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INBOUND15
Growth Through Acquisition
Should you BUY or SELL?
Karl Skutski
&
David Tobin
The Tobin Group
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45 minutes of Zen…
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…to meditate &
do some serious soul-searching
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…about your future
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Where do you hope to be
in 5 years?
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Are you getting there fast enough?
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Can you go it alone?
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Can you go it alone?
1. Where is your company in the Inbound Revolution?
2. Are you positioned to buy?
3. Are you a candidate to sell?
4. Hallmarks of a well-run firm
5. What is your business worth?
6. Parting words of wisdom
AGENDA
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Where are you in the Inbound
revolution?
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TYPES OF COMPANIES
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1. The small happy “family”
2. Conservative, organic growers
3. Aggressive entrepreneurs
PERSONAS OF BUSINESS OWNERS
Contentment
Modest growth
Big dollar potential
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1. The small happy “family”
2. Conservative, organic growers
3. Aggressive entrepreneurs
Understand how M&As work…
PERSONAS OF BUSINESS OWNERS
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1. The small happy “family”
2. Conservative, organic “farmers”
3. Aggressive entrepreneurs
Understand how M&As work…
…MAY BE MORE DOABLE THAN YOU THINK!
PERSONAS OF BUSINESS OWNERS
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PROFILE OF INBOUND PROVIDERS
2015 HubSpot Partner Benchmark Survey
All Partners Gold + Platinum
Age of firm 2-5 years 2-5 years 2-5 years
Total revenues $100K - $500K $100K - $500K $100K - $500K
Number of full-time employees 2-5 2-5 26+
Annual revenue growth < 10% 21 to 50% 100%
Operating margin 11 to 20% 11 to 20% 11 to 20%
Cash to support expansion < $50,000 < $50,000 $100K - $250K
Average service fees $3K - $5K $5K - $10K $5K - $10K
Percent business = inbound < 25% 75% - 99% 100%
Most Common Responses
INBOUND15
PROFILE OF INBOUND PROVIDERS
2015 HubSpot Partner Benchmark Survey
All Partners Gold + Platinum
Age of firm 2-5 years 2-5 years 2-5 years
Total revenues $100K - $500K $100K - $500K $100K - $500K
Number of full-time employees 2-5 2-5 26+
Annual revenue growth < 10% 21 to 50% 100%
Operating margin 11 to 20% 11 to 20% 11 to 20%
Cash to support expansion < $50,000 < $50,000 $100K - $250K
Average service fees $3K - $5K $5K - $10K $5K - $10K
Percent business = inbound < 25% 75% - 99% 100%
Most Common Responses
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PROFILE OF INBOUND PROVIDERS
2015 HubSpot Partner Benchmark Survey
All Partners Gold + Platinum
Age of firm 2-5 years 2-5 years 2-5 years
Total revenues $100K - $500K $100K - $500K $1M to $2M
Number of full-time employees 2-5 2-5 26+
Annual revenue growth < 10% 21 to 50% 100%
Operating margin 11 to 20% 11 to 20% 11 to 20%
Cash to support expansion < $50,000 < $50,000 $100K - $250K
Average service fees $3K - $5K $5K - $10K $5K - $10K
Percent business = inbound < 25% 75% - 99% 100%
Most Common Responses
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WHERE THE INDUSTRY IS
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0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2015 2020
MAS Industry
Projected Growth:
Marketing Automation Software (Frost & Sullivan)
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0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2015 2020
MAS Industry
Projected Growth:
Marketing Automation Software (Frost & Sullivan)
Typical
Marketing Agency
(10% annual growth)
1,600,000
1,000,000
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How can you capitalize on
the growth of Inbound?
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Can you get to where
you want to go alone?
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2 Are you positioned to buy?
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WHY BUYERS BUY?
1. Increase REVENUE and/or PROFITABILITY
2. Strengthen MANAGEMENT team (including potential successors)
3. Add COMPLEMENTARY TALENT & capabilities (technical, strategic, branding,
PR/content, etc.)
4. Gain access to seller’s CLIENTS
5. Expand GEOGRAPHIC footprint
6. Position the company to be MONETIZED
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DO YOU HAVE WHAT IT TAKES TO BE A PLAYER?
1. Clear VISION of the how an acquisition might enhance your business (are you
buying talent, capabilities, managers/successors, revenue, cash flow?)
