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Finasta © 2014
Opportunities in Emerging Europe: from growth
in Baltics to value in CEE
Finasta Asset Management, 2014
Finasta © 2014
Eastern Europe:
pick the most delicious one
Finasta © 2014
Finasta group
• Finasta Russia TOP20 Fund
• Finasta Emerging Europe Bond Fund
• Finasta Baltic Fund
• Finasta New Europe TOP20 Fund
The highest 5 Star rating is assigned only to 10 percent of the best performing funds within the same investment strategy group.
• Best equity and fixed income portfolio manager in Lithuania
Finasta provides the best customer service in Lithuania:
- Customer service satisfaction – the highest quality level (97,8%)
- 98% clients would recommend FINASTA to others
Finasta © 2014
Eastern European similarities
• EU membership
Year 2004, 2007 and 2013
• Lower GDP
GDP per capita at 58% of Westen Europe average
• Historical and potential economic growth
10 years growth : Eastern Europe 5.4%;
Western Europe 2.1%
• Low public debt
Eastern Europe 49.9%; Western Europe 85%
Finasta © 2014
Each country has different story
Size
Economic structure
Economic development
Economic cycle
Finasta © 2014
Non-correlated opportunities
Sweden
USA 0,67
Poland 0,66
Czech 0,64
Baltics 0,56
Hungary 0,49
Romania 0,48
Turkey 0,39
Serbia 0,24
Finasta © 2014
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2010/12/31 2011/12/31 2012/12/31 2013/12/31
Standard deviation:
Fund: 15.6%
Index: 22.0%
Alpha 3%
Beta 0.54
Finasta New Europe TOP20 vs benchmark
Finasta © 2014
Eastern Europe:
pick the most delicious one
Finasta © 2014
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
22000
24000
26000
28000
30000
2010/02/09 2010/09/09 2011/04/09 2011/11/09 2012/06/09 2013/01/09 2013/08/09
HUF/share
Ev/EBITDA 3.2
P/E 7.1
+50% on the debtless
pharmaceuticals company
acquired by French Servier
Indebted Hungary: Egis
Finasta © 2014
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
2011/01/26 2011/07/26 2012/01/26 2012/07/26 2013/01/26 2013/07/26 2014/01/26
RON/share
Fondul Proprietatea
IPO worth
>6 bn EUR:
Fondul
Nuclearelectrica
Romgaz
SPO worth
<100m EUR:
Transgaz
Transelectrica
2010-2013
pension funds‘
AUM up
6x
Discount from
NAV >60%
Collecting
Fondul shares
Poor Romania: IMF restructuring
Finasta © 2014
- Bottom-up analysis + stock picking is the best and the only
approach investing in Eastern Europe
- Low correlation among the Eastern European countries
allows to truly diversify in a strong growth and low debt region
Finasta New Europe TOP20
• Morningstar
• EUR denominated
• UCITS compliant
Eastern Europe
Finasta © 2014
Golden colors
of Baltics
Finasta © 2014
Fastest growing region in EU, 2013
>3%
0-3%
<0%
Finasta © 2014
Scandinavian presence
Finasta © 2014
• Singapore1
• Sweden12
• Lithuania17
• Germany21
• Estonia22
• Latvia24
• Switzerland29
• Austria30
• Italy65
Doing Business Economic freedom
• Hong Kong1
• Estonia11
• Sweden20
• Lithuania21
• Austria24
• Latvia42
• Spain49
• France70
• Italy86
Favorable business environment
Finasta © 2014
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0
Western Europe
Eastern Europe*
Latvia
Lithuania
Estonia
Public debt
Finasta © 2014
Golden colors
of Baltics
Finasta © 2014
2013: 23%
2012: 2%
2011: 19%
2010: 53%
Sales
growth:
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2011/08/18 2012/01/18 2012/06/18 2012/11/18 2013/04/18 2013/09/18 2014/02/18
EUR/share
Ev/EBITDA 5.9
P/E 6.9
Ev/EBITDA 5.8
P/E 6.6
Best picks: dairy company Vilkyškių Pieninė
Finasta © 2014
0.4
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
0.65
0.7
0.75
0.8
0.85
0.9
2011/03/24 2011/08/24 2012/01/24 2012/06/24 2012/11/24 2013/04/24 2013/09/24 2014/02/24
EUR/share
2013: 14%
2012: -6%
2011: 25%
2010: 107%
Sales
growth:
Ev/EBITDA 5.6
P/E 12.6
Ev/EBITDA 5.8
P/E 12.2
SPO 0.51
EUR/share
Best picks: paper products from Grigiškės
Finasta © 2014
Performance (since
2013):
Finasta: 15.1%
Danske: 14.2%
East Capital: 13.3%
Standard deviation:
Finasta: 6.3%
Danske: 5.7%
East Capital: 7.5%
Management fee:
Finasta: 2%
Danske: 2.4%
East Capital: 2.5%
100.00
102.00
104.00
106.00
108.00
110.00
112.00
114.00
116.00
118.00
2012/12/31 2013/07/01 2014/01/01
Finasta Baltic Fund
Eastcapital Baltic Fund
Danske Baltic fund
Finasta Baltic fund: performance
Finasta © 2014
- Baltic countries are the shining star of the region with
superior growth potential and favorable business environment
- High quality companies provide a safe option for investment
appreciation
Finasta Baltic Fund
• Morningstar
• EUR denominated
• UCITS compliant
Finasta Baltic Fund
Finasta © 2014
22

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FAM_ Avanza forum 2014

