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McKinsey & Company 1
The survey results show four fundamental shifts to consumer
behavior, some of which will have a lasting impact
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n =531 sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
Up to 45%
net increase in intent to
spend online even
post-COVID-19
2. Flight to digital
and omnichannel
20–60%
of consumers (net) say they
will decrease spend on
discretionary categories
1. Shift to value
and essentials
95%
of consumers have
changed stores,
brands or the way
they shop
3. Shock to
loyalty
67%
of UAE consumers
are not yet resuming
“normal” out-of-home
activities
4. Homebody
economy
McKinsey & Company 2
Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191
% of respondents
1 Q: How is your overall confidence level in economic conditions after the COVID-19 situation? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Bars may not sum to 100% due to rounding.
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey
Spain
11/9–16
UK
11/9–16
Italy
11/9–16
China
11/9–22
Brazil
11/9–16
France
11/9–16
7 13 15 18
31
40
33 37 33
24
31 40
46
53
59
52
47
54 52 60
74
62 58
41
33
23 17 14 13 11 7
2
2
US
11/9–13
Japan
11/9–15
India
11/9–20
Unsure: The economy will be
impacted for 6–12 months or
longer and will stagnate or
show slow growth thereafter
Pessimistic: COVID-19 will
have lasting impact on the
economy and show regression/
fall into lengthy recession
Optimistic: The economy will
rebound within 2–3 months and
grow just as strong as or
stronger than before COVID-19
Germany
11/9–13
Shift to value and essentials
The UAE is most optimistic for economic recovery as compared to
other countries
UAE
1/25–2/10
McKinsey & Company 3
Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191
% of respondents
1 Q: How is your overall confidence level in economic conditions after the COVID-19 situation? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic”; figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531; 6/16–6/18/2020, n = 516; 4/23–4/27/2020, n = xxx; 4/3–4/6/2020, n = 510; 3/23–3/26/2020, n = xxx, sampled
and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
UAE
Mixed: The economy will
be impacted for 6–12
months or longer and will
stagnate or show slow
growth thereafter
Pessimistic: COVID-19
will have lasting impact
on the economy and
show regression / fall into
lengthy recession
Optimistic: The economy
will rebound within 2–3
months and grow just as
strong as or stronger than
before COVID-19
Shift to value and essentials
Optimism regarding the UAE’s economic recovery has increased
significantly, to 74 percent
15%
6% 6% 5% 2%
28%
33% 31% 34%
24%
57% 61% 63% 61%
74%
Mar 23-26 Apr 3-6 Apr 23-27 June 16-18 Jan25-Feb 10
McKinsey & Company 4
1 Q: How long do you believe you need to adjust your routines, given the current COVID-19 situation, before things return back to normal (e.g., government lifts restrictions on events/travel)? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Q: How long do you believe your personal/household finances will be impacted by the COVID-19 situation? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n =531; 6/16–6/18/2020, n = 516, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
4–6 months 33%
24%
11%
23%
0–1 month
2–3 months
12%
7–12 months
More than one year
15%
27%
20%
21%
28%
No impact
0–1 month 4%
More than one year
2–3 months
4–6 months
7–12 months
Adjustments to routines1
% of respondents
Impact on personal/household finances2
% of respondents
~69%
believe it will take
another 4+ months
before routines can
return to normal, in line
with 53% in the last
pulse survey
~68%
believe their finances will
be impacted for another
4+ months by the
COVID-19 situation, up
from 65% in the last
pulse survey
Shift to value and essentials
UAE consumers continue to believe the personal and financial
impact from COVID-19 will last longer than four more months
McKinsey & Company 5
Household income1,2
% of respondents
1 Q: How has the COVID-19 situation affected your (family’s) overall available income, spending, and savings in the past two weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Q: How do you think your overall available income, spending, and savings may change in the next two weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Household spending1,2
% of respondents
June 16–18 January 25–February 10 January 25–February 10
Household savings1,2
% of respondents
January 25–February 10
Shift to value and essentials
Reduce slightly / reduce a lot About the same Increase slightly / increase a lot
40%
9%
Past 2 weeks
Past 2 weeks
57%
34%
7%
53%
13%
63%
24%
Next 2 weeks Past 2 weeks
60%
14%
17%
45%
38%
26%
Past 2 weeks
17%
47%
36%
Next 2 weeks
More than half of UAE consumers experienced a decline in income
and savings, while spending has increased
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531; 6/16–6/18/2020, n = 516, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
Past 2 weeks
23%
32%
42%
35%
25%
43%
Past 2 weeks
19%
50%
31%
Next 2 weeks
June 16–18 June 16–18
McKinsey & Company 6
Change in shopping mindset since COVID-191
% of respondents
1 Q: Which best describes how often you are doing each of the following items? Possible answers: “doing less since coronavirus started”; “doing about the same since coronavirus started”; “doing more since coronavirus started”; figures
may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Shift to value and essentials
9%
10%
12%
11%
15%
42%
43%
42%
54%
54%
49%
47%
46%
35%
31%
100%
Researching brand and product choices before buying
Changing to less expensive products to save money
Spending time planning / making lists for shopping trips
Looking for ways to save money when shopping
Becoming more mindful of where I spend my money
Doing less Doing about the same Doing more
UAE consumers are becoming more mindful of how they spend
their money and adopting new habits to save money
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 7
Expected spending per category over the next two weeks compared to usual1
% of respondents
1 Q: Over the next two weeks, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending.
3 Data not available or sample size n < 30.
4 Based on small subset (n < 100) of sample population.
11
27
40
34
36
41
53
54
67
63
20
17
20
41
57
26
19
12
21
15
12
8
11
8
6
16
21
17
12
10
Alcoholic beverages
Tobacco products
N/A3
Groceries
Snacks
Food takeout & delivery
Quick-service restaurant
Restaurant
Footwear
Apparel
Jewelry
Accessories
Non-food child products
Household supplies
Personal-care products
Skin care & makeup
Furnishing & appliances
Decrease
Stay the same
Increase
26
44
54
57
37
39
41
23
41
36
65
65
69
67
55
22
9
12
12
6
18
9
9
8
14
8
9
11
8
10
Gasoline
N/A3
Vitamins/supplements
Books/magazines/newspapers
Consumer electronics
Out-of-home entertainment
Pet-care services
Fitness & wellness
Personal-care services
Hotel/resort stays
Vehicle purchases
Short-term home rentals
Travel by car
Cruises4
Adventures & tours
International flights
Domestic flights
Net intent2
Net intent2
+15
-4
+4
-47
-8
-28
-13
N/A3
-21
-29
-45
-43
-59
-57
-3
-29
-35
-42
-45
-31
-19
-32
-14
N/A3
-33
-22
-57
-56
-58
-59
-45
-4
Net intent: Above +1
Net intent: -15 to 0
Net intent: Below -15
Change since
first survey
Change since
first survey
Shift to value and essentials
Spending on essentials remains at or above pre-COVID-19 levels, but
most discretionary categories are still at -20 to -60 percent net intent
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n =531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
-7%
-4%
-3%
20%
6%
2%
8%
N/A3
32%
37%
18%
26%
11%
17%
7%
20%
N/A3
9%
20%
17%
7%
20%
27%
5%
31%
25%
39%
N/A3
18%
38%
20%
17%
McKinsey & Company 8
More people expect to make a portion of their purchases online
post-COVID-19 than before
Consumers’ use of online channel before and expected use after COVID-191,2
% of respondents purchasing online3
1 Q: Before the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started, what proportion of your purchases in this category were online vs from a physical store/in person?
