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Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  
Research	
  Article	
  Review	
  	
  
	
  
Topic:	
  	
  
The	
  influence	
  of	
  	
  
conditional	
  price	
  promotions	
  	
  
on	
  consumers’	
  estimates	
  of	
  a	
  
product’s	
  true	
  value.	
  
	
  
Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  
May	
  2014
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  i	
  
Table	
  of	
  Contents	
  
	
  
1.	
   Research	
  Problem	
  and	
  Objectives	
  _______________________________________________	
  1	
  
1.1.	
   Research	
  Problem	
   ______________________________________________________	
  1	
  
1.2.	
   Research	
  Objectives	
  _____________________________________________________	
  1	
  
2.	
   Theory	
  and	
  Hypotheses	
  Overview	
  _______________________________________________	
  2	
  
3.	
   Studies	
  and	
  Findings	
  Overview	
   _________________________________________________	
  3	
  
3.1.	
   Experiment	
  1	
  Description	
  and	
  Key	
  Findings	
   __________________________________	
  3	
  
3.2.	
   Experiment	
  2	
  Description	
  and	
  Key	
  Findings	
   __________________________________	
  3	
  
3.3.	
   Experiment	
  3	
  Description	
  and	
  Key	
  Findings	
   __________________________________	
  4	
  
3.4.	
   Experiment	
  4	
  Description	
  and	
  Key	
  Findings	
   __________________________________	
  5	
  
3.5.	
   Experiment	
  5	
  Description	
  and	
  Key	
  Findings	
   __________________________________	
  5	
  
4.	
   Theoretical	
  Contributions	
   _____________________________________________________	
  7	
  
5.	
   Managerial	
  Implications	
  _______________________________________________________	
  9	
  
5.1.	
   Real	
  world	
  organisation	
  background	
  and	
  SWOT	
  analysis	
  ________________________	
  9	
  
5.2.	
   Recommendations	
  _____________________________________________________	
  10	
  
Reference	
  List	
  __________________________________________________________________	
  12	
  
Appendix	
  A:	
  Elizabeth	
  Arden’s	
  ‘The	
  Power	
  of	
  Color’	
  Order-­‐Upgrade	
  Promotion	
  ______________	
  14	
  
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  1	
  of	
  14	
  
1. Research	
  Problem	
  and	
  Objectives	
  
1.1. Research	
  Problem	
  
Conditional	
   price	
   promotions	
   can	
   stimulate	
   short-­‐term	
   increases	
   in	
   product	
   sales	
   (Gedenk,	
  
Neslin	
   &	
   Ailawadi	
   2010)	
   and	
   encourage	
   product	
   trial,	
   brand-­‐switching	
   and	
   increased	
  
consumption	
  (Lee-­‐Wingate	
  &	
  Corfman	
  2010).	
  However,	
  constant	
  sales	
  promotion	
  can	
  teach	
  
consumers	
  to	
  only	
  buy	
  products	
  when	
  prices	
  are	
  low	
  (Chitty	
  et	
  al.	
  2013).	
  To	
  avoid	
  negative	
  
unintended	
  consequences	
  from	
  conditional	
  price	
  promotions,	
  Palmeira	
  and	
  Srivastava	
  (2013)	
  
tested	
  previous	
  inferences	
  that	
  free	
  offers	
  caused	
  product	
  devaluation.	
  
1.2. Research	
  Objectives	
  
In	
  response	
  to	
  the	
  research	
  problem	
  identified	
  in	
  section	
  1.1,	
  Palmeira	
  and	
  Srivastava’s	
  (2013)	
  
study	
   investigated	
   how	
   conditional	
   price	
   promotions	
   influence	
   consumers’	
   estimates	
   of	
   the	
  
product’s	
   true	
   value	
   when	
   promotions	
   end.	
   This	
   study	
   specifically	
   investigated	
   whether	
  
conditional	
  promotions	
  offering	
  supplementary	
  products	
  for	
  ‘free’	
  leads	
  to:	
  
1. De-­‐valuation	
  after	
  the	
  promotion	
  ends.	
  
2. More	
   de-­‐valuation	
   after	
   the	
   promotion	
   ends	
   compared	
   to	
   low,	
   non-­‐zero	
   price	
  
promotions.	
  
3. Different	
  emotional	
  reactions	
  compared	
  to	
  low,	
  non-­‐zero	
  price	
  promotions.	
  
4. Less	
   meaningful	
   information	
   about	
   the	
   promoted	
   price	
   compared	
   to	
   low,	
   non-­‐zero	
  
price	
  promotions.	
  
5. Different	
  reactions	
  compared	
  to	
  promotions	
  that	
  use	
  the	
  number	
  zero	
  ($0.00).	
  
6. Different	
  mental	
  reference	
  points	
  when	
  estimating	
  the	
  supplementary	
  product’s	
  true	
  
value	
  compared	
  to	
  low,	
  non-­‐zero	
  price	
  promotions.	
  
7. Persistent	
  mental	
  reference	
  points	
  about	
  the	
  supplementary	
  product’s	
  price	
  even	
  after	
  
being	
  exposed	
  to	
  a	
  new	
  price.	
  	
  
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  2	
  of	
  14	
  
2. Theory	
  and	
  Hypotheses	
  Overview	
  
	
  
The	
  ‘value	
  discounting	
  hypothesis’	
  describes	
  an	
  association	
  between	
  lower	
  prices	
  in	
  promotions	
  
and	
  a	
  lowering	
  of	
  both	
  the	
  perceived	
  product	
  value	
  and	
  the	
  amount	
  a	
  consumer	
  would	
  be	
  willing	
  
to	
  pay	
  for	
  the	
  product	
  (Raghubir	
  2005).	
  This	
  hypothesis	
  was	
  used	
  by	
  Raghubir	
  (2004)	
  to	
  support	
  
his	
  conclusion	
  that	
  free	
  offers	
  devalue	
  products.	
  It	
  was	
  inferred	
  that	
  non-­‐zero	
  prices	
  would	
  cause	
  
less	
  price	
  devaluation	
  because	
  free	
  products	
  are	
  perceived	
  as	
  inexpensive	
  (Raghubir	
  2004)	
  and	
  
poor	
  quality	
  (Kamins,	
  Folkes	
  &	
  Fedorikhin	
  2009).	
  	
  
	
  
However,	
   Palmeira	
   and	
   Srivastava	
   (2013,	
   p.	
   655)	
   disputed	
   the	
   validity	
   of	
   Raghubir’s	
   findings	
  
because	
  his	
  experiment	
  design	
  did	
  not	
  have	
  a	
  “control	
  condition	
  without	
  any	
  price	
  information”.	
  
This	
  led	
  Palmeira	
  and	
  Srivastava	
  (2013)	
  to	
  hypothesise	
  that	
  after	
  a	
  conditional	
  promotion	
  ends,	
  
consumers	
  offered	
  free	
  offers	
  are	
  prepared	
  to	
  pay	
  higher	
  prices	
  for	
  products	
  compared	
  to	
  those	
  
offered	
  low,	
  non-­‐zero	
  promotion	
  prices.	
  
	
  
Several	
   theories	
   were	
   considered	
   by	
   Palmeira	
   and	
   Srivastava	
   to	
   explain	
   why	
   consumers	
   react	
  
differently	
  to	
  free	
  promotions,	
  including	
  the	
  assertions	
  that	
  zero	
  is	
  perceived	
  differently	
  to	
  other	
  
very	
   small	
   numbers	
   (Palmeira	
   2011;	
   Shampanier,	
   Mazar	
   &	
   Ariely	
   2007).	
   It	
   also	
   appeared	
   that	
  
consumers	
  process	
  free	
  offers	
  differently,	
  possibly	
  due	
  to	
  free	
  offers	
  inducing	
  disproportionate	
  
excitement	
  (Chandran	
  &	
  Morwitz	
  2006)	
  and	
  more	
  positive	
  feelings	
  (Shampanier,	
  Mazar	
  &	
  Ariely	
  
2007)	
  compared	
  to	
  non-­‐zero	
  price	
  offers.	
  This	
  led	
  to	
  the	
  hypothesis	
  that	
  consumers	
  perceive	
  free	
  
offers	
  to	
  be	
  more	
  valuable	
  due	
  to	
  feelings	
  of	
  reciprocity	
  towards	
  marketers	
  (Palmeira	
  &	
  Srivastava	
  
2013).	
  
