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Update on Water Finance
Debt Capital Markets
Christopher R. Kaminker, PhD
Senior Advisor, Head of Research
Climate & Sustainable Finance, SEB
christopher.kaminker@seb.se
CONFIDENTIAL – NOT
FOR DISTRIBUTION
This presentation is solely for the use of the
intended audience. No part of it may be circulated,
quoted or reproduced without prior written approval
from SEB. This material was used during an oral
presentation; it is not a complete record of the
discussion.
1
A decade of Green Bonds
Creating a Green Bond Framework according to The Green Bond Principles
International Market Practice and Investor Expectations
The five pillars Considerations
Use of proceeds
 Strict criteria vs. strong governance
 How to navigate through requirements for strong governance
 What kind of technologies can be considered Green?
 New financing vs. refinancing
Process for
project evaluation
and selection
 How to pool internal competence around green
 Implementation of Green financing into existing infrastructure
 How to secure ongoing monitoring
Management of
proceeds
 How to earmark or otherwise track the Green Bond proceeds
 What are the options for financial institutions
 How to utilise existing infrastructure to secure traceability of Green Bond proceeds
Reporting
 Decide on format
 What impact parameters can be relevant for a specific Green Bond portfolio
 Efforts to develop further impact reporting
Assurance through
independent
external review
 SEB will manage the second opinion process
 SEB will provide support to the issuer through the second opinion process
SEB acted as Joint Green
Structuring Advisor on HSBCs Green
Bond framework and CICERO
second opinion
 The green bond framework consists of five pillars (definition, selection, traceability, reporting, external review)
 SEB will actively support the issuer through its internal implementation process drawing on experience providing
increased efficiency to processes (see table below)
Second Opinion on
KfW's Green Bond Framework
SEB acted as Green Structuring Advisor
on KfWs Green Bond framework and
CICERO second opinion
3
Why Green Bonds? Broadly endorsed by global leaders
 ”For investors, green bond markets offer a stable, rated and liquid
investment with long duration. For issuers, green bonds are a way to tap
the huge US$100 trillion pool of patient private capital managed by global
institutional fixed-income investors.”
 “The development of this new global asset class is an opportunity to
advance a low carbon future while raising global investment and spurring
growth.”
Mark Carney
Governor of the Bank of England
Chairman of the Financial Stability Board
Source: "Resolving the climate paradox - speech by Mark Carney" given at the Arthur
Burns Memorial Lecture, Berlin (2016)
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/speech/2016/resolving-the-climate-paradox
USD 525 bn in 10 Years
5
6
Green bond market to move sideways in 2018
A year of healthy consolidation
7
Global Green Bond Market by Sector, Yield and Maturity
Note: Excludes project bonds, ABS and US Municipal
Source: SEB analysis using Bloomberg BVAL pricing (Sept 21, 2018)
8
Green Bond Reporting: Use of Proceeds
9
Green bonds and water financing
Over USD 170bn of issuance where water identified ex ante as use of proceeds in green bond framework
10
11
Green bonds and water financing
Over USD 170bn of issuance where water identified ex ante as use of proceeds in green bond framework
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
YTD
Green
91%
Sustainability
6%
Social
3%
USD 579 billion Sustainable Bond Market
Green dominates, but Sustainability and Social Bonds taking off since launch of the
Social Bond Principles and Sustainability Bond Guidelines in 2017
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
YTD
Green Sustainability Social
Sustainable Bond issuance by type (USD Bn) Sustainable Bond issuance by type (% Share)
Sustainable Bond
Cumulative Issuance
USD 526 bn
USD 20 bn
USD 33 bn
Source: SEB analysis based on Bloomberg and SEB data (7 November 2018) * Note: 2018 figures are likely to be revised upwards as undiscoverable US Muni, Chinese ABS/MBS, project bonds and private placements are catalogued
152
13
14
European Investment Bank
Key Terms
EUR 500m Inaugural Sustainability Awareness Bond
Transaction Overview
About European Investment Bank
 Owned by the 28 Member States of the European Union (EU), the European Investment Bank (EIB)
is the EU's long-term lending institution. As a public bank with objectives driven by EU-policies, its
leading priority is to promote Europeaneconomic development and integration.