2 Q: Once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided, tell us what proportion of your purchases in this category you think will be online vs from a physical store/in person?
3 Includes respondents who chose “some online,” “most online,” and “all online.” Respondents who indicated that they have not bought the category online and do not intend to do so in the next two weeks are classified as not purchasing online.
4 Expected growth after COVID-19 compared to pre-COVID-19 slightly lower than previous waves due to respondents reporting higher online activity in pre-COVID-19 situation.
5 Data not available or sample size low (n < 30).
35
33
41
44
41
46
44
39
49
55
47
58
32
66
54
44
53
55
82
37
18
19
17
18
16
13
15
16
13
15
8
15
11
8
10
9
3
Household supplies
N/A5
+16
Over-the-counter medicine
Groceries
Snacks
Tobacco
Vitamins/supplements
Personal-care products
Furnishings & appliances
Skin care & makeup
Non-food child products
Fitness & wellness
Books/magazines/newspapers
Jewelry
Food takeout & delivery
Consumer electronics
Footwear
Accessories
Apparel
Entertainment at home
Alcoholic beverages
Pre-COVID-19 Expected growth after COVID-19
% growth in customers
purchasing category online
+77%
+50%
+43%
+42%
+40%
+38%
+37%
+34%
+30%
+29%
+28%
+26%
+24%
+22%
+20%
+19%
+18%
+17%
+4%
N/A5
Flight to digital and omnichannel
~20–45%
growth in consumers
who purchase online for
most categories4
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 9
Consumers’ use of online channel before and expected use after COVID-191,2
% of respondents purchasing most or all online3
1 Q: Before the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started, what proportion of your purchases in this category were online vs from a physical store/in person?
2 Q: Once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided, tell us what proportion of your purchases in this category you think will be online vs from a physical store/in person?
3 Respondents who indicated that they have not bought the category online and do not intend to do so in the next two weeks are classified as not purchasing online.
4 Expected growth after COVID-19 compared to pre-COVID-19 slightly lower than previous waves due to respondents reporting higher online activity in pre-COVID-19 situation.
5 Data not available or low sample size (n < 30).
10
9
17
20
15
18
21
17
19
19
26
27
12
31
16
9
16
15
58
22
14
14
13
10
17
5
14
14
23
7
21
10
18
14
12
13
6
Groceries
Snacks
Tobacco
Fitness & wellness
OTC medicines
Vitamins/supplements
Personal-care products
Furnishings & appliances
Household supplies
Jewelry
Skin care & makeup
Non-food child products
Books/magazines/newspapers
+14
Food takeout & delivery
Consumer electronics
N/A5
Footwear
Accessories
Apparel
Entertainment at home
Alcohol
Pre-COVID-19 Expected growth after COVID-19
% growth in customers purchasing
category most or all online
+217%
+157%
+80%
+68%
+70%
+99%
+25%
+80%
+73%
+117%
+25%
+76%
+89%
+46%
+109%
+153%
+76%
+88%
+11%
N/A5
~65–150%
growth in consumers who
purchase most or all
online for most
categories4
Many consumers plan to shift their shopping habits almost
completely to online
Flight to digital and omnichannel
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n =531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 10
Have you used or done any of the
following since COVID-19 started1
% of respondents
1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more
since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.”
11%
18%
4%
7%
13%
7%
5%
4%
9%
9%
5%
3%
37%
37%
9%
21%
18%
15%
6%
5%
27%
12%
8%
6%
16%
8%
5%
12%
5%
8%
3%
3%
16%
6%
5%
3%
Store curbside pickup
Restaurant curbside pickup
Buy online for in-store pickup
Used deal-finding plug-ins
Quick-serve restaurant drive-thru
Grocery delivery
Restaurant delivery
Purchased pre-owned products
Used a new store/restaurant app
In-store self-checkout
Purchased directly from social media
Meal-kit delivery
Just started using Using more Using same/less Not using
Flight to digital and omnichannel
UAE consumers have adopted new shopping behaviors during
COVID-19, including restaurant and grocery deliveries
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 11
55 69
53
70
10
57 85
50
0 83
1 80
59 60 61 63
30
65 70
67 71 73 77
75 79 81
90
87
0
100
Meal-kit delivery
Deal-finding plug-ins
Grocery delivery In-store self-checkout
Restaurant curbside pickup
Store curbside pickup
Buy online for in-store pickup
Quick-serve
restaurant
drive-thru
Purchased pre-owned products online
Purchased from social media
Restaurant delivery
New store/restaurant app
Intent to use after COVID-191
Percent of new or increased users who intend to keep doing activity after COVID-19
1 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.”
Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users.
2 User growth is calculated as % of respondents who replied that they are new users over % of respondents who replied that they were using the product/service pre-COVID-19 (using more, using the same, or using less).
Flight to digital and omnichannel
Shopping behaviors adopted during the crisis, including self-checkout
and curbside pickup, are likely to remain in the medium to long term
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n =531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
Accelerated shifts
Potentially here to stay
Works for now
User
growth
since
COVID-19
2
McKinsey & Company 12
Have you used any of the following since COVID-19 started1
% of respondents
Almost all UAE consumers have adopted a new shopping behavior,
and most intend to continue with it beyond the crisis
1 Q: Since the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started (i.e., in the past ~3 months), which of the following have you done? 5% consumers selected “none of these.”
2 “New shopping method” includes curbside pickup and delivery apps.
