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2017 Edelman
Trust Barometer
Supplementary Research
Trust and the
U.S. Presidential Election
Informed
Public
9 years in 20+ markets
Represents 13% of total global population
500 respondents in U.S. and China; 200 in all
other countries
Must meet 4 criteria:
Ages 25-64
College educated
In top 25% of household income per age
group in each country
Report significant media consumption and
engagement in business news
General Online Population
6 years in 25+ markets
Ages 18+
1,150 respondents
per country
All slides show General Online
Population unless otherwise noted
2017 Edelman Trust Barometer
Methodology
28-country global data margin of error: General Population +/-0.6% (N=32,200), Informed Public +/- 1.2% (N=6,200), Mass Population +/- 0.6% (26,000+). Country-
specific data margin of error: General Population +/- 2.9 ( N=1,150), Informed Public +/- 6.9% (N = min 200, varies by country), China and U.S. +/- 4.4% (N=500),
Mass Population +/- 3.0 to 3.6 (N =min 740, varies by country), half sample Global General Online Population +/- 0.8 (N=16,100).
2
17 years of data
33,000+ respondents total
All fieldwork was conducted
between October 13th and
November 16th, 2016
Online Survey in
28 Countries
Mass
Population
All population not including
Informed Public
Represents 87% of total
global population
U.S. Post-Election Supplementary Survey
788 American voters, weighted to be nationally representative based on age, gender
and region, with oversamples of Trump voters (360) and Clinton (367) voters
372 respondents had also participated in the global Trust Barometer Survey
Supplementary fieldwork was conducted from November 28th to December 11th.
Margin of error for Clinton and Trump voter numbers = +/- 5.2%
Margin of error for the total voter numbers = +/- 3.8%
Contents
3
1. Trust Among U.S. Voters
Trust in institutions, before and after the
presidential election
2. A Vote Based on Fear and Distrust
• Percent of Americans who feel the system is
broken, and hold various societal and economic
fears
• Percent of Trump and Clinton voters who hold
various fears
Trust and the U.S. 2016 Presidential Election
3. A Nation Divided
• Demographics
• Fairness of the election outcome
• Trust in political institutions
• Support for increased regulations
• Support for general policy priorities
• Support for business reforms
• Support for trade policies
U.S. Trust Index Largely
Unchanged Among U.S. Voters
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer and U.S. Flash Poll. Q11-620. Below is a list of institutions. For each one, please indicate how much you trust that institution
to do what is right using a nine-point scale, where one means that you “do not trust them at all” and nine means that you “trust them a great deal.” (Top 4 Box, Trust)
Audience: U.S. General Population of voters who participated both in main and re-contact study.
4
Percent trust in the four institutions of government, business,
media and NGOs, pre- and post-U.S. 2016 presidential election
45
U.S. Trust Index
before Nov. 8, 2016
44
U.S. Trust Index
after November 9, 2016
50%
52 49
40 40
54 51
35 37
Trust in Two Institutions Declines
5
Percent trust in the four institutions of NGOs, business, media
and government, pre- and post-U.S. 2016 presidential election
Business MediaNGOs Government
Two of four institutions
decline post-election
Neutral
Trusted
Distrusted
+2 -5 -3
Change+−
Pre-election Post-election
+2
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Below is a list of institutions. For each one, please indicate how much you trust that institution to do what is right using a
nine-point scale, where one means that you “do not trust them at all” and nine means that you “trust them a great deal.” (Top 4 Box, Trust) Full Flash Poll sample who
voted in the Presidential election.
42
50
21 25
47
60
15
26
62
50
57 5760
45
51
46
Trust Diverges Along Voting Lines
6
Percent trust in the four institutions of government, business, media
and NGOs, pre- and post-election, Trump vs. Clinton voters
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer Q11-620 and U.S. Flash Poll. Below is a list of institutions. For each one, please indicate how much you trust that
institution to do what is right using a nine-point scale, where one means that you “do not trust them at all” and nine means that you “trust them a great deal.” (Top 4
Box, Trust) Audience: U.S. General Population of Trump and Clinton voters who participated both in main and re-contact study.
+10 -6 +1
-6-5-2
+5
Media highly distrusted
by Trump voters;
declines among both
Government highly
distrusted by Trump
voters
Change+−
Pre-election Post-election
Trump
Voters
Clinton
Voters
-11
Business MediaNGOs Government
A Vote
Based on
Fear and Distrust
Without Trust,
Belief in the System Fails
8
How true are each of the following?
Sense of Injustice
Desire for Change
Need forceful reformers to bring change
Lack of Confidence
No confidence in current leaders
Lack of Hope
Hard work not rewarded, children will not
have a better life, country not moving in
right direction
System biased in favor of elites, elites
indifferent to the people, getting richer than
they deserve
How true is
this for you?
