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John R. Labadie

Partners in Emergency Preparedness
            April 26, 2011
             p
O    i
Overview
 The Emergency Manager’s Worldview
    e   e ge cy a age s o d e

 Some definitions


 Mitigation and Adaptation
      g             p

 Where does climate change fit?


 A seat at the table
You and Your Premonition !!
O C       t Cli t P bl      S t
Our Current Climate Problem Set
Wh t Will Cli t Ch       L k Lik ?
What Will Climate Change Look Like?


                ?           ?
    ?




                 ?          ?
        ?
h                   ’     ld
The Emergency Manager’s Worldview
 A focus on extreme events
 Acute  vs.  chronic hazards (floods vs. droughts)
 An “all‐hazards” approach to preparing for disasters
  An  all hazards  approach to preparing for disasters
 A shorter event horizon (5 years vs. 75‐100 years)
 A shorter planning and operational cycle
    Mitigation – Preparedness – Response – Recovery 


 “Will current plans, actions, mitigation make things 
  better during the next flood (storm, earthquake, 
  hurricane, etc.)?”
  h              ) ”
An Interesting Debate
 “Climate change is a wholly new threat/hazard and 
  “Cli      h     i     h ll      h     /h    d  d 
 thereby requires a unique set of responses.” 

 “Climate change only makes existing hazards worse (in 
 terms of severity, duration, geographic spread, etc.) 
 and does not require special or novel adaptations.”

                And, by extension…
 When does “emergency” become “business as usual?”
Some Definitions
 Mitigation (Emergency Management)

  activities that reduce or eliminate the 
  probability of a hazard occurrence, or 
  eliminate or reduce the impact from the 
   li i         d   h  i          f     h  
  hazard if it should occur. 

        (ICDRM/GWU Emergency Management 
                Glossary of Terms)
E i       t l iti ti
Environmental mitigation
 steps taken to avoid or minimize negative 
  steps taken to a oid or minimi e negati e
 environmental impacts. Mitigation can 
 include: avoiding the impact by not taking a 
                  g      p      y          g
 certain action; minimizing impacts by limiting 
 the degree or magnitude of the action; 
 rectifying the impact by repairing or restoring
 rectifying the impact by repairing or restoring
 the affected environment; reducing the 
 impact by protective steps required with the 
    p     yp              p q
 action; and compensating for the impact by 
 replacing or providing substitute resources.
  (Biology Online.)
  (Bi l    O li )
Mitigation – Climate Change
 “An anthropogenic intervention to reduce the 
 sources or enhance the sinks of greenhouse 
 gases” (IPCC).

 I. e., actions taken by individuals, governments,  
                   k b      d d l
 or corporations to reduce the greenhouse gas 
 emissions in order to minimize their effects on 
 global climate change.
Adaptation
 Changes in an organism s physiological 
  Changes in an organism's physiological 
 structure or function or habits that allow it to 
 survive in new surroundings. (USEPA. Terms 
 of Environment:  Glossary, Abbreviations and 
 of Environment:  Glossary  Abbreviations and 
 Acronyms)


 "adjustment in natural or human systems 
 in response to actual or expected climatic 
 stimuli or their effects, which moderates 
  ti   li   th i   ff t   hi h     d t  
 harm or exploits beneficial opportunities." 
 (IPCC)
Members of the Maldives' Cabinet donned scuba gear and used hand signals Saturday at 
Members of the Maldives Cabinet donned scuba gear and used hand signals Saturday at
an underwater meeting staged to highlight the threat of global warming to the lowest‐
lying nation on earth.  (2009)
 Adaptive Capacity ‐‐ “...the ability or 
 potential of a system to respond 
 successfully to climate variability and 
 change, and includes adjustments in both 
 behaviour and in resources and 
 technologies.” (IPCC) 


 Resilience ‐‐ The ability of a community to 
 remain strong or unharmed, and/or to be 
               g              ,     /
 able to quickly and effectively recover from 
 a disaster’s impact upon its infrastructure, 
 economy, social and natural environment. 
 economy  social and natural environment  
El    t f Ad ti C         it
     Elements of Adaptive Capacity

 Excess capacity
              i             Income levels
                             Income le els
 Economic surplus          Good governance and 
E
 Experience w/ natural 
      i      /       l       transparency
  disasters                 Natural resources
 Strong governmental       Robust infrastructures
  or social institutions    Social protection & 
 Robust                     social transfer 
  communications             mechanisms
E i I         i Cli      Ch
Equity Issues in Climate Change
  Poverty and Access to Services
  Governance and Transparency
    How do decisions get made?
    Who gets to make those 
     decisions?
  Ethics – what is right?
  Socio‐economic Development
   Socio economic Development
Dimensions of a decent life
Dimensions of a decent life
                   Health &
                   H lth
                   Basic
                   Education




       Income &                   Rights &
       Material                   Empowerment
                                     po e e t
       Needs


                  Social,
                  cultural
                  affiliation &
                  security
P         d Cli     Ch
Poverty and Climate Change
“A realistic but proactive human development agenda
is needed that recognizes that poverty is not just
about lack of income; it is about individuals and
households being powerless to act and influence their
futures.”