 Sustainability Awareness Bonds (SABs) complement EIB Climate Awareness Bonds (CABs) by
extending the same approach from climate to further areas of environmental and social
sustainability. The proceeds of this Bond will be allocated to EIB’s lending activities contributing to
sustainability objectives in line with EU legislation, e.g. those included in the Proposal at this stage:
• sustainable use and protection of water and marine resources;
• transition to a circular economy, waste preventionand recycling;
• pollution prevention and control;
• protection of healthy ecosystems
Transaction Rationale and highlights
 On 6th of September, SEB acted as joint lead manager when EIB successfully issued it’s inaugural
EUR denominated8-year Sustainability Awareness Bond.
 The EUR 500m 8 year fixed rate SAB transaction was jointly led by Bank of America Merrill Lynch,
Crédit Agricole, Commerzbank, SEB and UniCredit.
 The transaction follows an extensive road show in which SEB held investor meetings and an
investor lunch in Stockholm on 23rd September where EIB presented their new Sustainable
Awareness Bond.
Transaction Process
 The mandate was announced at 18:05 CET on September 5th, with indication that the transaction
would be launched in the near future. On September 6th books opened at 09:06 CET with guidance
at MS – 18 area and size EUR 500m, no grow. The orderbook quickly gained momentum and the
first book update came at 10:23 CET with books above EUR 700m and guidance still at MS -18
area. Continued support from investors allowed EIB to tighten the spread to MS -19a at 10:55 CET
while books had grown to above EUR 950m. Final terms was announced at 11:14 CET with the
spread set at MS -20bps and orderbooks above EUR 1.1bn, the orderbooks closed at 11:30 CET.
Distribution Statistics
 Over 50 investors participated in the transaction and around 2/3 of the allocation went to SRI
accounts. The orderbook consisted of investors from 28% Benelux, 21% Nordics, 18% Asia, 13%
Germany/Austria, 13% UK, 3% Italy, 3% France and 1% Other. In terms of Investor type; 33%
Pension/Insurance, 33% Banks, 18% Central banks/Official institutions and 16% Fund managers.
EUR 500m
Due May 2026
Sustainable Awareness Bond
Joint lead manager
Issuer European Investment Bank
Status Senior unsecured
Instrument Rating Aaa / AAA / AAA (Moody’s / S&P / Fitch)
Nominal Amount EUR 500 million
Documentation EMTN Programme
Trade Date 6 September 2018
Settlement Date 13 September 2018
Maturity Date 15 May 2026
Coupon Fixed 0.375%, Annually
Coupon payment
days
15 May each year, short first coupon from 13 September
2018
Re-offer Price 99.474%
Re-offer Spread MS - 20bps
Reference
Benchmark
DBR 0.5% 02/2026
Re-offer Spread vs
Reference Bmark
+ 37bps
Denominations EUR 1k
Listing Luxembourg Stock Exchange’s Regulated Market
Law Luxembourg
Investor Allocation: Geography
Investor Allocation – Type
Benelux 28%
Nordics 21%
Asia 18%
Germany /
Austria 13%
UK 13%
Italy 3%
France 3%
Other 1%
Pension/I
nsurance
33%
Banks
33%
CB/OI
18%
Fund
Manager
16%
Broader bond universe: Water sector accounts for 8% (USD 101 bn) of environmentally-
aligned universe, or. Labelled green bonds with proceeds allocated only to water represent
USD 17bn. 81% are unlabelled bonds issued from fully-aligned issuers (USD81bn)
and 2% from strongly-aligned issuers (USD1.7bn).
16
Source: Climate Bonds Initiative
S&P found 717 ratings over last 2 years where
environment and climate risks were a material
factor in the analysis and 106 where these led
directly to a rating action
Findings
S&P look-back study of environmental risks on bond ratings
The materiality of water-related risk
Source: S&P (2018)
Downgrade;
41%
CreditWatch
negative; 4%
Outlook to
negative; 8%
Outlook to
stable from
positive; 3%
Outlook to
stable from
negative; 10%
Outlook to
positive; 10%
CreditWatch
positive; 5%
Upgrade; 19%
17
Downgrade
49%
CreditWatc
h negative
4%
Outlook to
negative
from stable
11%
Outlook to
stable from
positive
7%
Outlook to
positive
4%
Upgrade
25%
S&P found 169 ratings over last 2 years where
water risks were a material factor in the analysis
and 28 where these led directly to a rating action
SEB Impact Metric Portfolio Tool
A new scalable quantitative model to measure impact
18
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, any securities or related financial instruments, or to engage in a particular trading or
investment strategy. The company should not construe the contents of this presentation as legal, tax, accounting or investment advice or a recommendation in respect of asset allocation or a particular investment. This presentation does not purport to
be all-inclusive or to contain all of the material information that the company may require when making an investment decision. The instruments presented herein may not be appropriate for all investors. Prior to making any investment decision, the
company should conduct an independent investigation of the instruments described herein and should consult its own counsel, tax and financial advisors as to legal and related matters concerning any potential investment decision. No investment,
divestment or other financial decisions or actions should be based solely on the information in this presentation.