	
  
Palmeira	
  and	
  Srivastava	
  (2013)	
  asserted	
  the	
  underlying	
  mechanism	
  for	
  their	
  hypothesis	
  might	
  be	
  
explained	
  by	
  the	
  ‘anchoring	
  effect’	
  described	
  by	
  Tversky	
  and	
  Kahneman	
  (1974).	
  This	
  anchoring	
  
process	
   suggested	
   promotional	
   prices	
   act	
   as	
   a	
   mental	
   ‘reference	
   point’	
   that	
   influences	
   a	
  
consumer’s	
  subsequent	
  numerical	
  judgments	
  when	
  estimating	
  the	
  product’s	
  value.	
  Palmeira	
  and	
  
Srivastava	
   identified	
   the	
   ‘selective	
   accessibility	
   model’	
   (Strack	
   &	
   Mussweiler	
   1997)	
   as	
   the	
   most	
  
appropriate	
  conceptualisation	
  of	
  how	
  consumers	
  access	
  information	
  that	
  is	
  consistent	
  with	
  the	
  
mental	
   reference	
   point.	
   More	
   recent	
   research	
   by	
   Adaval	
   and	
   Wyer	
   (2011)	
   used	
   the	
   selective	
  
accessibility	
  model	
  mechanism	
  to	
  explain	
  why	
  consumers	
  focused	
  on	
  the	
  reference	
  point’s	
  value	
  
even	
  when	
  products	
  were	
  unrelated.	
  	
  	
  
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  3	
  of	
  14	
  
3. Studies	
  and	
  Findings	
  Overview	
  
	
  
This	
  section	
  briefly	
  describes	
  the	
  methods	
  and	
  findings	
  of	
  five	
  experiments	
  conducted	
  by	
  Palmeira	
  
and	
  Srivastava	
  (2013,	
  pp.	
  647-­‐654).	
  	
  
3.1. Experiment	
  1	
  Description	
  and	
  Key	
  Findings	
  
The	
   first	
   experiment	
   investigated	
   how	
   the	
   price	
   of	
   a	
   product	
   during	
   a	
   promotion	
   affected	
  
consumer’s	
   estimates	
   of	
   the	
   product’s	
   true	
   value	
   when	
   the	
   promotion	
   ended.	
   The	
   study	
  
participants	
  were	
  shown	
  a	
  promotion	
  for	
  either	
  pizza	
  with	
  bread	
  sticks,	
  or	
  pasta	
  sauce	
  with	
  
spaghetti.	
  To	
  compare	
  the	
  effects	
  of	
  different	
  prices,	
  participants	
  were	
  randomly	
  assigned	
  to	
  
see	
  four	
  different	
  prices	
  for	
  the	
  bread	
  sticks	
  and	
  spaghetti.	
  All	
  of	
  the	
  people	
  in	
  the	
  study	
  were	
  
asked	
  how	
  much	
  they	
  would	
  be	
  prepared	
  to	
  pay	
  for	
  the	
  bread	
  sticks	
  or	
  spaghetti	
  when	
  the	
  
promotion	
  ended.	
  
	
  
This	
  experiment	
  showed	
  there	
  was	
  no	
  difference	
  in	
  the	
  price	
  estimates	
  for	
  the	
  bread	
  sticks	
  or	
  
spaghetti	
   between	
   the	
   people	
   that	
   were	
   shown	
   the	
   full-­‐price	
   and	
   people	
   offered	
   these	
  
products	
  for	
  free.	
  However,	
  the	
  estimated	
  price	
  of	
  the	
  bread	
  sticks	
  or	
  spaghetti	
  was	
  much	
  
lower	
  when	
  the	
  promotion	
  offered	
  these	
  products	
  for	
  two	
  dollars,	
  and	
  the	
  price	
  estimation	
  
was	
  even	
  lower	
  when	
  these	
  products	
  were	
  offered	
  for	
  fifty	
  cents.	
  On	
  the	
  basis	
  of	
  the	
  first	
  
experiment,	
  the	
  researchers	
  concluded:	
  
1. A	
   free	
   promotion	
   does	
   not	
   de-­‐value	
   the	
   supplementary	
   product	
   price	
   after	
   the	
  
promotion	
  finishes.	
  
2. When	
   supplementary	
   products	
   are	
   offered	
   for	
   free,	
   consumers	
   are	
   willing	
   to	
   pay	
  
more	
  after	
  a	
  promotion	
  finishes	
  for	
  the	
  same	
  product	
  compared	
  to	
  non-­‐zero	
  price	
  
offers.	
  
3.2. Experiment	
  2	
  Description	
  and	
  Key	
  Findings	
  
The	
   second	
   experiment	
   tried	
   to	
   identify	
   underlying	
   factors	
   that	
   might	
   cause	
   consumers	
   to	
  
react	
  differently	
  to	
  a	
  free	
  promotion.	
  Study	
  participants	
  shown	
  were	
  a	
  picture	
  of	
  a	
  toothbrush	
  
and	
  toothpaste,	
  which	
  also	
  presented	
  the	
  price	
  of	
  the	
  toothbrush.	
  To	
  compare	
  the	
  effects	
  of	
  
different	
   prices,	
   participants	
   were	
   randomly	
   assigned	
   to	
   see	
   four	
   different	
   prices	
   for	
   the	
  
toothpaste,	
  and	
  asked	
  the	
  price	
  they	
  would	
  be	
  prepared	
  to	
  pay	
  for	
  the	
  toothpaste	
  when	
  the	
  
promotion	
  ended.	
  The	
  participants	
  also	
  rated	
  their	
  emotional	
  reactions	
  to	
  the	
  promotion.	
  
	
  
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  4	
  of	
  14	
  
The	
   second	
   experiment	
   confirmed	
   the	
   findings	
   of	
   the	
   first	
   experiment.	
   There	
   was	
   no	
  
difference	
  in	
  toothpaste	
  price	
  estimates	
  between	
  the	
  people	
  that	
  were	
  not	
  shown	
  the	
  price	
  
and	
  people	
  offered	
  the	
  toothpaste	
  for	
  free.	
  Similarly	
  the	
  estimated	
  price	
  of	
  the	
  toothpaste	
  
was	
  much	
  lower	
  when	
  the	
  promotion	
  price	
  was	
  twenty-­‐five	
  cents	
  or	
  one-­‐dollar.	
  
	
  
Among	
  the	
  participants	
  offered	
  the	
  toothpaste	
  for	
  free,	
  twenty-­‐five	
  cents	
  or	
  one-­‐dollar,	
  this	
  
study	
  showed	
  there	
  were	
  no	
  differences	
  in	
  the	
  participants’:	
  
• Feelings	
  of	
  happiness,	
  excitement	
  and	
  interest	
  caused	
  by	
  the	
  promotion.	
  This	
  proved	
  
that	
  free	
  offers	
  do	
  not	
  induce	
  more	
  positive	
  feelings	
  than	
  the	
  same	
  product	
  offered	
  at	
  
a	
  lower-­‐price.	
  
• Feelings	
  of	
  positivity,	
  gratitude,	
  appreciation,	
  closeness	
  and	
  interest	
  towards	
  the	
  brand.	
  
This	
  proved	
  the	
  participants	
  did	
  not	
  see	
  the	
  free	
  offer	
  as	
  more	
  valuable	
  due	
  to	
  feelings	
  
of	
  reciprocation.	
  
3.3. Experiment	
  3	
  Description	
  and	
  Key	
  Findings	
  
The	
   third	
   study	
   investigated	
   whether	
   promotions	
   with	
   non-­‐zero	
   prices	
   contain	
   more	
  
meaningful	
  information	
  about	
  the	
  true	
  product	
  value.	
  The	
  study	
  participants	
  were	
  shown	
  a	
  
promotion	
  for	
  either	
  pizza	
  with	
  chocolate	
  mousse,	
  or	
  pasta	
  with	
  a	
  jar	
  of	
  sauce.	
  To	
  compare	
  
the	
   effects	
   of	
   different	
   prices,	
   participants	
   were	
   randomly	
   assigned	
   to	
   see	
   three	
   different	
  
prices	
   for	
   the	
   chocolate	
   mousse	
   and	
   pasta	
   sauce	
   (free,	
   $0.00	
   and	
   $0.01).	
   Once	
   again	
   the	
  
participants	
  were	
  asked	
  the	
  price	
  they	
  would	
  be	
  prepared	
  to	
  pay	
  for	
  the	
  chocolate	
  mousse	
  or	
  
pasta	
  sauce	
  when	
  the	
  promotion	
  ended.	
  
