kettering
Cancer Center
Health insurance
Utilization Management Advisor
Provides benefit approval suggestions to
nursing staff based on recommended
treatments for patients
Patient data, historical use cases, medical
literature, clinical guidelines, and best
practices
Memorial Sloan Kettering
Cancer Center
Health care diagnostic tool
MSK Care System
Provides physicians with evidence-based
diagnosis and treatment suggestions for
cancer patients
Patient data, medical literature, journal
articles, physicians’ notes, and National
Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN)
guidelines and best practices
Welltok
Health care
CaféWell Concierge
Provides patients with highly personalized
suggestions for improving health
Location-based data; user activities such
as sleeping, exercising, and eating;
preventive service benefits; and health-
and wellness-related data
MD Anderson Cancer Center
Health care
Oncology Expert Advisor
Fine-tunes treatment plans by providing
alerts to adverse events and suggesting
evidence-based treatment and
management options for patients
Patient profile, institutional clinician and
research knowledge, and medical
literature guidelines
Genesys
Contact Center Solutions
and Customer
Experience Provider
Agent Advisor and Virtual Agent
Helps customer service agents provide
fast, data-driven answers. Can also be
used directly by customers via mobile
device, chat session, or online interaction
Product information, user reviews,
troubleshooting guidelines and best
practices, and customer profile
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson25
Case study: changing the world of health care
Note: This case study was originally published in
Deloitte’s Tech Trends 2014
In 2011, WellPoint, one of the nation’s largest
health benefits companies, set out to design a
world-class, integrated health care ecosystem that
would link data on physical, financial, worksite,
behavioral, and community health. By establishing
a singular platform, WellPoint could enhance its
ability to collaborate, share information, automate
processes, and manage analytics. To do this,
WellPoint needed an advanced solution and
therefore teamed with IBM to use the capabilities
of Watson—IBM’s cognitive computing system.
“We decided to integrate our health care ecosystem
to help our care management associates administer
member benefits, while providing a seamless member
experience and working to reduce costs,” said Gail
Borgatti Croall, SVP of Care Management at WellPoint.
Today, WellPoint uses cognitive analytics as a tool
for utilization management, specifically, in reviewing
pre-authorization treatment requests—decisions
that require knowledge of medical science, patient
history, and the prescribing doctor’s rationale,
among other factors. With its ability to read
free-form textual information, Watson can
synthesize huge amounts of data and create
hypotheses on how to respond to case requests.
In fact, WellPoint already has “taught” its cognitive
engine to recognize medical policies and guidelines
representing 54 percent of outpatient requests.
“It took us about a year to train our solution on our
business, and the more we taught the faster the
Watson cognitive platform learned,” said Croall.
“Now it’s familiar with a huge volume of clinical
information and professional literature.”
For each case reviewed, the system provides nurses
with a recommendation and an overall confidence
and accuracy rating for that recommendation. In
some outpatient cases, the system already can
auto-approve requests, reducing the timeframe for
patient treatment recommendations from 72 hours
to near real-time. Furthermore, nurses have
experienced a 20 percent improvement in efficiency
in specific workflows due to the one-stop-shop
nature of the integrated platform.
WellPoint’s use of cognitive analytics for utilization
management represents the tip of the iceberg.
“We’d like to see how our system can support a
more holistic, longitudinal patient record—for
example, integrating electronic medical record
(EMR) data with claims, lab, and pharmacy data,”
said Croall. “We’ve barely scratched the surface
with our cognitive analytics capabilities. It truly will
change the way we perform utilization
management and case management services.”
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson26
2
1
3
4
5
6
Figure 11
Steps to realizing value with Watson cognitive computing
Understand how Watson works
Learn about Watson’s capabilities and limitations by studying existing use cases, within and outside
your industry.
Consider “art of the possible” use cases
Inventory pain points that Watson might help alleviate, and prioritize opportunity areas that
Watson might help accelerate.
Evaluate current state
Assess your information management and analytics capabilities, including any cognitive
capabilities. Analyze and document gaps between the current state and the future vision.
Leverage CVM workshops
Conduct Business/Cognitive Value Mapping workshops on the high-priority cognitive use cases within
your enterprise, ranking them in order of trial.
Launch pilot or proof of concept
Configure and train Watson to first use case, testing the proof of concept system in pilot mode.
Evaluate Watson’s fit to purpose for targeted area, enhancing business case with resulting data
points.
Deploy Watson in full-scale scenario
Expand and augment corpus if needed, further training Watson. Conduct structured evaluation
of Watson performance vs. plans, adjusting growth and expansion plans accordingly.
Steps to a Watson solution
Cognitive computing is beginning to emerge as an
opportunity and a threat for many businesses,
especially information-intensive industries, such as
insurance, health care, telecom, and banking. But
others may also benefit from being early movers.
Figure 11 outlines the basic steps toward
generating value from Watson and other cognitive
technologies.
The following two pages provide examples of
potential business usage patterns for IBM Watson
and identifies areas of your organization that may
benefit from a Watson solution.
Realizing business value with Watson
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson27
Patterns Value Proposition Industry
Cross-EnterpriseExamples
OperationalEfficiencyAdvisors
Marketing and Sales Advisor
Creating the most effective targeted marketing campaigns and effective sales strategy by leveraging multiple sources of data from analyst reports,
social data, blogs, reviews, and market research, and leveraging Watson’s user profiling, message resonance, and psycholinguistic capabilities
Cross-Industry
Smarter Merchandising Advisor
Leveraging forward-looking structured and unstructured data to enhance intelligent merchandising and management decisions related to product,
pricing, and inventory management
Cross-Industry
Smarter Operations Advisor
Streamlining business processes and compliance in relation to services, policies, procedures, and benefits through an employee-facing quick natural
language Q&A self-service interface
Cross-Industry
Procurement Advisor
Empowering employees in the support, visibility, and strategic-sourcing process (In the medical industry, professionals tasked with fulfilling
procurement needs struggle to navigate clinical evidence, research, analysis, and price data, which is scarce, highly decentralized, and biased. The
supply chain decision-making process is complicated by competing priorities and inefficient collaboration within hospitals. In procuring implantable
devices alone, an estimated $5 billion is wasted annually due to these inefficiencies.)
Cross-Industry
Human Resources Advisor Streamlining HR processes by leveraging procedures, benefits, policies, and other intellectual property in a quick natural-language interface Cross-Industry
Research Advisor
Enabling analysts and researchers to gain new insights through correlation of large amounts of unstructured data. Whether in health care/life
sciences, M&A, accounting and compliance, wealth management, or market competitive analysis–there is a vast corpus of information to provide a
professional opinion based on a set of facts. Watson could help enable the understanding of new relationships in a much shorter timeframe.
Cross-Industry
Watson Insights Advisor
By curating information in a 360-view of nearly real-time information, Watson’s semantics understanding analyzes concepts within data that
matches a user’s questions, without having to leverage advanced analytics, prepare or model key information. This enables business users to quickly
access insights and expand relationship concepts through visualizations, across business functions or shared services (i.e., account management,
business performance management), or helping to improve executional capabilities for an enterprise.
Cross-Industry
CFO Advisor Visualizing, integration, and retrieval of structured and unstructured data for better decisions in an intuitive natural language user interface Cross-Industry
Knowledge
Advisors
Sales Associate Advisor
Enabling sales associates in obtaining product information, social content, blogs, product reviews, comparisons to maximize customer service and
engagement for higher conversion rates
Cross-Industry
Knowledge Advisor Empowering knowledge support and enablement of employees on all of client’s intellectual content and selected public information Cross-Industry
Customer Service/Call Center
Advisor
Intelligence-enabled support to help agents quickly respond to client and employee inquires and issues Cross-Industry
Industry-SpecificExamples
KnowledgeAdvisors
Wealth Advisor
Empowering wealth advisors with answers to important questions, portfolio management, recommendations asset allocation, and investment
decisions based on the risk profile of clients and quick market analysis
Financial
Insurance Advisor Enabling insurance agents and underwriters with a comprehensive view of client needs/gaps and reducing subjectivity Financial
Underwriting Advisor
Assist analysts in risk/exposure analysis rapidly resourcing analyst reports and other relevant information on new guidelines, policies, weather and
news, etc.
Financial
Oil and Gas Advisor
Empowering oil and gas producers of mineral deposit discovery, drilling, and equipment troubleshooting to quickly sift through large amounts of
information in the decision-making process of mineral deposit discovery and drilling equipment troubleshooting
Oil and Gas
Customer/Self-
ServiceAdvisors
Health and Wellness Advisor
Assisting clients in a mobile self-service app to engage in better health decisions, or aiding drug store retailers with the most up-to-date information
to match products and knowledge with consumer concerns and issues, and to drive better patient outcomes.
