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Fundraising in Europe:
10 non-textbook lessons for entrepreneurs

           Maria Dramalioti-Taylor
          x.Million Capital Ventures
              maria@x.xmillioncapital.eu
               www.dramalioti-taylor.org


               Mobile Monday, Athens
                      16.01.12
Agenda

•  Venture/Angel Capital:
  –  How to decide if you need it
  –  How to navigate the VC scene


•  Raising Capital in EU vs US:
  –  What is really going on?




                                    3
x.Million: news kids on the block

    What?              How much?              When &
                                              where?

   MOB & WEB                                 STARTUP & SEED
                                                 EUROPE
                                                     Seed
Retai   l
                €100k €250k €   500k
 Other



               €50k                    €1m


               How we work:
               -  Lean, K.I.S.S.
               -  Back exceptionally talented people
               -  Look beyond web 2.0
                                                              4
Portfolio highlights


 2011 Pilot fund: €10M




2012 Fund I > €10M
                         5
Agenda

•  Venture/Angel Capital:
  –  How to decide if you need it
  –  How to navigate the VC scene


•  Raising Capital in EU vs US:
  –  What is really going on?




                                    6
#1 – Sell shares only when you need speed

ENTREPRENEUR HAS…                         …AND NEEDS…
                                           …money to move
 1                                        *FASTER* than OWN
        Original
                      THEREFORE FACES…
                                           capital allows
          idea         …intensifying
                       competition


2                                        …SO SELLS shares to
     Best-in-market                      to pay for..
     founding team

                                          Hiring
3                                         Faster product
                                          development
    Large potential
                                          Infrastructure
         market
                                          Commercialisation
                                          Geographical expansion


                                                               7
THE STARTUP FUNDING SPECTRUM
NET CASH
POSITION




    +

    -      Closed   Public       SCALE     STAGE
           ALPHA     BETA




                             1st Revenue


                                              8
#2- Illuminating but not necessarily true (John Kay)
NET CASH
POSITION

           Grants                          Venture Capital   Venture Capital
           Bootstrapping   Angel Capital   Series A          Series B,C,D
           Family                          (€2m-€20m)        (€5m-€20m)



                                                                   Venture
                                                                    Debt
    +

    -          Closed          Public      SCALE                     STAGE
                ALPHA           BETA




                                              1st Revenue


                                                                         9
DO IT LIKE A JACANA




                      10
#3 – Decode the Business Angels


                    •  Angels invests own money

Angels are          •  Small amounts, early, at
                       low valuation
like women:             –  €10k-€250k at
temperamental              valuation €0.5-€2m

& (mostly)          •  Exit:
                        –  sell at €5-10m
irreplaceable              valuation & make 2-5x
                        –  bring VCs, get diluted
                           (may) make 10x
                    •  FOCUS ON: getting
                       capital back

                                                    11
#4 – Decode the Venture Capital business

                  •  VCs raise a fund every 2-4
                     years
VCs run a             –  Invest other people’s

business.                money


They make it      •  Invest the funds over 5 years
                  •  Exit (sell) via M&A or IPO
sound like        •  They take:
                     –  2.5% pa management fee on
Black Magic.            funds managed
                     –  Carry = 20% x [Total Return at

IT IS NOT.              Exit] – [Total Amount
                        Invested]


                  •  FOCUS ON: returning 3x-5x
                     capital back to investors in
                     4Y-5Y                           12
TEST: Can you see the (main) difference?


 Ca. 2,000 ANGEL UK         Typical VC      portfolio
 investments


              10x                          10x
                                           10x
              9%                           10%
                                            10%

                               Loose
                    1x-5x     Write
                               your                 1x-2x
                                                  1x-2x
 Loose                        downs               20%
 your shirt         35%         shirt                30%
                               40%
 56%                            50%

                                        3x-5x
                                         3x-5x
                                        30%
                                         10%



                                                            13
TEST: Can you see the (main) difference?

 Ca. 2,000 ANGEL UK                              1x-2x
                                               Typical VC       portfolio
 investments                                     20%
                     Angel George

              10x
              9%


                    1x-5x
                                       3x-5x
                                       30%         
                                                 Write
                                                 downs
                                                                 10x
                                                                  10%


