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HOME  DELIVERY:  IMPACT  AND  
OPPORTUNITIES  FOR  CITY  LOGISTICS
Cycle Logistics Conference
16  October 2015
San  Sebastian  
1
Susanne  Balm
Project  leader  E-­mobility &  City  Logistics
Amsterdam  University  of  Applied Sciences
AMSTERDAM  UNIVERSITY OF  APPLIED SCIENCES
2
• Based in  Amsterdam,  The  Netherlands
• 50,000  students and 3,600  employees
• 80  bachelor  and master  programmes
• Practical  orientated  research  addressing  real-­life  challenges
• Close  collaboration  with  both  academics  and  professionals  
• A  joint  Executive  Board  with  the  University  of  Amsterdam  
CONTENT  OF  PRESENTATION
3
1.  Zero  
emission
slow  
mobility
ambitions
2.  Home  
delivery:  
increasing
markets
The  need for different  city logistics,  
considering changes  in  urban:
• Design
• Challenges
• Preferences
Market  opportunities for cycle logistics:  
• Food
• Elderly
• C2C
• Construction    
WHAT IS  WRONG  IN  THIS PICTURE?
4
WALKABLE CITIES
5
Florionapolis,Brazil(Photocredit:
Maremagnum/Photodisc/Getty Images)
(Portland  State  University,  2012)  
OTHER ISSUES
6
Noise Vibrations
CongestionAir pollution
AIR  POLLUTION
Share  of  trips
7
Contribution to NOx
NOISE POLLUTION:  “A  MODERN  PLAGUE”
Elevated  noise  levels  can  cause:
• Hypertension
• Sleep  disturbance
• Stress
• Increased  workplace  accident  rates
• Aggression  and  other  anti-­social  behaviors
8
9
PREFERRED SITUATION
Slow  mobility and recreational
activities instead of  car dominance
EXPERIMENTS IN  AMSTERDAM
“Autovrij” = car free
10
AND OTHER CITIES
11
Saturday  3  October  2015
12
BUT  AT  THE SAME TIME…  
• Consumers and businesses order  more  and more  online  
• Demand on-­time  and same-­day delivery
• High  numer of  failed deliveries
• High  number of  retour  deliveries
13
EUROPEANB2CE-COMMERCE TURNOVERTOP12 IN TERMS OF B2C E-COMMERCEGROWHT RATE
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT  DEPENDS ON  
LOGISTICS CONCEPT
Source: Ernst & Young (2015)
14
CO2 emissons forthe delivery of 1 parcel
The combination of a drop-off
point and bike delivery has
lowest expected impact for the
environment
GREAT  POTENTIAL FOR CYCLE LOGISTICS
In  particular:
• As  a  service  for suppliers,  retailers  and receivers  that
are  (or  aim to be)  socially responsble
• In  areas that restrict or  limit  automobile  access
But  challenging as  well:
• How  to organize financially feasible drop-­off  points?
• Which flows are  large,  growing and most  suitable?
15
RISE  AND FALL AND EXPANSION OF  INITIATIVES
16
Drop-off point on water
Bubble Post
Stadslogistiek Delft
Bentobox Berlin
WHAT IS  LACKING?  
Insight in  the share  of  freight trips  and their characteristics,  like:  
• What do  they deliver?  
• Where do  they come from?
• Is  transport  at  own account  or  carried out  by a  3rd  party?  
• Which markets are  growing?
• Which are  suitable for cycle logistics?