2. An UNDERSTANDING of the M&A process & a good team of advisors
3. TOP-LINE REVENUES of > $1 million or approximately 3x value of the target firm
4. Access to CASH to fund 20% to 35% of the purchase price upfront
5. Consistent CASH FLOW, ideally 15% to 20% of Adjusted Gross Income, to fund debt
service and grow your business
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Should you acquire an
under-performing company
OR
a profitable, growing firm?
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POTENTIAL DEAL ELEMENTS TO ACQUIRE
PROFITABLE, GROWING FIRMS
1. CASH (20% to 40% of the deal value)
2. GUARANTEED DEFERRED PAYMENTS
3. EARN-OUT PAYMENTS that offer the opportunity for increased value
4. EQUITY in the larger enterprise
5. PHANTOM STOCK PLAN
6. EMPLOYMENT CONTRACT
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PHANTOM STOCK PLANS
1. CONTRACT to pay benefits upon certain triggering events; i.e., the sale of the company
2. You custom DESIGN the plan elements
3. Can include a VESTING schedule
4. Can base the payouts on APPRECIATED value
5. NOT REAL EQUITY so you are not required to share financial information or buy back
shares
6. Ownership is not DILUTED
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SAMPLE DEALS
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SAMPLE CASE #1
 Buyer: Inbound marketing agency
 Seller: Inbound marketing agency
 Seller’s revenue: $1,400,000
 Seller’s EBITDA: Negative $75,000
DEAL TERMS:
1. Down payment of $100,000
2. Commissions of 20% of AGI in excess of $900,000 for two years
3. Six-month consulting contract of $75,000 for seller
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SAMPLE CASE #2
 Buyer: Inbound marketing agency
 Seller: Web development & digital marketing
 Seller’s revenue: $700,000
 Seller’s EBITDA: $53,300
DEAL TERMS:
1. Down payment of $50,000
2. Deferred payments of $60,000 per year with earn out safeguards
3. Phantom units in Phantom Stock Plan
4. Employment contact for owner
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SAMPLE CASE #3
 Buyer: Integrated marketing agency
 Seller: Design firm
 Seller’s revenue: $1,700,000
 Seller’s EBITDA: $168,000
DEAL TERMS:
1. Down payment of $300,000
2. Commissions of 15% of AGI above $1,100,000 for a four-year period
3. Employment contracts for two principals
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3 Are you a candidate to sell?
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WHY SELLERS SELL?
THE SELLER’S MOTIVATION
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WHY SELLERS SELL?
THE NOT-SO-GOOD REASONS
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WHY SELLERS SELL?
THE NOT-SO-GOOD REASONS
1. Unable to achieve PERSONAL FINANCIAL GOALS on own
2. Burdened with DEBT
3. SALARY lower than Fair Market
4. NO GROWTH
5. LOSS of big account(s)
6. No BENEFITS or 401K
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WHY SELLERS SELL?
THE NOT-SO-GOOD REASONS
1. Unable to achieve PERSONAL FINANCIAL GOALS on own
2. Burdened with DEBT
3. SALARY lower than Fair Market
4. NO GROWTH
5. LOSS of big account(s)
6. No BENEFITS or 401K
DISTRESSED BUSINESS ?
=
OPPORTUNITY FOR BUYER
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WHY SELLERS SELL?
THE NOT-SO-GOOD REASONS
1. Unable to achieve PERSONAL FINANCIAL GOALS on own
2. Burdened with DEBT
3. SALARY lower than Fair Market
4. NO GROWTH
5. LOSS of big account(s)
6. No BENEFITS or 401K
DISTRESSED BUSINESS ?
=
OPPORTUNITY FOR BUYER
&
STILL COULD BE A GOOD DEAL
FOR SELLER !
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WHY SELLERS SELL?
