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Prepared by Netscribes (Research on Global Markets)
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Global 5G Market (2020-2025)
December, 2017
Sample pages
Chapter 1: Executive Summary
3
Market Segmentation
Segments Definition and Types
SIM Cellular Connections
SIM M2M Cellular Connections
Refers to the technologies that enable devices/ machines and sensors or “things” within The Internet Of Things (IoT) to
communicate with each other and other Internet-enabled devices and systems with or without minimal human interference.
Connected Cars
A subscriber identification module (SIM) is an integrated circuit (IC) that is designed to securely store the international mobile
subscriber identity (IMSI) number and its related key, which are used for identification and authentication of subscribers on mobile
telephony devices (such as, smartphones, tablets, non-smartphones and computers) and its respective cellular network. SIM cards
are used on GSM phones, and they are required for newer LTE-capable handsets.
Connected CitiesConnected HealthcareConnected Homes Mission Critical Applications
4
Key Questions Answered in This Study
What ? Why ?When ?
• Total number of global and regional SIM cellular
connections across 5G, 4G, 3G, and 2G networks
• Global and regional data usage for both SIM
cellular connections and SIM M2M cellular
connections across 5G, 4G, 3G, and 2G networks
• Global and regional data traffic for both SIM
cellular connections and SIM M2M cellular
connections across 5G, 4G, 3G, and 2G networks
• 5G SIM cellular connection advancement over the
years globally and regionally 2019-2025; 4G, 3G,
and 2G SIM connections advancements/ decay
during 2016-2020
• 5G SIM cellular and SIM M2M cellular connections
data usage advancement over the years globally
and regionally 2019-2025; 4G, 3G, and 2G SIM
cellular and SIM M2M cellular connections data
usage advancement/decay over the years
globally and regionally during 2016-2025
• 5G SIM cellular and SIM M2M cellular connections
data traffic advancement over the years globally
and regionally 2019-2025; 4G, 3G, and 2G SIM
cellular and SIM M2M cellular connections data
traffic advancement/decay over the years globally
and regionally during 2016-2025
• Total number of global and regional SIM M2M
cellular connections across 5G, 4G, 3G, and 2G
networks
• 5G SIM M2M cellular connection advancement
over the years globally and regionally 2019-2025;
4G, 3G, and 2G SIM M2M connections
advancements/ decay during 2016-2020
• 5G will have a massive Impact on Connected
Device Makers. E.g.:- Consumer Internet Of
Things (IOT) Hardware makers, Industrial IOT
Hardware makers, and IOT Software makers
• 5G will have a massive Impact on Network
Operators. E.g.:- Telecom Companies, and Cable
TV Companies
• 5G will have a massive Impact on Network
Suppliers E.g.:- Cellular Tower Companies,
Network-equipment Suppliers
• 5G will have a massive Impact on Media
Companies. E.g.:- TV Networks And Movie
Studios, "Over The Top" Content Creators, Video
Game makers, Social Media And User-generated
Content Aggregators
• 5G will have a massive Impact on Network
Operators. E.g.:- Telecom companies, and Cable
TV Companies
• 5G will have a massive Impact on Network
suppliers . E.g.:- Cellular Tower companies,
Network-equipment Suppliers
5
Executive Summary
Overview
Trends
XX
XX
XX
2020 2022 2025
$ bn
• Mobile 5G as of now appears to be on its way to becoming the next big thing in the global digital connected ecosystem. With regard to connectivity, 1.2
billion 5G users are forecasted to be added globally between 2019 and 2025.
• By 2025, it is expected that there will be around 300 million 5G enabled SIM M2M connections, and total traffic from 5G enabled devices is expected to
reach 623 ExaByte (EB)
• Two-thirds of the world population are now mobile subscribers; mobile has a more significant reach than any
other technology in recent times
• Weighted average 5G data consumption during 2025 for SIM Cellular Connection is expected to be around 36GB
per month
• Subscriber growth will be majorly witnessed from Asia, accounting for 60% of new subscribers globally
• Disruptive competition is the principal challenge faced by the sector
• Regulators and policy-makers will face new challenges in legislating for an increasingly interdependent digital ecosystem
• Margins in the developing countries remain under pressure reflecting growth and competitive challenges coupled with
increased regulatory action and ongoing network investments to roll out 4G
• Ever-increasing demand for an enhanced mobile broadband experience clubbed with smartphone adoption are a
few critical drivers for faster 5G adaptation.
• In precise terms, 5G is looking at providing solutions for rising needs of bandwidth, demand for new and
advanced application services and the rising inculcations of the Internet of Things (IoT) which are also necessary
drivers for 5G.
Chapter 2: Global - Market Overview
7
Global Market Drivers
• The Internet of Things (IoT) is an eco-system of
interrelated computing devices, digital machines,
and mechanical objects, people
• To which unique identifiers are provided giving
them the ability to transfer data over an extensive
network without requiring human-to-human or
human-to-computer interaction.
IOT/ M2M Enhanced Mobile Broadband
• Two critical facets of EMB that will drive adoption
and value creation in the 5G economy are
extending cellular coverage into a broader range of
structures like Office buildings, Industrial parks,
Shopping malls, etc
• Improved capacity to handle a significantly higher
number of devices using high volumes of data,
especially in localized areas
• The year 2020 and beyond will witness an explosive
growth in mobile data traffic
• According to estimates, the global mobile data
traffic will grow by more than 200 times from 2010
to 2020 and by nearly 20,000 times from 2010 to
2030
Data Density
• The applications – many of them are machine-to-
machine (M2M), and with the rapid penetration of
embedded devices
• MTC is becoming the dominant communication
paradigm for a wide range of emerging smart services
Machine Type Communications
• Smartphone connections will increase globally from 2.8
billion in 2016 to 5.8 billion by 2020; 90% of that growth will
be coming from developing markets.
• China is already the largest smartphone market, but India will
be the real growth driver
Smartphone Adaptation
The ever-increasing demand for an enhanced mobile broadband experience together with smartphone adoption are the new trends in consumer engagement. It is expected to increase data density resulting in these
collectively being the critical drivers for 5G. As Internet Of Things (IoT) realizes its full potential along with machine type communication becoming necessary for mission-critical applications; 5G services will act as the
backbone of this eco-system
8
Global Market Drivers - (IOT)/ (M2M) (Industry Penetration)
• Energy sector will have less than XX million M2M
connections by 2021, growing at a CAGR of XX% from 2016
to 2021
• Some applications are smart meters, energy and fuel
consumption for home, and smart grid.
Energy
• Retail sector will have less than 200 million M2M
connection by 2021, growing at a CAGR of XX% from
2016 to 2021
• Some applications are ATM machines, cash
replacement, paper availability, card payment,
account balances.
Retail
• There will be less than a billion M2M connections in
connected cars by 2021, growing at a CAGR of XX% from
2016 to 2021
Connected Cars
• Connected cities, will account for less than XX M2M connections by
2021, growing at a CAGR of XX% from 2016 to 2021
Connected cities
• Healthcare industry will have less than a billion M2M connections by 2021,
growing at a CAGR of XX% from 2016 to 2021
• Remote patient monitoring with smartphones, smart body sensors will be
some of the applications.