Health care/
Retail
Shopping Advisor
Assisting clients in obtaining product information, social content, blogs, reviews, for better-informed purchase decisions, and increase customer
engagement and conversion rates
Retail
Wine Advisor The Wine Advisor helps suggest wines based on customer need, tastes, and food pairings, as well as reviews/awards, price, varietal, region, and promotion Retail
Figure 12
Watson usage pattern examples
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson28
Marketing
and Sales
Advisor
Smarter
Merchandising
Advisor
Smarter
Operations
Procurement
Advisor
Human
Resources
Advisor
Research
Advisor
Watson
Insights
Advisor
CFO Advisor
Sales
Associate
Advisor
Knowledge
Advisor
Customer
Service/Call
Center Advisor
Shareholder Value
Revenue Growth
Operating Margin
(after taxes)
Expectations
Improve
Development
& Production
Efficiency 
Improve
Corporate/
Shared
Service
Efficiency
Retain and
Grow Current
Customers
Strengthen
Pricing
Leverage
Income-
Generating
Assets

Improve
Execution
Capabilities
Improve
Managerial &
Governance
Effectiveness
Improve
Logistics &
Service
Provision
Efficiency
Improve
Customer
Interaction
Efficiency
Acquire New
Customers
Volume
Price 
Realization
Selling,
General & 
Administrative
(SG&A)
Cost of Goods
Sold
(COGS) 
Income Taxes
Company
Strengths
External
Factors
Asset Efficiency
Improve
PP&E
Efficiency
Property, Plant,
& Equipment
(PP&E)
Inventory
Receivables
& Payables
Product &
Service
Innovation
Marketing
& Sales
Product &
Service
Innovation
Retention
Account
Management
Cross-Sell/
Up-Sell
Cash /
Asset
Management
Demand &
Supply
Management
Price
Optimization
Business
Management
Financial
Management
Production
Income Tax
Management
Marketing &
Advertising
Sales
Customer
Service &
Support
Order
Fulfillment &
Billing
Business
Performance
Management
Strategic
Assets
Business
Planning
Program
Delivery
Governance
Operational
Excellence
Partnership &
Collaboration
Relationship
Strength
Agility &
Flexibility
Equipment
& Systems
Finished
Goods
Work in
Process &
Raw Materials
Accounts,
Notes
& Interest
Receivable
Accounts,
Notes,
& Interest
Payable
Logistics &
Distribution
Merchandising
Product
Development
Materials
Service
Delivery
Real Estate &
Infrastructure
IT, Telecom , &
Networking 
Real Estate
Human
Resources
Procurement
Improve
Income Tax
Efficiency
Improve
Inventory
Efficiency
Improve
Receivables
& Payables
Efficiency
Figure 13
Deloitte’s Enterprise Value Map (EVM)
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson29
•	Submits questions
•	States clarification
•	Views Q&A exchange
•	Rates response and
provides feedback
•	Uploads content for
corpus
•	Creates training data
•	Reviews client
dialogue history,
evidence, and source
•	Renders dialogues
history
•	Renders metric
documents
•	Analyzes client Q&A
•	Personalizes UI •	Configures Watson
system
•	Analyzes user
metrics
Deloitte is positioned to help
Extensive training and effort are required to expand
business capabilities with Watson’s cognitive
services or create a Watson-powered application.
This is where Deloitte can help.
Deloitte’s cognitive computing offerings will use
IBM Watson as a platform for providing the
foundational capabilities in natural language
processing and probabilistic reasoning. We are
also working with other vendors with niche
capabilities that complement and extend Watson’s
cognitive abilities. Our goal is to provide holistic
cognitive and advanced analytics solutions to help
our clients make smarter decisions.
For more than a decade, Deloitte and IBM have
had strong client and alliance relationships, and
our collaboration around Watson is a natural
extension of that. Our alliance offerings unite the
depth and breadth of IBM’s technology portfolio
with Deloitte’s leading methodologies and
consulting experience. Through our “smarter
teaming” approach, Deloitte and IBM can help our
joint clients create and capture more value from
cognitive computing.
Provides action directives Prompts for clarification
Ingests and updates
knowledge content
Redirects
Provides answers with evidence
and confidence scores
SME Agent UI Developer Admin
Figure 14
Resources required to deploy and manage a Watson solution
Client/Employee/
Agent
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson30
Deloitte’s cognitive computing offerings
Below are some of the ways that Deloitte can help you explore and execute cognitive computing solutions to add more potential value to your organization.
Ideation and advisory services
•	Explore how Watson can positively transform your business during a Deloitte
Greenhouse session tailored for your organization.
•	Define your approach and strategies for leveraging cognitive computing capabilities.
•	Develop internal and/or go-to-market strategies for industry or domain-specific
cognitive solutions.
Implementation services: Watson enterprise offerings
•	Customize and implement IBM’s family of Watson Advisor cognitive computing
offerings.
•	Incorporate appropriate IBM technologies, such as: Watson Foundations, Watson
advisors (Engagement, Discovery, Policy), and Watson industry advisors (Oncology,
Wealth Management).
Implementation services: Watson platform components
•	Customize and implement IBM Watson tooling and API cognitive services.
•	Incorporate appropriate IBM technologies, such as: Watson Content Analytics,
Watson Explorer, Watson API services (Perceiving, Reasoning, Relating, etc.).
Implementation services: Watson Ecosystem partner solutions
•	Customize and implement third-party powered-by-Watson cognitive solutions.
•	Incorporate cognitive solutions that leverage Watson advisors and platform
components, such as Fluid and MD Buyline.
Implementation services: Watson foundations products
•	Plan and implement IBM’s Analytics portfolio of products as the foundation for
building future cognitive computing capabilities.
•	Incorporate appropriate IBM Analytics technologies, such as Information Server, Cognos
BI/TM1, Watson Analtyics, SPSS, BigInsights, Streams, DB2 Blu, PureData, etc.).
Deloitte cognitive transformation solutions
•	Collaborate with a client or group of clients to develop and bring to market
Watson-based cognitive computing solutions.
•	Leverage Deloitte’s industry and functional knowledge and IBM Watson
technologies to create marketable solutions for clients.
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson31
Learn about Watson applications
IBM has produced a series of videos that provides
an overview of the process of creating an IBM
Watson application. These include:
•	What is IBM Watson?
•	What is the IBM Watson ecosystem?
•	Roadmap for planning your IBM Watson
cognitive application
•	Building your Watson cognitive application
•	Enrich your IBM Watson cognitive application
with content
•	Train your “Powered by Watson” cognitive
application
•	Test and deploy your “Powered by Watson”
cognitive application
Explore what’s possible
Visit a Deloitte Greenhouse to explore the art of the
possible for your business with Watson. Your
company’s leaders can participate a one-day ideation
session tailored to address your specific business
challenges and opportunities. This interactive
Watson Lab enables you to experiment with
Watson in a controlled environment, guided by
ambitious objectives to uncover potential value that
Watson may be able to generate for your company.
Pages 28-29 provide examples of business usage
patterns for IBM Watson and areas of your
organization that may benefit from a Watson solution.
About the Deloitte Greenhouse
The Deloitte Greenhouse is an advanced, immersive environment designed to accelerate breakthroughs. The Greenhouse combines
behavioral methods, analytics, technology, and expert facilitation to create an experience that can propel clients to extraordinary
results; it is a collaborative effort between the Deloitte Analytics Highly Immersive Visual Environment (HIVE), the Deloitte Client
Experience (DCE) Labs and Deloitte Consulting Innovation (DCI).
Next steps
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson32
We are in the early days of this new cognitive
computing platform called Watson. The market will
likely continue to grow as IBM’s product matures
and people find practical ways to apply cognitive
computing to solve a myriad of business problems.
If you are ready to explore how Watson and cognitive
computing may be able to positively disrupt your
business to create more value, we should talk. You
may contact us at watsoninfo@deloitte.com or
reach out to any of the leadership listed here.
Robert Dalton
Global IBM LCSP and Relationship Leader
Deloitte Consulting
rdalton@deloitte.com
Craig Mallow
Global IBM Alliance Leader
Deloitte Consulting
cmallow@deloitte.ca
Scott Kruglewicz
Specialist Leader
Deloitte Consulting
skruglewicz@deloitte.com
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank IBM’s Watson experts for their collaboration and support. IBM’s publicly available information was a primary source for Watson-related content and graphics.
About IBM
IBM, the IBM logo, and other referenced IBM products and software brands are trademarks or registered trademarks of the International Business Machines Corporation.
About Deloitte
This publication contains general information only and Deloitte is not, by means of this publication, rendering accounting, business, financial, investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice or services. This publication is not a
substitute for such professional advice or services, nor should it be used as a basis for any decision or action that may affect your business. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your business, you should
consult a qualified professional advisor. Deloitte shall not be responsible for any loss sustained by any person who relies on this publication.
As used in this document, “Deloitte” means Deloitte Consulting LLP, a subsidiary of Deloitte LLP. Please see www.deloitte.com/us/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte LLP and its subsidiaries. Certain
services may not be available to attest clients under the rules and regulations of public accounting.
