Mind Mapping: A Visual Approach to Organize Ideas and Thoughts
Android: a brilliant case for collaborative management of innovation
1. Android: a brilliant case for
collaborative management of
innovation & intellectual property (IP)
2. Exercise
market power
Sell DonateCollaborateLicense
Aim: dominate Aim: Collaborate
Professor of intellectual property law W. Fisher proposes
a framework of 5 different IP management strategies:
1 exercise market power,
2 sell,
3 license,
4 collaborate,
5 donate.
Innovators often choose by default “exercising market
power.” Learn about the 5 vital strategies and that
collaborative strategies can be extremely powerful.
3. Only with iOS 2.01 (iPhone 3G) did
Apple allow collaboration.
Here is what happens next:
Apple Lisa (1983)
“exercising market power”
Number of Applications: 7
Apple App Store (from 2008)
“collaborate”
Number of Applications: 2,200,000
Exercise
market power
Sell DonateCollaborateLicense
Power of IP
management
strategy
2008 2016
Number of apps in iOS App Store
“Microsoft invited third-party
developers to create as many
applications as possible for the
Microsoft operating system.”
… thereby increasing its value and
crushing competition (incl Apple,
and leading to Steve Jobs ousting)
Apple didn’t open their Apple Lisa to
others, remaining with 7 apps for
most of its time
4. 1. IP management strategy: exercise market power
IP protection through:
• patents,
• trademarks,
• copyrights and
• trade secrets.
Net patent premium (Arora 2006,
published by National Bureau of
Economic Research, NBER)
• IP protection works better/longer in certain
industries (see right)
• IP protection can give you a temporary
monopoly but will motivate competition
• Many patents get imitated or worked around
within a few years
• IP holder needs to grow the market alone
(=high cost) in order to gain above-average
profits until competition develops after which
profit margins mean-revert (=reduce)
5. 2. IP management strategy: sell
• If you are unlikely to successfully commercialise your IP,
you might be better off selling (or licensing) it
• “Sale makes sense if the difference between (a) the
value of the IP in your hands and (b) its value in B's
hands exceeds (c) transaction costs” Prof W. Fisher
• Consider risk-weighted value of keeping the IP and the
benefit minus risk-weighted strategic costs of selling
Example
Nortel 6000 patent IP
auction:
• 4 days, 20 rounds
• Sales price: $4.5b
• Buyers: group of 6, incl
Apple, Microsoft, RIM
• Buyers start seeking
licensing royalties from
users of the IP
Important insights on the ability/probability to profit from
your IP has been provided by professor D Teece.
6. Opportunities …
Licensing is increasingly used as
source of additional revenue
And risks …
Licensing is … complicated
… and full of litigation cases Number of patent lawsuits
commenced
Recent jump due to regularly changes, but general
trend increasing in line with growing number of
patents
Revenues from licensing
3. IP management strategy: license (for royalties)
7. The case for collaborative approaches: the market’s potential
Using patents to exercise market
power is often based on the
assumption that the size of the
market is limited.
Collaborative approaches assume
- and contribute to - growing the
market
“I think there is a world market for
maybe five computers.” Thomas
Watson*, president of IBM, 1943.
“There is no reason anyone would
want a computer in their home.” Ken
Olsen*, founder of Digital Equipment
Corporation (DEC), 1977.
Market potential is hard to predict.
Collaborative approaches can
accelerate the growth trajectory
ANDROID is a brilliant example
* Ken Olsen has claimed to be quoted out of context, Thomas Watson has made
significant contributions in the early computer days. Both gents have our respect.
Android takes over most of the
mobile OS market, now at >90%
8. 2003: Android, Inc. founded
2005: Google acquires Android
2007: Apple iPhone 1G released
2007: Open Handset Alliance inaugurated
Google collaborates with complementary partners
(34 founding members from across the industry) to
develop open standards based on Android (large
parts of code base are open source, i.e. donated)
2008: First handset using Android released: HTC
Dream (using Android on a free of charge license)
2010: collaboration with renown companies on
Google Nexus: LG, HTC, Samsung, Motorola, Asus
2016: Google Pixel smartphones announced
License
Collaborate
Donate
Google uses collaborative IP management strategies for Android
License
Collaborate
Donate
9. Collaborate:
Google was the leading force behind the
Open Handset Alliance (OHA), a
collaboration of initially 34 (now 84) telco and
tech companies that all support Android and
commit to using it under its licensing terms
and not to work on a competing mobile OS.
4. IP management strategy: collaborate
Acer
Alcatel
Asus
CGI
Dell
Foxconn
Fujitsu
Garmin
Haier
HTC
Huawei
Kyocera
Lenovo
LG
Motorola
NEC
Oppo
Pantech
Samsung
Sharp
Sony Ericson
Toshiba
ZTE
Corporation
Most
major
handset
manufac
turers
are part
of the
OHA
10. 5. IP management strategy: donate
AOSP
Android Open Source Project
GMS
Google Mobile Service
Donate:
Android Open Source Project
(AOSP) is a basic mobile phone
operating system. It is open
source. Anyone can download,
adapt, use it. It has a basic
version of the GMS functions.
