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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Introduction                                  1

Chapter 1      Advances in Treatment          3

Chapter 2      Research and Development       15

Chapter 3      Spending and Costs             33

Chapter 4      Appropriate Use of Medicines   49

Chapter 5      Marketing and Promotion        67

Chapter 6      Economic Impact                77
4
INTRODUCTION

This chart pack provides facts and figures about prescription
medicines and their role in the health care system. Topics
include medicines’ impact on health and quality of life, the
drug discovery and development process, biopharmaceutical
spending and costs, the challenge of treatment gaps and lack
of adherence to prescribed therapies, the marketing and
promotion of medicines, and the role of the
biopharmaceutical sector in the U.S. economy.

Data and information found in this publication were drawn
from a wide range of sources, including government-agency
reports, peer-reviewed journals, and the Pharmaceutical
Research and Manufacturers of America’s (PhRMA’s) own
research and analysis. PhRMA hopes this publication
provides useful context for discussions about the role of
medicines in the U.S. health care system.




                                                                1
6
1   ADVANCES IN
                                TREATMENT
                                Medicines’ Impact on Health and Quality of Life

                                Prescription medicines play a large role in saving and
                                improving lives. Over the last 25 years, prescription
                                medicines have significantly reduced deaths from major
                                diseases such as heart disease, several cancers, and
                                HIV/AIDS. They have also improved the quality of life for
                                people suffering from conditions such as arthritis and
                                Alzheimer’s disease. Recent advances have included, for
                                example, entirely new classes of treatments for diabetes,
                                hypertension, and HIV/AIDS; a new generation of
                                personalized medicines; and the very first treatments for a
                                number of rare diseases, such as Pompe disease and Hunter
                                syndrome. As our population ages and faces increased rates
                                of disease, medical advances will be key to alleviating
                                suffering.




1 • Advances in Treatment                                                                     3
U.S. Life Expectancy 1950–20091


                                         “New drugs are no small part of this medical miracle.” —Mark McClellan, FDA2


                             85

                                                                                                                        80.6
                             80                                                                78.8           79.3             Women
                                                                                77.4
                                                                                                                        75.7
       At Birth (in Years)




                                                                 74.7                                                          Men
                             75                                                                               74.1
                                                  73.1
                                                                                               71.8
                                  71.1
                                                                                 70
                             70
                                                  66.6           67.1
                                  65.6
                             65



                             60
                                  1950           1960           1970           1980           1990            2000      2009


                                                                                                                                Source: CDC3


1 • Advances in Treatment                                                                                                                 4
Cardiovascular Disease:
Declining Rates of Death and Heart Failure
Medicines and interventional treatments contributed to a 45% decline in heart attack deaths and heart failure
from 1999 to 2005.

                                             Adverse Events Among Patients with Coronary Disease4 in a Study of 14 countries

                                  20%
                                                                                    19.5%

                                                                                                                                                 1999
 Patients with Coronary Disease




                                  15%                                                                                                            2005
   Rate of Occurrence among




                                  10%                                                             11.0%

                                              8.4%

                                  5%
                                                           4.6%                                                                 4.8%

                                                                                                                                             2.0%
                                  0%
                                        In-Hospital Heart Attack Deaths    In-Hospital Congestive Heart Failure or   Heart Attack within 6 Months of Hospital
                                                                                     Pulmonary Edema                                Discharge


                                                                                                                                               Source: K. Fox, et al.5


1 • Advances in Treatment                                                                                                                                           5
HIV/AIDS: Decline in Death Rates


 The number of U.S. AIDS deaths decreased dramatically following the introduction of highly active antiretroviral
 treatment (HAART) and has continued to decline.


                                18
                                                                       Annual Number of AIDS Deaths in the U.S.

                                                          …
                                                          ………………………………………
                                16
                                     16.2
                                14
Deaths Per 100,000 Population




                                12          1996: HAART becomes widely available

                                10

                                 8

                                 6
                                                    6.0
                                                                            5.3            5.0
                                 4                                                                         4.7
                                                                                                                  4.2
                                                                                                                         3.7
                                 2

                                 0
                                     1995          1997                     1999          2001             2003   2005   2007



                                                                                                                                Source: CDC6


 1 • Advances in Treatment                                                                                                                6
Cancers: Decline in Death Rates


A major study concludes that improvements in treatment have helped cut cancer death rates in half.7

                                   Annual Change in U.S. Death Rate from Cancer8
           1%




                            0.5%


           0%
                                           -0.3%




          -1%                                                      -1.1%



                                                                                         -1.6%



          -2%
                       1975-1990         1990-1993               1993-2001            2001-2006


                                                                                   Sources: D.K. Epsey, et. al.7; B.K. Edwards, et al.8


1 • Advances in Treatment                                                                                                            7
Alzheimer’s Disease: Delayed Nursing Home Placement


Medicines help delay costly care for Alzheimer’s patients.

                                                       Nursing-Home Admission of Patients Treated with Alzheimer’s Medicine Compared to Untreated Patients9
                                                 60%
  Percent of Patients Placed in a Nursing Home




                                                 50%
                                                                                                                    50%


                                                 40%

                                                                                                                                                 Untreated Patients
                                                 30%                                                                                             Treated Patients


                                                 20%

                                                                     16%
                                                 10%
                                                                                                                                    11%

                                                                                         1%
                                                 0%
                                                                         After 2 Years                                  After 3 Years


                                                                                                                                                     Source: O.L. Lopez, et al.10


1 • Advances in Treatment                                                                                                                                                      8
Rare Diseases: Drug Approvals
for Rare Diseases Have Increased
Rare diseases are those that affect 200,000 or fewer people in the U.S. There are between 6,000 and 7,000 rare
diseases affecting 25 million Americans.

                                                        Number of Drug Approvals for Rare Diseases11
                     250



                     200
                                                                                                         202
    Drug Approval*




                     150
                                                                                        145

                     100



                     50


                                     ~10
                      0
                                     1970s                                          1983-1996          1997-2010


* Comprehensive record keeping on drug approvals for rare diseases began in 1983, when the Orphan
Drug Act was passed. Data for 1970s is approximate. Data for 2010 is partial, January through June.                Source: FDA12


1 • Advances in Treatment                                                                                                     9
Future Impact: Need for New Treatments
for Alzheimer’s Disease
The development of a new treatment that delays the onset of Alzheimer’s could reduce Medicare and Medicaid
spending on patients with Alzheimer’s by more than $100 billion annually by 2030.*

                                                           Projected Annual Medicare & Medicaid Spending, With and Without New Treatment Advances (billions)13
                                                  $1,000

                                                   $900
   Projected Medicare and Medicaid Spending (in




                                                                   Current Trajectory   Projection with Delayed Onset Treatment Advance
                                                   $800
                                                                                                                                                                   $805
                                                   $700

                                                   $600
                     Billions)




                                                   $500                                                                                   $529
                                                   $400                                                                                                                     $443

                                                   $300
                                                                                                                      $297                       $276
                                                   $200
                                                                                           $174                              $157
                                                   $100                                            $140
                                                                  $122   $122
                                                     $0
                                                                     2010                      2020                      2030                2040                       2050


* Assumes research breakthroughs that delay the average age of onset of Alzheimer’s disease by five years beginning in 2010.                            Source: Alzheimer’s Association14


1 • Advances in Treatment                                                                                                                                                            10
Need for Treatments: Parkinson’s Disease


Parkinson’s costs society $27 billion per year in medical bills and lost wages; worldwide, projected cases of
Parkinson’s will more than double by 2030.

                                       Projected Worldwide Increase in Prevalence of Parkinson’s Disease
                     10



                                   8                                                                 8.7
Number of Patients (in Millions)




                                   6



                                   4
                                         4.1


                                   2



                                   0
                                        2005                                                        2030



                                                                                                           Source: E.R. Dorsey, et al.15


1 • Advances in Treatment                                                                                                           11
Notes and Sources
1.   Life expectancies prior to 1997 were calculated using a slightly different methodology than for those post-1997.
2.   M.B. McClellan, Speech Before the First International Colloquium on Generic Medicine (Cancun, Mexico), 2003.
3.   U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health
     Statistics, Health, United States, 2008 With Chartbook (Hyattsville, MD: HHS, 2009); 1950-2006 data from M. Heron, et al.,
     “Deaths: Final Data for 2006,” National Vital Statistics Reports 57, no.14, (Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics,
     August 2009): 5, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr57/nvsr57_14.pdf [accessed June 2010]; 2007 data from J. Xu, et al.,
     “Deaths: Final Data for 2007,” National Vital Statistics Reports 58, no.19, (Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics,
     May 2010): 13, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr58/nvsr58_19.pdf [accessed June 2010]. 2008-2009 data from K.
     Kochanek, et al., “Deaths: Preliminary Data for 2009,” National Vital Statistics Reports 59, no.4, (Hyattsville, MD: National
     Center for Health Statistics, March 2011): 28, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr59/nvsr59_04.pdf [accessed August
     2011].
4.   Patients with ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes (STEMI). Reduced adverse events also observed among non-
     STEMI patients.
5.   K.A. Fox, et al., “Decline in Rates of Death and Heart Failure in Acute Coronary Syndromes, 1999-2006,” Journal of the American
     Medical Association 297, no. 17 (2007): 1892–2000.
6.   U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health
     Statistics, Health, United States, 2003 With Chartbook on Trends in the Health of Americans (Hyattsville, MD: HHS, 2003) and
     Health, United States, 2009 With Chartbook on Medical Technology (Hyattsville, MD: HHS, 2010); 2007 data from J. Xu, et al.
     “Deaths: Preliminary Data for 2007,” National Vital Statistics Reports 58, no.1, (Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health
     Statistics, August 2009): 5, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr58/nvsr58_01.pdf [accessed 4 December 2009].
7.   D.K. Epsey, et al. “Annual Report to the Nation on the Status of Cancer, 1975–2004, Featuring Cancer in American Indians and
     Alaska Natives,” Cancer 110, no. 10 (2007): 2119–52.
8.   B.K. Edwards, et al., “Annual Report to the Nation on the Status of Cancer, 1975-2006, Featuring Colorectal Cancer Trends and
     Impact of Interventions (Risk Factors, Screening, and Treatment) to Reduce Future Rates,” Cancer 116, no. 3 (2010): 544–73.




1 • Advances in Treatment                                                                                                              12
Notes and Sources
9.   Groups were matched by age, education level, duration of the symptoms before treatment initiation, and baseline Mini-Mental
     State Examination (MMSE) score.
10. O.L. Lopez, et al., “Alteration of a Clinically Meaningful Outcome in the Natural History of Alzheimer’s Disease by Cholinesterase
    Inhibition,” Journal of the American Geriatric Society 53, no. 1 (2005): 83–7.
11. Approvals for rare diseases include initial approvals of new medicines and subsequent approvals of existing medicines for rare
    disease areas.
12. Food and Drug Administration, Office of Orphan Product Development, Orphan Drug Designations and Approvals Database, at
    http://www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/opdlisting/oopd/index.cfm [accessed August 2010] (for data from 1983–2010). Food
    and Drug Administration, “Developing Products for Rare Diseases & Conditions,”
    http://www.fda.gov/ForIndustry/DevelopingProductsforRareDiseasesConditions/default.htm, [accessed August 2010] (for data
    for 1970s).
13. Projected savings to Medicare and Medicaid assume research breakthroughs that slow the progression of Alzheimer’s disease.
    This would dramatically reduce spending for co-morbid conditions and expensive nursing-home care.
14. Alzheimer’s Association, “Changing the Trajectory of Alzheimer’s Disease: A National Imperative,” (2010).
15. E.R. Dorsey, et al., “Projected Number of People with Parkinson Disease in the Most Populous Nations, 2005 through 2030,”
    Neurology 68, no. 5 (2007): 384–6.




1 • Advances in Treatment                                                                                                          13
18
2   RESEARCH AND
                                   DEVELOPMENT
                                   The Process of Drug Discovery and Development

                                   More than 3,000 molecules were in development or awaiting
                                   Food and Drug Administration approval for use by U.S.
                                   patients in 2011. PhRMA member companies invested $49.5
                                   billion in biopharmaceutical research and development in
                                   2011, accounting for the majority of private
                                   biopharmaceutical R&D spending. Development of new
                                   medicines is a long and high-risk process, and it has become
                                   more costly and complex over the last decade. Even among
                                   the new drug candidates reaching Phase III trials, about one-
                                   third fail. Companies “race” to bring the first medicine in a
                                   class to market, and just two in ten approved drugs are
                                   ultimately a commercial success. Recent biopharmaceutical
                                   advances — driven by scientific research and creative genius
                                   — would have been impossible without a system of laws that
                                   provide the structure, stability, and opportunity for the
                                   needed investment.