Healthcare
• There will be around 6 billion M2M connections by 2021
for connected homes, growing at a CAGR of XX% from
2016 to 2021
• Some applications are Smart homes, building alarms,
security, fire intrusion, solar energy.
Connected home
• There will be less than XX million M2M connections in
Manufacturing and Supply Chain which will grow at a CAGR of XX%
from 2016 to 2021
• Some applications will be for customized solutions in asset
management, smart sensors, and data collection
Manufacturing & Supply Chain
• Workplaces will be better connected with less than 4 billion M2M
connections by 2021, growing at a CAGR of XX% from 2016 to
2021
Workplaces
With the advent of IOT, we will witness significant transformations across multiple industries. A radicle change in the consumer transportation industry because of connected cars; and the healthcare
industry will see remote patient monitoring systems. In the future, multiple sectors will be adopting M2M services to strive for higher productivity and increased operating efficiency
Global Market Drivers - (IOT)/ (M2M) (Applications)
• Connected cities applications and connected
car will have the second fastest growth, at 29
% CAGR each
• Telemedicine and, connected healthcare, with
applications such as health monitors, medicine
dispensers, first-responder connectivity will be
the fastest-growing industry segment with a
CAGR of 30 %
• In 2016, global mobile devices and connections grew to 8.0
billion, up from 7.6 billion in 2015.
• Globally, mobile devices and connections will grow to 11.6
billion by 2021 at a CAGR of 8 %
• Connected home applications, such as home security
and video surveillance, home automation, connected
white goods, and tracking applications, will represent
nearly half of the total M2M connections by 2021
• By 2021, there will be 929 million wearable
devices globally, growing nearly threefold
from 325 million in 2016 at a CAGR of 23 %
By 2021, there will be 3.3 billion M2M connections mainly in the areas of asset tracking systems in shipping and manufacturing sectors, GPS systems in cars,
and medical applications, making patient records and health status more readily available
• M2M devices’ penetration for industrial use will also
increase. According to forecasts there will be less than half
a billion M2M connections in sectors like retail,
manufacturing, and energy.
• This will be driven mainly by automation and artificial
intelligence
“The Connected
Ecosystem”
9
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
• During the 2016-2021, the average network connection speed for all
handsets increased from XX.XX Mbps to XX.XX Mbps, growing at a
CAGR of XX%.
• By 2021, 4G speeds will be nearly double than that of an average
mobile connection.
• An average mobile connection will surpass by 2-fold over 3G speeds
by 2021.
10
Global Market Drivers - Enhanced Mobile Broadband
NOTE:- Download speed, upload speed, and latency characteristics vary widely depending on the type of application, be it video, radio, or instant messaging
• During the period from 2016-2021, the
average network connection speed for all
tablets have increased from 19.1 Mbps to
27.8Mbps growing at a CAGR of 8%.
• According to forecasts, the combined
number of mobile and tablet users
surpassed the number of desktop users
globally, and the upward trend is
continuing.
• This is mainly due to the feasible interface
and mobility provided by such devices.
• During the period from 2016-2021, the average
network connection speed for smartphones has
increased from 12.1 Mbps to 20.3 Mbps growing at a
CAGR of 11%.
• Smartphone users on an average spend time
accessing over 30 apps on a monthly basis, according
to recent survey reports.
• Consumers are turning to smartphone apps and social
media for daily day to day activities.
Tablets
Smartphones
Handsets
Global Average Mobile Network Connection
Speeds for smartphones (in Mbps)
Global Average Mobile Network
Connection Speeds for handsets
(in Mbps)
Global Average Mobile Network Connection
Speeds for tablets (in Mbps)
Consumer demand for a low latency network and high-speed mobile broadband experience is always rising; the advent of 5G services will cater
to this need across all mobile devices and interfaces.
Global Market Drivers - Data Density
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20212016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20212016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
File sharingAudio streamingVideoWeb, data, and VoIP
• During the period 2016-2021, web, data, and
VOIP traffic will grow from 26 million TB/ year to
77 million TB/year with a CAGR of 24%
• With the induction of 4G (all IP network), VoIP,
data web applications have gained significant
mileage in terms of traffic
• According to some experts, more than 50% of
mobile voice traffic will be carried using end-to-
end VoIP by 2019
• During the period from 2016-2021
video, traffic grew from 53 million
TB/ year to 458 million TB/year with
a CAGR of 54%
• Streaming video now accounts for 70
% of mobile broadband usage.
Primary video content providers are
Netflix, YouTube, Hulu, and Amazon.
• During the period from 2016-2021
audio streaming, traffic grew from 7
million TB/ year to 32 million TB/year
with a CAGR of 35%
• Over-the-top (OTT) service providers,
with the likes of YouTube and
Subscription-based digital content
provider like Spotify, have also acted
as a catalyst for the growth of
audio/video data streaming.
• During the period from 2016-2021 file
sharing traffic grew from 2 million TB/
year to 13 million TB/year with a CAGR
of 45%
• The Entertainment industry's constant
battle against illegal file trading over the
years has taken a toll on Peer-to-Peer
file sharing services.
• According to some experts, users are
merely turning to more user-friendly
methods of obtaining media content.
A new trend in consumer engagement across mobile platforms is witnessed credits to mobility and affordability of such devices. In recent times, video content
service providers are taking major initiatives to sell their content across such platforms. So the majority of mobile traffic happens to be video. 5G services will
create new opportunities.
CAGR (2026-2021): XX% CAGR (2026-2021): XX% CAGR (2026-2021): XX% CAGR (2026-2021): XX%
11
Global Market Size- SIM M2M Cellular Connections
SIM M2M Cellular Connections (billion)
By the end of 2025, it is expected that there will be XX.XX billion SIM M2M Cellular Connections; 5G SIM M2M Cellular Connections is expected to reach
around XX million by 2025. 4G, 3G, and 3G SIM M2M Cellular Connections are all expected to grow.
2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
2G
3G
4G
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
5G SIM M2M Cellular Connections (million) 4G, 3G, and 2G SIM M2M Cellular Connections (million)
Key ObservationsKey Observations Key Observations
• Globally M2M sim cellular connections grew from
0.43 billion in 2016 and is expected to be around 1
billion by 2020. By 2025, it is expected to grow to
XX.XX billion at a CAGR of XX.XX%.
• The major contributor to the increasing growth
will be the Asia Pacific region, followed by North
America and Europe with almost equal shares
• Globally 5G sim cellular connections is expected
to grow from around 3 million in 2020 to 304
million by 2025 at a CAGR of 159%.
• By 2025 North America is expected to have about
50% of the 5G M2M connection followed by Asia
Pacific constituting about 30% and Europe
making about 17% of the remaining share
• M2M modules requires a different bandwidth profile
based on applications and used case scenarios.
• This is the reason we can see a increasing growth
across all technologies for the M2M connections.
