2. China Information Technology Report Q4 2013
BMI View: IT spending growth in China is expected to outperform on a regional and global basis,
with aforecast for CAGR of 9.2% from 2013-2017. A supportive economic and policy environment,
lowpenetration of key products and services, and the meta-trend of urbanisation and infrastructure
investmentsby the government will continue to drive demand. However, China's IT market is not
without its challengesas the pool of first-time buyers diminishes and vendors struggle in the face of
high levels of piracy, cybersecurity issues and price-sensitive consumers. The outlook is still
positive, but as China develops, so its ITmarket evolves and vendors offering mobile PCs and
services firms with strong cloud computing productportfolios are expected to perform best in
China.
Headline Expenditure Projections
Computer Hardware Sales: CNY500bn in 2012 to CNY533.1bn in 2013, +6.7% in local currency
terms.Forecast revised downwards in the Q413 update as the shift from desktops and notebooks to
cheaper tabletsaccelerates. Software Sales: CNY99.4bn in 2012 to CNY114.0bn in 2013, +14.7% in
local currency terms.
Modernisation of enterprises will be the key driver of growth, particularly implementation of
enterprisesoftware among SMEs as they scale up.
3. China Information Technology Report Q4 2013
BMI Industry View
SWOT
IT
Wireline
Political
Economic
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Table: IT - Historical Data & Forecasts (CNYmn)
Broadband
Table: Broadband - Historical Data And Forecasts
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Macroeconomic Forecast Table: CHINA - ECONOMIC
ACTIVITY
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific IT Risk/Reward Ratings - Q4 2013
Market Overview
Hardware
Software
Services Industry Trends And Developments
Regulatory Development
Table: Government Authority Regulatory
Developments Company Profile Lenovo Group Ltd
Table: Strategic Partnerships & Acquisitions
Kingdee International Software Group
Dell
IBM
Table: IBM Acquisitions, 2012 (Total Value,
US$3.964bn)
Regional Overview
Demographic Forecast
Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020
('000)
Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020
(% of total)
Table: China's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: China's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-
2020
Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
IT Industry
IT Ratings - Methodology
Table: IT Business Environment Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting Of Components
Sources
4. About the Publisher
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Business Monitor was founded in 1984 by Richard Londesborough and Jonathan Feroze,
the company's joint CEOs, who both continue to play a full role within the company.
The company was awarded the Queen's Award for Export Achievement in 1997.
Business Monitor is a wholly independent company, headquartered at Blackfriars,
London, with foreign offices in Hong Kong, New York, Singapore and South Africa. Our
corporate mission is to become the world's No.1 Independent Information Provider in
its field (Country Risk & Industry Research).
Business Monitor International (BMI) is a leading, independent provider of proprietary
data, analysis, ratings, rankings and forecasts.
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