54%
51%
41%
39%
28%
New shopping method2
Different retailer/store/website
Different brand
Private label/store brand
New digital shopping method
95%
Consumers have tried
a new shopping
behavior
Shock to loyalty
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 13
More than 60 percent of consumers cite convenience and value as
drivers for trying new places to shop
Reason for shopping at a new retailer/store/website in the past three months1
% of respondents selecting reason in top three
1 Q: You mentioned you shopped from a new retailer/store/website since the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started. What was the main reason you decided to try this new retailer/store/website? Select up to 3.
32%
26%
23%
19%
41%
30%
28%
20%
7%
22%
17%
12%
5%
More easily accessible from my home
Less crowded / has shorter lines
Better shipping/delivery costs
Better prices/promotions
Offers good delivery/pickup options
Can get all the items I need from one place
Better quality
Better value
Offers natural/organic options
Products are in stock
Cleaner / has better hygiene measures
Supporting local businesses
The company treats its employees well
Convenience
Purpose-driven
Quality/organic
Health/hygiene
Availability
Value
x% Net % of respondents per
category
69%
69%
22%
26%
16%
17%
Shock to loyalty
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 14
More than three-fourths of consumers who tried a new brand cite
value as key driver
Reason for trying a new brand in the past three months1
% of respondents selecting reason in top three
1 Q: You mentioned you tried a new/different brand than what you normally buy. What was the main reason that drove this decision? Select up to 3. “Brand” includes different brand, new private label/store brand.
Availability
Value
Health/hygiene
Quality/organic
Purpose-driven
Convenience
x% Net % of respondents per
category
18%
85%
26%
44%
19%
18%
Shock to loyalty
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
57%
38%
23%
10%
34%
19%
26%
12%
8%
18%
18%
Supporting local businesses
Better shipping/delivery costs
Better value
Better prices/promotions
Larger package sizes
Better quality
Is natural/organic
Is available where I’m shopping
The company treats its employees well
Products are in stock
Cleaner / has better hygiene measures
McKinsey & Company 15
Consumers buying based on company behavior1
% of respondents
1 Q: Which best describes how often you are doing each of the following items? Possible answers: “doing less since coronavirus started”; “doing about the same since coronavirus started”; “doing more since coronavirus started.”
Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Consumers are paying increased attention to companies’ purpose
and value while buying
19%
25%
26%
30%
40%
64%
61%
62%
58%
51%
17%
14%
12%
12%
9%
How companies take care of the safety of their employees
Healthy and hygienic packaging
100%
Company’s purpose/values
Sustainable/eco-friendly products
Retailers promotion of sustainable solutions
Doing about the same
Doing less Doing more
Shock to loyalty
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 16
Milestones for the UAE population not yet engaging with out-of-home activities1
% of respondents awaiting each milestone before engaging
Most UAE consumers are still waiting to see indicators beyond lifting of
restrictions, but more are engaging in ‘normal’ out-of-home activities
1 Q: Which best describes when you will regularly return to stores, restaurants, and other out-of-home activities? Chart rebased to exclude those already participating in these activities and those who do not deem any of these items important.
Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
52
13
35
Government lifts
restrictions + other
requirement
Only once there’s a
vaccine or treatment
Government lifts restrictions
Medical authorities deem safe 25%
Stores, restaurants, and other indoor
places start taking safety measures 19%
I see other people returning 8%
Government lifts restrictions and…
67%
are not
engaging in
“normal”
out-of-home
activities, down
from 90%
Homebody economy
~8% of Emiratis
will not engage in
“normal” out-of-home
activities until there is a
vaccine or treatment
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 17
Most UAE consumers expressed concerns about traveling by airplane
and attending large events
Consumers’ level of concern undertaking various activities1
% of respondents
1 Q: How worried would you be if you were to do the following activities in the next two weeks? Possible answers: “not worried at all”; “not very worried”; “somewhat worried”; “very worried”; “extremely worried.”; figures may not sum to 100%
because of rounding.
2 Level of concern is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they “not worried” from “worried.”
Level of concern2
44
38
37
26
35
17
21
15
7
3
13
10
4
-5
-7
-21
-14
-24
43%
44%
36%
35%
31%
31%
28%
30%
27%
26%
25%
25%
23%
22%
21%
18%
17%
18%
23%
38%
33%
42%
37%
42%
41%
40%
37%
40%
38%
37%
35%
37%
35%
32%
30%
29%
27%
30%
19%
23%
22%
28%
26%
28%
31%
34%
34%
36%
38%
40%
40%
43%
47%
53%
54%
56%
47%
Use ride-sharing service
Go to the gym or fitness studio
Work outside my home
Stay in a hotel
Shop for groceries/necessities
Drive more than 2 hours from home
Get together with family
Somewhat worried
Shop for non-necessities
Dine at a restaurant
Go to a shopping mall
Rent a short-term home
Go to a hair or nail salon
Go out for family entertainment
Get together with friends
Visit a crowded outdoor public place
Attend a large event
Use public transportation
Use a clothing rental service
Travel by airplane
Worried
Not worried
Homebody economy
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
-3
McKinsey & Company 18
Cleaning and sanitization are most important to consumers as they
decide where to shop in-store
Top priorities when deciding where to shop in-store1
% of respondents for whom this criterion is the most important2
1 Q: Once restrictions lift, which of the following factors will be most important to you as you decide which of these places to visit in person? Respondents were asked to select the most important.
2 The following categories are included in each bucket: Cleaning and sanitization—increased cleaning, improved air filtration, availability of sanitizing supplies throughout the store; Health checks—customer wellness check (e.g., temperature) on
entry, employees' wellness check (e.g., temperature) on entry; Masks and barriers—customers and employees wear masks, customers and employees provided masks and gloves, plastic barrier with cashier; No-contact purchasing—curbside
pick-up, cashier-less checkout, no-contact delivery, buy online for pickup in store; Physical distancing—customer number limit, distancing in customer line, reduced employee activity during shopping hours; Store regulations—no customer product
testing, one-way store aisles, special hours for high-risk shoppers.
Homebody economy
Change since the
first measure,
percentage point
+9
-7
+2
-1
-1
-1
27%
22%
18%
13%
12%
7%
Masks and barriers
Cleaning and sanitization
Store regulations
No-contact purchasing
Physical distancing
Health checks
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 19
UAE consumers intend to maintain their current level of engagement
with out-of-home activities for the next two weeks
Consumers’ engagement with activities outside home1,2
% of respondents
1 Q: Did you leave your house for the following activities over the past two weeks? Chart represents the percentage of respondents who indicated that they left home at least once during the past week to do this activity.
2 Q: For which of the following activities do you intend to leave your home to do in the next two weeks? Chart represents % of respondents who intend to leave their home to do this activity during the next two weeks.