Sense of injustice
Lack of hope
Lack of confidence
Desire for change
57%
33%
10%
Majority in U.S. Believe
the System is Failing Them
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer. Q672-675, 678-680, 688-690. United States. For details on how the “system failing” measure was calculated, please refer to
the Technical Appendix.
9
Not at all true
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
1 in 3 are uncertain
Completely true
System failing System working
Corruption Globalization Eroding Social Values Immigration Pace of Innovation
Widespread corruption
Compromising the safety of
our citizens
Makes it difficult to institute the
changes necessary to solve our
problems
Protect our jobs from
foreign competition
Foreign companies/influence
damaging our economy/
national culture
Foreign corporations favor their
home country
Most countries cannot be
trusted to engage in fair
trade practices
Values that made this country
great are disappearing
Society changing too quickly and
not in ways that benefit people
like me
Influx of people from other
countries damaging our economy
and national culture
Technological innovations
happening too quickly and leading
to changes not good for
people like me
Concerns Have Become Fears
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer. Corruption Q685-687, Globalization Q681-684, Eroding social values Q676 and Q758, Immigration Q685, Pace of innovation
Q677. United States. For details on how the societal fears were measured, please refer to the Technical Appendix.
10
Percent of respondents who are concerned or fearful regarding each issue
76% Concerned
41% Fearful
66% Concerned
39% Fearful
67% Concerned
36% Fearful
74% Concerned
40% Fearful
61% Concerned
31% Fearful
The Cycle of Fear and Distrust
11
11
34
Trump Won the Fear Vote
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll Q14. Who did you vote for? Audience: U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election, grouped by
“system failing” segments and level of fear from the Trust Barometer. For details on how systemic distrust and societal fears were measured, please refer to the
Technical Appendix. Respondents were labeled as “fearful” if they were fearful of at least one of the following societal issues: corruption, immigration, globalization,
eroding social values, and pace of innovation. 12
Percent of voters for each candidate who are fearful
Trump Voters Clinton Voters
25
42
67%
are fearful
45%
are fearful
System Failing
and Fearful Fearful
Trump Voters Most Fearful
of Immigration & Globalization
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll Q14. Who did you vote for? Audience: U.S. General Population, grouped by “system failing” segments and level of fear
from the Trust Barometer. Corruption Q685-687, Globalization Q681-684, Eroding social values Q676 and Q758, Immigration Q685, Pace of innovation Q677. For
details on how systemic distrust and societal fears were measured, please refer to the Technical Appendix. Respondents were labeled as “fearful” if they were fearful
of at least one of the following societal issues: corruption, immigration, globalization, eroding social values, and pace of innovation. 13
Percent of voters for each candidate who have specific fears
Trump Voters
67%
are fearful
45%
are fearful
Immigration 46 +29
Globalization 44 +25
Eroding Social Values 35 +14
Corruption 34
Pace of Innovation 20
Immigration 17
Globalization 19
Eroding Social Values 21
Corruption 29
Pace of Innovation 15
Trump voters twice as likely to fear
globalization and immigration than
Clinton voters
Clinton Voters
A Nation
Divided
47
52
47
56
30
55
80
58
55
31
50+ years old
White
Male
College-educated
Household income $100K+
Demographic Divide
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Who did you vote for? Audience: U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election.
Percent of Trump and Clinton voters with each characteristic
Trump and Clinton voters
equally affluent and
educated
Trump voters more likely
to be white, male and
over 50 years old
Trump voters Clinton voters
15
6
21
28
34
11
22
26
23
25
4
21
35
28
16
1
Matures
Boomers
Gen X
Millennials
Gen Z
Generational Divide
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Who did you vote for? Audience: U.S. General Population who voted and did not vote in the Presidential election.
Percent of Trump, Clinton and respondents who did not vote who are from each generation
Boomers overwhelmingly
voted for Trump
The youth vote went to
Clinton—but was largely
missing in the voting
booth
Trump voters Clinton voters Did not vote
16
Divided on Fairness
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll Q14. Who did you vote for? Q10.The Presidential election was a fair and accurate reflection of the will of the people. (% Yes). Q13. Do you
regret not having voted? (% Yes). Q16. Do you now regret how you cast your vote? (%Yes). Audience: U.S. General Population who voted and did not vote in the Presidential election.
17
Percent who agree that the outcome of the 2016 U.S. presidential
election was a fair and accurate reflection of the will of the people
34
96
28%
of non-voters
3%
of voters
regret
not voting or
voting for the candidate they supported
Trump
Voters
Clinton
Voters
7
11
27
43
12
28
Matures
Boomers
Gen X
Millennials
Gen Z
Total average
Regrets for Those Who Did Not Vote—
Especially Among Millennials
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Q13. Do you regret not having voted? (% Yes). Audience: U.S. General Population who did not vote in the Presidential election.