[The Human Dimension of Climate Adaptation: The Importance of
Local and Institutional Issues.]
                        Issues ]
The Ethics of Climate Change
The Ethics of Climate Change
 The IPCC wrote in its 2007 report that determining what 
                           7 p                     g
  constitutes dangerous anthropogenic interference with the 
  climate system “involves value judgments. Science can 
  support informed decisions on this issue.  Thus, coping 
  support informed decisions on this issue ” Thus  coping 
  with climate change, both mitigation and adaptation, 
  becomes primarily an ethical issue. 

[From Closing the Gaps: Disaster risk reduction and 
  adaptation to climate change in developing countries. 
  adaptation to climate change in developing countries  
  Commission on Climate Change and Development. 2009]
Some Ethical Issues
Some Ethical Issues
 Is it ethical to tear down a low‐income housing project 
   s t et ca to tea do       a o     co e ous g p oject
  in order to build a wetland, if that wetland would help 
  to reduce future flood damages in other parts of the 
  community?i ?

 I  it  thi l t  b ild   d      i i ti   t  t  
  Is it ethical to build a dam or an irrigation system to 
  stabilize water supply, if doing so will disadvantage 
  those who will lose access to important water resources 
                                    p
  that they use in coping with drought.
E i I         i Cli      Ch
Equity Issues in Climate Change
  Poverty and Access to Services
    o e ty a d ccess to Se ces
  Governance and Transparency
     How do decisions get made?
                       g
     Who gets to make those decisions?
  Ethics – what is right?
  Socio‐economic Development


  Are emergency managers prepared (empowered?) 
  to act/participate in these discussions?
Continuum of adaptation activities
Continuum of adaptation activities
Source: R. J. T. Klein and Å. Persson, “Financing Adaptation to Climate Change: Issues and Priorities”


  Vulnerability focus                                                                           Impacts focus



Addressing the                 Building response              Managing climate                Confronting 
drivers of                     capacity                       risks                           climate
vulnerability                  Activities seek to             Activities seek to              change
Activities seek to             build robust                   incorporate climate             Activities seek to
reduce poverty and             systems for                    information into                address impacts
other non‐climatic             problem solving                decision‐making                 associated 
stressors that make                                                                           exclusively
p p
people vulnerable                                                                             with climate changeg


                                                  Primary focus

Not so much
                                                                                           Perhaps indirectly
                                                 Emergency                                        or 
                                                                                             case‐by‐case
                                                Management
Emergency Managers would support
Emergency Managers would support...
  No‐regrets strategies
  Mainstreaming 
                                      Mitigation
  Sustainable development
  Resilience


  These all do (or could) increase a community’s ability to 
    h     ll d (       ld)                     ’ bl
   recover from, or be less affected by an extreme event. 
  While specific adaptive projects would not be ignored or 
   rejected by EMs, those that contribute to a greater 
   capacity or resilience would be favored. 
Emergency Management & Environmental Management

 Considerable overlap between environmental 
  management and disaster management.

 The overall objectives of these fields implicitly 
  promote sustainable & resilient communities. 

 Sustainability & resilience should be considered: 
    prospectively (in sustainable development planning and 
     adaptation) 
    retrospectively (in response and recovery)  
     retrospectively (in response and recovery). 
Collaborative Strategies
    Collaborative Strategies
 Identifying enhancements to environmental & 
         y g
 other assets/resources that support long‐term 
 recovery and reconstruction (e.g., enhancement of 
 ecosystem elements, habitats);
             l        h bi     )

 Identifying development options that may serve to 
 mitigate future disaster damage (e.g., creation, 
 enhancement, or preservation of wetlands, 
 enhancement  or preser ation of  etlands  
 mangrove clusters, and coral reefs for flood 
 mitigation);
Collaborative Strategies
      Collaborative Strategies
 Identifying and reconciling the tradeoffs between 
  adaptation opportunities and disaster‐resistant 
  construction and development practices (e.g., siting of 
  dikes/levees; identification and preapproval of waste 
  dik /l        id tifi ti   d               l  f    t  
  disposal methods/sites); 

 Identifying development techniques and practices that 
  contribute to both environmental quality and long‐term 
  survivability (siting of industrial sites; stricter 
      i bili  ( i i   f i d       i l  i   i          
  environmental management requirements for 
                   y     y
  environmentally‐risky facilities)
How does it fit together?
How does it fit together?

