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Disruption 
in a 
VUCA World 
written, illustrated & performed 
by Gar Mac Críosta - CITAP 
Inspired Stumbling Forward 
“didn’’t they used to play music” 
@aspiringarc
on yet another Monday morning with 10,000 things ToDo…I have 
Meetings (20)_
we’re all set when it comes to “technical challenges”…. 
HAMMER meet NAIL 
Hiking Artist Drawing by Frits Ahlefeldt
But somewhere in all of this hides a VUCA challenge
But first some background 
Richard Lynch 
Amber Román 
Me 
5 ALIGNMENT CHALLENGES 
#1 Getting agreement on the operating model 
#2 Real functional alignment around the strategy 
#3 Rallying around the growth strategy 
#4 Addressing adaptive challenges 
#5 Mobilising talent in new ways
I hear you say “Addressing 5 challenges in 20 minutes is impossible”
Let’s focus on Challenge #4 
#4 “Addressing Adaptive Challenges”
“The mark of leadership in 
the competitive world is 
leading others in adaptive 
work.” 
Ron A. Heifetz 
http://hbr.org/2001/12/the-work-of-leadership/ar/1 
Don Laurie
So what are Adaptive Challenges
they are VUCA problems 
VUCA – the hard to read version 
Nathan Bennett & G. James Lemoine Georgia Institute of Technology
V for Volatile 
V - Volatility - volatile adjective 
2. liable to 
change rapidly and unpredictably, 
especially for the worse 
The nature and dynamics of 
change, and the nature and speed 
of change forces and change 
catalysts.
U for Uncertain 
where’s 
my cat? 
RIP 
dead or alive? 
Meow!! 
Heisenberg & Schrödinger as kids…. 
U - Uncertain - uncertain | adjective 
1. not able to be relied on; not known or definite: 
an uncertain future. 
The lack of 
predictability, the 
prospects for 
surprise, and the 
sense of awareness 
and understanding 
of issues and 
events.
C for Complex 
Complex 
- Complex | adjective 
1. consisting of many different and 
connected parts 
The multiplex of forces, the 
confounding of issues and the 
chaos and confusion that 
surround an organization.
A for Ambiguous 
Now concentrate 
this time, Dougal… 
SMALL 
FARAWAY 
Ambiguous - ambiguous | adjective 
open to more than one interpretation; not having 
one obvious meaning: ambiguous phrases. 
these are 
but the ones out 
there, those are 
The haziness of reality, the potential for 
misreads, and the mixed meanings of 
conditions; cause-and-effect confusion.
This sounds like another good reason to avoid strategic planning!!! 
? ?
Oscar Wilde 
“I never put off till tomorrow 
what I can possibly do 
- the day after.”
That’s the problem with VUCA problems they stop us in our tracks 
What the …?
the real problem is that our standard tools just don’t cut it 
in the face of a adaptive challenges….but yet we persist 
have a look here 
http://goo.gl/qTT9FJ 
for more tools
“Insanity: doing the same 
thing over and over again and 
expecting different results.” 
Albert Einstein
3 Tips for VUCA Problems 
1 – We need to recognise Adaptive Challenges & 
à “Design Strategic Conversations” 
2 – We need to move from Route 1Planning 
à “Living In The Future” (use scenarios) 
3 – We need ditch the deck & unleash our imagination 
à “Give me back my crayons” (think visually) 
Many possible 
future outcomes 
1 possible outcome
How do we recognise VUCA & design a strategic conversations?
as Lisa says 
“Conversation is the 
technology of management” 
Lisa Kay Solomon
TIP 1: Meet the Adaptive Challenge GPS 
1. The problem is clearly defined 
2. A leader or expert provides a solution 
3. Easy (enough) to resolve 
TECHNICAL 
1. Problem definition, solution & 
implementation require new learning 
2. Responsibility lives with the troups 
3. (Most) difficult to resolve 
ADAPTIVE
But we have Strategic Conversations all the time 
Do you…?
Remember the last meeting you were at where you found you faced an 
adaptive challenge….did you have a clear PURPOSE; what was it? 
