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https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
Lean Data Science
2020-11-19
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
Who is this guy?
Michael Kaminsky
Data Scientist / Analytics Engineer
Built Data Team @ Harry’s
Founded Locally Optimistic
Entrepreneur
Technical & Data Strategy Advisor
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
What is the goal of doing data science?
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
Learn new skills to earn more $$ in next job?
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
Fry an egg on a laptop during model training?
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
Impress other data scientists at conferences?
h/t @josh_wills for this joke.
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
Sound really smart in meetings?
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
No.
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
We are here to create business value
● Just like every other team in the organization
● But (maybe) data scientists use data to do it
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
But this is hard
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
“Science” means it’s experimental
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
Don’t know what’s possible until we try it
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
Uncertainty on Uncertainty
Even if the science parts works, will the “product” part work as well?
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
So what do we do about it?
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
Maximize:
value(x): potential impact of a DS endeavor
effort(x): amount of work / time required for the endeavor
p(x): probability DS endeavor will pan out
Optimize Expected Value
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
We can improve outcomes by learning over time
Each week, we can gain more information about
● value(x) -- will this project be as valuable as we think it is?
● effort(x) -- how hard will this problem be to solve?
● p(x) -- how likely are we to eventually solve it and gain value from it?
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
Explore & Exploit
We want to optimize for:
● Making forward progress on high expected-value projects
● Learning more about which projects have the highest expected value
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
Lean Startup & Validated Learning
● Startups are highly uncertain
● Have the ability to move fast and “pivot”
● Must root work in what drives the most value
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
Lean
Data
Science
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
1. Measure business outcomes, not model performance
❌
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
2. Ship early and often
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
3. Embrace failure and accept good enough
https://kaminsky.rocks/ @mike_kaminsky
Lean Data Science
● Measure business outcomes, not model performance
● Ship early and often
● Embrace failure and accept good enough

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