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Predicting March Madness with IBM Watson Analytics
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Predicting March Madness with IBM Watson Analytics
1.
© IBM 2015
1#WatsonAnalytics Get started at WatsonAnalytics.com Ian Balina WATSON ANALYTICS EVANGELIST ibalina@us.ibm.com Predicting March Madness with IBM Watson Analytics
2.
© IBM 2015
2#WatsonAnalytics Agenda • Intro to Watson Analytics • Data Preparation • Predictive Analysis • Comparison of Predictive Model • Predicting 2016 March Madness
3.
© IBM 2015
#WatsonAnalytics 3 IBM Watson To focus on bringing Watson to market, three key areas were identified: • Natural language processing • Hypothesis generation • Evidence-based learning Trained using artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning algorithms to sense, predict, infer, and in some ways, think. The Watson you know that won Jeopardy! is now an IBM brand for a next generation of cognitive computing solutions.
4.
© IBM 2015
#WatsonAnalytics 4 How does Watson Analytics fit into the family of solutions? Watson Analytics leverages Watson’s unique cognitive capabilities in three ways: 1. Provides semantic recognition of concepts in your data such as time, place, and revenue. 2. Identifies recommended starting points for analysis and targets for prediction. 3. Enables interaction in natural language allowing for the exploration of data through simple questions like you would ask a colleague. Watson Analytics is a cloud based smart data discovery tool from IBM Analytics
5.
© IBM 2015
#WatsonAnalytics 5 Data Preparation • Source - http://bit.ly/1nPJqma • Seasons – 2001-2015 men’s college basketball seasons The hardest part of this analysis is finding the data and merging data sets • Combine all 15 seasons into one SUPER data set • Add two columns for Final Four and Championship teams for each year
6.
© IBM 2015
#WatsonAnalytics 6 Predictive Analysis Top Predictors for Final Four teams I uploaded the SUPER data set into Watson Analytics and set Final Four and Championship as the targets to predict Top Predictors for Championship Teams
7.
© IBM 2015
#WatsonAnalytics 7 Historical Comparison of Predictive Model
8.
© IBM 2015
#WatsonAnalytics 8 Predicting 2016 March Madness North Carolina Predicted Winner
9.
© IBM 2015
9#WatsonAnalytics WatsonAnalytics.com – get started today!
10.
© IBM 2015
10#WatsonAnalytics Explore Continue to ask questions about your data using natural language Click on the new insights provided by Watson Analytics and explore the text and visual results
11.
© IBM 2015
11#WatsonAnalytics Explore Share images with your peers, or email it to your team
12.
© IBM 2015
12#WatsonAnalytics Explore Add in data points and see things differently using the visualization menu, data filters, color pallets and more
13.
© IBM 2015
13#WatsonAnalytics Predict Additional insights discovered for you Pin your results for use in dashboards and storytelling Automated data visualizations Identified predictors of your target analysis
14.
© IBM 2015
14#WatsonAnalytics Predict Additional tabs for further predictive insights Pinning for dashboard and storytelling Top decision rule determined for highest percentage of Wins
15.
© IBM 2015
15#WatsonAnalytics Assemble Include graphics, corporate logos and more to personalize your view Create dashboards and infographics from your pinned objects Select from a wide array of templates and color schemes
Download now