12
Global Market Size- Data consumption by SIM Cellular Connections
5G data usage (GB/month)
North American SIM cellular connections will consume the maximum data over a 5G network followed by Asia Pacific. Data consumption over a 4G network
will also increase
NA Europe APAC LATAM MEA
2020 2025
NA Europe APAC LATAM MEA
2016 2020 2025
4G data usage (GB/month)
NA Europe APAC LATAM MEA
2016 2020 2025
3G data usage (GB/month)
Key Observations Key ObservationsKey Observations
• Weighted average 5G data consumption during 2020 is
expected to be around XXGB per month. North
American users are expected to consume around XXGB
followed by APAC users consuming XXGB and Europe
users around XXGB
• Weighted average 5G data consumption during 2025 is
expected to be around XXGB per month. APAC users are
expected to consume around XXGB followed by North
American users consuming XXGB followed by Europe
around XXGB
• Weighted average 3G data consumption during
2020 is expected to be around 2.3GB per month.
APAC users consuming around 0.8GB followed
by MEA users consuming 0.8GB and Europe
users around 0.3GB
• Weighted average 3G data consumption during
2025 is expected to be around 2.9GB per month.
MEA users consuming around 1.4GB followed by
APAC users consuming 1.2GB followed by
Europe and LATAM around 0.1GB
• Weighted average 4G data consumption during
2020 is expected to be around 6GB per month.
APAC users consuming around 3GB followed by
Europe users consuming 1GB and NA users
around 0.7GB
• Weighted average 4G data consumption during
2025 is expected to be around 8GB per month.
APAC users is expected to consume around 4GB
followed by Europe users consuming 1.5GB
followed by NA around 1GB
13
Global Market Size- Data Traffic by SIM Cellular Connections
5G Traffic (EB / year)
Global traffic generated from SIM Cellular Connections over a 5G network is expected to reach XX ExaByte(EB) by 2025; 4G traffic is expected to reach XX EB
by 2025 globally and 2G traffic is expected to decrease
• Initial peak in data traffic is observed coming from 2016 to 2020 this is mainly because
of fasted roll-outs of LTE services and high adoption rate across all the regions.
• Traffic from 3G sim cellular connection initially peaks but is expected to remain almost
stagnant from 2021 onwards mainly because of availability of faster and low latency
networks
• 2G sim cellular connection traffic eventually is expected to decrease from 2021
2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
4G 3G 2G
4G, 3G, and 2G Traffic (EB / year)
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Key Observation
• Global 5G sim cellular connection traffic is expected to
grow from 7EB in 2020 to around XX EB by 2025 at a
CAGR of XX%
• Asia Pacific region is expected to contribute more than
half to the global traffic followed by Europe and NA
constituting of major part of the other half, primarily
because of connections and adoption
Key Observation
14
Global Market Size- Revenue
Global revenues from SIM Cellular Connections is expected to reach XX USD billion by 2025 and SIM M2M Cellular connection revenue is expected to
reach around XX USD billion by 2025
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Sim Connections
Sim M2M Connections
• Global 5G revenue for SIM cellular connections is expected to
be around 8 billion USD at 2020 and from then expected to
reach 233 billion USD by 2025 growing at a CAGR of 95%
• 50% of the global revenue contribution by 2025 is expected
to come from North America followed by Asia pacific and
then Europe
Key Observations
Key Observations
• Global 5G revenue for SIM Cellular M2M connections is
expected to be around 200 million USD at 2020 and expected
to reach around 17 billion USD by 2025 growing at a CAGR of
152%
• 60% of the global revenue contribution by 2025 is expected
to come from North America followed by Asia pacific and
then Europe
Total Revenue in $ bn
15
Chapter 3: North America- Market Overview
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
17
North America- Market Overview
Growth Drivers
North America
Challenges
Rapid Growth of “Smart Connections”
Growing Video Traffic
Strong Revenue Growth
Mobile video adoption
M2M and IOT
Smartphone Adoption
Mobile Broadband
Artificial Intelligence
Price Competition
Market revenue (US$ bn)
Major Trends
18
North America -Market Drivers
Mobile Broadband
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
• Broadened range of applications & services: This is expected to be affected
by a continuous shift towards enhanced bandwidth, lower latency,
enhanced security and openness of mobile networks
• To meet the above demands , the need for a higher mobile bandwidth
experience is imminent
Average Mobile Network Connection Speeds
(in Mbps)
• Rapid Population Penetration: By 2020 it is expected that
there will be above 300 million mobile subscribers in North
America which will be 84% of North America’s population
• Over the years, smartphone adoption in North America will
reach 81% by 2020, and simultaneously 4G adoption will be
84%.
• According to experts, 5G adoption will likely grow as fast as
4G adoption; this is a crucial driver
Increased Smartphone Adaptation
• Increased Digitization and drive for more productivity: M2M
and IoT are allowing digitization of services and improvement
of industrial processes.
• As these technologies are increasingly adopted, it will drive
significant benefits through cost savings and efficiency gains
in industries such as manufacturing, logistics, and retail.
• Productivity is Improving driven by continued adoption of
M2M and IoT technology and the increased digitization of
industry and services.
M2M/ IOT
North America will head the way on 5G: North America is expected to witness same rapid pace of adoption of 5G services as was seen during 4G; it will have
nearly a 50% adoption rate by 2025.
NOTE: Download speed, upload speed, and latency characteristics vary widely depending on the type of application, be it video, radio, or instant messaging
19
• A new trend of Consumer engagement: across all segment of mobile users is driving data traffic. Moving
forward, new technologies such as virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR), as well as network
developments in the future (LTE Advanced Pro, 5G) will further drive video traffic growth.
• High mobile consumer commitment to digital content delivered through video (e.g.,
movies, music, games) has driven fast growth in mobile data traffic.
• 4K/8K ultra-HD video, applications for gaming, immersive TV and, AR/VR devices, as well
as digital services and content for connected devices, will be the critical drivers for early
5G adaptation.
Video Content Adaptation
NOTE:- Download speed, upload speed, and latency characteristics vary widely depending on the type of application, be it video, radio, or instant messaging*
North America -Market Drivers
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
North America Market Size- SIM Cellular Connections
North America 5G SIM Cellular Connections is expected to reach around XX million by 2025, the majority coming from USA; 4G SIM Cellular Connections is also
expected to have a strong presence while 2G and 3G SIM Cellular connections will decrease
2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
2G
3G
4G
5G SIM Cellular Connections (million) 4G, 3G, and 2G SIM Cellular Connections (million)
Key Observations Key Observations
• The number of 5G Sim cellular connections in North America is
expected to be around XX million in 2020 and is expected to grow
around XX million by 2025 at a CAGR of XX%
• We can expect commercialization of 5G services across North
America by 2019 and by 2025 it is expected to have XX% of the
global 5G sim cellular connection.
• A majority of the connections will come from USA followed by
Canada
• 4G SIM cellular connections is expected to grow from around 343 million in
2020 to 379 million by 2025 at a CAGR of 2%; 3G and 2G sim cellular
connections is expected to eventually decrease. By 2025 NA is expected to
have 9% of the global 4G sim cellular connection
• Majority of the USA and Canada population will be moving over to the 4G
network from 2016 onwards; demand for high mobile broadband experience
is one of the highest in this region driving this rapid adaptation
21
North America- Market Trends
• In North America, in 2016, the average 4G vs 3G vs 2G speed
was 22,038 kbps vs 6,180 kbps vs 150 kbps
• The maximum 5G forecasted speed will be 10Gbps as claimed by
Nokia.
