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JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
MANAGING COMPLEXITY
A Total Design Methodology
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
DESIGN METHODOLOGY
Should:
✓ Help you understand the situation
you’re in, and how to respond
effectively
✓ Help you decide which design
methods to use
Should not:
Be a specific technique
Be inflexible - “one-size fits all”
is a “logic of design methods”
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
WHY ARE WE DOING THIS?
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
IT DEPENDS!
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
COMPLEXITY AS A
DESIGN METHODOLOGY
a “logic of methods” based on the
kind of complexity we’re dealing with
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
CYNEFIN
Pronounced Ki-ney-fin
Welsh for “a place where you feel at home”
A framework for characterising different kinds of complexity
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
Image source: https://i.imgur.com/XRhkKaz.jpg
Dave Snowden
(IBM/Cognitive Edge)
“Cynefin is a
Sense-Making
Framework”
MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
OBVIOUS
COMPLICATED
CHAOS
COMPLEX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
ORDEREDUNORDERED
MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
“Patterns are temporary and unpredictable” “Things happen for a reason”
“Retrospective coherence” “Cause and effect”
OBVIOUS
COMPLICATED
CHAOS
COMPLEX
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
Is this a real pattern
or just a projection?
We’re often pessimistic
about unordered domains
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
Image source: https://i.imgur.com/XRhkKaz.jpg
“Learning to
recognize and appreciate the domain
of unorder is liberating,
because we can stop applying
methods designed for order
and instead focus on
legitimate methods that work well in 

un-ordered situations.”
- Dave Snowden
MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
OBVIOUS
COMPLICATED
CHAOS
COMPLEX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
• Cause and effect is clear
• Behaviour is predictable
• Clear options / standard responses
• “Best practice” dominates
• Process-based decision-making
OBVIOUS
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
COMPLICATED • Causes and effects are hard to see
• Problems are solvable, but require
specialist knowledge
• Competing models, heuristics
• Look for elegant solutions, not
necessarily perfect ones
• Decision-making by consensus
among experts
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
COMPLEX• Un-ordered, evolving
• Cause and effect aren’t clear
• Perceive only emerging patterns
• Can’t control outcomes directly
• Leaders must be adaptable
• Entrepreneurs vs bureaucrats
04.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
CHAOS• No perceivable order
• Dangerously unstable
• Response time is critical
• Crisis management
• Authoritarian leadership
MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
OBVIOUS
COMPLICATED
CHAOS
COMPLEX
BEST PRACTICE
EXPERTISE
RAPID RESPONSE
EMERGENCE
CATEGORISE
ANALYZE
STABILISE
PROBE — RESPONDSENSE —
— RESPONDSENSE —
— SENSE — RESPOND
— SENSE — RESPOND
MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
Collapse
/ Breakdown
OBVIOUS
COMPLICATED
CHAOS
COMPLEX
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
Image source: https://i.imgur.com/XRhkKaz.jpg
DISORDER
Where are we?
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
APPLYING CYNEFIN
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
OBVIOUS
COMPLICATED
CHAOS
COMPLEX
CARE
PRESCRIPTION
TRIAGE
DIAGNOSTICS
Collapse
/ Acute Event
Medical
Treatment
“Stop the bleeding”
“Test to understand” “Set a course of treatment”
“Treat and monitor the patient”
REMIX
MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
OBVIOUS
COMPLICATED
CHAOS
COMPLEX
USABILITY TESTING
IX DESIGN
BRAND CRISIS
USER RESEARCH
REMIX
MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
OBVIOUS
COMPLICATED
CHAOS
COMPLEX
USABILITY TESTING
IX DESIGN
BRAND CRISIS
USER RESEARCH
REMIX
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
DON’T CHECK YOURSELF INTO
HOSPITAL FOR A HEAD COLD
MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
OBVIOUS
COMPLICATED
CHAOS
COMPLEX
VALIDATE
PROTOTYPE
HELPDESK
CUSTOMER VALUE
LEAN
Innovation
AGILE
Improvement
CX
Immunisation
REMIX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
LEADERS
OBVIOUS
COMPLICATED
CHAOS
COMPLEX
CATEGORISE
ANALYZE
ACT
PROBE
REMIXTEAM MEMBERS
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
• Decide between methods
• Decide what sort of role to play
• Understand our strengths and
weaknesses
• Broaden our relevance to our
organisation
• Be more proactive about risk on
large projects
We can use the Cynefin framework to:
CYNEFIN AS A
DESIGN METHODOLOGY
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
MAKE IT YOUR OWN
• Annotating wireframes for a
development team
• Testing an existing site to identify
usability problems
• Conducting a series of design
thinking workshops to identify
new service opportunities
• A/B testing designs for a checkout
process
• Conducting a card sort
• Testing a new navigation design
• Running a product design sprint
• Developing personas for an
intranet redesign
Which domain is your Cynefin, your natural home?