Copyright © 2015 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited
Let’s talk
Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson33

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Deloitte disruption ahead IBM Watson

  • 1. March 2015 Disruption ahead Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson
  • 2. Contents Smart machines and cognitive computing • Cognitive computing enters the enterprise • Our take: the disruptive power of cognitive computing • Here comes Watson IBM’s billion-dollar baby • IBM investments in Watson • Sizing up Watson’s competition • What makes Watson unique • The Watson Ecosystem Building blocks of the Watson architecture • Architecture overview • Watson Advisors • Watson Platform Components • Watson Platform Services • Watson Data Services • Watson Foundation Products Let’s pick Watson’s brain • How Watson works • Problems suitable for Watson • Guidelines for an effective Watson knowledge database • Data sources usable by Watson • Problems not suitable for Watson • Our take: Watson’s limitations Watson in action • Watson use cases • Case study: changing the world of health care Realizing business value with Watson • Steps to a Watson solution • Deloitte is positioned to help • Deloitte’s cognitive computing offerings • Next steps Let’s talk Meet Watson Cognitive computing is a rapidly evolving technology that holds the potential to reshape how work gets done, how businesses grow, and how markets and industries evolve. While many technology players—large and small—are investing in developing cognitive computing or artificial intelligence (AI) solutions, as of March 2015, IBM is the only company marketing a cognitive computing platform that’s specifically designed to support the development of a broad range of enterprise solutions. Deloitte has joined IBM in investing time, money, and people toward applying Watson technologies to help solve our client’s business problems. IBM Watson combines natural language processing, machine learning, and real-time computing power to sift through massive amounts of unstructured data—documents, emails, journals, social posts, and more— to answer questions fast. Like humans, Watson learns from experience and instruction. Cognitive computing is still in its infancy. However, it’s not too soon to imagine how your business and industry could be positively disrupted by this new technology. Our goal for publishing this white paper is not to provide definitive answers—the technology is changing too fast—but to help you understand the fundamentals of Watson and cognitive computing and to inspire you to begin planning how you can take advantage of these new technologies. Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson2
  • 3. Smart machines and cognitive computing Cognitive computing enters the enterprise Developing machines capable of exhibiting human- like intelligence has been a goal of artificial intelligence (AI) since its inception as a research field in the mid-1950s. Natural language processing and machine learning are two of the subfields of AI. While AI has matured considerably over the decades, advances in processing power and data storage make using AI more feasible for solving enterprise problems. Today’s smart machines with AI capabilities are already changing how humans work. Here are three examples: • Machines that enhance human capabilities, such as an employee using a wearable computing device to answer almost any question. • Machines replace humans, such as a cognitive virtual assistant used as an automated customer service representative. • Humans and machines work side by side, such as a warehouse employee working with a mobile robot to move boxes. Deloitte’s Tech Trends 2015 points out that the first example--augmenting human capabilities and knowledge--could hold more promise for business by amplifying our intelligence for more effective decision making. Cognitive computing is a relatively new term, often used as a synonym for artificial intelligence. Unlike traditional computer systems, which are programmed by people to perform certain tasks, cognitive systems have the ability to learn through their interactions with both data and humans. They can even adapt and get smarter over time. Cognitive computing is part of an even larger trend, broadly referred to as “big data.” IBM estimated that 80% of data today is unstructured (i.e., in the form of natural language), with the remaining 20% being structured data (i.e., in the form of rows and columns). Cognitive computing is primarily focused on unstructured data. As with any new technological development, early adoption accompanied by smart strategies and effective execution can position businesses for competitive advantages that can last for years. At Deloitte, we share Gartner’s view that “the risk of investing too late in smart machines is likely greater than the risk of investing too soon.” “For Gartner clients, the risk of investing too late in smart machines is likely greater than the risk of investing too soon.” IBM Bets on New Watson Unit to Ignite Smart Machine Era Growth Gartner Inc., January 14, 2014 Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson3
  • 4. Cognitive computing is starting to emerge as a real opportunity and threat for many businesses. It is a component of the broader trend around big data, but it is particularly important because cognitive computing focuses on the realm of unstructured data, which is clearly dominant in volume over that of structured data. If we embrace and harness the power of cognitive computing, we can help our clients positively disrupt their businesses and industries. It may even hold transformative potential for Deloitte’s businesses. Deloitte’s Tech Trends 2014 specifically called out Cognitive Analytics™ as a potential business disruptor. Deloitte coined the term “Cognitive Analytics” to describe the application of analytics and cognitive computing technologies to enhance human decisions. In November 2014, Deloitte University Press published the article, Demystifying artificial intelligence: What business leaders need to know about cognitive technologies, clarifying the distinction between the field of artificial intelligence (AI) and the technologies emanating from it, which we call cognitive technologies. The article provides an overview of some of the key cognitive technologies. And it argues that, driven by billions of dollars of investment in commercialization and ongoing improvement in performance, cognitive technologies are destined to have a growing impact on business over the next three to five years and beyond. In January 2015, Cognitive Technologies: The real opportunities for business was published based on an analysis of over 100 recent applications and pilots of cognitive technologies across 17 sectors. The report identifies the three main categories of application of cognitive technologies: product, process, and insight. And it offers a framework organizations can use to guide decisions about investing these categories in technologies. In Deloitte’s Tech Trends 2015, Amplified Intelligence suggests that AI’s more promising application is to augment workers’ capabilities, rather than replace them. Our take: the disruptive power of cognitive computing Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson4
  • 5. Here comes Watson You’ve probably heard about Watson’s Jeopardy! victory in 2011 against two human contestants. Winning the TV game show required Watson to demonstrate encyclopedic knowledge, to decipher convoluted statements, and to deliver lightning-fast responses. Watson’s performance was not flawless, but it still won by a large margin. In addition to being an ingenious PR stunt, the event was seen as a new milestone in the development of AI—and possibly even the beginning of a new era in computing. IBM sees cognitive computing as the third major technological wave that could transform our world: • Tabulating Systems Era (late 1800s to 1940s). Mechanical devices were invented that helped people organize data and make calculations. • Programmable Systems Era (1940s to 2010s). Scientists have built electronic programmable computers, which humans program to perform specific tasks. This era has led to huge technological leaps—space exploration, creation of the Internet, and more. • Cognitive Systems Era (2010s). Cognitive systems are fundamentally different from traditional computers; cognitive systems learn from their interactions with data and humans—essentially continuously reprogramming themselves. The changes that are coming over the next 10 to 20 years—building on IBM’s Watson technology— could transform how we live, work, and learn. Figure 1 illustrates IBM’s progress with Watson. Figure 1 IBM has consistently improved Watson since its 2011 Jeopardy! debut 2880 cores 5+ days to retain Wikipedia, general corpus 2-3 sentences input Single-user system Single power 750, 240% faster <day to ingest Medical corpus 20 pages of input Thousands of size Watson Engagement Advisor and Watson Developers Ecosystem Watson cloud service Few hours to ingest Broad industry corpus Dialogue chaining Psycholinguistics 8 cognitive API services Watson Discovery Advisor and Watson Analytics Size Spreed Corpus Flexibility Users Size Spreed Corpus Flexibility Users Size Spreed Corpus Flexibility Users Jeopardy! Watson offerings Cognitive services 2011 2013 2014 Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson5
  • 6. IBM’s billion-dollar baby IBM investments in Watson In January 2014, IBM announced the formation of the IBM Watson Group, headed by Senior Vice President Michael Rhodin. IBM is committing $1 billion to the initiative, creating a 2,000-person business unit focused on building, marketing, and delivering cognitive computing solutions. Approximately one-third of IBM’s research resources will be dedicated to Watson. IBM is investing $100 million in a venture fund to support the development of Watson-enabled apps such as Welltok, which answers personalized health questions, and the Fluid Expert Personal Shopper (XPS), an e-commerce application that aims to replicate the best of in-store experiences and assist customers with purchases. IBM is also committing resources and support to universities to encourage students to develop Watson-enabled apps and to prepare them to become the next generation of cognitive technologists. Ten leading technology institutions, listed below, are currently participating: • Carnegie Mellon University • University of California, Berkeley • The Ohio State University • University of Michigan • Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute • The University of Texas at Austin • New York University • Northwestern University • Stanford University • University of Toronto In the fall of 2014, these universities introduced cognitive computing courses using a cloud-based version of Watson. Additional universities will join the initiative in 2015. It’s interesting to note that all of the currently participating universities, except Rensselaer, are part of Deloitte’s own university relations program. Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson6