OKAY REASONS
1. Be part of a GROWING ENTERPRISE
2. EQUITY opportunity with larger enterprise
3. Play on a BIGGER FIELD
4. EXIT plan
5. Greater LIFE BALANCE
6. Be RELIEVED of management and administrative responsibilities
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WHAT BUYERS DESIRE
1. Net after-tax CASH FLOW
2. CONFIDENCE cash flow will persist
3. SYNERGISTIC savings
4. LEVERAGE opportunities
5. Ability to INCREASE VALUE
6. Fit with their STRATEGIC PLANS
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PREPARING YOUR BUSINESS FOR A SALE
1. Paint a PICTURE of what your company can be or do
2. Create a MARKET
3. Seek buyers that can leverage your resources and realize SYNERGISTIC savings
4. Address key DEPENDENCIES & VULNERABILITIES
5. Demonstrate stability and CONSISTENT CASH FLOW
6. Get your financial RECORDS IN ORDER
7. LOCK IN key employees
8. Confront potential “DEAL KILLERS”
9. Have a realistic expectation of your FIRM’S VALUE
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Key Value Drivers
What buyers look for…and sellers should flaunt!
Factors that impact the multiple or company risk factor in VALUATIONS
1. Consistent cash flow > 15% to 20% 7. Diversity/longevity of accounts
2. Strength of senior management team 8. Sales trends/growth potential
3. Limited dependence on owner(s) 9. Lack of debt/long-term obligations
4. “Golden handcuffs” for key people 10. Financial controls and reporting systems
5. Market niches/specialty services 11. Reputation & goodwill
6. Systematic approach to new business 12. Technology/digital capabilities
INBOUND15
Key Value Drivers
What buyers look for…and sellers should flaunt!
Factors that impact the multiple or company risk factor in VALUATIONS
1. Consistent cash flow > 15% to 20% 7. Diversity/longevity of accounts
2. Strength of senior management team 8. Sales trends/growth potential
3. Limited dependence on owner(s) 9. Lack of debt/long-term obligations
4. “Golden handcuffs” for key people 10. Financial controls and reporting systems
5. Market niches/specialty services 11. Reputation & goodwill
6. Systematic approach to new business 12. Technology/digital capabilities
INBOUND15
Key Value Drivers
What buyers look for…and sellers should flaunt!
Factors that impact the multiple or company risk factor in VALUATIONS
1. Consistent cash flow > 15% to 20% 7. Diversity/longevity of accounts
2. Strength of senior management team 8. Sales trends/growth potential
3. Limited dependence on owner(s) 9. Lack of debt/long-term obligations
4. “Golden handcuffs” for key people 10. Financial controls and reporting systems
5. Market niches/specialty services 11. Reputation & goodwill
6. Systematic approach to new business 12. Technology/digital capabilities
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4 Hallmarks of a well-run firm
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Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE
Net income as % of AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $175
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
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Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000
Net income as % of AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $175
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % of AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $175
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $175
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
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Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $175
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $175
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $175
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $175
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $175
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.)
Average hourly billing rates $90 $175
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $175
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $175
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $250
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $250
Owner’s discretionary income
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $250
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $250
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $250
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to low-billable FTE ratio
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $250
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to low-billable FTE ratio 1:5
INBOUND15
Key Financial Ratios & Metrics
TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million
Factor Average Top
Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000
Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35%
Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55%
Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95%
Average hourly billing rates $90 $250
Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+
Billable to low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
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5 What is your business worth?
#INBOUND15
“1.5 times AGI”
“21% Cap Rate”
“6 times EBITDA”
“Book Value”
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THE PERILS OF VALUATIONS
INBOUND15
(general blank slide)
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(general blank slide)
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(general blank slide)
$ 0
BOOK VALUE METHOD
INBOUND15
(general blank slide)
CAPITALIZATION OF HISTORIC EARNINGS METHOD
INBOUND15
(general blank slide)
DISCOUNTED FUTURE CASH FLOW METHOD
$ 2,889,296
INBOUND15
THE HUSBAND’S
CERTIFIED VALUATION ANALYST:
$0.00
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THE HUSBAND’S
CERTIFIED VALUATION ANALYST:
$0.00
THE WIFE’S
CERTIFIED VALUATION ANALYST:
$4,000,000
INBOUND15
COMMON VALUATION METHODS FOR AGENCIES
1. Multiple of EBITDA (Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, & amortization)
2. Capitalization of historic earnings
3. Discounted future cash flow
4. Percentage Adjusted Gross Income
INBOUND15
Some Problems with the EBITDA Approach
• PRETAX estimates of cash flow
• Does not take THE FUTURE into
consideration
• Often results in UNREALISTIC VALUES
that future cash flow may not support
• Certified Valuation Analysts (CVAs)
frown upon the approach
EBITDA Is 'BS' Earnings
Forbes, November 13, 2014
“Beware of geeks bearing formulas.”