Where do these scenarios belong?
JUSTINTAUBER.COM
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
CYNEFIN FRAMEWORK (C) COGNITIVE EDGE
OBVIOUS
COMPLICATED
CHAOS
COMPLEX
BEST PRACTICE
EXPERTISE
RAPID RESPONSE
EMERGENCE
SENSE - CATEGORIZE - RESPOND
SENSE - ANALYZE - RESPOND
ACT - SENSE - RESPOND
PROBE - SENSE - RESPOND
CARE
PRESCRIPTION
TRIAGE
DIAGNOSIS
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY
Thanks
Justin Tauber
Email: justin@justintauber.com
Web: justintauber.com
Medium: @brtrx
* Returning to Sydney May 2017
Further reading on Cynefin:
Dave Snowden’s company Cognitive Edge
A Leader's Framework for Decision Making (HBR)
Complex Acts of Knowing (Snowden 2002)
Image credits:
Cross by Zaff Studio from the Noun Project
a ginormous flock of birds by jeromebettis (imgur)
Airplane by Valery from the Noun Project
geese by Sarah JOY from the Noun Project
Billiards by parkjisun from the Noun Project
forest fire by Peter van Driel from the Noun Project
Dave Snowden speaking at UX Brighton 2016 by UX Brighton (via Wikipedia)
#totaldesign
@brtrx
MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017
JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX
PHYSICAL STANCE
DESIGN STANCE
POLITICAL STANCE
INTENTIONAL STANCE
OBVIOUS
COMPLICATED
CHAOS
COMPLEX
Respond based on known forces and configurations
Respond based on assumed roles & functions
Respond based on perceived power relations
Respond based on assumed beliefs and desires
“What will happen next?”
“How does it work?”“What is it trying to achieve?”
“Is it friend or foe?”
BONUS! Daniel Dennett’s STANCES mapped onto the Cynefin domains
NEW

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Managing Complexity - A Total Design Methodology

  • 1. JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY MANAGING COMPLEXITY A Total Design Methodology
  • 2. JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY DESIGN METHODOLOGY Should: ✓ Help you understand the situation you’re in, and how to respond effectively ✓ Help you decide which design methods to use Should not: Be a specific technique Be inflexible - “one-size fits all” is a “logic of design methods”
  • 3. JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY WHY ARE WE DOING THIS?
  • 4. JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY IT DEPENDS!
  • 5. JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY COMPLEXITY AS A DESIGN METHODOLOGY a “logic of methods” based on the kind of complexity we’re dealing with
  • 6. 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX CYNEFIN Pronounced Ki-ney-fin Welsh for “a place where you feel at home” A framework for characterising different kinds of complexity
  • 7. JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY Image source: https://i.imgur.com/XRhkKaz.jpg Dave Snowden (IBM/Cognitive Edge) “Cynefin is a Sense-Making Framework”
  • 8. MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017 JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX OBVIOUS COMPLICATED CHAOS COMPLEX
  • 9. 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX ORDEREDUNORDERED MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY “Patterns are temporary and unpredictable” “Things happen for a reason” “Retrospective coherence” “Cause and effect” OBVIOUS COMPLICATED CHAOS COMPLEX
  • 10. JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY Is this a real pattern or just a projection? We’re often pessimistic about unordered domains
  • 11. JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY Image source: https://i.imgur.com/XRhkKaz.jpg “Learning to recognize and appreciate the domain of unorder is liberating, because we can stop applying methods designed for order and instead focus on legitimate methods that work well in 
 un-ordered situations.” - Dave Snowden
  • 12. MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017 JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX OBVIOUS COMPLICATED CHAOS COMPLEX
  • 13. 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX • Cause and effect is clear • Behaviour is predictable • Clear options / standard responses • “Best practice” dominates • Process-based decision-making OBVIOUS
  • 14. 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX COMPLICATED • Causes and effects are hard to see • Problems are solvable, but require specialist knowledge • Competing models, heuristics • Look for elegant solutions, not necessarily perfect ones • Decision-making by consensus among experts
  • 15. 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX COMPLEX• Un-ordered, evolving • Cause and effect aren’t clear • Perceive only emerging patterns • Can’t control outcomes directly • Leaders must be adaptable • Entrepreneurs vs bureaucrats
  • 16. 04.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX CHAOS• No perceivable order • Dangerously unstable • Response time is critical • Crisis management • Authoritarian leadership
  • 17. MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017 JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX OBVIOUS COMPLICATED CHAOS COMPLEX BEST PRACTICE EXPERTISE RAPID RESPONSE EMERGENCE CATEGORISE ANALYZE STABILISE PROBE — RESPONDSENSE — — RESPONDSENSE — — SENSE — RESPOND — SENSE — RESPOND
  • 18. MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017 JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX Collapse / Breakdown OBVIOUS COMPLICATED CHAOS COMPLEX
  • 19. JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY Image source: https://i.imgur.com/XRhkKaz.jpg DISORDER Where are we?
