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Learning Analytics
Research Findings
Update
“Dr.	John”	Whitmer	
Director,	Analy6cs	and	Research	
	
JISC	Remote	Presenta6on	|	2.22.2017
1.  Learning	Analy6cs	Overview	&	Bb	Data	
Science		
2.  Major	Findings	in	2017	
1.  Varia6on	in	LMS	“Effec6veness”	
2.  Tool	Use	
3.  Course	Categories	
4.  Student	Percep6ons	of	Data	Dashboards	(6me	
permiYng)	
3.  Blackboard	Analy6cs	Solu6ons	Porolio	
4.  Discussion
Learning Analytics Overview
Educational Technology Assessment Hierarchy
Does	it	impact	
student	learning?	
(Learning	Analy6cs)	
How	many	people	use	it?	
(Adop6on)		
Does	it	work?	(SLAs)
What is Learning Analytics?
Learning and Knowledge
Analytics Conference, 2011
“	...measurement,	collec6on,	analysis	and	
repor6ng	of	data	about	learners	and	their	
contexts,	for	purposes	of	understanding	
and	op2mizing	learning		
and	the	environments		
in	which	it	occurs.”
Meta- questions driving our Learning Analytics research @ Blackboard
1.	How	is	student/faculty	use	of	Bb	plaorms	(e.g.	Learn,	Collab,	
etc.)	related	to	student	achievement?	[or	sa6sfac6on,	or	risk,	or	…]	
3.	What	data	elements,	feature	sets,	and	func6onality	can	we	
create	to	integrate	these	findings	into	Bb	products	to	help	faculty	
improve	student	achievement?	
2.	Do	these	findings	apply	equally	to	students	‘at	promise’	due	to	
their	academic	achievement	or	background	characteris6cs?	(e.g.	
race,	class,	family	educa6on,	geography)
Techniques	
•  Simula2on		if	X,	what	Y?	(“With	this	Ultra	
Learning	Analy6cs	trigger	rule,	how	many	
students	would	trip	no6fied?”)	
•  Hypothesis	tes2ng:	inves6gate	if	a	specific	
rela6onship	is	true	(“What’s	the	rela6onship	
between	6me	spent	in	a	course	and	student	
grade”?)	
•  Data	mining:	analyze	underlying	latent	pakerns	
in	data	(“What	typical	pakerns	in	tool	use	
characterizes	BB	Learn	courses?”)	
Key	Data	Sources	
•  Learn	Managed	Hos6ng		
•  Learn	SaaS		
•  Collaborate	Ultra		
Main Big Data Sources & Techniques
Commitment to Privacy & Openness
•  Analyze	data	records	
that	are	not	only	
removed	of	PII,	but		
de-personalized	
(individual	&	
ins6tu6onal	levels)	
•  Share	results	and	open	
discussion	procedures	
for	analysis	to	inform	
broader	educa6onal	
community	
•  Respect	territorial	
jurisdic6ons	and	safe	
harbor	provisions
Major Findings in 2016
(and one from 2017)
Relationship Student Use Learn vs. Grade
Bb Study: Relationship Time in Learn & Grade
•  Distribution in Time Spent is
highly skewed toward low
access
•  Transforming data (log
transform) can produce normal
curves for analysis
•  Of course, huge variation of
quality within that time spent
(of course materials, of student
activity)
Findings: Relationship Time in Learn & Grade
•  Question: what is the
relationship between student
use of Learn and their course
grade?
•  Investigate at student-course
level (one student, one course)
•  1.2M students, 34,519 courses,
788 institutions
•  Significant, but effect size < 1%
Finding: Tool Use & Grade
Tool	use	and	Final	Grade	do	not	have	a	linear	rela6onship;		
there	is	a	diminishing	marginal	effect	of	tool	use	on	Final	Grade	
Interpreta6ons	
	
•  Students	absent	from	course	ac6vity	are	at	
greatest	risk	of	low	achievement.	
•  The	first	6me	you	read/see	a	PowerPoint	
presenta6on,	you	learn	a	lot,	but	the	
second	6me	you	read/see	it,	you	learn	
less.		
•  GeYng	from	a	90%	to	a	95%	requires	
more	effort	than	geYng	from	a	60%	to	a	
65%.					
Log	transforma2on	shows	
stronger	trend
But strong effect in some courses
(n=7,648, 22%)
What makes
some for a
stronger or
weaker
relationship?
Tools used?
Course design?
Quality of
activity/effort?
Learn Tool Use vs. Grade
Investigation Grade by Specific Tools Used
Ques6on:		what	is	the	rela6onship	
between	use	of	Learn	and	student	grade,	
based	on	the	tool	used?		
	