Percent of respondents who did not vote with regrets that they did not vote, by generation
18
4 in 10 millennials who
did not vote have regrets
27
58
46
60
46
39
40
49
59
66
Congress
Government regulators, agencies
State and local government
Supreme court
American voters
Trump Voters Trust “the People”
More Than Political Institutions
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Who did you vote for? Q14_17. Below is a list of political and government entities. For each one, please indicate how much you trust that
it to do what is right using a 9-point scale where one means that you “do not trust them at all” and nine means that you “trust them a great deal”. (Top 4 Box, Trust) Audience: U.S. General
Population who voted for Trump or Clinton in the Presidential election.
Percent who trust each of the following to do what is right
Among Trump voters,
American voters more trusted
than institutions
77%
of Trump voters
8%
of Clinton voters
trust the Trump administration
to do what is right
Trump voters Clinton voters
19
Majority Favor Increased Regulation
for Pharma and Financial Services
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q699. For each of the industries listed below, please indicate whether you think it should be subject to: More regulation, Less regulation, The
same amount of regulation as it has currently. Audience: U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election.
20
Percent of U.S. voters who think each industry sector should be
subject to more regulation
59
53
44 43 42
34 33 31
28
25 23
Pharma-
ceuticals
Financial
services
Media
Healthcare
Energy
Telecom-
munications
Food&
beverage
Automotive
Manufacturing
Technology
Beer,wine&
spirits
More Support for Increased Regulation
from Clinton Voters—Except for Media
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Who did you vote for? Q699. For each of the industries listed below, please indicate whether you think it should be subject to: More
regulation, Less regulation, The same amount of regulation as it has currently. Audience: U.S. General Population who voted for Trump or Clinton in the Presidential election.
21
Percent who think each industry sectors should be subject to more regulation
Media is only sector with
stronger support for increased
regulation from Trump voters
54
45
54
39
30 29 27
24 23 24
19
64 63
34
49
54
39 39 38
34
26 26
Pharma-
ceuticals
Financial
services
Media
Healthcare
Energy
Telecom-
munications
Food&
beverage
Automotive
Manufacturing
Technology
Beer,wine&
spirits
Trump voters Clinton voters
Policy Priorities: Training, Education,
Keeping Profits and Manufacturing at Home
22
Percent of U.S. voters who would support each of the follow government policies,
top ten policies shown
70
70
76
77
77
78
79
79
80
83
Mandate that companies offer health and retirement benefits
Mandate family-friendly benefits
Tax laws that encourage corporations to repatriate profits
More infrastructure projects
Government programs to encourage entrepreneurship
Incentivize companies to source locally
Tax incentives to encourage local manufacturing
Penalize companies who move profits abroad
Invest more in education
Incentives for companies to develop job training programs
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q698. The following is a list of potential policies that the new government could work to enact. Please indicate your feelings regarding each
policy using the following nine-point scale where: 1 = “I would be strongly and completely against this policy. It would be harmful” and “9 = I would be enthusiastically in favor of this policy. It
should be a high priority for the government.” Audience: U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election.
Divergence on Corporate Tax Laws,
Education and Benefits
23
Percent who would support each of the follow government policies,
Trump voters and Clinton voters
80
82
88
77
80
80
75
86
69
74
60
61
74
78
75
80
82
82
83
85
Mandate that companies offer health and retirement benefits
Mandate family-friendly benefits
Invest more in education
Government programs designed to encourage entrepreneurship
More infrastructure projects
Penalize companies who move profits abroad
Incentivize companies to source locally
Incentives for companies to develop job training programs
Tax laws that encourage corporations to repatriate profits
Tax incentives to encourage local manufacturing
Trump voters
more likely to
support
Bipartisan
support
Clinton voters
more likely to
support
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Who did you vote for? Q698. The following is a list of potential policies that the new government could work to enact. Please indicate
your feelings regarding each policy using the following nine-point scale where: 1 = “I would be strongly and completely against this policy. It would be harmful” and “9 = I would be
enthusiastically in favor of this policy. It should be a high priority for the government.” Audience: U.S. General Population who voted for Trump or Clinton in the Presidential election.
Trump voters Clinton voters
Strong Support for
Business Reform Policies
24
Percent of U.S. voters who favor each of the
following reform policies, top 10 shown
62
63
64
65
71
72
76
77
80
81
Legislation to address climate change
Allow government to regulate prescription drug prices
Develop domestic fossil fuel supplies
No more bailouts of financial institutions
Ensure sharing-economy companies comply with regulations
Hold companies responsible for not spreading fake news
Food companies to clearly label ingredients such as GMOs
Limit fees and interest of credit cards and lenders
Financial company executives held responsible for meltdowns
Do not allow executives to walk away after a scandal
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q700. The following is a list of potential industry reform policies that the new government could work to enact. Please indicate your feelings
regarding each policy using the following nine-point scale where: 1 = I would be strongly and completely against this policy. It would be harmful. 9 = I would be enthusiastically in favor of
this policy. It should be a high priority for the government. Audience: U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election.