• Revenue growth in North America has been stronger than any
other developed markets. This trend has been driven primarily
by higher usage of both voice and messaging services, as well as,
a more recent growing consumer engagement resulting in
higher levels of data usage
• In North America, 99% of mobile connections can be termed as
'smart' connections by 2021, up from 81% in 2016
• In 2016 North America had 127 million wearable devices which
were 39% of global wearable, which will grow to 378 million in
2021 and by then it will be 41% of global wearable devices
• Video traffic will be 77% of North America's total mobile data
traffic by 2021, compared to 64% at the end of 2016.
• Video almost reached half of North America's mobile data
traffic by year-end 2015 or earlier.
• Streaming Audio will be 5% of North America's total mobile
data traffic by 2021, compared to 7% at the end of 2016.
• In the US, over 60% of smartphone owners watch online video
(e.g., YouTube, embedded video and live streaming every
week), of which 34% do so every day.
1
2
4
3
5
North America is expected to witness a rapid change in consumer engagement with mobile devices, with the majority of traffic being generated from video
usage. Companies will develop strategies and business models in order to monetize from this major trend
22
North America- Market Challenges
• Price competition has also increased significantly over
the last few years, and will likely remain intense thus
putting pressure on value chain and the service
providers as a result of which the ARPU across the
sector is being driven down.
• New, digital landscape is emerging, such as the Wi-Fi connected, voice-
driven AI-based systems(e.g., Amazon Echo, Google Home), which are
increasingly becoming popular and becoming a control point for the
connected home and other connected devices.
• With an extensive recognition that Artificial Intelligence (AI) is key to
business transformation and IoT developments. There is uncertainty about
future business models and issues like; How the value chain will work?
which must be addressed
North America being a mature telecommunications market, some of the major challenges it will face is stiff competition, which may drive down the ARPU.
Chapter 8: Global Landscape- Tests, Trials, and Demonstrations
5G networks are expected to drive three levels of connectivity- enhanced mobile broadband, massive Internet of Things (IoT), and mission-critical applications—all of
which will enable a range of technological innovations globally
5G Global Landscape- Tests, Trials, and Demonstrations
Countries with completed,
Ongoing, or proposed 5G testing,
trials, and demonstrations
Fast followers for 5G development
in their respective regions
5G proposed commercialization
since 2019 onwards
Telstra's plans to commence 5G
trials on The Gold Coast in 2018
Telecom operators including MTS are planning to launch 5G
trials during the 2018 football world cup in Russia
24
Company Overview - China Mobile
China Mobile Limited, an investment holding company, provides mobile telecommunications and related services in mainland China and Hong Kong with
its global HQ in Hong Kong
Key Highlights 5G Growth Strategy and Investments
• Total Revenue: 110,511.36 USD (mm)
• Gross Profit Margin: 61.7%
• Net Income Margin: 15.3%
• Growth Over Prior Year: 6.4%
• EBITDA Margin: 36.7%
Key numbers (12 Months Sep-30-2017)
Major Offerings
• Major products offered are voice services, domestic and international
long distance calls and roaming services, wireless Internet service,
digital applications, and wire line broadband services
• It also offers dedicated line services for necessary corporate
communication products, such as corporate VPMN and SMS to its
corporate customers
Key Personnel
• Executive Director and Chairman- Shang Bing
• Executive Director and CEO- Li Yue
• Executive Director and VP- Sha Yuejia
• Executive Director, VP, and CFO- Dong Xin
• Indian telecom major Bharti Airtel Ltd and China's largest telecom
operator China Mobile Ltd announced a joint partnership to work on
evolving high technologies like 5G and procure telecom devices and
equipment
• China Mobile targets steady building of 5G infrastructure from 2018;
the operator will field test 5G in 5 major Chinese cities namely
Guangzhou, Chengdu, Shanghai, Hangzhou and Beijing with commercial
rollouts anticipated in 2020
Strategy
Investments
• Significant 5G capital expenditure starting from 2019 will commence in
China; with an estimate total of 1.2 trillion yuan by 2025, China Mobile
will be a key player
• Chinese incumbent players are expected to invest $180 billion over a
seven-year period on their 5G build-outs. China Mobile will be a key
player
25
Appendix
Appendix
27
Research Methodology
The study begins with identifying the right research question(s). The question depends on what we are going to achieve by conducting the research or what we want
to convey to the prospective customers through this research. Next we identify the logical steps to arrive at the answers to the question(s). These logical steps form
our research objectives. The research objectives provide us a guideline regarding what information we need to conduct analysis. We strongly believe that clear
objectives will lead to clear results about the given market
The next stage of the research is conducted utilizing the secondary sources of information, process called desk/secondary research. Netscribes Inc. has a considerable
volume of information in both quantitative and qualitative forms, across all major industries and its sectors. Also, we conduct in-depth study of the market,
understanding its key stakeholders, drivers, trends, challenges and opportunities globally covering major regions such as North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia
Pacific, and Middle East & Africa. The key sources consumed for these research include (but not limited to) the following:
 Financial reports published by the key market players
 Government and other official sources including the National Statistics
 National and International trade associations
 Paid databases
 Other reliable sources
Primary research complements the secondary research as it helps us to gain insights from the industries directly by communicating with the senior executives, key
opinion leaders and independent consultants who are experts in their industries or specific industry sectors. Such interviews are conducted across the value chain of
the market in question. A survey questionnaire is usually prepared for conducting any primary interview or survey. The questionnaire is developed with utmost care to
fulfil the key research objectives and also to validate the assumptions about the market. This supplements the information otherwise unaddressed via secondary
research. The primary data collection is done by expert interviewers who have specific industry knowledge. Linguists are hired to conduct interviews in the
respondent’s native language. Only paid interviews are conducted to incentivize the respondents and ensure that there is no shift of focus. Some of the primary
research methods applied at Netscribes include the following:
 In-depth Interviews
 Executive Interviews
 Expert Panels
The qualitative and quantitative findings from the above stages are brought together by specialists to perform a rigorous analysis. The regional market trends, drivers,
and opportunities obtained during the analysis is compared with regional economic indicators, sector growth rates, population index, etc. to ensure the data
consistency. After ensuring the consistency, these historical and present indicators help us to understand how the market will perform in future. Our proprietary
forecasting model factors in all these indicators to predict the future market accurately.
