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McKinsey & Company 1
The survey results show four fundamental shifts to consumer
behavior, some of which will have a lasting impact
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529; sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
Up to 35%
net increase in intent to
spend online even post
COVID
2. Flight to digital
and omnichannel
25-40%
of consumers (net) say
they will decrease spend
on discretionary categories
1. Shift to value
and essentials
93%
of consumers have
changed stores,
brands or the way
they shop
3. Shock to
loyalty
72%
of KSA consumers are
not yet resuming
“normal” out-of-home
activities
4. Homebody
economy
McKinsey & Company 2
Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191
% of respondents
1 Q: How is your overall confidence level in economic conditions after the COVID-19 situation? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Bars may not sum to 100% due to rounding.
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey
UK
11/9–16
Italy
11/9–16
Brazil
11/9–16
France
11/9–16
7 13 12 15 18
31 33 37 33
26
31 40
46 51
53
59
52 54 52 60
72
62 58
41 38 33
23 17 13 11 7
2
USA
2
KSA
US
11/9–13
Japan
11/9–15
India
11/9–20
China
11/9–22
Unsure: The economy will be
impacted for 6–12 months or
longer and will stagnate or
show slow growth thereafter
Pessimistic: COVID-19 will
have lasting impact on the
economy and show regression/
fall into lengthy recession
Optimistic: The economy will
rebound within 2–3 months and
grow just as strong as or
stronger than before COVID-19
Germany
11/9–13
Shift to value and essentials
Saudi consumers are more optimistic about economic recovery, as
compared to consumers in other countries
KSA
1/25–10/2
Mexico
11/9–17
McKinsey & Company 3
Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191
% of respondents
1 Q: How is your overall confidence level in economic conditions after the COVID-19 situation? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic”; figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529; Survey 6/16–6/18/2020, n = 514; 4/24–4/29/2020, n = 508; 4/3–4/6/2020, n = 510; 3/23–3/26/2020, n = 510,
sampled and weighted to match KSA's general population 18+ years
12% 3% 6% 4% 2%
30%
32%
32% 35%
26%
58%
65% 62% 61%
72%
Jun 16-18
Apr 26-29
Mar 23-26 Apr 3-6 Jan 25-Feb 10
Saudi Arabia
Mixed: The economy will
be impacted for 6–12
months or longer and will
stagnate or show slow
growth thereafter
Pessimistic: COVID-19
will have lasting impact
on the economy and
show regression / fall into
lengthy recession
Optimistic: The economy
will rebound within 2–3
months and grow just as
strong as or stronger than
before COVID-19
Shift to value and essentials
Optimism regarding Saudi economic recovery is growing at an even
faster rate than earlier in the pandemic
McKinsey & Company 4
1 Q: How long do you believe you need to adjust your routines, given the current COVID-19 situation, before things return back to normal (e.g., government lifts restrictions on events/travel)? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Q: How long do you believe your personal/household finances will be impacted by the COVID-19 situation? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529; 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
11%
2–3 months 21%
34%
0–1 month
26%
13%
4–6 months
7–12 months
More than one year
14%
29%
21%
16%
More than one year
7–12 months
15%
5%
2–3 months
No impact
0–1 month
4–6 months
Adjustments to routines1
% of respondents
Impact on personal/household finances2
% of respondents
~73%
believe it will take
another 4+ months
before routines can
return to normal, in line
with 45% in the last
pulse survey
~66%
believe their finances will
be impacted for another
4+ months by the
COVID-19 situation, up
from 55% in the last
pulse survey
Shift to value and essentials
Saudi consumers increasingly continue to believe that personal and
financial impacts from COVID-19 will last longer than four more months
McKinsey & Company 5
Household income1,2
% of respondents
1 Q: How has the COVID-19 situation affected your (family’s) overall available income, spending, and savings in the past two weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Q: How do you think your overall available income, spending, and savings may change in the next two weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Household spending1,2
% of respondents
January 25–February 10
Household savings1,2
% of respondents
Shift to value and essentials
Reduce slightly / reduce a lot About the same Increase slightly / increase a lot
9%
Past 2 weeks
57%
34%
Past 2 weeks
48%
7%
20%
45%
13%
67%
Next 2 weeks
17%
45%
Next 2 weeks
38%
56%
11%
Past 2 weeks Past 2 weeks
33%
17%
54%
29%
More Saudi consumers report increases in spending, however,
nearly half saw declines in income and savings
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529; Survey 6/16–6/18/2020, n = 514, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
23%
Past 2 weeks
42%
35%
33%
Past 2 weeks
34%
33%
22%
59%
19%
Next 2 weeks
June 16–18 January 25–February 10
June 16–18 June 16–18 January 25–February 10
McKinsey & Company 6
Change in shopping mindset since COVID-191
% of respondents
1 Q: Which best describes how often you are doing each of the following items? Possible answers: “doing less since coronavirus started”; “doing about the same since coronavirus started”; “doing more since coronavirus started”; figures
may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Shift to value and essentials