This should be the start  of  new  logistics (cycle)  concepts
17
Freight traffic  countings
Amsterdam
LOGISTICS RESEARCH  SHOWS  POTENTIAL
18
80  -­ 85%  
are  vans
Distance %  of  
deliveries
≤  30  km 54  – 56%  
≤  10 km 32  – 45%  
Research Facility Services(2015)
(2015)
Souce: CycleLogistics,2014
Oppurtunities for cycle logistics
GROWTH MARKETS IN  CITY LOGISTICS
HOME  DELIVERY
19
Elderly
C2C
Food
Construc
tion
ELDERLY PEOPLE
Number of  citizens in  Amsterdam  of  ≥  65  :  
20
Absolute Percentage
2014 95.289 11,7%
2035 154.907 17,2%
Source:AUAS (2015)
• Ageing population,  also in  cities
• Elderly people (need to)  live  at  home  longer
• Older generations are  getting more  familiar with internet
• Challenge:  different  requirements and preferences
By 2025 more  than 20%  of  
Europeans  will  be  65  or  over
• Food  delivery  is  one of  the largest flows in  
cities
• Home  food  delivery  is  an increasing market
• Local for local
• Low  risk  of  “not at  home”
• Challenge:  cooling /  heating
FOOD
21
C2C  (CONSUMER TO CONSUMER)
22
• Inner  city transport  between consumers
• Challenge:  willingness to pay
Peerby members in my neighborhood
CONSTRUCTION  
23
• Great  share  in  freight traffic  
• Increasing amount of  inner city construction /  renovation work
• Little  space for inventory and parking  on  site  
• On-­time  delivery  
• Challenge:  cooperation  with drop-­off  or  consolidation point  and
complementary transport  
CONCLUDING REMARKS
• Cycle logistics services  should be tailored according to the market  
segment:  
• Receivers  preferences
• The  logistics concept  
• Cycle logistics solutions should not be more  expensive than the
current situation.  Otherwise it will be very difficult to change.  
• Consistent  stimulating local policies are  needed (not just experiments)  
24
Susanne  Balm
s.h.balm@hva.nl
Project  leader  E-­mobility &  City  Logistics
Amsterdam  University  of  Applied Sciences
RESEARCH  PROGRAM  
URBAN TECHNOLOGY
Technologies  for  a  sustainable,  liveable and  connected  city
25
Smart Mobility
& Logistics
Smart Urban
Design
Smart Energy
Systems
Circular Design
and Smart
Production
Urban analytics
Business Models
Susanne  Balm
s.h.balm@hva.nl
Project  leader  E-­mobility &  City  Logistics
Amsterdam  University  of  Applied Sciences

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Home Delivery: Impact and opportunities for City Logistcs

  • 1. HOME  DELIVERY:  IMPACT  AND   OPPORTUNITIES  FOR  CITY  LOGISTICS Cycle Logistics Conference 16  October 2015 San  Sebastian   1 Susanne  Balm Project  leader  E-­mobility &  City  Logistics Amsterdam  University  of  Applied Sciences
  • 2. AMSTERDAM  UNIVERSITY OF  APPLIED SCIENCES 2 • Based in  Amsterdam,  The  Netherlands • 50,000  students and 3,600  employees • 80  bachelor  and master  programmes • Practical  orientated  research  addressing  real-­life  challenges • Close  collaboration  with  both  academics  and  professionals   • A  joint  Executive  Board  with  the  University  of  Amsterdam  
  • 3. CONTENT  OF  PRESENTATION 3 1.  Zero   emission slow   mobility ambitions 2.  Home   delivery:   increasing markets The  need for different  city logistics,   considering changes  in  urban: • Design • Challenges • Preferences Market  opportunities for cycle logistics:   • Food • Elderly • C2C • Construction    
  • 4. WHAT IS  WRONG  IN  THIS PICTURE? 4
  • 7. AIR  POLLUTION Share  of  trips 7 Contribution to NOx
  • 8. NOISE POLLUTION:  “A  MODERN  PLAGUE” Elevated  noise  levels  can  cause: • Hypertension • Sleep  disturbance • Stress • Increased  workplace  accident  rates • Aggression  and  other  anti-­social  behaviors 8
  • 9. 9 PREFERRED SITUATION Slow  mobility and recreational activities instead of  car dominance
