Self-Driving Cars to Transform Mobility
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How autonomous cars are going to change our future - and what we can do to optimize that How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility dr. Matthijs Pontier 2. Science Fiction becoming reality Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 3. History • Autopiloting in airplanes since 1914 • PRT-systems since 1975 • London Heathrow since 2011 Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 4. Total Recall Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 5. Now • Delivery drones • Driverless public transport • Driverless personal cars • Car-sharing increasingly popular • Driverless will become standard in 2025~2035 Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 6. Without hands Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 7. Cars that free your time to do other things 8. More comfort Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 9. Road safety ;) Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 10. Drinking Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 11. Less road rage Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 12. No more speeding tickets or parking fees Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 13. Why bother owning a car? • Building vehicles vs Enabling mobility • Making cars look different is easy • No more parking lots Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 14. More room for people and plants Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 15. Road safety Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 16. Boosting highway capacity 273% Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 17. Boosting Highway capacity Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 18. Driving fast and safe Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 19. Save energy Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 20. More traffic at night Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 21. Less flying Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility 22. Putting a halt to urbanization?
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Self-Driving Cars to Transform Mobility
- 1. How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility dr. Matthijs Pontier
- 2. Science Fiction becoming reality Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 3. History • Autopiloting in airplanes since 1914 • PRT-systems since 1975 • London Heathrow since 2011 Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 4. Total Recall Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 5. Now • Delivery drones • Driverless public transport • Driverless personal cars • Car-sharing increasingly popular • Driverless will become standard in 2025~2035 Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 6. Without hands Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 7. Cars that free your time to do other things
- 10. More comfort Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 11. Road safety ;) Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 12. Drinking Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 14. Less road rage Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 15. No more speeding tickets or parking fees Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 16. Why bother owning a car? • Building vehicles vs Enabling mobility • Making cars look different is easy • No more parking lots Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 17. More room for people and plants Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 18. Road safety Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 19. Boosting highway capacity 273% Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 20. Boosting Highway capacity Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 21. Driving fast and safe Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 22. Save energy Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 24. More traffic at night Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 25. Less flying Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 26. Putting a halt to urbanization? Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 27. Inclusive society Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016
- 29. Cars that are Emotionally Intelligent? Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 30. Speed-dating Experiment Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 31. Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 33. Smart technology • If technology thinks for you, do the programmers tell you what to think? Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 34. Moral reasoning system We developed moral reasoning system that balances between several moral goals Decisions matched medical-ethical experts 34 Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 35. Autonomy 35 Results: Able to simulate judge decisions about: •Assertive outreach •Judicial coercion after self- binding declaration Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 36. Cars that make ethical decisions Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 37. Why we should have mandatory Machine Ethics Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 38. Why we should have mandatory Machine Ethics Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 39. Why (car-)software should be open-soure • Algorithms and robots will increasingly influence our lives Who will control the programmers? • Good ideas are made to be copied: Creating extra value with no extra costs Matthijs Pontier, TU/e
- 40. Why software in a car should be open source • Diesel-scandal Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 41. Local data vs Internet of Things Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 42. Who will control ‘smart’ cars? Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 43. Who will control ‘smart’ cars? • Hackers? • Viruses? • Terrorists? • Car company that calls them back if you don’t pay? • The AI that tells you what to do? • Or will they control themselves? Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 44. Who will control ‘smart’ cars? Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 45. Monopolization Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 46. Other disruptions • More 3D-printed organs • Insurance companies • Local governments Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 47. Universal Basic Income • Stops poverty and bureaucracy • No need for control-systems that invade our privacy • Level playing field on labour market • Simulates entrepreneurship and creativity Experiments More education More entrepreneurship More useful work Less health problems Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e
- 48. Policy implications • Liability: Shared responsibility • Black Box in cars vs Central Data Storage • Limit building new roads • Limit building new parking places • Restructure local government income • Regulating Big Business vs More freedom for small startups • Universal Basic Income Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 49. Policy implications in the future • Mandatory Machine Ethics Traffic rules can be abolished • Human driving at own risk & responsibility Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e
- 50. Governments are lagging behind
- 51. Thanks! • @Matthijs85 • Matthijs Pontier • matthijspon@gmail.com • http://camera-vu.nl/matthijs • http://www.linkedin.com/in/matthijspontier Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
- 52. More reading and watching • Intelligent cars could boost highway capacity b • Autonomous Car Platoons • How to hack a car • Zelfrijdende auto's moeten leren wie ze dood w • Vrij van controledrift, bureaucratie en armoede Matthijs Pontier, 22-03-2016 TU/e, How self-driving cars are going to change the future of mobility
Editor's Notes
- Emotionally intelligence for robots Ethical decision making for robots Ethics of technology Lead candidate EU-elections and active politician for the Pirate Party Policy implications
- Automatic gear Cruise control Automatic lane-keeping Automatic distance-keeping
- This was predicted for the year 2084
- Testing of autonomous vehicles in EU, Mexico, Chile and Russia Michigan is building a driverless town for testing autonomous cars Just had a test in NL with train of autonomous cars All car brands plan autonomous car releases 2015-2025 Blablacar
- Time to do other things US: 4.3 years of your life / 235 hours a year / 9 days per year
- Autonomous Cars Will Give You Back > 4 Years Of Your Life
- 4-day work weeks
- Learning
- People are going to have lots of sex in driverless cars
- Sex, drug and alcohol industry in driverless cars
- Less road rage Also decreases anxiety and stress
- No more speeding ticketsor parking fees
- Cars, parked in a flat, can pick you up at any moment you want, and bring you anywhere Tegenlicht Mass individualization Isn’t it nice to drive in a differently styled car everytime?
