The document provides an economic outlook and risk analysis for various regions globally. Some key points:
- Global economic growth is expected to remain slow at just over 2% in 2012-2013 due to headwinds from high OECD debt levels, China's economic slowdown, and ongoing issues in the eurozone.
- The outlook is most negative for Europe, where recessions are widespread and bank deleveraging is reducing lending. Payments performance and credit risk are expected to deteriorate significantly across the region.
- Growth is also slowing in emerging markets as exports to Europe and China decline. Exchange rate volatility from the eurozone crisis poses risks, and commodity producers are concerned about falling oil prices.
NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...
Global Economic Outlook: Cyclical Negatives Tell on Growth
1. A D&B Special Report
July 2012
Global
Outlook
3 Global Risk Insights
• The outlook for global aggregate demand is still volatile and choppy, with dangerous
headwinds.
• OECD public debt levels, China’s slowdown and euro-zone dysfunction all threaten confidence.
• D&B analysis confirms that a strong turnaround in private sector balance sheets in the US has
occurred since 2008.
• Outlook improving: Libya, Myanmar, United Arab Emirates.
• Stable prospects: Colombia, Iceland, Iraq, Japan, Mexico, New Zealand, Poland, US.
Growth Outlook by Region
North America Latin America & Caribbean
Europe Eastern Europe & Central Asia
10.0
Asia Pacific Middle East & North Africa
8.0 Sub-Saharan Africa World
6.0
Real GDP Growth (%)
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0
-4.0
-6.0
2009 2010 2011 2012f 2013f
Source: D&B
Economic growth will vary significantly within and between regions in 2012; European bank
deleveraging is unfolding and, together with weaker European imports, could hit emerging markets;
and oil producers are fearful of any further retreat in oil prices down to fiscally stressful levels.