– Warren Buffett
Buffett’s long-time business partner,
Charlie Munger, expressed Berkshire
Hathaway’s position on this particular
formula best: “I think that, every time
you see the word EBITDA, you should
substitute the word ‘bullshit’ earnings.”
INBOUND15
Making Common Sense Out of Valuations
• Historic numbers don’t lie…high EBITDA or CAP RATE will drive higher value
• Valuations provide a BASE LINE FOR NEGOTIATIONS
• CAP RATE may be more realistic than multiple of EBITDA
• If buyers and sellers can agree on upside potential, DISCOUNTED FUTURE CASH FLOW
should be considered
• MULTIPLES are highly SUBJECTIVE
• Potential FINANCIAL SYNERGIES should be factored in
#INBOUND15
The ultimate definition of FAIR VALUE
What a willing buyer and
willing seller agree to when
neither are under undue
pressure to buy or sell.
#INBOUND15
Cash Flow
Drives the Deal Value!
MANAGE for 20% or more!
INBOUND15
6 Parting words
#INBOUND15
1. Do some soul-searching
2. Know thy value
3. Consider the possibilities
#INBOUND15
4. Learn, learn, learn
5. Get thy business act together
6. Don’t try this at home
#INBOUND15
GO FOR IT!
#INBOUND15
GO FOR IT!
You deserve the
rewards of being an
entrepreneur!
#INBOUND15
Free E-Book
www.thetobingroup.com
#INBOUND15
Karl Skutski
David Tobin
Pittsburgh & LA
412-418-1231
dtobin@thetobingroup.com

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David Tobin and Karl Skutski - Growth Through Acquisition

  • 1. INBOUND15 Growth Through Acquisition Should you BUY or SELL? Karl Skutski & David Tobin The Tobin Group
  • 3. INBOUND15 …to meditate & do some serious soul-searching
  • 5. INBOUND15 Where do you hope to be in 5 years?
  • 6. INBOUND15 Are you getting there fast enough?
  • 9. 1. Where is your company in the Inbound Revolution? 2. Are you positioned to buy? 3. Are you a candidate to sell? 4. Hallmarks of a well-run firm 5. What is your business worth? 6. Parting words of wisdom AGENDA
  • 10. INBOUND15 Where are you in the Inbound revolution?
  • 12. INBOUND15 1. The small happy “family” 2. Conservative, organic growers 3. Aggressive entrepreneurs PERSONAS OF BUSINESS OWNERS Contentment Modest growth Big dollar potential
  • 13. INBOUND15 1. The small happy “family” 2. Conservative, organic growers 3. Aggressive entrepreneurs Understand how M&As work… PERSONAS OF BUSINESS OWNERS
  • 14. INBOUND15 1. The small happy “family” 2. Conservative, organic “farmers” 3. Aggressive entrepreneurs Understand how M&As work… …MAY BE MORE DOABLE THAN YOU THINK! PERSONAS OF BUSINESS OWNERS
  • 15. INBOUND15 PROFILE OF INBOUND PROVIDERS 2015 HubSpot Partner Benchmark Survey All Partners Gold + Platinum Age of firm 2-5 years 2-5 years 2-5 years Total revenues $100K - $500K $100K - $500K $100K - $500K Number of full-time employees 2-5 2-5 26+ Annual revenue growth < 10% 21 to 50% 100% Operating margin 11 to 20% 11 to 20% 11 to 20% Cash to support expansion < $50,000 < $50,000 $100K - $250K Average service fees $3K - $5K $5K - $10K $5K - $10K Percent business = inbound < 25% 75% - 99% 100% Most Common Responses
  • 16. INBOUND15 PROFILE OF INBOUND PROVIDERS 2015 HubSpot Partner Benchmark Survey All Partners Gold + Platinum Age of firm 2-5 years 2-5 years 2-5 years Total revenues $100K - $500K $100K - $500K $100K - $500K Number of full-time employees 2-5 2-5 26+ Annual revenue growth < 10% 21 to 50% 100% Operating margin 11 to 20% 11 to 20% 11 to 20% Cash to support expansion < $50,000 < $50,000 $100K - $250K Average service fees $3K - $5K $5K - $10K $5K - $10K Percent business = inbound < 25% 75% - 99% 100% Most Common Responses
  • 17. INBOUND15 PROFILE OF INBOUND PROVIDERS 2015 HubSpot Partner Benchmark Survey All Partners Gold + Platinum Age of firm 2-5 years 2-5 years 2-5 years Total revenues $100K - $500K $100K - $500K $1M to $2M Number of full-time employees 2-5 2-5 26+ Annual revenue growth < 10% 21 to 50% 100% Operating margin 11 to 20% 11 to 20% 11 to 20% Cash to support expansion < $50,000 < $50,000 $100K - $250K Average service fees $3K - $5K $5K - $10K $5K - $10K Percent business = inbound < 25% 75% - 99% 100% Most Common Responses
  • 19. INBOUND15 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2015 2020 MAS Industry Projected Growth: Marketing Automation Software (Frost & Sullivan)
  • 20. INBOUND15 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2015 2020 MAS Industry Projected Growth: Marketing Automation Software (Frost & Sullivan) Typical Marketing Agency (10% annual growth) 1,600,000 1,000,000
  • 21. INBOUND15 How can you capitalize on the growth of Inbound?