Divided on Fossil Fuels,
Financial Bailouts and the Environment
25
Percent of Trump vs. Clinton voters who agree with each of the follow
top ten priority reform policies, General Population
79
63
71
73
77
79
81
80
56
51
47
62
73
70
75
76
82
82
75
79
Legislation to address climate change
Ban antibiotics in food production
Hold companies responsible for not spreading fake news
Ensure sharing-economy companies comply with regulations
Food companies to clearly label ingredients such as GMOs
Limit fees and interest of credit cards and lenders
Do not allow executives to walk away after a scandal
Financial company executives held responsible for meltdowns
No more bailouts of financial institutions
Develop domestic fossil fuel supplies
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Who did you vote for? Q700. The following is a list of potential industry reform policies that the new government could work to enact.
Please indicate your feelings regarding each policy using the following nine-point scale where: 1 = I would be strongly and completely against this policy. It would be harmful. 9 = I would be
enthusiastically in favor of this policy. It should be a high priority for the government. Audience: U.S. General Population who voted for Trump or Clinton in the Presidential election.
Trump voters
more likely to
support
Bipartisan
support
Clinton voters
more likely to
support
Trump voters Clinton voters
Support for Trade Policies:
Local Sourcing and Job Protection
26
Percent who agree with each trade-related policy
59
60
68
74
78
Most countries can't be trusted on fair trade practices
Get out of/renegotiate trade agreements
More trade agreements to move goods both in and out of the
country
Do more to protect jobs from foreign competitions
Incentivize companies to get materials/parts locally Incentivize local
Protect jobs
Negotiate
Start over
Don’t trust
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q698.The following is a list of potential policies that the new government could work to enact. Please indicate your feelings regarding each policy using the following
nine-point scale where: 1 = “I would be strongly and completely against this policy. It would be harmful” and “9 = I would be enthusiastically in favor of this policy. It should be a high priority for the government.”
(“Incentivize companies to get materials/parts locally”, “More trade agreements to move goods both in and out of the country”, “Get out of/renegotiate trade agreements”) Q670 Below is a list of statements. For
each one, please rate how true you believe that statement is using a nine-point scale where one means it is “not at all true” and nine means it is “completely true”. (“Do more to protect jobs from foreign
competition”, “Most countries can’t be trusted on fair trade practices”) (Top 4 Box, True) Audience: U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election.
Trump Voters Far More
Protectionist Than Clinton Voters
27
Percent of Trump and Clinton voters who agree
with each trade-related policy
46
42
71
62
75
71
80
66
87
82
Most countries can't be trusted on fair trade practices
Get out of/renegotiate trade agreements
More trade agreements to move goods both in and out of the
country
Do more to protect jobs from foreign competitions
Incentivize companies to get materials/parts locally
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q698.The following is a list of potential policies that the new government could work to enact. Please indicate your feelings regarding each
policy using the following nine-point scale where: 1 = “I would be strongly and completely against this policy. It would be harmful” and “9 = I would be enthusiastically in favor of this policy. It
should be a high priority for the government.” (“Incentivize companies to get materials/parts locally”, “More trade agreements to move goods both in and out of the country”, “Get out
of/renegotiate trade agreements”) Q670 Below is a list of statements. For each one, please rate how true you believe that statement is using a nine-point scale where one means it is “not
at all true” and nine means it is “completely true”. (“Do more to protect jobs from foreign competition”, “Most countries can’t be trusted on fair trade practices”) (Top 4 Box, True) Audience:
U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election.