                  Environmental 
                   Management




                  Resilience

      Climate 
      Change                        Emergency 
                                    E         
     Adaptation                    Management
Emergency Managers in their own words
Emergency Managers in their own words
I asked 10‐12 emergency managers around the US (public 
   and private sector), “What are you – as an EM – doing 
       d  i t   t )  “Wh t                    EM  d i  
   about climate change?”
 “Hmmm interesting question  I should think about 
    Hmmm…interesting question. I should think about 
   it.”
 “I haven’t got time – I’m worried about next flood 
              g
   season.”
 “I haven’t got the budget (staff, resources, mandate, 
   etc.) to deal with climate change.”
        ) d l       h l        h      ”
 “The Department of ________ is responsible for that.”
A Seat at the Table
A Seat at the Table
 Disaster Preparedness is an accepted adaptation 
  strategy (one of many)
           (     f     )
 For emergency managers, mitigation & adaptation are 
  essentially the same thing
        i ll   h        hi
 Emergency management should be part of the 
  adaptation conversation – most effective in the 
   d t ti            ti        t  ff ti  i  th  
  scoping phase
 Identify synergies  no regrets actions  multiple 
  Identify synergies, no‐regrets actions, multiple 
  positive outcomes
I S
In Summary
 Reaction to climate change is largely in the purview 
   eact o to c ate c a ge s a ge y t e pu e
 of the environmental (& political) community
 Climate change is not a primary emergency 
              g           p     y     g   y
 management concern – effects, yes; causes, no
 EMs deal with acute, not chronic, problems
                                    p
 EMs generally do not deal directly with underlying 
 problems/issues related to climate change
 EMs would support climate change adaptations, but 
 would not generally take the lead.
Conclusions
 Funds and resources invested in adaptation to extreme 
  events (floods, hurricanes, tsunamis, heat waves, etc.) will 
  produce more adaptive benefits, more quickly, and for 
  more people than investment in long term adaptation to 
  more people than investment in long‐term adaptation to 
  chronic problems (drought, sea‐level rise, etc.)

 Mainstreaming of adaptive strategies into development 
  efforts and pursuing “no‐regrets” projects may be the best 
  and most cost effective path to success. Doing so could 
  and most cost‐effective path to success. Doing so could 
  lead to immediate benefits and could thereby lend 
  credibility to longer‐term adaptive efforts. 
Questions?

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Emergency Managers Confront Climate Change