79%
63%
50%
49%
39%
40%
39%
31%
28%
34%
33%
32%
20%
19%
16%
Past 2 weeks Next 2 weeks
There is a strong
correlation between
concern in participating
in a particular out-of-
home activity and
intent to participate
(R2~0.9), suggesting that
out-of-home activity
engagement is driven by
individuals’ level of
concern with the activity
Homebody economy
78%
62%
54%
51%
41%
38%
35%
32%
31%
30%
29%
28%
20%
15%
13%
Get together with family
Shop for groceries/necessities
Shop for non-necessities
Go to the gym or fitness studio
Dine at a restaurant
Go to a hair or nail salon
Get together with friends
Attend a large event
Visit a crowded outdoor public place
Work outside my home
Drive more than 2 hours away from home
Travel by airplane
Travel on public transportation
Use ride-sharing service
Go out for family entertainment
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 20
Somewhat
unsafe
Feel safe
23%
20%
57%
Feel unsafe
Top activities eager to get back to1
% of respondents for whom the activity is in their top 3 choices
41%
Travel by airplane
Go out for family entertainment
38%
Get together with friends
32%
30%
Get together with family
28%
Visit a crowded outdoor public place
14%
24%
Dine at a restaurant
19%
Interact with coworkers in person
19%
Attend a concert, sporting event, movies, etc.
18%
Go to gym or fitness studio
15%
Go to a hair or nail salon
Shop for non-necessities
at shopping mall/department store
However, consumers are most eager to travel by airplane and get
together with friends and family once COVID-19 subsides
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
Level of comfort with out-of-home
activities, % of respondents
1 Q: What best describes your comfort participating in activities you did prior to COVID? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Q: What best describes your comfort participating in activities you did prior to COVID? If answered somewhat unsafe or unsafe, Q: Which of the following activities are you most eager to get back to on a regular basis? Select up to 3.
Homebody economy
McKinsey & Company 21
UAE consumers have picked up new digital and low-touch activities,
including telemedicine, video chat, and online streaming
13%
9%
3%
4%
4%
6%
3%
3%
5%
2%
19%
9%
7%
5%
14%
11%
34%
26%
23%
20%
15%
12%
11%
6%
4%
3%
50%
22%
17%
16%
43%
18%
9%
8%
17%
18%
21%
9%
7%
5%
3%
3%
4%
8%
9%
5%
7%
8%
TikTok
Social media
Video chat: personal
Wellness app
Playing online games
Digital exercise machine
Online fitness
Telemedicine: mental
Cooked regularly for myself/my family
Watching e-sports
Videoconferencing: professional
Personal care/grooming at home
Remote learning: my children
Online streaming
Remote learning: myself
Telemedicine: physical
Not using Just started using
Using less / the same Using more
Have you used or done any of the
following since COVID-19 started1
% of respondents
Intent to
continue,2 %
66%
52%
61%
57%
40%
67%
67%
62%
61%
65%
52%
85%
64%
44%
51%
56%
1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more
since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.”
2 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase
this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “ will increase this” among new or increased users.
Homebody economy
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 22
User
growth
since
COVID-19
2
Intent to use after COVID-191
Percent of new or increased users who intend to keep doing activity after COVID-19
1 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.”
Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users.
2 User growth is calculated as % of respondents who replied that they are new users over % of respondents who replied that they were using the product/service pre-COVID-19 (using more, using the same, or using less).
Online streaming, social media, and cooking habits adopted during
the crisis are likely to remain in the medium to long term
Homebody economy
83
48
42
110
44
0
120
40
41 43
60
45 46 47 50
20
130
55
140
60
190
85
65
160
10
70 75
170
0
80
200
81 82
150
70
84
30
50
80
90
180
100
Wellness app
Videoconferencing: professional
TikTok
Video chat: personal
Online streaming
Watching e-sports
Remote learning: my children
Telemedicine: physical
Online fitness
Telemedicine: mental
Digital exercise machine
Used social media
Remote learning: myself
Cooked regularly
Personal care/grooming at home
Playing online games
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
Works for now
Accelerated shifts
Potentially here to
stay
McKinsey & Company 23
Delivery services and online streaming have gotten the most
new and increased users since COVID-19
1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more
since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.”
2 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase
this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users.
3 Change since first survey is calculated by dividing the difference in % new/increased users between September 2020 and April 2020 by the April 2020 figure.
Have you started/increased usage since COVID-19 started1,2
% of respondents
53
45
43
40
38
36
34
30
26
21
34
23
23
10
8
21
18
11
5
Buy online for in-store pickup
Restaurant delivery
Online fitness
Restaurant curbside pickup
Grocery delivery
Quick-serve restaurant drive-thru
Telemedicine: physical
Remote learning: my children
Telemedicine: mental
Online streaming
In-store self-checkout
Store curbside pickup
Wellness app
Videoconferencing: professional
Remote learning: myself
Video chat: personal
Playing online games
TikTok
Watching e-sports
Change since
April survey,3 %
New / increased users
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
29%
24%
24%
N/A
N/A
66%
-2%
100%
48%
17%
6%
10%
N/A
N/A
24%
N/A
29%
-17%
22%
Homebody economy
McKinsey & Company 24
34%
60%
In-person only 6%
Hybrid
Online only
1 Q: What education format is your child/children’s school primarily using today? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Q: Please indicate how strongly you agree or disagree with each of the following statements. Statements include: “I expect remote learning to be a key education format for formal and/or informal education for the next 3 months”; “Given
the uncertainty of school openings, I am planning to spend more on at-home learning tools and equipment (e.g., tutoring services, desk equipment, electronics)”; “I have cut back my work hours given my child/children’s at-home
learning needs.” Rated from 1 “strongly disagree” to 6 “strongly agree.” Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Remote learning is widespread but families expect it to end soon,
and are not investing heavily in at-home learning tools
Education format1
% of respondents
Homebody economy
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
18
13
9
Expect online to
continue for 3+ months
Reduce work hours
Invest in at-home
learning tools
Agree/Strongly agree
Change in beliefs/behaviors for those with children in remote
learning,2 % of respondents
~94%
of children in
some form of
remote learning
McKinsey & Company 25
1 Q: Please indicate how strongly you agree or disagree with each of the following statements: “I have cut back my work hours given my child/children’s at-home
learning needs.” Rated from 1 “strongly disagree” to 6 “strongly agree.” Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
34
Overall
Agree/Strongly agree
Less USD 50K
More than
USD 100K
USD 50-100K
9
19
47
Reduction in work hours for those with children in remote learning1
% of respondents, annual salary in USD
Forty-seven percent of families with children have reduced work
hours to meet at-home learning needs
Homebody economy
47%
of high-income
families have reduced
work hours
McKinsey & Company 26
Disclaimer
McKinsey does not provide legal, medical, or other regulated advice or
guarantee results. These materials reflect general insight and best practice
based on information currently available and do not contain all of the
information needed to determine a future course of action. Such information
has not been generated or independently verified by McKinsey and is
inherently uncertain and subject to change. McKinsey has no obligation to
update these materials and makes no representation or warranty and
expressly disclaims any liability with respect thereto.