- More room for plants and people Parking lots can become parks
- Not only less traffic accidents, but also less driving anxiety and stress Google cars only get hit from begind http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2947920/Self-driving-cars-given-green-light-UK-Driverless-vehicles-BOOZE-CRUISE-control-drunk-motorists-future.html
- You are a terrible driver compared to a robot: especially reaction time In treintje veel meer auto’s op de weg: 273% boost in capacity (IEEE Spectrum) Energy efficient Net in Nederland getest
- More communicating cars More increase of capacity. Finally 273% Research Columbia University Sensors Adaptive cruise control, Blind spot sensors, etc.
- Driving fast More than 273%?
- Morgan Stanley: Autonomous cars will save US $1.3 trillion annually by lowering fuel consumption Vehicle-to-grid (V2G) systems conceptualize how smart cars could be incorporated into the extended power grid Cars of the future will share, store and produce our energy
- Less smog Less people will get cancer Less people will die
- Deliveries only at night
- Less flying
- We Will See Reverse Urbanization Global urban-dwelling population 3.5 Billion (UN) Increase in America’s urban population 2000-2010 12% Perceptions of distance will change as driverless vehicles will make travel more bearable, if not enjoyable Many will view the ease of travel as an invitation to move out of urban centers We can expect suburban areas to sprawl out from cities, and rural communities to thrive Source: US Census Bureau
- Infographic from UK: driver’s license Ouderen langer mobiel Children can drive an autonomous car in ‘kid mode’ with limited navigation controls
- Emotionally intelligent interfaces Personal assistent that integrates with your car Advising on music, movies, articles, or even places to go and things to do
- Robot (met Silicon Coppelia) vs Mens Multiple Choice & Emoties Wat vond dit mannetje nou van jou?
- Helped elderly people, for example with remembering to send a postcard and an addressBut: Motivating people = Manipulation
- Personal assistant
- People are easily manipulated.. Millgram experiment: shocking people Stanford Prison Experiment
- Results: Able to match decisions medical ethical experts
- Resultaten: Mogelijk om rechtszaken te simuleren over: -bemoeizorg -gedwongen opname na zelfbindingsverklaring
- Now cars has to perform the trolley dilemma itself Voorbeeld schoolbus + kinderen? Would people by a car that kills its driver? Extra diervriendelijke auto’s? http://motherboard.vice.com/nl/read/zelfrijdende-autos-moeten-leren-wie-ze-liever-dood-willen-rijden
- Not realistic? Some of the smartest people on earth say it is: Nick Bostrom, Elon Musk (Tesla), Stephen Hawking, etc. etc. Intelligence explosion / Singularity
- Realistic that a robot accidentally destroys us Cars actually can kill
- No big company that controls all the data No central database that can be used for the wrong purposes or be hacked Insurance companies Logistics more efficient with ant-based programs than centralized control
- EU is considering mandatorily equipping of all cars sold in the union with devices, which would allow police to remotely disable engines, according to leaked documents What if government blocks visiting demonstrations or other ‘unwanted events’?
- - IoT devices are generally very unsafe - At the 2014 Consumer Electronics Show this month, technology firm Harman warned that hacking problems for modern cars very serious because the infrastructure of their electronic components was not designed with networking in mind - VICE-artikel over car hacking - Cars as autonomous creatures?
- Door internet kun je met goed idee snel monopolie creeren
- Koppeldiensten Monopoly The power to act like an asshole and get away with it Buying small startups with innovative ideas (or their patents) and NOT using it
- Less car accidents Less organs Insurance companies that work with car accidents need to find new business models Local Governments: Parking fees More efficient ways
- Lots of people will lose their jobs Not a problem, as productivity still rises, but solutions need to be found Poverty: because everybody gets amount above the poverty line Bureaucracy: Less civil servants. Negative Income Tax affordable and through tax system Level Playing Field because you don’t NEED to take a job Creativity, because worrying about money is killing for creative thinking
- Shared responsibility: Programmaer, Producer, Driver, Insurance http://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/industrial-robots/sartre-autonomous-car-platoons
- Speed limit unnecessary if cars can think of what is a safe speed themselves
- We need more tech-savy nerds in politics who can predict the future and act on it
- Anti-piracy organization campaigning with why piracy would be theft
- VICE-artikel car hacking