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Comprehensive Industry Overview




               Billion Dollar
                   Babies
                      ----
                 Trends and
                Opportunities
                 in the New
             E-Commerce World
                      April 2011



                                   © 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
A Word from Gridley & Company, LLC
        The e-commerce industry has undergone massive transformations since the launches of early industry
        leaders Amazon and eBay that created the backbone of the industry as we know it today. Although
        Amazon and eBay are still dominant players in the industry, major forces of disruption have taken
        place in the last few years that took e-commerce to an entirely new level.

        Social networks like Facebook and Twitter have been spreading like wildfire – the term “social
        commerce” was coined and the networks became huge drivers of a new e-commerce wave. The daily
        deal site Groupon launched in November 2008 and infamously turned down Google‟s $6 billion offer in
        December 2010. The e-commerce industry was never the same again with over 100 similar companies
        launched, attempting to share a slice of the pie. Private sales companies like Gilt Groupe and GSI-
        owned Rue La La started offering deeply discounted luxury clothing via flash sale in the midst of one
        of the worst recessions ever and successfully built an empire of online sample sales – there are more
        than 80 of such companies to date. In addition, new technologies like tablets and 3G/4G smartphones
        have become an enormous catalyst of mobile commerce.

        In this comprehensive study, we focus on the major disruptions that are changing the course of the
        e-commerce industry. More importantly, we have identified the opportunities necessary to capitalize on
        these trends. We hope you enjoy the industry overview and our perspectives. Please give us a call to
        discuss the content of this presentation.
                                                   Linda Gridley
                                                 President & CEO
            Karen Yau Smith                linda.gridley@gridleyco.com                 Pratik Patel
              Vice President                       212-400-9710                      Vice President
       karen.smith@gridleyco.com                                              pratik.patel@gridleyco.com
               212-400-9718                                                           212-400-9712

                                                        2
© 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
Table of Contents
          I.     Overview of the E-Commerce Industry

          II. New Emerging Business Models and Disruptive Subsectors
              A. Private Sales Model
              B. Group Buying / Local E-Commerce
              C. Mobile Commerce

          III. Overview of the E-Commerce Service Providers

          IV. Summary of Opportunities

          Appendix
             A. Summary Data on Public E-Commerce Companies
             B. Gridley & Company LLC Overview




                                           3
© 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
I. Overview of the
                               E-Commerce Industry




                                      4
© 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
Evolution of the E-Commerce Industry
                                                                                                                          Mobile
                                                                                                                       E-Commerce

                                                                                                                                         Daily Deals /
                                                                                                                                      Local E-Commerce

                                                                                      U.S. Broadband
                                                             Posted First             Reached 200mm
                                                             Ever Profits                  Users



                                                                                           Adwords
         Backbone of                                         Launched for              Surpassed $21bn                                   $177bn in
         E-Commerce                                            College                   in Revenues                                E-Commerce Sales,
           Formed                                              Students                                                               +13% from 2009

            1995                                               2003                          2007                                             2010

                                        2000




   1994                1997      1998            2002                            2006                                               2009

                                                                                                                              Teamed Up with
                                                Acquired                       Acquired
                   First Company  Google
   Netscape           to Reach   Launched
   Launched                                                                                                                     To Compete
                      $1mm in                  For $1.5 bn                                                                      with Google
                    Online Sales                                              For $1.65 bn



                                  USPS                                                           Private Sales                Traffic Surpasses
                                Launched                                                             Model
                                e-Stamps
 SSL Encryption                                                               iTunes became
 Enabled Online                                                                largest digital                      Social          Traffic
   Shopping                                                                    music retailer                    E-Commerce
                                                                            (>1 bn downloads)


                                                                        5
© 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
E-Commerce is Growing at 5x Traditional Retail
       • Online sales are expected to overtake traditional sales in less than 10 years
       • The U.S. was the 2010 leader in global e-commerce sales at 27% of worldwide volume; U.S. e-
         commerce retail sales totaled about $177 billion in 2010, up an average of 13% from 2009
       • New avenues for e-commerce, e.g. daily deals, private sales, etc. boosted the sector‟s
         momentum in 2010 and will contribute an increasingly larger share of the e-commerce market
         in the next few years

                                              10 Years of Acceleration: Online Dollar Growth to
                                                           Eclipse Offline by 2019
                                                  year-over-year change in sales by channel ($ billions)


                                  $80
                                  $70
                                  $60
                                  $50
                                  $40
                                  $30
                                  $20
                                  $10
                                   $0
                                         E


