Similar to van der Woude, Auke: In tandem optimisation of anthropogenic and biosphere CO₂ emissions using a simple fossil fuel emission model and C¹⁴ (20)
Seismic Method Estimate velocity from seismic data.pptx
van der Woude, Auke: In tandem optimisation of anthropogenic and biosphere CO₂ emissions using a simple fossil fuel emission model and C¹⁴
1. Optimising fossil fuel and
biological CO2 emissions using
radiocarbon
Auke van der Woude, Ingrid Super, Ingrid Luijkx, Michiel van der Molen,
Harro Meijer, Linh Nguyen, Wouter Peters
auke.van.der.woude@rug.nl
auke.vanderwoude@wur.nl
2. Biological fluxes influence measured CO2
Cabauw, NL
ContributiontoatmosphericCO2[ppmCO2]
Day of year
2
Tolk et al., 2009
6. Super et al., 2020
Rijnmond area
Dynamic FF model
• Yearly emissions per sector per country
• Spatial downscaling
• Temporal downscaling
• Activity data
• Dynamic
Example: Household energy
• Baseline + heating below 18oC
• Population density
6
Super et al., 2020 in GMD
7. Biosphere fluxes (work in progress)
High resolution fluxes
• SiB4 0.5o by 0.5o
with 10 plant functional types
• CORINE land use map
(2 by 2 km) (44 land uses)
to PFT (10)
• Paint-by-number approach
Dominant PFT in SiBDominant PFT in CORINE
7
9. Experiments -- Preliminary
9
• Hourly pseudodata for 10 ICOS sites during daytime
• Jan-Feb 2016, optimise in steps of 5 days (11 cycles)
• 0. 05 by 0.1 degree
• WRF-STILT footprints (24 hours back)
• For each (6) country: 4 parameters fossil fuel model
• For most predominant PFTs (4): 1 parameter in the
biosphere optimised
• Total number of paramters per 5 days: 28
• CarbonTracker EnKF used with 96 members
12. Multiple cycles
• Totals remain the same
• Split improves with 14C
• Sectors improve slightly
• Only transport
no sector information
12
Targeted 14COnly CO2
Relativedeviation[%]
Welcome, thanks for coming to my presentation on … First thing that comes to mind: Why care?
Biosphere influences measured CO2, more variable than FF.
See clearly positive and negative bio signal, always present positive FF contribution.
Tussen Utrecht en Rotterdam, urban area, MET STERKE INVLOED VAN BIO
FF optimalisatie eerder gedaan
Biosfeer niet geoptimaliseerd: pseudodata experiment
Wij gaan biosfeer wel optimaliseren: Met 14C
Rcb golden tracer, vervallen in FF,
Kijken naar metingen van rcb in gebied rond rotterdam
These measurements also outside of Rotterdam area, use Super’s method outside Rotterdam
Noem: ook met andere gegevens, zoals zonlicht en wind voor renewable
Verdere detail in publicatie (super et al., 2020, GMD)
Weerniet heel variabel over half bij een half graad, grootste verschillen in LU