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Lessons from China
for Global Entrepreneurs
Hans Tung
Managing Partner, GGV Capital
October 2017
q With investments in China and the U.S., we have
gained a deep understanding of both markets with
access to global resources
q Managing eight funds, $3.8 billion in total
q Over 240 portfolios, invested in 33 companies with
over $1 billion market cap and 29 public companies
The GGV Advantage: One Team in Two Markets with Global Perspective
2
Background on GGV, Hans Tung and 12 Unicorns
Experiences
E-Brands
E-Commerce
* Flipkart and Snapdeal are personal investments.
GGV currently does not have any portfolio in India.3
Data Replacing Oil and Credit as Most Valuable Commodities
And the Rise of Internet in China
Highlighted:	Tech	Companies;	Red	Text:	Chinese	companies;	
Source:	CapitalIQ.	Capitalizations	are	in	millions.	Data	as	of	8/18/2007	and	8/18/2017.4
Why China?
5
China Surpassed the US as World’s no.1 Market on iOS App Stores
Source:	App	Annie6
400 million people moved to cities in one generation
≈ creating a new NYC every year, for 40 years
Hangzhou
Home to Alibaba
Net talent inflow No. 1 in China
Many Silicon Valley returnees
Shanghai
$400 billion GDP
(≈GDP of Michigan/Washington state)
24 million people
(≈population of Texas)
All in one generation (40 years)
1997
2017
1997
2017
7
China is No. 1 and No. 2 in Internet Users and Online Consumption
World’s	Top	10	Countries	by	no.	of	Internet	Users World’s	Top	10	Countries	by	Online	Consumption
(in	$billions)
Source:	CNNIC;	Internet	Live	Stats;	BCG	Analysis8
710M
460M
290M
140M
120M
100M
90M
70M
60M
60M
China Accounts for ~40% of Valuation of World’s Largest Internet-
related Public Companies and Unicorns
*Naspers	has	a	market	cap	of	$95	billion	(Naspers	owns	1/3	of	Tencent);	Softbank	has	a	market	cap	of	$90	billion	(Softbank	owned 32%	of	Alibaba	
in	2016)
Source:	CrunchBase;	BCG	Analysis;	Yahoo	Finance
Note:	Sample	includes	63	Chinese	companies	and	112	American	companies	with	valuations	over	$1	billion
World’s 10 Largest Internet Companies by Market Cap
(in $billions)
Distribution	of	
Unicorns	by	Number
211	in	Total
China is Home to Five of the World’s 10 Largest
Public Internet Companies (as of 2017)
Distribution	of	Unicorns	
by	Valuation
Total	Valuation:	$796	Bn
China is Currently Home to a Third of the World’s
Unicorns; Their Valuations are 41% of All Unicorns
9
No. of Millennials + Gen Z Users Online: 107M in US vs 390M in China
Source:	China’s	National	Census	Bureau,	Otcom,	BCG	Analysis
Age Distribution of Internet Users in China
(2016)
Age Distribution of Internet Users in the US
(2016)
10
37%
54%
Total	no.	of	Internet	users:	290	million Total	no.	of	Internet	users:	710	million
Chinese Internet Users Congregate Around Fewer, More Complex “Super Apps”
Source:	Google’s	Global	Mobile	Research,	China’s	National	Census	Bureau,	Localytics,	eMarketer,	BCG	Analysis
Average No. of Apps Installed per Person
(2015)
% of Time Users Spent on Apps
(2015)
Only	15%	of	apps	in	
China	are	used	more	
than	10x	
11
Takeaways
1) High >> low frequency, be a Portal/Entry Point
(WeChat Pay vs. Apple Pay)
2) Multiple functionalities > Focus, be a “Super App” Quickly
(WeChat vs. WhatsApp)
3) Verticalized start-ups pick a Super App ecosystem
(Tencent, Alibaba, Baidu, Xiaomi…etc.) to join
12
13
Case Study: Mobile Payment (WeChat Pay) = a “Super App” in China
Aspiring “Super App”s in CN Incentivized to Raise $ & Freemium Model to Blitzscale
Source:	BCG	Analysis14
# of Years for App Penetration to Reach 50% Market Share in US vs China
Uber in China: A Success?