12%
13%
8%
19%
13%
47%
47%
55%
52%
57%
42%
40%
37%
30%
30%
100%
Looking for ways to save money when shopping
Spending time planning / making lists for shopping trips
Changing to less expensive products to save money
Researching brand and product choices before buying
Becoming more mindful of where I spend my money
Doing less Doing about the same Doing more
Saudis are looking for ways to save money and purchasing
less-expensive products
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 7
Expected spending per category over the next two weeks compared to usual1
% of respondents
1 Q: Over the next two weeks, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending.
3 Not included or insufficient sample (n = < 75) in first survey.
4 Based on small subset (n < 100) of sample population.
8
21
28
22
32
31
42
32
44
42
17
12
17
28
47
30
22
12
22
19
19
17
15
13
18
34
25
17
15
Accessories
Tobacco products
Groceries
Alcoholic beverages
Snacks
Food takeout & delivery
N/A
Quick-service restaurant
Restaurant
10
Footwear
Personal-care products
Apparel
Jewelry
Non-food child products
Household supplies
Skin care & makeup
Furnishing & appliances
Decrease
Stay the same
Increase
18
34
38
47
28
28
35
16
32
28
51
45
54
52
44
25
12
16
14
13
17
16
22
9
16
8
14
14
12
Personal-care services
Fitness & wellness
Books/magazines/newspapers
Travel by car
Entertainment at home
Out-of-home entertainment
Consumer electronics
Pet-care services
Gasoline
N/A
Vehicle purchases
Short-term home rentals
Cruises4
Adventures & tours
International flights
10
Hotel/resort stays
Domestic flights
Net intent2
Net intent2
+22
+1
+22
-32
-16
-1
N/A
-13
-12
-32
-16
-29
-29
+8
-11
-22
-22
-33
-15
-11
-19
+5
N/A
-23
-12
-43
-31
-40
-42
-32
+7
Net intent: Above +1
Net intent: -15 to 0
Net intent: Below -15
Change since
first survey
Change since
first survey
Shift to value and essentials
Spending on essentials remains at or close to pre-COVID-19 levels, but
most discretionary categories are still at -25 to -40 percent net intent
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529; 3/23–3/26/2020, n = 510, sampled and weighted to match KSA's general population 18+ years
+1
-15%
-11%
-16%
16%
4%
11%
NA
32%
54%
19%
29%
36%
32%
-5%
8%
19%
N/A3
22%
26%
44%
19%
44%
28%
47%
33%
59%
N/A3
19%
46%
34%
25%
4%
McKinsey & Company 8
More people expect to make a greater portion of their purchases
online once the pandemic subsides
Consumers’ use of online channel before and expected use after COVID-191,2
% of respondents purchasing online3
1 Q: Before the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started, what proportion of your purchases in this category were online vs from a physical store/in person?
2 Q: Once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided, tell us what proportion of your purchases in this category you think will be online vs from a physical store/in person?
3 Includes respondents who chose “some online,” “most online,” and “all online.” Respondents who indicated that they have not bought the category online and do not intend to do so in the next two weeks are classified as not purchasing online.
4 Expected growth after COVID-19 compared to pre-COVID-19 slightly lower than previous waves due to respondents reporting higher online activity in pre-COVID-19 situation.
47
42
53
49
55
52
47
56
67
45
62
56
62
63
68
67
85
74
49
+66
Skin care & makeup
Non-food child products
+63
Groceries
Food takeout & delivery
+71
Snacks
Jewelry
+78
+56
+72
Furnishing & appliances
Footwear
+73
+68
Personal-care products
+60
Alcoholic beverages
Apparel
Household supplies
+71
Books/magazines/newspapers
+82
Consumer electronics
+78
+72
Over-the-counter medicines
+73
+54
Vitamins/supplements
+66
Fitness & wellness
+74
Accessories
Entertainment at home
+61
Tobacco
N/A
+94
Pre-COVID-19 Expected growth after COVID-19
% growth in customers
purchasing category online
36%
35%
34%
34%
33%
30%
28%
28%
23%
20%
17%
17%
16%
15%
15%
11%
10%
6%
0%
N/A
Flight to digital and omnichannel
~10–35%
growth in consumers
who purchase online for
most categories4
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 9
Consumers’ use of online channel before and expected use after COVID-191,2
% of respondents purchasing most or all online3
1 Q: Before the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started, what proportion of your purchases in this category were online vs from a physical store/in person?
2 Q: Once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided, tell us what proportion of your purchases in this category you think will be online vs from a physical store/in person?
3 Respondents who indicated that they have not bought the category online and do not intend to do so in the next two weeks are classified as not purchasing online.
4 Expected growth after COVID-19 compared to pre-COVID-19 slightly lower than previous waves due to respondents reporting higher online activity in pre-COVID-19 situation.
18
19
21
24
22
23
20
23
17
24
20
20
29
20
24
26
28
32
66
+31
Apparel
Personal-care products +39
+43
+46
+48
Consumer electronics
+42
Skin care & makeup
+42
+43
Snacks
+36
Books/magazines/newspapers
Over-the-counter medicines
Footwear
Groceries
Tobacco
+42
N/A
+34
Jewelry
Furnishing & appliances
+33
Household essentials
Food takeout & delivery
+33
+38
Accessories
Fitness & wellness
+43
+52
Entertainment at Home
+41
+41
Non-food child products
+77
Alcoholic beverages
Vitamins/supplements
Pre-COVID-19 Expected growth after COVID-19
% growth in customers purchasing
category most or all online
186%
108%
106%
95%
92%
89%
84%
83%
82%
73%
70%
66%
65%
62%
60%
56%
55%
29%
17%
0%
~50–110%
growth in consumers who
purchase most or all
online for most
categories4
Many consumers say they plan to shift their shopping almost
completely online
Flight to digital and omnichannel
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 10
Have you used or done any of the
following since COVID-19 started1
% of respondents
1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more
since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.”
2 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase
this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users.
14%
9%
9%
8%
14%
5%
6%
5%
9%
8%
7%
3%
35%
31%
19%
24%
23%
21%
6%
6%
26%
18%
10%
8%
12%
16%
6%
9%
7%
9%
3%
3%
13%
7%
3%
3%
Meal-kit delivery
Restaurant curbside pickup
Grocery delivery
Used a new store/restaurant app
Purchased pre-owned products
Purchased directly from social media
In-store self-checkout
Buy online for in-store pickup
Restaurant delivery
Used deal-finding plug-ins
Quick-serve restaurant drive-thru
Store curbside pickup
Just started using Using more Using same/less Not using
Flight to digital and omnichannel
Saudis have adopted new shopping behaviors during COVID-19,
including grocery delivery and using store or restaurant apps
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 11
0
100
69 75
74
61 64
59
1 80
60 62 63 65 66 68
67 73
70 76
71 77
72 83
79 81 85 87
0
50
Restaurant delivery
Grocery delivery
Meal-kit delivery
Quick-serve
restaurant
drive-thru
Buy online for in-store pickup
New store/restaurant app
Deal-finding plug-ins
Purchased from social media
Store curbside pickup
Purchased pre-owned products online
Restaurant curbside pickup
In-store self-checkout
Intent to use after COVID-191
Percent of new or increased users who intend to keep doing activity after COVID-19
User
growth
since
COVID-19
2
1 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.”
Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users.
2 User growth is calculated as % of respondents who replied that they are new users over % of respondents who replied that they were using the product/service pre-COVID-19 (using more, using the same, or using less).
Flight to digital and omnichannel
Many consumers adopted shopping behaviors during COVID-19
that they do not intend to continue after the pandemic subsides
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
Accelerated shifts
Potentially here to stay
Works for now
McKinsey & Company 12
Have you used any of the following since COVID-19 started1
% of respondents
The majority of Saudi consumers have adopted a new shopping
behavior during COVID-19
1 Q: Since the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started (i.e., in the past ~3 months), which of the following have you done? 7% consumers selected “none of these.”
2 “New shopping method” includes curbside pickup and delivery apps.