Incentivize local
Protect jobs
Negotiate
Start over
Don’t trust
Trump voters Clinton voters
The Divisions
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll
28
Trump
Voters
Clinton
Voters
Economic and societal fears • More fearful of immigration and globalization • Less fearful across all societal concerns
Political institutions
• More trusting of Congress and the American
voter
• More trusting of government regulators and
agencies
Regulation • Want more regulation of media • Want more regulation of nearly all other sectors
Policy priorities
• Use tax laws to encourage local manufacturing
and repatriate profits
• Invest in education, training and benefits
Reform priorities
• Develop domestic fossil fuel supplies, no more
bailouts of financial institutions
• Address climate change
Trade policies
• Protect jobs, renegotiate trade agreements,
don’t trust other nations
• None that rank higher than for Trump voters
American voters
are divided on:
All
Voters
Crossing
the Aisle
Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll
29
All
Voters
Political institutions • Just as likely to trust the Supreme Court, and state and local government
Policy priorities
• Incentives for companies to develop job training programs ad source locally
• Penalize companies who move profits abroad
• Invest in infrastructure projects
• Programs to support entrepreneurship
Reform priorities
• Hold executives responsible for financial meltdowns and scandals
• Limit lender/credit card fees and interest rates
• Clear labeling of ingredients; ban antibiotics in food production
• Sharing economy companies to comply with regulations
• Hold companies responsible for spreading fake news
Trade policies
• Incentivize local sourcing of materials
• Negotiate trade agreements that move goods both in and out of the country
American voters
agree on:
Thank You

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2017 Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the U.S. Presidential Election

  • 1. 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer Supplementary Research Trust and the U.S. Presidential Election
  • 2. Informed Public 9 years in 20+ markets Represents 13% of total global population 500 respondents in U.S. and China; 200 in all other countries Must meet 4 criteria: Ages 25-64 College educated In top 25% of household income per age group in each country Report significant media consumption and engagement in business news General Online Population 6 years in 25+ markets Ages 18+ 1,150 respondents per country All slides show General Online Population unless otherwise noted 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer Methodology 28-country global data margin of error: General Population +/-0.6% (N=32,200), Informed Public +/- 1.2% (N=6,200), Mass Population +/- 0.6% (26,000+). Country- specific data margin of error: General Population +/- 2.9 ( N=1,150), Informed Public +/- 6.9% (N = min 200, varies by country), China and U.S. +/- 4.4% (N=500), Mass Population +/- 3.0 to 3.6 (N =min 740, varies by country), half sample Global General Online Population +/- 0.8 (N=16,100). 2 17 years of data 33,000+ respondents total All fieldwork was conducted between October 13th and November 16th, 2016 Online Survey in 28 Countries Mass Population All population not including Informed Public Represents 87% of total global population U.S. Post-Election Supplementary Survey 788 American voters, weighted to be nationally representative based on age, gender and region, with oversamples of Trump voters (360) and Clinton (367) voters 372 respondents had also participated in the global Trust Barometer Survey Supplementary fieldwork was conducted from November 28th to December 11th. Margin of error for Clinton and Trump voter numbers = +/- 5.2% Margin of error for the total voter numbers = +/- 3.8%
  • 3. Contents 3 1. Trust Among U.S. Voters Trust in institutions, before and after the presidential election 2. A Vote Based on Fear and Distrust • Percent of Americans who feel the system is broken, and hold various societal and economic fears • Percent of Trump and Clinton voters who hold various fears Trust and the U.S. 2016 Presidential Election 3. A Nation Divided • Demographics • Fairness of the election outcome • Trust in political institutions • Support for increased regulations • Support for general policy priorities • Support for business reforms • Support for trade policies
  • 4. U.S. Trust Index Largely Unchanged Among U.S. Voters Source: 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer and U.S. Flash Poll. Q11-620. Below is a list of institutions. For each one, please indicate how much you trust that institution to do what is right using a nine-point scale, where one means that you “do not trust them at all” and nine means that you “trust them a great deal.” (Top 4 Box, Trust) Audience: U.S. General Population of voters who participated both in main and re-contact study. 4 Percent trust in the four institutions of government, business, media and NGOs, pre- and post-U.S. 2016 presidential election 45 U.S. Trust Index before Nov. 8, 2016 44 U.S. Trust Index after November 9, 2016
  • 5. 50% 52 49 40 40 54 51 35 37 Trust in Two Institutions Declines 5 Percent trust in the four institutions of NGOs, business, media and government, pre- and post-U.S. 2016 presidential election Business MediaNGOs Government Two of four institutions decline post-election Neutral Trusted Distrusted +2 -5 -3 Change+− Pre-election Post-election +2 Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Below is a list of institutions. For each one, please indicate how much you trust that institution to do what is right using a nine-point scale, where one means that you “do not trust them at all” and nine means that you “trust them a great deal.” (Top 4 Box, Trust) Full Flash Poll sample who voted in the Presidential election.