  • 7. As of March 2015, IBM is the only company marketing a cognitive computing platform that’s specifically designed to support the development of a broad range of enterprise solutions. Sizing up Watson’s competition It’s difficult to draw strict boundaries around what represents Watson’s competition. For this comparison, we’ve focused on products on the market that possess the defining elements of cognitive computing: natural language processing (NLP), humanlike understanding learning capabilities, real-time processing, and artificial intelligence. Many large technology players are investing in cognitive computing or AI. Digital personal assistants, such as the Siri® voice recognition software by Apple Inc., Google Now, and Microsoft’s Cortana respond to natural language requests and understand context. Apple has extended these capabilities to integrate Siri voice recognition with the Apple CarPlay™ software system. Google has purchased DeepMind, which uses AI for e-commerce and games. In 2014, Microsoft announced the addition of Delve to its Office 365 family. Delve proactively identifies relevant enterprise content based on how the user interacts with others through Microsoft Office products and documents. There are also a growing number of cognitive computing niche players that offer applications ranging from sentiment analysis to conversion of graphs into words. However, none of these rivals are prone to making Watson obsolete. As of March 2015, IBM is the only company marketing a cognitive computing platform that’s specifically designed to support the development of a broad range of enterprise solutions. IBM Watson combines: • Deep cognitive computing capabilities. Watson uses natural language processing, machine learning, and evidence-based hypotheses and scoring. • Enabling hardware. Watson’s processing power and storage capabilities deliver cognitive functionality in real time. • Support community. IBM is building the Watson Partners Program around its Watson offering— including app developers, content providers, and service providers. Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson7
  • 8. Cognitive computing offerings by niche players To learn more about niche players, read Gartner’s reports, “Cool Vendors in Smart Machines, 2014” and “Predicts 2015: Sourcing Strategies Shift From ‘Built to Last’ to ‘Built to Adapt’”. Company Summary of cognitive functions Use cases Luminoso Luminoso Insight Engine: Uses NLP to identify patterns in text and perform sentiment analysis Analyze customer feedback to proposed product design changes; review how consumers feel about food items or grocery store experience AlchemyAPI AlchemyAPI: Uses NLP to process textual information, applies deep learning techniques to image recognition, and performs sentiment analysis Assist claims management (insurance and warranty), technical support, product returns (complaint management), brand and product intelligence, retention management, and complex question answering Digital Reasoning Synthesys: Uses NLP and machine learning to analyze all formats of data to perform “semantic relationship analysis” in order “to mitigate risk or expand an opportunity” Scan up to billions of communications from thousands of traders to spot language patterns and identify potentially fraudulent activity Highspot Highspot: Uses machine-learning techniques to perform enterprise search Assist users in finding content within the enterprise and within cloud-based applications Lumiata Lumiata: Applies “graph analysis” to patient data but does not use cognitive techniques Enable medical professional to interrogate the underlying “clinical model of [the] patient” Sentient Technologies Sentient: Millions of AI processing nodes enables powerful predictive modeling for lending institutions Helps improve loan origination decisions to achieve breakthrough outcomes Enterra Cognitive Reasoning Platform: Uses NLP, AI, and big data analytic techniques Used in supply chain to reduce waste, etc., and assist in medical research1 IPsoft Amelia: NLP (understands 20 languages), machine learning, and AI Assist with service desk support, help field engineers troubleshoot, and support procurement2 Next IT Alme: Multilingual NLP and AI Assists with customer service 1 http://www.enterrasolutions.com/big-data/analytics 2 http://www.ipsoft.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Amelia_Brochure.pdf Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson8
  • 9. What makes Watson unique In technical terms, IBM Watson is an advanced open-domain question answering (QA) system with deep natural language processing (NLP) capabilities. At this point, the Watson Software as a Service (SaaS) platform is most effectively used to sift through massive amounts of text—documents, emails, social posts, and more—to answer questions in real time. Watson accepts questions posed by the user in natural language and provides the user with a response (or a set of responses) by generating and evaluating various hypotheses around different interpretations of the question and possible answers to it. Unlike keyword-based search engines, which simply retrieve relevant documents, Watson gleans context from the question to provide the user with precise and relevant answers, along with confidence ratings and supporting evidence. Its learning capabilities allow Watson to adapt and improve hypothesis generation and evaluation processes over time through interactions with users. Developers and other users can improve the accuracy of responses by “training” Watson. IBM is also continuing to expand Watson’s capabilities to incorporate visualization, reasoning, ability to relate to users, and deeper exploration to gain a broader understanding of the information content. Watson recently launched a new platform service that has the ability to ingest and interpret still and video images, which is another significant type of unstructured data. (See Figure 2.) Explores Relates Perceives Visualizes Reasons Generates and evaluates hypotheses Understands natural language Adapts and learns Figure 2 Watson will continue to evolve Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson9
  • 10. The Watson Ecosystem Today, the Watson technology is commercialized as a Software as a Service (SaaS) platform. However, Watson has also created a separate business model—The Watson Ecosystem—which serves as a marketplace where Watson-related products and services can be sold, with IBM likely taking a share of the revenue generated.   The Watson Partners Program is a distinctive element of the Watson Ecosystem targeted on partnering with third-party developers. The Watson Ecosystem works with this global community to develop Watson apps, facilitate access to content, and provide specialized skills to assist in app development. (See Figure 3.)   IBM has approximately 150 ecosystem partners signed up to develop “Powered by Watson” cognitive solutions. When approved to join the partner program, members have access to the following: • Watson Developer Cloud. Provides application tools, methodologies, software developer kits (SDK), and application programming interfaces (APIs) needed to build cognitive applications. All released APIs are available to developers. (See page 16.) • Watson Content Store. Provides developers access to content partners who sell their data or provide it for free. • Watson Talent Hub. Allows developers to find certified talent partners to fill skill gaps such as linguistics, natural language processing, machine learning, user experience design, and analytics. Deloitte is one of the first global systems integrators to become a member of the Watson Partner Program. Under this program, our teams will have access to a Watson instance, including Watson Experience Manager, for experimentation and learning. We have teams who have already begun exploring the possibility of creating cognitive applications through the Watson Developer Cloud. As Watson’s technologies continue to mature, Deloitte intends to join the Watson Talent Hub as both a systems integrator and an advisor. Watson Talent Hub bridges App Partners resource gaps by providing a marketplace for critical cognitive, big data, UI, and mobility skills. Watson Developer Cloud delivers the tools, methodologies, software developer kits, and API(s) for App Partners to build the next generation of cognitive applications. Watson Content Store provides sources of free and fee-based content, including public, subscribed, and enterprise content. Watson Developer Cloud Watson Platform & Tools Enhance User Experience App Partner Content Provider/PartnerWatson Content Store Talent Partner Figure 3 IBM Watson Ecosystem Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson10
  • 11. Architecture overview Figure 4, on the following page, illustrates the five types of technologies that augment and support Watson’s cognitive capabilities: • Watson Advisors. These IBM-designed solutions target a multi-industry or industry-specific task. Examples include answering customer or agent questions (Engagement Advisor), conducting document research (Discovery Advisor), or processing and advising on compliance requests (Policy Advisor). Industry-specific offerings include Watson for Oncology, Watson for Wealth Management, and Chef Advisor. Other one-of-a- kind advisor solutions are likely to be developed in the future. • Watson Platform Components. Watson Explorer, now available, and Watson Analytics, currently in beta, expand Watson’s capabilities to more effectively mine structured data, including the integration of existing databases. IBM intends to move toward a hybrid environment, which leverages insights from both unstructured and structured data—all calibrated to the specific business situation. • Watson Platform Services. Watson was introduced with only the Question Answer application program interface (API). One year later, Watson now has a total of 13 APIs and SDKs, with more coming soon and throughout the year. (See page 16.) • Watson Data Services. In October 2014, the Watson Curator was introduced to help clients efficiently assess and gather relevant information across multiple sources. This service helps subject matter experts create higher-quality information collections. • Watson Foundations. IBM is branding many of its existing information management and analytics software products under the Watson umbrella as a bridge to cognitive computing. The following pages provide an overview of each of these major architectural components. Building blocks of the Watson architecture Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson11
  • 12. Specialties IBM Watson Platform Services IBM Watson Data Services IBM Watson Industries IBM Watson Advisors IBM Watson Platform Components IBM Watson Foundations Health care Financial Svc. Public Sector X-Industry Engagement Discovery Policy Partner Sol.Oncology Wealth Cooking Watson Analytics Watson Explorer Watson Curator Data lake: structured and unstructured data (manuals, procedures, status reports, procedure manuals, policy statements, blogs, forums, wikis) Tooling Assemble Ingest Train Deploy Admin Model Annotators Content Concept Insights Personality Insights Speech to Text Text to Speech Tradeoff Analytics Visual Recognition Visual Rendering Concept Expansion Language Identification Machine Translation Message Resonance Question and Answer Relationship Extraction A Figure 4 Building blocks of the Watson architecture Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson12