2 • Research and Development                                                                       15
More than 3,000 Medicines were in Development in 2011


                                                   Medicines in Development in 2011 for Selected Conditions*



      Alzheimer’s and Other Dementias                                     98                     Cardiovascular Disorders              245
      Arthritis and Related Conditions                                   198                     Diabetes Mellitus                     200
      Cancer                                                             932                     HIV/AIDS and Related Conditions        88
                Breast Cancer                                            129                     Mental and Behavioral Disorders       250
                Colorectal Cancer                                         84                     Parkinson’s and Related Conditions     36
                Lung Cancer                                              140                     Respiratory Disorders                 383
                Leukemia                                                 119                     Rare Diseases1                        460
                Skin Cancer                                               82




*Reflects number of compounds in clinical trials or under review by the FDA for approval through New Drug
Application (NDA) or Biologic License Application (BLA) pathways. Medicines with multiple indications may
appear in more than one category but are counted only once for total (3,091).                                                         Source: PhRMA2


    2 • Research and Development                                                                                                                 16
More than 900 Biotechnology Medicines were in
      Development in 2011
                                          Biotechnology Medicines in Development in 2011 by Therapeutic Category*




                                         Autoimmune Disorders                                 69               HIV Infection                                  39
                                         Blood Disorders                                      32               Infectious Diseases                            188
                                         Cancer/Related Conditions                           352               Musculoskeletal Disorders                      22
                                         Cardiovascular Disease                               59               Neurologic Disorders                           44
                                         Diabetes/Related Conditions                          24               Respiratory Disorders                          40
                                         Digestive Disorders                                  27               Skin Disorders                                 27
                                         Eye Conditions                                       20               Transplantation                                18
                                         Genetic Disorders                                    19               Other Diseases                                 36
                                         Growth Disorders                                      5




*Biotechnology medicines are defined here as those products that involve recombinant DNA, monoclonal
antibody/hybridoma, continuous cell lines, cellular therapy, gene therapy and vaccines technology. Medicines
with multiple indications may appear in more than one category but are counted only once for total (901).                       Source: Adis R&D Insight Database and PhRMA3


    2 • Research and Development                                                                                                                                        17
U.S. Market Drives Global Development of Medicines


                          Number of Compounds in Development, by Geographic Region4, 1997–2011

 3500

                                                                                                                        U.S.
 3000                                                                                                                   3091



 2500                                                                                                                   All Other
                                                                                                                        2465


 2000


 1500                                                                                                                   EU
                                                                                                                        1449

 1000

                                                                                                                        Japan
  500                                                                                                                   556


    0
            1997          1999         2001          2003          2005          2007            2009              2011

                                                                                                 Source: Adis R&D Insight Database5


2 • Research and Development                                                                                                    18
The Research and Development Process


                                          Developing a new medicine takes an average of 10–15 years.


                                                                                                                                                     Post-Marketing
                Drug Discovery           Preclinical                      Clinical Trials                  FDA Review             Scale-Up to Mfg.
                                                                                                                                                      Surveillance




                5,000 – 10,000
PRE-DISCOVERY




                COMPOUNDS                 250                            5

                                                                                                                                  ONE FDA-
                                                                                                                                  APPROVED
                                                                                                                                    DRUG




                                                                       PHASE 1       PHASE 2        PHASE 3




                                                                                                                 NDA SUBMITTED
                                                       IND SUBMITTED




                                                                             NUMBER OF VOLUNTEERS

                                                                       20–100        100–500       1,000–5,000

                           3 – 6 YEARS                                               6 – 7 YEARS                                 0.5 – 2 YEARS        INDEFINITE


                                                                                                                                                        Source: PhRMA6


  2 • Research and Development                                                                                                                                        19
Government and Industry Roles
   in Research & Development
                                    Government and biopharmaceutical industry research complement one another.


                                                                                    PhRMA Member Companies: $49.5B*7




                                                                                            Clinical Research
                                                          Clinical
                                                         Research




                                                  Translational Research                  Translational Research




                                                      Basic Research
                                                                                                  Basic
                                                                                                Research


                                           National Institutes of Health: $30.9B8
*NIH spending is for FY 2011. PhRMA member companies’ spending is for CY 2011.
PhRMA member companies account for the majority of private biopharmaceutical
R&D spending. Non-member company data are not included.                                              Sources: PhRMA7; NIH Office of Budget8; adapted from E. Zerhouni9


   2 • Research and Development                                                                                                                                   20
PhRMA Member Company and Public R&D Spending
                                                                       PhRMA Member Company R&D and NIH Operating Budget: 1995–2011




                                       $60
                                                                                                                                                                                    PhRMA Member
                                                                                                                                                                   $50.7            Companies’ R&D
                                                                                                                                                                           $49.5*
                                       $50                                                                                                   $47.9 $47.4                            Expenditures
                                                                                                                                                           $45.8
                                                                                                                                     $43.4
  Expenditures (Billions of Dollars)




                                                                                                                             $39.9
                                       $40                                                                           $37.0
                                                                                                             $34.5
                                                                                                     $31.0
                                                                                             $29.8                                                                                  Total NIH Budget
                                       $30                                           $26.0
                                                                                                                                                           $30.6 $31.2 $30.9
                                                                             $22.7                                       $28.5 $28.5 $29.0 $29.3
                                                                     $21.0                                   $27.1 $27.9
                                                             $19.0
                                       $20           $16.9                                           $23.3
                                             $15.2                                           $20.5
                                                                                     $17.8
                                                                             $15.6
                                       $10               $12.7 $13.7
                                             $11.3 $11.9


                                        $0
                                             1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


*Estimated for CY 2011.
                                                                                                                                                                     Source: PhRMA, NIH Office of Budget10


       2 • Research and Development                                                                                                                                                                   21
Drug Development Costs Have Increased

 The average cost to develop one new approved drug - including the cost of failures - increased approximately 50% between the late
                                                  1990s and the early 2000s.


                                                           $1.4



                                                           $1.2
                                                                                                                    $1.2B
                  Billions (Constant Dollars, Year 2000)




                                                           $1.0



                                                           $0.8
                                                                                           $800M

                                                           $0.6



                                                           $0.4

                                                                               $320M
                                                           $0.2

                                                                   $140M
                                                           $0.0
                                                                  mid-1970s   mid-1980s   late-1990s             early 2000s

                                                                                                       Source: J. DiMasi, et al. and J. DiMasi and H. Grabowski11


2 • Research and Development                                                                                                                                 22
Complexity of Clinical Trials Has Increased


During the last decade clinical trial designs and procedures have become much more complex, demanding more
staff time and effort, and discouraging patient enrollment and retention.

                                Changes in Clinical Trials: Resources, Length and Participation


                                                                                                                Percentage
                                                                    1999                 2005
                                                                                                                  Change

                Procedures per Trial Protocol (Median)
                                                                     96                   158                        65%
         (e.g., bloodwork, routine exams, x-rays, etc.)

                       Clinical Trial Staff Work Burden
                                                                     21                    35                        67%
                      (Measured in Work-effort Units)
                         Length of Clinical Trial (Days)             460                  780                        70%
             Clinical Trial-Participant Enrollment Rate
                                                                    75%                   59%                       -21%
                (% of volunteers meeting trial criteria)

               Clinical Trial-Participant Retention Rate
                                                                    69%                   48%                       -30%
                    (% of participants completing trial)


                                                                                       Source: Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development 12


2 • Research and Development                                                                                                                23
Illustrative Pharmaceutical Lifecycle


New pharmaceutical medicines face competition after a relatively short period on the market.



                                                                                                 For first-in-class drugs, brand competitors enter market
                                                                              FDA approval,
                                                                                                         Generics can apply
                                                                              brand product
                                                                                                         for approval as early
                                                                              enters market
                                                                                                         as 4 years after
                                                                                                         originator is                  Generic entry, brand
                                                                                                         approved                       sales decline rapidly



                                                           Drug Development
               Drug Discovery                                                                               Drug Available to Patients
                                                            & Clinical Trials


               Average time to develop a new medicine = 10–15 yrs13
                                                                        Average time to brand competition = 2 yrs14



                                                                                          Average time before generic entry = 11.8* yrs15


* Refers to new drugs (i.e., excludes new forms of administration) with annual sales in
2008 of more than $100 million, which accounted for 95% of the sales of new medicines              Sources: PhRMA13; J. DiMasi and C. Paquette14; H. Grabowski, M. Kyle, et
exposed to generic competition.                                                                                                                            al.15; PhRMA16


2 • Research and Development                                                                                                                                           24
Earlier and More Frequent Patent Challenges
by Generic Companies
On average, new brand drugs face generic competition after 11.8* years, but generic companies can
challenge patents as soon as four years after a brand enters the market.

     Share of Brand Products that Ever Experienced a “Paragraph IV” Patent Challenge** from a Generic Manufacturer,
                                    Among Those Facing Generic Entry in Year Listed
                                      100%
                           Hundreds




                                      80%
                                                                                                             75%
                                      60%

                                      40%

                                      20%
                                                                  17%
                                       0%
                                                                  1995                                       2008
                                                                             Year of First Generic Entry

*Refers to new drugs (i.e., excludes new forms of administration) with annual sales in 2008 of more than
$100 million. These accounted for 95% of the sales of new medicines exposed to generic competition.
** A generic company may file with FDA a Paragraph IV certification to “challenge” patents associated with
brand-name medicines, potentially allowing generic market entry before the patent expiration date.                  Source: H. Grabowski, M. Kyle, et al.17


2 • Research and Development                                                                                                                           25
Competing Medicines Race for Approval


By 1995, nearly all first-in-class medicines being approved already had potential competitors in
Phase II clinical testing.

           Percent of First-in-Class Medicines with a Competitor Already in Phase II Clinical Testing at Time of Approval

100%

 90%
                                                                                                                         90%
 80%

 70%                                                                                         77%
                                                                   71%
 60%

 50%
                                         50%
 40%

 30%

 20%           23%
 10%

 0%
               1970s                  1980-1984                 1985-1989                 1990-1994                   1995-1999


                                                                                                             Source: J. DiMasi and L. Faden18


2 • Research and Development                                                                                                             26
Increasing Competition Within Therapeutic Categories


The average time a medicine is the only drug available in its therapeutic class has declined dramatically — from
more than 10 years in the 1970s to less than two years by 1998.

                                                Time Between Approval of First and Second Drugs in a Therapeutic Class

                                           12


                                           10
                                                        10.2
                  Median Number of Years




                                            8


                                            6


                                            4
                                                                                        4.1

                                            2

                                                                                                                      1.2
                                            0
                                                       1970s                           1980s                       1990-2003
                                                                     Year of Approval of First-in-Class Medicine


                                                                                                                               Source: Tufts CSDD19


2 • Research and Development                                                                                                                   27
Few Approved Medicines are Commercially Successful


Ongoing investment in R&D depends on the commercial success of a few products that must make up for all the
rest, including those that never reach the market.

                                                     Just Two in 10 Approved Medicines Produce Revenues that Exceed Average R&D Costs
                                   $2,000

                                            $1,880
After-Tax Present Value of Sales




                                   $1,500
   (Millions of 2000 Dollars)




                                   $1,000


                                                                                                                                                 After-Tax Average R&D Costs
                                                         $701
                                    $500
                                                                      $434
                                                                                   $299
                                                                                                $162                       $39           $21
                                                                                                              $87                                         $6              -$1
                                      $0
                                              1            2          3             4            5           6             7              8                9              10
                                                                New Medicine Introduced Between 1990 and 1994, grouped by Tenths, by Lifetime Sales

                                                                                                                                     Source: J.A. Vernon, J.H. Golec, and J.A. DiMasi20


2 • Research and Development                                                                                                                                                       28
Notes and Sources
1.   Rare diseases are those affecting 200,000 or fewer people in the U.S.
2.   Except where noted otherwise, data for listed conditions from PhRMA tabulations of data from Adis R&D Insight Database, Wolters
     Kluwer Health [accessed 10 October 2011]. Data for rare diseases are from: Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America
     (PhRMA), “Orphan Drugs in Development for Rare Diseases,” (2011). Data for Parkinson’s disease and related conditions are from:
     Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA), “2011 Report: Medicines in Development – Parkinson’s Disease,”
     (Washington DC: PhRMA, 2011). Data for arthritis and related conditions are from: Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of
     America (PhRMA), “2011 Report: Medicines in Development – Arthritis,” (Washington DC: PhRMA, 2011). Data for HIV/AIDS and
     related conditions are from: Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA), “2011 Report: Medicines in
     Development – HIV/AIDS,“ (Washington DC: PhRMA, 2011).
3.   Adis R&D Insight Database, Wolters Kluwer Health, as reported in Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, “2011
     Report: Medicines in Development – Biotechnology,” (Washington DC: PhRMA, 2011).
4.   Reflects the number of compounds in clinical trials or awaiting approval as of June of each year. Compounds in development for
     multiple regions are counted in each region for which regulatory approval is sought, and multiple indications are counted only once.
5.   Adis R&D Insight Database, Wolters Kluwer Health, customized runs, October 2011.
6.   Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, “Drug Discovery and Development: Understanding the R&D Process,”
     (Washington DC: PhRMA, 2007). Available at: www.innovation.org.
7.   Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, PhRMA Annual Membership Survey (Washington, DC: PhRMA, 1996–
     2012).
8.   National Institutes of Health Office of Budget, “History of Congressional Appropriations,”
     http://officeofbudget.od.nih.gov/pdfs/FY12/Approp.%20History%20by%20IC)2012.pdf [accessed 5 March 2012].
9.   Adapted from E. Zerhouni, Presentation at Transforming Health: Fulfilling the Promise of Research, 2007.