	
  
This	
  experiment	
  showed	
  there	
  was	
  no	
  different	
  in	
  the	
  price	
  estimates	
  for	
  chocolate	
  mousse	
  
or	
  pasta	
  sauce	
  between	
  the	
  people	
  that	
  were	
  shown	
  the	
  word	
  ‘free’	
  or	
  the	
  price	
  ‘$0.00’.	
  In	
  
contrast,	
   price	
   estimates	
   were	
   much	
   lower	
   among	
   the	
   participants	
   offered	
   the	
   chocolate	
  
mousse	
  or	
  pasta	
  sauce	
  for	
  $0.01.	
  The	
  difference	
  in	
  price	
  estimates	
  occurred	
  despite	
  both	
  zero	
  
and	
  one-­‐cent	
  being	
  totally	
  unrealistic	
  prices	
  for	
  chocolate	
  mousse	
  and	
  pasta	
  sauce.	
  On	
  this	
  
basis,	
  the	
  researchers	
  concluded	
  the	
  participants	
  used	
  different	
  mental	
  reference	
  points	
  to	
  
estimate	
  the	
  value	
  of	
  products	
  offered	
  for	
  zero	
  and	
  non-­‐zero	
  promotional	
  prices.	
  
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  5	
  of	
  14	
  
3.4. Experiment	
  4	
  Description	
  and	
  Key	
  Findings	
  
The	
  fourth	
  experiment	
  compared	
  the	
  reference	
  points	
  that	
  consumers	
  used	
  when	
  estimating	
  
a	
  product’s	
  true	
  value	
  if	
  the	
  promotion	
  offered	
  the	
  product	
  for	
  free	
  or	
  at	
  a	
  low,	
  non-­‐zero	
  
price.	
   Study	
   participants	
   were	
   shown	
   a	
   promotion	
   either	
   for	
   jewellery	
   or	
   wine	
   with	
   a	
  
supplementary	
  product	
  (a	
  pendant	
  or	
  a	
  wine	
  thermometer,	
  respectively),	
  and	
  asked	
  the	
  price	
  
they	
  would	
  be	
  prepared	
  to	
  pay	
  for	
  the	
  pendant	
  or	
  wine	
  thermometer	
  when	
  the	
  promotion	
  
ended.	
  
	
  
There	
   was	
   no	
   difference	
   in	
   the	
   participant’s	
   estimation	
   of	
   the	
   pendant’s	
   price	
   when	
   the	
  
pendant	
  was	
  offered	
  for	
  five	
  dollars	
  when	
  they	
  spent	
  either	
  ninety-­‐nine	
  or	
  two-­‐hundred	
  and	
  
ninety-­‐nine	
   dollars	
   on	
   jewellery.	
   Similarly,	
   there	
   was	
   no	
   difference	
   in	
   the	
   participant’s	
  
estimation	
   of	
   the	
   wine	
   thermometer’s	
   price	
   when	
   the	
   thermometer	
   was	
   offered	
   for	
   five	
  
dollars	
   when	
   they	
   spent	
   either	
   fifty	
   or	
   three-­‐hundred	
   dollars	
   on	
   wine.	
   The	
   researchers	
  
concluded	
  that	
  when	
  a	
  complementary	
  product	
  is	
  offered	
  for	
  a	
  non-­‐zero	
  price,	
  this	
  non-­‐zero	
  
price	
  acts	
  as	
  the	
  reference	
  point	
  to	
  estimate	
  the	
  product’s	
  true	
  value.	
  
	
  	
  
Different	
   results	
   were	
   observed	
   when	
   the	
   promotion	
   offered	
   the	
   pendant	
   or	
   wine	
  
thermometer	
   for	
   free.	
   In	
   both	
   cases,	
   the	
   more	
   the	
   participant	
   was	
   required	
   to	
   spend	
   on	
  
jewellery	
  ($300	
  vs.	
  $50)	
  or	
  wine	
  ($299	
  vs.	
  $99),	
  the	
  higher	
  their	
  estimate	
  of	
  the	
  pendant	
  or	
  
thermometer’s	
   true	
   price.	
   The	
   researchers	
   therefore	
   concluded	
   that	
   when	
   supplementary	
  
products	
   are	
   offered	
   for	
   free,	
   consumers	
   use	
   the	
   focal	
   product	
   (wine	
   or	
   jewellery)	
   as	
   the	
  
reference	
  point	
  when	
  estimating	
  the	
  supplementary	
  product’s	
  true	
  value	
  use.	
  
3.5. Experiment	
  5	
  Description	
  and	
  Key	
  Findings	
  
The	
  final	
  experiment	
  investigated	
  whether	
  introducing	
  a	
  different	
  price	
  reference	
  point	
  would	
  
change	
   the	
   participants’	
   original	
   price	
   estimations.	
   Study	
   participants	
   were	
   shown	
   a	
  
promotion	
  for	
  a	
  box	
  of	
  pasta	
  (which	
  cost	
  $5.49)	
  and	
  a	
  bottle	
  of	
  sauce,	
  and	
  they	
  were	
  asked	
  
twice	
   the	
   price	
   they	
   would	
   be	
   prepared	
   to	
   pay	
   for	
   the	
   pasta	
   sauce	
   when	
   the	
   promotion	
  
ended.	
   To	
   compare	
   the	
   effect	
   of	
   two	
   different	
   price	
   reference	
   points,	
   participants	
   were	
  
randomly	
  assigned	
  to	
  see	
  different:	
  
• Initial	
  prices	
  for	
  the	
  bottle	
  of	
  pasta	
  sauce	
  (‘a	
  special	
  price’,	
  free	
  or	
  twenty-­‐five	
  cents).	
  
• Subsequent	
  price	
  suggestions	
  for	
  the	
  pasta	
  sauce	
  (fifty-­‐cents	
  or	
  two-­‐dollars).	
  	
  
	
  
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  6	
  of	
  14	
  
When	
   the	
   participants	
   were	
   exposed	
   to	
   the	
   first	
   price	
   reference	
   point,	
   there	
   were	
   no	
  
differences	
  in	
  the	
  participant’s	
  estimations	
  of	
  the	
  price	
  of	
  the	
  pasta	
  sauce	
  between	
  groups	
  
that	
  saw	
  the	
  ‘special	
  price’	
  or	
  ‘free’	
  promotion,	
  while	
  the	
  group	
  that	
  saw	
  the	
  twenty-­‐five	
  cent	
  
promotion	
  had	
  the	
  lowest	
  price	
  estimations.	
  However,	
  different	
  results	
  were	
  observed	
  when	
  
the	
  same	
  participants	
  were	
  exposed	
  to	
  the	
  second	
  price	
  reference	
  point.	
  	
  
	
  
All	
  participants	
  that	
  were	
  told	
  the	
  pasta	
  sauce	
  normally	
  cost	
  six-­‐dollars	
  were	
  willing	
  to	
  pay	
  a	
  
much	
  higher	
  price	
  compared	
  to	
  the	
  group	
  that	
  were	
  told	
  the	
  pasta	
  sauce	
  normally	
  cost	
  fifty-­‐
cents.	
  Since	
  the	
  new	
  price	
  reference	
  point	
  replaced	
  the	
  previous	
  reference	
  point,	
  the	
  authors	
  
concluded	
   recovery	
   is	
   possible	
   when	
   low,	
   non-­‐zero	
   price	
   promotions	
   cause	
   supplementary	
  
products	
  to	
  become	
  devalued.	
  
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  7	
  of	
  14	
  
4. Theoretical	
  Contributions	
  
	
  
Palmeira	
  and	
  Srivastava’s	
  study	
  extended	
  consumer	
  behaviour	
  theory	
  in	
  six	
  ways:	
  
	
  
1. By	
   designing	
   an	
   experiment	
   with	
   a	
   control	
   condition,	
   Palmeira	
   and	
   Srivastava	
   refuted	
  
Rahubir’s	
  (2004)	
  incorrect	
  conclusion	
  that	
  free	
  offers	
  de-­‐valued	
  products.	
  In	
  all	
  experiments	
  
conducted	
   by	
   Palmeira	
   and	
   Srivastava	
   (2013)	
   the	
   participants	
   offered	
   free	
   supplementary	
  
products	
   were	
   consistently	
   willing	
   to	
   pay	
   more	
   after	
   the	
   promotion	
   finished	
   for	
   the	
   same	
  
product	
  compared	
  to	
  non-­‐zero	
  price	
  offers.	
  
	
  
2. By	
   designing	
   experiments	
   that	
   controlled	
   for	
   confounding	
   factors,	
   Palmeira	
   and	
   Srivastava	
  
proved	
   their	
   study	
   findings	
   were	
   not	
   compromised	
   by	
   free	
   offers	
   inducing	
   more	
   positive	
  
feelings	
  or	
  feelings	
  of	
  reciprocity.	
  
3. By	
   demonstrating	
   consumers	
   reacted	
   differently	
   to	
   zero	
   compared	
   to	
   other	
   very	
   small	
  
numbers,	
   Palmeira	
   and	
   Srivastava’s	
   experiments	
   confirmed	
   the	
   findings	
   of	
   research	
   by	
  
Palmeira	
  (2011)	
  and	
  Shampanier,	
  Mazar	
  and	
  Ariely	
  (2007).	
  
