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Vaccines in COVID-19
Dr. Benedict Sim
Infectious Disease Physician
Disclaimers
•This slide was prepared for the Webinar Series
on COVID-19 session on 7th April 2021, by Dr.
Benedict Sim, Infectious Disease Physician,
Sungai Buloh Hospital, Malaysia.
•This is intended to share within healthcare
professionals, not for public.
•Kindly acknowledge “Clinical Updates in
COVID-19 http://www.nih.gov.my/covid-19”
should you plan to share the information
obtained from this slide with your colleagues.
Jointly organized by Malaysian Society of Infection Control and Infectious Diseases (MyICID) & Institute for Clinical Research, NIH
2
Content/Outline
1. Are vaccines really needed? Is covid-19 a
hyped-up disease? Let nature take its course. Isn’t
it another flu?
2. What is the efficacy of the vaccines? Can it
prevent against getting infected? How long will
they last?
3. Who should we prioritize for vaccines?
4. What about the impact of viral variants?
3
4
Ranges of mortality
by country:
Yemen – 19.8%
Singapore 0.05%
5
Case fatality rates – what it
doesn’t tell us
• Death lags behind
• Cause of death classified differently
• Death but not tested
• Died at home after discharged
• Indirect cause of death
• Does not take into account the
morbidity of covid 19
• The perspective of the patient
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Not the same for everyone…..
% deterioration
<40 yrs NO Comorbid 0.48
<40 yrs + Comorbid 4.15
40-60 yrs NO Comorbid 4.95
40-60 yrs + Comorbid 9.36
>60 yrs + NO Comorbid 6.21
>60 yrs + Comorbid 16.19
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Is the vaccine
effective against
COVID-19?
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
3 levels of protection
•The vaccinee
•Family
•Community (herd immunity)
28
29
CanSino
30
CanSino
31
CanSino
32
Coronavac
(Sinovac)
33
34
35
Oxford-AstraZeneca
36
37
Not the same for everyone…..
% deterioration
<40 yrs NO Comorbid 0.48
<40 yrs + Comorbid 4.15
40-60 yrs NO Comorbid 4.95
40-60 yrs + Comorbid 9.36
>60 yrs + NO Comorbid 6.21
>60 yrs + Comorbid 16.19
38
Priority groups (adapted from Green
Book, Public Health England, Chapter
14a, Covid-19
39
COVID-19 variants
40
Potential Consequences of
Emerging Variants
41
42
43
Summary of Potential Implications
for mRNA Vaccine Efficacy
44
Summary
•Do not look solely at case fatality rates when
assessing the clinical impact of COVID-19
•Naturally allowing COVID-19 to run its course is dangerous
•Current vaccines are effective against deaths, severe
disease and even transmission
•Prioritize the elderly and those with comorbidities
•Not out of the woods yet despite vaccination
•Viral variants are of concern – but current vaccines protect
against severe disease
45
Thank you
46

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COVID-19 Vaccines Explained: Efficacy, Prioritization, Variants

  • 1. Vaccines in COVID-19 Dr. Benedict Sim Infectious Disease Physician
  • 2. Disclaimers •This slide was prepared for the Webinar Series on COVID-19 session on 7th April 2021, by Dr. Benedict Sim, Infectious Disease Physician, Sungai Buloh Hospital, Malaysia. •This is intended to share within healthcare professionals, not for public. •Kindly acknowledge “Clinical Updates in COVID-19 http://www.nih.gov.my/covid-19” should you plan to share the information obtained from this slide with your colleagues. Jointly organized by Malaysian Society of Infection Control and Infectious Diseases (MyICID) & Institute for Clinical Research, NIH 2
  • 3. Content/Outline 1. Are vaccines really needed? Is covid-19 a hyped-up disease? Let nature take its course. Isn’t it another flu? 2. What is the efficacy of the vaccines? Can it prevent against getting infected? How long will they last? 3. Who should we prioritize for vaccines? 4. What about the impact of viral variants? 3
  • 4. 4
  • 5. Ranges of mortality by country: Yemen – 19.8% Singapore 0.05% 5
  • 6. Case fatality rates – what it doesn’t tell us • Death lags behind • Cause of death classified differently • Death but not tested • Died at home after discharged • Indirect cause of death • Does not take into account the morbidity of covid 19 • The perspective of the patient 6
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  • 13. Not the same for everyone….. % deterioration <40 yrs NO Comorbid 0.48 <40 yrs + Comorbid 4.15 40-60 yrs NO Comorbid 4.95 40-60 yrs + Comorbid 9.36 >60 yrs + NO Comorbid 6.21 >60 yrs + Comorbid 16.19 13
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  • 21. Is the vaccine effective against COVID-19? 21
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  • 28. 3 levels of protection •The vaccinee •Family •Community (herd immunity) 28
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  • 38. Not the same for everyone….. % deterioration <40 yrs NO Comorbid 0.48 <40 yrs + Comorbid 4.15 40-60 yrs NO Comorbid 4.95 40-60 yrs + Comorbid 9.36 >60 yrs + NO Comorbid 6.21 >60 yrs + Comorbid 16.19 38
  • 39. Priority groups (adapted from Green Book, Public Health England, Chapter 14a, Covid-19 39
  • 42. 42
  • 43. 43
  • 44. Summary of Potential Implications for mRNA Vaccine Efficacy 44
  • 45. Summary •Do not look solely at case fatality rates when assessing the clinical impact of COVID-19 •Naturally allowing COVID-19 to run its course is dangerous •Current vaccines are effective against deaths, severe disease and even transmission •Prioritize the elderly and those with comorbidities •Not out of the woods yet despite vaccination •Viral variants are of concern – but current vaccines protect against severe disease 45