2015 Forecast for Frankfurt Airport, using max/min Signal Tracking Approach, we get a fair results , Finally the result tablet for Comparison.

1. ON SPOT
2015
AIRPORT
FORECASTING
Date of Issue:
12 May 2015

2. “Excellence is never an
accident. It is always the
result of high intention,
sincere effort, and
intelligent execution; it
represents the wise choice
of many alternatives -
choice, not chance,
determines your destiny.”
― Aristotle

3. Outline
• Note On Frankfurt
Airport.
• Data Base.
• Forecasting Approach
• Mathematical Model
• Forecasting Accuracy
• Signal Tracking Analysis
• Passengers Evaluation
• Model Vs Actual
• Measuring The Error
• Frankfurt Airport ON SPOT
• Passenger Forecasting
2015 – Graph
• Airfreight Forecasting
2015 – Graph.
• Airfreight Forecasting
2015 – Graph.
• Airmail Forecasting 2015
– Graph.
• Aircraft Movement
Forecasting 2015 – Graph.
• Passenger Load Factor
Forecasting 2015 – Graph.
• Contact

4. • Airport facilities now include over 100 shops and tax-free outlets, many
restaurants and cafes, bureaux de change, stamp machines and
executive lounges. Frankfurt Airport also features internal train and
shuttle bus services which run between the terminals, and conference
rooms for up to 200 delegates.
Notes On Frankfurt Airport
• Frankfurt Airport appeared on
Germany's aviation scene as far back
as 1926, when it was first established
as a small airfield in the Rebstock area.
• By 1950, commercial airline operations
were well underway and in 1958,
Frankfurt Airport (FRA) became in very
first airport in the whole country to
begin serving jetliners. In 1972, the
existing Terminal 1 was opened and
the airport finally gained its
international status.

5. Data Base

6. Forecasting Approach
Golden Rule -4 < Signal Tracking < + 4
And Coefficient of Determination > 80 %
Defining the Max/Min S. T. in the control band.

7. Forecasting Approach
Golden Rule -4 < Signal Tracking < + 4
And Coefficient of Determination > 80 %
We will use the concept of
Forecasting by Objectives
to develop a fair matrix decision, so forecasting
by objective ; can be either by:
- Classical Method by Evaluation R2
- Setting Signal Tracking S. T. (36 ) to Zero
- Defining the Max/Min S. T. in the control
band.
- Targeting the final results of the annual long
term forecast.
- Reflecting the impact of the most recent
monthly data.

8. Mathematical Model
Rotational Vs Displacement

9. Forecasting Accuracy
(R) Coefficient of Determination
Vs Signal Tracking

10. Signal Tracking Analysis
Golden Rule - 4 < Signal Tracking < + 4
And R Coefficient of Determination > 80 %
Max/Min S. T. in the Control Range.

11. Passengers Evaluation – Frankfurt Airport
Measuring errors Golden Rule - 4 < Signal
Tracking < + 4
And R Coefficient of Determination > 80 %
ERRORS
VS
PERFORMANCE

12. Passengers Evaluation – Frankfurt Airport

13. Passengers Evaluation – Frankfurt Airport

14. Evaluation ( Measuring The Errors)

15. Evaluation ( Measuring The Errors)

16. 2015 FORECASTING
- PASSENGERS
- AIRFREIGHT
- AIRMAIL
- AIRCRAFT MOVEMENT
- SEAT LOAD FACTOR

17. Forecasting 2015 – Frankfurt Airport

18. Forecasting 2015 – Frankfurt Airport

19. Forecasting 2015 – Frankfurt Airport

20. Forecasting 2015 – Frankfurt Airport

21. Forecasting 2015 – Frankfurt Airport

22. Passengers FORECASTING
2015 ( For record)

23. Welcome in the Club :

24. Contact :
Mohammed Salem Awad
Consultant
Email:
smartdecision2002@yahoo.com
www.slideshare.net/airports_forecasting
Tel: 00967736255814
P.O. Box: 6002
Kahormaksar
Aden
Yemen
Date of Issue:
12 May 2015