  • 13. Watson Advisors Watson is developing three solutions that apply cognitive computing capabilities to address multi-industry tasks: Engagement Advisor, Discovery Advisor, and Policy Advisor. In 2015, Watson is expected to launch three Industry Advisors: Watson for Oncology, Watson for Wealth Management, and the Chef Advisor. As of March 2015, only the Engagement and Discovery Advisors are available for app development. The other Advisors are available through IBM’s Beta Program; they are expected to be released for commercial use at the end of 2015. IBM Watson Engagement Advisor Now available for app development; version 2.0 expected in 2015 The Engagement Advisor helps businesses deliver more personalized interactions with their customers. Customers can ask questions in plain English, such as through customer self-service or an agent, and receive tailored answers along with supporting evidence. For example, customers may ask: How do I apply for a savings account? What are my benefits? Which is the best product based on my requirements? In 2015, Engagement Advisor 2.0 will be integrated with Cognea, a new IBM acquisition. This integration will expand the Engagement Advisor’s capabilities by adding virtual assistants with distinct “personalities” that can communicate with people through conversation. IBM Watson Discovery Advisor Now available for app development The Discovery Advisor acts as a research assistant to clients engaged in R&D activities, such as the pharmaceutical industry. It allows the researchers to focus on the most relevant information and quickly connect pieces of supporting evidence spread over millions of documents. For example, researchers can ask: Which cancer therapies inhibit the FLT3 mutation? IBM Watson Policy Advisor Now in beta; commercial release expected late 2015 The Policy Advisor assists clients with compliance or policy-related decisions. For example, the advisor can automatically process applications, such as those filed for Social Security benefits, against related policies. For example, clients can ask: Can this procedure be approved based on NY state guidelines? Industry-specific Advisors Now in beta; commercial release expected late 2015 • Watson for Oncology. Searches medical journals, texts, guidelines, and leading practices to help physicians make more informed treatment decisions for cancer patients. • Watson for Wealth Management. Captures the investment knowledge of leading wealth management managers and other resources to help individuals meet their financial goals. • Chef Watson. Sifts through quintillions of possible combinations of ingredients, flavors, and individual preferences to help cooks discover new recipes. Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson13
  • 14. Watson Platform Components IBM Watson Analytics Watson Analytics supports analysis and visualization of structured data with a natural language interface. Its interactive, mobile-compatible dashboard allows users to ask questions about their data in natural language. This allows anyone to independently discover patterns or insights hidden in their data to inform better decisions. For example, this platform can provide easy access to information that can support customized sales presentations or help financial advisors select appropriate investments for their clients. (See Figure 5.) Figure 5 IBM Watson Analytics 1 Text to provide an overview of what’s being shown in the visualization will go here. Easier to Understand More Predictive Combination Predictive Model Single Key Drivers Combined Key Drivers Predictive Model Sales 1 1C 43 5 1 2 2 2 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 2 Which fields influence Sales? What else is interesting about this field? Consumer Customer Satisfaction is strongly associated with Years of Experience. Communication Scores is strongly associated with Department. Communication Scores is strongly associated with Department. Consumer A combination of fields can together predict the values of Sales. Interaction between Years of Sales Exper.. And Number of Clients Visits is a key driver. Interaction between Years of Sales Exper.. And Number of Clients Visits is a key driver. Technical Training is a key driver of Average Sales. Technical Training is a key driver of Average Sales. Technical Training is a key driver of Average Sales. Explore Sales 2 BOARDS RETAIL PERFORMANCE 2 Analysis Detail 146 Input Fields were evaluated. 60 Input Fields were potentially useful. Average Sales 5 strong predictor and 3 moderate predictors were found. Top Field Associations 12 statistically significant associations were found between fields. 2 View Edit AddSales Won or Lost Target : 2 targets. Export Pin 1 Text to provide an overview of what’s being shown in the visualization will go here. Easier to Understand More Predictive Combination Predictive Model Single Key Drivers Combined Key Drivers Predictive Model Sales 1 2 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 2 Explore Sales 2 Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson14
  • 15. IBM Watson Explorer Currently available; previously called “IBM InfoSphere Data Explorer” Watson Explorer combines content and data from many different systems throughout the enterprise and presents them to users in a single view, dramatically reducing the amount of time users spend looking for information. Explorer can search structured and unstructured data pulled from a wide range of sources—digital file systems, email, logs, social networks, wikis, CRM, and more—to deliver data, analytics, and cognitive insights customized for the user’s role, context, and current activities. It also incorporates Watson’s cognitive question-and-answer exploration capabilities on top of the 360-degree view to provide users quick context to their questions and activities. Explore Analyze Interpret Figure 6 Watson Explorer platform Mobile Security Collaboration Query Routing 3. Management and application development 2. Indexing, search, and analytics 1. Connectivity Indexing DBMS Cloud Search Text Analytics Content Analytics Application Builder Studio Content Miner Solution Gallery SCMEmailFile Systems ExternalCRMSocialSupportCMS Big DataWikis 12 34 Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson15
  • 16. Watson Platform Services Question Answer Uses natural language processing to understand user questions and provide ranked answers supported by evidence and confidence levels. Example: Helps call center representatives find quick answers to customer questions to improve customer satisfaction. User Modeling Uses linguistic analytics to construct a personality profile of an individual by analyzing his or her social media activities and other online text. Example: Helps marketers target offers by analyzing the customer’s online activity to understand shopping behaviors. Message Resonance Analyzes message content and scores how it is likely to be received by a target audience. Also suggests words that are highly likely to receive a desired response. Example: Enables organizations to mitigate negative press during a crisis or engage consumers during a new product launch. Machine Translation Translates text between languages: English, Spanish, Brazilian Portuguese, French, and Arabic. Example: Customer service representatives for global companies can quickly search a database for answers that are translated into their native language. Relationship Extraction Analyzes text to find relationships between sentence components (nouns, verbs, subjects, etc.) Example: Provides related information, such as the city’s best restaurants, when a user asks “What can I do tonight in London?” Language Identification Identifies the language in which text is written. Example: Determines a travel app user’s language to provide quick recommendations. Visualization Rendering Allows users to easily generate customized charts and graphs from their data. Example: Users can quickly transform answers to a business question into an intuitive dashboard or visual report in seconds. Concept Expansion Maps euphemisms or colloquial terms to more commonly understood phrases. Example: Interprets phrases so that they can be analyzed;“The Big Apple” would be interpreted as “New York City.” Concept Insights (new) Explores information based on the concepts behind your input, rather than limiting investigation to findings based on traditional keyword searches. Example: Can be used to improve search queries with results that are more conceptually related. Speech to Text (new) Transcribes the human voice into written word, currently in English only. Example: Enables voice control over apps and devices. Text to Speech (new) Understands natural language to generate synthesized audio output with appropriate cadence and intonations, currently in English and Spanish. Example: Assists vision impaired people or enable audio reading of texts and emails to drivers. Visual Recognition (new) Analyzes the visual content of images and video frames to understand the content directly without the need for a textual description. Example: Could be used to organize and ingest large collections of digital images or understand consumer shopping preferences based on image queries. Tradeoff Analytics (new) Helps users make better choices to best meet multiple conflicting objectives, by finding optimal alternatives across multiple criteria. Example: Could be used to help customers make buying decisions by analyzing the pros and cons of products based on the customer’s personal needs and requirements. Personality Insights (new) Enables deeper understanding of people’s personality characteristics, needs, and values to help engage users on their own terms. Example: Can analyze text from a customer’s twitter stream to help a travel agency decide between leading with a budget or luxury trip offer. Additional Watson APIs The following APIs are expected to be released in 2015 or beyond: Semantic Expansion, Policy Knowledge, Policy Evaluation, Dialogue, Sentiment Extraction, Sentiment Analysis, Industry Accelerators, Question Generation, Medical Information Extraction, Ontology Creation. Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson16
  • 17. Watson Data Services Watson Curator Watson Curator helps users assess and gather relevant text documents across multiple sources using a guided and intuitive review process. It helps subject matter experts create higher-quality information collections much quicker and automatically manages superseded and contested information. The Watson Curator is hosted as a Software as a Service (SaaS) on SoftLayer, an IBM company. Watson Foundations Watson Foundations Products IBM’s preexisting products, in the IBM Analytics Unit, and also included in the Watson brand Data and information management Includes Information Server; MDM Server; Federation Server; Optim; Guardium; DB2 with BLU; IMS; Informix; Industry Models; PureData; BigInsights; Streams; Sensemaking; FileNet/ECM family of products Business and advanced analytics Includes Cognos BI, TM1; SPSS Statistics, Modeler, Analytic Catalyst, and Data Collection; Decision Manager; Content Analytics Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson17
  • 18. Let’s pick Watson’s brain How Watson works According to Watson’s developers, advanced hypothesis generation and scoring combined with deep natural language processing and machine- learning capabilities are what make Watson unique. Here’s how it works: • When presented with a question, Watson analyzes the question to determine what type of information is needed (such as a person’s name or geographical location) as well as various possible interpretations of the question (hypotheses) and the evidence supporting them. • Watson searches across its knowledge repository for possible answers to the question and various interpretations. It forms many hypotheses around the answer—possibly hundreds or even thousands—and gathers evidence supporting them. • Watson then performs deep comparisons between the language of the question and the response using reasoning algorithms to score the hypotheses it generated. • Using its advanced analytics algorithms, Watson aggregates the individual comparison scores to derive a final confidence score to each possible answer and ranks them accordingly, providing the user with the highest-rated answers. This final aggregation is domain (industry) specific and is tuned by examining the relevance of each comparison algorithm. • Watson’s confidence scoring can improve over time through interactions with the users, who “train” the system. As Figure 7 shows, Watson’s parallel processing capabilities allow it to evaluate thousands of hypotheses and tens of thousands of pieces of evidence in response to a single inquiry and consolidate the results—all in almost real time. Synthesis Question 100s of possible answers Multiple interpretations 1,000s of pieces of evidence Question and topic analysis Question decomposition Hypothesis generation Hypothesis generation Hypothesis and evidence scoring Hypothesis and evidence scoring Final confidence merging and ranking Response and confidence 100,000s of scores from many deep analysis algorithms Balance and combine Figure 7 How Watson processes a question Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson18