4. By	
   providing	
   compelling	
   evidence	
   for	
   selective	
   accessibility	
   model,	
   Palmeira	
   and	
   Srivastava	
  
explained	
  the	
  underlying	
  mechanism	
  that	
  caused	
  study	
  participants	
  in	
  different	
  contexts	
  to	
  
consider	
  information	
  consistent	
  with	
  a	
  mental	
  reference	
  point.	
  When	
  supplementary	
  products	
  
were	
  offered	
  for	
  low,	
  non-­‐zero	
  prices	
  during	
  conditional	
  promotions,	
  the	
  non-­‐zero	
  price	
  (even	
  
as	
   low	
   as	
   one	
   cent)	
   acted	
   as	
   the	
   reference	
   point	
   to	
   estimate	
   the	
   supplementary	
   product’s	
  
value.	
  Accordingly,	
  the	
  conceptual	
  selective	
  accessibility	
  model	
  explains	
  why	
  products	
  can	
  be	
  
devalued	
  by	
  conditional	
  price	
  promotions	
  offering	
  the	
  supplementary	
  products	
  at	
  low,	
  non-­‐
zero	
  prices.	
  
	
  
Since	
  zero	
  could	
  not	
  act	
  as	
  a	
  reference	
  point	
  when	
  supplementary	
  products	
  were	
  offered	
  for	
  
free	
  during	
  conditional	
  promotions,	
  study	
  participants	
  used	
  other	
  contextual	
  information	
  (such	
  
as	
   the	
   focal	
   product’s	
   price)	
   to	
   estimate	
   the	
   supplementary	
   product’s	
   value.	
   Therefore	
   the	
  
conceptual	
   selective	
   accessibility	
   model	
   explains	
   why	
   free	
   promotions	
   do	
   not	
   de-­‐value	
   the	
  
supplementary	
  product	
  price	
  after	
  the	
  promotion	
  finishes.	
  
	
  
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  8	
  of	
  14	
  
5. By	
   proving	
   the	
   participant’s	
   mental	
   reference	
   point	
   could	
   be	
   shifted	
   by	
   introducing	
   a	
   new	
  
price,	
  Palmeira	
  and	
  Srivastava	
  also	
  offered	
  hope	
  to	
  companies	
  that	
  have	
  experienced	
  product	
  
devaluation.	
  
	
  
6. By	
   identifying	
   gaps	
   in	
   consumer	
   behaviour	
   theory,	
   Palmeira	
   and	
   Srivastava	
   suggested	
  
researchers	
   investigate	
   specific	
   promotion	
   conditions	
   that	
   cause	
   a	
   consumer’s	
   thoughts	
   to	
  
switch	
  from	
  the	
  product’s	
  value	
  to	
  making	
  negative	
  inferences.	
  	
  
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  9	
  of	
  14	
  
5. Managerial	
  Implications	
  
	
  
The	
   final	
   section	
   of	
   this	
   report	
   will	
   explain	
   how	
   Palmeira	
   and	
   Srivastava’s	
   (2013)	
   theoretical	
  
findings	
   can	
   be	
   translated	
   into	
   evidence-­‐based	
   practice	
   by	
   the	
   marketing	
   management	
   in	
   real-­‐
world	
  organisations.	
  
5.1. Real	
  world	
  organisation	
  background	
  and	
  SWOT	
  analysis	
  
Elizabeth	
   Arden	
   manufactures	
   and	
   markets	
   fragrances,	
   skin	
   care	
   and	
   cosmetics	
   in	
   120	
  
countries	
  (MarketLine	
  2014).	
  Factors	
  influencing	
  the	
  company’s	
  success	
  are	
  presented	
  in	
  the	
  
Strengths,	
  Weaknesses,	
  Opportunities	
  and	
  Threats	
  (SWOT)	
  analysis	
  shown	
  in	
  Figure	
  1	
  below.	
  
	
  
STRENGTHS
• Widely recognised international beauty brand.
• Strong portfolio of well-known products.
• Strong growth in anti-aging skin care products in
China.
• Brand repositioning has modernised brand and
increased the brand’s relevance to a broader
consumer base.
WEAKNESSES
• Dependency on 10 retail customers for 38%
of sales in 2013 reduces bargaining power.
• In June 2013 total debt exceeded $338
million, which could limit future operations
or capital purchases or acquisitions
• Potential supply chain disruptions due to
dependence on third-party manufacturers.
OPPORTUNITIES
• Increased demand for natural cosmetics.
• Sales of skincare and fragrances for men
expected to grow 20% over the next 4 years.
• Growth in online retail sales globally.
• Expansion into high-growth German, Brazilian
and Russian markets.
THREATS
• Counterfeit products could damage the
company’s image and reputation.
• Celebrity and designer fragrances
contributed 47% of net sales in 2013, but
the continued success demands on future
demand for these products.
Figure	
  1:	
  Elizabeth	
  Arden’s	
  SWOT	
  Analysis	
  
Adapted	
  from	
  MarketLine	
  (2014,	
  pp.	
  4-­‐8)	
  and	
  Elizabeth	
  Arden	
  (2013)	
  
	
  
Although	
  in	
  2013	
  the	
  company’s	
  revenue	
  exceeded	
  1.3	
  billion	
  dollars,	
  Elizabeth	
  Arden’s	
  net	
  
profit	
   decreased	
   by	
   29%	
   compared	
   to	
   2012	
   (MarketLine	
   2014).	
   Given	
   their	
   recent	
   poor	
  
financial	
   performance,	
   it	
   is	
   therefore	
   important	
   for	
   Elizabeth	
   Arden	
   to	
   evaluate	
   the	
  
effectiveness	
   of	
   sales	
   promotions.	
   Effective	
   promotions	
   may	
   also	
   offer	
   Elizabeth	
   Arden	
   a	
  
competitive	
  advantage	
  since	
  free-­‐gift	
  offers	
  stimulated	
  half	
  of	
  Estee	
  Lauder’s	
  sales	
  (Raghubir	
  
&	
  Celly	
  2011).	
  	
  
	
  
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  10	
  of	
  14	
  
Appendix	
  A	
  presents	
  an	
  ‘order	
  upgrade	
  promotion’	
  currently	
  available	
  from	
  Elizabeth	
  Arden’s	
  
online	
  store.	
  ‘The	
  Power	
  of	
  Color’	
  offer	
  is	
  valued	
  at	
  $134	
  and	
  features	
  a	
  bright	
  orange	
  tote	
  
bag	
  with	
  six	
  miniature	
  product	
  samples,	
  and	
  can	
  be	
  added	
  at	
  the	
  checkout	
  for	
  $29.50.	
  	
  
	
  
However,	
   compelling	
   evidence	
   from	
   consumer	
   behaviour	
   research	
   suggests	
   ‘The	
   Power	
   of	
  
Color’	
  promotion	
  will:	
  
• Cause	
  consumers	
  to	
  undervalue	
  the	
  six	
  sample	
  products	
  due	
  to	
  charging	
  a	
  low,	
  non-­‐
zero	
  price	
  for	
  the	
  offer	
  (Palmeira	
  &	
  Srivastava	
  2013).	
  	
  
• Increase	
  consumer’s	
  perceptions	
  of	
  product	
  quality	
  (Raghubir	
  &	
  Celly	
  2011)	
  due	
  to	
  
the	
  larger	
  visual	
  size	
  of	
  the	
  sample	
  products	
  in	
  the	
  advertisement.	
  	
  
• Not	
   reduce	
   consumption	
   guilt,	
   which	
   is	
   a	
   major	
   barrier	
   for	
   female	
   consumers	
  
purchasing	
  Elizabeth	
  Arden’s	
  non-­‐essential	
  cosmetics	
  (Lee-­‐Wingate	
  &	
  Cofrman	
  2010).	
  	
  
5.2. Recommendations	
  
Given	
  the	
  limitations	
  of	
  ‘The	
  Power	
  of	
  Color’	
  promotion	
  identified	
  in	
  section	
  5.1,	
  Elizabeth	
  
Arden	
  are	
  encouraged	
  to	
  adopt	
  following	
  five	
  evidence-­‐based	
  recommendations	
  to	
  improve	
  
the	
  effectiveness	
  of	
  their	
  promotional	
  activities.	
  
	
  
1. Ensure	
   all	
   future	
   Elizabeth	
   Arden	
   conditional	
   sales	
   promotions	
   offer	
   supplementary	
  
products	
  for	
  free	
  to	
  avoid	
  product	
  devaluation,	
  since	
  consumers	
  were	
  consistently	
  willing	
  
to	
  pay	
  higher	
  prices	
  after	
  a	
  promotion	
  finishes	
  if	
  the	
  supplementary	
  product	
  was	
  offered	
  
for	
   free	
   rather	
   than	
   at	
   a	
   low,	
   non-­‐zero	
   price	
   (Palmeira	
   &	
   Srivastava	
   2013).	
   This	
   type	
   of	
  
promotion	
   may	
   be	
   particularly	
   effective	
   to	
   create	
   a	
   high	
   price	
   expectation	
   for	
   new	
  
products.	
  