                                                 E


                                                          E

                                                                  E


                                                                          E


                                                                                  E


                                                                                           E


                                                                                                   E

                                                                                                            E


                                                                                                                    E


                                                                                                                            E
                                      10


                                              11


                                                       12

                                                               13


                                                                       14


                                                                               15


                                                                                        16


                                                                                                17

                                                                                                         18


                                                                                                                 19


                                                                                                                         20
                                    20


                                             20


                                                     20

                                                              20


                                                                      20


                                                                              20


                                                                                      20


                                                                                               20

                                                                                                        20


                                                                                                                20


                                                                                                                        20
                                                                   On-Line Growth        Off-Line Growth

                               Source: Goldman Sachs Research and International Data Corp. estimates.


                                                                               6
© 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
Summary of E-Commerce Landscape Today
                                                  Traditional E-Commerce                                                        Emerging E-Commerce(1)
                                                                                  Third Party Seller
                         eRetailers -- Brands        eRetailers -- Stores                                                              Daily Deals              Mobile
                                                                                     Platforms(1)               Private Sales
                                                                                                                                                               Commerce


                                                                                                                                                LOCAL
      BUSINESS MODELS




                                                                                                                                                                 Push
                                                                                                                                                               Shopping




                                                                                                                                                                Penny
                                                                                                                                                               Auctions




                                 Infrastructure(1)                        Marketing(1)                    Execution / Integration(1)           Processing / Fulfillment(1)
    PROVIDERS
     SERVICE




                        Note: (1) These lists reflect only some of the companies in the categories; the detail lists of companies are in section II and III.

                                                                                           7
© 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
Convergence Themes
       • E-commerce models are converging as different marketplaces and disruptive business
         models are springing up and growing fast

           –                   investment in                 –         „s rejected offer for

           –                    acquisition of

       • E-commerce is no longer just a distribution channel but a way for brands and merchants
         to reach consumers in a targeted manner

           – Convergence of e-commerce distribution and services with full marketing

           – E.g.               has much success with its custom recommendations for customers

       • E-commerce is converging with content and social to create strong audience relationships
         and enable sophisticated audience segmentation and targeting

           – E.g.

           – Higher content engagement, greater content stickiness

           – Higher consumer yield and customer lifetime value

           – Greater audience reach and segmentation through social mechanisms




                                                     8
© 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
Ten Key Trends in E-Commerce
       • Social media driving consumption

       • Continued consolidation among private sales companies

       • Evolvement of daily deals / local e-commerce sector

       • Emergence of industry leaders in private sales and daily deals

       • Mobile commerce catching up to traditional e-commerce

       • Emerging new business models: push shopping and penny auctions

       • Expansion of virtual goods and currencies

       • Online merchandising becoming increasingly sophisticated

       • Focus on high return initiatives

       • Proliferation of third party seller platforms
                                             9
© 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
Download complete report at:
                                    http://slidesha.re/fFLvgg




                                Gridley & Company LLC
                               10 East 53rd Street, 24th Floor
                                   New York, NY 10022
                                     212.400.9720 tel
                                     212.400.9717 fax
                                    Twitter: @gridleyco
                                    www.gridleyco.com




© 2011 Gridley & Company LLC

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Billion Dollar Babies: Trends and Opportunities in the New E-Commerce World