  • 19. Problems suitable for Watson According to IBM, 90 percent of the world’s data was generated just in the past two years, and 80 percent of the data is in an unstructured format— emails, social posts, articles, and more, including Word, HTML, or PDF documents. In today’s world of big data, we have a growing need to manage content that spans the “four V’s”: huge data size (volume), high-speed data accumulation (velocity), great diversity of data formats and sources (variety), and increasing need of data assurance (veracity). (See Figure 8.) IBM Watson was designed to help businesses mine massive amounts of data to solve certain types of business problems. A good candidate for Watson has one or more of these characteristics: • Requires posing questions in natural language. People who need fast answers to questions they pose in natural language can benefit from Watson. Typical examples in retail include consumers looking for online product recommendations or, in financial services, investors researching financial instruments. Watson also can provide decision support in areas such as compliance, customer service, and enterprise knowledge management. • Requires context-based search. Watson can help researchers quickly locate relevant information within huge amounts of text from various sources. For example, Watson can help health care researchers by precisely sifting relevant information from thousands of journals, genomic information databases, and patient records. One difference between Watson and Google is that Google is primarily driven by keyword search, while Watson can understand the context—the semantic relations among the keywords—to retrieve far more precise results. • Requires inference chaining. Watson can support decisions that require inference chaining (A infers B, B infers C, and so on). Analysts or researchers can build an inference graph based on an inference chain to observe a broad spectrum of downstream considerations. Convergence in the inference graph with high confidence scores may reveal hidden insights and more important inferences. • Allows active learning and decision support. Watson is not a plug-and-play solution; the system must be trained to identify appropriate answers. Watson is built on active learning technologies that can adapt to changes in data and user requirements. By routinely interacting with subject-matter experts, Watson can be trained or retrained based on feedback from users. In this way, Watson gets smarter over time as a result of this feedback loop, and users can gain more accurate results from Watson. Figure 8 What makes a good Watson use case? Volume Velocity Variety Veracity • Needs ability to sift through large amounts of data, such as all Wikipedia content • Transforms the user experience with contextual relevance and active dialogue • Needs responses to be available in real time or near real time • Needs deep natural language processing • Leverages different sources of unstructured information • Requires ability to load different file formats (PDF,HTML, etc.) • Leverages evidence- based insights with weighted confidence • Benefits from a continuous learning capability Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson19
  • 20. A problem suitable for Watson is one that requires searching through huge volumes of text and images, which have been added to the Watson knowledge base, called the “corpus.” Each corpus is virtually partitioned into secure hosting environments, separating one client’s data from another. An effective corpus must be: • Comprehensive. The corpus must contain the information required to formulate correct answers. • Easily retrievable. Content must be ingested into Watson so that correct segments of information can be quickly located. • Physically available. Content can come from a variety of sources, but it must be legally available (licensed) and ingested by Watson. • Clean. Content must be cleansed and curated for Watson to be effective. • Secure and private. Content should not include individual user information, such as financial transaction information or identifiable patient records. Typically, this type of data is best handled on traditional customer or provider platforms designed to address security and privacy concerns. As of March 2015, only text documents can be added to the Watson corpus for cognitive computing. Watson currently has trouble ingesting and interpreting certain types of PDF documents, but IBM is working to resolve this issue. Guidelines for an effective Watson knowledge database Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson20
  • 21. Data sources usable by Watson The following types of data sources are not directly usable by Watson’s cognitive computing functions at this time: • Spreadsheets and nested tabular data • Report data, such as call data records, sensor logs, meter data However, IBM offers a vast array of Business Analytics and Information Management technologies that effectively process structured data, including Watson Analytics and Watson Foundation Products. We expect to see the unstructured and structured aspects of Watson to become more compatible and synergistic over time. Figure 9 Data sources usable by Watson as of March 2015 Client Content Public Content Third-Party Content Customer Question Sets Unstructured Data • Product literature • Manuals/ Specifications • Guidelines • Procedures/Policies • Journals • Best practices • FAQs • Certification tests • Brochures • Call logs • Images Structured Data • Client profiles • Product/Part lists • Company directory Unstructured Data • Wikipedia • Industry definitions • Open source content • Regulatory guidelines • Images Structured Data • Type systems Unstructured Data • Subject matter domain content • News feeds • Market data • Business reports • Industry intelligence • Risk analysis assessments • Industry definitions • Images Structured Data • Taxonomy/ Ontology • Type systems • Market data Unstructured Data • Sets of questions with known answers relating to key concepts Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson21
  • 22. Problems not suitable for Watson Watson is not a silver bullet capable of answering every question. For example, it is not able to execute complex numeric calculations, summarize information, or conduct inductive reasoning. In general, the following problems are not appropriate for Watson: • Complex mathematical computation. Watson can perform only very simple number calculations and comparisons. For example, it would know that “20 years before 1988” has the same meaning as “in 1968.” However, Watson should not be expected to perform complex numeric calculations like bill payment analysis and complex logic reasoning like gaming. Watson cannot answer questions such as “What is the standard deviation of today’s hourly temperatures?” unless the value has been calculated by someone and added to Watson’s corpus. • Predictive analysis. Watson Advisors cannot perform predictive analysis or predict the future, because it is designed to extract existing knowledge instead of creating new knowledge. It can only find candidate answers by comparing huge amounts of data and considering their statistical strength. For example, users should not expect Watson to answer such questions as “What will be the stock price of XYZ Company tomorrow?” or “When will the next earthquake occur in Los Angeles?” However, Watson Analytics leverages IBM SPSS to enable predictive analytics using very sophisticated models and algorithms; these predictive analytics capabilities do not incorporate Watson’s cognitive computing capabilities, NLP, hypothesis generation, and adaptive learning capabilities at this time. • Inductive reasoning. Watson is not able to make a judgment or assimilation from various sources. It can provide supporting information for users to make better decisions, but Watson itself cannot replace users in making judgments or decisions. For example, Watson is not good at answering “What is the best insurance policy for me?” because the answer requires evaluating information about the user and various insurance plans. In addition, Watson cannot yet combine information from various documents or create an answer that is a deduction from multiple passages it finds, such as providing a critical summary of an article that has been placed in its corpus. Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson22
  • 23. Our take: Watson’s limitations as of March 2015 IBM is still in the early days of developing and deploying cognitive computing capabilities, but we expect them to evolve rapidly, thanks to IBM’s strong commitment supported by a $1 billion investment. By teaming with IBM early in the Watson development cycle, Deloitte should be well positioned to help shape Watson-related offerings to our clients’ business needs. Consider the following potential limitations as you explore how Watson may help your organization. • Watson mainly searches text. Watson does a good job of searching massive amounts of unstructured data, such as text in journals, emails, and social posts, including Word, HTML, and some PDF documents. Traditional analytics tools are better suited for structured and semi- structured data. However, a new platform service, Visual Recognition, analyzes visual content of images and video frames to understand the content without a text description. • Watson understands only English. Currently all materials added to the corpus must be in English, and at this time, questions should be asked in English. Watson is trained to understand nuance and correlation, and even sarcasm; adding additional languages will be a challenge. However, IBM has announced a partnership with CaixaBank to develop Watson in Spanish, a partnership with SoftBank to develop Watson in Japanese, as well as plans to accelerate their own efforts to develop Watson in Brazilian Portuguese. In addition, Watson API services, such as Machine Translation, can currently translate text between languages: English, Spanish, Brazilian Portuguese, French, and Arabic. We don’t expect today’s language capabilities to be a significant limitation, since most international business is conducted in English. • Some Watson technologies may not be integrated. Some of the technologies added to the Watson “brand” may not be fully integrated with Watson’s cognitive capabilities. We expect that this will be resolved over time. • Only Watson Engagement Advisor and Watson Discovery Advisor have been released. So far, we have seen new use cases based on only the Engagement and Discovery Advisors. IBM expects to release Watson Policy Advisor later in 2015, followed by the Industry Advisors. • App development requires IBM involvement. Developers must rely on IBM to help resolve back-end problems and train the system. Watson Lab Services (similar to other IBM Software Brand lab services) typically will provide deep subject matter expertise. Deloitte regularly subcontracts with IBM lab services for this type of assistance. Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson23