  • 6. 42 50 21 25 47 60 15 26 62 50 57 5760 45 51 46 Trust Diverges Along Voting Lines 6 Percent trust in the four institutions of government, business, media and NGOs, pre- and post-election, Trump vs. Clinton voters Source: 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer Q11-620 and U.S. Flash Poll. Below is a list of institutions. For each one, please indicate how much you trust that institution to do what is right using a nine-point scale, where one means that you “do not trust them at all” and nine means that you “trust them a great deal.” (Top 4 Box, Trust) Audience: U.S. General Population of Trump and Clinton voters who participated both in main and re-contact study. +10 -6 +1 -6-5-2 +5 Media highly distrusted by Trump voters; declines among both Government highly distrusted by Trump voters Change+− Pre-election Post-election Trump Voters Clinton Voters -11 Business MediaNGOs Government
  • 7. A Vote Based on Fear and Distrust
  • 8. Without Trust, Belief in the System Fails 8 How true are each of the following? Sense of Injustice Desire for Change Need forceful reformers to bring change Lack of Confidence No confidence in current leaders Lack of Hope Hard work not rewarded, children will not have a better life, country not moving in right direction System biased in favor of elites, elites indifferent to the people, getting richer than they deserve
  • 9. How true is this for you? Sense of injustice Lack of hope Lack of confidence Desire for change 57% 33% 10% Majority in U.S. Believe the System is Failing Them Source: 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer. Q672-675, 678-680, 688-690. United States. For details on how the “system failing” measure was calculated, please refer to the Technical Appendix. 9 Not at all true 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 in 3 are uncertain Completely true System failing System working
  • 10. Corruption Globalization Eroding Social Values Immigration Pace of Innovation Widespread corruption Compromising the safety of our citizens Makes it difficult to institute the changes necessary to solve our problems Protect our jobs from foreign competition Foreign companies/influence damaging our economy/ national culture Foreign corporations favor their home country Most countries cannot be trusted to engage in fair trade practices Values that made this country great are disappearing Society changing too quickly and not in ways that benefit people like me Influx of people from other countries damaging our economy and national culture Technological innovations happening too quickly and leading to changes not good for people like me Concerns Have Become Fears Source: 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer. Corruption Q685-687, Globalization Q681-684, Eroding social values Q676 and Q758, Immigration Q685, Pace of innovation Q677. United States. For details on how the societal fears were measured, please refer to the Technical Appendix. 10 Percent of respondents who are concerned or fearful regarding each issue 76% Concerned 41% Fearful 66% Concerned 39% Fearful 67% Concerned 36% Fearful 74% Concerned 40% Fearful 61% Concerned 31% Fearful
  • 11. The Cycle of Fear and Distrust 11
  • 12. 11 34 Trump Won the Fear Vote Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll Q14. Who did you vote for? Audience: U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election, grouped by “system failing” segments and level of fear from the Trust Barometer. For details on how systemic distrust and societal fears were measured, please refer to the Technical Appendix. Respondents were labeled as “fearful” if they were fearful of at least one of the following societal issues: corruption, immigration, globalization, eroding social values, and pace of innovation. 12 Percent of voters for each candidate who are fearful Trump Voters Clinton Voters 25 42 67% are fearful 45% are fearful System Failing and Fearful Fearful
  • 13. Trump Voters Most Fearful of Immigration & Globalization Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll Q14. Who did you vote for? Audience: U.S. General Population, grouped by “system failing” segments and level of fear from the Trust Barometer. Corruption Q685-687, Globalization Q681-684, Eroding social values Q676 and Q758, Immigration Q685, Pace of innovation Q677. For details on how systemic distrust and societal fears were measured, please refer to the Technical Appendix. Respondents were labeled as “fearful” if they were fearful of at least one of the following societal issues: corruption, immigration, globalization, eroding social values, and pace of innovation. 13 Percent of voters for each candidate who have specific fears Trump Voters 67% are fearful 45% are fearful Immigration 46 +29 Globalization 44 +25 Eroding Social Values 35 +14 Corruption 34 Pace of Innovation 20 Immigration 17 Globalization 19 Eroding Social Values 21 Corruption 29 Pace of Innovation 15 Trump voters twice as likely to fear globalization and immigration than Clinton voters Clinton Voters
  • 15. 47 52 47 56 30 55 80 58 55 31 50+ years old White Male College-educated Household income $100K+ Demographic Divide Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Who did you vote for? Audience: U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election. Percent of Trump and Clinton voters with each characteristic Trump and Clinton voters equally affluent and educated Trump voters more likely to be white, male and over 50 years old Trump voters Clinton voters 15
  • 16. 6 21 28 34 11 22 26 23 25 4 21 35 28 16 1 Matures Boomers Gen X Millennials Gen Z Generational Divide Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Who did you vote for? Audience: U.S. General Population who voted and did not vote in the Presidential election. Percent of Trump, Clinton and respondents who did not vote who are from each generation Boomers overwhelmingly voted for Trump The youth vote went to Clinton—but was largely missing in the voting booth Trump voters Clinton voters Did not vote 16
  • 17. Divided on Fairness Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll Q14. Who did you vote for? Q10.The Presidential election was a fair and accurate reflection of the will of the people. (% Yes). Q13. Do you regret not having voted? (% Yes). Q16. Do you now regret how you cast your vote? (%Yes). Audience: U.S. General Population who voted and did not vote in the Presidential election. 17 Percent who agree that the outcome of the 2016 U.S. presidential election was a fair and accurate reflection of the will of the people 34 96 28% of non-voters 3% of voters regret not voting or voting for the candidate they supported Trump Voters Clinton Voters