• Uber	spent	over	$2Bn in	China	7/2014-8/2016
• After	<24	months,	>30%	of	total	Uber	rides	a	day	worldwide	are	from	China	alone
• Uber	obtained	17.7%	economic	interest	in	Didi	+	Uber	China	in	8/2016	=	~$10B	now?
3	Months
6	Months
3	Months
6	Months
3	Months
6	Months
9	Months
3	Months
6	Months
9	Months
3	Months
6	Months
9	Months
9/2015
Uber’s	Exponential	Growth	in	China
15
1st	(unofficial)	meeting	between	
Uber	and	Didi	in	Spring	2013
Question:	Maybe	Uber	could	have	
invested	$10M for	15%	economic	
interest	in	2013?
China’s Urbanization Model: Driver of Transportation Revolution?
Tokyo	(8M	rides/day)
Beijing	2005 Beijing	2015	(9M	rides/day)
New	York	(5.7M	rides/day)
16
High Speed Rail (120-180 mph) = Backbone of Economic Growth &
Ecommerce Boom
China
1978	Mileage:	
51,800	km	(32,000	miles)
Current	mileage:	
124,000	km	(77,000	miles)
US
1860	(before	Civil	War)	mileage:
48,300	km	(30,000	miles)
Now:
225,000	km	(140,000	miles)
Japan
1950	mileage:
19,800	km	(12,300	miles)
Current	mileage:
27,300	km	(17,000	miles)
17
18
Hub & Spoke: High Speed Rail + Subways Rides & Bike Sharing
19
Alibaba’s Sales on 2016 “Singles Day” (11.11), China’s Black Friday:
$18 Bn > Black Friday + Cyber Monday
2005:	Yahoo	invested	1Bn	dollars	+	Yahoo	China	and	owned	40%
2015:	after	IPO,	Yahoo's	20per	stake	is	worth	40Bn	dollars	>	Yahoo's	market	cap
$3.34B $3.45B $17.8B
Black	Friday	2016	(US) Cyber	Monday	2016	(US) 11/11	Singles	Day	2016	
(China)
Total	Sales	in	a	Single	Shopping	Event	($Billions)
(Online	+	offline)
Millennials are the New Mass Market
20
How Will Your Business Go Global?
Case Study: Airbnb
21
"Chinese	tourists	represent	the	fastest-
growing	user	group	on	Airbnb"	
(Bloomberg,	June	2015)
“Airbnb	will	quadruple	its	China	tech	team	
in	Beijing.” (Bloomberg, August 2017)
"Chinese	millennials	are	driving	this	growth,	
given	their	general	desire	for	different	
experiences,	rather	than	the	typical	package	
tour.	They	want	to	be	different	— they	are	
always	looking	for	unique	experiences."	
(Bella	Ling,	Head	of	Communications	in	
Airbnb	China,	July	2016)
Airbnb’s	platform	within	WeChat
Source:	Sheffield	Wang,	2017
Who Are the
Key Players in China?
22
The Big Three: “BAT” vs. “FANG”
Market	Cap 2016	Revenue
B $82	billion $10	billion
A $449	billion $23	billion	($68	billion	in	GMV)
T $407	billion $19.5	billion
F $497	billion $28	billion
A $476	billion $135	billion
N $79	billion $8	billion
G $646	billion $90	billion
23
Alibaba’s Market Cap is Approaching Amazon’s
24
Valuation Gap Between Leading Chinese and US Internet Players Narrowing
2005 vs 2017
25
China’s “40 Under 40” in Internet
ZHANG Yiming
Founder of Toutiao
34
Jean LIU and CHENG Wei
President and CEO of Didi
39 and 34
WANG Xing
CEO of Meituan
38
HU Weiwei
Founder of Mobike
35
Frank WANG
Founder of DJI
37
SU Hua
Founder of Kuaishou
34
WU Xinhong
Founder of Meitu
36
Louis YANG and Alex ZHU
Co-Founders of Musical.ly
36 and 39
DAI Wei
Founder of ofo
26
26
Miranda QU and Charlwin MAO
Co-founders of Xiaohongshu (Red)
33
Cindy MI
Founder of VIPKid
34
Lessons from China for
Global Entrepreneurs
27
UberBlack was great but niche…until UberX.
