1. Ivory J. Sostand
Advanced Technical Intelligence Center
ijsostand@yahoo.com
Unclas (808) 753-3111
This Briefing is:
UNCLASSIFIED
Russian views on NATO missile
defense in light of upcoming
summit

2. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) Overview
• (U) BLUF
• (U) Alternative Scenario
• (U) Map of Western Russia
• (U) Map of Southwest Asia
• (U) Assessment
• (U) Questions
• (U) Back up Slides
• (U) Sources
• (U) Concluding Remarks

3. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) BLUF
(U) Russia is unlikely to change its opposition to the NATO missile
defense shield. Russia views the deployment of the missile shield near it’s
borders a U. S. attempt to gain more regional influence in Eastern
European states once controlled by Russia.
 Russia Fears that the Missile Defense Shield will undermine its own Nuclear
Deterrent
 Moscow agreed in 2010 to consider NATO’s proposal to cooperate on the
U.S.-led missile shield, Russia has insisted that it should be run jointly, which
NATO has rejected
 Russia opposes the placement of Interceptor missiles in Romania and Poland
 Wants written document stating that The missile defense system will not be
used against Russia in any way
 Russia activated a new incoming missile early warning system in Kaliningrad
in response to US plans for a missile shield in Europe

4. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) Alternative Scenario
(U) Russia agrees to cooperate on the U.S.-led missile shield
 Insisted that it should be run jointly
 Wants control of system deployed along it’s borders
 Written statement from U.S. that missile system would not be used against
Russia
 Joint computer-simulated missile defense exercises in Germany in March 2012

5. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) Map of Western Russia
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED

6. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) Map of Southwest Asia
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED

7. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) Assessment
(U) It is likely that Russia will not change it’s stance on opposing the
missile defense shield deployment in Poland and Romania
(U) It is possible that Russia would work jointly on a missile defense
shield if they could control their portion or if The U.S. signed an
agreement that the system would not be used against Russia
(U) It is highly unlikely other members of NATO would agree to jointly
run the missile shield with Russia

8. Questions
Ivory J Sostand
Advanced Technical Intelligence Center
ijsostand@yahoo.com
Unclas (808) 753-3111
This Briefing was:
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED

9. Backup slides
(U) Back up Slides

10. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) Proposed NATO missile shield
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED (U) http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15938494
(U) Infrared satellite system picks up heat signatures of hostile ballistic missiles launched
towards NATO target.
(U) Information is transmitted to ground stations for processing.
(U) Processed information is then sent to NATO command and control network.
UNCLASSIFIED

11. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) Proposed NATO missile shield
cont.
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED (U) http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15938494
(U) The command and control network relays information to sensor and weapons systems in the
region.
(U) Once the missiles' engines burn out, the infrared satellite can no longer detect them.

12. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) Proposed NATO missile shield
cont.
unclassified
unclassified (U) http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15938494
(U) Long-range sensors such as the US AN/TPY-2 high-resolution radar and the Dutch sea-based
Air Defense and Command Frigate (ADCF), continue to track the missile to help command system
calculate options for destroying them.
(U) Information is constantly shared among the sensors and weapons systems

13. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) Proposed NATO missile shield
cont.
unclassified
unclassified (U) http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15938494
(U) Command system has the option of shooting down the hostile missiles while in the upper or
lower layers of the atmosphere. As tracking continues, greater accuracy is achieved.
Lower-layer shooter systems include the German or Dutch Patriot battery systems connected to the
Nato network.

14. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
Key Personnel
(U) http://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/president-obama
(U) President of the United States Barrack Obama (U) http://www.nato.int/cps/en/natolive/who_is_who_56703.htm
(U) NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen
unclassified
unclassified
unclassified
unclassified

15. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
Key Personnel cont.
(U) http://politicalkudzu.com/2008/03/02/dimtry-medvedev-is-the-new-russian-president/ (U) http://02varvara.wordpress.com/category/sergei-lavrov/
(U) Russian President Dmitry Medvedev (U) Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov
unclassified
unclassifiedunclassified
unclassified

16. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) The Group of 8 Counsel
(U) Provides an important occasion for busy leaders to discuss major, complex
international issues, and to the develop the personal relations that help them
respond in effective collective fashion to sudden crises or shocks. The summit also
gives direction to the international community by setting priorities, defining new
issues and providing guidance to established international organizations

17. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U)Members of the Group of 8
Counsel
(U) Member Nations
 United States
 Germany
 Japan
 Britain
 Canada
 France
 Italy
 Russia

18. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) Sources
(U) All information is drawn from Unclassified, open source research. Regional
newspaper referenced is The Moscow News, RT.com, RIA Novosti; Western
newspapers and periodicals referenced are WBEZ Chicago public media, BBC News
and The New York times
 NATO: Going ahead with missile shield despite Russian concerns, threats
By Associated Press, Published: February 4, 2012
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/nato-going-ahead-with-missile-shield-despite-
russian-concerns-threats/2012/02/04/gIQAIjJIpQ_story.html
 A Leaner NATO Needs a Tighter Focus
Hans Binnendijk
Published: February 3, 2012
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/04/opinion/a-leaner-nato-needs-a- tighter-focus.html
 Russia, NATO May Hold Missile Defense Drills in March
MOSCOW February 2 (RIA Novosti)
http://en.rian.ru/world/20120202/171092506.html

19. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) Sources cont.
 Russia, NATO May Hold Missile Defense Drills in March
MOSCOW February 2 (RIA Novosti)
http://en.rian.ru/world/20120202/171092506.html
 White House officials in Chicago to talk NATO, G-8 agenda
Alex Keefe | Jan. 31, 2012
http://www.wbez.org/story/white-house-officials-chicago-talk- nato-g-8-agenda-
95990
 U.S. says will give no missile defense assurances to Russia
MOSCOW, January 13 (RIA Novosti)
http://en.rian.ru/russia/20120113/170733294.html
 Russia may drop NATO summit over missile defense
Published: 30 November, 2011, 18:05
http://rt.com/politics/nato-summit-chicago-russia-577/

20. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) Sources cont.
 Russia launches new missile defense to cover Atlantic
Published: 29 November, 2011, 14:10
Edited: 29 November, 2011, 18:40
http://rt.com/politics/opens-kaliningrad-radar-station-459/
 Missile defense sparks diplomatic offensive
Published: 28 November, 2011, 16:36
http://rt.com/politics/nato-afghanistan-missile-defense-365/
 Russia activates missile early warning radar system
BBC News Europe
29 November 2011 Last updated at 09:22 ET
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15938494

21. UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
(U) Sources cont.
 G-8 Information Center
http://www.g8.utoronto.ca/what_is_g8.html
 Western Russia
http://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.merriam-
webster.com/maps/images/maps/russia-
west_map.gif&imgrefurl=http://www.merriam-
webster.com/maps/russia1.html&h=435&w=370&sz=79&tbnid=zG_xZJI4iJwmr
M:&tbnh=86&tbnw=73&zoom=1&docid=3zXpTOsa70szKM&hl=en&sa=X&ei=
UP8zT47DKpPMsQKD5rzwAQ&sqi=2&ved=0CDQQ9QEwAg&dur=3052
Map of Southwest Asia
https://www.google.com/search?q=map+of+southwest+asia&hl=en&prmd=imvns
&tbm=isch&tbo=u&source=univ&sa=X&ei=y_0zT9TmN6uksQLour3wAQ&sqi=
2&ved=0CCsQsAQ&biw=1372&bih=702