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www.kauffman.org
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
The Future of the “First
Silicon Valley”
September 16, 2016
Upstate Unleashed Conference
Dane Stangler
@danestangler
@KauffmanFDN
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Where Jobs Come From
Young companies
High-growth companies
Larger, older companies
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Business Creation Trends Nationally
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000 1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Firm Deaths
Firm Births
Source: US Census Bureau, Business Dynamics Statistics
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Growth Entrepreneurship Rebounding
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Entrepreneurial Ecosystems
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Focus on Upstate
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Startup Density
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Job Creation by Firm Age
Buffalo
Rochester
Syracuse Albany
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Startup Density in NY: Metro v. Rural
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140 1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Startup_Density_Total Startup_Density_Metro
Startup_Density_Rural_Non_Metro
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Learning from:
Silicon Valley
Boulder
St. Louis
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Silicon Valley
 Military R&D
 Shockley and Terman
 Spinoffs
 Non-compete agreements
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Boulder
 Federal research facilities
 IBM
 StorageTek
 Mountains
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
St. Louis
• Washington University
• Beer!
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
What Universities Do Best
 Experience
 Exposure
 Peer learning
 Teach something about something
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Connectivity
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Immigrants  More Entrepreneurship
Immigrants
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Immigrants Upstate
MSA % Foreign-Born U.S. Equivalent
Albany 6.7 1985
Rochester 6.7 1985
Utica-Rome 6.5 1984
Buffalo 6 1980
Ithaca 12.6 2015
Binghamton 5.35 1975
Elmira 2.8 n/a
Glens Falls 2.8 n/a
United States = 13% foreign-born
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Don’t Forget the
“Scruffy” and “Grungy” Entrepreneurs
 But not …
• “Junk” entrepreneurs
“I strongly believe that the successes and
failures of the smaller company universe create
a dynamism which differentiates the American
model from everyone else. Small HVAC repair
shops or sheet metal fabrication shops don’t
appear to be very sexy, but they represent a
meaningful slice of the opportunities provided …
The ‘innovations’ which are created in this
smaller environment are almost certainly less
earth-shattering than ones coming out of larger
organizations, but the sum of all the small ideas
and the constant testing and adjusting that takes
place is certainly very valuable. ”
—Read Boles
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Blueprint v. Recipe
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Thank You
 Kauffman Policy Digests:
• http://www.kauffman.org/what-we-
do/resources/entrepreneurship-
policy-digest
 Dstangler@kauffman.org
 @danestangler
 @KauffmanFDN
© 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Measure Your Ecosystem, not a
Monoculture
 Density
 Fluidity
 Connectivity
 Diversity
 Velocity
 Survival
 Funding
 Headlines

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Dane Stangler | Upstate Unleashed Presentation

  • 1. www.kauffman.org © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation The Future of the “First Silicon Valley” September 16, 2016 Upstate Unleashed Conference Dane Stangler @danestangler @KauffmanFDN
  • 2. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Where Jobs Come From Young companies High-growth companies Larger, older companies
  • 3. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Business Creation Trends Nationally 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Firm Deaths Firm Births Source: US Census Bureau, Business Dynamics Statistics
  • 4. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Growth Entrepreneurship Rebounding
  • 5. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Entrepreneurial Ecosystems
  • 6. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Focus on Upstate
  • 7. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Startup Density
  • 8. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Job Creation by Firm Age Buffalo Rochester Syracuse Albany
  • 9. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Startup Density in NY: Metro v. Rural 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Startup_Density_Total Startup_Density_Metro Startup_Density_Rural_Non_Metro
  • 10. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Learning from: Silicon Valley Boulder St. Louis
  • 11. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Silicon Valley  Military R&D  Shockley and Terman  Spinoffs  Non-compete agreements
  • 12. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Boulder  Federal research facilities  IBM  StorageTek  Mountains
  • 13. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation St. Louis • Washington University • Beer!
  • 14. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation What Universities Do Best  Experience  Exposure  Peer learning  Teach something about something
  • 15. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Connectivity
  • 16. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Immigrants  More Entrepreneurship Immigrants
  • 17. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Immigrants Upstate MSA % Foreign-Born U.S. Equivalent Albany 6.7 1985 Rochester 6.7 1985 Utica-Rome 6.5 1984 Buffalo 6 1980 Ithaca 12.6 2015 Binghamton 5.35 1975 Elmira 2.8 n/a Glens Falls 2.8 n/a United States = 13% foreign-born
  • 18. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Don’t Forget the “Scruffy” and “Grungy” Entrepreneurs  But not … • “Junk” entrepreneurs “I strongly believe that the successes and failures of the smaller company universe create a dynamism which differentiates the American model from everyone else. Small HVAC repair shops or sheet metal fabrication shops don’t appear to be very sexy, but they represent a meaningful slice of the opportunities provided … The ‘innovations’ which are created in this smaller environment are almost certainly less earth-shattering than ones coming out of larger organizations, but the sum of all the small ideas and the constant testing and adjusting that takes place is certainly very valuable. ” —Read Boles
  • 19. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Blueprint v. Recipe
  • 20. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Thank You  Kauffman Policy Digests: • http://www.kauffman.org/what-we- do/resources/entrepreneurship- policy-digest  Dstangler@kauffman.org  @danestangler  @KauffmanFDN
  • 21. © 2016 Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Measure Your Ecosystem, not a Monoculture  Density  Fluidity  Connectivity  Diversity  Velocity  Survival  Funding  Headlines

Editor's Notes

  1. One is prescriptive and doesn't’t allow for changes or innovation or customization. While Recipes allow for experimentation and localization. Think BBQ. Everywhere has got some, but it’s all different and not as good as Kansas City.