2 • Research and Development                                                                                                      29
Notes and Sources
10. Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, PhRMA Annual Membership Survey (Washington, DC: PhRMA, 1996–
    2012); National Institute of Health Office of Budget, “History of Congressional Appropriations,”
    http://officeofbudget.od.nih.gov/pdfs/FY08/FY08%20COMPLETED/appic3806%20-%20transposed%20%2090%20-%2099.pdf
    (for 1995-1999), http://officeofbudget.od.nih.gov/pdfs/FY12/Approp.%20History%20by%20IC)2012.pdf (for 2000-2011)
    [accessed 5 March 2012].
11. J.A. DiMasi and H.G. Grabowski, “The Cost of Biopharmaceutical R&D: Is Biotech Different?” Managerial and Decision
    Economics no. 28 (2007): 469–79.; J.A. DiMasi, R.W. Hansen, and H.G. Grabowski, “The Price of Innovation: New Estimates of
    Drug Development Costs,” Journal of Health Economics 22 (2003): 151–185.
     Note: Data for early 2000s is adjusted to 2000 dollars based on correspondence with study author.
12. Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development, “Growing Protocol Design Complexity Stresses Investigators, Volunteers,” Tufts
    CSDD Impact Report 10, no. 1 (2008).
13. Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, Drug Discovery and Development: Understanding the R&D Process,
    (Washington DC: PhRMA, 2007). Available at: www.innovation.org.
14. J.A. DiMasi and C. Paquette, “The Economics of Follow-on Drug Research and Development: Trends in Entry Rates and the
    Timing of Development,” Pharmacoeconomics 22, suppl. 2 (2004): 1–14.
15. H. Grabowski, M. Kyle, R. Mortimer, G. Long and N. Kirson, “Evolving Brand-name And Generic Drug Competition May Warrant
    A Revision Of The Hatch-Waxman Act,” Health Affairs 30, no. 11 (2011): 2157-2166.
16. Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America analysis (2009).
17. Estimate is based on sample of 200 NMEs experiencing first generic entry between 1995 and 2008. The 11.8 years refers to the
    market exclusivity period which is defined as the time between launch of the brand-name version of the drug and its first
    generic competitor. See H. Grabowski, M. Kyle et al., “Evolving Brand-name And Generic Drug Competition May Warrant A
    Revision Of The Hatch-Waxman Act,” Health Affairs 30, no. 11 (2011): 2157-2166.
18. J. DiMasi and L. Faden, “Follow-On Drug R&D: New Data on Trends in Entry Rates and the Timing of Development,” Tufts Center
    for the Study of Drug Development, Working Paper, (September 2009).




2 • Research and Development                                                                                                   30
Notes and Sources
19.   Sources: Unpublished data from Tufts CSDD, March 2010. Median data for shorter time periods published in: Tufts Center for the Study of
      Drug Development, “Marketing Exclusivity for First-in-Class Drugs Has Shortened to 2.5 Years,” Tufts CSDD Impact Report 11, no. 5 (2009).
20.   J. A. Vernon, J. H. Golec, and J. A. DiMasi, “Drug Development Costs When Financial Risk Is Measured Using the Fama-French Three-Factor
      Model,” Health Economics 19, no. 8 (2009): 1002-5; Drug development costs represent after-tax out-of-pocket costs in 2000 dollars for
      drugs introduced from 1990–94. The same analysis found that the total cost of developing a new drug was $1.3 billion in 2006. Average
      R&D costs include the cost of the approved medicines as well as those that fail to reach approval.




2 • Research and Development                                                                                                                 31
36
3   SPENDING AND COSTS

                             Biopharmaceutical Spending and Health Care Costs

                             Prescription medicines represent a small share of national
                             health spending. Since 2000, growth in prescription drug
                             spending has slowed markedly, while prices for prescription
                             medicines have risen in line with overall medical inflation.

                             Innovator pharmaceutical companies produce medical
                             advances through pioneering scientific work and large-scale
                             investments. The innovators’ work and investment lead both
                             to new medicines and, over time, to generic copies that
                             consumers use at low cost for many years.

                             Health plans use many tools — such as tiered formularies
                             and cost sharing — to steer use toward generics and lower-
                             cost medicines. Payers also typically require patients to pay a
                             higher share of the costs of medicines out-of-pocket
                             compared to other health services.




3 • Spending and Costs                                                                         33
Sharply Declining Prescription Medicine Spending
Growth: 1999–20091
Spending growth for prescription medicines has slowed dramatically over the past decade, with historically
low rates of growth observed in recent years.


20%

18%
        18.4%
16%

14%                15.4%
                           14.7%
                                    14.0%
12%

10%                                           10.7%
8%                                                      8.6%                9.0%

6%
                                                                  6.0%
4%                                                                                                       5.3%
                                                                                      4.7%
2%                                                                                              3.1%

0%
         1999       2000   2001      2002     2003      2004      2005      2006      2007     2008      2009

                                                                                                        Source: CMS2



3 • Spending and Costs                                                                                          34
Medicines Account for a Small and
Declining Share of Health Spending Growth
                         Growth in Health Care Expenditures Attributable to Prescription Drugs, 1994–2009


   100%

    90%

    80%

    70%

    60%
                         84%                           86%                           90%
    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%                                                                                                     All Other Health Care
                         16%                           14%                           10%                    Prescription Drugs
      0%
                    1994-1999                      1999-2004                      2004-2009

                                                                                                                          Source: CMS3


3 • Spending and Costs                                                                                                              35
Retail Spending on Prescription Medicines is a Small Share
of Total U.S. Health Care Spending
                                                      Health Care Dollar, 2009

                                                                      Government Administrative
                                                                      & Net Cost of Private Health Insurance

                                                                                      Home Health & Nursing Home Care
                                      Other4                          $0.07

                                                  $0.24                       $0.09




                                                                                      $0.20     Physician & Clinical
                                                                                                Services
             Prescription Medicines       $0.10




                                                              $0.31



                                                          Hospital Care
                                                                                                                        Source: CMS5


3 • Spending and Costs                                                                                                           36
Growth in Prescription Medicine Prices Has
Been in Line with Other Health Care Prices
                         Consumer Price Index (Dec 1999 = 100)

235


215
                                                                         Hospital & Related Services

195


175

                                                                         All Medical Costs
155
                                                                         Prescription Medicines
135
                                                                         Consumer Price Index


115


 95




                                                                 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics6


3 • Spending and Costs                                                                          37
More Than Three-Quarters of U.S. Prescriptions
Are Filled with Generics
In 2010, generics accounted for 19 of the 20 most commonly prescribed medicines. 7



                                       Generic Share of Prescriptions Filled 1984–2010


             90%
             80%
             70%                                                                         75%    78%
                                                                                  71%
             60%
             50%
                                                                  52%
             40%                                  43%
             30%
                                 33%
             20%
                         19%
             10%
             0%

                         1984    1990             1996            2002           2008    2009   2010


                                                                                                       Source: IMS7,8


3 • Spending and Costs                                                                                           38
The U.S. Prescription Drug Lifecycle
Promotes Innovation and Affordability
Innovator pharmaceutical companies produce medical advances through pioneering scientific work and
large-scale investments. The innovators’ work and investment lead both to new medicines and, over time, to
generic copies that consumers use at low cost for many years.

                                  Price Change for 2006 Market Basket of 25 Leading Brand Drugs, Including Available Generics*
                            0%


                           -2%               -2.9%

                           -4%
          % Price Change




                           -6%
                                                                                                                          -7.0%
                                                                                                                                            21% cumulative decline
                                                                                                                                             in average prices from
                           -8%                                                                                                                    2006 to 2009

                           -10%


                           -12%                                                         -12.9%

                           -14%
                                           2006-2007                                  2007-2008                         2008-2009


* Calculation of price change reflects use of generic copies of brand medicines in the market basket, when available.             Source: E.R. Berndt and M.L. Aitken9


3 • Spending and Costs                                                                                                                                            39
Insurance Covers a Lower Share of Prescription
Drug Costs Than of Other Medical Services
On average, privately-insured consumers pay for more than one quarter of prescription drug costs out-of-pocket,
compared to 4% for hospital stays.10

                                   Percent of Spending for Each Type of Service Paid Out-of-Pocket:
                               Privately Insured People Under Age 65 with Prescription Drug Coverage
40%




30%

                                                                                                             27%

20%


                                                                                          16%

10%
                                                                 10%
                                           8%

                 4%
 0%
          Hospital Inpatient       Hospital Outpatient      Emergency Room              Physicians     Prescription Drugs

                                                                                                             Source: 2007 MEPS11


3 • Spending and Costs                                                                                                       40
Powerful Purchasers Negotiate on Behalf of Patients


A small number of large purchasers dominate the U.S. prescription drug market.

                                        Prescription Volume by Pharmacy Benefit Companies, 1Q 2011


           Company                                    Number of Prescriptions*                 Market Share (%)
           Top 5 PBMs                                        2,786 million                           65.7%
           Medco Health Solutions                             740 million                            17.4%
           Express Scripts                                    656 million                            15.5%
           CVS/Caremark                                       585 million                            13.8%
           Argus Health Systems                               510 million                            12.0%
           Prescription Solutions                             295 million                            7.0%
           Top 10 PBMs                                       3,671 million                           86.5%
           Top 15 PBMs                                       4,077 million                           96.1%
           Total                                             4,243 million                           100%

* Values may not sum due to rounding.                                                                        Sources: Drug Benefit News.12


3 • Spending and Costs                                                                                                                41
Payers Influence Which Medicines Patients Receive



             Tiered Co-pays                                                    Prior Authorization
            Higher patient costs for
                                                    Formularies               Physicians required to justify
                                                  List of covered drugs        medicine’s use before it is
             non-preferred brands
                                                                                        covered




                                          Payers have many tools to
                                          steer use toward generics
                                            and lower cost brands


              Step Therapy                                                     Financial Incentives
          Patients must try and fail on
                                                Counter-detailing             Payments to physicians and/or
                                               Payers contact physicians to    pharmacies for high generic
           alternatives before certain
                                                    promote generics           prescribing rate or switching
            medications are covered
                                                                                patients to preferred drugs




                                                                                Sources: PhRMA, from PBM annual reports13


3 • Spending and Costs                                                                                               42
Newly Introduced Generics are Adopted Rapidly


When a generic version of a medicine becomes available for the first time, it can capture as much as 84% to 94%
of the market within the first month.

                   Generic share of filled prescriptions following the launch of a new generic osteoporosis treatment

    100%
                                                                                                                        Mail
                                                                                                                        Retail

     80%



     60%



     40%



     20%



      0%
               0             7           14          30          60           90         120         150          180
                                                                                                                            Sources: Medco14


3 • Spending and Costs                                                                                                                   43
Biologic Medicines are a Small Share of Health Plan Costs
For the sickest patients, who are most likely to be treated with biologic medicines,* hospital costs are seven
times the cost of biologic medicines.



                                         Spending Mix for Severely Ill Patients in Top 2.5% of Health Plan Spending




                                                                                                           33.9%          Ambulatory Care

                                   Hospitalizations            45.4%




                                                                                                        6.6%

                                                                                          14.1%                   Biologic Medicines


                                                                                         Other Medicines



* Biologic medicines are biologically derived medicines used to treat conditions like cancer, multiple sclerosis, hepatitis C, hemophilia, and primary
                                                                                                                                                         Source: V.J. Willey, et al.15
immune diseases. They are typically administered by injection or infusion and often require special handling, education, and monitoring.


3 • Spending and Costs                                                                                                                                                            44
Medicines Account for a Small Share of Health Spending
Differences Between the U.S. and Other Countries
                              Per Capita Health Care Spending 2009, U.S. vs. Canada and Germany
 $9,000
                                                                $7,960
 $8,000

                                                                                               All Other Health Care Spending
 $7,000
                                                                                               Prescription Drugs

 $6,000


 $5,000                  $4,363

                                                                                                             $4,218
 $4,000


 $3,000
                                      93% of the difference                   91% of the difference

 $2,000


 $1,000

                                       7% of the difference                    9% of the difference
     $0
                         Canada                               United States                                 Germany
                                                                                                                           Source: OECD16


3 • Spending and Costs                                                                                                                45
Notes and Sources
1.   Total retail sales including brand medicines and generics.
2.   PhRMA analysis of Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS ), National Health Expenditures by type of
     service and source of funds, CY 1960-2008 (Excel spreadsheet), Available at:
     http://www.cms.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/02_NationalHealthAccountsHistorical.asp# [accessed 14
     October 2011].
3.    ibid.
4.   Includes dental, other professional, home health, durable medical equipment, and other services.
5.   PhRMA analysis of Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), National Health Expenditures (2010).
     Available at:
     https://www.cms.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/PieChartSourcesExpenditures2009.pdf
     [accessed 20 October 2011].
6.   PhRMA analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index — All Urban Consumers (2011). Available
     at: http://www.bls.gov/cpi/#tables [accessed 18 October 2011].
7.   IMS Health, IMS National Prescription AuditTM (2010).
8.   IMS Health, “IMS Institute Reports U.S. Spending on Medicines Grew 2.3 Percent in 2010, to $307.4 Billion
     ,"IMS Health (2010). Available at: http://www.imshealth.com/portal/site/imshealth/ [accessed 23 August
     2011]; PhRMA analysis of IMS Health, IMS National Prescription AuditTM (2011).
9.   E.R. Berndt and M.L. Aitken, “Brand Loyalty, Generic Entry and Price Competition in Pharmaceuticals in the
     Quarter Century after the 1984 Waxman-Hatch Legislation,” National Bureau of Economic Research Working
     Paper no. 16431 (October 2010).