  • 13. BUT  AT  THE SAME TIME…   • Consumers and businesses order  more  and more  online   • Demand on-­time  and same-­day delivery • High  numer of  failed deliveries • High  number of  retour  deliveries 13 EUROPEANB2CE-COMMERCE TURNOVERTOP12 IN TERMS OF B2C E-COMMERCEGROWHT RATE
  • 14. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT  DEPENDS ON   LOGISTICS CONCEPT Source: Ernst & Young (2015) 14 CO2 emissons forthe delivery of 1 parcel The combination of a drop-off point and bike delivery has lowest expected impact for the environment
  • 15. GREAT  POTENTIAL FOR CYCLE LOGISTICS In  particular: • As  a  service  for suppliers,  retailers  and receivers  that are  (or  aim to be)  socially responsble • In  areas that restrict or  limit  automobile  access But  challenging as  well: • How  to organize financially feasible drop-­off  points? • Which flows are  large,  growing and most  suitable? 15
  • 16. RISE  AND FALL AND EXPANSION OF  INITIATIVES 16 Drop-off point on water Bubble Post Stadslogistiek Delft Bentobox Berlin
  • 17. WHAT IS  LACKING?   Insight in  the share  of  freight trips  and their characteristics,  like:   • What do  they deliver?   • Where do  they come from? • Is  transport  at  own account  or  carried out  by a  3rd  party?   • Which markets are  growing? • Which are  suitable for cycle logistics? This should be the start  of  new  logistics (cycle)  concepts 17
  • 18. Freight traffic  countings Amsterdam LOGISTICS RESEARCH  SHOWS  POTENTIAL 18 80  -­ 85%   are  vans Distance %  of   deliveries ≤  30  km 54  – 56%   ≤  10 km 32  – 45%   Research Facility Services(2015) (2015) Souce: CycleLogistics,2014
  • 19. Oppurtunities for cycle logistics GROWTH MARKETS IN  CITY LOGISTICS HOME  DELIVERY 19 Elderly C2C Food Construc tion
  • 20. ELDERLY PEOPLE Number of  citizens in  Amsterdam  of  ≥  65  :   20 Absolute Percentage 2014 95.289 11,7% 2035 154.907 17,2% Source:AUAS (2015) • Ageing population,  also in  cities • Elderly people (need to)  live  at  home  longer • Older generations are  getting more  familiar with internet • Challenge:  different  requirements and preferences By 2025 more  than 20%  of   Europeans  will  be  65  or  over
  • 21. • Food  delivery  is  one of  the largest flows in   cities • Home  food  delivery  is  an increasing market • Local for local • Low  risk  of  “not at  home” • Challenge:  cooling /  heating FOOD 21
  • 22. C2C  (CONSUMER TO CONSUMER) 22 • Inner  city transport  between consumers • Challenge:  willingness to pay Peerby members in my neighborhood
  • 23. CONSTRUCTION   23 • Great  share  in  freight traffic   • Increasing amount of  inner city construction /  renovation work • Little  space for inventory and parking  on  site   • On-­time  delivery   • Challenge:  cooperation  with drop-­off  or  consolidation point  and complementary transport  
  • 24. CONCLUDING REMARKS • Cycle logistics services  should be tailored according to the market   segment:   • Receivers  preferences • The  logistics concept   • Cycle logistics solutions should not be more  expensive than the current situation.  Otherwise it will be very difficult to change.   • Consistent  stimulating local policies are  needed (not just experiments)   24 Susanne  Balm s.h.balm@hva.nl Project  leader  E-­mobility &  City  Logistics Amsterdam  University  of  Applied Sciences
  • 25. RESEARCH  PROGRAM   URBAN TECHNOLOGY Technologies  for  a  sustainable,  liveable and  connected  city 25 Smart Mobility & Logistics Smart Urban Design Smart Energy Systems Circular Design and Smart Production Urban analytics Business Models Susanne  Balm s.h.balm@hva.nl Project  leader  E-­mobility &  City  Logistics Amsterdam  University  of  Applied Sciences