  • 1. Comprehensive Industry Overview Billion Dollar Babies ---- Trends and Opportunities in the New E-Commerce World April 2011 © 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
  • 2. A Word from Gridley & Company, LLC The e-commerce industry has undergone massive transformations since the launches of early industry leaders Amazon and eBay that created the backbone of the industry as we know it today. Although Amazon and eBay are still dominant players in the industry, major forces of disruption have taken place in the last few years that took e-commerce to an entirely new level. Social networks like Facebook and Twitter have been spreading like wildfire – the term “social commerce” was coined and the networks became huge drivers of a new e-commerce wave. The daily deal site Groupon launched in November 2008 and infamously turned down Google‟s $6 billion offer in December 2010. The e-commerce industry was never the same again with over 100 similar companies launched, attempting to share a slice of the pie. Private sales companies like Gilt Groupe and GSI- owned Rue La La started offering deeply discounted luxury clothing via flash sale in the midst of one of the worst recessions ever and successfully built an empire of online sample sales – there are more than 80 of such companies to date. In addition, new technologies like tablets and 3G/4G smartphones have become an enormous catalyst of mobile commerce. In this comprehensive study, we focus on the major disruptions that are changing the course of the e-commerce industry. More importantly, we have identified the opportunities necessary to capitalize on these trends. We hope you enjoy the industry overview and our perspectives. Please give us a call to discuss the content of this presentation. Linda Gridley President & CEO Karen Yau Smith linda.gridley@gridleyco.com Pratik Patel Vice President 212-400-9710 Vice President karen.smith@gridleyco.com pratik.patel@gridleyco.com 212-400-9718 212-400-9712 2 © 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
  • 3. Table of Contents I. Overview of the E-Commerce Industry II. New Emerging Business Models and Disruptive Subsectors A. Private Sales Model B. Group Buying / Local E-Commerce C. Mobile Commerce III. Overview of the E-Commerce Service Providers IV. Summary of Opportunities Appendix A. Summary Data on Public E-Commerce Companies B. Gridley & Company LLC Overview 3 © 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
  • 4. I. Overview of the E-Commerce Industry 4 © 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
  • 5. Evolution of the E-Commerce Industry Mobile E-Commerce Daily Deals / Local E-Commerce U.S. Broadband Posted First Reached 200mm Ever Profits Users Adwords Backbone of Launched for Surpassed $21bn $177bn in E-Commerce College in Revenues E-Commerce Sales, Formed Students +13% from 2009 1995 2003 2007 2010 2000 1994 1997 1998 2002 2006 2009 Teamed Up with Acquired Acquired First Company Google Netscape to Reach Launched Launched To Compete $1mm in For $1.5 bn with Google Online Sales For $1.65 bn USPS Private Sales Traffic Surpasses Launched Model e-Stamps SSL Encryption iTunes became Enabled Online largest digital Social Traffic Shopping music retailer E-Commerce (>1 bn downloads) 5 © 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
  • 6. E-Commerce is Growing at 5x Traditional Retail • Online sales are expected to overtake traditional sales in less than 10 years • The U.S. was the 2010 leader in global e-commerce sales at 27% of worldwide volume; U.S. e- commerce retail sales totaled about $177 billion in 2010, up an average of 13% from 2009 • New avenues for e-commerce, e.g. daily deals, private sales, etc. boosted the sector‟s momentum in 2010 and will contribute an increasingly larger share of the e-commerce market in the next few years 10 Years of Acceleration: Online Dollar Growth to Eclipse Offline by 2019 year-over-year change in sales by channel ($ billions) $80 $70 $60 $50 $40 $30 $20 $10 $0 E E E E E E E E E E E 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 On-Line Growth Off-Line Growth Source: Goldman Sachs Research and International Data Corp. estimates. 6 © 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
  • 7. Summary of E-Commerce Landscape Today Traditional E-Commerce Emerging E-Commerce(1) Third Party Seller eRetailers -- Brands eRetailers -- Stores Daily Deals Mobile Platforms(1) Private Sales Commerce LOCAL BUSINESS MODELS Push Shopping Penny Auctions Infrastructure(1) Marketing(1) Execution / Integration(1) Processing / Fulfillment(1) PROVIDERS SERVICE Note: (1) These lists reflect only some of the companies in the categories; the detail lists of companies are in section II and III. 7 © 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
  • 8. Convergence Themes • E-commerce models are converging as different marketplaces and disruptive business models are springing up and growing fast – investment in – „s rejected offer for – acquisition of • E-commerce is no longer just a distribution channel but a way for brands and merchants to reach consumers in a targeted manner – Convergence of e-commerce distribution and services with full marketing – E.g. has much success with its custom recommendations for customers • E-commerce is converging with content and social to create strong audience relationships and enable sophisticated audience segmentation and targeting – E.g. – Higher content engagement, greater content stickiness – Higher consumer yield and customer lifetime value – Greater audience reach and segmentation through social mechanisms 8 © 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
  • 9. Ten Key Trends in E-Commerce • Social media driving consumption • Continued consolidation among private sales companies • Evolvement of daily deals / local e-commerce sector • Emergence of industry leaders in private sales and daily deals • Mobile commerce catching up to traditional e-commerce • Emerging new business models: push shopping and penny auctions • Expansion of virtual goods and currencies • Online merchandising becoming increasingly sophisticated • Focus on high return initiatives • Proliferation of third party seller platforms 9 © 2011 Gridley & Company LLC
  • 10. Download complete report at: http://slidesha.re/fFLvgg Gridley & Company LLC 10 East 53rd Street, 24th Floor New York, NY 10022 212.400.9720 tel 212.400.9717 fax Twitter: @gridleyco www.gridleyco.com © 2011 Gridley & Company LLC