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McKinsey Survey: Emirati consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

  • 1. McKinsey & Company 1 The survey results show four fundamental shifts to consumer behavior, some of which will have a lasting impact Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n =531 sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years Up to 45% net increase in intent to spend online even post-COVID-19 2. Flight to digital and omnichannel 20–60% of consumers (net) say they will decrease spend on discretionary categories 1. Shift to value and essentials 95% of consumers have changed stores, brands or the way they shop 3. Shock to loyalty 67% of UAE consumers are not yet resuming “normal” out-of-home activities 4. Homebody economy
  • 2. McKinsey & Company 2 Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191 % of respondents 1 Q: How is your overall confidence level in economic conditions after the COVID-19 situation? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Bars may not sum to 100% due to rounding. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey Spain 11/9–16 UK 11/9–16 Italy 11/9–16 China 11/9–22 Brazil 11/9–16 France 11/9–16 7 13 15 18 31 40 33 37 33 24 31 40 46 53 59 52 47 54 52 60 74 62 58 41 33 23 17 14 13 11 7 2 2 US 11/9–13 Japan 11/9–15 India 11/9–20 Unsure: The economy will be impacted for 6–12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter Pessimistic: COVID-19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show regression/ fall into lengthy recession Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 2–3 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 Germany 11/9–13 Shift to value and essentials The UAE is most optimistic for economic recovery as compared to other countries UAE 1/25–2/10
  • 3. McKinsey & Company 3 Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191 % of respondents 1 Q: How is your overall confidence level in economic conditions after the COVID-19 situation? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic”; figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531; 6/16–6/18/2020, n = 516; 4/23–4/27/2020, n = xxx; 4/3–4/6/2020, n = 510; 3/23–3/26/2020, n = xxx, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years UAE Mixed: The economy will be impacted for 6–12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter Pessimistic: COVID-19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show regression / fall into lengthy recession Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 2–3 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 Shift to value and essentials Optimism regarding the UAE’s economic recovery has increased significantly, to 74 percent 15% 6% 6% 5% 2% 28% 33% 31% 34% 24% 57% 61% 63% 61% 74% Mar 23-26 Apr 3-6 Apr 23-27 June 16-18 Jan25-Feb 10
  • 4. McKinsey & Company 4 1 Q: How long do you believe you need to adjust your routines, given the current COVID-19 situation, before things return back to normal (e.g., government lifts restrictions on events/travel)? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Q: How long do you believe your personal/household finances will be impacted by the COVID-19 situation? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n =531; 6/16–6/18/2020, n = 516, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years 4–6 months 33% 24% 11% 23% 0–1 month 2–3 months 12% 7–12 months More than one year 15% 27% 20% 21% 28% No impact 0–1 month 4% More than one year 2–3 months 4–6 months 7–12 months Adjustments to routines1 % of respondents Impact on personal/household finances2 % of respondents ~69% believe it will take another 4+ months before routines can return to normal, in line with 53% in the last pulse survey ~68% believe their finances will be impacted for another 4+ months by the COVID-19 situation, up from 65% in the last pulse survey Shift to value and essentials UAE consumers continue to believe the personal and financial impact from COVID-19 will last longer than four more months
  • 5. McKinsey & Company 5 Household income1,2 % of respondents 1 Q: How has the COVID-19 situation affected your (family’s) overall available income, spending, and savings in the past two weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Q: How do you think your overall available income, spending, and savings may change in the next two weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Household spending1,2 % of respondents June 16–18 January 25–February 10 January 25–February 10 Household savings1,2 % of respondents January 25–February 10 Shift to value and essentials Reduce slightly / reduce a lot About the same Increase slightly / increase a lot 40% 9% Past 2 weeks Past 2 weeks 57% 34% 7% 53% 13% 63% 24% Next 2 weeks Past 2 weeks 60% 14% 17% 45% 38% 26% Past 2 weeks 17% 47% 36% Next 2 weeks More than half of UAE consumers experienced a decline in income and savings, while spending has increased Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531; 6/16–6/18/2020, n = 516, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years Past 2 weeks 23% 32% 42% 35% 25% 43% Past 2 weeks 19% 50% 31% Next 2 weeks June 16–18 June 16–18
  • 6. McKinsey & Company 6 Change in shopping mindset since COVID-191 % of respondents 1 Q: Which best describes how often you are doing each of the following items? Possible answers: “doing less since coronavirus started”; “doing about the same since coronavirus started”; “doing more since coronavirus started”; figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Shift to value and essentials 9% 10% 12% 11% 15% 42% 43% 42% 54% 54% 49% 47% 46% 35% 31% 100% Researching brand and product choices before buying Changing to less expensive products to save money Spending time planning / making lists for shopping trips Looking for ways to save money when shopping Becoming more mindful of where I spend my money Doing less Doing about the same Doing more UAE consumers are becoming more mindful of how they spend their money and adopting new habits to save money Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
  • 7. McKinsey & Company 7 Expected spending per category over the next two weeks compared to usual1 % of respondents 1 Q: Over the next two weeks, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending. 3 Data not available or sample size n < 30. 4 Based on small subset (n < 100) of sample population. 11 27 40 34 36 41 53 54 67 63 20 17 20 41 57 26 19 12 21 15 12 8 11 8 6 16 21 17 12 10 Alcoholic beverages Tobacco products N/A3 Groceries Snacks Food takeout & delivery Quick-service restaurant Restaurant Footwear Apparel Jewelry Accessories Non-food child products Household supplies Personal-care products Skin care & makeup Furnishing & appliances Decrease Stay the same Increase 26 44 54 57 37 39 41 23 41 36 65 65 69 67 55 22 9 12 12 6 18 9 9 8 14 8 9 11 8 10 Gasoline N/A3 Vitamins/supplements Books/magazines/newspapers Consumer electronics Out-of-home entertainment Pet-care services Fitness & wellness Personal-care services Hotel/resort stays Vehicle purchases Short-term home rentals Travel by car Cruises4 Adventures & tours International flights Domestic flights Net intent2 Net intent2 +15 -4 +4 -47 -8 -28 -13 N/A3 -21 -29 -45 -43 -59 -57 -3 -29 -35 -42 -45 -31 -19 -32 -14 N/A3 -33 -22 -57 -56 -58 -59 -45 -4 Net intent: Above +1 Net intent: -15 to 0 Net intent: Below -15 Change since first survey Change since first survey Shift to value and essentials Spending on essentials remains at or above pre-COVID-19 levels, but most discretionary categories are still at -20 to -60 percent net intent Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n =531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years -7% -4% -3% 20% 6% 2% 8% N/A3 32% 37% 18% 26% 11% 17% 7% 20% N/A3 9% 20% 17% 7% 20% 27% 5% 31% 25% 39% N/A3 18% 38% 20% 17%