                                                                        1x-2x
                    35%                           50%                   30%
 56%


                                                            3x-5x
                                                            10%


                      Angel Dimitris
Angel Maria                                     Fund Investors share of profits


                                                                                  14
#5 – γνῶθι..τω επινδυτή


 Angels may
 not let
 you fail,
 VCs may
 give you a
 big
 success


                     www. http://www.instigatorblog.com

                                              15
#6   - Mind the AC/VC disconnect

+

-    Closed       Public               SCALE             STAGE
     ALPHA            BETA
                               1st Revenue




                                 DISCONNECT
                                 ANGEL /VC
      ANGEL CAPITAL                                 VC


                             £500k            £2m
                                                             16
NOTE: The blurring of AC/VC in the US




                          www.dramalioti-taylor.org




                                                      17
#7 –A new taxonomy of investors

         Venture Accelerators
         Accelerator academy,
         Seedcamp, Astia,
         Ycombinator, 500hats,
         Springboard…

         Super Angels
         high batting avg.
         Angellab, Cherry Coutou,
         Husein Kanji

         Lean VCs
         treats every
         entrepreneur as an
         individual
         x.Million, pro-founders…
                                    18
#8 - Connect the fundraising dots

                          “what they offer”
  Fight the                vs.
  information             “what you need”
  asymmetry
                          –  Initial capital per idea
  Sources                 –  Sector focus: do they
  www.thefunded.com          understand it?
                          –  Risk tolerance: can they
  www.fredestin.com          deal with uncertainty?
  Angellist               –  Compatibility: will their
  www.Ventureshacks.com      pride suffer if you fail?
                          –  Terms (& strings attached)



                                                     19
Agenda

•  Venture/Angel Capital:
  –  How to decide if you need it
  –  How to navigate the VC scene


•  Raising Capital in EU vs US:
  –  What is really going on?




                                    20
#9 - Bust the US VC myth

US VC is big                 Investment is at a high
Investments per               •  OVERALL VC INVESTMENTS
capital in US is 5.8x            –  $7.5 bn, 966 deals, 19% up
                                 –  on track to $26 bn & 6th
higher than EU                      most active year

                              •  INTERNET AT 10-YEAR HIGH
      US            EU           –  $2.3 bn (72% up from Q1) 275
                                    deals (46% up from Q1)
                                 –  5/10 top deals in Internet
     0.15%   5.8x   0.026%

      GDP
                     GDP
                              Data: US, Q2/11




                                                                 21
#9 - Bust the US VC myth



  It is also
     …bubbly




                           22
#9 - Bust the US VC myth


            US VC   … VCs invest more
                      dollars than
      fundraising     raising…level of
    lowest for 15     investment

            years    unsustainable
                      withoutexits
                      and, subsequently,
                      fundraising…
                    NVCA, 2011


                                           23
Data: Q2/2011, US
#9 - Bust the US VC myth




                           IF VIX >30
                           THEN
                           IPOs drop
                           dramatically




                                      24
#9 - Bust the US VC myth

  IF US VC    Exits of the same order
              of magnitude need only
              ½ the VC capital in EU
    is big
      THEN




                                        EU = 1/2 x USA
     EU VC
        is
 effective
                                                         25
#9 - Bust the US VC myth
  US IT is big                EU feeds it
  Global tech industry is     EU companies bought by US
  dominated by US companies   tech companies using
                              offshore cash




Source: Hussein Kanji,2011
                                                          26
#10 – Focus on the social graph




                                  27
#10 – Focus on the social graph




                                  28
#10 – Focus on the social graph




    85% of worlds population
    covered by wireless signals
    vs
    80% of world population
    connected to the electrical
    grid


                                  29
30
#10 – Learn to read the VC barometer




  stage-agnostic - likely bias due to large follow on rounds
                                                               33
Post-bubble EU VC industry: survival of the fittest