Analysis	Steps	
1.  Filter	data	for	courses	with	poten6al	meaningful	
use	(>60	min	average,	enrollment	>10	<500,	
gradebook	used)		
2.  Iden6fy	most	frequently	used	tools	
3.  Separate	tool	use	into	no	use	&	quar6les	
4.  Divide	students	into	3	groups	by	course	grade	
•  High	(80+)	
•  Passing	(60-79)	
•  Low/Failing	(0-59)
Finding: MyGrades
At	every	level,	probability	of	higher	grade	increases	with	increased	use.			
Causal?	Probably	not.		Good	indicator?		Absolutely.
Finding: Course contents
More	is	not	always	beker.	Large	jump	none	to	some;	then	no	rela6onship
Finding: Assessments/Assignments
Students	above	mean	have	lower	likelihood	of	achieving	a	high	grade	than	students	below	the	mean
Implications
•  Move	beyond	LMS	use	as	proxy	for	effort	(where	more	is	always	beker),	and	get	at	finer-grained	
learning	behaviors	that	are	more	useful	(e.g.	students	who	are	struggling	to	understand	material,	
students	who	are	not	prepared).		
•  Major	missing	elements	from	research	
– fine-grained	understanding	of	ac6vity	over	6me	(e.g.	cramming	vs.	consistent	hard	working)	
– quality	of	course	materials	and	course	design
Patterns in Course Design
Research Questions Ques2ons	
1.  Are	there	systema6c	ways	that	instructors	use	LMS	tools	in	
their	courses	that	span	instructors	and	ins6tu6ons?		
	
2.  What	recommenda6ons	can	be	drawn	for	faculty,	instruc6onal	
designers,	and	other	academic	technology	leaders	seeking	to	
increase	the	impact	of	LMS	use	at	their	ins6tu6on?		
Methods	
1.  Use	same	filtered	data	sample	of	student-course	data		
2.  Calculate	rela6ve	student	6me	per	tool	(as	%	of	total	course	
6me),	for	comparison	between	courses	
3.  Cluster	by	pakerns	in	the	balance	of	6me	spent	in	each	tool	
(unsupervised	machine-learning;	k	means	cluster	analysis)	
4.  Add	data	as	relevant	to	pakerns	about	enrollment,	total	6me,	
etc.	
5.  Make	up	cool	names	for	each	cluster	and	interpret	meaning
Distribution of Courses by Type
Finding: Discussions with low/high avg use
Compare	courses	with	low	forum	use	to	courses	with	forum	use	>1	hour	/	student	average
Summary & Future Directions for DS Research
Summary	
•  Tremendous	varia6on	in	use	of	Learn;	most	use	skewed	toward	low/very	low	use.	
•  Importance	of	6me	spent	in	Learn	for	learning	is	also	tremendously	varied	(“necessary”	and	“effec6ve”	use	
of	Learn)		
•  Cri6cal	to	account	for	this	varia6on	to	understand	poten6al	importance	of	Learn	ac6vity		
	
Future	Direc2ons	
•  Analyze	quality	of	ac2vity	in	greater	depth	(e.g.	content	of	assignments,	words	in	forum	posts)	to	get	
insights	into	quality	of	interac6ons	
•  Conduct	6me-series	analysis	(quan6ta6ve	methods,	design	also	needed);	when	someone	accesses	is	more	
important	than	if	they	do.			
•  Create	proxies/derived	values	for	behavior	(above	average,	at	average,	etc.)	by	tool
3. Blackboard
Analytics Portfolio
Blackboard Analytics – Product Naming
Blackboard Analytics
Data warehouse products
Blackboard Analytics
Suite of analytics products
Blackboard	Analy.cs	
Product portfolio
Blackboard Intelligence
•  Analy6cs	for	Learn	–	LMS	data	
•  Student	Management	–	SIS	data	
•  Finance,	HR,	Advancement	–	ERP	data	
Blackboard Predict
•  Predic6ve	analy6cs	and	early	alerts	for	reten6on	
•  Provides	data	for	faculty	and	advisors	about	at-risk	students	
•  Formerly	Blue	Canary	
X-Ray Learning Analytics
•  Classroom	engagement	data	for	faculty	
•  Ac6vity	aggregated	into	30+	visualiza6ons	
•  Currently	available	for	Moodlerooms	&	Self-Hosted	Moodlers	only	
Past	view	 Current	view	 Future	view	
Past	view	 Current	view	 Future	view	
Past	view	 Current	view	 Future	view
Blackboard Analytics Solution Portfolio
X-Ray	Learning	Analy6cs	
Blackboard	Analy6cs	
Blackboard	Predict	
Analy6cs	for	
Learn	
Student	
Management	
Finance	 HR	 Advancement	
Blackboard	Intelligence
Blackboard Analytics – Our Approach & Philosophy
	
Products	that	provide	insight	into	
the	teaching	and	learning	process		
	
Our	Philosophy:	
Data	complements	
human	decision-making	
	
Core	competency:	
Learning	so{ware	
and	academic	data	
A	team	of	experts	
in	the	analy6cs	field
Discussion
Thank you!
John Whitmer, Ed.D.
john.whitmer@blackboard.com	
@johncwhitmer	
www.johnwhitmer.info/research

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