	
  
2. Package	
  free	
  supplementary	
  products	
  in	
  elaborate	
  gift-­‐wrapping	
  to	
  reduce	
  consumption	
  
guilt	
  by	
  highlighting	
  the	
  potential	
  to	
  give	
  the	
  free	
  gift	
  to	
  others	
  (Lee-­‐Wingate	
  &	
  Corfman	
  
2010).	
  
3. Change	
  ‘The	
  Power	
  of	
  Color’	
  promotion	
  to	
  a	
  free	
  gift	
  offered	
  only	
  to	
  customers	
  that	
  spend	
  
at	
  least	
  one-­‐hundred	
  dollars	
  at	
  Elizabeth	
  Arden’s	
  online	
  store.	
  Palmeira	
  and	
  Srivastava’s	
  
(2013)	
  study	
  proved	
  consumers	
  were	
  willing	
  to	
  pay	
  higher	
  prices	
  for	
  free	
  supplementary	
  
products	
  after	
  the	
  promotion	
  finished	
  when	
  they	
  were	
  required	
  to	
  pay	
  a	
  high	
  price	
  for	
  a	
  
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  11	
  of	
  14	
  
focal	
  product.	
  Assuming	
  a	
  consumer	
  decided	
  to	
  continue	
  using	
  two	
  products	
  they	
  sampled	
  
in	
   ‘The	
   Power	
   of	
   Color’	
   gift,	
   the	
   consumer’s	
   mental	
   reference	
   point	
   for	
   the	
   price	
   the	
  
sample	
  products	
  will	
  be	
  determined	
  by	
  the	
  one-­‐hundred	
  dollars	
  they	
  paid	
  to	
  get	
  the	
  ‘gift’	
  
(Palmeira	
  &	
  Srivastava	
  2013).	
  
4. Quickly	
  rectify	
  product	
  devaluation	
  by	
  introducing	
  a	
  new	
  price	
  reference	
  point	
  (Palmeira	
  &	
  
Srivastava	
  2013)	
  to	
  customers	
  that	
  have	
  already	
  purchased	
  ‘The	
  Power	
  of	
  Color’	
  offer	
  from	
  
Elizabeth	
   Arden’s	
   online	
   store.	
   This	
   could	
   be	
   achieved	
   by	
   sending	
   an	
   email	
   to	
   these	
  
customers	
  and	
  highlighting	
  the	
  usual	
  retail	
  prices	
  for	
  the	
  six	
  sample	
  products.	
  Correcting	
  
product	
  devaluation	
  from	
  any	
  recent	
  non-­‐zero	
  promotional	
  offer	
  is	
  particularly	
  important	
  
given	
  Elizabeth	
  Arden’s	
  poor	
  financial	
  performance	
  described	
  above.	
  	
  
	
  
5. Develop	
  free	
  offer	
  promotions	
  with	
  product	
  samples	
  specifically	
  for	
  men,	
  to	
  cater	
  for	
  the	
  
growing	
  demand	
  for	
  male	
  skincare	
  and	
  fragrance	
  products	
  identified	
  in	
  Figure	
  1,	
  and	
  to	
  
alleviate	
  guilt	
  from	
  female	
  consumers	
  (Lee-­‐Wingate	
  &	
  Corfman	
  2010).	
  
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  12	
  of	
  14	
  
Reference	
  List	
  
	
  
Adaval,	
  R&	
  Wyer,	
  RS	
  2011,	
  ‘Conscious	
  and	
  Nonconscious	
  Comparisons	
  with	
  Price	
  Anchors:	
  Effects	
  
on	
  Willingness	
  to	
  Pay	
  for	
  Related	
  and	
  Unrelated	
  Products’,	
  Journal	
  of	
  Marketing	
  Research,	
  vol.	
  48,	
  
no.	
  2,	
  pp.	
  355-­‐365.	
  	
  
	
  
Chandran,	
  S	
  &	
  Morwitz,	
  VG	
  2006,	
  ‘The	
  Price	
  of	
  ‘Free’-­‐Dom:	
  Consumer	
  Sensitivity	
  to	
  Promotions	
  
with	
  Negative	
  Contextual	
  Influences’,	
  Journal	
  of	
  Consumer	
  Research,	
  vol.	
  33,	
  no.	
  3,	
  pp.	
  384-­‐392.	
  	
  
	
  
Chitty,	
  W,	
  Baker,	
  N,	
  Valos,	
  M	
  &	
  Shimp,	
  TA	
  2012,	
  Integrated	
  marketing	
  communications,	
  3rd	
  edn,	
  
Cengage	
  Learning	
  Australia,	
  South	
  Melbourne.	
  
	
  
Elizabeth	
   Arden	
   2013,	
   Annual	
   Report	
   2013,	
   viewed	
   2	
   May	
   2014,	
   http://phx.corporate-­‐
ir.net/External.File?item=UGFyZW50SUQ9NTIwODM3fENoaWxkSUQ9MjA1NTA5fFR5cGU9MQ==&
t=1.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Gedenk,	
  K,	
  Neslin,	
  SA	
  &	
  Ailawadi,	
  KL	
  2010,	
  ‘Sales	
  Promotion’,	
  in	
  M	
  Krafft	
  &	
  MK	
  Mantrala	
  (eds),	
  
Retailing	
  in	
  the	
  21st	
  Century:	
  Current	
  and	
  Future	
  Trends,	
  2nd	
  edn,	
  Springer,	
  Heidelberg.	
  
	
  
Kamins,	
   MA,	
   Folkes,	
   VS	
   &	
   Fedorikhin,	
   A	
   2009,	
   ‘Promotional	
   Bundles	
   and	
   Consumers’	
   Price	
  
Judgments:	
  When	
  the	
  Best	
  Things	
  in	
  Life	
  Are	
  Not	
  Free’,	
  Journal	
  of	
  Consumer	
  Research,	
  vol.	
  36,	
  no.	
  
4,	
  pp.	
  660-­‐670.	
  
	
  
Lee-­‐Wingate,	
   N	
   &	
   Corfman,	
   KP	
   2010,	
   ‘A	
   little	
   something	
   for	
   me	
   and	
   maybe	
   for	
   you,	
   too:	
  
Promotions	
  that	
  relieve	
  guilt’,	
  Marketing	
  Letters,	
  vol.	
  21,	
  no.	
  4,	
  pp.	
  385-­‐395.	
  
	
  
Marketline	
   2014,	
   Elizabeth	
   Arden,	
   Inc.,	
   company	
   profile,	
   viewed	
   20	
   April	
   2014,	
   <MarketLine	
  
database>.	
  
	
  
Palmeira,	
  M	
  2011,	
  ‘The	
  Zero-­‐Comparison	
  Effect’,	
  Journal	
  of	
  Consumer	
  Research,	
  vol.	
  38,	
  no.	
  1,	
  pp.	
  
16-­‐26.	
  
	
  
Palmeira,	
  M	
  &	
  Srivastava,	
  J	
  2013,	
  'Free	
  offer	
  ≠	
  cheap	
  product:	
  a	
  selective	
  accessibility	
  account	
  on	
  
the	
  valuation	
  of	
  free	
  offers',	
  Journal	
  Of	
  Consumer	
  Research,	
  vol.	
  40,	
  no.	
  4,	
  pp.	
  644-­‐656.	
  
	
  
Raghubir,	
   P	
   2004,	
   ‘Free	
   Gift	
   with	
   Purchase:	
   Promoting	
   or	
   Discounting	
   the	
   Brand?’,	
   Journal	
   of	
  
Consumer	
  Psychology,	
  vol.	
  14,	
  no.	
  1-­‐2,	
  pp.	
  181-­‐185.	
  	
  
	
  
Raghubir,	
   P	
   2005,	
   ‘Framing	
   a	
   price	
   bundle:	
   the	
   case	
   of	
   “buy/get”	
   offers’,	
   Journal	
   of	
   Product	
   &	
  
Brand	
  Management,	
  vol.	
  14,	
  no.	
  2,	
  pp.	
  123-­‐128.	
  
	
  
Raghubir,	
   P	
   &	
   Celly,	
   KS	
   2011,	
   ‘Promoting	
   promotions:	
   Does	
   showcasing	
   free	
   gifts	
   backfire?’,	
  
Journal	
  of	
  Business	
  Research,	
  vol.	
  64,	
  no.	
  1,	
  pp.	
  55-­‐58.	
  
