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Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity?
Martin Hamilton
1Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Who am I?
» About Jisc
› edtech not-for-profit with ~18m users
› We run shared services, negotiate deals
with IT vendors, provide advice & guidance
– Janet, the UK’s research & education network,
Shibboleth Consortium, eduroam Wifi roaming
› Major initiatives right now in digital skills,
research data and learning analytics
› My role:
– Generating & channelling new ideas
– Building partnerships to bring them to fruition
2Robots and AI - towards the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Pepper robot at Jisc Digifest 2017
Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity?
1. Rise of the robots
2. Machine learning & artificial intelligence
3. Towards the Singularity?
26/05/2017 Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 2017 3
Rise of the robots
4Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Rise of the robots
5Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Photo CC BY-NC Flickr user feuilllu
Photo CC BY-NC Flickr user nestle
› Pepper acts as greeter in 140+ SoftBank stores in Japan
› Nestlé planning to introduce in 1000+ sales outlets
Rise of the robots
6Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Rise of the robots
7Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Photo CC BY-NC Flickr user greenplasticamy
› Amazon uses over 45,000 robots already in its
warehouses and distribution centres
Rise of the robots
8Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Photo CC BY-NC Flickr user greenplasticamy
› Amazon uses over 45,000 robots already in its
warehouses and distribution centres
Rise of the robots
9Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
From http://futurism.com
Rise of the robots
10Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Startups and scaleups
› Jisc Startups competition
– Six month accelerator programme
– Support package includes cash grant
and mentoring
› Winners: Omni Invent
– 4 nozzle 3D printer + CNC mill,
automatically embed circuits/sensors,
automated tool changer
– Selected for Hax hardware accelerator
programme, in top 3% of entrants
– Team moved to Shenzen to finish
commercialising
– www.omni-invent.co.uk
2. Machine learning & artificial intelligence
26/05/2017 Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 2017 11
Machine learning & AI
12Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Photo CC BY-ND Flickr user chijs
Photo CC BY-NC-SA Flickr user portalgda
› Tesla owners have already driven over 140m miles on Autopilot
› 90,000+Teslas with Autopilot are already on the road
Machine learning & AI
13Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Photo CC BY-ND Flickr user chijs
Photo CC BY-NC-SA Flickr user portalgda
› Tesla owners have already driven over 140m miles on Autopilot
› 90,000+Teslas with Autopilot are already on the road
Machine learning & AI
14Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Google DeepMindAI learns to play Breakout
Machine learning & AI
15Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Blind man takes solo ride in Google self-driving car
Machine learning & AI
16Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Startups and scaleups
› Jisc Startups competition
– Six month accelerator programme
– Support package includes cash grant
and mentoring
› Winners: Wildfire Learning
– World’s first AI content creation
service for learning
– Create learning objects from any text,
PowerPoint or video
– Generate a course’s worth of content
in an hour
– www.wildfirelearning.co.uk
3.Towards the Singularity?
26/05/2017 Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 2017 17
What’s next?
18
Societal implications
› You might be surprised at just how much
more can be automated
› Further erosion of unskilled and semi-skilled
employment opportunities
– Watch out if your white collar job can be reduced to an
algorithm or “learned” from data
› “New Luddites” throwing stones at the
Google bus?
– Versus universal basic income?
– Versus psychological need for a greater purpose?
› Health implications of sedentary lifestyles,
musculoskeletal disorders
– Already 86% of Chinese high school students are
myopic – screen time & indoor play?
Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
CC BY Flickr user boykoblagoev
What’s next?
19
Developing digital capability
› There will be whole new careers & existing ones will
change beyond recognition
– We should view this as an opportunity, e.g. smart homes need smart
plumbers & smart electricians
› We will need to embrace portfolio careers &
continuous/bite sized learning
– No longer enough to learn a trade or achieve professional
certification
› Impedance mismatch between digital tech and the
apparatus of the nation state
– Brexit vs. Estonian e-residency
› Reaching the next billion learners, workers, customers
– Last mile issues around digital technology
Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
CC BY-ND Flickr user chijs
What’s next?
20Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
http://ji.sc/developing-digicap
What’s next?
21Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Tri-modal model for innovation
CC-BY Simon Wardley – see
blog.gardeviance.org/2012/06/pione
ers-settlers-and-town-planners.html
Tackling the Innovator’s Dilemma
› What’s the right mix of Pioneers,
Settlers andTown Planners?
What’s next?
22Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
What’s next?
23Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
Continue the conversation…
24
Except where otherwise noted, this
work is licensed under CC-BY
Martin Hamilton
Futurist, Jisc, London
@martin_hamilton
martin.hamilton@jisc.ac.uk
Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017

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Robots and AI - the calm before the Singularity