  • 1. Finasta © 2014 Opportunities in Emerging Europe: from growth in Baltics to value in CEE Finasta Asset Management, 2014
  • 2. Finasta © 2014 Eastern Europe: pick the most delicious one
  • 3. Finasta © 2014 Finasta group • Finasta Russia TOP20 Fund • Finasta Emerging Europe Bond Fund • Finasta Baltic Fund • Finasta New Europe TOP20 Fund The highest 5 Star rating is assigned only to 10 percent of the best performing funds within the same investment strategy group. • Best equity and fixed income portfolio manager in Lithuania Finasta provides the best customer service in Lithuania: - Customer service satisfaction – the highest quality level (97,8%) - 98% clients would recommend FINASTA to others
  • 4. Finasta © 2014 Eastern European similarities • EU membership Year 2004, 2007 and 2013 • Lower GDP GDP per capita at 58% of Westen Europe average • Historical and potential economic growth 10 years growth : Eastern Europe 5.4%; Western Europe 2.1% • Low public debt Eastern Europe 49.9%; Western Europe 85%
  • 5. Finasta © 2014 Each country has different story Size Economic structure Economic development Economic cycle
  • 6. Finasta © 2014 Non-correlated opportunities Sweden USA 0,67 Poland 0,66 Czech 0,64 Baltics 0,56 Hungary 0,49 Romania 0,48 Turkey 0,39 Serbia 0,24
  • 7. Finasta © 2014 -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 2010/12/31 2011/12/31 2012/12/31 2013/12/31 Standard deviation: Fund: 15.6% Index: 22.0% Alpha 3% Beta 0.54 Finasta New Europe TOP20 vs benchmark
  • 8. Finasta © 2014 Eastern Europe: pick the most delicious one
  • 9. Finasta © 2014 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 22000 24000 26000 28000 30000 2010/02/09 2010/09/09 2011/04/09 2011/11/09 2012/06/09 2013/01/09 2013/08/09 HUF/share Ev/EBITDA 3.2 P/E 7.1 +50% on the debtless pharmaceuticals company acquired by French Servier Indebted Hungary: Egis
  • 10. Finasta © 2014 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 2011/01/26 2011/07/26 2012/01/26 2012/07/26 2013/01/26 2013/07/26 2014/01/26 RON/share Fondul Proprietatea IPO worth >6 bn EUR: Fondul Nuclearelectrica Romgaz SPO worth <100m EUR: Transgaz Transelectrica 2010-2013 pension funds‘ AUM up 6x Discount from NAV >60% Collecting Fondul shares Poor Romania: IMF restructuring
  • 11. Finasta © 2014 - Bottom-up analysis + stock picking is the best and the only approach investing in Eastern Europe - Low correlation among the Eastern European countries allows to truly diversify in a strong growth and low debt region Finasta New Europe TOP20 • Morningstar • EUR denominated • UCITS compliant Eastern Europe
  • 12. Finasta © 2014 Golden colors of Baltics
  • 13. Finasta © 2014 Fastest growing region in EU, 2013 >3% 0-3% <0%
  • 15. Finasta © 2014 • Singapore1 • Sweden12 • Lithuania17 • Germany21 • Estonia22 • Latvia24 • Switzerland29 • Austria30 • Italy65 Doing Business Economic freedom • Hong Kong1 • Estonia11 • Sweden20 • Lithuania21 • Austria24 • Latvia42 • Spain49 • France70 • Italy86 Favorable business environment
  • 16. Finasta © 2014 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 Western Europe Eastern Europe* Latvia Lithuania Estonia Public debt
  • 17. Finasta © 2014 Golden colors of Baltics
  • 18. Finasta © 2014 2013: 23% 2012: 2% 2011: 19% 2010: 53% Sales growth: 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2011/08/18 2012/01/18 2012/06/18 2012/11/18 2013/04/18 2013/09/18 2014/02/18 EUR/share Ev/EBITDA 5.9 P/E 6.9 Ev/EBITDA 5.8 P/E 6.6 Best picks: dairy company Vilkyškių Pieninė
  • 19. Finasta © 2014 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 2011/03/24 2011/08/24 2012/01/24 2012/06/24 2012/11/24 2013/04/24 2013/09/24 2014/02/24 EUR/share 2013: 14% 2012: -6% 2011: 25% 2010: 107% Sales growth: Ev/EBITDA 5.6 P/E 12.6 Ev/EBITDA 5.8 P/E 12.2 SPO 0.51 EUR/share Best picks: paper products from Grigiškės
  • 20. Finasta © 2014 Performance (since 2013): Finasta: 15.1% Danske: 14.2% East Capital: 13.3% Standard deviation: Finasta: 6.3% Danske: 5.7% East Capital: 7.5% Management fee: Finasta: 2% Danske: 2.4% East Capital: 2.5% 100.00 102.00 104.00 106.00 108.00 110.00 112.00 114.00 116.00 118.00 2012/12/31 2013/07/01 2014/01/01 Finasta Baltic Fund Eastcapital Baltic Fund Danske Baltic fund Finasta Baltic fund: performance
  • 21. Finasta © 2014 - Baltic countries are the shining star of the region with superior growth potential and favorable business environment - High quality companies provide a safe option for investment appreciation Finasta Baltic Fund • Morningstar • EUR denominated • UCITS compliant Finasta Baltic Fund