  • 24. Watson use cases IBM Watson is designed to support business uses across a broad range of industries and functional areas. IBM is initially focused on developing solutions in areas such as customer engagement, health care, finance, retail, and travel/hospitality. A few use cases are highlighted below, and more are accessible on the IBM Watson portal on Deloitte Resources. Watson explores the great outdoors IBM collaborated with Fluid, Inc., and The North Face to build the Fluid Expert Personal Shopper (XPS), a Watson-enabled shopping tool. XPS provides a personalized shopping experience that replicates a conversation a customer may have with a salesperson at a brick-and-mortar store. For example, if a customer asks about camping gear for a winter hiking trip to Patagonia, XPS would answer the question by pulling information from a wide variety of sources, such as product descriptions, customer loyalty information, sales histories, customer reviews, outdoors blogs, and travel magazines. Watson goes to medical school The IBM Watson team has collaborated with highly regarded health care providers and a health insurance company to help medical professionals diagnose illnesses and identify treatment options. Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center worked with IBM to develop a Watson-enabled diagnosis tool to provide physicians with evidence-based diagnosis and treatment suggestions for cancer patients. The tool includes supporting evidence and the data source with every suggestion to aid the doctor’s decision-making process. The tool points out areas where more information is needed and updates suggestions as new data is added. The solution’s corpus combines patient data with massive volumes of medical literature, which will be enhanced as new oncology techniques, treatments, and evidence are added to the corpus. Watson as the doctor’s advisor View this video to see how a doctor may interact with Watson to better inform diagnosis and treatment decisions. While Watson may not currently have all the capabilities demonstrated, IBM is actively pursuing research, acquisitions, and partnerships to enhance Watson. For example, IBM’s acquisition of Cognea in May 2014 will likely accelerate development of Watson’s voice recognition capabilities. Short version (2 minutes) Full version (8 minutes) Watson in action Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson24
  • 25. Figure 10 Selected IBM Watson case studies Company Solution Area Product Description Data Sources The North Face and Fluid, Inc. Customer engagement Fluid’s Expert Personal Shopper (XPS) Provides a highly personalized shopping experience Product information, customer loyalty data, sales histories, user reviews, blogs, and relevant magazines, publications, and travel documents Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center Health insurance Utilization Management Advisor Provides benefit approval suggestions to nursing staff based on recommended treatments for patients Patient data, historical use cases, medical literature, clinical guidelines, and best practices Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center Health care diagnostic tool MSK Care System Provides physicians with evidence-based diagnosis and treatment suggestions for cancer patients Patient data, medical literature, journal articles, physicians’ notes, and National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines and best practices Welltok Health care CaféWell Concierge Provides patients with highly personalized suggestions for improving health Location-based data; user activities such as sleeping, exercising, and eating; preventive service benefits; and health- and wellness-related data MD Anderson Cancer Center Health care Oncology Expert Advisor Fine-tunes treatment plans by providing alerts to adverse events and suggesting evidence-based treatment and management options for patients Patient profile, institutional clinician and research knowledge, and medical literature guidelines Genesys Contact Center Solutions and Customer Experience Provider Agent Advisor and Virtual Agent Helps customer service agents provide fast, data-driven answers. Can also be used directly by customers via mobile device, chat session, or online interaction Product information, user reviews, troubleshooting guidelines and best practices, and customer profile Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson25
  • 26. Case study: changing the world of health care Note: This case study was originally published in Deloitte’s Tech Trends 2014 In 2011, WellPoint, one of the nation’s largest health benefits companies, set out to design a world-class, integrated health care ecosystem that would link data on physical, financial, worksite, behavioral, and community health. By establishing a singular platform, WellPoint could enhance its ability to collaborate, share information, automate processes, and manage analytics. To do this, WellPoint needed an advanced solution and therefore teamed with IBM to use the capabilities of Watson—IBM’s cognitive computing system. “We decided to integrate our health care ecosystem to help our care management associates administer member benefits, while providing a seamless member experience and working to reduce costs,” said Gail Borgatti Croall, SVP of Care Management at WellPoint. Today, WellPoint uses cognitive analytics as a tool for utilization management, specifically, in reviewing pre-authorization treatment requests—decisions that require knowledge of medical science, patient history, and the prescribing doctor’s rationale, among other factors. With its ability to read free-form textual information, Watson can synthesize huge amounts of data and create hypotheses on how to respond to case requests. In fact, WellPoint already has “taught” its cognitive engine to recognize medical policies and guidelines representing 54 percent of outpatient requests. “It took us about a year to train our solution on our business, and the more we taught the faster the Watson cognitive platform learned,” said Croall. “Now it’s familiar with a huge volume of clinical information and professional literature.” For each case reviewed, the system provides nurses with a recommendation and an overall confidence and accuracy rating for that recommendation. In some outpatient cases, the system already can auto-approve requests, reducing the timeframe for patient treatment recommendations from 72 hours to near real-time. Furthermore, nurses have experienced a 20 percent improvement in efficiency in specific workflows due to the one-stop-shop nature of the integrated platform. WellPoint’s use of cognitive analytics for utilization management represents the tip of the iceberg. “We’d like to see how our system can support a more holistic, longitudinal patient record—for example, integrating electronic medical record (EMR) data with claims, lab, and pharmacy data,” said Croall. “We’ve barely scratched the surface with our cognitive analytics capabilities. It truly will change the way we perform utilization management and case management services.” Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson26
  • 27. 2 1 3 4 5 6 Figure 11 Steps to realizing value with Watson cognitive computing Understand how Watson works Learn about Watson’s capabilities and limitations by studying existing use cases, within and outside your industry. Consider “art of the possible” use cases Inventory pain points that Watson might help alleviate, and prioritize opportunity areas that Watson might help accelerate. Evaluate current state Assess your information management and analytics capabilities, including any cognitive capabilities. Analyze and document gaps between the current state and the future vision. Leverage CVM workshops Conduct Business/Cognitive Value Mapping workshops on the high-priority cognitive use cases within your enterprise, ranking them in order of trial. Launch pilot or proof of concept Configure and train Watson to first use case, testing the proof of concept system in pilot mode. Evaluate Watson’s fit to purpose for targeted area, enhancing business case with resulting data points. Deploy Watson in full-scale scenario Expand and augment corpus if needed, further training Watson. Conduct structured evaluation of Watson performance vs. plans, adjusting growth and expansion plans accordingly. Steps to a Watson solution Cognitive computing is beginning to emerge as an opportunity and a threat for many businesses, especially information-intensive industries, such as insurance, health care, telecom, and banking. But others may also benefit from being early movers. Figure 11 outlines the basic steps toward generating value from Watson and other cognitive technologies. The following two pages provide examples of potential business usage patterns for IBM Watson and identifies areas of your organization that may benefit from a Watson solution. Realizing business value with Watson Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson27
  • 28. Patterns Value Proposition Industry Cross-EnterpriseExamples OperationalEfficiencyAdvisors Marketing and Sales Advisor Creating the most effective targeted marketing campaigns and effective sales strategy by leveraging multiple sources of data from analyst reports, social data, blogs, reviews, and market research, and leveraging Watson’s user profiling, message resonance, and psycholinguistic capabilities Cross-Industry Smarter Merchandising Advisor Leveraging forward-looking structured and unstructured data to enhance intelligent merchandising and management decisions related to product, pricing, and inventory management Cross-Industry Smarter Operations Advisor Streamlining business processes and compliance in relation to services, policies, procedures, and benefits through an employee-facing quick natural language Q&A self-service interface Cross-Industry Procurement Advisor Empowering employees in the support, visibility, and strategic-sourcing process (In the medical industry, professionals tasked with fulfilling procurement needs struggle to navigate clinical evidence, research, analysis, and price data, which is scarce, highly decentralized, and biased. The supply chain decision-making process is complicated by competing priorities and inefficient collaboration within hospitals. In procuring implantable devices alone, an estimated $5 billion is wasted annually due to these inefficiencies.) Cross-Industry Human Resources Advisor Streamlining HR processes by leveraging procedures, benefits, policies, and other intellectual property in a quick natural-language interface Cross-Industry Research Advisor Enabling analysts and researchers to gain new insights through correlation of large amounts of unstructured data. Whether in health care/life sciences, M&A, accounting and compliance, wealth management, or market competitive analysis–there is a vast corpus of information to provide a professional opinion based on a set of facts. Watson could help enable the understanding of new relationships in a much shorter timeframe. Cross-Industry Watson Insights Advisor By curating information in a 360-view of nearly real-time information, Watson’s semantics understanding analyzes concepts within data that matches a user’s questions, without having to leverage advanced analytics, prepare or model key information. This enables business users to quickly access insights and expand relationship concepts through visualizations, across business functions or shared services (i.e., account management, business performance management), or helping to improve executional capabilities for an enterprise. Cross-Industry CFO Advisor Visualizing, integration, and retrieval of structured and unstructured data for better decisions in an intuitive natural language user interface Cross-Industry Knowledge Advisors Sales Associate Advisor Enabling sales associates in obtaining product information, social content, blogs, product reviews, comparisons to maximize customer service and engagement for higher conversion