3 • Spending and Costs                                                                                      46
Notes and Sources
10. Prescription drug spending includes brand and generic ingredients, pharmacy, and distribution costs.
    Estimates are for civilian non-institutionalized population under age 65 who are privately insured and report
    coverage for prescription medicines.
11. PhRMA analysis of Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), Medical Expenditure Panel Survey
    (2007). Available at: http://www.meps.ahrq.gov/mepsweb/ [accessed 5 May 2010].
12. “Table: Top 50 Pharmacy Benefit Companies by Annual Rx Volume, as of 1Q 2011,” Drug Benefit News, (June
    10, 2011).
13. PhRMA analysis of annual reports from Pharmacy Benefit Managers. See for example: Medco Drug Trend
    Reports (2007–2009).
14. Medco Health Solutions, 2009 Drug Trend Report (2009). Available at: www.drugtrend.com [accessed 28
    April 2010].
15. V.J. Willey, et al., “Costs of Severely Ill Members and Specialty Medication Use in a Commercially Insured
    Population,” Health Affairs 27, no. 3 (2008): 824-834.
16. PhRMA analysis of Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Health at a Glance
    2011: OECD Indicators, OECD Publishing. Available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/health_glance-2011-en
    [accessed November 2011].




3 • Spending and Costs                                                                                          47
52
4   APPROPRIATE USE
                                       OF MEDICINES
                                       The Challenges of Gaps in Treatment and Lack of Adherence
                                       to Prescribed Therapies

                                       Undertreatment of chronic disease and lack of adherence to
                                       prescribed medicines are significant public health problems,
                                       costing the U.S. economy hundreds of billions of dollars each
                                       year. Improved adherence to prescribed medicines, however,
                                       can result in better health outcomes, lower costs for other
                                       health care services, and increased worker productivity.




4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                       49
Most Americans Use Few or No Medicines —
a Small Share of People Fill the Majority of Prescriptions
The 20% of people who used medicines the most accounted for two-thirds of all prescriptions filled in 2007.

              100%
                                        20%                                   65%
               90%

               80%
                                        80%
               70%
                                     (38% of the
                                     population
               60%                     uses no
                                     medicines)
               50%

               40%

               30%                                                            35%


               20%

               10%

                0%
                                   % of Population                   % of Perscription Fills

                                                                                                    Source: 2007 MEPS1


4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                   50
Medicines’ Changing Role in Recommended Care


Revisions to clinical guidelines based on the latest research have resulted in appropriate increases in the use of
medicines in recent years.

            Changes in the size of the treatable population as target levels change, such as lower
            targets for blood pressure, blood glucose, lipids




            Changes in the number and type of recommended medicines — such as a shift from single
            to combination therapy — to better control conditions




            Changes in therapeutic regimen and duration to better control conditions, such as longer
            continuation of treatment for depression




                                                                                                Source: R. Dubois and B. Dean 2


4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                           51
Failure to Prescribe the Indicated Treatment is the
Most Common Prescription Drug Quality Problem
RAND researchers report that failure to prescribe an indicated treatment is a far more common quality problem
than is inappropriate medicine use.

                                                     Quality Problems Among Vulnerable Older Patients



       Failure to prescribe when called for by
                                                                                                                               50%
                                   guidelines



                        Inadequate monitoring                                                           36%



           Inadequate education/ continuity/
                                                                            19%
                             documentation



                     Inappropriate medication            3%



                                                  0%             10%              20%             30%              40%               50%   60%



* Quality indicators were developed and implemented based on systematic literature reviews and multiple layers of expert judgment.               Source: RAND3


4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                                                           52
Diabetes:
An Example of Underdiagnosis and Undertreatment
Uncontrolled diabetes can lead to kidney failure, amputation, blindness, and stroke.


                                                    24 million Americans with DIABETES




                                       18 million are DIAGNOSED                                             6 million are UNDIAGNOSED



                               15 million are TREATED                                     3 million are
                  • Blood sugar control (diet & exercise, medicines) •                   diagnosed but
                         • Testing to prevent complications •                            NOT TREATED


  6 million are treated and have         9 million receive some treatment but are
    their disease CONTROLLED                NOT SUCCESSFULLY CONTROLLED




        6 million have
                                                                    18 million have UNCONTROLLED diabetes
     CONTROLLED diabetes

                                                                                                                        Source: NHANES; CDC4


4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                                         53
Recommended Medicines Can Save Lives
and Dramatically Improve Health
“...achieving effective blood pressure control would be approximately equivalent to eliminating all deaths from
accidents, or from influenza and pneumonia combined.”
                                                                               —David Cutler, Harvard University

             Annual Hospitalizations and Deaths Avoided through Use of Recommended Antihypertensive Medications



                                            Actual Hospitalizations Avoided         Annual Premature Deaths Avoided


                Actual Prevention:
                                                         833,000                                   86,000
  Based on Current Treatment Rates


    Potential Additional Prevention:
      If Untreated Patients Received                     420,000                                   89,000
           Recommended Medicines




                                                                                                         Source: D.M. Cutler, et al.5


4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                                 54
Evidence Shows Use of Medicines Reduces Spending on
    Other Health Care Services
    Better coverage for prescription drugs and better adherence to prescribed medicines allows for significant
    cost savings.


      • Patients with chronic conditions who had better adherence to prescribed
        medicines had savings of $3 to $10 in non-drug spending for each
        additional dollar spent on prescriptions* – a net savings of $1,200 to
        $7,800 per patient per year.6

      • Seniors with medication-sensitive conditions saw a 4.1% decline in their
        rate of hospital admissions after obtaining drug coverage through Part D.7

      • Among all newly insured Part D enrollees, hospital and skilled nursing
        facility costs declined by about $1,200 per person8 – an overall savings of
        $13.4B in 2007.9

*For adherent patients compared to non-adherent patients.   Sources: M.C. Roebuck, et al.6; C.C. Afendulis, et al.7; J.M. McWilliams, et al.8; C.C. Afendulis and M.E.
                                                            Chernew9


    4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                                                             55
Gaining Drug Coverage Can Significantly Reduce Non-Drug
 Medical Spending
 Total nondrug medical spending among newly-insured Medicare Part D enrollees was about $1,200 per year less
 than expected10 – an overall savings of $13.4 billion in 2007, the first full year of the Part D program. 11

       Average Annual Reduction in Medical Spending in 2006 and 2007, for Beneficiaries Gaining Drug Coverage through Part D



                                                                                                            Total Non-Drug
                                          Part A                        Part B             Other Non-Drug* Medical Spending
                        $0

                    -$200

                    -$400
                    -$600
                                    -$816
                                       -$816
                    -$800

                 -$1,000                                             -$28
                                                                       -$268
                                                                                                -$140                     -$1,224
                                                                                                                           -$1,224
                 -$1,200

                 -$1,400


*Home health, durable medical equipment, hospice, and outpatient institutional services.          Sources: J.M. McWilliams, et al.10 ; C.C. Afendulis and M.E. Chernew11


 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                                                                    56
Improving Medication Adherence Would Yield
Significant Health Gains and Economic Benefits
“Poor adherence to treatment of chronic diseases is a worldwide problem of striking magnitude. Adherence to
long-term therapy for chronic illnesses in developed countries averages 50%.”
                                                                                    —World Health Organization

Recent research has found medication non-adherence to be associated with:
• 5.4 times increased risk of hospitalization, rehospitalization, or premature death for patients with high blood
   pressure.12
• 2.5 times increased risk of hospitalization for patients with diabetes.13
• as many as 40 percent of nursing home admissions.14
• an additional $2,000 per year per patient in physician visit costs.14
• an economic burden of $100 to $300 billion per year.15




                                        Source: F.H. Gwadry-Sridhar, et al.12; D.T. Lau and D.P. Nau.13; American Pharmacists Association14; M.R. DiMatteo15


4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                                                        57
The Large Gulf Between a Written Prescription
and the Intended Treatment for the Patient
Patients are vulnerable to gaps or discontinuation at many points during treatment.



    For every 100                   50–70            48–66                  25–30          15–20
    prescriptions                   go to a       are filled at            are taken    are refilled
       written                     pharmacy      the pharmacy              properly    as prescribed




                                                                                             Source: NACDS16


4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                         58
Outcomes Improve as Adherence
to Prescribed Medicines Increases
Non-adherent diabetes patients were 2.5 times as likely to be hospitalized as those who followed
their prescribed treatment.

                                  Hospitalization Rate among Diabetes Patients by Level of Adherence to Oral Antihyperglycemic Medication*
                            16%

                            14%            15%

                            12%
                                                                  12%
     Hospitalization Rate




                            10%
                                                                                               10%
                            8%

                            6%

                            4%                                                                                  5%
                                                                                                                                         4%
                            2%

                            0%
                                          <40%                  40-59%                       60-79%           80-99%                    100%
                                                                                        Adherence Rate


* Adherent patients defined as patients with a “medication possession ratio” (i.e., the sum of the
“days of supply” of prescriptions filled divided by the number of days in the year) of 80% or higher.                          Source: D.T. Lau and D.P. Nau17


4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                                                          59
Greater Adherence to Medicines Can Reduce
Spending on Other Healthcare Services
Among Medicaid beneficiaries with congestive heart failure, total healthcare costs for adherent patients* were 23
percent lower than those of non-adherent patients.

                                                   Healthcare Spending by Level of Adherence Among Medicaid Beneficiaries with Congestive Heart Failure

                                                                                                      Prescription Drug Costs
                                                   $30,000
                                                                                                      Other Medical Costs
              Average Annual Healthcare Spending




                                                   $25,000               $2,212
                                                                        $23,112
                                                   $20,000                                               $2,915
                                                                                                         $17,832                         $3,247
                                                   $15,000
                                                                                                                                         $14,418
                                                   $10,000

                                                    $5,000

                                                       $0
                                                                      Less than 80%                    80% to 95%                    Greater than 95%

                                                                                                Adherence (%)


* Adherent patients defined as patients with a “medication possession ratio” (i.e., total days supply of medication
divided by number of days between first fill and the last day patient had medication available) of 80% or higher.                                  Source: D. Esposito, et al.18


4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                                                                            60
High Cost-Sharing Reduces Adherence
RAND researchers found that doubling co-pays reduced patients’ adherence to prescribed medicines by 25% to
45% and increased emergency-room visits and hospitalizations.

                                                 Percent Change in Adherence from Doubling Medicine Co-pays




                             0%

                            -5%

                            -10%
Days Supplied of Medicine




                            -15%

                            -20%
                                                                                                    -26%      -26%             -25%
                            -25%

                            -30%                                        -33%          -32%
                                                          -34%
                            -35%

                            -40%
                                   -45%   -44%
                            -45%

                            -50%

                                                                                                                     Source: D. Goldman, et al.19


4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                                             61
New Classes of Medicines Can
Improve Adherence and Persistence
Studies have found better adherence to newer medicines.20 Similar results have been found even when insurance
requires higher patient cost-sharing for the newer medicines compared to older medicines.21

                                                             Persistence Patterns Among Antihypertensive Patients, by Drug Class20

                                      60%


                                      50%
 Prescribed Therapy After 48 Months




                                                                                                                                                                  51%
   Percent of Patients Adhering to




                                                                                                                                  47%
                                      40%
                                                                                                        41%

                                                                               35%
                                      30%


                                      20%

                                                      16%
                                      10%


                                      0%
                                            Thiazide Diuretics (1957)   Beta Blockers (1967)   Calcium-Channel Blockers ACE Inhibitors (1981)                ARBs (1995)
                                                                                                         (1981)
                                                                                          Drug Class (Year of First Launch22 )

                                                                                                                            Sources: P. Conlin, et al.20; D.A. Taira, et al.21; Drugs@FDA22


4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                                                                                       62
Notes and Sources
1.  PhRMA analysis of Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (2007).
    Available at: http://www.meps.ahrq.gov/mepsweb/ [accessed 5 May 2010].
2. R.W. Dubois & B.B. Dean, “Evolution of Clinical Practice Guidelines: Evidence Supporting Expanded Use of
    Medicines,” Disease Management 9, no. 4 (2006): 210–23.
3. RAND Health, “U.S. Healthcare Facts About Cost, Access, and Quality” (2005) citing T. Higashi, et al., “The Quality of
    Pharmacologic Care for Vulnerable Older Patients”, Annals of Internal Medicine 140, no. 9 (2004): 714-720.
4. PhRMA analysis of data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey for 2003–2004 and 2005–2006;
    Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Diabetes Fact Sheet, (2007).
5. D.M. Cutler, et al., “The Value of Antihypertensive Drugs: A Perspective on Medical Innovation,” Health Affairs 26, no.
    1 (2007): 97-110.
6. M.C. Roebuck, et al., “Medication Adherence Leads to Lower Health Care Use and Costs Despite Increased Drug
    Spending,” Health Affairs 30, no. 1 (January 2011): 91-99.
7. C.C. Afendulis, et al., “The Impact of Medicare Part D on Hospitalization Rates,” Health Services Research 46, no. 4
    (August 2011): 1022-1038.
8. J.M. McWilliams, et al., “Implementation of Medicare Part D and Nondrug Medical Spending for Elderly Adults With
    Limited Prior Drug Coverage,” Journal of the American Medical Association 306, no. 4 (2011): 402-409.
9. C.C. Afendulis and M.E. Chernew, “State-Level Impacts of Medicare Part D,” American Journal of Managed Care 17,
    Suppl 12:S (October 2011).
10. J.M. McWilliams, et al., “Implementation of Medicare Part D and Nondrug Medical Spending for Elderly Adults With
    Limited Prior Drug Coverage,” Journal of the American Medical Association, 306 no. 4 (2011): 402-409.
11. C.C. Afendulis and M.E. Chernew, “State-Level Impacts of Medicare Part D,” American Journal of Managed Care 17,
    Suppl 12:S (October 2011).