                                                      38
LESSON 9: Exploit geo-differences, create arbitrage




                                                      40
IRR %

      2x   3x   4x    5x      6x    8x    10x

2Y    41   73   100   124     145   183   216

3Y    26   44   59    71      82    100   115

4Y    19   32   41    49      56    68    78

5Y    15   25   32    38      43    52    58

6Y    12   20   26    31      35    41    47

7Y    10   17   22    26      29    35    39

8Y    9    15   19    22      25    30    33

9Y    8    13   17    20      22    26    29

10Y   7    12   15    17      20    23    26    42
Time to Exit: Angels vs VCs




   http://www.techvibes.com/blog/what-happens-to-exits-when-vcs-invest




                                                                         43
Milestones & Rounds




       http://vcperspectives.com/wordpress/page/3/

                                                     44
ANGEL ACTIVITY: US vs.UK

 US angel activity   EU angel activity




         0.8x                0.3x
ANGEL ACTIVITY: US vs.UK

   US angel activity        EU angel activity




                                                2.5x




                       6x
HNWI Population by Country, 2010

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Maria Dramalioti Taylor - 10 non-textbook lessons for entrepreneurs copy

  • 1. 1
  • 2. Fundraising in Europe: 10 non-textbook lessons for entrepreneurs Maria Dramalioti-Taylor x.Million Capital Ventures maria@x.xmillioncapital.eu www.dramalioti-taylor.org Mobile Monday, Athens 16.01.12
  • 3. Agenda •  Venture/Angel Capital: –  How to decide if you need it –  How to navigate the VC scene •  Raising Capital in EU vs US: –  What is really going on? 3
  • 4. x.Million: news kids on the block What? How much? When & where? MOB & WEB STARTUP & SEED EUROPE Seed Retai l €100k €250k € 500k Other €50k €1m How we work: -  Lean, K.I.S.S. -  Back exceptionally talented people -  Look beyond web 2.0 4
  • 5. Portfolio highlights 2011 Pilot fund: €10M 2012 Fund I > €10M 5
  • 6. Agenda •  Venture/Angel Capital: –  How to decide if you need it –  How to navigate the VC scene •  Raising Capital in EU vs US: –  What is really going on? 6
  • 7. #1 – Sell shares only when you need speed ENTREPRENEUR HAS… …AND NEEDS… …money to move 1 *FASTER* than OWN Original THEREFORE FACES… capital allows idea …intensifying competition 2 …SO SELLS shares to Best-in-market to pay for.. founding team Hiring 3 Faster product development Large potential Infrastructure market Commercialisation Geographical expansion 7
  • 8. THE STARTUP FUNDING SPECTRUM NET CASH POSITION + - Closed Public SCALE STAGE ALPHA BETA 1st Revenue 8
  • 9. #2- Illuminating but not necessarily true (John Kay) NET CASH POSITION Grants Venture Capital Venture Capital Bootstrapping Angel Capital Series A Series B,C,D Family (€2m-€20m) (€5m-€20m) Venture Debt + - Closed Public SCALE STAGE ALPHA BETA 1st Revenue 9
  • 10. DO IT LIKE A JACANA 10
  • 11. #3 – Decode the Business Angels •  Angels invests own money Angels are •  Small amounts, early, at low valuation like women: –  €10k-€250k at temperamental valuation €0.5-€2m & (mostly) •  Exit: –  sell at €5-10m irreplaceable valuation & make 2-5x –  bring VCs, get diluted (may) make 10x •  FOCUS ON: getting capital back 11
  • 12. #4 – Decode the Venture Capital business •  VCs raise a fund every 2-4 years VCs run a –  Invest other people’s business. money They make it •  Invest the funds over 5 years •  Exit (sell) via M&A or IPO sound like •  They take: –  2.5% pa management fee on Black Magic. funds managed –  Carry = 20% x [Total Return at IT IS NOT. Exit] – [Total Amount Invested] •  FOCUS ON: returning 3x-5x capital back to investors in 4Y-5Y 12