STRATEGIC CONVERSATION 
TO DISCOVER TO DESIGN TO DECIDE 3 TYPES OF 
http://www.momentsofimpactbook.com/
Compare Regular Meeting V Strategic Conversation 
REGULAR MEETING 
STRATEGIC CONVERSATION 
http://www.momentsofimpactbook.com/
NO 
ON THE SAME PAGE 
“clear understanding 
of the issue” 
YES 
NO 
YES 
CLEAR STRATEGIC OPTION 
“clear fully developed options” 
NO 
YES 
DECISION CLARITY 
“clarity to make decisions” 
DISCOVER 
Design a 
BUILDING UNDERSTANDING 
Conversation 
DESIGN 
Design a 
SHAPING CHOICES 
Conversation 
DECIDE 
Design a 
MAKING DECISIONS 
Conversation 
Adapted from http://www.momentsofimpactbook.com/
TIP 2: Start “living in the future” 
THE PROBLEM 
Dealing with UNCERTAINTY 
THE SOLUTION 
Who are the strategic horses in the uncertainty race? 
What forces are driving future change? 
Which uncertainties have a wide range of future outcomes? 
Map the options? 
Find the characters & stories? 
THE OUTCOME 
Open Minds/Uncertainty Embraced 
Many possible 
future outcomes
“Deep in our hearts, we would 
all choose a scenario with no 
surprises” 
Pierre Wack
FINDING THE FUTURE WITH SCENARIOS 
1. FIND THE STRATEGIC HORSES 
2. FIND THE FORCES 
3. FIND THE OUTCOME RANGE 
4. MAP THE OUTCOMES 
5. FIND THE CHARACTERS & STORIES 
THE FUTURE!
E.G. SCENARIO PLANNING FOR ADAPTIVE CHALLENGES 
Figure 3: Adaptive Challenges. 
Source: Donald L. Laurie, Oyster International, LLC
WE DON’T GET CERTAINTY 
WE GET GOOD AT 
LIVING WITH UNCERTAINTY 
REMEMBER
TIP 3 – Give me back my crayons 
SCRIBBLE | DOODLE | PLAY
“The single greatest challenge to leaders today 
is this: 
We have to make more increasingly complex 
ideas more clear, more quickly and more 
persuasively than ever, to more audiences who 
are more informed and have more access to 
more information than ever.” 
― Dan Roam, Blah Blah Blah: What To Do When 
Words Don't Work 
Dan Roam
SO DON’T FORGET ‘VUCA’ IN YOUR PLANNING 
VUCA 
WORLD
DO YOU HAVE A MESSY, OPEN-ENDED, ILL-DEFINED 
STRATEGIC CHALLENGE WITH 
POTENTIALLY BIG CONSEQUENCES? 
1– Design strategic conversations 
2–Find the future with scenarios 
3–Break out the crayons
Soon to publish a new book…. 
STRATEGY MADE SIMPLE 
inspired stumbling forward 
Richard Lynch 
Amber Román 
Derval Kennedy 
Gar Mac Críosta
“If you want to teach people a 
new way of thinking, don't 
bother trying to teach them. 
Instead, give them a tool, the 
use of which will lead to new 
ways of thinking.” 
― Richard Buckminster Fuller
rewiring the way organizations do 
STRATEGY | INNOVATION | TRANSFORMATION 
in fun, practical & imaginative ways 
WWW.ARCHTEXX.COM 
e: gar.maccriosta@archtexx.com 
t: @aspiringarc 
l: http://ie.linkedin.com/in/garmaccriosta 
w: www.archtexx.com 
w: www.iasaglobal.org
TRADITIONAL 
OLD TOOLS 
dense forests of 
slides, 
documents, 
data 
BIG TEAMS 
infestation 
of consultants 
descends 
MAGICIANS 
FATIGUE 
0-200mph leads to 
organizational 
fatigue 
DONE TO YOU 
consultants & change 
agents 
CHANGE YOU!! 