	
  
Shampanier,	
   K,	
   Mazar,	
   N	
   &	
   Ariely,	
   D	
   2007,	
   ‘Zero	
   as	
   a	
   Special	
   Price:	
   The	
   True	
   Value	
   of	
   Free	
  
Products’,	
  Marketing	
  Science,	
  vol.	
  26,	
  no.	
  6,	
  pp.	
  742-­‐757.	
  	
  
	
  
 
Buyer	
  Behaviour	
  Research	
  Article	
  Review	
   Prepared	
  by	
  Nicole	
  Brown	
  (May	
  2014)	
   Page	
  13	
  of	
  14	
  
Strack,	
   F	
   &	
   Mussweiler,	
   T	
   1997,	
   ‘Explaining	
   the	
   Enigmatic	
   Anchoring	
   Effect:	
   Mechanisms	
   of	
  
Selective	
  Accessibility’,	
  Journal	
  of	
  Personality	
  and	
  Social	
  Psychology,	
  vol.	
  73,	
  no.	
  3,	
  pp.	
  437-­‐446.	
  	
  
	
  
Tversky,	
  A	
  &	
  Kahneman,	
  D	
  1974,	
  ‘Judgment	
  under	
  Uncertainty:	
  Heuristics	
  and	
  Biases’,	
  Science,	
  vol.	
  
185,	
  no.	
  4157,	
  pp.	
  1124-­‐1130.	
  	
  

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buyer behav research article review