  • 8. McKinsey & Company 8 More people expect to make a portion of their purchases online post-COVID-19 than before Consumers’ use of online channel before and expected use after COVID-191,2 % of respondents purchasing online3 1 Q: Before the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started, what proportion of your purchases in this category were online vs from a physical store/in person? 2 Q: Once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided, tell us what proportion of your purchases in this category you think will be online vs from a physical store/in person? 3 Includes respondents who chose “some online,” “most online,” and “all online.” Respondents who indicated that they have not bought the category online and do not intend to do so in the next two weeks are classified as not purchasing online. 4 Expected growth after COVID-19 compared to pre-COVID-19 slightly lower than previous waves due to respondents reporting higher online activity in pre-COVID-19 situation. 5 Data not available or sample size low (n < 30). 35 33 41 44 41 46 44 39 49 55 47 58 32 66 54 44 53 55 82 37 18 19 17 18 16 13 15 16 13 15 8 15 11 8 10 9 3 Household supplies N/A5 +16 Over-the-counter medicine Groceries Snacks Tobacco Vitamins/supplements Personal-care products Furnishings & appliances Skin care & makeup Non-food child products Fitness & wellness Books/magazines/newspapers Jewelry Food takeout & delivery Consumer electronics Footwear Accessories Apparel Entertainment at home Alcoholic beverages Pre-COVID-19 Expected growth after COVID-19 % growth in customers purchasing category online +77% +50% +43% +42% +40% +38% +37% +34% +30% +29% +28% +26% +24% +22% +20% +19% +18% +17% +4% N/A5 Flight to digital and omnichannel ~20–45% growth in consumers who purchase online for most categories4 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
  • 9. McKinsey & Company 9 Consumers’ use of online channel before and expected use after COVID-191,2 % of respondents purchasing most or all online3 1 Q: Before the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started, what proportion of your purchases in this category were online vs from a physical store/in person? 2 Q: Once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided, tell us what proportion of your purchases in this category you think will be online vs from a physical store/in person? 3 Respondents who indicated that they have not bought the category online and do not intend to do so in the next two weeks are classified as not purchasing online. 4 Expected growth after COVID-19 compared to pre-COVID-19 slightly lower than previous waves due to respondents reporting higher online activity in pre-COVID-19 situation. 5 Data not available or low sample size (n < 30). 10 9 17 20 15 18 21 17 19 19 26 27 12 31 16 9 16 15 58 22 14 14 13 10 17 5 14 14 23 7 21 10 18 14 12 13 6 Groceries Snacks Tobacco Fitness & wellness OTC medicines Vitamins/supplements Personal-care products Furnishings & appliances Household supplies Jewelry Skin care & makeup Non-food child products Books/magazines/newspapers +14 Food takeout & delivery Consumer electronics N/A5 Footwear Accessories Apparel Entertainment at home Alcohol Pre-COVID-19 Expected growth after COVID-19 % growth in customers purchasing category most or all online +217% +157% +80% +68% +70% +99% +25% +80% +73% +117% +25% +76% +89% +46% +109% +153% +76% +88% +11% N/A5 ~65–150% growth in consumers who purchase most or all online for most categories4 Many consumers plan to shift their shopping habits almost completely to online Flight to digital and omnichannel Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n =531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
  • 10. McKinsey & Company 10 Have you used or done any of the following since COVID-19 started1 % of respondents 1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.” 11% 18% 4% 7% 13% 7% 5% 4% 9% 9% 5% 3% 37% 37% 9% 21% 18% 15% 6% 5% 27% 12% 8% 6% 16% 8% 5% 12% 5% 8% 3% 3% 16% 6% 5% 3% Store curbside pickup Restaurant curbside pickup Buy online for in-store pickup Used deal-finding plug-ins Quick-serve restaurant drive-thru Grocery delivery Restaurant delivery Purchased pre-owned products Used a new store/restaurant app In-store self-checkout Purchased directly from social media Meal-kit delivery Just started using Using more Using same/less Not using Flight to digital and omnichannel UAE consumers have adopted new shopping behaviors during COVID-19, including restaurant and grocery deliveries Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
  • 11. McKinsey & Company 11 55 69 53 70 10 57 85 50 0 83 1 80 59 60 61 63 30 65 70 67 71 73 77 75 79 81 90 87 0 100 Meal-kit delivery Deal-finding plug-ins Grocery delivery In-store self-checkout Restaurant curbside pickup Store curbside pickup Buy online for in-store pickup Quick-serve restaurant drive-thru Purchased pre-owned products online Purchased from social media Restaurant delivery New store/restaurant app Intent to use after COVID-191 Percent of new or increased users who intend to keep doing activity after COVID-19 1 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users. 2 User growth is calculated as % of respondents who replied that they are new users over % of respondents who replied that they were using the product/service pre-COVID-19 (using more, using the same, or using less). Flight to digital and omnichannel Shopping behaviors adopted during the crisis, including self-checkout and curbside pickup, are likely to remain in the medium to long term Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n =531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years Accelerated shifts Potentially here to stay Works for now User growth since COVID-19 2
  • 12. McKinsey & Company 12 Have you used any of the following since COVID-19 started1 % of respondents Almost all UAE consumers have adopted a new shopping behavior, and most intend to continue with it beyond the crisis 1 Q: Since the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started (i.e., in the past ~3 months), which of the following have you done? 5% consumers selected “none of these.” 2 “New shopping method” includes curbside pickup and delivery apps. 54% 51% 41% 39% 28% New shopping method2 Different retailer/store/website Different brand Private label/store brand New digital shopping method 95% Consumers have tried a new shopping behavior Shock to loyalty Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
  • 13. McKinsey & Company 13 More than 60 percent of consumers cite convenience and value as drivers for trying new places to shop Reason for shopping at a new retailer/store/website in the past three months1 % of respondents selecting reason in top three 1 Q: You mentioned you shopped from a new retailer/store/website since the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started. What was the main reason you decided to try this new retailer/store/website? Select up to 3. 32% 26% 23% 19% 41% 30% 28% 20% 7% 22% 17% 12% 5% More easily accessible from my home Less crowded / has shorter lines Better shipping/delivery costs Better prices/promotions Offers good delivery/pickup options Can get all the items I need from one place Better quality Better value Offers natural/organic options Products are in stock Cleaner / has better hygiene measures Supporting local businesses The company treats its employees well Convenience Purpose-driven Quality/organic Health/hygiene Availability Value x% Net % of respondents per category 69% 69% 22% 26% 16% 17% Shock to loyalty Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