This statement affects your rights
This research report has been compiled by SEB Merchant Banking, a division within Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (publ) ( SEB ) to provide background information only. It is confidential to the recipient, any dissemination, distribution, copying,
or other use of this communication is strictly prohibited.Good faith & limitations Opinions, projections and estimates contained in this report represent the author s present opinion and are subject to change without notice. Although information
contained in this report has been compiled in good faith from sources believed tobe reliable, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made with respect to its correctness, completeness or accuracy of the contents, and the information is
not to be relied upon as authoritative. To the extent permitted by law, SEB accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from use of this document or its contents.
Disclosures
The analysis and valuations, projections and forecasts contained in this report are based on a number of assumptions and estimates and are subject to contingencies and uncertainties; different assumptions could result in materially different results.
The inclusion of any such valuations, projections and forecasts in this report should not be regarded as a representation or warranty by or on behainvestor of the SEB Group or any person or entity within the SEB Group that such valuations,
projections and forecasts or their underlying assumptions and estimates will be met or realized. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or incomeof
any security or related investment mentioned in this report. Anyone considering taking actions based upon the content of this document is urged to base investment decisions upon such investigations as they deem necessary. This documentdoes not
constitute an offer or an invitation to make an offer, or solicitation of, any offer to subscribe for any securities or other financial instruments.
Conflicts of Interest
SEB has in place a Conflicts of Interest Policy designed, amongst other things, to promote the independence and objectivity of reports produced by SEB Merchant Banking s Research department, which is separated from the rest of SEB business
areas by information barriers; as such, research reports are independent and based solely on publicly available information. Your attention is drawn to the fact that a member of, or an entity associated with, SEB or its affiliates, officers, directors,
employees or shareholders of such members (a) may be represented on the board of directors or similar supervisory entity of the companies mentioned herein (b) may, to the extent permitted by law, have a position in the securities of (or options,
warrants or rights with respect to, or interest in the securities of the companies mentioned herein or may make a market or act as principal in any transactions in such securities (c) may, acting as principal or as agent, deal in investments in or with
companies mentioned herein, and (d) may from time to time provide investment banking, underwriting or other services to, or solicit investment banking, underwriting or other business from the companies mentioned herein.
Recipients
In the UK, this report is directed at and is for distribution only to (I) persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order
2005 (The Order ) or (II) high net worth entities falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as relevant persons . This report must not be acted on or relied upon by persons in the UK who are not
relevant persons. In the US, this report is distributed solely to persons who qualify as major U.S. institutional investors as defined in Rule 15a-6 under the Securities Exchange Act. U.S. persons wishing to effect transactions in any security discussed
herein should do so by contacting SEBEI. The distribution of this document may be restricted in certain jurisdictions by law, and persons into whose possession this documents comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such
restrictions.
The SEB Group: members, memberships and regulators
Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (publ) is incorporated in Sweden, as a Limited Liability Company. It is regulated by Finansinspektionen, and by the local financial regulators in each of the jurisdictions in which it has branches or
subsidiaries,including in the UK, by the Financial Services Authority; Denmark by Finanstilsynet; Finland by Finanssivalvonta; and Germany by Bundesanstalt f r Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht. In Norway, SEB Enskilda AS ( ESO ) is regulated by
Finanstilsynet. Inthe US, SEB Enskilda Inc ( SEBEI ) is a U.S. broker-dealer, registered with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA). SEBEI and ESO are direct subsidiaries of SEB. SEB is active on major Nordic and other European
Regulated Marketsand Multilateral Trading Facilities, in as well as other non-European equivalent markets, for trading in financial instruments. For a list of execution venues of which SEB is a member or participant, visit http://www.seb.se.