NO BELIEF 
magic 
consulting 
dust is 
Sprinkled 
“SECRET SAUCE” 
SLOW & LONG 
magic takes along time 
people stop 
believing 
NO FUN 
fun is 
forbidden
ARCHTEXX 
NEW TOOLS 
SMALL TEAMS 
we use small crack 
teams of certified 
architects p 
COACHES 
PACED 
we find a rhythm that 
works for you 
DONE WITH YOU 
it’s your business 
you know it best 
VISIBLE & SHAREABLE 
SHORT & SHARP 
we use short focused 
Interventions with clear 
outcomes 
we make everything 
big visible & shareable 
we make everything useful 
- tools, stories, 
infographics & models 
we apply open tool 
with brain-friendly 
coaching & change 
methods 
MAKE IT FUN 
we use games & tools to 
make it fun

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Disruption in a VUCA World

  • 1. Disruption in a VUCA World written, illustrated & performed by Gar Mac Críosta - CITAP Inspired Stumbling Forward “didn’’t they used to play music” @aspiringarc
  • 2.
  • 3. on yet another Monday morning with 10,000 things ToDo…I have Meetings (20)_
  • 4. we’re all set when it comes to “technical challenges”…. HAMMER meet NAIL Hiking Artist Drawing by Frits Ahlefeldt
  • 5. But somewhere in all of this hides a VUCA challenge
  • 6. But first some background Richard Lynch Amber Román Me 5 ALIGNMENT CHALLENGES #1 Getting agreement on the operating model #2 Real functional alignment around the strategy #3 Rallying around the growth strategy #4 Addressing adaptive challenges #5 Mobilising talent in new ways
  • 7. I hear you say “Addressing 5 challenges in 20 minutes is impossible”
  • 8. Let’s focus on Challenge #4 #4 “Addressing Adaptive Challenges”
  • 9. “The mark of leadership in the competitive world is leading others in adaptive work.” Ron A. Heifetz http://hbr.org/2001/12/the-work-of-leadership/ar/1 Don Laurie
  • 10. So what are Adaptive Challenges
  • 11. they are VUCA problems VUCA – the hard to read version Nathan Bennett & G. James Lemoine Georgia Institute of Technology
  • 12. V for Volatile V - Volatility - volatile adjective 2. liable to change rapidly and unpredictably, especially for the worse The nature and dynamics of change, and the nature and speed of change forces and change catalysts.
  • 13. U for Uncertain where’s my cat? RIP dead or alive? Meow!! Heisenberg & Schrödinger as kids…. U - Uncertain - uncertain | adjective 1. not able to be relied on; not known or definite: an uncertain future. The lack of predictability, the prospects for surprise, and the sense of awareness and understanding of issues and events.
  • 14. C for Complex Complex - Complex | adjective 1. consisting of many different and connected parts The multiplex of forces, the confounding of issues and the chaos and confusion that surround an organization.
  • 15. A for Ambiguous Now concentrate this time, Dougal… SMALL FARAWAY Ambiguous - ambiguous | adjective open to more than one interpretation; not having one obvious meaning: ambiguous phrases. these are but the ones out there, those are The haziness of reality, the potential for misreads, and the mixed meanings of conditions; cause-and-effect confusion.
  • 16. This sounds like another good reason to avoid strategic planning!!! ? ?
  • 17. Oscar Wilde “I never put off till tomorrow what I can possibly do - the day after.”
  • 18. That’s the problem with VUCA problems they stop us in our tracks What the …?
  • 19. the real problem is that our standard tools just don’t cut it in the face of a adaptive challenges….but yet we persist have a look here http://goo.gl/qTT9FJ for more tools
  • 20. “Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.” Albert Einstein
  • 21. 3 Tips for VUCA Problems 1 – We need to recognise Adaptive Challenges & à “Design Strategic Conversations” 2 – We need to move from Route 1Planning à “Living In The Future” (use scenarios) 3 – We need ditch the deck & unleash our imagination à “Give me back my crayons” (think visually) Many possible future outcomes 1 possible outcome
  • 22. How do we recognise VUCA & design a strategic conversations?
  • 23. as Lisa says “Conversation is the technology of management” Lisa Kay Solomon
  • 24. TIP 1: Meet the Adaptive Challenge GPS 1. The problem is clearly defined 2. A leader or expert provides a solution 3. Easy (enough) to resolve TECHNICAL 1. Problem definition, solution & implementation require new learning 2. Responsibility lives with the troups 3. (Most) difficult to resolve ADAPTIVE
  • 25. But we have Strategic Conversations all the time Do you…?