  • 14. McKinsey & Company 14 More than three-fourths of consumers who tried a new brand cite value as key driver Reason for trying a new brand in the past three months1 % of respondents selecting reason in top three 1 Q: You mentioned you tried a new/different brand than what you normally buy. What was the main reason that drove this decision? Select up to 3. “Brand” includes different brand, new private label/store brand. Availability Value Health/hygiene Quality/organic Purpose-driven Convenience x% Net % of respondents per category 18% 85% 26% 44% 19% 18% Shock to loyalty Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years 57% 38% 23% 10% 34% 19% 26% 12% 8% 18% 18% Supporting local businesses Better shipping/delivery costs Better value Better prices/promotions Larger package sizes Better quality Is natural/organic Is available where I’m shopping The company treats its employees well Products are in stock Cleaner / has better hygiene measures
  • 15. McKinsey & Company 15 Consumers buying based on company behavior1 % of respondents 1 Q: Which best describes how often you are doing each of the following items? Possible answers: “doing less since coronavirus started”; “doing about the same since coronavirus started”; “doing more since coronavirus started.” Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Consumers are paying increased attention to companies’ purpose and value while buying 19% 25% 26% 30% 40% 64% 61% 62% 58% 51% 17% 14% 12% 12% 9% How companies take care of the safety of their employees Healthy and hygienic packaging 100% Company’s purpose/values Sustainable/eco-friendly products Retailers promotion of sustainable solutions Doing about the same Doing less Doing more Shock to loyalty Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
  • 16. McKinsey & Company 16 Milestones for the UAE population not yet engaging with out-of-home activities1 % of respondents awaiting each milestone before engaging Most UAE consumers are still waiting to see indicators beyond lifting of restrictions, but more are engaging in ‘normal’ out-of-home activities 1 Q: Which best describes when you will regularly return to stores, restaurants, and other out-of-home activities? Chart rebased to exclude those already participating in these activities and those who do not deem any of these items important. Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 52 13 35 Government lifts restrictions + other requirement Only once there’s a vaccine or treatment Government lifts restrictions Medical authorities deem safe 25% Stores, restaurants, and other indoor places start taking safety measures 19% I see other people returning 8% Government lifts restrictions and… 67% are not engaging in “normal” out-of-home activities, down from 90% Homebody economy ~8% of Emiratis will not engage in “normal” out-of-home activities until there is a vaccine or treatment Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
  • 17. McKinsey & Company 17 Most UAE consumers expressed concerns about traveling by airplane and attending large events Consumers’ level of concern undertaking various activities1 % of respondents 1 Q: How worried would you be if you were to do the following activities in the next two weeks? Possible answers: “not worried at all”; “not very worried”; “somewhat worried”; “very worried”; “extremely worried.”; figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Level of concern is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they “not worried” from “worried.” Level of concern2 44 38 37 26 35 17 21 15 7 3 13 10 4 -5 -7 -21 -14 -24 43% 44% 36% 35% 31% 31% 28% 30% 27% 26% 25% 25% 23% 22% 21% 18% 17% 18% 23% 38% 33% 42% 37% 42% 41% 40% 37% 40% 38% 37% 35% 37% 35% 32% 30% 29% 27% 30% 19% 23% 22% 28% 26% 28% 31% 34% 34% 36% 38% 40% 40% 43% 47% 53% 54% 56% 47% Use ride-sharing service Go to the gym or fitness studio Work outside my home Stay in a hotel Shop for groceries/necessities Drive more than 2 hours from home Get together with family Somewhat worried Shop for non-necessities Dine at a restaurant Go to a shopping mall Rent a short-term home Go to a hair or nail salon Go out for family entertainment Get together with friends Visit a crowded outdoor public place Attend a large event Use public transportation Use a clothing rental service Travel by airplane Worried Not worried Homebody economy Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years -3
  • 18. McKinsey & Company 18 Cleaning and sanitization are most important to consumers as they decide where to shop in-store Top priorities when deciding where to shop in-store1 % of respondents for whom this criterion is the most important2 1 Q: Once restrictions lift, which of the following factors will be most important to you as you decide which of these places to visit in person? Respondents were asked to select the most important. 2 The following categories are included in each bucket: Cleaning and sanitization—increased cleaning, improved air filtration, availability of sanitizing supplies throughout the store; Health checks—customer wellness check (e.g., temperature) on entry, employees' wellness check (e.g., temperature) on entry; Masks and barriers—customers and employees wear masks, customers and employees provided masks and gloves, plastic barrier with cashier; No-contact purchasing—curbside pick-up, cashier-less checkout, no-contact delivery, buy online for pickup in store; Physical distancing—customer number limit, distancing in customer line, reduced employee activity during shopping hours; Store regulations—no customer product testing, one-way store aisles, special hours for high-risk shoppers. Homebody economy Change since the first measure, percentage point +9 -7 +2 -1 -1 -1 27% 22% 18% 13% 12% 7% Masks and barriers Cleaning and sanitization Store regulations No-contact purchasing Physical distancing Health checks Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
  • 19. McKinsey & Company 19 UAE consumers intend to maintain their current level of engagement with out-of-home activities for the next two weeks Consumers’ engagement with activities outside home1,2 % of respondents 1 Q: Did you leave your house for the following activities over the past two weeks? Chart represents the percentage of respondents who indicated that they left home at least once during the past week to do this activity. 2 Q: For which of the following activities do you intend to leave your home to do in the next two weeks? Chart represents % of respondents who intend to leave their home to do this activity during the next two weeks. 79% 63% 50% 49% 39% 40% 39% 31% 28% 34% 33% 32% 20% 19% 16% Past 2 weeks Next 2 weeks There is a strong correlation between concern in participating in a particular out-of- home activity and intent to participate (R2~0.9), suggesting that out-of-home activity engagement is driven by individuals’ level of concern with the activity Homebody economy 78% 62% 54% 51% 41% 38% 35% 32% 31% 30% 29% 28% 20% 15% 13% Get together with family Shop for groceries/necessities Shop for non-necessities Go to the gym or fitness studio Dine at a restaurant Go to a hair or nail salon Get together with friends Attend a large event Visit a crowded outdoor public place Work outside my home Drive more than 2 hours away from home Travel by airplane Travel on public transportation Use ride-sharing service Go out for family entertainment Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