19

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3rd-Roundtable-Financing-Water-Presentation-Christopher-Kaminker

  • 1. Update on Water Finance Debt Capital Markets Christopher R. Kaminker, PhD Senior Advisor, Head of Research Climate & Sustainable Finance, SEB christopher.kaminker@seb.se CONFIDENTIAL – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION This presentation is solely for the use of the intended audience. No part of it may be circulated, quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from SEB. This material was used during an oral presentation; it is not a complete record of the discussion. 1
  • 2. A decade of Green Bonds
  • 3. Creating a Green Bond Framework according to The Green Bond Principles International Market Practice and Investor Expectations The five pillars Considerations Use of proceeds  Strict criteria vs. strong governance  How to navigate through requirements for strong governance  What kind of technologies can be considered Green?  New financing vs. refinancing Process for project evaluation and selection  How to pool internal competence around green  Implementation of Green financing into existing infrastructure  How to secure ongoing monitoring Management of proceeds  How to earmark or otherwise track the Green Bond proceeds  What are the options for financial institutions  How to utilise existing infrastructure to secure traceability of Green Bond proceeds Reporting  Decide on format  What impact parameters can be relevant for a specific Green Bond portfolio  Efforts to develop further impact reporting Assurance through independent external review  SEB will manage the second opinion process  SEB will provide support to the issuer through the second opinion process SEB acted as Joint Green Structuring Advisor on HSBCs Green Bond framework and CICERO second opinion  The green bond framework consists of five pillars (definition, selection, traceability, reporting, external review)  SEB will actively support the issuer through its internal implementation process drawing on experience providing increased efficiency to processes (see table below) Second Opinion on KfW's Green Bond Framework SEB acted as Green Structuring Advisor on KfWs Green Bond framework and CICERO second opinion 3
  • 4. Why Green Bonds? Broadly endorsed by global leaders  ”For investors, green bond markets offer a stable, rated and liquid investment with long duration. For issuers, green bonds are a way to tap the huge US$100 trillion pool of patient private capital managed by global institutional fixed-income investors.”  “The development of this new global asset class is an opportunity to advance a low carbon future while raising global investment and spurring growth.” Mark Carney Governor of the Bank of England Chairman of the Financial Stability Board Source: "Resolving the climate paradox - speech by Mark Carney" given at the Arthur Burns Memorial Lecture, Berlin (2016) https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/speech/2016/resolving-the-climate-paradox
  • 5. USD 525 bn in 10 Years 5
  • 6. 6
  • 7. Green bond market to move sideways in 2018 A year of healthy consolidation 7
  • 8. Global Green Bond Market by Sector, Yield and Maturity Note: Excludes project bonds, ABS and US Municipal Source: SEB analysis using Bloomberg BVAL pricing (Sept 21, 2018) 8
  • 9. Green Bond Reporting: Use of Proceeds 9
  • 10. Green bonds and water financing Over USD 170bn of issuance where water identified ex ante as use of proceeds in green bond framework 10
  • 11. 11 Green bonds and water financing Over USD 170bn of issuance where water identified ex ante as use of proceeds in green bond framework
  • 12. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD Green 91% Sustainability 6% Social 3% USD 579 billion Sustainable Bond Market Green dominates, but Sustainability and Social Bonds taking off since launch of the Social Bond Principles and Sustainability Bond Guidelines in 2017 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD Green Sustainability Social Sustainable Bond issuance by type (USD Bn) Sustainable Bond issuance by type (% Share) Sustainable Bond Cumulative Issuance USD 526 bn USD 20 bn USD 33 bn Source: SEB analysis based on Bloomberg and SEB data (7 November 2018) * Note: 2018 figures are likely to be revised upwards as undiscoverable US Muni, Chinese ABS/MBS, project bonds and private placements are catalogued 152
  • 13. 13
  • 14. 14