  • 18. 7 11 27 43 12 28 Matures Boomers Gen X Millennials Gen Z Total average Regrets for Those Who Did Not Vote— Especially Among Millennials Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Q13. Do you regret not having voted? (% Yes). Audience: U.S. General Population who did not vote in the Presidential election. Percent of respondents who did not vote with regrets that they did not vote, by generation 18 4 in 10 millennials who did not vote have regrets
  • 19. 27 58 46 60 46 39 40 49 59 66 Congress Government regulators, agencies State and local government Supreme court American voters Trump Voters Trust “the People” More Than Political Institutions Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Who did you vote for? Q14_17. Below is a list of political and government entities. For each one, please indicate how much you trust that it to do what is right using a 9-point scale where one means that you “do not trust them at all” and nine means that you “trust them a great deal”. (Top 4 Box, Trust) Audience: U.S. General Population who voted for Trump or Clinton in the Presidential election. Percent who trust each of the following to do what is right Among Trump voters, American voters more trusted than institutions 77% of Trump voters 8% of Clinton voters trust the Trump administration to do what is right Trump voters Clinton voters 19
  • 20. Majority Favor Increased Regulation for Pharma and Financial Services Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q699. For each of the industries listed below, please indicate whether you think it should be subject to: More regulation, Less regulation, The same amount of regulation as it has currently. Audience: U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election. 20 Percent of U.S. voters who think each industry sector should be subject to more regulation 59 53 44 43 42 34 33 31 28 25 23 Pharma- ceuticals Financial services Media Healthcare Energy Telecom- munications Food& beverage Automotive Manufacturing Technology Beer,wine& spirits
  • 21. More Support for Increased Regulation from Clinton Voters—Except for Media Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Who did you vote for? Q699. For each of the industries listed below, please indicate whether you think it should be subject to: More regulation, Less regulation, The same amount of regulation as it has currently. Audience: U.S. General Population who voted for Trump or Clinton in the Presidential election. 21 Percent who think each industry sectors should be subject to more regulation Media is only sector with stronger support for increased regulation from Trump voters 54 45 54 39 30 29 27 24 23 24 19 64 63 34 49 54 39 39 38 34 26 26 Pharma- ceuticals Financial services Media Healthcare Energy Telecom- munications Food& beverage Automotive Manufacturing Technology Beer,wine& spirits Trump voters Clinton voters
  • 22. Policy Priorities: Training, Education, Keeping Profits and Manufacturing at Home 22 Percent of U.S. voters who would support each of the follow government policies, top ten policies shown 70 70 76 77 77 78 79 79 80 83 Mandate that companies offer health and retirement benefits Mandate family-friendly benefits Tax laws that encourage corporations to repatriate profits More infrastructure projects Government programs to encourage entrepreneurship Incentivize companies to source locally Tax incentives to encourage local manufacturing Penalize companies who move profits abroad Invest more in education Incentives for companies to develop job training programs Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q698. The following is a list of potential policies that the new government could work to enact. Please indicate your feelings regarding each policy using the following nine-point scale where: 1 = “I would be strongly and completely against this policy. It would be harmful” and “9 = I would be enthusiastically in favor of this policy. It should be a high priority for the government.” Audience: U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election.
  • 23. Divergence on Corporate Tax Laws, Education and Benefits 23 Percent who would support each of the follow government policies, Trump voters and Clinton voters 80 82 88 77 80 80 75 86 69 74 60 61 74 78 75 80 82 82 83 85 Mandate that companies offer health and retirement benefits Mandate family-friendly benefits Invest more in education Government programs designed to encourage entrepreneurship More infrastructure projects Penalize companies who move profits abroad Incentivize companies to source locally Incentives for companies to develop job training programs Tax laws that encourage corporations to repatriate profits Tax incentives to encourage local manufacturing Trump voters more likely to support Bipartisan support Clinton voters more likely to support Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Who did you vote for? Q698. The following is a list of potential policies that the new government could work to enact. Please indicate your feelings regarding each policy using the following nine-point scale where: 1 = “I would be strongly and completely against this policy. It would be harmful” and “9 = I would be enthusiastically in favor of this policy. It should be a high priority for the government.” Audience: U.S. General Population who voted for Trump or Clinton in the Presidential election. Trump voters Clinton voters
  • 24. Strong Support for Business Reform Policies 24 Percent of U.S. voters who favor each of the following reform policies, top 10 shown 62 63 64 65 71 72 76 77 80 81 Legislation to address climate change Allow government to regulate prescription drug prices Develop domestic fossil fuel supplies No more bailouts of financial institutions Ensure sharing-economy companies comply with regulations Hold companies responsible for not spreading fake news Food companies to clearly label ingredients such as GMOs Limit fees and interest of credit cards and lenders Financial company executives held responsible for meltdowns Do not allow executives to walk away after a scandal Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q700. The following is a list of potential industry reform policies that the new government could work to enact. Please indicate your feelings regarding each policy using the following nine-point scale where: 1 = I would be strongly and completely against this policy. It would be harmful. 9 = I would be enthusiastically in favor of this policy. It should be a high priority for the government. Audience: U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election.