What is your UberX?
Source:	The	Numbers	Behind	Uber's	Exploding	Driver	Force,	Forbes	Article	by	Brian	Solomon28
The Fastest-Growing Brands: Mass Market & Fast Fashion
(Not Luxury Goods)
Brand Price	Range
$60-7000
$4400
$130-1460
$	30-7300
$17-174
$5-322
Founding	Year
1837
1854
1913
1921
1963
1969
1975
1980
1981 $45-300
$	8-145
$1-90
Market	Cap
$38	billion
$76	billion
$8.5	billion
$14	billion
$9	billion
$109	billion
$1.2	billion
$37	billion
$37	billion
29
Rise of the Rest: a $1M/Month Zip Code for Wish
30
Go Global. It’s Worth It.
$21 Tn
$18.6 Tn
$8.7 Tn
$4.9 Tn
$4 Tn
$3.7 Tn
$3.1 Tn
$3 Tn
$2.8 Tn
$2.7 Tn
2016 GDP 2050 GDP
$58 Tn
$44 Tn
$34 Tn
$10.5 Tn
$7.5 Tn
$7.1 Tn
$6.9 Tn
$6.8 Tn
$6.1 Tn
$5.4 Tn
CAGR
3%
4.9%
1.7%
3.8%
2.6%
1.9%
5.7%
0.94%
1.25%
1.95%
31
Reaching Global Mass Market Consumers is the Secret to Becoming a Unicorn
Serve the 99 Percent (e.g. America’s Heartland)
Experience is the Product, Curation is Key
Millennials without Borders
Go Global
32
Want more on China? We have a newsletter.
33
Thank you.
Hans Tung
Managing Partner, GGV Capital
Hans@ggvc.com
Hans.VC and 996.ggvc.com

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Hans Y Combinator Presentation on Lessons from China for Global Entrepreneurs

  • 1. Lessons from China for Global Entrepreneurs Hans Tung Managing Partner, GGV Capital October 2017
  • 2. q With investments in China and the U.S., we have gained a deep understanding of both markets with access to global resources q Managing eight funds, $3.8 billion in total q Over 240 portfolios, invested in 33 companies with over $1 billion market cap and 29 public companies The GGV Advantage: One Team in Two Markets with Global Perspective 2
  • 3. Background on GGV, Hans Tung and 12 Unicorns Experiences E-Brands E-Commerce * Flipkart and Snapdeal are personal investments. GGV currently does not have any portfolio in India.3
  • 4. Data Replacing Oil and Credit as Most Valuable Commodities And the Rise of Internet in China Highlighted: Tech Companies; Red Text: Chinese companies; Source: CapitalIQ. Capitalizations are in millions. Data as of 8/18/2007 and 8/18/2017.4
  • 6. China Surpassed the US as World’s no.1 Market on iOS App Stores Source: App Annie6
  • 7. 400 million people moved to cities in one generation ≈ creating a new NYC every year, for 40 years Hangzhou Home to Alibaba Net talent inflow No. 1 in China Many Silicon Valley returnees Shanghai $400 billion GDP (≈GDP of Michigan/Washington state) 24 million people (≈population of Texas) All in one generation (40 years) 1997 2017 1997 2017 7
