Lecture at the IPS-SANDEE-DOM Workshop on Integrating Climate Information Systems for Agriculture Value Chain

1. Integrating Climate Risks in
Agricultural Value Chains : Policy and
Management
Dr. A.K Enamul Haque
SANDEE Advisor and
Professor, East West University
Presented at the Regional Consultation Workshop on Bridging the Climate Information and
Communication Gaps for Effective Adaptation Decisions: An Integrated Climate Information Management
System jointly organized by The Institute of Public Policy, South Asian Network for Development and
Environmental Economics and Department of Meteorology of Sri Lanka
Colombo, 21-22 June 2016

2. Agricultural Value Chain
• From production to consumption
changes in agricultural produces
– Transformation
• Physical volumes
• Monetary values
• Value chain
– Analysis of value creation at every state
of transformation.

3. Value chain
• Affected by
– Weather
• Bad weather vs good weather
– Technology
• Improved technology vs traditional technology
• Energy use in agriculture
– Climate risks
• Long term changes in temperature
• Climate Variability
• Slow Onset Events

4. Risks to agriculture
• Long term changes in temperature
– Rain-fed agriculture
– Nature’s role compromised
• Climate Variations
– Reduces agricultural output
– Crop losses
• SOCE – slow onset climate events
– Loss and damages.

5. No of Natural Disasters since
1900
Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html

6. No of Natural Disasters by
Continents
Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html

7. Economic Damages since 1900
Constant 2014 $
Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html

8. Damages by Flood, Drought and
Storm
(constant 2014 $)
Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html

13. Loss and Damage in Agriculture

14. Loss and Damage by sub-sectors

15. Loss and Damage in crops by
Disasters

16. Loss and Damage in Livestock by
Disasters

17. Loss and Damage in Fisheries by
Disasters

18. Production Loss by regions

19. Policies and Strategies
• Dealing with risks
– Production risks
• Early Warning Systems for agriculture
– Need to change – forecasts by fortnights
– Geocoding of warnings
– Adaptations
– Financial risks
• Insurance schemes
• Adaptations
• Redefining agricultural disasters
– Loss and damages
• Beyond adaptations
• Rehabilitation/compensation schemes