  • 22. INBOUND15 Can you get to where you want to go alone?
  • 23. INBOUND15 2 Are you positioned to buy?
  • 24. INBOUND15 WHY BUYERS BUY? 1. Increase REVENUE and/or PROFITABILITY 2. Strengthen MANAGEMENT team (including potential successors) 3. Add COMPLEMENTARY TALENT & capabilities (technical, strategic, branding, PR/content, etc.) 4. Gain access to seller’s CLIENTS 5. Expand GEOGRAPHIC footprint 6. Position the company to be MONETIZED
  • 25. INBOUND15 DO YOU HAVE WHAT IT TAKES TO BE A PLAYER? 1. Clear VISION of the how an acquisition might enhance your business (are you buying talent, capabilities, managers/successors, revenue, cash flow?) 2. An UNDERSTANDING of the M&A process & a good team of advisors 3. TOP-LINE REVENUES of > $1 million or approximately 3x value of the target firm 4. Access to CASH to fund 20% to 35% of the purchase price upfront 5. Consistent CASH FLOW, ideally 15% to 20% of Adjusted Gross Income, to fund debt service and grow your business
  • 26. INBOUND15 Should you acquire an under-performing company OR a profitable, growing firm?
  • 27. INBOUND15 POTENTIAL DEAL ELEMENTS TO ACQUIRE PROFITABLE, GROWING FIRMS 1. CASH (20% to 40% of the deal value) 2. GUARANTEED DEFERRED PAYMENTS 3. EARN-OUT PAYMENTS that offer the opportunity for increased value 4. EQUITY in the larger enterprise 5. PHANTOM STOCK PLAN 6. EMPLOYMENT CONTRACT
  • 28. INBOUND15 PHANTOM STOCK PLANS 1. CONTRACT to pay benefits upon certain triggering events; i.e., the sale of the company 2. You custom DESIGN the plan elements 3. Can include a VESTING schedule 4. Can base the payouts on APPRECIATED value 5. NOT REAL EQUITY so you are not required to share financial information or buy back shares 6. Ownership is not DILUTED
  • 30. INBOUND15 SAMPLE CASE #1  Buyer: Inbound marketing agency  Seller: Inbound marketing agency  Seller’s revenue: $1,400,000  Seller’s EBITDA: Negative $75,000 DEAL TERMS: 1. Down payment of $100,000 2. Commissions of 20% of AGI in excess of $900,000 for two years 3. Six-month consulting contract of $75,000 for seller
  • 31. INBOUND15 SAMPLE CASE #2  Buyer: Inbound marketing agency  Seller: Web development & digital marketing  Seller’s revenue: $700,000  Seller’s EBITDA: $53,300 DEAL TERMS: 1. Down payment of $50,000 2. Deferred payments of $60,000 per year with earn out safeguards 3. Phantom units in Phantom Stock Plan 4. Employment contact for owner
  • 32. INBOUND15 SAMPLE CASE #3  Buyer: Integrated marketing agency  Seller: Design firm  Seller’s revenue: $1,700,000  Seller’s EBITDA: $168,000 DEAL TERMS: 1. Down payment of $300,000 2. Commissions of 15% of AGI above $1,100,000 for a four-year period 3. Employment contracts for two principals
  • 33. INBOUND15 3 Are you a candidate to sell?