Appendix
28
Assumptions
 Assumptions For 5G SIM M2M Cellular Connection
 5G SIM M2M Cellular Connection will have same rate od adaptation as that 4G SIM M2M Cellular Connections
 Assumptions For Data Used by 5G SIM M2M Cellular Connections
 5G SIM M2M Cellular Connection will have same data usage ratio as 4G SIM Cellular connections and 5G SIM Cellular
connections
 Assumptions For Data Used age across the years have been considered according to CISCO forecasts
 Beyond the CISCO forecast period, data usage has been kept constant
Appendix
29
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Global 5 g market 2020 2025 - Sample Reports

  • 1. Prepared by Netscribes (Research on Global Markets) Proprietary and Confidential, Copyright © 2017, Netscribes, Inc. All Rights Reserved The content of this document is confidential and meant for the review of the recipient. Disclaimer: The names or logos of other companies and products mentioned herein are the trademarks of their respective owners Global 5G Market (2020-2025) December, 2017 Sample pages
  • 3. 3 Market Segmentation Segments Definition and Types SIM Cellular Connections SIM M2M Cellular Connections Refers to the technologies that enable devices/ machines and sensors or “things” within The Internet Of Things (IoT) to communicate with each other and other Internet-enabled devices and systems with or without minimal human interference. Connected Cars A subscriber identification module (SIM) is an integrated circuit (IC) that is designed to securely store the international mobile subscriber identity (IMSI) number and its related key, which are used for identification and authentication of subscribers on mobile telephony devices (such as, smartphones, tablets, non-smartphones and computers) and its respective cellular network. SIM cards are used on GSM phones, and they are required for newer LTE-capable handsets. Connected CitiesConnected HealthcareConnected Homes Mission Critical Applications
  • 4. 4 Key Questions Answered in This Study What ? Why ?When ? • Total number of global and regional SIM cellular connections across 5G, 4G, 3G, and 2G networks • Global and regional data usage for both SIM cellular connections and SIM M2M cellular connections across 5G, 4G, 3G, and 2G networks • Global and regional data traffic for both SIM cellular connections and SIM M2M cellular connections across 5G, 4G, 3G, and 2G networks • 5G SIM cellular connection advancement over the years globally and regionally 2019-2025; 4G, 3G, and 2G SIM connections advancements/ decay during 2016-2020 • 5G SIM cellular and SIM M2M cellular connections data usage advancement over the years globally and regionally 2019-2025; 4G, 3G, and 2G SIM cellular and SIM M2M cellular connections data usage advancement/decay over the years globally and regionally during 2016-2025 • 5G SIM cellular and SIM M2M cellular connections data traffic advancement over the years globally and regionally 2019-2025; 4G, 3G, and 2G SIM cellular and SIM M2M cellular connections data traffic advancement/decay over the years globally and regionally during 2016-2025 • Total number of global and regional SIM M2M cellular connections across 5G, 4G, 3G, and 2G networks • 5G SIM M2M cellular connection advancement over the years globally and regionally 2019-2025; 4G, 3G, and 2G SIM M2M connections advancements/ decay during 2016-2020 • 5G will have a massive Impact on Connected Device Makers. E.g.:- Consumer Internet Of Things (IOT) Hardware makers, Industrial IOT Hardware makers, and IOT Software makers • 5G will have a massive Impact on Network Operators. E.g.:- Telecom Companies, and Cable TV Companies • 5G will have a massive Impact on Network Suppliers E.g.:- Cellular Tower Companies, Network-equipment Suppliers • 5G will have a massive Impact on Media Companies. E.g.:- TV Networks And Movie Studios, "Over The Top" Content Creators, Video Game makers, Social Media And User-generated Content Aggregators • 5G will have a massive Impact on Network Operators. E.g.:- Telecom companies, and Cable TV Companies • 5G will have a massive Impact on Network suppliers . E.g.:- Cellular Tower companies, Network-equipment Suppliers
  • 5. 5 Executive Summary Overview Trends XX XX XX 2020 2022 2025 $ bn • Mobile 5G as of now appears to be on its way to becoming the next big thing in the global digital connected ecosystem. With regard to connectivity, 1.2 billion 5G users are forecasted to be added globally between 2019 and 2025. • By 2025, it is expected that there will be around 300 million 5G enabled SIM M2M connections, and total traffic from 5G enabled devices is expected to reach 623 ExaByte (EB) • Two-thirds of the world population are now mobile subscribers; mobile has a more significant reach than any other technology in recent times • Weighted average 5G data consumption during 2025 for SIM Cellular Connection is expected to be around 36GB per month • Subscriber growth will be majorly witnessed from Asia, accounting for 60% of new subscribers globally • Disruptive competition is the principal challenge faced by the sector • Regulators and policy-makers will face new challenges in legislating for an increasingly interdependent digital ecosystem • Margins in the developing countries remain under pressure reflecting growth and competitive challenges coupled with increased regulatory action and ongoing network investments to roll out 4G • Ever-increasing demand for an enhanced mobile broadband experience clubbed with smartphone adoption are a few critical drivers for faster 5G adaptation. • In precise terms, 5G is looking at providing solutions for rising needs of bandwidth, demand for new and advanced application services and the rising inculcations of the Internet of Things (IoT) which are also necessary drivers for 5G.
  • 6. Chapter 2: Global - Market Overview
  • 7. 7 Global Market Drivers • The Internet of Things (IoT) is an eco-system of interrelated computing devices, digital machines, and mechanical objects, people • To which unique identifiers are provided giving them the ability to transfer data over an extensive network without requiring human-to-human or human-to-computer interaction. IOT/ M2M Enhanced Mobile Broadband • Two critical facets of EMB that will drive adoption and value creation in the 5G economy are extending cellular coverage into a broader range of structures like Office buildings, Industrial parks, Shopping malls, etc • Improved capacity to handle a significantly higher number of devices using high volumes of data, especially in localized areas • The year 2020 and beyond will witness an explosive growth in mobile data traffic • According to estimates, the global mobile data traffic will grow by more than 200 times from 2010 to 2020 and by nearly 20,000 times from 2010 to 2030 Data Density • The applications – many of them are machine-to- machine (M2M), and with the rapid penetration of embedded devices • MTC is becoming the dominant communication paradigm for a wide range of emerging smart services Machine Type Communications • Smartphone connections will increase globally from 2.8 billion in 2016 to 5.8 billion by 2020; 90% of that growth will be coming from developing markets. • China is already the largest smartphone market, but India will be the real growth driver Smartphone Adaptation The ever-increasing demand for an enhanced mobile broadband experience together with smartphone adoption are the new trends in consumer engagement. It is expected to increase data density resulting in these collectively being the critical drivers for 5G. As Internet Of Things (IoT) realizes its full potential along with machine type communication becoming necessary for mission-critical applications; 5G services will act as the backbone of this eco-system
  • 8. 8 Global Market Drivers - (IOT)/ (M2M) (Industry Penetration) • Energy sector will have less than XX million M2M connections by 2021, growing at a CAGR of XX% from 2016 to 2021 • Some applications are smart meters, energy and fuel consumption for home, and smart grid. Energy • Retail sector will have less than 200 million M2M connection by 2021, growing at a CAGR of XX% from 2016 to 2021 • Some applications are ATM machines, cash replacement, paper availability, card payment, account balances. Retail • There will be less than a billion M2M connections in connected cars by 2021, growing at a CAGR of XX% from 2016 to 2021 Connected Cars • Connected cities, will account for less than XX M2M connections by 2021, growing at a CAGR of XX% from 2016 to 2021 Connected cities • Healthcare industry will have less than a billion M2M connections by 2021, growing at a CAGR of XX% from 2016 to 2021 • Remote patient monitoring with smartphones, smart body sensors will be some of the applications. Healthcare • There will be around 6 billion M2M connections by 2021 for connected homes, growing at a CAGR of XX% from 2016 to 2021 • Some applications are Smart homes, building alarms, security, fire intrusion, solar energy. Connected home • There will be less than XX million M2M connections in Manufacturing and Supply Chain which will grow at a CAGR of XX% from 2016 to 2021 • Some applications will be for customized solutions in asset management, smart sensors, and data collection Manufacturing & Supply Chain • Workplaces will be better connected with less than 4 billion M2M connections by 2021, growing at a CAGR of XX% from 2016 to 2021 Workplaces With the advent of IOT, we will witness significant transformations across multiple industries. A radicle change in the consumer transportation industry because of connected cars; and the healthcare industry will see remote patient monitoring systems. In the future, multiple sectors will be adopting M2M services to strive for higher productivity and increased operating efficiency