48%
48%
42%
39%
30%
New shopping method2
Different retailer/store/website
New digital shopping method
Private label/store brand
Different brand
93%
Consumers have tried
a new shopping
behavior
Shock to loyalty
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 13
More than 50 percent of consumers cite value and convenience as top
drivers for trying new places to shop
Reason for shopping at a new retailer/store/website in the past three months1
% of respondents selecting reason in top three
1 Q: You mentioned you shopped from a new retailer/store/website since the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started. What was the main reason you decided to try this new retailer/store/website? Select up to 3.
29%
27%
26%
24%
41%
24%
22%
18%
10%
22%
10%
8%
17%
Less crowded / has shorter lines
Better quality
Better shipping/delivery costs
Offers good delivery/pickup options
More easily accessible from my home
Can get all the items I need from one place
Better prices/promotions
Better value
Products are in stock
Offers natural/organic options
Supporting local businesses
Cleaner / has better hygiene measures
The company treats its employees well
Convenience
Purpose-driven
Quality/organic
Health/hygiene
Availability
Value
x% Net % of respondents per
category
68%
75%
22%
27%
18%
17%
Shock to loyalty
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 14
More than three-fourths of consumers who tried a new brand cite
value as a driver
Reason for trying a new brand in the past three months1
% of respondents selecting reason in top three
1 Q: You mentioned you tried a new/different brand than what you normally buy. What was the main reason that drove this decision? Select up to 3. “Brand” includes different brand, new private label/store brand.
x% Net % of respondents per
category
Availability 24%
Value 83%
Convenience 20%
Quality/organic 51%
Health/hygiene
Purpose-driven 22%
21%
Shock to loyalty
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
57%
36%
20%
11%
35%
25%
24%
14%
10%
21%
20%
Supporting local businesses
Better prices/promotions
Products are in stock
Better value
Better shipping/delivery costs
Larger package sizes
Better quality
Is natural/organic
The company treats its employees well
Cleaner / has better hygiene measures
Is available where I’m shopping
McKinsey & Company 15
Consumers buying based on company behavior1
% of respondents
1 Q: Which best describes how often you are doing each of the following items? Possible answers: “doing less since coronavirus started”; “doing about the same since coronavirus started”; “doing more since coronavirus started.”
Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Consumers are paying increased attention to hygienic packaging
and how companies treat their employees
10%
13%
12%
12%
14%
51%
51%
55%
61%
59%
39%
36%
33%
27%
26%
Sustainable/eco-friendly products
100%
How companies take care of the safety of their employees
Healthy and hygienic packaging
Company’s purpose/values
Retailers promotion of sustainable solutions
Doing less
Doing more
Doing about the same
Shock to loyalty
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 16
Milestones for the Saudi population not yet engaging with out-of-home activities1
% of respondents awaiting each milestone before engaging
More consumers are engaging in ‘normal’ out-of-home activities now,
but most consumers are still waiting for restrictions to be lifted
1 Q: Which best describes when you will regularly return to stores, restaurants, and other out-of-home activities? Chart rebased to exclude those already participating in these activities and those who do not deem any of these items important.
Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
47
9
44
Government lifts
restrictions + other
requirement
Only once there’s a
vaccine or treatment
Government lifts restrictions
Medical authorities deem safe 16%
Stores, restaurants, and other indoor
places start taking safety measures 12%
I see other people returning 5%
Government lifts restrictions and…
72%
are not
engaging in
“normal” out-of-
home activities,
down from 94%
Homebody economy
~7%
will not engage in
“normal” out-of-home
activities until there
is a vaccine or
treatment, down
from 15%
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 17
Saudi consumers most concerned about activities such as clothing
rental, using public transportation, and attending large events
Consumers’ level of concern undertaking various activities1
% of respondents
1 Q: How worried would you be if you were to do the following activities in the next two weeks? Possible answers: “not worried at all”; “not very worried”; “somewhat worried”; “very worried”; “extremely worried.”; figures may not sum to 100%
because of rounding.
2 Level of concern is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they “not worried at all” and “not very worried” from “very worried” and “extremely worried.”
Level of concern2
42
41
37
28
29
23
23
22
13
8
21
14
9
0
-5
-12
-7
-19
44%
37%
32%
33%
31%
28%
29%
29%
26%
24%
25%
23%
22%
22%
18%
22%
18%
17%
16%
31%
37%
43%
40%
39%
40%
34%
34%
34%
38%
28%
33%
33%
33%
36%
27%
28%
26%
26%
25%
26%
25%
28%
31%
33%
37%
38%
40%
38%
47%
45%
45%
45%
46%
51%
55%
57%
58%
Drive more than 2 hours from home
Shop for groceries/necessities
Shop for non-necessities
Rent a short-term home
Work outside my home
Get together with family
Go out for family entertainment
Somewhat worried
Go to a shopping mall
Stay in a hotel
Dine at a restaurant
Travel by airplane
Get together with friends
Go to the gym or fitness studio
Use ride-sharing service
Go to a hair or nail salon
Attend a large event
Visit a crowded outdoor public place
Use public transportation
Use a clothing rental service
Worried
Not worried
Homebody economy
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
5
McKinsey & Company 18
Protective measures and sanitization are most important to consumers
as they decide where to shop in-store
Top priorities when deciding where to shop in-store1
% of respondents for whom this criterion is the most important2
1 Q: Once restrictions lift, which of the following factors will be most important to you as you decide which of these places to visit in person? Respondents were asked to select the most important.
2 The following categories are included in each bucket: Cleaning and sanitization—increased cleaning, improved air filtration, availability of sanitizing supplies throughout the store; Health checks—customer wellness check (e.g., temperature) on
entry, employees' wellness check (e.g., temperature) on entry; Masks and barriers—customers and employees wear masks, customers and employees provided masks and gloves, plastic barrier with cashier; No-contact purchasing—curbside
pick-up, cashier-less checkout, no-contact delivery, buy online for pickup in store; Physical distancing—customer number limit, distancing in customer line, reduced employee activity during shopping hours; Store regulations—no customer product
testing, one-way store aisles, special hours for high-risk shoppers.
Homebody economy
Change since the
first measure,
percentage point
+9
-7
+2
-1
-1
-1
23%
21%
18%
18%
13%
8%
No-contact purchasing
Health checks
Cleaning and sanitization
Masks and barriers
Store regulations
Physical distancing
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 19
Saudis intend to maintain their current level of engagement with
out-of-home activities for the next two weeks
Consumers’ engagement with activities outside home1,2
% of respondents
1 Q: Did you leave your house for the following activities over the past two weeks? Chart represents the percentage of respondents who indicated that they left home at least once during the past week to do this activity.
2 Q: For which of the following activities do you intend to leave your home to do in the next two weeks? Chart represents % of respondents who intend to leave their home to do this activity during the next two weeks.