  • 25. Divided on Fossil Fuels, Financial Bailouts and the Environment 25 Percent of Trump vs. Clinton voters who agree with each of the follow top ten priority reform policies, General Population 79 63 71 73 77 79 81 80 56 51 47 62 73 70 75 76 82 82 75 79 Legislation to address climate change Ban antibiotics in food production Hold companies responsible for not spreading fake news Ensure sharing-economy companies comply with regulations Food companies to clearly label ingredients such as GMOs Limit fees and interest of credit cards and lenders Do not allow executives to walk away after a scandal Financial company executives held responsible for meltdowns No more bailouts of financial institutions Develop domestic fossil fuel supplies Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q14. Who did you vote for? Q700. The following is a list of potential industry reform policies that the new government could work to enact. Please indicate your feelings regarding each policy using the following nine-point scale where: 1 = I would be strongly and completely against this policy. It would be harmful. 9 = I would be enthusiastically in favor of this policy. It should be a high priority for the government. Audience: U.S. General Population who voted for Trump or Clinton in the Presidential election. Trump voters more likely to support Bipartisan support Clinton voters more likely to support Trump voters Clinton voters
  • 26. Support for Trade Policies: Local Sourcing and Job Protection 26 Percent who agree with each trade-related policy 59 60 68 74 78 Most countries can't be trusted on fair trade practices Get out of/renegotiate trade agreements More trade agreements to move goods both in and out of the country Do more to protect jobs from foreign competitions Incentivize companies to get materials/parts locally Incentivize local Protect jobs Negotiate Start over Don’t trust Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q698.The following is a list of potential policies that the new government could work to enact. Please indicate your feelings regarding each policy using the following nine-point scale where: 1 = “I would be strongly and completely against this policy. It would be harmful” and “9 = I would be enthusiastically in favor of this policy. It should be a high priority for the government.” (“Incentivize companies to get materials/parts locally”, “More trade agreements to move goods both in and out of the country”, “Get out of/renegotiate trade agreements”) Q670 Below is a list of statements. For each one, please rate how true you believe that statement is using a nine-point scale where one means it is “not at all true” and nine means it is “completely true”. (“Do more to protect jobs from foreign competition”, “Most countries can’t be trusted on fair trade practices”) (Top 4 Box, True) Audience: U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election.
  • 27. Trump Voters Far More Protectionist Than Clinton Voters 27 Percent of Trump and Clinton voters who agree with each trade-related policy 46 42 71 62 75 71 80 66 87 82 Most countries can't be trusted on fair trade practices Get out of/renegotiate trade agreements More trade agreements to move goods both in and out of the country Do more to protect jobs from foreign competitions Incentivize companies to get materials/parts locally Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll. Q698.The following is a list of potential policies that the new government could work to enact. Please indicate your feelings regarding each policy using the following nine-point scale where: 1 = “I would be strongly and completely against this policy. It would be harmful” and “9 = I would be enthusiastically in favor of this policy. It should be a high priority for the government.” (“Incentivize companies to get materials/parts locally”, “More trade agreements to move goods both in and out of the country”, “Get out of/renegotiate trade agreements”) Q670 Below is a list of statements. For each one, please rate how true you believe that statement is using a nine-point scale where one means it is “not at all true” and nine means it is “completely true”. (“Do more to protect jobs from foreign competition”, “Most countries can’t be trusted on fair trade practices”) (Top 4 Box, True) Audience: U.S. General Population who voted in the Presidential election. Incentivize local Protect jobs Negotiate Start over Don’t trust Trump voters Clinton voters
  • 28. The Divisions Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll 28 Trump Voters Clinton Voters Economic and societal fears • More fearful of immigration and globalization • Less fearful across all societal concerns Political institutions • More trusting of Congress and the American voter • More trusting of government regulators and agencies Regulation • Want more regulation of media • Want more regulation of nearly all other sectors Policy priorities • Use tax laws to encourage local manufacturing and repatriate profits • Invest in education, training and benefits Reform priorities • Develop domestic fossil fuel supplies, no more bailouts of financial institutions • Address climate change Trade policies • Protect jobs, renegotiate trade agreements, don’t trust other nations • None that rank higher than for Trump voters American voters are divided on:
  • 29. All Voters Crossing the Aisle Source: 2017 Edelman Trust U.S. Flash Poll 29 All Voters Political institutions • Just as likely to trust the Supreme Court, and state and local government Policy priorities • Incentives for companies to develop job training programs ad source locally • Penalize companies who move profits abroad • Invest in infrastructure projects • Programs to support entrepreneurship Reform priorities • Hold executives responsible for financial meltdowns and scandals • Limit lender/credit card fees and interest rates • Clear labeling of ingredients; ban antibiotics in food production • Sharing economy companies to comply with regulations • Hold companies responsible for spreading fake news Trade policies • Incentivize local sourcing of materials • Negotiate trade agreements that move goods both in and out of the country American voters agree on: