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Achieving nuclear zero:
Brazil’s contribution to the international
efforts against nuclear weapons
Renata H. Dalaqua
2015
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br @cpdocfgv
2
Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to
the international efforts against nuclear weapons
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
About the Author
Abstract
3
Renata H. Dalaqua
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
Contents
1. Introduction...................................................................................................................................................4
2. Brazil’s contribution to nuclear zero
a) Safeguards and non-proliferation assurances........................................................................5
b) Tlatelolco and beyond.....................................................................................................................7
c) Joining forces with like-minded countries............................................................................10
d) The humanitarian approach, a change of perspective......................................................11
3. Conclusions..................................................................................................................................................13
4. Bibliography................................................................................................................................................15
5. Appendix: List of Acronyms.............................................................................................................19
4
Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to
the international efforts against nuclear weapons
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
1. Introduction
de jure 1
2
3
4
5
1 As opposed to India, Israel, Pakistan and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) – which are not part of the NPT and, thus,
are considered de facto NWS.
2 As of March 2015, the United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA) database registers 191 states parties to the NPT, including
the DPRK. Although there are divergent views as to whether North Korea is still a party to the NPT, this paper will not include it among
the member states. Hence, the total number of NPT states parties considered here is 190 (5 NWS and 185 NNWS).
3 India, Israel, Pakistan never signed the NPT and the DPRK pulled out of the treaty, in 2003, invoking the withdrawal clause.
4 According to The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists’ Nuclear Notebook (2015), there were more than 64,000 nuclear warheads at the apex of
the nuclear arms race in 1986. Currently, the global nuclear stockpile is estimated in more than 16,000 warheads (Norris and Kristensen, 2014a).
5 For an overview of the recent modernization efforts undertaken by all nine countries that have nuclear weapons, see Norris and Kris-
tensen, 2014b.
5
Renata H. Dalaqua
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
››
››
››
››
6
2. Brazil’s contribution to nuclear zero
a) Safeguards and non-proliferation assurances
6 While this article will focus mainly on the ideas that Brazil has already tried to implement, a second paper will explore bolder options
that Brazil could pursue to break the disarmament deadlock. See Dalaqua, 2015.
6
Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to
the international efforts against nuclear weapons
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
7
7 The list includes one power reactor under construction (Angra 3) and three facilities still in the phase of project development.
7
Renata H. Dalaqua
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
b) Tlatelolco and beyond
8
The Treaty of Tlatelolco effectively brought contributions to the contracting parties, increasing
confidence among the countries of the region, serving as a preventive measure of disarmament
and as an instrument to demand negative security assurances from the NWS in favor of the
signatories. It also served as an important example to the rest of the world, offering a model
arrangement to be replicated and improved in other regions.
8 Up to 1990, the official title of the treaty did not include the words “and the Caribbean”. This was amended in order to incorporate the
English-speaking states of the Caribbean area into the zone of application of the treaty. By another amendment in 1991, all the indepen-
dent states of the region became eligible to join the denuclearized zone. Before that, a political entity that had a part or whole territory
under dispute between an extra-continental state and one or more Latin American state could not be admitted.
8
Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to
the international efforts against nuclear weapons
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
9
9 According to article 28 of the Treaty of Tlatelolco, the following requirements should be met so the agreement could enter into force
among the States that had ratified it: a) Deposit of instrument of ratification by all states in the zone; b) Signature and ratification of
Additional Protocol I (...) by all extracontinental and continental states having de jure or de facto international responsibility for territories
situated in the zone; c) Signature and ratification of Additional Protocol II by all powers possessing nuclear weapons; d) Conclusion of
safeguards agreements with the IAEA.
9
Renata H. Dalaqua
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
Figure 1 - Nuclear-Weapon-Free Areas
Source: UNODA website
1. Treaty of Tlatelolco (Latin America and Caribbean, 1967)
2. Treaty of Rarotonga (South Pacific, 1985)
3. Treaty of Bangkok (South Asia, 1995)
4. Treaty of Pelindaba (Africa, 1996)
5. Treaty of Semipalatinsk (Central Asia, 2006)
6. Single-state NWFZ (Mongolia, 1992)
7. Antarctic Treaty (1959)
8. Outer Space Treaty (1967)
9. Sea-bed Treaty (1971)
10
Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to
the international efforts against nuclear weapons
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
c) Joining forces with like-minded countries
10
11
10 This fact was recently pointed out by Wildfire (2014).
11 Slovenia and Sweden used to be part of the NAC, but decided to leave the Coalition.
11
Renata H. Dalaqua
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
12
13
d) The humanitarian approach, a change of perspective
12 The first NSS was convened by the U.S. President, Barack Obama, in Washington in 2010. With the purpose of strengthening nuclear se-
curity and reducing the threat of nuclear terrorism, the meeting promoted a discussion on measures to better safeguard weapons-grade
uranium and plutonium and break up nuclear black markets. A second summit was held in Seoul, Korea, in 2012 and a third one took
place in The Hague, the Netherlands, in 2014. The fourth, and likely the last, edition of the NSS is expected to occur in 2016, in the U.S.
13 In addition to Brazil, the document was endorsed by Algeria, Argentina, Chile, Egypt, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Mexico, New
Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, South Africa, Ukraine and Vietnam.
12
Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to
the international efforts against nuclear weapons
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
The debate on nuclear weapons and their elimination became hostage to strategic jargons and
military reasoning that tends to ignore the impact that the detonation of nuclear bombs would have
on people, cities and the environment. Thus, the humanitarian approach challenges the perspective
of the NWS by addressing the perspective of the victims. It cuts out the distance afforded by
abstract reasoning and place the concern with human suffering at the center of the debate.
13
Renata H. Dalaqua
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
14
15
3. Conclusions
Policy Recommendations
1. Submarine Safeguards
2. Stick to LEU for Naval Nuclear Propulsion
3. Review Article 18 of the Tlatelolco Treaty
16
14 To date, 162 countries are states parties to the Mine Ban Treaty.
15 Currently, the Convention on Cluster Munitions counts 84 member states.
16 Cuba and Dominica are the only countries of the region that have not adhered to the CTBT.
14
Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to
the international efforts against nuclear weapons
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
4. Step up Nuclear-Weapons-Free Zones group identity
5. Rethink Alliances
17
6. Reinforce the NAC
7. Strengthen the commitment to the Humanitarian Initiative
18
17 For the past 17 years, the CD has not been able to achieve consensus on a program of work and a framework for implementing it. Every
year, the sessions of the Conference conclude without any progress on substantive issues.
18 The World Court Project originated in the 1980s with the objective of having the International Court of Justice (ICJ) rule on the legality of
the threat or use of nuclear weapons. In 1996, the ICJ issued its advisory opinion. By the President’s casting vote, the Court ruled that “the
threat or use of nuclear weapons would generally be contrary to the rules of international law applicable in armed conflict, and particular-
ly the principles and rules of humanitarian law” (International Court of Justice, 1996,). Moreover, the Court decided unanimously that “there
exists an obligation to pursue in good faith and bring to a conclusion negotiations leading to nuclear disarmament in all its aspects” (Ibid).
15
Renata H. Dalaqua
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
8. Increase Awareness in Brazil about the Atomic Bomb Survivors and Their Stories
4. Bibliography
Primary sources
›› Annual Report
››
››
››
››
››
››
16
Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to
the international efforts against nuclear weapons
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
››
››
››
›› Legality of the Threat or Use of Nuclear Weapons
››
››
›› Final Document (vol. I)
›› Final Document (parts I and II)
››
››
››
››
››
17
Renata H. Dalaqua
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
››
Secondary sources
››
››
Varia História
››
Nonproliferation Review
››
››
Aurora Papers
›› History of the International Atomic Energy Agency: The First Forty Years.
››
›› La cuestión nuclear en la relación argentino-brasileña
›› The origins of nuclear cooperation: a critical oral history
of Argentina and Brazil
›› Non-
proliferation Review
›› Bulletin of the
Atomic Scientists
››
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
›› European Leadership Net-
work
18
Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to
the international efforts against nuclear weapons
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
›› Brazil in Global Nuclear Order
›› Bulletin of the Atomic
Scientists
›› Arms Control Today
›› Nuclear prolifera-
tion after the Cold War
›› Nuclear Notebook
›› Nuclear disarmament: You’re doing it wrong
19
Renata H. Dalaqua
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
5. Appendix: List of Acronyms
This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br
@cpdocfgv

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Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to the international efforts against nuclear weapons

  • 1. Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to the international efforts against nuclear weapons Renata H. Dalaqua 2015 This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br @cpdocfgv
  • 2. 2 Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to the international efforts against nuclear weapons This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br About the Author Abstract
  • 3. 3 Renata H. Dalaqua This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br Contents 1. Introduction...................................................................................................................................................4 2. Brazil’s contribution to nuclear zero a) Safeguards and non-proliferation assurances........................................................................5 b) Tlatelolco and beyond.....................................................................................................................7 c) Joining forces with like-minded countries............................................................................10 d) The humanitarian approach, a change of perspective......................................................11 3. Conclusions..................................................................................................................................................13 4. Bibliography................................................................................................................................................15 5. Appendix: List of Acronyms.............................................................................................................19
  • 4. 4 Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to the international efforts against nuclear weapons This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br 1. Introduction de jure 1 2 3 4 5 1 As opposed to India, Israel, Pakistan and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) – which are not part of the NPT and, thus, are considered de facto NWS. 2 As of March 2015, the United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA) database registers 191 states parties to the NPT, including the DPRK. Although there are divergent views as to whether North Korea is still a party to the NPT, this paper will not include it among the member states. Hence, the total number of NPT states parties considered here is 190 (5 NWS and 185 NNWS). 3 India, Israel, Pakistan never signed the NPT and the DPRK pulled out of the treaty, in 2003, invoking the withdrawal clause. 4 According to The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists’ Nuclear Notebook (2015), there were more than 64,000 nuclear warheads at the apex of the nuclear arms race in 1986. Currently, the global nuclear stockpile is estimated in more than 16,000 warheads (Norris and Kristensen, 2014a). 5 For an overview of the recent modernization efforts undertaken by all nine countries that have nuclear weapons, see Norris and Kris- tensen, 2014b.
  • 5. 5 Renata H. Dalaqua This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br ›› ›› ›› ›› 6 2. Brazil’s contribution to nuclear zero a) Safeguards and non-proliferation assurances 6 While this article will focus mainly on the ideas that Brazil has already tried to implement, a second paper will explore bolder options that Brazil could pursue to break the disarmament deadlock. See Dalaqua, 2015.
  • 6. 6 Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to the international efforts against nuclear weapons This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br 7 7 The list includes one power reactor under construction (Angra 3) and three facilities still in the phase of project development.
  • 7. 7 Renata H. Dalaqua This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br b) Tlatelolco and beyond 8 The Treaty of Tlatelolco effectively brought contributions to the contracting parties, increasing confidence among the countries of the region, serving as a preventive measure of disarmament and as an instrument to demand negative security assurances from the NWS in favor of the signatories. It also served as an important example to the rest of the world, offering a model arrangement to be replicated and improved in other regions. 8 Up to 1990, the official title of the treaty did not include the words “and the Caribbean”. This was amended in order to incorporate the English-speaking states of the Caribbean area into the zone of application of the treaty. By another amendment in 1991, all the indepen- dent states of the region became eligible to join the denuclearized zone. Before that, a political entity that had a part or whole territory under dispute between an extra-continental state and one or more Latin American state could not be admitted.
  • 8. 8 Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to the international efforts against nuclear weapons This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br 9 9 According to article 28 of the Treaty of Tlatelolco, the following requirements should be met so the agreement could enter into force among the States that had ratified it: a) Deposit of instrument of ratification by all states in the zone; b) Signature and ratification of Additional Protocol I (...) by all extracontinental and continental states having de jure or de facto international responsibility for territories situated in the zone; c) Signature and ratification of Additional Protocol II by all powers possessing nuclear weapons; d) Conclusion of safeguards agreements with the IAEA.
  • 9. 9 Renata H. Dalaqua This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br Figure 1 - Nuclear-Weapon-Free Areas Source: UNODA website 1. Treaty of Tlatelolco (Latin America and Caribbean, 1967) 2. Treaty of Rarotonga (South Pacific, 1985) 3. Treaty of Bangkok (South Asia, 1995) 4. Treaty of Pelindaba (Africa, 1996) 5. Treaty of Semipalatinsk (Central Asia, 2006) 6. Single-state NWFZ (Mongolia, 1992) 7. Antarctic Treaty (1959) 8. Outer Space Treaty (1967) 9. Sea-bed Treaty (1971)
  • 10. 10 Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to the international efforts against nuclear weapons This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br c) Joining forces with like-minded countries 10 11 10 This fact was recently pointed out by Wildfire (2014). 11 Slovenia and Sweden used to be part of the NAC, but decided to leave the Coalition.
  • 11. 11 Renata H. Dalaqua This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br 12 13 d) The humanitarian approach, a change of perspective 12 The first NSS was convened by the U.S. President, Barack Obama, in Washington in 2010. With the purpose of strengthening nuclear se- curity and reducing the threat of nuclear terrorism, the meeting promoted a discussion on measures to better safeguard weapons-grade uranium and plutonium and break up nuclear black markets. A second summit was held in Seoul, Korea, in 2012 and a third one took place in The Hague, the Netherlands, in 2014. The fourth, and likely the last, edition of the NSS is expected to occur in 2016, in the U.S. 13 In addition to Brazil, the document was endorsed by Algeria, Argentina, Chile, Egypt, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, South Africa, Ukraine and Vietnam.
  • 12. 12 Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to the international efforts against nuclear weapons This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br The debate on nuclear weapons and their elimination became hostage to strategic jargons and military reasoning that tends to ignore the impact that the detonation of nuclear bombs would have on people, cities and the environment. Thus, the humanitarian approach challenges the perspective of the NWS by addressing the perspective of the victims. It cuts out the distance afforded by abstract reasoning and place the concern with human suffering at the center of the debate.
  • 13. 13 Renata H. Dalaqua This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br 14 15 3. Conclusions Policy Recommendations 1. Submarine Safeguards 2. Stick to LEU for Naval Nuclear Propulsion 3. Review Article 18 of the Tlatelolco Treaty 16 14 To date, 162 countries are states parties to the Mine Ban Treaty. 15 Currently, the Convention on Cluster Munitions counts 84 member states. 16 Cuba and Dominica are the only countries of the region that have not adhered to the CTBT.
  • 14. 14 Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to the international efforts against nuclear weapons This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br 4. Step up Nuclear-Weapons-Free Zones group identity 5. Rethink Alliances 17 6. Reinforce the NAC 7. Strengthen the commitment to the Humanitarian Initiative 18 17 For the past 17 years, the CD has not been able to achieve consensus on a program of work and a framework for implementing it. Every year, the sessions of the Conference conclude without any progress on substantive issues. 18 The World Court Project originated in the 1980s with the objective of having the International Court of Justice (ICJ) rule on the legality of the threat or use of nuclear weapons. In 1996, the ICJ issued its advisory opinion. By the President’s casting vote, the Court ruled that “the threat or use of nuclear weapons would generally be contrary to the rules of international law applicable in armed conflict, and particular- ly the principles and rules of humanitarian law” (International Court of Justice, 1996,). Moreover, the Court decided unanimously that “there exists an obligation to pursue in good faith and bring to a conclusion negotiations leading to nuclear disarmament in all its aspects” (Ibid).
  • 15. 15 Renata H. Dalaqua This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br 8. Increase Awareness in Brazil about the Atomic Bomb Survivors and Their Stories 4. Bibliography Primary sources ›› Annual Report ›› ›› ›› ›› ›› ››
  • 16. 16 Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to the international efforts against nuclear weapons This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br ›› ›› ›› ›› Legality of the Threat or Use of Nuclear Weapons ›› ›› ›› Final Document (vol. I) ›› Final Document (parts I and II) ›› ›› ›› ›› ››
  • 17. 17 Renata H. Dalaqua This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br ›› Secondary sources ›› ›› Varia História ›› Nonproliferation Review ›› ›› Aurora Papers ›› History of the International Atomic Energy Agency: The First Forty Years. ›› ›› La cuestión nuclear en la relación argentino-brasileña ›› The origins of nuclear cooperation: a critical oral history of Argentina and Brazil ›› Non- proliferation Review ›› Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists ›› Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists ›› European Leadership Net- work
  • 18. 18 Achieving nuclear zero: Brazil’s contribution to the international efforts against nuclear weapons This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br ›› Brazil in Global Nuclear Order ›› Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists ›› Arms Control Today ›› Nuclear prolifera- tion after the Cold War ›› Nuclear Notebook ›› Nuclear disarmament: You’re doing it wrong
  • 19. 19 Renata H. Dalaqua This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br 5. Appendix: List of Acronyms
  • 20. This publication is available at the FGV website: ri.fgv.br @cpdocfgv