4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                        63
Notes and Sources
12. F.H. Gwadry-Sridhar, et al. “A Framework for Planning and Critiquing Medication Compliance and Persistence Using
    Prospective Study Designs.” Clinical Therapeutics, 31, no. 2 (2009): 421-435.
13. D.T. Lau and D.P. Nau. “Oral Antihyperglycemic Medication Nonadherence and Subsequent Hospitalization among
    Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes,” Diabetes Care 27, no. 9 (2004): 2149-53.
14. American Pharmacists Association, Medication Compliance-Adherence-Persistence Digest, (2003).
15. M.R. DiMatteo. “Variation in Patients’ Adherence to Medical Recommendations.” Medical Care 42 no. 3 (2004)
    (Estimated the cost of non-adherence to be $300 billion per year); L. Osterberg and T. Blaschke, “Adherence to
    Medication,” New England Journal of Medicine 353 (2005): 487-497, and M.R. DiMatteo, op cit. (Estimated that 33 to
    69 percent of medicine-related hospital admissions are caused by poor adherence, with a resulting estimated cost as
    high as $100 billion a year).
16. National Association of Chain Drug Stores, Pharmacies: Improving Health, Reducing Costs, (July 2010). Based on IMS
    Health data.
17. D.T. Lau and D.P. Nau, “Oral Antihyperglycemic Medication Nonadherence and Subsequent Hospitalization Among
    Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes.” Diabetes Care 27, no. 9 (September 2004): 2149-2153.
18. D. Esposito, et al., “Medicaid beneficiaries with congestive heart failure: association of medication adherence with
    healthcare use and costs,” American Journal of Managed Care 15, no. 7 (2009): 437–45.
19. D.P. Goldman, G.F. Joyce, J.J. Escarce, J.E. Pace, M.D. Solomon, M. Laouri, P.B. Landsman and S.M. Teutsch, “Pharmacy
    benefits and the use of drugs by the chronically ill,” Journal of the American Medical Association 291, no. 19 (2004):
    2344-2350.
20. P. Conlin, et al., “Four-year Persistence Patterns Among Patients Initiating Therapy with the Angiotensin II Receptor
    Antagonist Losartan Versus Other Antihypertensive Drug Classes,” Clinical Therapeutics 23, no. 12 (December
    2001):1999-2010.
21. D.A. Taira, et al., “Copayment Level and Compliance with Antihypertensive Medication: Analysis and Policy
    Implications for Managed Care,” American Journal of Managed Care 12, no. 11 (2006): 678-683.
22. Drugs@FDA, http://www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/cder/drugsatfda/ [accessed 12 July 2010] (for approval dates).




4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines                                                                                       64
4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines   65
70
5   MARKETING AND
                                  PROMOTION
                                  Informing Consumers & Providers about Medicines

                                  Biopharmaceutical marketing and promotion are important
                                  and extensively regulated ways of informing consumers and
                                  health care professionals about medicines.

                                  Biopharmaceutical company representatives help speed the
                                  dissemination of improvements in medical care, and many
                                  physicians value this information.

                                  Direct-to-consumer (DTC) advertising by biopharmaceutical
                                  companies can lead patients to seek additional information
                                  and consult their doctors about previously untreated
                                  conditions; it also informs patients about medicines’ risks
                                  and benefits.

                                  While marketing and promotion increase awareness of
                                  medical treatment options, other factors, including
                                  formulary design and utilization-management strategies,
                                  often have a greater impact on prescribing decisions.




5 • Marketing and Promotion                                                                     67
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PhRMA Chart Pack 2012