  • 20. 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX APPLYING CYNEFIN
  • 21. 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX OBVIOUS COMPLICATED CHAOS COMPLEX CARE PRESCRIPTION TRIAGE DIAGNOSTICS Collapse / Acute Event Medical Treatment “Stop the bleeding” “Test to understand” “Set a course of treatment” “Treat and monitor the patient” REMIX
  • 22. MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017 JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX OBVIOUS COMPLICATED CHAOS COMPLEX USABILITY TESTING IX DESIGN BRAND CRISIS USER RESEARCH REMIX
  • 23. MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017 JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX OBVIOUS COMPLICATED CHAOS COMPLEX USABILITY TESTING IX DESIGN BRAND CRISIS USER RESEARCH REMIX
  • 24. JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY DON’T CHECK YOURSELF INTO HOSPITAL FOR A HEAD COLD
  • 25. MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017 JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX OBVIOUS COMPLICATED CHAOS COMPLEX VALIDATE PROTOTYPE HELPDESK CUSTOMER VALUE LEAN Innovation AGILE Improvement CX Immunisation REMIX
  • 26. 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX LEADERS OBVIOUS COMPLICATED CHAOS COMPLEX CATEGORISE ANALYZE ACT PROBE REMIXTEAM MEMBERS
  • 27. JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY • Decide between methods • Decide what sort of role to play • Understand our strengths and weaknesses • Broaden our relevance to our organisation • Be more proactive about risk on large projects We can use the Cynefin framework to: CYNEFIN AS A DESIGN METHODOLOGY
  • 28. JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY MAKE IT YOUR OWN • Annotating wireframes for a development team • Testing an existing site to identify usability problems • Conducting a series of design thinking workshops to identify new service opportunities • A/B testing designs for a checkout process • Conducting a card sort • Testing a new navigation design • Running a product design sprint • Developing personas for an intranet redesign Which domain is your Cynefin, your natural home? Where do these scenarios belong?
  • 29. JUSTINTAUBER.COM 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY CYNEFIN FRAMEWORK (C) COGNITIVE EDGE OBVIOUS COMPLICATED CHAOS COMPLEX BEST PRACTICE EXPERTISE RAPID RESPONSE EMERGENCE SENSE - CATEGORIZE - RESPOND SENSE - ANALYZE - RESPOND ACT - SENSE - RESPOND PROBE - SENSE - RESPOND CARE PRESCRIPTION TRIAGE DIAGNOSIS
  • 30. JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX 03.2017MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY Thanks Justin Tauber Email: justin@justintauber.com Web: justintauber.com Medium: @brtrx * Returning to Sydney May 2017 Further reading on Cynefin: Dave Snowden’s company Cognitive Edge A Leader's Framework for Decision Making (HBR) Complex Acts of Knowing (Snowden 2002) Image credits: Cross by Zaff Studio from the Noun Project a ginormous flock of birds by jeromebettis (imgur) Airplane by Valery from the Noun Project geese by Sarah JOY from the Noun Project Billiards by parkjisun from the Noun Project forest fire by Peter van Driel from the Noun Project Dave Snowden speaking at UX Brighton 2016 by UX Brighton (via Wikipedia) #totaldesign @brtrx
  • 31. MANAGING COMPLEXITY - A TOTAL DESIGN METHODOLOGY 03.2017 JUSTINTAUBER.COM | @BRTRX PHYSICAL STANCE DESIGN STANCE POLITICAL STANCE INTENTIONAL STANCE OBVIOUS COMPLICATED CHAOS COMPLEX Respond based on known forces and configurations Respond based on assumed roles & functions Respond based on perceived power relations Respond based on assumed beliefs and desires “What will happen next?” “How does it work?”“What is it trying to achieve?” “Is it friend or foe?” BONUS! Daniel Dennett’s STANCES mapped onto the Cynefin domains NEW