  • 13. TEST: Can you see the (main) difference? Ca. 2,000 ANGEL UK Typical VC portfolio investments 10x 10x 10x 9% 10% 10% Loose 1x-5x Write your 1x-2x 1x-2x Loose downs 20% your shirt 35% shirt 30% 40% 56% 50% 3x-5x 3x-5x 30% 10% 13
  • 14. TEST: Can you see the (main) difference? Ca. 2,000 ANGEL UK 1x-2x Typical VC portfolio investments 20% Angel George 10x 9% 1x-5x 3x-5x 30%  Write downs 10x 10% 1x-2x 35% 50% 30% 56% 3x-5x 10% Angel Dimitris Angel Maria Fund Investors share of profits 14
  • 15. #5 – γνῶθι..τω επινδυτή Angels may not let you fail, VCs may give you a big success www. http://www.instigatorblog.com 15
  • 16. #6 - Mind the AC/VC disconnect + - Closed Public SCALE STAGE ALPHA BETA 1st Revenue DISCONNECT ANGEL /VC ANGEL CAPITAL VC £500k £2m 16
  • 17. NOTE: The blurring of AC/VC in the US www.dramalioti-taylor.org 17
  • 18. #7 –A new taxonomy of investors Venture Accelerators Accelerator academy, Seedcamp, Astia, Ycombinator, 500hats, Springboard… Super Angels high batting avg. Angellab, Cherry Coutou, Husein Kanji Lean VCs treats every entrepreneur as an individual x.Million, pro-founders… 18
  • 19. #8 - Connect the fundraising dots “what they offer” Fight the vs. information “what you need” asymmetry –  Initial capital per idea Sources –  Sector focus: do they www.thefunded.com understand it? –  Risk tolerance: can they www.fredestin.com deal with uncertainty? Angellist –  Compatibility: will their www.Ventureshacks.com pride suffer if you fail? –  Terms (& strings attached) 19
  • 20. Agenda •  Venture/Angel Capital: –  How to decide if you need it –  How to navigate the VC scene •  Raising Capital in EU vs US: –  What is really going on? 20
  • 21. #9 - Bust the US VC myth US VC is big Investment is at a high Investments per •  OVERALL VC INVESTMENTS capital in US is 5.8x –  $7.5 bn, 966 deals, 19% up –  on track to $26 bn & 6th higher than EU most active year •  INTERNET AT 10-YEAR HIGH US EU –  $2.3 bn (72% up from Q1) 275 deals (46% up from Q1) –  5/10 top deals in Internet 0.15% 5.8x 0.026% GDP GDP Data: US, Q2/11 21
  • 22. #9 - Bust the US VC myth It is also …bubbly 22
  • 23. #9 - Bust the US VC myth US VC … VCs invest more dollars than fundraising raising…level of lowest for 15 investment years unsustainable withoutexits and, subsequently, fundraising… NVCA, 2011 23 Data: Q2/2011, US
  • 24. #9 - Bust the US VC myth IF VIX >30 THEN IPOs drop dramatically 24
  • 25. #9 - Bust the US VC myth IF US VC Exits of the same order of magnitude need only ½ the VC capital in EU is big THEN EU = 1/2 x USA EU VC is effective 25
  • 26. #9 - Bust the US VC myth US IT is big EU feeds it Global tech industry is EU companies bought by US dominated by US companies tech companies using offshore cash Source: Hussein Kanji,2011 26
  • 27. #10 – Focus on the social graph 27
  • 28. #10 – Focus on the social graph 28
  • 29. #10 – Focus on the social graph 85% of worlds population covered by wireless signals vs 80% of world population connected to the electrical grid 29
  • 30. 30
  • 31. #10 – Learn to read the VC barometer stage-agnostic - likely bias due to large follow on rounds 33
  • 32. Post-bubble EU VC industry: survival of the fittest 38
  • 33. LESSON 9: Exploit geo-differences, create arbitrage 40
  • 34. IRR % 2x 3x 4x 5x 6x 8x 10x 2Y 41 73 100 124 145 183 216 3Y 26 44 59 71 82 100 115 4Y 19 32 41 49 56 68 78 5Y 15 25 32 38 43 52 58 6Y 12 20 26 31 35 41 47 7Y 10 17 22 26 29 35 39 8Y 9 15 19 22 25 30 33 9Y 8 13 17 20 22 26 29 10Y 7 12 15 17 20 23 26 42
  • 35. Time to Exit: Angels vs VCs http://www.techvibes.com/blog/what-happens-to-exits-when-vcs-invest 43
  • 36. Milestones & Rounds http://vcperspectives.com/wordpress/page/3/ 44
  • 37. ANGEL ACTIVITY: US vs.UK US angel activity EU angel activity 0.8x 0.3x
  • 38. ANGEL ACTIVITY: US vs.UK US angel activity EU angel activity 2.5x 6x
  • 39. HNWI Population by Country, 2010