  • 1.     Buyer  Behaviour   Research  Article  Review       Topic:     The  influence  of     conditional  price  promotions     on  consumers’  estimates  of  a   product’s  true  value.     Prepared  by  Nicole  Brown   May  2014
  • 2.   Buyer  Behaviour  Research  Article  Review   Prepared  by  Nicole  Brown  (May  2014)   Page  i   Table  of  Contents     1.   Research  Problem  and  Objectives  _______________________________________________  1   1.1.   Research  Problem   ______________________________________________________  1   1.2.   Research  Objectives  _____________________________________________________  1   2.   Theory  and  Hypotheses  Overview  _______________________________________________  2   3.   Studies  and  Findings  Overview   _________________________________________________  3   3.1.   Experiment  1  Description  and  Key  Findings   __________________________________  3   3.2.   Experiment  2  Description  and  Key  Findings   __________________________________  3   3.3.   Experiment  3  Description  and  Key  Findings   __________________________________  4   3.4.   Experiment  4  Description  and  Key  Findings   __________________________________  5   3.5.   Experiment  5  Description  and  Key  Findings   __________________________________  5   4.   Theoretical  Contributions   _____________________________________________________  7   5.   Managerial  Implications  _______________________________________________________  9   5.1.   Real  world  organisation  background  and  SWOT  analysis  ________________________  9   5.2.   Recommendations  _____________________________________________________  10   Reference  List  __________________________________________________________________  12   Appendix  A:  Elizabeth  Arden’s  ‘The  Power  of  Color’  Order-­‐Upgrade  Promotion  ______________  14  
  • 3.   Buyer  Behaviour  Research  Article  Review   Prepared  by  Nicole  Brown  (May  2014)   Page  1  of  14   1. Research  Problem  and  Objectives   1.1. Research  Problem   Conditional   price   promotions   can   stimulate   short-­‐term   increases   in   product   sales   (Gedenk,   Neslin   &   Ailawadi   2010)   and   encourage   product   trial,   brand-­‐switching   and   increased   consumption  (Lee-­‐Wingate  &  Corfman  2010).  However,  constant  sales  promotion  can  teach   consumers  to  only  buy  products  when  prices  are  low  (Chitty  et  al.  2013).  To  avoid  negative   unintended  consequences  from  conditional  price  promotions,  Palmeira  and  Srivastava  (2013)   tested  previous  inferences  that  free  offers  caused  product  devaluation.   1.2. Research  Objectives   In  response  to  the  research  problem  identified  in  section  1.1,  Palmeira  and  Srivastava’s  (2013)   study   investigated   how   conditional   price   promotions   influence   consumers’   estimates   of   the   product’s   true   value   when   promotions   end.   This   study   specifically   investigated   whether   conditional  promotions  offering  supplementary  products  for  ‘free’  leads  to:   1. De-­‐valuation  after  the  promotion  ends.   2. More   de-­‐valuation   after   the   promotion   ends   compared   to   low,   non-­‐zero   price   promotions.   3. Different  emotional  reactions  compared  to  low,  non-­‐zero  price  promotions.   4. Less   meaningful   information   about   the   promoted   price   compared   to   low,   non-­‐zero   price  promotions.   5. Different  reactions  compared  to  promotions  that  use  the  number  zero  ($0.00).   6. Different  mental  reference  points  when  estimating  the  supplementary  product’s  true   value  compared  to  low,  non-­‐zero  price  promotions.   7. Persistent  mental  reference  points  about  the  supplementary  product’s  price  even  after   being  exposed  to  a  new  price.    
  • 4.   Buyer  Behaviour  Research  Article  Review   Prepared  by  Nicole  Brown  (May  2014)   Page  2  of  14   2. Theory  and  Hypotheses  Overview     The  ‘value  discounting  hypothesis’  describes  an  association  between  lower  prices  in  promotions   and  a  lowering  of  both  the  perceived  product  value  and  the  amount  a  consumer  would  be  willing   to  pay  for  the  product  (Raghubir  2005).  This  hypothesis  was  used  by  Raghubir  (2004)  to  support   his  conclusion  that  free  offers  devalue  products.  It  was  inferred  that  non-­‐zero  prices  would  cause   less  price  devaluation  because  free  products  are  perceived  as  inexpensive  (Raghubir  2004)  and   poor  quality  (Kamins,  Folkes  &  Fedorikhin  2009).       However,   Palmeira   and   Srivastava   (2013,   p.   655)   disputed   the   validity   of   Raghubir’s   findings   because  his  experiment  design  did  not  have  a  “control  condition  without  any  price  information”.   This  led  Palmeira  and  Srivastava  (2013)  to  hypothesise  that  after  a  conditional  promotion  ends,   consumers  offered  free  offers  are  prepared  to  pay  higher  prices  for  products  compared  to  those   offered  low,  non-­‐zero  promotion  prices.     Several   theories   were   considered   by   Palmeira   and   Srivastava   to   explain   why   consumers   react   differently  to  free  promotions,  including  the  assertions  that  zero  is  perceived  differently  to  other   very   small   numbers   (Palmeira   2011;   Shampanier,   Mazar   &   Ariely   2007).   It   also   appeared   that   consumers  process  free  offers  differently,  possibly  due  to  free  offers  inducing  disproportionate   excitement  (Chandran  &  Morwitz  2006)  and  more  positive  feelings  (Shampanier,  Mazar  &  Ariely   2007)  compared  to  non-­‐zero  price  offers.  This  led  to  the  hypothesis  that  consumers  perceive  free   offers  to  be  more  valuable  due  to  feelings  of  reciprocity  towards  marketers  (Palmeira  &  Srivastava   2013).     Palmeira  and  Srivastava  (2013)  asserted  the  underlying  mechanism  for  their  hypothesis  might  be   explained  by  the  ‘anchoring  effect’  described  by  Tversky  and  Kahneman  (1974).  This  anchoring   process   suggested   promotional   prices   act   as   a   mental   ‘reference   point’   that   influences   a   consumer’s  subsequent  numerical  judgments  when  estimating  the  product’s  value.  Palmeira  and   Srivastava   identified   the   ‘selective   accessibility   model’   (Strack   &   Mussweiler   1997)   as   the   most   appropriate  conceptualisation  of  how  consumers  access  information  that  is  consistent  with  the   mental   reference   point.   More   recent   research   by   Adaval   and   Wyer   (2011)   used   the   selective   accessibility  model  mechanism  to  explain  why  consumers  focused  on  the  reference  point’s  value   even  when  products  were  unrelated.      
  • 5.   Buyer  Behaviour  Research  Article  Review   Prepared  by  Nicole  Brown  (May  2014)   Page  3  of  14   3. Studies  and  Findings  Overview     This  section  briefly  describes  the  methods  and  findings  of  five  experiments  conducted  by  Palmeira   and  Srivastava  (2013,  pp.  647-­‐654).     3.1. Experiment  1  Description  and  Key  Findings   The   first   experiment   investigated   how   the   price   of   a   product   during   a   promotion   affected   consumer’s   estimates   of   the   product’s   true   value   when   the   promotion   ended.   The   study   participants  were  shown  a  promotion  for  either  pizza  with  bread  sticks,  or  pasta  sauce  with   spaghetti.  To  compare  the  effects  of  different  prices,  participants  were  randomly  assigned  to   see  four  different  prices  for  the  bread  sticks  and  spaghetti.  All  of  the  people  in  the  study  were   asked  how  much  they  would  be  prepared  to  pay  for  the  bread  sticks  or  spaghetti  when  the   promotion  ended.     This  experiment  showed  there  was  no  difference  in  the  price  estimates  for  the  bread  sticks  or   spaghetti   between   the   people   that   were   shown   the   full-­‐price   and   people   offered   these   products  for  free.  However,  the  estimated  price  of  the  bread  sticks  or  spaghetti  was  much   lower  when  the  promotion  offered  these  products  for  two  dollars,  and  the  price  estimation   was  even  lower  when  these  products  were  offered  for  fifty  cents.  On  the  basis  of  the  first   experiment,  the  researchers  concluded:   1. A   free   promotion   does   not   de-­‐value   the   supplementary   product   price   after   the   promotion  finishes.   2. When   supplementary   products   are   offered   for   free,   consumers   are   willing   to   pay   more  after  a  promotion  finishes  for  the  same  product  compared  to  non-­‐zero  price   offers.   3.2. Experiment  2  Description  and  Key  Findings   The   second   experiment   tried   to   identify   underlying   factors   that   might   cause   consumers   to   react  differently  to  a  free  promotion.  Study  participants  shown  were  a  picture  of  a  toothbrush   and  toothpaste,  which  also  presented  the  price  of  the  toothbrush.  To  compare  the  effects  of   different   prices,   participants   were   randomly   assigned   to   see   four   different   prices   for   the   toothpaste,  and  asked  the  price  they  would  be  prepared  to  pay  for  the  toothpaste  when  the   promotion  ended.  The  participants  also  rated  their  emotional  reactions  to  the  promotion.    
  • 6.   Buyer  Behaviour  Research  Article  Review   Prepared  by  Nicole  Brown  (May  2014)   Page  4  of  14   The   second   experiment   confirmed   the   findings   of   the   first   experiment.   There   was   no   difference  in  toothpaste  price  estimates  between  the  people  that  were  not  shown  the  price   and  people  offered  the  toothpaste  for  free.  Similarly  the  estimated  price  of  the  toothpaste   was  much  lower  when  the  promotion  price  was  twenty-­‐five  cents  or  one-­‐dollar.     Among  the  participants  offered  the  toothpaste  for  free,  twenty-­‐five  cents  or  one-­‐dollar,  this   study  showed  there  were  no  differences  in  the  participants’:   • Feelings  of  happiness,  excitement  and  interest  caused  by  the  promotion.  This  proved   that  free  offers  do  not  induce  more  positive  feelings  than  the  same  product  offered  at   a  lower-­‐price.   • Feelings  of  positivity,  gratitude,  appreciation,  closeness  and  interest  towards  the  brand.   This  proved  the  participants  did  not  see  the  free  offer  as  more  valuable  due  to  feelings   of  reciprocation.   3.3. Experiment  3  Description  and  Key  Findings   The   third   study   investigated   whether   promotions   with   non-­‐zero   prices   contain   more   meaningful  information  about  the  true  product  value.  The  study  participants  were  shown  a   promotion  for  either  pizza  with  chocolate  mousse,  or  pasta  with  a  jar  of  sauce.  To  compare   the   effects   of   different   prices,   participants   were   randomly   assigned   to   see   three   different   prices   for   the   chocolate   mousse   and   pasta   sauce   (free,   $0.00   and   $0.01).   Once   again   the   participants  were  asked  the  price  they  would  be  prepared  to  pay  for  the  chocolate  mousse  or   pasta  sauce  when  the  promotion  ended.     This  experiment  showed  there  was  no  different  in  the  price  estimates  for  chocolate  mousse   or  pasta  sauce  between  the  people  that  were  shown  the  word  ‘free’  or  the  price  ‘$0.00’.  In   contrast,   price   estimates   were   much   lower   among   the   participants   offered   the   chocolate   mousse  or  pasta  sauce  for  $0.01.  The  difference  in  price  estimates  occurred  despite  both  zero   and  one-­‐cent  being  totally  unrealistic  prices  for  chocolate  mousse  and  pasta  sauce.  On  this   basis,  the  researchers  concluded  the  participants  used  different  mental  reference  points  to   estimate  the  value  of  products  offered  for  zero  and  non-­‐zero  promotional  prices.  
