As the debate on the independence referendum intensifies, our latest poll reveals a fall in satisfaction with the First Minister although the SNP lead over Labour continues to grow.

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Scottish Public Opinion Monitor
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January 2012
2.2.12

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Technical details brand logo
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2
• This presents the topline results from Scotland
• Results are based on a survey of 1 005 respondents
1,005
conducted by telephone
• Fieldwork dates: 27th January – 29th January 2012
• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using
census data; tenure using SHS 2007-2008 data; and
p
public-private sector employment using Scottish
p p y g
Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series
data
• Where results do not sum to 100% this may be due to
100%,
computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of
“don’t know” categories
• R
Results are b
l based on all respondents (1 00 ) unless
d ll d (1,005) l
otherwise stated
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The SNP extend their lead over Labour in voting intention for brand logo
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Scottish Parliament elections 3
Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you
use your first vote?
All giving a voting All who are certain to
intention (89%) vote (64%)
Others Others
Lib Dem 4% SNP Lib Dem 5% SNP
10% 10%
Cons. Cons.
12% 13%
45% 49%
23%
28%
Labour Labour
SNP lead over Labour = 17% SNP lead over Labour = 26%
Base: All giving a voting intention = 89% (894); all certain to vote = 64% (645). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012
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Support for Labour continues to decrease, while there brand logo
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is a slight recovery for the Lib Dems 4
Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you
use your first vote?
Labour
Labo r SNP Conservative
Conser ati e Liberal Democrats Other
Scottish Parliament Election Scottish Parliament Election
60 Result Result
50 49%
40
30
23%
20
13%
10 10%
5%
%
0
Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
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The majority of Scots expressed satisfaction with the way in Alex Salmond logo
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as First Minister, although net satisfaction has fallen by 13 points 5
Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime
Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?
Don’t know Net satisfaction Net satisfaction
Dissatisfied
Di i fi d Saitisfied
S i i fi d change (Dec
’11)
Alex Salmond 36 58 7% +22% -13%
David Cameron 60 32 7% -28% +3%
(Aug ‘11)
Johann Lamont 33 27 40% -6% N/A
Ruth Davidson 34 22 44% -12% -4%
Willie Rennie 32 20 47% -12% -4%
-60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60
Base: 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012
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Satisfaction with party leaders - trends here
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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime
Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?
Alex Salmond David Cameron Johann Lamont Willie Rennie Ruth Davidson
70
60 58%
50
40
32%
30 27%
22%
20 20%
10
0
Aug-09
Aug 09 Nov-09
Nov 09 Feb-10
Feb 10 Apr-10
Apr 10 Aug-10
Aug 10 Nov-10
Nov 10 Feb-11
Feb 11 Apr-11
Apr 11 Aug-11
Aug 11 Dec-11
Dec 11 Jan-12
Jan 12
Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
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Thank you
mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269 @IpsosMORIScot 31.1.12
christopher.mclean@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3264
© Ipsos MORI This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006.