  • 1. 1
  • 2. 2
  • 3. TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction 1 Chapter 1 Advances in Treatment 3 Chapter 2 Research and Development 15 Chapter 3 Spending and Costs 33 Chapter 4 Appropriate Use of Medicines 49 Chapter 5 Marketing and Promotion 67 Chapter 6 Economic Impact 77
  • 4. 4
  • 5. INTRODUCTION This chart pack provides facts and figures about prescription medicines and their role in the health care system. Topics include medicines’ impact on health and quality of life, the drug discovery and development process, biopharmaceutical spending and costs, the challenge of treatment gaps and lack of adherence to prescribed therapies, the marketing and promotion of medicines, and the role of the biopharmaceutical sector in the U.S. economy. Data and information found in this publication were drawn from a wide range of sources, including government-agency reports, peer-reviewed journals, and the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America’s (PhRMA’s) own research and analysis. PhRMA hopes this publication provides useful context for discussions about the role of medicines in the U.S. health care system. 1
  • 6. 6
  • 7. 1 ADVANCES IN TREATMENT Medicines’ Impact on Health and Quality of Life Prescription medicines play a large role in saving and improving lives. Over the last 25 years, prescription medicines have significantly reduced deaths from major diseases such as heart disease, several cancers, and HIV/AIDS. They have also improved the quality of life for people suffering from conditions such as arthritis and Alzheimer’s disease. Recent advances have included, for example, entirely new classes of treatments for diabetes, hypertension, and HIV/AIDS; a new generation of personalized medicines; and the very first treatments for a number of rare diseases, such as Pompe disease and Hunter syndrome. As our population ages and faces increased rates of disease, medical advances will be key to alleviating suffering. 1 • Advances in Treatment 3
  • 8. U.S. Life Expectancy 1950–20091 “New drugs are no small part of this medical miracle.” —Mark McClellan, FDA2 85 80.6 80 78.8 79.3 Women 77.4 75.7 At Birth (in Years) 74.7 Men 75 74.1 73.1 71.8 71.1 70 70 66.6 67.1 65.6 65 60 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2009 Source: CDC3 1 • Advances in Treatment 4
  • 9. Cardiovascular Disease: Declining Rates of Death and Heart Failure Medicines and interventional treatments contributed to a 45% decline in heart attack deaths and heart failure from 1999 to 2005. Adverse Events Among Patients with Coronary Disease4 in a Study of 14 countries 20% 19.5% 1999 Patients with Coronary Disease 15% 2005 Rate of Occurrence among 10% 11.0% 8.4% 5% 4.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0% In-Hospital Heart Attack Deaths In-Hospital Congestive Heart Failure or Heart Attack within 6 Months of Hospital Pulmonary Edema Discharge Source: K. Fox, et al.5 1 • Advances in Treatment 5
  • 10. HIV/AIDS: Decline in Death Rates The number of U.S. AIDS deaths decreased dramatically following the introduction of highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART) and has continued to decline. 18 Annual Number of AIDS Deaths in the U.S. … ……………………………………… 16 16.2 14 Deaths Per 100,000 Population 12 1996: HAART becomes widely available 10 8 6 6.0 5.3 5.0 4 4.7 4.2 3.7 2 0 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Source: CDC6 1 • Advances in Treatment 6
  • 11. Cancers: Decline in Death Rates A major study concludes that improvements in treatment have helped cut cancer death rates in half.7 Annual Change in U.S. Death Rate from Cancer8 1% 0.5% 0% -0.3% -1% -1.1% -1.6% -2% 1975-1990 1990-1993 1993-2001 2001-2006 Sources: D.K. Epsey, et. al.7; B.K. Edwards, et al.8 1 • Advances in Treatment 7
  • 12. Alzheimer’s Disease: Delayed Nursing Home Placement Medicines help delay costly care for Alzheimer’s patients. Nursing-Home Admission of Patients Treated with Alzheimer’s Medicine Compared to Untreated Patients9 60% Percent of Patients Placed in a Nursing Home 50% 50% 40% Untreated Patients 30% Treated Patients 20% 16% 10% 11% 1% 0% After 2 Years After 3 Years Source: O.L. Lopez, et al.10 1 • Advances in Treatment 8
  • 13. Rare Diseases: Drug Approvals for Rare Diseases Have Increased Rare diseases are those that affect 200,000 or fewer people in the U.S. There are between 6,000 and 7,000 rare diseases affecting 25 million Americans. Number of Drug Approvals for Rare Diseases11 250 200 202 Drug Approval* 150 145 100 50 ~10 0 1970s 1983-1996 1997-2010 * Comprehensive record keeping on drug approvals for rare diseases began in 1983, when the Orphan Drug Act was passed. Data for 1970s is approximate. Data for 2010 is partial, January through June. Source: FDA12 1 • Advances in Treatment 9
  • 14. Future Impact: Need for New Treatments for Alzheimer’s Disease The development of a new treatment that delays the onset of Alzheimer’s could reduce Medicare and Medicaid spending on patients with Alzheimer’s by more than $100 billion annually by 2030.* Projected Annual Medicare & Medicaid Spending, With and Without New Treatment Advances (billions)13 $1,000 $900 Projected Medicare and Medicaid Spending (in Current Trajectory Projection with Delayed Onset Treatment Advance $800 $805 $700 $600 Billions) $500 $529 $400 $443 $300 $297 $276 $200 $174 $157 $100 $140 $122 $122 $0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 * Assumes research breakthroughs that delay the average age of onset of Alzheimer’s disease by five years beginning in 2010. Source: Alzheimer’s Association14 1 • Advances in Treatment 10
  • 15. Need for Treatments: Parkinson’s Disease Parkinson’s costs society $27 billion per year in medical bills and lost wages; worldwide, projected cases of Parkinson’s will more than double by 2030. Projected Worldwide Increase in Prevalence of Parkinson’s Disease 10 8 8.7 Number of Patients (in Millions) 6 4 4.1 2 0 2005 2030 Source: E.R. Dorsey, et al.15 1 • Advances in Treatment 11
  • 16. Notes and Sources 1. Life expectancies prior to 1997 were calculated using a slightly different methodology than for those post-1997. 2. M.B. McClellan, Speech Before the First International Colloquium on Generic Medicine (Cancun, Mexico), 2003. 3. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics, Health, United States, 2008 With Chartbook (Hyattsville, MD: HHS, 2009); 1950-2006 data from M. Heron, et al., “Deaths: Final Data for 2006,” National Vital Statistics Reports 57, no.14, (Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics, August 2009): 5, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr57/nvsr57_14.pdf [accessed June 2010]; 2007 data from J. Xu, et al., “Deaths: Final Data for 2007,” National Vital Statistics Reports 58, no.19, (Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics, May 2010): 13, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr58/nvsr58_19.pdf [accessed June 2010]. 2008-2009 data from K. Kochanek, et al., “Deaths: Preliminary Data for 2009,” National Vital Statistics Reports 59, no.4, (Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics, March 2011): 28, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr59/nvsr59_04.pdf [accessed August 2011]. 4. Patients with ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes (STEMI). Reduced adverse events also observed among non- STEMI patients. 5. K.A. Fox, et al., “Decline in Rates of Death and Heart Failure in Acute Coronary Syndromes, 1999-2006,” Journal of the American Medical Association 297, no. 17 (2007): 1892–2000. 6. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics, Health, United States, 2003 With Chartbook on Trends in the Health of Americans (Hyattsville, MD: HHS, 2003) and Health, United States, 2009 With Chartbook on Medical Technology (Hyattsville, MD: HHS, 2010); 2007 data from J. Xu, et al. “Deaths: Preliminary Data for 2007,” National Vital Statistics Reports 58, no.1, (Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics, August 2009): 5, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr58/nvsr58_01.pdf [accessed 4 December 2009]. 7. D.K. Epsey, et al. “Annual Report to the Nation on the Status of Cancer, 1975–2004, Featuring Cancer in American Indians and Alaska Natives,” Cancer 110, no. 10 (2007): 2119–52. 8. B.K. Edwards, et al., “Annual Report to the Nation on the Status of Cancer, 1975-2006, Featuring Colorectal Cancer Trends and Impact of Interventions (Risk Factors, Screening, and Treatment) to Reduce Future Rates,” Cancer 116, no. 3 (2010): 544–73. 1 • Advances in Treatment 12
  • 17. Notes and Sources 9. Groups were matched by age, education level, duration of the symptoms before treatment initiation, and baseline Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score. 10. O.L. Lopez, et al., “Alteration of a Clinically Meaningful Outcome in the Natural History of Alzheimer’s Disease by Cholinesterase Inhibition,” Journal of the American Geriatric Society 53, no. 1 (2005): 83–7. 11. Approvals for rare diseases include initial approvals of new medicines and subsequent approvals of existing medicines for rare disease areas. 12. Food and Drug Administration, Office of Orphan Product Development, Orphan Drug Designations and Approvals Database, at http://www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/opdlisting/oopd/index.cfm [accessed August 2010] (for data from 1983–2010). Food and Drug Administration, “Developing Products for Rare Diseases & Conditions,” http://www.fda.gov/ForIndustry/DevelopingProductsforRareDiseasesConditions/default.htm, [accessed August 2010] (for data for 1970s). 13. Projected savings to Medicare and Medicaid assume research breakthroughs that slow the progression of Alzheimer’s disease. This would dramatically reduce spending for co-morbid conditions and expensive nursing-home care. 14. Alzheimer’s Association, “Changing the Trajectory of Alzheimer’s Disease: A National Imperative,” (2010). 15. E.R. Dorsey, et al., “Projected Number of People with Parkinson Disease in the Most Populous Nations, 2005 through 2030,” Neurology 68, no. 5 (2007): 384–6. 1 • Advances in Treatment 13
  • 18. 18
  • 19. 2 RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT The Process of Drug Discovery and Development More than 3,000 molecules were in development or awaiting Food and Drug Administration approval for use by U.S. patients in 2011. PhRMA member companies invested $49.5 billion in biopharmaceutical research and development in 2011, accounting for the majority of private biopharmaceutical R&D spending. Development of new medicines is a long and high-risk process, and it has become more costly and complex over the last decade. Even among the new drug candidates reaching Phase III trials, about one- third fail. Companies “race” to bring the first medicine in a class to market, and just two in ten approved drugs are ultimately a commercial success. Recent biopharmaceutical advances — driven by scientific research and creative genius — would have been impossible without a system of laws that provide the structure, stability, and opportunity for the needed investment. 2 • Research and Development 15
  • 20. More than 3,000 Medicines were in Development in 2011 Medicines in Development in 2011 for Selected Conditions* Alzheimer’s and Other Dementias 98 Cardiovascular Disorders 245 Arthritis and Related Conditions 198 Diabetes Mellitus 200 Cancer 932 HIV/AIDS and Related Conditions 88 Breast Cancer 129 Mental and Behavioral Disorders 250 Colorectal Cancer 84 Parkinson’s and Related Conditions 36 Lung Cancer 140 Respiratory Disorders 383 Leukemia 119 Rare Diseases1 460 Skin Cancer 82 *Reflects number of compounds in clinical trials or under review by the FDA for approval through New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologic License Application (BLA) pathways. Medicines with multiple indications may appear in more than one category but are counted only once for total (3,091). Source: PhRMA2 2 • Research and Development 16
  • 21. More than 900 Biotechnology Medicines were in Development in 2011 Biotechnology Medicines in Development in 2011 by Therapeutic Category* Autoimmune Disorders 69 HIV Infection 39 Blood Disorders 32 Infectious Diseases 188 Cancer/Related Conditions 352 Musculoskeletal Disorders 22 Cardiovascular Disease 59 Neurologic Disorders 44 Diabetes/Related Conditions 24 Respiratory Disorders 40 Digestive Disorders 27 Skin Disorders 27 Eye Conditions 20 Transplantation 18 Genetic Disorders 19 Other Diseases 36 Growth Disorders 5 *Biotechnology medicines are defined here as those products that involve recombinant DNA, monoclonal antibody/hybridoma, continuous cell lines, cellular therapy, gene therapy and vaccines technology. Medicines with multiple indications may appear in more than one category but are counted only once for total (901). Source: Adis R&D Insight Database and PhRMA3 2 • Research and Development 17
  • 22. U.S. Market Drives Global Development of Medicines Number of Compounds in Development, by Geographic Region4, 1997–2011 3500 U.S. 3000 3091 2500 All Other 2465 2000 1500 EU 1449 1000 Japan 500 556 0 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Source: Adis R&D Insight Database5 2 • Research and Development 18
  • 23. The Research and Development Process Developing a new medicine takes an average of 10–15 years. Post-Marketing Drug Discovery Preclinical Clinical Trials FDA Review Scale-Up to Mfg. Surveillance 5,000 – 10,000 PRE-DISCOVERY COMPOUNDS 250 5 ONE FDA- APPROVED DRUG PHASE 1 PHASE 2 PHASE 3 NDA SUBMITTED IND SUBMITTED NUMBER OF VOLUNTEERS 20–100 100–500 1,000–5,000 3 – 6 YEARS 6 – 7 YEARS 0.5 – 2 YEARS INDEFINITE Source: PhRMA6 2 • Research and Development 19
  • 24. Government and Industry Roles in Research & Development Government and biopharmaceutical industry research complement one another. PhRMA Member Companies: $49.5B*7 Clinical Research Clinical Research Translational Research Translational Research Basic Research Basic Research National Institutes of Health: $30.9B8 *NIH spending is for FY 2011. PhRMA member companies’ spending is for CY 2011. PhRMA member companies account for the majority of private biopharmaceutical R&D spending. Non-member company data are not included. Sources: PhRMA7; NIH Office of Budget8; adapted from E. Zerhouni9 2 • Research and Development 20
  • 25. PhRMA Member Company and Public R&D Spending PhRMA Member Company R&D and NIH Operating Budget: 1995–2011 $60 PhRMA Member $50.7 Companies’ R&D $49.5* $50 $47.9 $47.4 Expenditures $45.8 $43.4 Expenditures (Billions of Dollars) $39.9 $40 $37.0 $34.5 $31.0 $29.8 Total NIH Budget $30 $26.0 $30.6 $31.2 $30.9 $22.7 $28.5 $28.5 $29.0 $29.3 $21.0 $27.1 $27.9 $19.0 $20 $16.9 $23.3 $15.2 $20.5 $17.8 $15.6 $10 $12.7 $13.7 $11.3 $11.9 $0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 *Estimated for CY 2011. Source: PhRMA, NIH Office of Budget10 2 • Research and Development 21
  • 26. Drug Development Costs Have Increased The average cost to develop one new approved drug - including the cost of failures - increased approximately 50% between the late 1990s and the early 2000s. $1.4 $1.2 $1.2B Billions (Constant Dollars, Year 2000) $1.0 $0.8 $800M $0.6 $0.4 $320M $0.2 $140M $0.0 mid-1970s mid-1980s late-1990s early 2000s Source: J. DiMasi, et al. and J. DiMasi and H. Grabowski11 2 • Research and Development 22
  • 27. Complexity of Clinical Trials Has Increased During the last decade clinical trial designs and procedures have become much more complex, demanding more staff time and effort, and discouraging patient enrollment and retention. Changes in Clinical Trials: Resources, Length and Participation Percentage 1999 2005 Change Procedures per Trial Protocol (Median) 96 158 65% (e.g., bloodwork, routine exams, x-rays, etc.) Clinical Trial Staff Work Burden 21 35 67% (Measured in Work-effort Units) Length of Clinical Trial (Days) 460 780 70% Clinical Trial-Participant Enrollment Rate 75% 59% -21% (% of volunteers meeting trial criteria) Clinical Trial-Participant Retention Rate 69% 48% -30% (% of participants completing trial) Source: Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development 12 2 • Research and Development 23
  • 28. Illustrative Pharmaceutical Lifecycle New pharmaceutical medicines face competition after a relatively short period on the market. For first-in-class drugs, brand competitors enter market FDA approval, Generics can apply brand product for approval as early enters market as 4 years after originator is Generic entry, brand approved sales decline rapidly Drug Development Drug Discovery Drug Available to Patients & Clinical Trials Average time to develop a new medicine = 10–15 yrs13 Average time to brand competition = 2 yrs14 Average time before generic entry = 11.8* yrs15 * Refers to new drugs (i.e., excludes new forms of administration) with annual sales in 2008 of more than $100 million, which accounted for 95% of the sales of new medicines Sources: PhRMA13; J. DiMasi and C. Paquette14; H. Grabowski, M. Kyle, et exposed to generic competition. al.15; PhRMA16 2 • Research and Development 24