  • 26. Remember the last meeting you were at where you found you faced an adaptive challenge….did you have a clear PURPOSE; what was it? STRATEGIC CONVERSATION TO DISCOVER TO DESIGN TO DECIDE 3 TYPES OF http://www.momentsofimpactbook.com/
  • 27. Compare Regular Meeting V Strategic Conversation REGULAR MEETING STRATEGIC CONVERSATION http://www.momentsofimpactbook.com/
  • 28. NO ON THE SAME PAGE “clear understanding of the issue” YES NO YES CLEAR STRATEGIC OPTION “clear fully developed options” NO YES DECISION CLARITY “clarity to make decisions” DISCOVER Design a BUILDING UNDERSTANDING Conversation DESIGN Design a SHAPING CHOICES Conversation DECIDE Design a MAKING DECISIONS Conversation Adapted from http://www.momentsofimpactbook.com/
  • 29. TIP 2: Start “living in the future” THE PROBLEM Dealing with UNCERTAINTY THE SOLUTION Who are the strategic horses in the uncertainty race? What forces are driving future change? Which uncertainties have a wide range of future outcomes? Map the options? Find the characters & stories? THE OUTCOME Open Minds/Uncertainty Embraced Many possible future outcomes
  • 30. “Deep in our hearts, we would all choose a scenario with no surprises” Pierre Wack
  • 31. FINDING THE FUTURE WITH SCENARIOS 1. FIND THE STRATEGIC HORSES 2. FIND THE FORCES 3. FIND THE OUTCOME RANGE 4. MAP THE OUTCOMES 5. FIND THE CHARACTERS & STORIES THE FUTURE!
  • 32. E.G. SCENARIO PLANNING FOR ADAPTIVE CHALLENGES Figure 3: Adaptive Challenges. Source: Donald L. Laurie, Oyster International, LLC
  • 33. WE DON’T GET CERTAINTY WE GET GOOD AT LIVING WITH UNCERTAINTY REMEMBER
  • 34. TIP 3 – Give me back my crayons SCRIBBLE | DOODLE | PLAY
  • 35. “The single greatest challenge to leaders today is this: We have to make more increasingly complex ideas more clear, more quickly and more persuasively than ever, to more audiences who are more informed and have more access to more information than ever.” ― Dan Roam, Blah Blah Blah: What To Do When Words Don't Work Dan Roam
  • 36. SO DON’T FORGET ‘VUCA’ IN YOUR PLANNING VUCA WORLD
  • 37. DO YOU HAVE A MESSY, OPEN-ENDED, ILL-DEFINED STRATEGIC CHALLENGE WITH POTENTIALLY BIG CONSEQUENCES? 1– Design strategic conversations 2–Find the future with scenarios 3–Break out the crayons
  • 38. Soon to publish a new book…. STRATEGY MADE SIMPLE inspired stumbling forward Richard Lynch Amber Román Derval Kennedy Gar Mac Críosta
  • 39. “If you want to teach people a new way of thinking, don't bother trying to teach them. Instead, give them a tool, the use of which will lead to new ways of thinking.” ― Richard Buckminster Fuller
  • 40. rewiring the way organizations do STRATEGY | INNOVATION | TRANSFORMATION in fun, practical & imaginative ways WWW.ARCHTEXX.COM e: gar.maccriosta@archtexx.com t: @aspiringarc l: http://ie.linkedin.com/in/garmaccriosta w: www.archtexx.com w: www.iasaglobal.org
  • 41. TRADITIONAL OLD TOOLS dense forests of slides, documents, data BIG TEAMS infestation of consultants descends MAGICIANS FATIGUE 0-200mph leads to organizational fatigue DONE TO YOU consultants & change agents CHANGE YOU!! NO BELIEF magic consulting dust is Sprinkled “SECRET SAUCE” SLOW & LONG magic takes along time people stop believing NO FUN fun is forbidden
  • 42. ARCHTEXX NEW TOOLS SMALL TEAMS we use small crack teams of certified architects p COACHES PACED we find a rhythm that works for you DONE WITH YOU it’s your business you know it best VISIBLE & SHAREABLE SHORT & SHARP we use short focused Interventions with clear outcomes we make everything big visible & shareable we make everything useful - tools, stories, infographics & models we apply open tool with brain-friendly coaching & change methods MAKE IT FUN we use games & tools to make it fun