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P2
PICKING STOCKS IN THE MARKET
19

The analysis of securities

Made by: Imran Almaleh
PART 2
agenda:


Price patterns:








19

ALWAYS AFTER A TREND
Break-out & target rules
The Rectangle
Heads and Shoulders & reversed
Double tops & Double bottoms

Advanced technical analysis
MACD
 CCI
 RSI

BREAK-OUT AND TARGET


Break-out rules:
The 3%-5% move
 The volume move




Setting your target:
Measurement
 Sell before you hit your target

THE RECTANGLE
4 points formation
 Break-out confirmation
 Target

Basics of Technical Analysis - Picking stocks in the market Part 2
HEADS & SHOULDERS
After a long trend
 Major trend reversal
 Support line
 Reversed H&S


Break-out
 Target

Basics of Technical Analysis - Picking stocks in the market Part 2
Reversed H&S
THE DOUBLE TOPS & BOTTOMS


Formation:
1.
2.
3.

Peak then 10 to 20% decline
±3% second peak
Decline

More people selling
 Break-out
 Target

Basics of Technical Analysis - Picking stocks in the market Part 2
H&S
INDICATORS
MACD
CCI
RSI
THE MACD INDICATOR


The concept
Simple momentum indicator



The formula:
MACD: (12-day EMA - 26-day EMA)
Signal Line: 9-day EMA of MACD



Divergence
Basics of Technical Analysis - Picking stocks in the market Part 2
THE CCI INDICATOR


The concept
Extreme moves indicator



The formula:
CCI = (TP - 20-period MA) / (.015 x Mean Deviation)
Typical Price (TP) = (High + Low + Close)/3
Constant = 0.015



Divergence
Basics of Technical Analysis - Picking stocks in the market Part 2
THE RSI INDICATOR
The concept
 Between 30-70
 The formula:


RSI = 100 RS = Average Gain / Average Loss


Divergence
Basics of Technical Analysis - Picking stocks in the market Part 2

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Basics of Technical Analysis - Picking stocks in the market Part 2

Editor's Notes

  1. يدعّم قرار الشراء أو البيع عند الإختراق بزيادة الكميات عن نقطة الاختراق في الاتجاهين
  2. الهدف = من الدعم إلى أعلى الرأس
  3. أول كتف = بدايات الخوف مجموعه من المستثمرين الخائفينالرأس = الرعب من السهم المستثمرين يبيعون للهروبالكتف الثاني = نهاية الخوف المجموعه المتبقية من المستثمرين الخائفين يخرجون من السوق
  4. نلاحظ وجود شكل الH&S ولكنه لم يأتي بعد صعود, بل بعد هبوط, فهذا ليس شكل الH&S
  5. Ema= تمهيد أسي
  6. Lambert set the constant at .015 to ensure that approximately 70 to 80 percent of CCI values would fall between -100 and +100