  • 34. INBOUND15 WHY SELLERS SELL? THE SELLER’S MOTIVATION
  • 35. INBOUND15 WHY SELLERS SELL? THE NOT-SO-GOOD REASONS
  • 36. INBOUND15 WHY SELLERS SELL? THE NOT-SO-GOOD REASONS 1. Unable to achieve PERSONAL FINANCIAL GOALS on own 2. Burdened with DEBT 3. SALARY lower than Fair Market 4. NO GROWTH 5. LOSS of big account(s) 6. No BENEFITS or 401K
  • 37. INBOUND15 WHY SELLERS SELL? THE NOT-SO-GOOD REASONS 1. Unable to achieve PERSONAL FINANCIAL GOALS on own 2. Burdened with DEBT 3. SALARY lower than Fair Market 4. NO GROWTH 5. LOSS of big account(s) 6. No BENEFITS or 401K DISTRESSED BUSINESS ? = OPPORTUNITY FOR BUYER
  • 38. INBOUND15 WHY SELLERS SELL? THE NOT-SO-GOOD REASONS 1. Unable to achieve PERSONAL FINANCIAL GOALS on own 2. Burdened with DEBT 3. SALARY lower than Fair Market 4. NO GROWTH 5. LOSS of big account(s) 6. No BENEFITS or 401K DISTRESSED BUSINESS ? = OPPORTUNITY FOR BUYER & STILL COULD BE A GOOD DEAL FOR SELLER !
  • 39. INBOUND15 WHY SELLERS SELL? OKAY REASONS 1. Be part of a GROWING ENTERPRISE 2. EQUITY opportunity with larger enterprise 3. Play on a BIGGER FIELD 4. EXIT plan 5. Greater LIFE BALANCE 6. Be RELIEVED of management and administrative responsibilities
  • 40. INBOUND15 WHAT BUYERS DESIRE 1. Net after-tax CASH FLOW 2. CONFIDENCE cash flow will persist 3. SYNERGISTIC savings 4. LEVERAGE opportunities 5. Ability to INCREASE VALUE 6. Fit with their STRATEGIC PLANS
  • 41. INBOUND15 PREPARING YOUR BUSINESS FOR A SALE 1. Paint a PICTURE of what your company can be or do 2. Create a MARKET 3. Seek buyers that can leverage your resources and realize SYNERGISTIC savings 4. Address key DEPENDENCIES & VULNERABILITIES 5. Demonstrate stability and CONSISTENT CASH FLOW 6. Get your financial RECORDS IN ORDER 7. LOCK IN key employees 8. Confront potential “DEAL KILLERS” 9. Have a realistic expectation of your FIRM’S VALUE
  • 42. INBOUND15 Key Value Drivers What buyers look for…and sellers should flaunt! Factors that impact the multiple or company risk factor in VALUATIONS 1. Consistent cash flow > 15% to 20% 7. Diversity/longevity of accounts 2. Strength of senior management team 8. Sales trends/growth potential 3. Limited dependence on owner(s) 9. Lack of debt/long-term obligations 4. “Golden handcuffs” for key people 10. Financial controls and reporting systems 5. Market niches/specialty services 11. Reputation & goodwill 6. Systematic approach to new business 12. Technology/digital capabilities
  • 43. INBOUND15 Key Value Drivers What buyers look for…and sellers should flaunt! Factors that impact the multiple or company risk factor in VALUATIONS 1. Consistent cash flow > 15% to 20% 7. Diversity/longevity of accounts 2. Strength of senior management team 8. Sales trends/growth potential 3. Limited dependence on owner(s) 9. Lack of debt/long-term obligations 4. “Golden handcuffs” for key people 10. Financial controls and reporting systems 5. Market niches/specialty services 11. Reputation & goodwill 6. Systematic approach to new business 12. Technology/digital capabilities
  • 44. INBOUND15 Key Value Drivers What buyers look for…and sellers should flaunt! Factors that impact the multiple or company risk factor in VALUATIONS 1. Consistent cash flow > 15% to 20% 7. Diversity/longevity of accounts 2. Strength of senior management team 8. Sales trends/growth potential 3. Limited dependence on owner(s) 9. Lack of debt/long-term obligations 4. “Golden handcuffs” for key people 10. Financial controls and reporting systems 5. Market niches/specialty services 11. Reputation & goodwill 6. Systematic approach to new business 12. Technology/digital capabilities
  • 45. INBOUND15 4 Hallmarks of a well-run firm
  • 46. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE Net income as % of AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $175 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 47. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 Net income as % of AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $175 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 48. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % of AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $175 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 49. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $175 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 50. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $175 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 51. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $175 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 52. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $175 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 53. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $175 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 54. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $175 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 55. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) Average hourly billing rates $90 $175 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 56. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% Average hourly billing rates $90 $175 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 57. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $175 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 58. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 59. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 60. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $250 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 61. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $250 Owner’s discretionary income Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 62. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $250 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 63. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $250 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to non/low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 64. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $250 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to low-billable FTE ratio
  • 65. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $250 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to low-billable FTE ratio 1:5
  • 66. INBOUND15 Key Financial Ratios & Metrics TTG client database of 100+ marketing agencies between $500K to $5 million Factor Average Top Revenues per FTE $100,000 $250,000 Net income as % AGI after FMS 10% 35% Labor costs as a % of AGI 65% 55% Staff utilization rates (non-mgt.) 70% 95% Average hourly billing rates $90 $250 Owner’s discretionary income $90,000 $350,000+ Billable to low-billable FTE ratio 1:5 1:25
  • 67. INBOUND15 5 What is your business worth?
  • 68. #INBOUND15 “1.5 times AGI” “21% Cap Rate” “6 times EBITDA” “Book Value”
  • 72. INBOUND15 (general blank slide) $ 0 BOOK VALUE METHOD
  • 73. INBOUND15 (general blank slide) CAPITALIZATION OF HISTORIC EARNINGS METHOD
  • 74. INBOUND15 (general blank slide) DISCOUNTED FUTURE CASH FLOW METHOD $ 2,889,296
  • 76. INBOUND15 THE HUSBAND’S CERTIFIED VALUATION ANALYST: $0.00 THE WIFE’S CERTIFIED VALUATION ANALYST: $4,000,000
  • 77. INBOUND15 COMMON VALUATION METHODS FOR AGENCIES 1. Multiple of EBITDA (Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, & amortization) 2. Capitalization of historic earnings 3. Discounted future cash flow 4. Percentage Adjusted Gross Income
  • 78. INBOUND15 Some Problems with the EBITDA Approach • PRETAX estimates of cash flow • Does not take THE FUTURE into consideration • Often results in UNREALISTIC VALUES that future cash flow may not support • Certified Valuation Analysts (CVAs) frown upon the approach EBITDA Is 'BS' Earnings Forbes, November 13, 2014 “Beware of geeks bearing formulas.” – Warren Buffett Buffett’s long-time business partner, Charlie Munger, expressed Berkshire Hathaway’s position on this particular formula best: “I think that, every time you see the word EBITDA, you should substitute the word ‘bullshit’ earnings.”
  • 79. INBOUND15 Making Common Sense Out of Valuations • Historic numbers don’t lie…high EBITDA or CAP RATE will drive higher value • Valuations provide a BASE LINE FOR NEGOTIATIONS • CAP RATE may be more realistic than multiple of EBITDA • If buyers and sellers can agree on upside potential, DISCOUNTED FUTURE CASH FLOW should be considered • MULTIPLES are highly SUBJECTIVE • Potential FINANCIAL SYNERGIES should be factored in
  • 80. #INBOUND15 The ultimate definition of FAIR VALUE What a willing buyer and willing seller agree to when neither are under undue pressure to buy or sell.
  • 81. #INBOUND15 Cash Flow Drives the Deal Value! MANAGE for 20% or more!
  • 83. #INBOUND15 1. Do some soul-searching 2. Know thy value 3. Consider the possibilities
  • 84. #INBOUND15 4. Learn, learn, learn 5. Get thy business act together 6. Don’t try this at home
  • 86. #INBOUND15 GO FOR IT! You deserve the rewards of being an entrepreneur!
  • 88. #INBOUND15 Karl Skutski David Tobin Pittsburgh & LA 412-418-1231 dtobin@thetobingroup.com