  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. O i Overview  The Emergency Manager’s Worldview e e ge cy a age s o d e  Some definitions  Mitigation and Adaptation g p  Where does climate change fit?  A seat at the table
  • 5. You and Your Premonition !!
  • 6. O C t Cli t P bl S t Our Current Climate Problem Set
  • 7. Wh t Will Cli t Ch L k Lik ? What Will Climate Change Look Like? ? ? ? ? ? ?
  • 8. h ’ ld The Emergency Manager’s Worldview  A focus on extreme events  Acute  vs.  chronic hazards (floods vs. droughts)  An “all‐hazards” approach to preparing for disasters An  all hazards  approach to preparing for disasters  A shorter event horizon (5 years vs. 75‐100 years)  A shorter planning and operational cycle  Mitigation – Preparedness – Response – Recovery   “Will current plans, actions, mitigation make things  better during the next flood (storm, earthquake,  hurricane, etc.)?” h ) ”
  • 9. An Interesting Debate  “Climate change is a wholly new threat/hazard and  “Cli   h  i     h ll    h /h d  d  thereby requires a unique set of responses.”   “Climate change only makes existing hazards worse (in  terms of severity, duration, geographic spread, etc.)  and does not require special or novel adaptations.” And, by extension…  When does “emergency” become “business as usual?”
  • 10. Some Definitions Mitigation (Emergency Management)  activities that reduce or eliminate the  probability of a hazard occurrence, or  eliminate or reduce the impact from the  li i     d   h  i  f  h   hazard if it should occur.  (ICDRM/GWU Emergency Management  Glossary of Terms)
  • 11. E i t l iti ti Environmental mitigation  steps taken to avoid or minimize negative  steps taken to a oid or minimi e negati e environmental impacts. Mitigation can  include: avoiding the impact by not taking a  g p y g certain action; minimizing impacts by limiting  the degree or magnitude of the action;  rectifying the impact by repairing or restoring rectifying the impact by repairing or restoring the affected environment; reducing the  impact by protective steps required with the  p yp p q action; and compensating for the impact by  replacing or providing substitute resources. (Biology Online.) (Bi l  O li )
  • 12. Mitigation – Climate Change  “An anthropogenic intervention to reduce the  sources or enhance the sinks of greenhouse  gases” (IPCC).  I. e., actions taken by individuals, governments,   k b d d l or corporations to reduce the greenhouse gas  emissions in order to minimize their effects on  global climate change.
  • 13. Adaptation  Changes in an organism s physiological  Changes in an organism's physiological  structure or function or habits that allow it to  survive in new surroundings. (USEPA. Terms  of Environment:  Glossary, Abbreviations and  of Environment:  Glossary  Abbreviations and  Acronyms)  "adjustment in natural or human systems  in response to actual or expected climatic  stimuli or their effects, which moderates  ti li   th i   ff t   hi h  d t   harm or exploits beneficial opportunities."  (IPCC)
  • 14.
  • 15. Members of the Maldives' Cabinet donned scuba gear and used hand signals Saturday at  Members of the Maldives Cabinet donned scuba gear and used hand signals Saturday at an underwater meeting staged to highlight the threat of global warming to the lowest‐ lying nation on earth.  (2009)
  • 16.  Adaptive Capacity ‐‐ “...the ability or  potential of a system to respond  successfully to climate variability and  change, and includes adjustments in both  behaviour and in resources and  technologies.” (IPCC)   Resilience ‐‐ The ability of a community to  remain strong or unharmed, and/or to be  g , / able to quickly and effectively recover from  a disaster’s impact upon its infrastructure,  economy, social and natural environment.  economy  social and natural environment  
  • 17. El t f Ad ti C it Elements of Adaptive Capacity  Excess capacity   i  Income levels Income le els  Economic surplus  Good governance and  E Experience w/ natural  i   /  l  transparency disasters  Natural resources  Strong governmental   Robust infrastructures or social institutions  Social protection &   Robust  social transfer  communications mechanisms
  • 18. E i I i Cli Ch Equity Issues in Climate Change  Poverty and Access to Services  Governance and Transparency  How do decisions get made?  Who gets to make those  decisions?  Ethics – what is right?  Socio‐economic Development Socio economic Development
  • 19. Dimensions of a decent life Dimensions of a decent life Health & H lth Basic Education Income & Rights & Material Empowerment po e e t Needs Social, cultural affiliation & security
  • 20. P d Cli Ch Poverty and Climate Change “A realistic but proactive human development agenda is needed that recognizes that poverty is not just about lack of income; it is about individuals and households being powerless to act and influence their futures.” [The Human Dimension of Climate Adaptation: The Importance of Local and Institutional Issues.] Issues ]
  • 21. The Ethics of Climate Change The Ethics of Climate Change  The IPCC wrote in its 2007 report that determining what  7 p g constitutes dangerous anthropogenic interference with the  climate system “involves value judgments. Science can  support informed decisions on this issue.  Thus, coping  support informed decisions on this issue ” Thus  coping  with climate change, both mitigation and adaptation,  becomes primarily an ethical issue.  [From Closing the Gaps: Disaster risk reduction and  adaptation to climate change in developing countries.  adaptation to climate change in developing countries   Commission on Climate Change and Development. 2009]