76%
61%
57%
45%
47%
42%
45%
36%
35%
33%
30%
31%
23%
23%
22%
Past 2 weeks Next 2 weeks
There is a strong
correlation between
concern in participating
in a particular out-of-
home activity and
intent to participate
(R2~0.9), suggesting that
out-of-home activity
engagement is driven by
individuals’ level of
concern with the activity
Homebody economy
81%
63%
59%
48%
48%
47%
40%
37%
34%
33%
31%
27%
19%
19%
16%
Drive more than 2 hours away from home
Dine at a restaurant
Get together with family
Shop for groceries/necessities
Work outside my home
Go out for family entertainment
Attend a large event
Shop for non-necessities
Visit a crowded outdoor public place
Get together with friends
Go to a hair or nail salon
Use ride-sharing service
Go to the gym or fitness studio
Travel by airplane
Travel on public transportation
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 20
26%
22%
52%
Feel unsafe
Somewhat
unsafe
Feel safe
Top activities eager to get back to1
% of respondents for whom the activity is in their top 3 choices
Get together with friends
35%
32%
Travel by airplane
Get together with family
34%
32%
Go out for family entertainment
30%
Dine at a restaurant
24%
Visit a crowded outdoor public place
21%
Interact with coworkers in person
21%
17%
17%
Go to gym or fitness studio
Go to a hair or nail salon
Shop for non-necessities
at shopping mall/department store
17%
Attend a concert, sporting event, movies, etc.
Saudis are most eager to return to air travel, getting together with
friends and family, and going out for entertainment
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
Level of comfort with out-of-home
activities, % of respondents
1 Q: What best describes your comfort participating in activities you did prior to COVID? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Q: What best describes your comfort participating in activities you did prior to COVID? If answered somewhat unsafe or unsafe, Q: Which of the following activities are you most eager to get back to on a regular basis? Select up to 3.
Homebody economy
McKinsey & Company 21
Saudis have acquired at-home alternatives to out-of-home
activities, such as remote learning and videoconferencing
12%
12%
9%
6%
5%
4%
6%
4%
4%
21%
10%
8%
8%
13%
11%
29%
24%
18%
18%
15%
11%
10%
8%
6%
5%
44%
22%
18%
16%
38%
23%
10%
9%
16%
22%
15%
7%
9%
2%
4%
3%
9%
8%
6%
9%
10%
8%
TikTok
Playing online games
Online streaming
Remote learning: my children
Telemedicine: physical
Social media
Wellness app
2%
Telemedicine: mental
Remote learning: myself
Videoconferencing: professional
Watching e-sports
Cooked regularly for myself/my family
Video chat: personal
Digital exercise machine
Personal care/grooming at home
Online fitness
Not using Using less / the same Using more Just started using
Have you used or done any of the
following since COVID-19 started1
% of respondents
Intent to
continue,2 %
69%
53%
69%
66%
58%
80%
79%
73%
53%
67%
63%
83%
69%
54%
55%
66%
1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more
since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.”
2 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase
this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “ will increase this” among new or increased users.
Homebody economy
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 22
User
growth
since
COVID-19
2
Intent to use after COVID-191
Percent of new or increased users who intend to keep doing activity after COVID-19
1 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.”
Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users.
2 User growth is calculated as % of respondents who replied that they are new users over % of respondents who replied that they were using the product/service pre-COVID-19 (using more, using the same, or using less).
Online streaming, fitness, and wellness habits adopted during the
pandemic are likely to remain in the medium to long term
Homebody economy
75
70
100
60
150
0 65
55 80 81 82 83
200
0
50
Personal care/grooming at home
Watching e-sports
Used social media
Remote learning: myself
Videoconferencing: professional
Online streaming
Telemedicine: physical
Online fitness
Telemedicine: mental
Playing online games
Remote learning: my children
Video chat: personal
Cooked regularly
Wellness app
TikTok Digital exercise machine
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
Works for now
Accelerated shifts
Potentially here to stay
McKinsey & Company 23
Delivery and video-chat activities, including remote learning, continue
to grow among Saudi consumers
1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more
since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.”
2 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase
this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users.
3 Change since first survey is calculated by dividing the difference in % new / increase users between Sep’19 and Apr’19 by the Apr’19 figure
Have you started/increased usage since COVID-19 started1,2
% of respondents
46
46
40
34
32
30
39
33
30
30
9
9
31
25
24
19
17
8
Grocery delivery
TikTok
Restaurant delivery
Remote learning: my children
Remote learning: myself
Video chat: personal
Videoconferencing: professional
Online streaming
Buy online for in-store pickup
Quick-serve restaurant drive-thru
In-store self-checkout
Store curbside pickup
Restaurant curbside pickup
Playing online games
Watching e-sports
Online fitness
Wellness app
Telemedicine: mental
Change since
April survey,3 %
New/increased users
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529; 4/3–4/6/2020, n = 510, sampled and weighted to match the US general population 18+ years
24%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
62%
-2%
3%
17%
6%
77%
N/A
-38%
24%
-14%
3%
-2%
116%
Homebody economy
McKinsey & Company 24
14
83
Hybrid
100
3
Online only
In-person only
1 Q: What education format is your child/children’s school primarily using today? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Q: Please indicate how strongly you agree or disagree with each of the following statements. Statements include: “I expect remote learning to be a key education format for formal and/or informal education for the next 3 months”, “Given
the uncertainty of school openings, I am planning to spend more on at-home learning tools and equipment (e.g., tutoring services, desk equipment, electronics)”, “I have cut back my work hours given my child/children’s at-home
learning needs.” Rated from strongly disagree to 6 strongly agree. Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Remote learning is widespread and families expect it to continue;
many are making accommodations for it
Education format1
% of respondents
Homebody economy
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
56
43
33
Invest in at-home
learning tools
Expect online to
continue for 3+ months
Agree/Strongly agree
Reduce work hours
Change in beliefs/behaviors for those with children in remote
learning,2 % of respondents
~97%
of children in
some form of
remote learning
McKinsey & Company 25
1 Q: Please indicate how strongly you agree or disagree with each of the following statements: “I have cut back my work hours given my child/children’s at-home
learning needs.” Rated from strongly disagree to 6 strongly agree. Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
38
Overall
Less USD 50K
USD 50-100K
Agree/Strongly agree
More than
USD 100K
33
33
40
Reduction in work hours for those with children in remote learning1
% of respondents, annual salary in USD
One-third of families with children have reduced their work hours
to meet at-home learning needs
Homebody economy
40%
of high-income
families have reduced
work hours
McKinsey & Company 26
Disclaimer
McKinsey does not provide legal, medical, or other regulated advice or
guarantee results. These materials reflect general insight and best practice
based on information currently available and do not contain all of the
information needed to determine a future course of action. Such information
has not been generated or independently verified by McKinsey and is
inherently uncertain and subject to change. McKinsey has no obligation to
update these materials and makes no representation or warranty and
expressly disclaims any liability with respect thereto.