  • 15. European Investment Bank Key Terms EUR 500m Inaugural Sustainability Awareness Bond Transaction Overview About European Investment Bank  Owned by the 28 Member States of the European Union (EU), the European Investment Bank (EIB) is the EU's long-term lending institution. As a public bank with objectives driven by EU-policies, its leading priority is to promote Europeaneconomic development and integration.  Sustainability Awareness Bonds (SABs) complement EIB Climate Awareness Bonds (CABs) by extending the same approach from climate to further areas of environmental and social sustainability. The proceeds of this Bond will be allocated to EIB’s lending activities contributing to sustainability objectives in line with EU legislation, e.g. those included in the Proposal at this stage: • sustainable use and protection of water and marine resources; • transition to a circular economy, waste preventionand recycling; • pollution prevention and control; • protection of healthy ecosystems Transaction Rationale and highlights  On 6th of September, SEB acted as joint lead manager when EIB successfully issued it’s inaugural EUR denominated8-year Sustainability Awareness Bond.  The EUR 500m 8 year fixed rate SAB transaction was jointly led by Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Crédit Agricole, Commerzbank, SEB and UniCredit.  The transaction follows an extensive road show in which SEB held investor meetings and an investor lunch in Stockholm on 23rd September where EIB presented their new Sustainable Awareness Bond. Transaction Process  The mandate was announced at 18:05 CET on September 5th, with indication that the transaction would be launched in the near future. On September 6th books opened at 09:06 CET with guidance at MS – 18 area and size EUR 500m, no grow. The orderbook quickly gained momentum and the first book update came at 10:23 CET with books above EUR 700m and guidance still at MS -18 area. Continued support from investors allowed EIB to tighten the spread to MS -19a at 10:55 CET while books had grown to above EUR 950m. Final terms was announced at 11:14 CET with the spread set at MS -20bps and orderbooks above EUR 1.1bn, the orderbooks closed at 11:30 CET. Distribution Statistics  Over 50 investors participated in the transaction and around 2/3 of the allocation went to SRI accounts. The orderbook consisted of investors from 28% Benelux, 21% Nordics, 18% Asia, 13% Germany/Austria, 13% UK, 3% Italy, 3% France and 1% Other. In terms of Investor type; 33% Pension/Insurance, 33% Banks, 18% Central banks/Official institutions and 16% Fund managers. EUR 500m Due May 2026 Sustainable Awareness Bond Joint lead manager Issuer European Investment Bank Status Senior unsecured Instrument Rating Aaa / AAA / AAA (Moody’s / S&P / Fitch) Nominal Amount EUR 500 million Documentation EMTN Programme Trade Date 6 September 2018 Settlement Date 13 September 2018 Maturity Date 15 May 2026 Coupon Fixed 0.375%, Annually Coupon payment days 15 May each year, short first coupon from 13 September 2018 Re-offer Price 99.474% Re-offer Spread MS - 20bps Reference Benchmark DBR 0.5% 02/2026 Re-offer Spread vs Reference Bmark + 37bps Denominations EUR 1k Listing Luxembourg Stock Exchange’s Regulated Market Law Luxembourg Investor Allocation: Geography Investor Allocation – Type Benelux 28% Nordics 21% Asia 18% Germany / Austria 13% UK 13% Italy 3% France 3% Other 1% Pension/I nsurance 33% Banks 33% CB/OI 18% Fund Manager 16%
  • 16. Broader bond universe: Water sector accounts for 8% (USD 101 bn) of environmentally- aligned universe, or. Labelled green bonds with proceeds allocated only to water represent USD 17bn. 81% are unlabelled bonds issued from fully-aligned issuers (USD81bn) and 2% from strongly-aligned issuers (USD1.7bn). 16 Source: Climate Bonds Initiative
  • 17. S&P found 717 ratings over last 2 years where environment and climate risks were a material factor in the analysis and 106 where these led directly to a rating action Findings S&P look-back study of environmental risks on bond ratings The materiality of water-related risk Source: S&P (2018) Downgrade; 41% CreditWatch negative; 4% Outlook to negative; 8% Outlook to stable from positive; 3% Outlook to stable from negative; 10% Outlook to positive; 10% CreditWatch positive; 5% Upgrade; 19% 17 Downgrade 49% CreditWatc h negative 4% Outlook to negative from stable 11% Outlook to stable from positive 7% Outlook to positive 4% Upgrade 25% S&P found 169 ratings over last 2 years where water risks were a material factor in the analysis and 28 where these led directly to a rating action
  • 18. SEB Impact Metric Portfolio Tool A new scalable quantitative model to measure impact 18
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