rates Cross-Industry Knowledge Advisor Empowering knowledge support and enablement of employees on all of client’s intellectual content and selected public information Cross-Industry Customer Service/Call Center Advisor Intelligence-enabled support to help agents quickly respond to client and employee inquires and issues Cross-Industry Industry-SpecificExamples KnowledgeAdvisors Wealth Advisor Empowering wealth advisors with answers to important questions, portfolio management, recommendations asset allocation, and investment decisions based on the risk profile of clients and quick market analysis Financial Insurance Advisor Enabling insurance agents and underwriters with a comprehensive view of client needs/gaps and reducing subjectivity Financial Underwriting Advisor Assist analysts in risk/exposure analysis rapidly resourcing analyst reports and other relevant information on new guidelines, policies, weather and news, etc. Financial Oil and Gas Advisor Empowering oil and gas producers of mineral deposit discovery, drilling, and equipment troubleshooting to quickly sift through large amounts of information in the decision-making process of mineral deposit discovery and drilling equipment troubleshooting Oil and Gas Customer/Self- ServiceAdvisors Health and Wellness Advisor Assisting clients in a mobile self-service app to engage in better health decisions, or aiding drug store retailers with the most up-to-date information to match products and knowledge with consumer concerns and issues, and to drive better patient outcomes. Health care/ Retail Shopping Advisor Assisting clients in obtaining product information, social content, blogs, reviews, for better-informed purchase decisions, and increase customer engagement and conversion rates Retail Wine Advisor The Wine Advisor helps suggest wines based on customer need, tastes, and food pairings, as well as reviews/awards, price, varietal, region, and promotion Retail Figure 12 Watson usage pattern examples Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson28
  • 29. Marketing and Sales Advisor Smarter Merchandising Advisor Smarter Operations Procurement Advisor Human Resources Advisor Research Advisor Watson Insights Advisor CFO Advisor Sales Associate Advisor Knowledge Advisor Customer Service/Call Center Advisor Shareholder Value Revenue Growth Operating Margin (after taxes) Expectations Improve Development & Production Efficiency Improve Corporate/ Shared Service Efficiency Retain and Grow Current Customers Strengthen Pricing Leverage Income- Generating Assets Improve Execution Capabilities Improve Managerial & Governance Effectiveness Improve Logistics & Service Provision Efficiency Improve Customer Interaction Efficiency Acquire New Customers Volume Price Realization Selling, General & Administrative (SG&A) Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) Income Taxes Company Strengths External Factors Asset Efficiency Improve PP&E Efficiency Property, Plant, & Equipment (PP&E) Inventory Receivables & Payables Product & Service Innovation Marketing & Sales Product & Service Innovation Retention Account Management Cross-Sell/ Up-Sell Cash / Asset Management Demand & Supply Management Price Optimization Business Management Financial Management Production Income Tax Management Marketing & Advertising Sales Customer Service & Support Order Fulfillment & Billing Business Performance Management Strategic Assets Business Planning Program Delivery Governance Operational Excellence Partnership & Collaboration Relationship Strength Agility & Flexibility Equipment & Systems Finished Goods Work in Process & Raw Materials Accounts, Notes & Interest Receivable Accounts, Notes, & Interest Payable Logistics & Distribution Merchandising Product Development Materials Service Delivery Real Estate & Infrastructure IT, Telecom , & Networking Real Estate Human Resources Procurement Improve Income Tax Efficiency Improve Inventory Efficiency Improve Receivables & Payables Efficiency Figure 13 Deloitte’s Enterprise Value Map (EVM) Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson29
  • 30. • Submits questions • States clarification • Views Q&A exchange • Rates response and provides feedback • Uploads content for corpus • Creates training data • Reviews client dialogue history, evidence, and source • Renders dialogues history • Renders metric documents • Analyzes client Q&A • Personalizes UI • Configures Watson system • Analyzes user metrics Deloitte is positioned to help Extensive training and effort are required to expand business capabilities with Watson’s cognitive services or create a Watson-powered application. This is where Deloitte can help. Deloitte’s cognitive computing offerings will use IBM Watson as a platform for providing the foundational capabilities in natural language processing and probabilistic reasoning. We are also working with other vendors with niche capabilities that complement and extend Watson’s cognitive abilities. Our goal is to provide holistic cognitive and advanced analytics solutions to help our clients make smarter decisions. For more than a decade, Deloitte and IBM have had strong client and alliance relationships, and our collaboration around Watson is a natural extension of that. Our alliance offerings unite the depth and breadth of IBM’s technology portfolio with Deloitte’s leading methodologies and consulting experience. Through our “smarter teaming” approach, Deloitte and IBM can help our joint clients create and capture more value from cognitive computing. Provides action directives Prompts for clarification Ingests and updates knowledge content Redirects Provides answers with evidence and confidence scores SME Agent UI Developer Admin Figure 14 Resources required to deploy and manage a Watson solution Client/Employee/ Agent Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson30
  • 31. Deloitte’s cognitive computing offerings Below are some of the ways that Deloitte can help you explore and execute cognitive computing solutions to add more potential value to your organization. Ideation and advisory services • Explore how Watson can positively transform your business during a Deloitte Greenhouse session tailored for your organization. • Define your approach and strategies for leveraging cognitive computing capabilities. • Develop internal and/or go-to-market strategies for industry or domain-specific cognitive solutions. Implementation services: Watson enterprise offerings • Customize and implement IBM’s family of Watson Advisor cognitive computing offerings. • Incorporate appropriate IBM technologies, such as: Watson Foundations, Watson advisors (Engagement, Discovery, Policy), and Watson industry advisors (Oncology, Wealth Management). Implementation services: Watson platform components • Customize and implement IBM Watson tooling and API cognitive services. • Incorporate appropriate IBM technologies, such as: Watson Content Analytics, Watson Explorer, Watson API services (Perceiving, Reasoning, Relating, etc.). Implementation services: Watson Ecosystem partner solutions • Customize and implement third-party powered-by-Watson cognitive solutions. • Incorporate cognitive solutions that leverage Watson advisors and platform components, such as Fluid and MD Buyline. Implementation services: Watson foundations products • Plan and implement IBM’s Analytics portfolio of products as the foundation for building future cognitive computing capabilities. • Incorporate appropriate IBM Analytics technologies, such as Information Server, Cognos BI/TM1, Watson Analtyics, SPSS, BigInsights, Streams, DB2 Blu, PureData, etc.). Deloitte cognitive transformation solutions • Collaborate with a client or group of clients to develop and bring to market Watson-based cognitive computing solutions. • Leverage Deloitte’s industry and functional knowledge and IBM Watson technologies to create marketable solutions for clients. Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson31
  • 32. Learn about Watson applications IBM has produced a series of videos that provides an overview of the process of creating an IBM Watson application. These include: • What is IBM Watson? • What is the IBM Watson ecosystem? • Roadmap for planning your IBM Watson cognitive application • Building your Watson cognitive application • Enrich your IBM Watson cognitive application with content • Train your “Powered by Watson” cognitive application • Test and deploy your “Powered by Watson” cognitive application Explore what’s possible Visit a Deloitte Greenhouse to explore the art of the possible for your business with Watson. Your company’s leaders can participate a one-day ideation session tailored to address your specific business challenges and opportunities. This interactive Watson Lab enables you to experiment with Watson in a controlled environment, guided by ambitious objectives to uncover potential value that Watson may be able to generate for your company. Pages 28-29 provide examples of business usage patterns for IBM Watson and areas of your organization that may benefit from a Watson solution. About the Deloitte Greenhouse The Deloitte Greenhouse is an advanced, immersive environment designed to accelerate breakthroughs. The Greenhouse combines behavioral methods, analytics, technology, and expert facilitation to create an experience that can propel clients to extraordinary results; it is a collaborative effort between the Deloitte Analytics Highly Immersive Visual Environment (HIVE), the Deloitte Client Experience (DCE) Labs and Deloitte Consulting Innovation (DCI). Next steps Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson32
  • 33. We are in the early days of this new cognitive computing platform called Watson. The market will likely continue to grow as IBM’s product matures and people find practical ways to apply cognitive computing to solve a myriad of business problems. If you are ready to explore how Watson and cognitive computing may be able to positively disrupt your business to create more value, we should talk. You may contact us at watsoninfo@deloitte.com or reach out to any of the leadership listed here. Robert Dalton Global IBM LCSP and Relationship Leader Deloitte Consulting rdalton@deloitte.com Craig Mallow Global IBM Alliance Leader Deloitte Consulting cmallow@deloitte.ca Scott Kruglewicz Specialist Leader Deloitte Consulting skruglewicz@deloitte.com Acknowledgements We would like to thank IBM’s Watson experts for their collaboration and support. IBM’s publicly available information was a primary source for Watson-related content and graphics. About IBM IBM, the IBM logo, and other referenced IBM products and software brands are trademarks or registered trademarks of the International Business Machines Corporation. About Deloitte This publication contains general information only and Deloitte is not, by means of this publication, rendering accounting, business, financial, investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice or services. This publication is not a substitute for such professional advice or services, nor should it be used as a basis for any decision or action that may affect your business. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your business, you should consult a qualified professional advisor. Deloitte shall not be responsible for any loss sustained by any person who relies on this publication. As used in this document, “Deloitte” means Deloitte Consulting LLP, a subsidiary of Deloitte LLP. Please see www.deloitte.com/us/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte LLP and its subsidiaries. Certain services may not be available to attest clients under the rules and regulations of public accounting. Copyright © 2015 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited Let’s talk Disruption ahead: Deloitte’s point of view on IBM Watson33