  • 9. Global Market Drivers - (IOT)/ (M2M) (Applications) • Connected cities applications and connected car will have the second fastest growth, at 29 % CAGR each • Telemedicine and, connected healthcare, with applications such as health monitors, medicine dispensers, first-responder connectivity will be the fastest-growing industry segment with a CAGR of 30 % • In 2016, global mobile devices and connections grew to 8.0 billion, up from 7.6 billion in 2015. • Globally, mobile devices and connections will grow to 11.6 billion by 2021 at a CAGR of 8 % • Connected home applications, such as home security and video surveillance, home automation, connected white goods, and tracking applications, will represent nearly half of the total M2M connections by 2021 • By 2021, there will be 929 million wearable devices globally, growing nearly threefold from 325 million in 2016 at a CAGR of 23 % By 2021, there will be 3.3 billion M2M connections mainly in the areas of asset tracking systems in shipping and manufacturing sectors, GPS systems in cars, and medical applications, making patient records and health status more readily available • M2M devices’ penetration for industrial use will also increase. According to forecasts there will be less than half a billion M2M connections in sectors like retail, manufacturing, and energy. • This will be driven mainly by automation and artificial intelligence “The Connected Ecosystem” 9
  • 10. 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 • During the 2016-2021, the average network connection speed for all handsets increased from XX.XX Mbps to XX.XX Mbps, growing at a CAGR of XX%. • By 2021, 4G speeds will be nearly double than that of an average mobile connection. • An average mobile connection will surpass by 2-fold over 3G speeds by 2021. 10 Global Market Drivers - Enhanced Mobile Broadband NOTE:- Download speed, upload speed, and latency characteristics vary widely depending on the type of application, be it video, radio, or instant messaging • During the period from 2016-2021, the average network connection speed for all tablets have increased from 19.1 Mbps to 27.8Mbps growing at a CAGR of 8%. • According to forecasts, the combined number of mobile and tablet users surpassed the number of desktop users globally, and the upward trend is continuing. • This is mainly due to the feasible interface and mobility provided by such devices. • During the period from 2016-2021, the average network connection speed for smartphones has increased from 12.1 Mbps to 20.3 Mbps growing at a CAGR of 11%. • Smartphone users on an average spend time accessing over 30 apps on a monthly basis, according to recent survey reports. • Consumers are turning to smartphone apps and social media for daily day to day activities. Tablets Smartphones Handsets Global Average Mobile Network Connection Speeds for smartphones (in Mbps) Global Average Mobile Network Connection Speeds for handsets (in Mbps) Global Average Mobile Network Connection Speeds for tablets (in Mbps) Consumer demand for a low latency network and high-speed mobile broadband experience is always rising; the advent of 5G services will cater to this need across all mobile devices and interfaces.
  • 11. Global Market Drivers - Data Density 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20212016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20212016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 File sharingAudio streamingVideoWeb, data, and VoIP • During the period 2016-2021, web, data, and VOIP traffic will grow from 26 million TB/ year to 77 million TB/year with a CAGR of 24% • With the induction of 4G (all IP network), VoIP, data web applications have gained significant mileage in terms of traffic • According to some experts, more than 50% of mobile voice traffic will be carried using end-to- end VoIP by 2019 • During the period from 2016-2021 video, traffic grew from 53 million TB/ year to 458 million TB/year with a CAGR of 54% • Streaming video now accounts for 70 % of mobile broadband usage. Primary video content providers are Netflix, YouTube, Hulu, and Amazon. • During the period from 2016-2021 audio streaming, traffic grew from 7 million TB/ year to 32 million TB/year with a CAGR of 35% • Over-the-top (OTT) service providers, with the likes of YouTube and Subscription-based digital content provider like Spotify, have also acted as a catalyst for the growth of audio/video data streaming. • During the period from 2016-2021 file sharing traffic grew from 2 million TB/ year to 13 million TB/year with a CAGR of 45% • The Entertainment industry's constant battle against illegal file trading over the years has taken a toll on Peer-to-Peer file sharing services. • According to some experts, users are merely turning to more user-friendly methods of obtaining media content. A new trend in consumer engagement across mobile platforms is witnessed credits to mobility and affordability of such devices. In recent times, video content service providers are taking major initiatives to sell their content across such platforms. So the majority of mobile traffic happens to be video. 5G services will create new opportunities. CAGR (2026-2021): XX% CAGR (2026-2021): XX% CAGR (2026-2021): XX% CAGR (2026-2021): XX% 11
  • 12. Global Market Size- SIM M2M Cellular Connections SIM M2M Cellular Connections (billion) By the end of 2025, it is expected that there will be XX.XX billion SIM M2M Cellular Connections; 5G SIM M2M Cellular Connections is expected to reach around XX million by 2025. 4G, 3G, and 3G SIM M2M Cellular Connections are all expected to grow. 2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2G 3G 4G 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5G SIM M2M Cellular Connections (million) 4G, 3G, and 2G SIM M2M Cellular Connections (million) Key ObservationsKey Observations Key Observations • Globally M2M sim cellular connections grew from 0.43 billion in 2016 and is expected to be around 1 billion by 2020. By 2025, it is expected to grow to XX.XX billion at a CAGR of XX.XX%. • The major contributor to the increasing growth will be the Asia Pacific region, followed by North America and Europe with almost equal shares • Globally 5G sim cellular connections is expected to grow from around 3 million in 2020 to 304 million by 2025 at a CAGR of 159%. • By 2025 North America is expected to have about 50% of the 5G M2M connection followed by Asia Pacific constituting about 30% and Europe making about 17% of the remaining share • M2M modules requires a different bandwidth profile based on applications and used case scenarios. • This is the reason we can see a increasing growth across all technologies for the M2M connections. 12
  • 13. Global Market Size- Data consumption by SIM Cellular Connections 5G data usage (GB/month) North American SIM cellular connections will consume the maximum data over a 5G network followed by Asia Pacific. Data consumption over a 4G network will also increase NA Europe APAC LATAM MEA 2020 2025 NA Europe APAC LATAM MEA 2016 2020 2025 4G data usage (GB/month) NA Europe APAC LATAM MEA 2016 2020 2025 3G data usage (GB/month) Key Observations Key ObservationsKey Observations • Weighted average 5G data consumption during 2020 is expected to be around XXGB per month. North American users are expected to consume around XXGB followed by APAC users consuming XXGB and Europe users around XXGB • Weighted average 5G data consumption during 2025 is expected to be around XXGB per month. APAC users are expected to consume around XXGB followed by North American users consuming XXGB followed by Europe around XXGB • Weighted average 3G data consumption during 2020 is expected to be around 2.3GB per month. APAC users consuming around 0.8GB followed by MEA users consuming 0.8GB and Europe users around 0.3GB • Weighted average 3G data consumption during 2025 is expected to be around 2.9GB per month. MEA users consuming around 1.4GB followed by APAC users consuming 1.2GB followed by Europe and LATAM around 0.1GB • Weighted average 4G data consumption during 2020 is expected to be around 6GB per month. APAC users consuming around 3GB followed by Europe users consuming 1GB and NA users around 0.7GB • Weighted average 4G data consumption during 2025 is expected to be around 8GB per month. APAC users is expected to consume around 4GB followed by Europe users consuming 1.5GB followed by NA around 1GB 13