  • 29. Earlier and More Frequent Patent Challenges by Generic Companies On average, new brand drugs face generic competition after 11.8* years, but generic companies can challenge patents as soon as four years after a brand enters the market. Share of Brand Products that Ever Experienced a “Paragraph IV” Patent Challenge** from a Generic Manufacturer, Among Those Facing Generic Entry in Year Listed 100% Hundreds 80% 75% 60% 40% 20% 17% 0% 1995 2008 Year of First Generic Entry *Refers to new drugs (i.e., excludes new forms of administration) with annual sales in 2008 of more than $100 million. These accounted for 95% of the sales of new medicines exposed to generic competition. ** A generic company may file with FDA a Paragraph IV certification to “challenge” patents associated with brand-name medicines, potentially allowing generic market entry before the patent expiration date. Source: H. Grabowski, M. Kyle, et al.17 2 • Research and Development 25
  • 30. Competing Medicines Race for Approval By 1995, nearly all first-in-class medicines being approved already had potential competitors in Phase II clinical testing. Percent of First-in-Class Medicines with a Competitor Already in Phase II Clinical Testing at Time of Approval 100% 90% 90% 80% 70% 77% 71% 60% 50% 50% 40% 30% 20% 23% 10% 0% 1970s 1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 Source: J. DiMasi and L. Faden18 2 • Research and Development 26
  • 31. Increasing Competition Within Therapeutic Categories The average time a medicine is the only drug available in its therapeutic class has declined dramatically — from more than 10 years in the 1970s to less than two years by 1998. Time Between Approval of First and Second Drugs in a Therapeutic Class 12 10 10.2 Median Number of Years 8 6 4 4.1 2 1.2 0 1970s 1980s 1990-2003 Year of Approval of First-in-Class Medicine Source: Tufts CSDD19 2 • Research and Development 27
  • 32. Few Approved Medicines are Commercially Successful Ongoing investment in R&D depends on the commercial success of a few products that must make up for all the rest, including those that never reach the market. Just Two in 10 Approved Medicines Produce Revenues that Exceed Average R&D Costs $2,000 $1,880 After-Tax Present Value of Sales $1,500 (Millions of 2000 Dollars) $1,000 After-Tax Average R&D Costs $701 $500 $434 $299 $162 $39 $21 $87 $6 -$1 $0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 New Medicine Introduced Between 1990 and 1994, grouped by Tenths, by Lifetime Sales Source: J.A. Vernon, J.H. Golec, and J.A. DiMasi20 2 • Research and Development 28
  • 33. Notes and Sources 1. Rare diseases are those affecting 200,000 or fewer people in the U.S. 2. Except where noted otherwise, data for listed conditions from PhRMA tabulations of data from Adis R&D Insight Database, Wolters Kluwer Health [accessed 10 October 2011]. Data for rare diseases are from: Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA), “Orphan Drugs in Development for Rare Diseases,” (2011). Data for Parkinson’s disease and related conditions are from: Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA), “2011 Report: Medicines in Development – Parkinson’s Disease,” (Washington DC: PhRMA, 2011). Data for arthritis and related conditions are from: Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA), “2011 Report: Medicines in Development – Arthritis,” (Washington DC: PhRMA, 2011). Data for HIV/AIDS and related conditions are from: Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA), “2011 Report: Medicines in Development – HIV/AIDS,“ (Washington DC: PhRMA, 2011). 3. Adis R&D Insight Database, Wolters Kluwer Health, as reported in Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, “2011 Report: Medicines in Development – Biotechnology,” (Washington DC: PhRMA, 2011). 4. Reflects the number of compounds in clinical trials or awaiting approval as of June of each year. Compounds in development for multiple regions are counted in each region for which regulatory approval is sought, and multiple indications are counted only once. 5. Adis R&D Insight Database, Wolters Kluwer Health, customized runs, October 2011. 6. Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, “Drug Discovery and Development: Understanding the R&D Process,” (Washington DC: PhRMA, 2007). Available at: www.innovation.org. 7. Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, PhRMA Annual Membership Survey (Washington, DC: PhRMA, 1996– 2012). 8. National Institutes of Health Office of Budget, “History of Congressional Appropriations,” http://officeofbudget.od.nih.gov/pdfs/FY12/Approp.%20History%20by%20IC)2012.pdf [accessed 5 March 2012]. 9. Adapted from E. Zerhouni, Presentation at Transforming Health: Fulfilling the Promise of Research, 2007. 2 • Research and Development 29
  • 34. Notes and Sources 10. Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, PhRMA Annual Membership Survey (Washington, DC: PhRMA, 1996– 2012); National Institute of Health Office of Budget, “History of Congressional Appropriations,” http://officeofbudget.od.nih.gov/pdfs/FY08/FY08%20COMPLETED/appic3806%20-%20transposed%20%2090%20-%2099.pdf (for 1995-1999), http://officeofbudget.od.nih.gov/pdfs/FY12/Approp.%20History%20by%20IC)2012.pdf (for 2000-2011) [accessed 5 March 2012]. 11. J.A. DiMasi and H.G. Grabowski, “The Cost of Biopharmaceutical R&D: Is Biotech Different?” Managerial and Decision Economics no. 28 (2007): 469–79.; J.A. DiMasi, R.W. Hansen, and H.G. Grabowski, “The Price of Innovation: New Estimates of Drug Development Costs,” Journal of Health Economics 22 (2003): 151–185. Note: Data for early 2000s is adjusted to 2000 dollars based on correspondence with study author. 12. Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development, “Growing Protocol Design Complexity Stresses Investigators, Volunteers,” Tufts CSDD Impact Report 10, no. 1 (2008). 13. Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, Drug Discovery and Development: Understanding the R&D Process, (Washington DC: PhRMA, 2007). Available at: www.innovation.org. 14. J.A. DiMasi and C. Paquette, “The Economics of Follow-on Drug Research and Development: Trends in Entry Rates and the Timing of Development,” Pharmacoeconomics 22, suppl. 2 (2004): 1–14. 15. H. Grabowski, M. Kyle, R. Mortimer, G. Long and N. Kirson, “Evolving Brand-name And Generic Drug Competition May Warrant A Revision Of The Hatch-Waxman Act,” Health Affairs 30, no. 11 (2011): 2157-2166. 16. Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America analysis (2009). 17. Estimate is based on sample of 200 NMEs experiencing first generic entry between 1995 and 2008. The 11.8 years refers to the market exclusivity period which is defined as the time between launch of the brand-name version of the drug and its first generic competitor. See H. Grabowski, M. Kyle et al., “Evolving Brand-name And Generic Drug Competition May Warrant A Revision Of The Hatch-Waxman Act,” Health Affairs 30, no. 11 (2011): 2157-2166. 18. J. DiMasi and L. Faden, “Follow-On Drug R&D: New Data on Trends in Entry Rates and the Timing of Development,” Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development, Working Paper, (September 2009). 2 • Research and Development 30
  • 35. Notes and Sources 19. Sources: Unpublished data from Tufts CSDD, March 2010. Median data for shorter time periods published in: Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development, “Marketing Exclusivity for First-in-Class Drugs Has Shortened to 2.5 Years,” Tufts CSDD Impact Report 11, no. 5 (2009). 20. J. A. Vernon, J. H. Golec, and J. A. DiMasi, “Drug Development Costs When Financial Risk Is Measured Using the Fama-French Three-Factor Model,” Health Economics 19, no. 8 (2009): 1002-5; Drug development costs represent after-tax out-of-pocket costs in 2000 dollars for drugs introduced from 1990–94. The same analysis found that the total cost of developing a new drug was $1.3 billion in 2006. Average R&D costs include the cost of the approved medicines as well as those that fail to reach approval. 2 • Research and Development 31
  • 36. 36
  • 37. 3 SPENDING AND COSTS Biopharmaceutical Spending and Health Care Costs Prescription medicines represent a small share of national health spending. Since 2000, growth in prescription drug spending has slowed markedly, while prices for prescription medicines have risen in line with overall medical inflation. Innovator pharmaceutical companies produce medical advances through pioneering scientific work and large-scale investments. The innovators’ work and investment lead both to new medicines and, over time, to generic copies that consumers use at low cost for many years. Health plans use many tools — such as tiered formularies and cost sharing — to steer use toward generics and lower- cost medicines. Payers also typically require patients to pay a higher share of the costs of medicines out-of-pocket compared to other health services. 3 • Spending and Costs 33
  • 38. Sharply Declining Prescription Medicine Spending Growth: 1999–20091 Spending growth for prescription medicines has slowed dramatically over the past decade, with historically low rates of growth observed in recent years. 20% 18% 18.4% 16% 14% 15.4% 14.7% 14.0% 12% 10% 10.7% 8% 8.6% 9.0% 6% 6.0% 4% 5.3% 4.7% 2% 3.1% 0% 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: CMS2 3 • Spending and Costs 34
  • 39. Medicines Account for a Small and Declining Share of Health Spending Growth Growth in Health Care Expenditures Attributable to Prescription Drugs, 1994–2009 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 84% 86% 90% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% All Other Health Care 16% 14% 10% Prescription Drugs 0% 1994-1999 1999-2004 2004-2009 Source: CMS3 3 • Spending and Costs 35
  • 40. Retail Spending on Prescription Medicines is a Small Share of Total U.S. Health Care Spending Health Care Dollar, 2009 Government Administrative & Net Cost of Private Health Insurance Home Health & Nursing Home Care Other4 $0.07 $0.24 $0.09 $0.20 Physician & Clinical Services Prescription Medicines $0.10 $0.31 Hospital Care Source: CMS5 3 • Spending and Costs 36
  • 41. Growth in Prescription Medicine Prices Has Been in Line with Other Health Care Prices Consumer Price Index (Dec 1999 = 100) 235 215 Hospital & Related Services 195 175 All Medical Costs 155 Prescription Medicines 135 Consumer Price Index 115 95 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics6 3 • Spending and Costs 37
  • 42. More Than Three-Quarters of U.S. Prescriptions Are Filled with Generics In 2010, generics accounted for 19 of the 20 most commonly prescribed medicines. 7 Generic Share of Prescriptions Filled 1984–2010 90% 80% 70% 75% 78% 71% 60% 50% 52% 40% 43% 30% 33% 20% 19% 10% 0% 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 2009 2010 Source: IMS7,8 3 • Spending and Costs 38
  • 43. The U.S. Prescription Drug Lifecycle Promotes Innovation and Affordability Innovator pharmaceutical companies produce medical advances through pioneering scientific work and large-scale investments. The innovators’ work and investment lead both to new medicines and, over time, to generic copies that consumers use at low cost for many years. Price Change for 2006 Market Basket of 25 Leading Brand Drugs, Including Available Generics* 0% -2% -2.9% -4% % Price Change -6% -7.0% 21% cumulative decline in average prices from -8% 2006 to 2009 -10% -12% -12.9% -14% 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 * Calculation of price change reflects use of generic copies of brand medicines in the market basket, when available. Source: E.R. Berndt and M.L. Aitken9 3 • Spending and Costs 39
  • 44. Insurance Covers a Lower Share of Prescription Drug Costs Than of Other Medical Services On average, privately-insured consumers pay for more than one quarter of prescription drug costs out-of-pocket, compared to 4% for hospital stays.10 Percent of Spending for Each Type of Service Paid Out-of-Pocket: Privately Insured People Under Age 65 with Prescription Drug Coverage 40% 30% 27% 20% 16% 10% 10% 8% 4% 0% Hospital Inpatient Hospital Outpatient Emergency Room Physicians Prescription Drugs Source: 2007 MEPS11 3 • Spending and Costs 40
  • 45. Powerful Purchasers Negotiate on Behalf of Patients A small number of large purchasers dominate the U.S. prescription drug market. Prescription Volume by Pharmacy Benefit Companies, 1Q 2011 Company Number of Prescriptions* Market Share (%) Top 5 PBMs 2,786 million 65.7% Medco Health Solutions 740 million 17.4% Express Scripts 656 million 15.5% CVS/Caremark 585 million 13.8% Argus Health Systems 510 million 12.0% Prescription Solutions 295 million 7.0% Top 10 PBMs 3,671 million 86.5% Top 15 PBMs 4,077 million 96.1% Total 4,243 million 100% * Values may not sum due to rounding. Sources: Drug Benefit News.12 3 • Spending and Costs 41
  • 46. Payers Influence Which Medicines Patients Receive Tiered Co-pays Prior Authorization Higher patient costs for Formularies Physicians required to justify List of covered drugs medicine’s use before it is non-preferred brands covered Payers have many tools to steer use toward generics and lower cost brands Step Therapy Financial Incentives Patients must try and fail on Counter-detailing Payments to physicians and/or Payers contact physicians to pharmacies for high generic alternatives before certain promote generics prescribing rate or switching medications are covered patients to preferred drugs Sources: PhRMA, from PBM annual reports13 3 • Spending and Costs 42
  • 47. Newly Introduced Generics are Adopted Rapidly When a generic version of a medicine becomes available for the first time, it can capture as much as 84% to 94% of the market within the first month. Generic share of filled prescriptions following the launch of a new generic osteoporosis treatment 100% Mail Retail 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 0 7 14 30 60 90 120 150 180 Sources: Medco14 3 • Spending and Costs 43
  • 48. Biologic Medicines are a Small Share of Health Plan Costs For the sickest patients, who are most likely to be treated with biologic medicines,* hospital costs are seven times the cost of biologic medicines. Spending Mix for Severely Ill Patients in Top 2.5% of Health Plan Spending 33.9% Ambulatory Care Hospitalizations 45.4% 6.6% 14.1% Biologic Medicines Other Medicines * Biologic medicines are biologically derived medicines used to treat conditions like cancer, multiple sclerosis, hepatitis C, hemophilia, and primary Source: V.J. Willey, et al.15 immune diseases. They are typically administered by injection or infusion and often require special handling, education, and monitoring. 3 • Spending and Costs 44
  • 49. Medicines Account for a Small Share of Health Spending Differences Between the U.S. and Other Countries Per Capita Health Care Spending 2009, U.S. vs. Canada and Germany $9,000 $7,960 $8,000 All Other Health Care Spending $7,000 Prescription Drugs $6,000 $5,000 $4,363 $4,218 $4,000 $3,000 93% of the difference 91% of the difference $2,000 $1,000 7% of the difference 9% of the difference $0 Canada United States Germany Source: OECD16 3 • Spending and Costs 45
  • 50. Notes and Sources 1. Total retail sales including brand medicines and generics. 2. PhRMA analysis of Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS ), National Health Expenditures by type of service and source of funds, CY 1960-2008 (Excel spreadsheet), Available at: http://www.cms.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/02_NationalHealthAccountsHistorical.asp# [accessed 14 October 2011]. 3. ibid. 4. Includes dental, other professional, home health, durable medical equipment, and other services. 5. PhRMA analysis of Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), National Health Expenditures (2010). Available at: https://www.cms.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/PieChartSourcesExpenditures2009.pdf [accessed 20 October 2011]. 6. PhRMA analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index — All Urban Consumers (2011). Available at: http://www.bls.gov/cpi/#tables [accessed 18 October 2011]. 7. IMS Health, IMS National Prescription AuditTM (2010). 8. IMS Health, “IMS Institute Reports U.S. Spending on Medicines Grew 2.3 Percent in 2010, to $307.4 Billion ,"IMS Health (2010). Available at: http://www.imshealth.com/portal/site/imshealth/ [accessed 23 August 2011]; PhRMA analysis of IMS Health, IMS National Prescription AuditTM (2011). 9. E.R. Berndt and M.L. Aitken, “Brand Loyalty, Generic Entry and Price Competition in Pharmaceuticals in the Quarter Century after the 1984 Waxman-Hatch Legislation,” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper no. 16431 (October 2010). 3 • Spending and Costs 46