Most popular in China
License (free-of-charge):
Members of the Open Handset
Alliance take free-of-charge
license of the Google Mobile
Services. These are the
premium features of Android …
shows that licensing doesn’t
have to be a battleground…
11. • A lot of the Google apps and functionality exist only in rudimentary form in the
open-source code (AOSP).
• Over time Google moved the most popular Google apps into to-be-licensed
version of Android, the GMS.
• Critics and competitors state that Google “forces” the licensee to pre-install
the all GMS apps if they want to use any one of the apps (e.g. YouTube or
Google Play Store) or any of the enhanced functions, e.g. advanced location
services or in-game payments. Google says, these services belong together.
• The European Union takes this serious and have launched an inquiry into
Google over the alleged practices and their impact on competition. Check also
what Google has to say about this: https://www.android.com/everyone/facts/
• note: things are a bit different within China but that is a different story altogether.
OSP
Source Project
MS
bile Service
Freemium vs Premium - not everybody gets a lick
AOSP GMS
Search
(on phone)
Rudimentary
added: voice search, text-
to-speech
Music Rudimentary
connected to Google Play
Music, +enhancements
Calendar, keyboard,
camera, messaging
Rudimentary
Several generations of
enhancements
Location features, in-
game payments
Very basic
Non existent
Advanced features
12. Donating your IP creates the risk of others “stealing” it from you …
Making Google apps & functionality proprietary, is an important
measure of risk control for Google
So far, only Amazon
has accepted this “ton
of extra work” and
created the Amazon
Appstore in place of
Google Play
13. GMS apps are used for
collecting valuable user data,
getting search traffic, displaying
targeted ads, create (soft) lock-
into Google ecosystem and
generating ancillary revenue
Google’s benefits from Android are significant*:
— Many of the pre-installed Google apps connect to Google services
— They add users to the Google ecosystem
— Opportunity to display Google ads (as google is default search engine)
— Collect search data
— Collect user data (incl location data)
— More targeted ads (e.g. location and context specific)
— Direct them to Google social apps (Google+, Hangouts, YouTube)
— Revenue from Google Play Store
— Revenues from Google Music
— On-the-go availability of Google ecosystem
— User data from Google Maps and location-specific ad revenues
* for completeness sake, note there are some views stating that immediate revenues from Android are low,
totally ignoring the disastrous counterfactual (imagine the impact on Google’s customer value proposition
without the above!).
14. In the war of mobile OSs, Android was the most collaborative one …and
this strategy choice was a key to their success. This is most remarkable -
and even more so - given they were late movers
Symbian was used by Nokia (who were
disrupted by smart phones) and many
who switched to the free, better Android
Google saw a possible Microsoft dominance
on the mobile OS market as a major risk to
losing a lot of search traffic. Microsoft OS
has 42% market share in the US in 2007
15. Amazon has developed their
own mobile OS (based on
Android AOSP) and have their
own Appstore
Windows (app) Store contains
Window Phone Store, Xbox
Video/Music
What does the future bring?
• Some experts believe the number of developers/apps is the best proxy for the
network effects on platforms, e.g. game consoles but also mobile OS, thus the
future success of the platform.
• Based on this, come to your own conclusions on the future of the different OSs.
• It is interesting that the measure of collaboration (=number of apps, which are
99% 3rd party developed) is also the best proxy for the success of the platform.
16. Understand your strategic options
managing your intellectual property
and
… make the most out of your
innovation idea:
We have 10 downloads (ebooks,
presentations, infographics and
worksheet) for you for a rapid
knowledge burst:
www.InnovationTactics.com/
strategic-IP-management
17. - Logistics and infrastructure for Android
The returns are significant:
— Google’s fear was that they will lose out on mobile search data.
— If e.g. Apple had be
If Google missed out on mobile data, the long-term effects would be
disastrous. Their customer value proposition would erode to below
— mobile
—> unless you are a completely online company, you will care about
location-specificity of your ads (and online companies care increasingly)
(1)Prevented depend
(2)changing the market trajectory
(3)Pre-installation of their apps which connect to Google services on over
1 billion devices
(4)becoming a major player in a market that
(5) achieving major strategic goals
(6) building the ability to exert power over companies
(7) managed to add their apps to over 1 billion smartphones that use
their services
Note, that not everybody agrees that
Immediate revenues from Android search traffic are estimated to be $3-
$7b. Given Google’s revenues of $75b (95% from ads) and a 50%
search traffic from mobile devices, these estimates appear too
pessimistic
19. There are reports that Google has used exerted power over companies
using Android …
The EU has opened an antitrust case against Google
1 Did Google force or incentivise Android phone and tablet makers to
“exclusively pre-install Google’s own applications or services”?