  • 8. China is No. 1 and No. 2 in Internet Users and Online Consumption World’s Top 10 Countries by no. of Internet Users World’s Top 10 Countries by Online Consumption (in $billions) Source: CNNIC; Internet Live Stats; BCG Analysis8 710M 460M 290M 140M 120M 100M 90M 70M 60M 60M
  • 9. China Accounts for ~40% of Valuation of World’s Largest Internet- related Public Companies and Unicorns *Naspers has a market cap of $95 billion (Naspers owns 1/3 of Tencent); Softbank has a market cap of $90 billion (Softbank owned 32% of Alibaba in 2016) Source: CrunchBase; BCG Analysis; Yahoo Finance Note: Sample includes 63 Chinese companies and 112 American companies with valuations over $1 billion World’s 10 Largest Internet Companies by Market Cap (in $billions) Distribution of Unicorns by Number 211 in Total China is Home to Five of the World’s 10 Largest Public Internet Companies (as of 2017) Distribution of Unicorns by Valuation Total Valuation: $796 Bn China is Currently Home to a Third of the World’s Unicorns; Their Valuations are 41% of All Unicorns 9
  • 10. No. of Millennials + Gen Z Users Online: 107M in US vs 390M in China Source: China’s National Census Bureau, Otcom, BCG Analysis Age Distribution of Internet Users in China (2016) Age Distribution of Internet Users in the US (2016) 10 37% 54% Total no. of Internet users: 290 million Total no. of Internet users: 710 million
  • 11. Chinese Internet Users Congregate Around Fewer, More Complex “Super Apps” Source: Google’s Global Mobile Research, China’s National Census Bureau, Localytics, eMarketer, BCG Analysis Average No. of Apps Installed per Person (2015) % of Time Users Spent on Apps (2015) Only 15% of apps in China are used more than 10x 11
  • 12. Takeaways 1) High >> low frequency, be a Portal/Entry Point (WeChat Pay vs. Apple Pay) 2) Multiple functionalities > Focus, be a “Super App” Quickly (WeChat vs. WhatsApp) 3) Verticalized start-ups pick a Super App ecosystem (Tencent, Alibaba, Baidu, Xiaomi…etc.) to join 12
  • 13. 13 Case Study: Mobile Payment (WeChat Pay) = a “Super App” in China
  • 14. Aspiring “Super App”s in CN Incentivized to Raise $ & Freemium Model to Blitzscale Source: BCG Analysis14 # of Years for App Penetration to Reach 50% Market Share in US vs China
  • 15. Uber in China: A Success? • Uber spent over $2Bn in China 7/2014-8/2016 • After <24 months, >30% of total Uber rides a day worldwide are from China alone • Uber obtained 17.7% economic interest in Didi + Uber China in 8/2016 = ~$10B now? 3 Months 6 Months 3 Months 6 Months 3 Months 6 Months 9 Months 3 Months 6 Months 9 Months 3 Months 6 Months 9 Months 9/2015 Uber’s Exponential Growth in China 15 1st (unofficial) meeting between Uber and Didi in Spring 2013 Question: Maybe Uber could have invested $10M for 15% economic interest in 2013?
