1. Rapid Health Transitions:
Lessons from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and
Risk Factors 2010
Dec. 13, 2012

2. GBD 2010 Team
486 authors from 302 institutions in 50 countries
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3. Amassing the best evidence on the state of the
world’s health
• 291 diseases and injuries
• 1,160 disabling sequelae of these diseases and
injuries
• 67 risk factors
• 20 age groups, two sexes
• 187 countries
• 1990-2010
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4. Enhanced scientific rigor for global descriptive
epidemiology
• Statistical methods designed for the challenges of
global health data developed and applied.
• All figures have 95% uncertainty intervals.
• Multiple efforts at validation, e.g., deaths by cause
must add up to 100%; anemia by cause must add
up to total anemia.
• Data visualization environments used as quality
control tools.
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5. Five high-level observations and 650 million
results
• GBD 2010 has 650 million different findings.
• Bird’s-eye view provides five main messages, but
detailed findings are important for many diseases,
injuries, risks and for different regions and countries.
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6. 1) Outside of sub-Saharan Africa rapid demographic change
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7. 2) Progressive disease transition from communicable to
non-communicable causes
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8. 3) The disability transition: progressive shift in burden from
premature mortality to years lived with disability
1990 2010
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9. What ails you is not
necessarily what kills
you: global YLDs by
cause and age, 2010
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10. 4) The
global
risk
factor
transition
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11. 5) The majority of burden in sub-Saharan Africa is still
from MDGs 4, 5 and 6
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12. Leading
causes
of
global
DALYs
shifting
Infectious, neonatal, maternal
Non-communicable
Injuries
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13. Interactive tools to explore GBD 2010
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