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McKinsey Survey: Saudi consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

  • 1. McKinsey & Company 1 The survey results show four fundamental shifts to consumer behavior, some of which will have a lasting impact Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529; sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years Up to 35% net increase in intent to spend online even post COVID 2. Flight to digital and omnichannel 25-40% of consumers (net) say they will decrease spend on discretionary categories 1. Shift to value and essentials 93% of consumers have changed stores, brands or the way they shop 3. Shock to loyalty 72% of KSA consumers are not yet resuming “normal” out-of-home activities 4. Homebody economy
  • 2. McKinsey & Company 2 Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191 % of respondents 1 Q: How is your overall confidence level in economic conditions after the COVID-19 situation? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic.” Bars may not sum to 100% due to rounding. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey UK 11/9–16 Italy 11/9–16 Brazil 11/9–16 France 11/9–16 7 13 12 15 18 31 33 37 33 26 31 40 46 51 53 59 52 54 52 60 72 62 58 41 38 33 23 17 13 11 7 2 USA 2 KSA US 11/9–13 Japan 11/9–15 India 11/9–20 China 11/9–22 Unsure: The economy will be impacted for 6–12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter Pessimistic: COVID-19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show regression/ fall into lengthy recession Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 2–3 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 Germany 11/9–13 Shift to value and essentials Saudi consumers are more optimistic about economic recovery, as compared to consumers in other countries KSA 1/25–10/2 Mexico 11/9–17
  • 3. McKinsey & Company 3 Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191 % of respondents 1 Q: How is your overall confidence level in economic conditions after the COVID-19 situation? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic”; figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529; Survey 6/16–6/18/2020, n = 514; 4/24–4/29/2020, n = 508; 4/3–4/6/2020, n = 510; 3/23–3/26/2020, n = 510, sampled and weighted to match KSA's general population 18+ years 12% 3% 6% 4% 2% 30% 32% 32% 35% 26% 58% 65% 62% 61% 72% Jun 16-18 Apr 26-29 Mar 23-26 Apr 3-6 Jan 25-Feb 10 Saudi Arabia Mixed: The economy will be impacted for 6–12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter Pessimistic: COVID-19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show regression / fall into lengthy recession Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 2–3 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 Shift to value and essentials Optimism regarding Saudi economic recovery is growing at an even faster rate than earlier in the pandemic
  • 4. McKinsey & Company 4 1 Q: How long do you believe you need to adjust your routines, given the current COVID-19 situation, before things return back to normal (e.g., government lifts restrictions on events/travel)? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Q: How long do you believe your personal/household finances will be impacted by the COVID-19 situation? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529; 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years 11% 2–3 months 21% 34% 0–1 month 26% 13% 4–6 months 7–12 months More than one year 14% 29% 21% 16% More than one year 7–12 months 15% 5% 2–3 months No impact 0–1 month 4–6 months Adjustments to routines1 % of respondents Impact on personal/household finances2 % of respondents ~73% believe it will take another 4+ months before routines can return to normal, in line with 45% in the last pulse survey ~66% believe their finances will be impacted for another 4+ months by the COVID-19 situation, up from 55% in the last pulse survey Shift to value and essentials Saudi consumers increasingly continue to believe that personal and financial impacts from COVID-19 will last longer than four more months
  • 5. McKinsey & Company 5 Household income1,2 % of respondents 1 Q: How has the COVID-19 situation affected your (family’s) overall available income, spending, and savings in the past two weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Q: How do you think your overall available income, spending, and savings may change in the next two weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Household spending1,2 % of respondents January 25–February 10 Household savings1,2 % of respondents Shift to value and essentials Reduce slightly / reduce a lot About the same Increase slightly / increase a lot 9% Past 2 weeks 57% 34% Past 2 weeks 48% 7% 20% 45% 13% 67% Next 2 weeks 17% 45% Next 2 weeks 38% 56% 11% Past 2 weeks Past 2 weeks 33% 17% 54% 29% More Saudi consumers report increases in spending, however, nearly half saw declines in income and savings Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529; Survey 6/16–6/18/2020, n = 514, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years 23% Past 2 weeks 42% 35% 33% Past 2 weeks 34% 33% 22% 59% 19% Next 2 weeks June 16–18 January 25–February 10 June 16–18 June 16–18 January 25–February 10
  • 6. McKinsey & Company 6 Change in shopping mindset since COVID-191 % of respondents 1 Q: Which best describes how often you are doing each of the following items? Possible answers: “doing less since coronavirus started”; “doing about the same since coronavirus started”; “doing more since coronavirus started”; figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Shift to value and essentials 12% 13% 8% 19% 13% 47% 47% 55% 52% 57% 42% 40% 37% 30% 30% 100% Looking for ways to save money when shopping Spending time planning / making lists for shopping trips Changing to less expensive products to save money Researching brand and product choices before buying Becoming more mindful of where I spend my money Doing less Doing about the same Doing more Saudis are looking for ways to save money and purchasing less-expensive products Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
  • 7. McKinsey & Company 7 Expected spending per category over the next two weeks compared to usual1 % of respondents 1 Q: Over the next two weeks, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending. 3 Not included or insufficient sample (n = < 75) in first survey. 4 Based on small subset (n < 100) of sample population. 8 21 28 22 32 31 42 32 44 42 17 12 17 28 47 30 22 12 22 19 19 17 15 13 18 34 25 17 15 Accessories Tobacco products Groceries Alcoholic beverages Snacks Food takeout & delivery N/A Quick-service restaurant Restaurant 10 Footwear Personal-care products Apparel Jewelry Non-food child products Household supplies Skin care & makeup Furnishing & appliances Decrease Stay the same Increase 18 34 38 47 28 28 35 16 32 28 51 45 54 52 44 25 12 16 14 13 17 16 22 9 16 8 14 14 12 Personal-care services Fitness & wellness Books/magazines/newspapers Travel by car Entertainment at home Out-of-home entertainment Consumer electronics Pet-care services Gasoline N/A Vehicle purchases Short-term home rentals Cruises4 Adventures & tours International flights 10 Hotel/resort stays Domestic flights Net intent2 Net intent2 +22 +1 +22 -32 -16 -1 N/A -13 -12 -32 -16 -29 -29 +8 -11 -22 -22 -33 -15 -11 -19 +5 N/A -23 -12 -43 -31 -40 -42 -32 +7 Net intent: Above +1 Net intent: -15 to 0 Net intent: Below -15 Change since first survey Change since first survey Shift to value and essentials Spending on essentials remains at or close to pre-COVID-19 levels, but most discretionary categories are still at -25 to -40 percent net intent Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529; 3/23–3/26/2020, n = 510, sampled and weighted to match KSA's general population 18+ years +1 -15% -11% -16% 16% 4% 11% NA 32% 54% 19% 29% 36% 32% -5% 8% 19% N/A3 22% 26% 44% 19% 44% 28% 47% 33% 59% N/A3 19% 46% 34% 25% 4%