  • 16. China’s Urbanization Model: Driver of Transportation Revolution? Tokyo (8M rides/day) Beijing 2005 Beijing 2015 (9M rides/day) New York (5.7M rides/day) 16
  • 17. High Speed Rail (120-180 mph) = Backbone of Economic Growth & Ecommerce Boom China 1978 Mileage: 51,800 km (32,000 miles) Current mileage: 124,000 km (77,000 miles) US 1860 (before Civil War) mileage: 48,300 km (30,000 miles) Now: 225,000 km (140,000 miles) Japan 1950 mileage: 19,800 km (12,300 miles) Current mileage: 27,300 km (17,000 miles) 17
  • 18. 18 Hub & Spoke: High Speed Rail + Subways Rides & Bike Sharing
  • 19. 19 Alibaba’s Sales on 2016 “Singles Day” (11.11), China’s Black Friday: $18 Bn > Black Friday + Cyber Monday 2005: Yahoo invested 1Bn dollars + Yahoo China and owned 40% 2015: after IPO, Yahoo's 20per stake is worth 40Bn dollars > Yahoo's market cap $3.34B $3.45B $17.8B Black Friday 2016 (US) Cyber Monday 2016 (US) 11/11 Singles Day 2016 (China) Total Sales in a Single Shopping Event ($Billions) (Online + offline)
  • 20. Millennials are the New Mass Market 20
  • 21. How Will Your Business Go Global? Case Study: Airbnb 21 "Chinese tourists represent the fastest- growing user group on Airbnb" (Bloomberg, June 2015) “Airbnb will quadruple its China tech team in Beijing.” (Bloomberg, August 2017) "Chinese millennials are driving this growth, given their general desire for different experiences, rather than the typical package tour. They want to be different — they are always looking for unique experiences." (Bella Ling, Head of Communications in Airbnb China, July 2016) Airbnb’s platform within WeChat Source: Sheffield Wang, 2017
  • 22. Who Are the Key Players in China? 22
  • 23. The Big Three: “BAT” vs. “FANG” Market Cap 2016 Revenue B $82 billion $10 billion A $449 billion $23 billion ($68 billion in GMV) T $407 billion $19.5 billion F $497 billion $28 billion A $476 billion $135 billion N $79 billion $8 billion G $646 billion $90 billion 23
  • 24. Alibaba’s Market Cap is Approaching Amazon’s 24
  • 25. Valuation Gap Between Leading Chinese and US Internet Players Narrowing 2005 vs 2017 25
  • 26. China’s “40 Under 40” in Internet ZHANG Yiming Founder of Toutiao 34 Jean LIU and CHENG Wei President and CEO of Didi 39 and 34 WANG Xing CEO of Meituan 38 HU Weiwei Founder of Mobike 35 Frank WANG Founder of DJI 37 SU Hua Founder of Kuaishou 34 WU Xinhong Founder of Meitu 36 Louis YANG and Alex ZHU Co-Founders of Musical.ly 36 and 39 DAI Wei Founder of ofo 26 26 Miranda QU and Charlwin MAO Co-founders of Xiaohongshu (Red) 33 Cindy MI Founder of VIPKid 34
  • 27. Lessons from China for Global Entrepreneurs 27
  • 28. UberBlack was great but niche…until UberX. What is your UberX? Source: The Numbers Behind Uber's Exploding Driver Force, Forbes Article by Brian Solomon28
  • 29. The Fastest-Growing Brands: Mass Market & Fast Fashion (Not Luxury Goods) Brand Price Range $60-7000 $4400 $130-1460 $ 30-7300 $17-174 $5-322 Founding Year 1837 1854 1913 1921 1963 1969 1975 1980 1981 $45-300 $ 8-145 $1-90 Market Cap $38 billion $76 billion $8.5 billion $14 billion $9 billion $109 billion $1.2 billion $37 billion $37 billion 29
  • 30. Rise of the Rest: a $1M/Month Zip Code for Wish 30
  • 31. Go Global. It’s Worth It. $21 Tn $18.6 Tn $8.7 Tn $4.9 Tn $4 Tn $3.7 Tn $3.1 Tn $3 Tn $2.8 Tn $2.7 Tn 2016 GDP 2050 GDP $58 Tn $44 Tn $34 Tn $10.5 Tn $7.5 Tn $7.1 Tn $6.9 Tn $6.8 Tn $6.1 Tn $5.4 Tn CAGR 3% 4.9% 1.7% 3.8% 2.6% 1.9% 5.7% 0.94% 1.25% 1.95% 31
  • 32. Reaching Global Mass Market Consumers is the Secret to Becoming a Unicorn Serve the 99 Percent (e.g. America’s Heartland) Experience is the Product, Curation is Key Millennials without Borders Go Global 32
  • 33. Want more on China? We have a newsletter. 33
  • 34. Thank you. Hans Tung Managing Partner, GGV Capital Hans@ggvc.com Hans.VC and 996.ggvc.com