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Highlights of GIC Annual Report 2015/2016
1.
2. Primary Performance Metric
• Primary metric to evaluate investment performance is the rolling 20-year real rate
of return for our total portfolio
• Reflects our mandate to preserve and enhance the international purchasing
power of the reserves placed under our management over the long term
Assessed by our long-term performance on a total portfolio
basis
3. Executive Summary
• Steady long-term returns on Singapore’s foreign reserves over 20 years
• Expect the real returns for the GIC Portfolio to be lower going forward due
to protracted period of all-time low interest rates, modest global growth
prospects and high valuations of financial assets.
• Investment framework and approach remain sound in the low-yield
environment
• Continue to source attractive bottom-up investment opportunities by taking
advantage of our long-term horizon, skills and global reach
4. Annualised real rate of return was 4.0% per year, over 20 years ending
31 March 2016
Steady Long-Term Performance
4.0% real return
per year over 20 years
5. Steady Long-Term Performance
To generate good real returns over the long term, we have to be prepared for
short-term unrealised losses or underperformance relative to the market indices, at
times for several years at a stretch
*For period ended 31 March 2016
6. Investing in a mix of growth and defensive assets
Asset Mix
8. Represents actual
exposures of
GIC portfolio
Within risk limits set by the
Client
Investment framework and approach remain sound.
3 areas that we have been implementing and preparing for a low-yield
environment:
Investing in a low-yield environment
Beta
(Asset Allocation)
Alpha
(Active Management)
Omega
(Implementation)
Overall robustness Idiosyncratic
opportunities Portfolio costs
• Key driver of returns
over the long term
• Resilient under
different scenarios
and yet allows
earning of long-term
risk premiums
• Continue to explore
and adopt new
portfolio construction
approaches
+ =
• Additional source of
return and
diversification for
total portfolio
• “Bottom-up”
investments,
including external
manager mandates
• Diversified across
many active
strategies
Total Portfolio
• Represents
actual
exposures of
GIC portfolio
• Within risk
limits set by
the Client
+
• Includes transaction
costs such as broker
commissions,
external manager
fees, bid-ask
spreads, market
impacts, etc.
• Cost savings are
direct additions to
our portfolio return
9. Variability in long-term returns
Investing in a low-yield environment
20-Year Rolling Real Return of a US 65% stocks/35% bonds Portfolio from 1900 to 2015