  • 1. Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? Martin Hamilton 1Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
  • 2. Who am I? » About Jisc › edtech not-for-profit with ~18m users › We run shared services, negotiate deals with IT vendors, provide advice & guidance – Janet, the UK’s research & education network, Shibboleth Consortium, eduroam Wifi roaming › Major initiatives right now in digital skills, research data and learning analytics › My role: – Generating & channelling new ideas – Building partnerships to bring them to fruition 2Robots and AI - towards the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 Pepper robot at Jisc Digifest 2017
  • 3. Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? 1. Rise of the robots 2. Machine learning & artificial intelligence 3. Towards the Singularity? 26/05/2017 Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 2017 3
  • 4. Rise of the robots 4Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
  • 5. Rise of the robots 5Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 Photo CC BY-NC Flickr user feuilllu Photo CC BY-NC Flickr user nestle › Pepper acts as greeter in 140+ SoftBank stores in Japan › Nestlé planning to introduce in 1000+ sales outlets
  • 6. Rise of the robots 6Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
  • 7. Rise of the robots 7Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 Photo CC BY-NC Flickr user greenplasticamy › Amazon uses over 45,000 robots already in its warehouses and distribution centres
  • 8. Rise of the robots 8Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 Photo CC BY-NC Flickr user greenplasticamy › Amazon uses over 45,000 robots already in its warehouses and distribution centres
  • 9. Rise of the robots 9Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 From http://futurism.com
  • 10. Rise of the robots 10Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 Startups and scaleups › Jisc Startups competition – Six month accelerator programme – Support package includes cash grant and mentoring › Winners: Omni Invent – 4 nozzle 3D printer + CNC mill, automatically embed circuits/sensors, automated tool changer – Selected for Hax hardware accelerator programme, in top 3% of entrants – Team moved to Shenzen to finish commercialising – www.omni-invent.co.uk
  • 11. 2. Machine learning & artificial intelligence 26/05/2017 Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 2017 11
  • 12. Machine learning & AI 12Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 Photo CC BY-ND Flickr user chijs Photo CC BY-NC-SA Flickr user portalgda › Tesla owners have already driven over 140m miles on Autopilot › 90,000+Teslas with Autopilot are already on the road
  • 13. Machine learning & AI 13Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 Photo CC BY-ND Flickr user chijs Photo CC BY-NC-SA Flickr user portalgda › Tesla owners have already driven over 140m miles on Autopilot › 90,000+Teslas with Autopilot are already on the road
  • 14. Machine learning & AI 14Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 Google DeepMindAI learns to play Breakout
  • 15. Machine learning & AI 15Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 Blind man takes solo ride in Google self-driving car
  • 16. Machine learning & AI 16Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 Startups and scaleups › Jisc Startups competition – Six month accelerator programme – Support package includes cash grant and mentoring › Winners: Wildfire Learning – World’s first AI content creation service for learning – Create learning objects from any text, PowerPoint or video – Generate a course’s worth of content in an hour – www.wildfirelearning.co.uk
  • 17. 3.Towards the Singularity? 26/05/2017 Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 2017 17
  • 18. What’s next? 18 Societal implications › You might be surprised at just how much more can be automated › Further erosion of unskilled and semi-skilled employment opportunities – Watch out if your white collar job can be reduced to an algorithm or “learned” from data › “New Luddites” throwing stones at the Google bus? – Versus universal basic income? – Versus psychological need for a greater purpose? › Health implications of sedentary lifestyles, musculoskeletal disorders – Already 86% of Chinese high school students are myopic – screen time & indoor play? Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 CC BY Flickr user boykoblagoev
  • 19. What’s next? 19 Developing digital capability › There will be whole new careers & existing ones will change beyond recognition – We should view this as an opportunity, e.g. smart homes need smart plumbers & smart electricians › We will need to embrace portfolio careers & continuous/bite sized learning – No longer enough to learn a trade or achieve professional certification › Impedance mismatch between digital tech and the apparatus of the nation state – Brexit vs. Estonian e-residency › Reaching the next billion learners, workers, customers – Last mile issues around digital technology Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 CC BY-ND Flickr user chijs
  • 20. What’s next? 20Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 http://ji.sc/developing-digicap
  • 21. What’s next? 21Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017 Tri-modal model for innovation CC-BY Simon Wardley – see blog.gardeviance.org/2012/06/pione ers-settlers-and-town-planners.html Tackling the Innovator’s Dilemma › What’s the right mix of Pioneers, Settlers andTown Planners?
  • 22. What’s next? 22Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
  • 23. What’s next? 23Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017
  • 24. Continue the conversation… 24 Except where otherwise noted, this work is licensed under CC-BY Martin Hamilton Futurist, Jisc, London @martin_hamilton martin.hamilton@jisc.ac.uk Robots & AI - the calm before the Singularity? - BCS ELITE - May 201726/05/2017

Editor's Notes

  1. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8bk39a9xM0
  2. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8bk39a9xM0
  3. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8gy5tYVR-28
  4. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8gy5tYVR-28
  5. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TmPfTpjtdgg
  6. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHbMt6WDhQ8
  7. http://blog.gardeviance.org/2012/06/pioneers-settlers-and-town-planners.html