  • 8. McKinsey & Company 8 More people expect to make a greater portion of their purchases online once the pandemic subsides Consumers’ use of online channel before and expected use after COVID-191,2 % of respondents purchasing online3 1 Q: Before the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started, what proportion of your purchases in this category were online vs from a physical store/in person? 2 Q: Once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided, tell us what proportion of your purchases in this category you think will be online vs from a physical store/in person? 3 Includes respondents who chose “some online,” “most online,” and “all online.” Respondents who indicated that they have not bought the category online and do not intend to do so in the next two weeks are classified as not purchasing online. 4 Expected growth after COVID-19 compared to pre-COVID-19 slightly lower than previous waves due to respondents reporting higher online activity in pre-COVID-19 situation. 47 42 53 49 55 52 47 56 67 45 62 56 62 63 68 67 85 74 49 +66 Skin care & makeup Non-food child products +63 Groceries Food takeout & delivery +71 Snacks Jewelry +78 +56 +72 Furnishing & appliances Footwear +73 +68 Personal-care products +60 Alcoholic beverages Apparel Household supplies +71 Books/magazines/newspapers +82 Consumer electronics +78 +72 Over-the-counter medicines +73 +54 Vitamins/supplements +66 Fitness & wellness +74 Accessories Entertainment at home +61 Tobacco N/A +94 Pre-COVID-19 Expected growth after COVID-19 % growth in customers purchasing category online 36% 35% 34% 34% 33% 30% 28% 28% 23% 20% 17% 17% 16% 15% 15% 11% 10% 6% 0% N/A Flight to digital and omnichannel ~10–35% growth in consumers who purchase online for most categories4 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
  • 9. McKinsey & Company 9 Consumers’ use of online channel before and expected use after COVID-191,2 % of respondents purchasing most or all online3 1 Q: Before the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started, what proportion of your purchases in this category were online vs from a physical store/in person? 2 Q: Once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided, tell us what proportion of your purchases in this category you think will be online vs from a physical store/in person? 3 Respondents who indicated that they have not bought the category online and do not intend to do so in the next two weeks are classified as not purchasing online. 4 Expected growth after COVID-19 compared to pre-COVID-19 slightly lower than previous waves due to respondents reporting higher online activity in pre-COVID-19 situation. 18 19 21 24 22 23 20 23 17 24 20 20 29 20 24 26 28 32 66 +31 Apparel Personal-care products +39 +43 +46 +48 Consumer electronics +42 Skin care & makeup +42 +43 Snacks +36 Books/magazines/newspapers Over-the-counter medicines Footwear Groceries Tobacco +42 N/A +34 Jewelry Furnishing & appliances +33 Household essentials Food takeout & delivery +33 +38 Accessories Fitness & wellness +43 +52 Entertainment at Home +41 +41 Non-food child products +77 Alcoholic beverages Vitamins/supplements Pre-COVID-19 Expected growth after COVID-19 % growth in customers purchasing category most or all online 186% 108% 106% 95% 92% 89% 84% 83% 82% 73% 70% 66% 65% 62% 60% 56% 55% 29% 17% 0% ~50–110% growth in consumers who purchase most or all online for most categories4 Many consumers say they plan to shift their shopping almost completely online Flight to digital and omnichannel Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
  • 10. McKinsey & Company 10 Have you used or done any of the following since COVID-19 started1 % of respondents 1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.” 2 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users. 14% 9% 9% 8% 14% 5% 6% 5% 9% 8% 7% 3% 35% 31% 19% 24% 23% 21% 6% 6% 26% 18% 10% 8% 12% 16% 6% 9% 7% 9% 3% 3% 13% 7% 3% 3% Meal-kit delivery Restaurant curbside pickup Grocery delivery Used a new store/restaurant app Purchased pre-owned products Purchased directly from social media In-store self-checkout Buy online for in-store pickup Restaurant delivery Used deal-finding plug-ins Quick-serve restaurant drive-thru Store curbside pickup Just started using Using more Using same/less Not using Flight to digital and omnichannel Saudis have adopted new shopping behaviors during COVID-19, including grocery delivery and using store or restaurant apps Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
  • 11. McKinsey & Company 11 0 100 69 75 74 61 64 59 1 80 60 62 63 65 66 68 67 73 70 76 71 77 72 83 79 81 85 87 0 50 Restaurant delivery Grocery delivery Meal-kit delivery Quick-serve restaurant drive-thru Buy online for in-store pickup New store/restaurant app Deal-finding plug-ins Purchased from social media Store curbside pickup Purchased pre-owned products online Restaurant curbside pickup In-store self-checkout Intent to use after COVID-191 Percent of new or increased users who intend to keep doing activity after COVID-19 User growth since COVID-19 2 1 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users. 2 User growth is calculated as % of respondents who replied that they are new users over % of respondents who replied that they were using the product/service pre-COVID-19 (using more, using the same, or using less). Flight to digital and omnichannel Many consumers adopted shopping behaviors during COVID-19 that they do not intend to continue after the pandemic subsides Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years Accelerated shifts Potentially here to stay Works for now
  • 12. McKinsey & Company 12 Have you used any of the following since COVID-19 started1 % of respondents The majority of Saudi consumers have adopted a new shopping behavior during COVID-19 1 Q: Since the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started (i.e., in the past ~3 months), which of the following have you done? 7% consumers selected “none of these.” 2 “New shopping method” includes curbside pickup and delivery apps. 48% 48% 42% 39% 30% New shopping method2 Different retailer/store/website New digital shopping method Private label/store brand Different brand 93% Consumers have tried a new shopping behavior Shock to loyalty Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
  • 13. McKinsey & Company 13 More than 50 percent of consumers cite value and convenience as top drivers for trying new places to shop Reason for shopping at a new retailer/store/website in the past three months1 % of respondents selecting reason in top three 1 Q: You mentioned you shopped from a new retailer/store/website since the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation started. What was the main reason you decided to try this new retailer/store/website? Select up to 3. 29% 27% 26% 24% 41% 24% 22% 18% 10% 22% 10% 8% 17% Less crowded / has shorter lines Better quality Better shipping/delivery costs Offers good delivery/pickup options More easily accessible from my home Can get all the items I need from one place Better prices/promotions Better value Products are in stock Offers natural/organic options Supporting local businesses Cleaner / has better hygiene measures The company treats its employees well Convenience Purpose-driven Quality/organic Health/hygiene Availability Value x% Net % of respondents per category 68% 75% 22% 27% 18% 17% Shock to loyalty Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
