How Guanghzou, Seoul, Naya Raipur, Guadalajara became more sustainable, resilient, and saved money and can inspire a new paradigm for tomorrow's cities. Presentation by WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities' Global Partnerships and Strategy Director, Holger Dalkmann at Powering Progress Together conference, Shell, in Manila, Philippines, February 26, 2015. More information at WRI.org

1. HOLGER DALKMANN, EMBARQ DIRECTOR, WRI ROSS CENTER FOR SUSTAINABLE CITIES
SHIFTING INTO GEAR:
A NEW PARADIGM FOR
TOMORROW’S CITIES
Shell: Powering Progress Together
Case Studies on Resilience for Cities - Feb. 26, 2015

2. 250 million
1970
1 billion
2010
3 billion?
2050

3. Reduced
Gap
BRIDGING THE GAP TO A 2 DEGREE SCENARIO
Reference: UNEP 2013 Gap Report
Transport
1.7 – 2.5 Gt
17Gt
Gap
Business
As
Usual
2 degree
scenario
2 degree
scenario

4. THE CHALLENGE – 23% REDUCTION FOR 2°AND $20T
Source: IEA (2012) Energy Technology Perspectives
42,971
33,194
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
RoadTravel(BillionVeh-Km)
4 Degree Scenario
2 Degree Scenario

5. LOST ACCESSIBILITYLOST TIME
LOST PUBLIC SPACELOST HEALTH
“BUSINESS AS USUAL”
IS BREAKING DOWN

6. CITIES OF THE FUTURE SHOULD BE…
CONNECTED COMPACT COORDINATED

7. HOUSTON VS. COPENHAGEN
• Contrast shows the economic benefits and cost savings from
mass transit and compactness
Source: Laconte, P., Urban and Transport Management - International Trends and Practices, in International Symposium
"Sustainable Urban Transport and City. 2005, Tongji University and Nagoya University: Shanghai, carfreeinbigd.com,
chron.com/the highwayman, ec.Europa.eu for emissions for Copenhagen, World Bank for emissions for Houston
Houston Copenhagen
 Population density: 3,500 per sq/mi
 ~4% of people use public transport, 95%
of trips are by car
 14% of local GDP spent on transportation
 Emissions per capita (tCO2e/capita): 14.1
 Population density: 17,000 per sq/mi
 ~46% of people use public transport,
cycling also common
 4% of local GDP spent on transportation
 Emissions per capita (tCO2e/capita): 4.7

8. Savings in global infrastructure
spending to 2030 from more
compact, connected urban
development
Source: New Climate Economy analysis.

9. Photo: Mexico City
SO, HOW DO WE GO FROM HERE…

10. …TO HERE
Photo: Andreas/Flickr
10

11. AVOID SHIFT
Emissions Reductions &
Co-Benefits
Technology
Improvements
Public
Transport
Non-Motorized
Transport
Urban
Development
& Transport
Integration
IMPROVE
AVOID-SHIFT-IMPROVE (ASI) APPROACH

12. PARADIGM SHIFT: SEOUL
STRATEGY:
AVOID-SHIFT-IMPROVE

13. NAYA RAIPUR: A NEW URBAN VISION

14. PARADIGM SHIFT IN GUADALAJARA
STRATEGY:
AVOID-SHIFT-IMPROVE

15. PARADIGM SHIFT: BEIJING TO GUANGZHOU
STRATEGY:
AVOID-SHIFT-IMPROVE

16. WHAT WOULD A PARADIGM SHIFT LOOK LIKE?

17. NEW TRENDS ON THE RISE
Source: EMBARQ; http://thecityfix.com/blog/on-the-move-advancing-sustainable-
transport-getting-from-here-to-there-holger-dalkmann/

18. HANGZHOU BIKESHARE: 78,000 BIKES

19. Open Data
Bike Sharing
Car Sharing
CONVENTIONAL SOLUTIONS
& INNOVATIVE DISRUPTIONS
Biking Metro
Buses
Walking

20. 3 PILLARS OF SUSTAINABLE CITIES
Technology
Solutions
Financing
Mechanisms
Legal
Institutions
& Policies

21. Holger Dalkmann
HDalkmann@wri.org
www.wri.org
www.embarq.org
THANK YOU

22. TO LEARN MORE
Web: WRI.org
Blog: TheCityFix.com
Holger Dalkmann
Director, EMBARQ
WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities
hdalkmann@wri.org