  • 7.   Buyer  Behaviour  Research  Article  Review   Prepared  by  Nicole  Brown  (May  2014)   Page  5  of  14   3.4. Experiment  4  Description  and  Key  Findings   The  fourth  experiment  compared  the  reference  points  that  consumers  used  when  estimating   a  product’s  true  value  if  the  promotion  offered  the  product  for  free  or  at  a  low,  non-­‐zero   price.   Study   participants   were   shown   a   promotion   either   for   jewellery   or   wine   with   a   supplementary  product  (a  pendant  or  a  wine  thermometer,  respectively),  and  asked  the  price   they  would  be  prepared  to  pay  for  the  pendant  or  wine  thermometer  when  the  promotion   ended.     There   was   no   difference   in   the   participant’s   estimation   of   the   pendant’s   price   when   the   pendant  was  offered  for  five  dollars  when  they  spent  either  ninety-­‐nine  or  two-­‐hundred  and   ninety-­‐nine   dollars   on   jewellery.   Similarly,   there   was   no   difference   in   the   participant’s   estimation   of   the   wine   thermometer’s   price   when   the   thermometer   was   offered   for   five   dollars   when   they   spent   either   fifty   or   three-­‐hundred   dollars   on   wine.   The   researchers   concluded  that  when  a  complementary  product  is  offered  for  a  non-­‐zero  price,  this  non-­‐zero   price  acts  as  the  reference  point  to  estimate  the  product’s  true  value.       Different   results   were   observed   when   the   promotion   offered   the   pendant   or   wine   thermometer   for   free.   In   both   cases,   the   more   the   participant   was   required   to   spend   on   jewellery  ($300  vs.  $50)  or  wine  ($299  vs.  $99),  the  higher  their  estimate  of  the  pendant  or   thermometer’s   true   price.   The   researchers   therefore   concluded   that   when   supplementary   products   are   offered   for   free,   consumers   use   the   focal   product   (wine   or   jewellery)   as   the   reference  point  when  estimating  the  supplementary  product’s  true  value  use.   3.5. Experiment  5  Description  and  Key  Findings   The  final  experiment  investigated  whether  introducing  a  different  price  reference  point  would   change   the   participants’   original   price   estimations.   Study   participants   were   shown   a   promotion  for  a  box  of  pasta  (which  cost  $5.49)  and  a  bottle  of  sauce,  and  they  were  asked   twice   the   price   they   would   be   prepared   to   pay   for   the   pasta   sauce   when   the   promotion   ended.   To   compare   the   effect   of   two   different   price   reference   points,   participants   were   randomly  assigned  to  see  different:   • Initial  prices  for  the  bottle  of  pasta  sauce  (‘a  special  price’,  free  or  twenty-­‐five  cents).   • Subsequent  price  suggestions  for  the  pasta  sauce  (fifty-­‐cents  or  two-­‐dollars).      
  • 8.   Buyer  Behaviour  Research  Article  Review   Prepared  by  Nicole  Brown  (May  2014)   Page  6  of  14   When   the   participants   were   exposed   to   the   first   price   reference   point,   there   were   no   differences  in  the  participant’s  estimations  of  the  price  of  the  pasta  sauce  between  groups   that  saw  the  ‘special  price’  or  ‘free’  promotion,  while  the  group  that  saw  the  twenty-­‐five  cent   promotion  had  the  lowest  price  estimations.  However,  different  results  were  observed  when   the  same  participants  were  exposed  to  the  second  price  reference  point.       All  participants  that  were  told  the  pasta  sauce  normally  cost  six-­‐dollars  were  willing  to  pay  a   much  higher  price  compared  to  the  group  that  were  told  the  pasta  sauce  normally  cost  fifty-­‐ cents.  Since  the  new  price  reference  point  replaced  the  previous  reference  point,  the  authors   concluded   recovery   is   possible   when   low,   non-­‐zero   price   promotions   cause   supplementary   products  to  become  devalued.  
  • 9.   Buyer  Behaviour  Research  Article  Review   Prepared  by  Nicole  Brown  (May  2014)   Page  7  of  14   4. Theoretical  Contributions     Palmeira  and  Srivastava’s  study  extended  consumer  behaviour  theory  in  six  ways:     1. By   designing   an   experiment   with   a   control   condition,   Palmeira   and   Srivastava   refuted   Rahubir’s  (2004)  incorrect  conclusion  that  free  offers  de-­‐valued  products.  In  all  experiments   conducted   by   Palmeira   and   Srivastava   (2013)   the   participants   offered   free   supplementary   products   were   consistently   willing   to   pay   more   after   the   promotion   finished   for   the   same   product  compared  to  non-­‐zero  price  offers.     2. By   designing   experiments   that   controlled   for   confounding   factors,   Palmeira   and   Srivastava   proved   their   study   findings   were   not   compromised   by   free   offers   inducing   more   positive   feelings  or  feelings  of  reciprocity.   3. By   demonstrating   consumers   reacted   differently   to   zero   compared   to   other   very   small   numbers,   Palmeira   and   Srivastava’s   experiments   confirmed   the   findings   of   research   by   Palmeira  (2011)  and  Shampanier,  Mazar  and  Ariely  (2007).   4. By   providing   compelling   evidence   for   selective   accessibility   model,   Palmeira   and   Srivastava   explained  the  underlying  mechanism  that  caused  study  participants  in  different  contexts  to   consider  information  consistent  with  a  mental  reference  point.  When  supplementary  products   were  offered  for  low,  non-­‐zero  prices  during  conditional  promotions,  the  non-­‐zero  price  (even   as   low   as   one   cent)   acted   as   the   reference   point   to   estimate   the   supplementary   product’s   value.  Accordingly,  the  conceptual  selective  accessibility  model  explains  why  products  can  be   devalued  by  conditional  price  promotions  offering  the  supplementary  products  at  low,  non-­‐ zero  prices.     Since  zero  could  not  act  as  a  reference  point  when  supplementary  products  were  offered  for   free  during  conditional  promotions,  study  participants  used  other  contextual  information  (such   as   the   focal   product’s   price)   to   estimate   the   supplementary   product’s   value.   Therefore   the   conceptual   selective   accessibility   model   explains   why   free   promotions   do   not   de-­‐value   the   supplementary  product  price  after  the  promotion  finishes.    
  • 10.   Buyer  Behaviour  Research  Article  Review   Prepared  by  Nicole  Brown  (May  2014)   Page  8  of  14   5. By   proving   the   participant’s   mental   reference   point   could   be   shifted   by   introducing   a   new   price,  Palmeira  and  Srivastava  also  offered  hope  to  companies  that  have  experienced  product   devaluation.     6. By   identifying   gaps   in   consumer   behaviour   theory,   Palmeira   and   Srivastava   suggested   researchers   investigate   specific   promotion   conditions   that   cause   a   consumer’s   thoughts   to   switch  from  the  product’s  value  to  making  negative  inferences.    
  • 11.   Buyer  Behaviour  Research  Article  Review   Prepared  by  Nicole  Brown  (May  2014)   Page  9  of  14   5. Managerial  Implications     The   final   section   of   this   report   will   explain   how   Palmeira   and   Srivastava’s   (2013)   theoretical   findings   can   be   translated   into   evidence-­‐based   practice   by   the   marketing   management   in   real-­‐ world  organisations.   5.1. Real  world  organisation  background  and  SWOT  analysis   Elizabeth   Arden   manufactures   and   markets   fragrances,   skin   care   and   cosmetics   in   120   countries  (MarketLine  2014).  Factors  influencing  the  company’s  success  are  presented  in  the   Strengths,  Weaknesses,  Opportunities  and  Threats  (SWOT)  analysis  shown  in  Figure  1  below.     STRENGTHS • Widely recognised international beauty brand. • Strong portfolio of well-known products. • Strong growth in anti-aging skin care products in China. • Brand repositioning has modernised brand and increased the brand’s relevance to a broader consumer base. WEAKNESSES • Dependency on 10 retail customers for 38% of sales in 2013 reduces bargaining power. • In June 2013 total debt exceeded $338 million, which could limit future operations or capital purchases or acquisitions • Potential supply chain disruptions due to dependence on third-party manufacturers. OPPORTUNITIES • Increased demand for natural cosmetics. • Sales of skincare and fragrances for men expected to grow 20% over the next 4 years. • Growth in online retail sales globally. • Expansion into high-growth German, Brazilian and Russian markets. THREATS • Counterfeit products could damage the company’s image and reputation. • Celebrity and designer fragrances contributed 47% of net sales in 2013, but the continued success demands on future demand for these products. Figure  1:  Elizabeth  Arden’s  SWOT  Analysis   Adapted  from  MarketLine  (2014,  pp.  4-­‐8)  and  Elizabeth  Arden  (2013)     Although  in  2013  the  company’s  revenue  exceeded  1.3  billion  dollars,  Elizabeth  Arden’s  net   profit   decreased   by   29%   compared   to   2012   (MarketLine   2014).   Given   their   recent   poor   financial   performance,   it   is   therefore   important   for   Elizabeth   Arden   to   evaluate   the   effectiveness   of   sales   promotions.   Effective   promotions   may   also   offer   Elizabeth   Arden   a   competitive  advantage  since  free-­‐gift  offers  stimulated  half  of  Estee  Lauder’s  sales  (Raghubir   &  Celly  2011).      
  • 12.   Buyer  Behaviour  Research  Article  Review   Prepared  by  Nicole  Brown  (May  2014)   Page  10  of  14   Appendix  A  presents  an  ‘order  upgrade  promotion’  currently  available  from  Elizabeth  Arden’s   online  store.  ‘The  Power  of  Color’  offer  is  valued  at  $134  and  features  a  bright  orange  tote   bag  with  six  miniature  product  samples,  and  can  be  added  at  the  checkout  for  $29.50.       However,   compelling   evidence   from   consumer   behaviour   research   suggests   ‘The   Power   of   Color’  promotion  will:   • Cause  consumers  to  undervalue  the  six  sample  products  due  to  charging  a  low,  non-­‐ zero  price  for  the  offer  (Palmeira  &  Srivastava  2013).     • Increase  consumer’s  perceptions  of  product  quality  (Raghubir  &  Celly  2011)  due  to   the  larger  visual  size  of  the  sample  products  in  the  advertisement.     • Not   reduce   consumption   guilt,   which   is   a   major   barrier   for   female   consumers   purchasing  Elizabeth  Arden’s  non-­‐essential  cosmetics  (Lee-­‐Wingate  &  Cofrman  2010).     5.2. Recommendations   Given  the  limitations  of  ‘The  Power  of  Color’  promotion  identified  in  section  5.1,  Elizabeth   Arden  are  encouraged  to  adopt  following  five  evidence-­‐based  recommendations  to  improve   the  effectiveness  of  their  promotional  activities.     1. Ensure   all   future   Elizabeth   Arden   conditional   sales   promotions   offer   supplementary   products  for  free  to  avoid  product  devaluation,  since  consumers  were  consistently  willing   to  pay  higher  prices  after  a  promotion  finishes  if  the  supplementary  product  was  offered   for   free   rather   than   at   a   low,   non-­‐zero   price   (Palmeira   &   Srivastava   2013).   This   type   of   promotion   may   be   particularly   effective   to   create   a   high   price   expectation   for   new   products.     2. Package  free  supplementary  products  in  elaborate  gift-­‐wrapping  to  reduce  consumption   guilt  by  highlighting  the  potential  to  give  the  free  gift  to  others  (Lee-­‐Wingate  &  Corfman   2010).   3. Change  ‘The  Power  of  Color’  promotion  to  a  free  gift  offered  only  to  customers  that  spend   at  least  one-­‐hundred  dollars  at  Elizabeth  Arden’s  online  store.  Palmeira  and  Srivastava’s   (2013)  study  proved  consumers  were  willing  to  pay  higher  prices  for  free  supplementary   products  after  the  promotion  finished  when  they  were  required  to  pay  a  high  price  for  a  
  • 13.   Buyer  Behaviour  Research  Article  Review   Prepared  by  Nicole  Brown  (May  2014)   Page  11  of  14   focal  product.  Assuming  a  consumer  decided  to  continue  using  two  products  they  sampled   in   ‘The   Power   of   Color’   gift,   the   consumer’s   mental   reference   point   for   the   price   the   sample  products  will  be  determined  by  the  one-­‐hundred  dollars  they  paid  to  get  the  ‘gift’   (Palmeira  &  Srivastava  2013).   4. Quickly  rectify  product  devaluation  by  introducing  a  new  price  reference  point  (Palmeira  &   Srivastava  2013)  to  customers  that  have  already  purchased  ‘The  Power  of  Color’  offer  from   Elizabeth   Arden’s   online   store.   This   could   be   achieved   by   sending   an   email   to   these   customers  and  highlighting  the  usual  retail  prices  for  the  six  sample  products.  Correcting   product  devaluation  from  any  recent  non-­‐zero  promotional  offer  is  particularly  important   given  Elizabeth  Arden’s  poor  financial  performance  described  above.       5. Develop  free  offer  promotions  with  product  samples  specifically  for  men,  to  cater  for  the   growing  demand  for  male  skincare  and  fragrance  products  identified  in  Figure  1,  and  to   alleviate  guilt  from  female  consumers  (Lee-­‐Wingate  &  Corfman  2010).  
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