  • 14. McKinsey & Company 14 More than three-fourths of consumers who tried a new brand cite value as a driver Reason for trying a new brand in the past three months1 % of respondents selecting reason in top three 1 Q: You mentioned you tried a new/different brand than what you normally buy. What was the main reason that drove this decision? Select up to 3. “Brand” includes different brand, new private label/store brand. x% Net % of respondents per category Availability 24% Value 83% Convenience 20% Quality/organic 51% Health/hygiene Purpose-driven 22% 21% Shock to loyalty Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years 57% 36% 20% 11% 35% 25% 24% 14% 10% 21% 20% Supporting local businesses Better prices/promotions Products are in stock Better value Better shipping/delivery costs Larger package sizes Better quality Is natural/organic The company treats its employees well Cleaner / has better hygiene measures Is available where I’m shopping
  • 15. McKinsey & Company 15 Consumers buying based on company behavior1 % of respondents 1 Q: Which best describes how often you are doing each of the following items? Possible answers: “doing less since coronavirus started”; “doing about the same since coronavirus started”; “doing more since coronavirus started.” Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Consumers are paying increased attention to hygienic packaging and how companies treat their employees 10% 13% 12% 12% 14% 51% 51% 55% 61% 59% 39% 36% 33% 27% 26% Sustainable/eco-friendly products 100% How companies take care of the safety of their employees Healthy and hygienic packaging Company’s purpose/values Retailers promotion of sustainable solutions Doing less Doing more Doing about the same Shock to loyalty Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
  • 16. McKinsey & Company 16 Milestones for the Saudi population not yet engaging with out-of-home activities1 % of respondents awaiting each milestone before engaging More consumers are engaging in ‘normal’ out-of-home activities now, but most consumers are still waiting for restrictions to be lifted 1 Q: Which best describes when you will regularly return to stores, restaurants, and other out-of-home activities? Chart rebased to exclude those already participating in these activities and those who do not deem any of these items important. Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 47 9 44 Government lifts restrictions + other requirement Only once there’s a vaccine or treatment Government lifts restrictions Medical authorities deem safe 16% Stores, restaurants, and other indoor places start taking safety measures 12% I see other people returning 5% Government lifts restrictions and… 72% are not engaging in “normal” out-of- home activities, down from 94% Homebody economy ~7% will not engage in “normal” out-of-home activities until there is a vaccine or treatment, down from 15% Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
  • 17. McKinsey & Company 17 Saudi consumers most concerned about activities such as clothing rental, using public transportation, and attending large events Consumers’ level of concern undertaking various activities1 % of respondents 1 Q: How worried would you be if you were to do the following activities in the next two weeks? Possible answers: “not worried at all”; “not very worried”; “somewhat worried”; “very worried”; “extremely worried.”; figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Level of concern is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they “not worried at all” and “not very worried” from “very worried” and “extremely worried.” Level of concern2 42 41 37 28 29 23 23 22 13 8 21 14 9 0 -5 -12 -7 -19 44% 37% 32% 33% 31% 28% 29% 29% 26% 24% 25% 23% 22% 22% 18% 22% 18% 17% 16% 31% 37% 43% 40% 39% 40% 34% 34% 34% 38% 28% 33% 33% 33% 36% 27% 28% 26% 26% 25% 26% 25% 28% 31% 33% 37% 38% 40% 38% 47% 45% 45% 45% 46% 51% 55% 57% 58% Drive more than 2 hours from home Shop for groceries/necessities Shop for non-necessities Rent a short-term home Work outside my home Get together with family Go out for family entertainment Somewhat worried Go to a shopping mall Stay in a hotel Dine at a restaurant Travel by airplane Get together with friends Go to the gym or fitness studio Use ride-sharing service Go to a hair or nail salon Attend a large event Visit a crowded outdoor public place Use public transportation Use a clothing rental service Worried Not worried Homebody economy Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years 5
  • 18. McKinsey & Company 18 Protective measures and sanitization are most important to consumers as they decide where to shop in-store Top priorities when deciding where to shop in-store1 % of respondents for whom this criterion is the most important2 1 Q: Once restrictions lift, which of the following factors will be most important to you as you decide which of these places to visit in person? Respondents were asked to select the most important. 2 The following categories are included in each bucket: Cleaning and sanitization—increased cleaning, improved air filtration, availability of sanitizing supplies throughout the store; Health checks—customer wellness check (e.g., temperature) on entry, employees' wellness check (e.g., temperature) on entry; Masks and barriers—customers and employees wear masks, customers and employees provided masks and gloves, plastic barrier with cashier; No-contact purchasing—curbside pick-up, cashier-less checkout, no-contact delivery, buy online for pickup in store; Physical distancing—customer number limit, distancing in customer line, reduced employee activity during shopping hours; Store regulations—no customer product testing, one-way store aisles, special hours for high-risk shoppers. Homebody economy Change since the first measure, percentage point +9 -7 +2 -1 -1 -1 23% 21% 18% 18% 13% 8% No-contact purchasing Health checks Cleaning and sanitization Masks and barriers Store regulations Physical distancing Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
  • 19. McKinsey & Company 19 Saudis intend to maintain their current level of engagement with out-of-home activities for the next two weeks Consumers’ engagement with activities outside home1,2 % of respondents 1 Q: Did you leave your house for the following activities over the past two weeks? Chart represents the percentage of respondents who indicated that they left home at least once during the past week to do this activity. 2 Q: For which of the following activities do you intend to leave your home to do in the next two weeks? Chart represents % of respondents who intend to leave their home to do this activity during the next two weeks. 76% 61% 57% 45% 47% 42% 45% 36% 35% 33% 30% 31% 23% 23% 22% Past 2 weeks Next 2 weeks There is a strong correlation between concern in participating in a particular out-of- home activity and intent to participate (R2~0.9), suggesting that out-of-home activity engagement is driven by individuals’ level of concern with the activity Homebody economy 81% 63% 59% 48% 48% 47% 40% 37% 34% 33% 31% 27% 19% 19% 16% Drive more than 2 hours away from home Dine at a restaurant Get together with family Shop for groceries/necessities Work outside my home Go out for family entertainment Attend a large event Shop for non-necessities Visit a crowded outdoor public place Get together with friends Go to a hair or nail salon Use ride-sharing service Go to the gym or fitness studio Travel by airplane Travel on public transportation Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