  • 14. Global Market Size- Data Traffic by SIM Cellular Connections 5G Traffic (EB / year) Global traffic generated from SIM Cellular Connections over a 5G network is expected to reach XX ExaByte(EB) by 2025; 4G traffic is expected to reach XX EB by 2025 globally and 2G traffic is expected to decrease • Initial peak in data traffic is observed coming from 2016 to 2020 this is mainly because of fasted roll-outs of LTE services and high adoption rate across all the regions. • Traffic from 3G sim cellular connection initially peaks but is expected to remain almost stagnant from 2021 onwards mainly because of availability of faster and low latency networks • 2G sim cellular connection traffic eventually is expected to decrease from 2021 2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 4G 3G 2G 4G, 3G, and 2G Traffic (EB / year) 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Key Observation • Global 5G sim cellular connection traffic is expected to grow from 7EB in 2020 to around XX EB by 2025 at a CAGR of XX% • Asia Pacific region is expected to contribute more than half to the global traffic followed by Europe and NA constituting of major part of the other half, primarily because of connections and adoption Key Observation 14
  • 15. Global Market Size- Revenue Global revenues from SIM Cellular Connections is expected to reach XX USD billion by 2025 and SIM M2M Cellular connection revenue is expected to reach around XX USD billion by 2025 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Sim Connections Sim M2M Connections • Global 5G revenue for SIM cellular connections is expected to be around 8 billion USD at 2020 and from then expected to reach 233 billion USD by 2025 growing at a CAGR of 95% • 50% of the global revenue contribution by 2025 is expected to come from North America followed by Asia pacific and then Europe Key Observations Key Observations • Global 5G revenue for SIM Cellular M2M connections is expected to be around 200 million USD at 2020 and expected to reach around 17 billion USD by 2025 growing at a CAGR of 152% • 60% of the global revenue contribution by 2025 is expected to come from North America followed by Asia pacific and then Europe Total Revenue in $ bn 15
  • 16. Chapter 3: North America- Market Overview
  • 17. 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 17 North America- Market Overview Growth Drivers North America Challenges Rapid Growth of “Smart Connections” Growing Video Traffic Strong Revenue Growth Mobile video adoption M2M and IOT Smartphone Adoption Mobile Broadband Artificial Intelligence Price Competition Market revenue (US$ bn) Major Trends
  • 18. 18 North America -Market Drivers Mobile Broadband 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 • Broadened range of applications & services: This is expected to be affected by a continuous shift towards enhanced bandwidth, lower latency, enhanced security and openness of mobile networks • To meet the above demands , the need for a higher mobile bandwidth experience is imminent Average Mobile Network Connection Speeds (in Mbps) • Rapid Population Penetration: By 2020 it is expected that there will be above 300 million mobile subscribers in North America which will be 84% of North America’s population • Over the years, smartphone adoption in North America will reach 81% by 2020, and simultaneously 4G adoption will be 84%. • According to experts, 5G adoption will likely grow as fast as 4G adoption; this is a crucial driver Increased Smartphone Adaptation • Increased Digitization and drive for more productivity: M2M and IoT are allowing digitization of services and improvement of industrial processes. • As these technologies are increasingly adopted, it will drive significant benefits through cost savings and efficiency gains in industries such as manufacturing, logistics, and retail. • Productivity is Improving driven by continued adoption of M2M and IoT technology and the increased digitization of industry and services. M2M/ IOT North America will head the way on 5G: North America is expected to witness same rapid pace of adoption of 5G services as was seen during 4G; it will have nearly a 50% adoption rate by 2025. NOTE: Download speed, upload speed, and latency characteristics vary widely depending on the type of application, be it video, radio, or instant messaging
  • 19. 19 • A new trend of Consumer engagement: across all segment of mobile users is driving data traffic. Moving forward, new technologies such as virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR), as well as network developments in the future (LTE Advanced Pro, 5G) will further drive video traffic growth. • High mobile consumer commitment to digital content delivered through video (e.g., movies, music, games) has driven fast growth in mobile data traffic. • 4K/8K ultra-HD video, applications for gaming, immersive TV and, AR/VR devices, as well as digital services and content for connected devices, will be the critical drivers for early 5G adaptation. Video Content Adaptation NOTE:- Download speed, upload speed, and latency characteristics vary widely depending on the type of application, be it video, radio, or instant messaging* North America -Market Drivers
  • 20. 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 North America Market Size- SIM Cellular Connections North America 5G SIM Cellular Connections is expected to reach around XX million by 2025, the majority coming from USA; 4G SIM Cellular Connections is also expected to have a strong presence while 2G and 3G SIM Cellular connections will decrease 2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2G 3G 4G 5G SIM Cellular Connections (million) 4G, 3G, and 2G SIM Cellular Connections (million) Key Observations Key Observations • The number of 5G Sim cellular connections in North America is expected to be around XX million in 2020 and is expected to grow around XX million by 2025 at a CAGR of XX% • We can expect commercialization of 5G services across North America by 2019 and by 2025 it is expected to have XX% of the global 5G sim cellular connection. • A majority of the connections will come from USA followed by Canada • 4G SIM cellular connections is expected to grow from around 343 million in 2020 to 379 million by 2025 at a CAGR of 2%; 3G and 2G sim cellular connections is expected to eventually decrease. By 2025 NA is expected to have 9% of the global 4G sim cellular connection • Majority of the USA and Canada population will be moving over to the 4G network from 2016 onwards; demand for high mobile broadband experience is one of the highest in this region driving this rapid adaptation
  • 21. 21 North America- Market Trends • In North America, in 2016, the average 4G vs 3G vs 2G speed was 22,038 kbps vs 6,180 kbps vs 150 kbps • The maximum 5G forecasted speed will be 10Gbps as claimed by Nokia. • Revenue growth in North America has been stronger than any other developed markets. This trend has been driven primarily by higher usage of both voice and messaging services, as well as, a more recent growing consumer engagement resulting in higher levels of data usage • In North America, 99% of mobile connections can be termed as 'smart' connections by 2021, up from 81% in 2016 • In 2016 North America had 127 million wearable devices which were 39% of global wearable, which will grow to 378 million in 2021 and by then it will be 41% of global wearable devices • Video traffic will be 77% of North America's total mobile data traffic by 2021, compared to 64% at the end of 2016. • Video almost reached half of North America's mobile data traffic by year-end 2015 or earlier. • Streaming Audio will be 5% of North America's total mobile data traffic by 2021, compared to 7% at the end of 2016. • In the US, over 60% of smartphone owners watch online video (e.g., YouTube, embedded video and live streaming every week), of which 34% do so every day. 1 2 4 3 5 North America is expected to witness a rapid change in consumer engagement with mobile devices, with the majority of traffic being generated from video usage. Companies will develop strategies and business models in order to monetize from this major trend
  • 22. 22 North America- Market Challenges • Price competition has also increased significantly over the last few years, and will likely remain intense thus putting pressure on value chain and the service providers as a result of which the ARPU across the sector is being driven down. • New, digital landscape is emerging, such as the Wi-Fi connected, voice- driven AI-based systems(e.g., Amazon Echo, Google Home), which are increasingly becoming popular and becoming a control point for the connected home and other connected devices. • With an extensive recognition that Artificial Intelligence (AI) is key to business transformation and IoT developments. There is uncertainty about future business models and issues like; How the value chain will work? which must be addressed North America being a mature telecommunications market, some of the major challenges it will face is stiff competition, which may drive down the ARPU.
