This presentation examines public opinion in India, including views of national conditions, issues affecting the country, Prime Minister Modi and national institutions. It is based on 2,452 face-to-face interviews with adults 18 and older conducted from April 6 to May 19, 2015.
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Pew Research Center 2015 India Presentation
1. The Modi Bounce
Bruce Stokes
Director, Global Economic Attitudes Brookings Institution, September 25, 2015
2. September 28, 2015 2www.pewresearch.org
Pew Research Center
• Established 1996
• Funded by the Pew Charitable Trusts
• Non-profit, non-partisan fact tank in Washington
• Survey topics: U.S. domestic politics and economic conditions, values, U.S.
image abroad, global views toward major powers, terrorism, democracy,
country conditions, aging, economy
• Since 2002, we have surveyed in 85 countries, surveying in 40 nations in
2015
• www.pewresearch.org
3. September 28, 2015 3www.pewresearch.org
Methodology
• Surveys conducted in India from April 6 to May 19, 2015, totaling 2,452
respondents
• Based on nationally representative face-to-face interviews with adults 18
and older conducted under the direction of Princeton Survey Research
Associates International
• The margin of sampling error for the complete set of weighted data is ±3.2%
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Since 2013, Spike in Indians’ Assessments of Both Their
Country Conditions and Their Leader
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Overwhelmingly Favorable View of BJP
Do you have a ___ opinion of …
11%
35
28
87%
61
58
BJP
INC
AAP
FavorableUnfavorable
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BJP Leads Congress in Both Urban and Rural Areas
BJP INC Diff
% %
TOTAL 87 61 --
Urban 83 52 +31
Rural 89 64 +25
Narendra
Modi
Rahul
Gandhi Diff
% %
TOTAL 87 62 --
Urban 84 53 +31
Rural 89 66 +23
Favorable views of …
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Modi Most Favored, Rahul Gandhi Larger Increase in Support
2013 2015 Change
% %
Rahul Gandhi 50 62 +12
PM Narendra Modi 78 87 +9
Sonia Gandhi 49 58 +9
Arvind Kejriwal -- 60 --
Kiran Bedi -- 48 --
Favorable views of …
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Indians Pleased with Modi’s Handling of U.S.-India Relations
13%
30
29
50
66%
39
37
25
U.S.
China
Russia
Pakistan
ApproveDisapprove
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Prime Minister Narendra Modi is handling relations with …
11. September 28, 2015 11www.pewresearch.org
Strong Approval of Modi’s Handling of a Range of Domestic Issues
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Prime Minister Narendra Modi is handling …
25%
29
28
32
35
33
35
71%
67
66
63
63
61
53
ApproveDisapprove
Access to clean toilets
Unemployment
Terrorism
Helping the poor
Rising prices
Corruption
Communal relations
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Majorities of Congress Supporters Approve of Modi on
Issues, Except Communal Relations
Total INC BJP
% % %
Access to clean toilets 71 66 74
Unemployment 67 62 69
Helping the poor 63 61 67
Rising prices 63 61 65
Terrorism 66 56 71
Corruption 61 56 65
Communal relations 53 47 57
Approve of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s handling of …
13. September 28, 2015 13www.pewresearch.org
A Modi Effect? Confidence in National Institutions Increases
Influence of __ is very good
2014 2015 Change
% %
National gov’t 29 59 +30
Media 45 55 +10
Religious leaders 20 29 +9
Military 68 74 +6
Court system 31 37 +6
14. INDIANS AND THE WORLD
September 28, 2015 14www.pewresearch.org
15. September 28, 2015 15www.pewresearch.org
U.S. Seen Most Favorably, Pakistan Viewed Least Favorably
8%
16
17
32
19
28
64
70%
46
43
41
28
28
18
U.S.
Japan
Russia
China
South Korea
Iran
Pakistan
FavorableUnfavorable
Indian views of …
16. September 28, 2015 16www.pewresearch.org
Indians Overwhelmingly View U.S. as Economic Partner
63%
15%
8%
14%
Both/
Neither (VOL)
U.S.
China
Don't know
Is it more important to have strong economic ties with China or the U.S.?
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Climate Change Tops Indians’ Global Concerns
Very concerned about …
73%
49
45
41
38
30
28Iran's nuclear program
Global climate change
Global economic instability
Cyberattacks
ISIS
Territorial disputes between China & its
neighbors
Tensions between Russia & its neighbors
18. September 28, 2015 18www.pewresearch.org
Pakistan Seen as India’s Biggest Threat
How serious of a threat is ___ to India?
74%
65
61
42
12%
17
13
25
Pakistan
Naxalites
Lashkar-e-Taiba
China
Very serious Somewhat serious Total
86%
82
74
67
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