2 Did Google prevent smartphone and tablet makers who wanted to
install Google applications and services on some devices from shipping
“modified and potentially competing versions of Android (known as
‘Android forks’) on other devices”?
—> Did Google make it more difficult for those who wanted to use the
Android donation to build their OS / apps on it where they would
compete with those of Google
3 Did Google tie or bundle certain Google applications and services that
shipped with Android devices, with other Google applications, services,
and APIs?”
— it is difficule to tell, but lets assume it is not … what remains?
still a brilliant ip management strategy
googles apps come pre installed to 1b phones of which G has
manufactured 0
20. App Store introduced
Number of apps in Apple App Store
grows at constant rate unit 2015.
All off a sudden there is a massive
jump in growth…
reason: Apple invites to more
collaboration by reducing their own
share of the profit for each app sale
by 15% (from 70/30 to 85/15)
22. 5. IP management strategy: donate
even if you donate, where possible do this via a (free-of-charge)
license —> can adjust terms as required in future
23. 5. Direct & indirect network effects
Indirect network effects
Indirect network effects enhance the value of an overall system through complementary products (often developed by other
parties). It is frequently also called an “ecosystem.” Without these network effects the market for PCs would have been
significantly smaller. This observation shows that markets are not nil-sum games and that the right strategic IP management
option can make a decisive difference.
What competitors do, plays a significant role for the market trajectory. Professor Fisher also notes that your competitors may
compete more fiercely on price if they fear you will become a too dominant player. They may see strategic benefits of doing
so even if they are able to provide only an inferior product. The profits you may have anticipated for yourself may move to the
consumer because you are forced to compete back on price.
There are other positive externalities of having competition, such as consumer education, market development, infrastructure
development, standards, joint lobbying power and so on. These are essential strategic considerations that you should be
aware of when assessing your innovation IP options.
24. This then leaves Android phones only the option of taking Google’s licenses. But this comes with
having to pre-install certain Google apps (search, mail, maps, navigation, app store). The European
Union’s antitrust regulator has recently launched their charges over Google’s Android practices. “The
EU accuses Google of abusing that dominance to force phone makers into favoring the Google
search engine and Chrome browser on their devices. Those apps ensure consumers see Google’s
search advertisements—its cash cow—when they look things up on their smartphones.” Wall Street
Journal, November 10, 2016. Anyone feeling reminded of Microsoft’s IE practices? No decision has
been made yet, but you get a taste of it.
More power is evidenced by the fact that not everybody gets a lick of the new Android Nougat (the new
OS version 7). There are limitations which phones and which microprocessors are supported. E.g. some
Qualcomm graphic processors, as well as other components, are not supported. It hints at the
powers Google has gained over manufacturers and consumers.
80% of mobile phones are now using the Android operating system. This gives Google significant
influence over the trajectory of the entire smartphone industry. And this was at a time before they had
manufactured even one phone themselves (which has changed only since recent). I hope these
examples give you a flavour of the opportunities of licensing.
25. AOSPGMS
Search
Music
Google proprietary
requires licensing
Free (open source)
GPS
Calendar
If you ever question the power of Google Play Services, try disabling it.
Nearly every Google App on your device will break.’ It is ‘a single place
that brings in all of Google’s APIs on Android 2.2 and above.’ Things
like Play Game services, Google Cloud Messaging and fused
location services are all handled by Play Services, and not the OS.
Search
Music
Calendar
Some of the better known apps packaged as part of
Google Mobile Services
OHA
In reality, though, while OEMs like Xiaomi, Oppo and
Gionee aren’t members of the OHA, their phones
are ‘compatible’ – that is, they can tap into Play
Services and the Play Store; Xiaomi’s Mi3 comes
pre-loaded with the usual suite of Google apps,
including the Play Store if bought outside of China.
In other words, these aren’t forked phones, or
AOSP-only phones, or anything of the sort.
Within their own, Chinese markets, they use
their own app stores, and have their own
ecosystems, but outside of that, Google, and
Google’s apps, work just fine on them,
subject to Google granting the OEM a
license. (For a list of Google Play compatible
phones, see here.) I
5. Add a balanced assessmen
huge framentation
Google will be unable to supp
all
risk that google will focus mo
and more on their own
platform (not as being anti-
competitive but simply due t
incentives alignment)
risk of new HW components n
being supported
26. Collaborate:
Google was the leading force behind the Open
Handset Alliance (OHA), a collaboration of
initially 34 (now 84) telco and tech companies
that all support Android and commit to using
it under its licensing terms and not to work on
a competing mobile OS.
4. IP management strategy: collaborate