  • 23. Chapter 8: Global Landscape- Tests, Trials, and Demonstrations
  • 24. 5G networks are expected to drive three levels of connectivity- enhanced mobile broadband, massive Internet of Things (IoT), and mission-critical applications—all of which will enable a range of technological innovations globally 5G Global Landscape- Tests, Trials, and Demonstrations Countries with completed, Ongoing, or proposed 5G testing, trials, and demonstrations Fast followers for 5G development in their respective regions 5G proposed commercialization since 2019 onwards Telstra's plans to commence 5G trials on The Gold Coast in 2018 Telecom operators including MTS are planning to launch 5G trials during the 2018 football world cup in Russia 24
  • 25. Company Overview - China Mobile China Mobile Limited, an investment holding company, provides mobile telecommunications and related services in mainland China and Hong Kong with its global HQ in Hong Kong Key Highlights 5G Growth Strategy and Investments • Total Revenue: 110,511.36 USD (mm) • Gross Profit Margin: 61.7% • Net Income Margin: 15.3% • Growth Over Prior Year: 6.4% • EBITDA Margin: 36.7% Key numbers (12 Months Sep-30-2017) Major Offerings • Major products offered are voice services, domestic and international long distance calls and roaming services, wireless Internet service, digital applications, and wire line broadband services • It also offers dedicated line services for necessary corporate communication products, such as corporate VPMN and SMS to its corporate customers Key Personnel • Executive Director and Chairman- Shang Bing • Executive Director and CEO- Li Yue • Executive Director and VP- Sha Yuejia • Executive Director, VP, and CFO- Dong Xin • Indian telecom major Bharti Airtel Ltd and China's largest telecom operator China Mobile Ltd announced a joint partnership to work on evolving high technologies like 5G and procure telecom devices and equipment • China Mobile targets steady building of 5G infrastructure from 2018; the operator will field test 5G in 5 major Chinese cities namely Guangzhou, Chengdu, Shanghai, Hangzhou and Beijing with commercial rollouts anticipated in 2020 Strategy Investments • Significant 5G capital expenditure starting from 2019 will commence in China; with an estimate total of 1.2 trillion yuan by 2025, China Mobile will be a key player • Chinese incumbent players are expected to invest $180 billion over a seven-year period on their 5G build-outs. China Mobile will be a key player 25
  • 27. Appendix 27 Research Methodology The study begins with identifying the right research question(s). The question depends on what we are going to achieve by conducting the research or what we want to convey to the prospective customers through this research. Next we identify the logical steps to arrive at the answers to the question(s). These logical steps form our research objectives. The research objectives provide us a guideline regarding what information we need to conduct analysis. We strongly believe that clear objectives will lead to clear results about the given market The next stage of the research is conducted utilizing the secondary sources of information, process called desk/secondary research. Netscribes Inc. has a considerable volume of information in both quantitative and qualitative forms, across all major industries and its sectors. Also, we conduct in-depth study of the market, understanding its key stakeholders, drivers, trends, challenges and opportunities globally covering major regions such as North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Middle East & Africa. The key sources consumed for these research include (but not limited to) the following:  Financial reports published by the key market players  Government and other official sources including the National Statistics  National and International trade associations  Paid databases  Other reliable sources Primary research complements the secondary research as it helps us to gain insights from the industries directly by communicating with the senior executives, key opinion leaders and independent consultants who are experts in their industries or specific industry sectors. Such interviews are conducted across the value chain of the market in question. A survey questionnaire is usually prepared for conducting any primary interview or survey. The questionnaire is developed with utmost care to fulfil the key research objectives and also to validate the assumptions about the market. This supplements the information otherwise unaddressed via secondary research. The primary data collection is done by expert interviewers who have specific industry knowledge. Linguists are hired to conduct interviews in the respondent’s native language. Only paid interviews are conducted to incentivize the respondents and ensure that there is no shift of focus. Some of the primary research methods applied at Netscribes include the following:  In-depth Interviews  Executive Interviews  Expert Panels The qualitative and quantitative findings from the above stages are brought together by specialists to perform a rigorous analysis. The regional market trends, drivers, and opportunities obtained during the analysis is compared with regional economic indicators, sector growth rates, population index, etc. to ensure the data consistency. After ensuring the consistency, these historical and present indicators help us to understand how the market will perform in future. Our proprietary forecasting model factors in all these indicators to predict the future market accurately.
  • 28. Appendix 28 Assumptions  Assumptions For 5G SIM M2M Cellular Connection  5G SIM M2M Cellular Connection will have same rate od adaptation as that 4G SIM M2M Cellular Connections  Assumptions For Data Used by 5G SIM M2M Cellular Connections  5G SIM M2M Cellular Connection will have same data usage ratio as 4G SIM Cellular connections and 5G SIM Cellular connections  Assumptions For Data Used age across the years have been considered according to CISCO forecasts  Beyond the CISCO forecast period, data usage has been kept constant
  • 29. Appendix 29 About Netscribes Inc. MBA 28% Graduates 22% BE 20% BCA/MCA 12% CPA/CA/CFA 8% Others 10% Well-qualified Team Netscribes provides end-to-end research-driven solutions that help clients meet their growth objectives by collaboratively transforming information into business advantage. In-house Research Data VisualizationGlobal CoveragePanel Expertise Premium Databases Specialized panel of senior executives, analysts and practitioners Extensive experience of working on various premium databases Ability to conduct research across the globe in multiple languages Ability to present complex data insights in crisp, easy- to-understand visuals Global market intelligence and content management firm – services across the research and information value chain Venture-funded by US and Singapore private equity firms 725+ member delivery team across Mumbai, Kolkata and Gurgaon, and sales presence in USA, UK, Singapore, Dubai and Israel Revenue composition: USA: 45% Europe/MENA: 45% APAC: 10% ISO 9001:2008 certified by DNV GL since 2014 Owns: – Inrea Research – OnSense – Research on Global Markets We utilize an in-house resource model to provide our clients with actionable insights
  • 30. Thank You for Your Attention 30 Global 5G Market report is part of Netscribes’ ICT Industry Series. For any queries or customized research requirements, contact us at: Phone: +91 (33) 4027 6251 | E-Mail: support@researchonglobalmarkets.com Research on Global Markets is a leading source of research reports on worldwide markets. Sourced from leading publishers, our reports cover a broad range of industries across international markets to help customers make informed business decisions. With Research on Global Markets, you can be assured of relevant, comprehensive market research reports and analysis, as you need it. Disclaimer: This report is published for general information only. Although high standards have been used in the preparation, “Netscribes” is not responsible for any loss or damage arising from use of this document. This document is the sole property of Netscribes and prior permission is required for guidelines on reproduction.