  • 20. McKinsey & Company 20 Somewhat unsafe Feel safe 23% 20% 57% Feel unsafe Top activities eager to get back to1 % of respondents for whom the activity is in their top 3 choices 41% Travel by airplane Go out for family entertainment 38% Get together with friends 32% 30% Get together with family 28% Visit a crowded outdoor public place 14% 24% Dine at a restaurant 19% Interact with coworkers in person 19% Attend a concert, sporting event, movies, etc. 18% Go to gym or fitness studio 15% Go to a hair or nail salon Shop for non-necessities at shopping mall/department store However, consumers are most eager to travel by airplane and get together with friends and family once COVID-19 subsides Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years Level of comfort with out-of-home activities, % of respondents 1 Q: What best describes your comfort participating in activities you did prior to COVID? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Q: What best describes your comfort participating in activities you did prior to COVID? If answered somewhat unsafe or unsafe, Q: Which of the following activities are you most eager to get back to on a regular basis? Select up to 3. Homebody economy
  • 21. McKinsey & Company 21 UAE consumers have picked up new digital and low-touch activities, including telemedicine, video chat, and online streaming 13% 9% 3% 4% 4% 6% 3% 3% 5% 2% 19% 9% 7% 5% 14% 11% 34% 26% 23% 20% 15% 12% 11% 6% 4% 3% 50% 22% 17% 16% 43% 18% 9% 8% 17% 18% 21% 9% 7% 5% 3% 3% 4% 8% 9% 5% 7% 8% TikTok Social media Video chat: personal Wellness app Playing online games Digital exercise machine Online fitness Telemedicine: mental Cooked regularly for myself/my family Watching e-sports Videoconferencing: professional Personal care/grooming at home Remote learning: my children Online streaming Remote learning: myself Telemedicine: physical Not using Just started using Using less / the same Using more Have you used or done any of the following since COVID-19 started1 % of respondents Intent to continue,2 % 66% 52% 61% 57% 40% 67% 67% 62% 61% 65% 52% 85% 64% 44% 51% 56% 1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.” 2 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “ will increase this” among new or increased users. Homebody economy Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years
  • 22. McKinsey & Company 22 User growth since COVID-19 2 Intent to use after COVID-191 Percent of new or increased users who intend to keep doing activity after COVID-19 1 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users. 2 User growth is calculated as % of respondents who replied that they are new users over % of respondents who replied that they were using the product/service pre-COVID-19 (using more, using the same, or using less). Online streaming, social media, and cooking habits adopted during the crisis are likely to remain in the medium to long term Homebody economy 83 48 42 110 44 0 120 40 41 43 60 45 46 47 50 20 130 55 140 60 190 85 65 160 10 70 75 170 0 80 200 81 82 150 70 84 30 50 80 90 180 100 Wellness app Videoconferencing: professional TikTok Video chat: personal Online streaming Watching e-sports Remote learning: my children Telemedicine: physical Online fitness Telemedicine: mental Digital exercise machine Used social media Remote learning: myself Cooked regularly Personal care/grooming at home Playing online games Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years Works for now Accelerated shifts Potentially here to stay
  • 23. McKinsey & Company 23 Delivery services and online streaming have gotten the most new and increased users since COVID-19 1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.” 2 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users. 3 Change since first survey is calculated by dividing the difference in % new/increased users between September 2020 and April 2020 by the April 2020 figure. Have you started/increased usage since COVID-19 started1,2 % of respondents 53 45 43 40 38 36 34 30 26 21 34 23 23 10 8 21 18 11 5 Buy online for in-store pickup Restaurant delivery Online fitness Restaurant curbside pickup Grocery delivery Quick-serve restaurant drive-thru Telemedicine: physical Remote learning: my children Telemedicine: mental Online streaming In-store self-checkout Store curbside pickup Wellness app Videoconferencing: professional Remote learning: myself Video chat: personal Playing online games TikTok Watching e-sports Change since April survey,3 % New / increased users Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years 29% 24% 24% N/A N/A 66% -2% 100% 48% 17% 6% 10% N/A N/A 24% N/A 29% -17% 22% Homebody economy
  • 24. McKinsey & Company 24 34% 60% In-person only 6% Hybrid Online only 1 Q: What education format is your child/children’s school primarily using today? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Q: Please indicate how strongly you agree or disagree with each of the following statements. Statements include: “I expect remote learning to be a key education format for formal and/or informal education for the next 3 months”; “Given the uncertainty of school openings, I am planning to spend more on at-home learning tools and equipment (e.g., tutoring services, desk equipment, electronics)”; “I have cut back my work hours given my child/children’s at-home learning needs.” Rated from 1 “strongly disagree” to 6 “strongly agree.” Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Remote learning is widespread but families expect it to end soon, and are not investing heavily in at-home learning tools Education format1 % of respondents Homebody economy Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years 18 13 9 Expect online to continue for 3+ months Reduce work hours Invest in at-home learning tools Agree/Strongly agree Change in beliefs/behaviors for those with children in remote learning,2 % of respondents ~94% of children in some form of remote learning
  • 25. McKinsey & Company 25 1 Q: Please indicate how strongly you agree or disagree with each of the following statements: “I have cut back my work hours given my child/children’s at-home learning needs.” Rated from 1 “strongly disagree” to 6 “strongly agree.” Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 UAE Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 531, sampled and weighted to match the UAE general population 18+ years 34 Overall Agree/Strongly agree Less USD 50K More than USD 100K USD 50-100K 9 19 47 Reduction in work hours for those with children in remote learning1 % of respondents, annual salary in USD Forty-seven percent of families with children have reduced work hours to meet at-home learning needs Homebody economy 47% of high-income families have reduced work hours
  • 26. McKinsey & Company 26 Disclaimer McKinsey does not provide legal, medical, or other regulated advice or guarantee results. These materials reflect general insight and best practice based on information currently available and do not contain all of the information needed to determine a future course of action. Such information has not been generated or independently verified by McKinsey and is inherently uncertain and subject to change. McKinsey has no obligation to update these materials and makes no representation or warranty and expressly disclaims any liability with respect thereto.

Editor's Notes

  1. % who started using/increased usage that intend to continue