  • 51. Notes and Sources 10. Prescription drug spending includes brand and generic ingredients, pharmacy, and distribution costs. Estimates are for civilian non-institutionalized population under age 65 who are privately insured and report coverage for prescription medicines. 11. PhRMA analysis of Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (2007). Available at: http://www.meps.ahrq.gov/mepsweb/ [accessed 5 May 2010]. 12. “Table: Top 50 Pharmacy Benefit Companies by Annual Rx Volume, as of 1Q 2011,” Drug Benefit News, (June 10, 2011). 13. PhRMA analysis of annual reports from Pharmacy Benefit Managers. See for example: Medco Drug Trend Reports (2007–2009). 14. Medco Health Solutions, 2009 Drug Trend Report (2009). Available at: www.drugtrend.com [accessed 28 April 2010]. 15. V.J. Willey, et al., “Costs of Severely Ill Members and Specialty Medication Use in a Commercially Insured Population,” Health Affairs 27, no. 3 (2008): 824-834. 16. PhRMA analysis of Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Health at a Glance 2011: OECD Indicators, OECD Publishing. Available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/health_glance-2011-en [accessed November 2011]. 3 • Spending and Costs 47
  • 52. 52
  • 53. 4 APPROPRIATE USE OF MEDICINES The Challenges of Gaps in Treatment and Lack of Adherence to Prescribed Therapies Undertreatment of chronic disease and lack of adherence to prescribed medicines are significant public health problems, costing the U.S. economy hundreds of billions of dollars each year. Improved adherence to prescribed medicines, however, can result in better health outcomes, lower costs for other health care services, and increased worker productivity. 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 49
  • 54. Most Americans Use Few or No Medicines — a Small Share of People Fill the Majority of Prescriptions The 20% of people who used medicines the most accounted for two-thirds of all prescriptions filled in 2007. 100% 20% 65% 90% 80% 80% 70% (38% of the population 60% uses no medicines) 50% 40% 30% 35% 20% 10% 0% % of Population % of Perscription Fills Source: 2007 MEPS1 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 50
  • 55. Medicines’ Changing Role in Recommended Care Revisions to clinical guidelines based on the latest research have resulted in appropriate increases in the use of medicines in recent years. Changes in the size of the treatable population as target levels change, such as lower targets for blood pressure, blood glucose, lipids Changes in the number and type of recommended medicines — such as a shift from single to combination therapy — to better control conditions Changes in therapeutic regimen and duration to better control conditions, such as longer continuation of treatment for depression Source: R. Dubois and B. Dean 2 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 51
  • 56. Failure to Prescribe the Indicated Treatment is the Most Common Prescription Drug Quality Problem RAND researchers report that failure to prescribe an indicated treatment is a far more common quality problem than is inappropriate medicine use. Quality Problems Among Vulnerable Older Patients Failure to prescribe when called for by 50% guidelines Inadequate monitoring 36% Inadequate education/ continuity/ 19% documentation Inappropriate medication 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% * Quality indicators were developed and implemented based on systematic literature reviews and multiple layers of expert judgment. Source: RAND3 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 52
  • 57. Diabetes: An Example of Underdiagnosis and Undertreatment Uncontrolled diabetes can lead to kidney failure, amputation, blindness, and stroke. 24 million Americans with DIABETES 18 million are DIAGNOSED 6 million are UNDIAGNOSED 15 million are TREATED 3 million are • Blood sugar control (diet & exercise, medicines) • diagnosed but • Testing to prevent complications • NOT TREATED 6 million are treated and have 9 million receive some treatment but are their disease CONTROLLED NOT SUCCESSFULLY CONTROLLED 6 million have 18 million have UNCONTROLLED diabetes CONTROLLED diabetes Source: NHANES; CDC4 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 53
  • 58. Recommended Medicines Can Save Lives and Dramatically Improve Health “...achieving effective blood pressure control would be approximately equivalent to eliminating all deaths from accidents, or from influenza and pneumonia combined.” —David Cutler, Harvard University Annual Hospitalizations and Deaths Avoided through Use of Recommended Antihypertensive Medications Actual Hospitalizations Avoided Annual Premature Deaths Avoided Actual Prevention: 833,000 86,000 Based on Current Treatment Rates Potential Additional Prevention: If Untreated Patients Received 420,000 89,000 Recommended Medicines Source: D.M. Cutler, et al.5 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 54
  • 59. Evidence Shows Use of Medicines Reduces Spending on Other Health Care Services Better coverage for prescription drugs and better adherence to prescribed medicines allows for significant cost savings. • Patients with chronic conditions who had better adherence to prescribed medicines had savings of $3 to $10 in non-drug spending for each additional dollar spent on prescriptions* – a net savings of $1,200 to $7,800 per patient per year.6 • Seniors with medication-sensitive conditions saw a 4.1% decline in their rate of hospital admissions after obtaining drug coverage through Part D.7 • Among all newly insured Part D enrollees, hospital and skilled nursing facility costs declined by about $1,200 per person8 – an overall savings of $13.4B in 2007.9 *For adherent patients compared to non-adherent patients. Sources: M.C. Roebuck, et al.6; C.C. Afendulis, et al.7; J.M. McWilliams, et al.8; C.C. Afendulis and M.E. Chernew9 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 55
  • 60. Gaining Drug Coverage Can Significantly Reduce Non-Drug Medical Spending Total nondrug medical spending among newly-insured Medicare Part D enrollees was about $1,200 per year less than expected10 – an overall savings of $13.4 billion in 2007, the first full year of the Part D program. 11 Average Annual Reduction in Medical Spending in 2006 and 2007, for Beneficiaries Gaining Drug Coverage through Part D Total Non-Drug Part A Part B Other Non-Drug* Medical Spending $0 -$200 -$400 -$600 -$816 -$816 -$800 -$1,000 -$28 -$268 -$140 -$1,224 -$1,224 -$1,200 -$1,400 *Home health, durable medical equipment, hospice, and outpatient institutional services. Sources: J.M. McWilliams, et al.10 ; C.C. Afendulis and M.E. Chernew11 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 56
  • 61. Improving Medication Adherence Would Yield Significant Health Gains and Economic Benefits “Poor adherence to treatment of chronic diseases is a worldwide problem of striking magnitude. Adherence to long-term therapy for chronic illnesses in developed countries averages 50%.” —World Health Organization Recent research has found medication non-adherence to be associated with: • 5.4 times increased risk of hospitalization, rehospitalization, or premature death for patients with high blood pressure.12 • 2.5 times increased risk of hospitalization for patients with diabetes.13 • as many as 40 percent of nursing home admissions.14 • an additional $2,000 per year per patient in physician visit costs.14 • an economic burden of $100 to $300 billion per year.15 Source: F.H. Gwadry-Sridhar, et al.12; D.T. Lau and D.P. Nau.13; American Pharmacists Association14; M.R. DiMatteo15 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 57
  • 62. The Large Gulf Between a Written Prescription and the Intended Treatment for the Patient Patients are vulnerable to gaps or discontinuation at many points during treatment. For every 100 50–70 48–66 25–30 15–20 prescriptions go to a are filled at are taken are refilled written pharmacy the pharmacy properly as prescribed Source: NACDS16 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 58
  • 63. Outcomes Improve as Adherence to Prescribed Medicines Increases Non-adherent diabetes patients were 2.5 times as likely to be hospitalized as those who followed their prescribed treatment. Hospitalization Rate among Diabetes Patients by Level of Adherence to Oral Antihyperglycemic Medication* 16% 14% 15% 12% 12% Hospitalization Rate 10% 10% 8% 6% 4% 5% 4% 2% 0% <40% 40-59% 60-79% 80-99% 100% Adherence Rate * Adherent patients defined as patients with a “medication possession ratio” (i.e., the sum of the “days of supply” of prescriptions filled divided by the number of days in the year) of 80% or higher. Source: D.T. Lau and D.P. Nau17 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 59
  • 64. Greater Adherence to Medicines Can Reduce Spending on Other Healthcare Services Among Medicaid beneficiaries with congestive heart failure, total healthcare costs for adherent patients* were 23 percent lower than those of non-adherent patients. Healthcare Spending by Level of Adherence Among Medicaid Beneficiaries with Congestive Heart Failure Prescription Drug Costs $30,000 Other Medical Costs Average Annual Healthcare Spending $25,000 $2,212 $23,112 $20,000 $2,915 $17,832 $3,247 $15,000 $14,418 $10,000 $5,000 $0 Less than 80% 80% to 95% Greater than 95% Adherence (%) * Adherent patients defined as patients with a “medication possession ratio” (i.e., total days supply of medication divided by number of days between first fill and the last day patient had medication available) of 80% or higher. Source: D. Esposito, et al.18 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 60
  • 65. High Cost-Sharing Reduces Adherence RAND researchers found that doubling co-pays reduced patients’ adherence to prescribed medicines by 25% to 45% and increased emergency-room visits and hospitalizations. Percent Change in Adherence from Doubling Medicine Co-pays 0% -5% -10% Days Supplied of Medicine -15% -20% -26% -26% -25% -25% -30% -33% -32% -34% -35% -40% -45% -44% -45% -50% Source: D. Goldman, et al.19 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 61
  • 66. New Classes of Medicines Can Improve Adherence and Persistence Studies have found better adherence to newer medicines.20 Similar results have been found even when insurance requires higher patient cost-sharing for the newer medicines compared to older medicines.21 Persistence Patterns Among Antihypertensive Patients, by Drug Class20 60% 50% Prescribed Therapy After 48 Months 51% Percent of Patients Adhering to 47% 40% 41% 35% 30% 20% 16% 10% 0% Thiazide Diuretics (1957) Beta Blockers (1967) Calcium-Channel Blockers ACE Inhibitors (1981) ARBs (1995) (1981) Drug Class (Year of First Launch22 ) Sources: P. Conlin, et al.20; D.A. Taira, et al.21; Drugs@FDA22 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 62
  • 67. Notes and Sources 1. PhRMA analysis of Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (2007). Available at: http://www.meps.ahrq.gov/mepsweb/ [accessed 5 May 2010]. 2. R.W. Dubois & B.B. Dean, “Evolution of Clinical Practice Guidelines: Evidence Supporting Expanded Use of Medicines,” Disease Management 9, no. 4 (2006): 210–23. 3. RAND Health, “U.S. Healthcare Facts About Cost, Access, and Quality” (2005) citing T. Higashi, et al., “The Quality of Pharmacologic Care for Vulnerable Older Patients”, Annals of Internal Medicine 140, no. 9 (2004): 714-720. 4. PhRMA analysis of data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey for 2003–2004 and 2005–2006; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Diabetes Fact Sheet, (2007). 5. D.M. Cutler, et al., “The Value of Antihypertensive Drugs: A Perspective on Medical Innovation,” Health Affairs 26, no. 1 (2007): 97-110. 6. M.C. Roebuck, et al., “Medication Adherence Leads to Lower Health Care Use and Costs Despite Increased Drug Spending,” Health Affairs 30, no. 1 (January 2011): 91-99. 7. C.C. Afendulis, et al., “The Impact of Medicare Part D on Hospitalization Rates,” Health Services Research 46, no. 4 (August 2011): 1022-1038. 8. J.M. McWilliams, et al., “Implementation of Medicare Part D and Nondrug Medical Spending for Elderly Adults With Limited Prior Drug Coverage,” Journal of the American Medical Association 306, no. 4 (2011): 402-409. 9. C.C. Afendulis and M.E. Chernew, “State-Level Impacts of Medicare Part D,” American Journal of Managed Care 17, Suppl 12:S (October 2011). 10. J.M. McWilliams, et al., “Implementation of Medicare Part D and Nondrug Medical Spending for Elderly Adults With Limited Prior Drug Coverage,” Journal of the American Medical Association, 306 no. 4 (2011): 402-409. 11. C.C. Afendulis and M.E. Chernew, “State-Level Impacts of Medicare Part D,” American Journal of Managed Care 17, Suppl 12:S (October 2011). 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 63
  • 68. Notes and Sources 12. F.H. Gwadry-Sridhar, et al. “A Framework for Planning and Critiquing Medication Compliance and Persistence Using Prospective Study Designs.” Clinical Therapeutics, 31, no. 2 (2009): 421-435. 13. D.T. Lau and D.P. Nau. “Oral Antihyperglycemic Medication Nonadherence and Subsequent Hospitalization among Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes,” Diabetes Care 27, no. 9 (2004): 2149-53. 14. American Pharmacists Association, Medication Compliance-Adherence-Persistence Digest, (2003). 15. M.R. DiMatteo. “Variation in Patients’ Adherence to Medical Recommendations.” Medical Care 42 no. 3 (2004) (Estimated the cost of non-adherence to be $300 billion per year); L. Osterberg and T. Blaschke, “Adherence to Medication,” New England Journal of Medicine 353 (2005): 487-497, and M.R. DiMatteo, op cit. (Estimated that 33 to 69 percent of medicine-related hospital admissions are caused by poor adherence, with a resulting estimated cost as high as $100 billion a year). 16. National Association of Chain Drug Stores, Pharmacies: Improving Health, Reducing Costs, (July 2010). Based on IMS Health data. 17. D.T. Lau and D.P. Nau, “Oral Antihyperglycemic Medication Nonadherence and Subsequent Hospitalization Among Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes.” Diabetes Care 27, no. 9 (September 2004): 2149-2153. 18. D. Esposito, et al., “Medicaid beneficiaries with congestive heart failure: association of medication adherence with healthcare use and costs,” American Journal of Managed Care 15, no. 7 (2009): 437–45. 19. D.P. Goldman, G.F. Joyce, J.J. Escarce, J.E. Pace, M.D. Solomon, M. Laouri, P.B. Landsman and S.M. Teutsch, “Pharmacy benefits and the use of drugs by the chronically ill,” Journal of the American Medical Association 291, no. 19 (2004): 2344-2350. 20. P. Conlin, et al., “Four-year Persistence Patterns Among Patients Initiating Therapy with the Angiotensin II Receptor Antagonist Losartan Versus Other Antihypertensive Drug Classes,” Clinical Therapeutics 23, no. 12 (December 2001):1999-2010. 21. D.A. Taira, et al., “Copayment Level and Compliance with Antihypertensive Medication: Analysis and Policy Implications for Managed Care,” American Journal of Managed Care 12, no. 11 (2006): 678-683. 22. Drugs@FDA, http://www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/cder/drugsatfda/ [accessed 12 July 2010] (for approval dates). 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 64
  • 69. 4 • Appropriate Use of Medicines 65
  • 70. 70
  • 71. 5 MARKETING AND PROMOTION Informing Consumers & Providers about Medicines Biopharmaceutical marketing and promotion are important and extensively regulated ways of informing consumers and health care professionals about medicines. Biopharmaceutical company representatives help speed the dissemination of improvements in medical care, and many physicians value this information. Direct-to-consumer (DTC) advertising by biopharmaceutical companies can lead patients to seek additional information and consult their doctors about previously untreated conditions; it also informs patients about medicines’ risks and benefits. While marketing and promotion increase awareness of medical treatment options, other factors, including formulary design and utilization-management strategies, often have a greater impact on prescribing decisions. 5 • Marketing and Promotion 67