  • 22. Some Ethical Issues Some Ethical Issues  Is it ethical to tear down a low‐income housing project  s t et ca to tea do a o co e ous g p oject in order to build a wetland, if that wetland would help  to reduce future flood damages in other parts of the  community?i ?  I  it  thi l t  b ild   d      i i ti   t  t   Is it ethical to build a dam or an irrigation system to  stabilize water supply, if doing so will disadvantage  those who will lose access to important water resources  p that they use in coping with drought.
  • 23. E i I i Cli Ch Equity Issues in Climate Change  Poverty and Access to Services o e ty a d ccess to Se ces  Governance and Transparency  How do decisions get made? g  Who gets to make those decisions?  Ethics – what is right?  Socio‐economic Development  Are emergency managers prepared (empowered?)  to act/participate in these discussions?
  • 24. Continuum of adaptation activities Continuum of adaptation activities Source: R. J. T. Klein and Å. Persson, “Financing Adaptation to Climate Change: Issues and Priorities” Vulnerability focus Impacts focus Addressing the  Building response Managing climate  Confronting  drivers of  capacity risks climate vulnerability Activities seek to  Activities seek to change Activities seek to build robust  incorporate climate Activities seek to reduce poverty and systems for information into address impacts other non‐climatic problem solving decision‐making associated  stressors that make exclusively p p people vulnerable with climate changeg Primary focus Not so much Perhaps indirectly Emergency  or  case‐by‐case Management
  • 25. Emergency Managers would support Emergency Managers would support...  No‐regrets strategies  Mainstreaming  Mitigation  Sustainable development  Resilience  These all do (or could) increase a community’s ability to  h ll d ( ld) ’ bl recover from, or be less affected by an extreme event.   While specific adaptive projects would not be ignored or  rejected by EMs, those that contribute to a greater  capacity or resilience would be favored. 
  • 26. Emergency Management & Environmental Management  Considerable overlap between environmental  management and disaster management.  The overall objectives of these fields implicitly  promote sustainable & resilient communities.   Sustainability & resilience should be considered:   prospectively (in sustainable development planning and  adaptation)   retrospectively (in response and recovery)   retrospectively (in response and recovery). 
  • 27. Collaborative Strategies Collaborative Strategies  Identifying enhancements to environmental &  y g other assets/resources that support long‐term  recovery and reconstruction (e.g., enhancement of  ecosystem elements, habitats);   l  h bi )  Identifying development options that may serve to  mitigate future disaster damage (e.g., creation,  enhancement, or preservation of wetlands,  enhancement  or preser ation of  etlands   mangrove clusters, and coral reefs for flood  mitigation);
  • 28. Collaborative Strategies Collaborative Strategies  Identifying and reconciling the tradeoffs between  adaptation opportunities and disaster‐resistant  construction and development practices (e.g., siting of  dikes/levees; identification and preapproval of waste  dik /l  id tifi ti   d  l  f  t   disposal methods/sites);   Identifying development techniques and practices that  contribute to both environmental quality and long‐term  survivability (siting of industrial sites; stricter  i bili  ( i i   f i d i l  i   i   environmental management requirements for  y y environmentally‐risky facilities)
  • 29. How does it fit together? How does it fit together? Environmental  Management Resilience Climate  Change  Emergency  E   Adaptation Management
  • 30. Emergency Managers in their own words Emergency Managers in their own words I asked 10‐12 emergency managers around the US (public  and private sector), “What are you – as an EM – doing  d  i t   t )  “Wh t         EM  d i   about climate change?”  “Hmmm interesting question  I should think about  Hmmm…interesting question. I should think about  it.”  “I haven’t got time – I’m worried about next flood  g season.”  “I haven’t got the budget (staff, resources, mandate,  etc.) to deal with climate change.” ) d l h l h ”  “The Department of ________ is responsible for that.”
  • 31. A Seat at the Table A Seat at the Table  Disaster Preparedness is an accepted adaptation  strategy (one of many) ( f )  For emergency managers, mitigation & adaptation are  essentially the same thing i ll   h     hi  Emergency management should be part of the  adaptation conversation – most effective in the  d t ti   ti   t  ff ti  i  th   scoping phase  Identify synergies  no regrets actions  multiple  Identify synergies, no‐regrets actions, multiple  positive outcomes
  • 32. I S In Summary  Reaction to climate change is largely in the purview  eact o to c ate c a ge s a ge y t e pu e of the environmental (& political) community  Climate change is not a primary emergency  g p y g y management concern – effects, yes; causes, no  EMs deal with acute, not chronic, problems p  EMs generally do not deal directly with underlying  problems/issues related to climate change  EMs would support climate change adaptations, but  would not generally take the lead.
  • 33. Conclusions  Funds and resources invested in adaptation to extreme  events (floods, hurricanes, tsunamis, heat waves, etc.) will  produce more adaptive benefits, more quickly, and for  more people than investment in long term adaptation to  more people than investment in long‐term adaptation to  chronic problems (drought, sea‐level rise, etc.)  Mainstreaming of adaptive strategies into development  efforts and pursuing “no‐regrets” projects may be the best  and most cost effective path to success. Doing so could  and most cost‐effective path to success. Doing so could  lead to immediate benefits and could thereby lend  credibility to longer‐term adaptive efforts.