  • 20. McKinsey & Company 20 26% 22% 52% Feel unsafe Somewhat unsafe Feel safe Top activities eager to get back to1 % of respondents for whom the activity is in their top 3 choices Get together with friends 35% 32% Travel by airplane Get together with family 34% 32% Go out for family entertainment 30% Dine at a restaurant 24% Visit a crowded outdoor public place 21% Interact with coworkers in person 21% 17% 17% Go to gym or fitness studio Go to a hair or nail salon Shop for non-necessities at shopping mall/department store 17% Attend a concert, sporting event, movies, etc. Saudis are most eager to return to air travel, getting together with friends and family, and going out for entertainment Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years Level of comfort with out-of-home activities, % of respondents 1 Q: What best describes your comfort participating in activities you did prior to COVID? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Q: What best describes your comfort participating in activities you did prior to COVID? If answered somewhat unsafe or unsafe, Q: Which of the following activities are you most eager to get back to on a regular basis? Select up to 3. Homebody economy
  • 21. McKinsey & Company 21 Saudis have acquired at-home alternatives to out-of-home activities, such as remote learning and videoconferencing 12% 12% 9% 6% 5% 4% 6% 4% 4% 21% 10% 8% 8% 13% 11% 29% 24% 18% 18% 15% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 44% 22% 18% 16% 38% 23% 10% 9% 16% 22% 15% 7% 9% 2% 4% 3% 9% 8% 6% 9% 10% 8% TikTok Playing online games Online streaming Remote learning: my children Telemedicine: physical Social media Wellness app 2% Telemedicine: mental Remote learning: myself Videoconferencing: professional Watching e-sports Cooked regularly for myself/my family Video chat: personal Digital exercise machine Personal care/grooming at home Online fitness Not using Using less / the same Using more Just started using Have you used or done any of the following since COVID-19 started1 % of respondents Intent to continue,2 % 69% 53% 69% 66% 58% 80% 79% 73% 53% 67% 63% 83% 69% 54% 55% 66% 1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.” 2 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “ will increase this” among new or increased users. Homebody economy Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years
  • 22. McKinsey & Company 22 User growth since COVID-19 2 Intent to use after COVID-191 Percent of new or increased users who intend to keep doing activity after COVID-19 1 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users. 2 User growth is calculated as % of respondents who replied that they are new users over % of respondents who replied that they were using the product/service pre-COVID-19 (using more, using the same, or using less). Online streaming, fitness, and wellness habits adopted during the pandemic are likely to remain in the medium to long term Homebody economy 75 70 100 60 150 0 65 55 80 81 82 83 200 0 50 Personal care/grooming at home Watching e-sports Used social media Remote learning: myself Videoconferencing: professional Online streaming Telemedicine: physical Online fitness Telemedicine: mental Playing online games Remote learning: my children Video chat: personal Cooked regularly Wellness app TikTok Digital exercise machine Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years Works for now Accelerated shifts Potentially here to stay
  • 23. McKinsey & Company 23 Delivery and video-chat activities, including remote learning, continue to grow among Saudi consumers 1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.” 2 Q: Compared to now, will you do or use the following more, less, or not at all, once the coronavirus (COVID-19) situation has subsided? Possible answers: “will stop this”; ”will reduce this”; “will keep doing what I am doing now”; “will increase this.” Number indicates respondents who chose “will keep doing what I am doing now” and “will increase this” among new or increased users. 3 Change since first survey is calculated by dividing the difference in % new / increase users between Sep’19 and Apr’19 by the Apr’19 figure Have you started/increased usage since COVID-19 started1,2 % of respondents 46 46 40 34 32 30 39 33 30 30 9 9 31 25 24 19 17 8 Grocery delivery TikTok Restaurant delivery Remote learning: my children Remote learning: myself Video chat: personal Videoconferencing: professional Online streaming Buy online for in-store pickup Quick-serve restaurant drive-thru In-store self-checkout Store curbside pickup Restaurant curbside pickup Playing online games Watching e-sports Online fitness Wellness app Telemedicine: mental Change since April survey,3 % New/increased users Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529; 4/3–4/6/2020, n = 510, sampled and weighted to match the US general population 18+ years 24% N/A N/A N/A N/A 62% -2% 3% 17% 6% 77% N/A -38% 24% -14% 3% -2% 116% Homebody economy
  • 24. McKinsey & Company 24 14 83 Hybrid 100 3 Online only In-person only 1 Q: What education format is your child/children’s school primarily using today? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Q: Please indicate how strongly you agree or disagree with each of the following statements. Statements include: “I expect remote learning to be a key education format for formal and/or informal education for the next 3 months”, “Given the uncertainty of school openings, I am planning to spend more on at-home learning tools and equipment (e.g., tutoring services, desk equipment, electronics)”, “I have cut back my work hours given my child/children’s at-home learning needs.” Rated from strongly disagree to 6 strongly agree. Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Remote learning is widespread and families expect it to continue; many are making accommodations for it Education format1 % of respondents Homebody economy Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years 56 43 33 Invest in at-home learning tools Expect online to continue for 3+ months Agree/Strongly agree Reduce work hours Change in beliefs/behaviors for those with children in remote learning,2 % of respondents ~97% of children in some form of remote learning
  • 25. McKinsey & Company 25 1 Q: Please indicate how strongly you agree or disagree with each of the following statements: “I have cut back my work hours given my child/children’s at-home learning needs.” Rated from strongly disagree to 6 strongly agree. Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 KSA Consumer Pulse Survey 1/25–2/10/2021, n = 529, sampled and weighted to match the KSA’s general population 18+ years 38 Overall Less USD 50K USD 50-100K Agree/Strongly agree More than USD 100K 33 33 40 Reduction in work hours for those with children in remote learning1 % of respondents, annual salary in USD One-third of families with children have reduced their work hours to meet at-home learning needs Homebody economy 40% of high-income families have reduced work hours
  • 26. McKinsey & Company 26 Disclaimer McKinsey does not provide legal, medical, or other regulated advice or guarantee results. These materials reflect general insight and best practice based on information currently available and do not contain all of the information needed to determine a future course of action. Such information has not been generated or independently verified by McKinsey and is inherently uncertain and subject to change. McKinsey has no obligation to update these materials and makes no representation or warranty and expressly disclaims any liability with respect thereto.

Editor's Notes

  1. % who started using/increased usage that intend to continue