Living standards the 2015 challenge - Labour
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Slides of polling from the Resolution Foundation and YouGov which gives fresh insight into what voters think Labour can (and can’t) achieve on the economy and in relation to living standards at the 2015 election. Launched at the Resolution Foundation event - Living Standards: the 2015 challenge with Rachel Reeves MP http://res-fdn.org/18c08kg
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Living standards the 2015 challenge - Labour
- 1. …………………………………………………………………………………………………….. Living Standards: the 2015 challenge 1 #livingstandards
- 2. People blame all of the main parties for the fall in living standards over recent years 2 #livingstandards ……………………………………………………………………………………………………..
- 3. But more people hold Labour mainly responsible 3 #livingstandards ……………………………………………………………………………………………………..
- 4. Conservative supporters are much more likely to blame Labour while Labour supporters are more evenly split 4 #livingstandards ……………………………………………………………………………………………………..
- 5. Lib Dem and UKIP supporters are more likely to blame Labour than other parties 5 #livingstandards ……………………………………………………………………………………………………..
- 6. Men are more likely than women to blame Labour, while women are as likely to blame all parties 6 #livingstandards ……………………………………………………………………………………………………..
- 7. Increasing optimism over whether Britons expect to be better off than now by time of the next election in 2015 7 #livingstandards ……………………………………………………………………………………………………..
- 8. But people more pessimistic than 6 months ago about government’s ability to secure rising living standards 8 #livingstandards ……………………………………………………………………………………………………..
- 9. We asked the public which party is most likely to make positive difference to aspects of living standards 9 #livingstandards …………………………………………………………………………………………………….. In each of these areas - by 2015, which government, if any, would be most likely to: - Help raise the pay of low-wage workers without damaging the overall economy - Make it easier for more people to move into employment - Put downward pressure on the cost of living so that household bills are as low as possible - Ensure that the wages of the majority of those in work rise in line with overall growth in the economy - Ensure that the right level of welfare benefits goes to people who genuinely need help - Increase the amount of affordable housing in Britain - Deliver a system of affordable and high-quality childcare that supports working parents - Ease the pressure on households by reducing taxes
- 10. Better news for Labour – they out-perform the Tories on all measures except cutting taxes 10 #livingstandards ……………………………………………………………………………………………………..
- 11. But in most cases more people still feel it will make no difference which party is in power 11 #livingstandards ……………………………………………………………………………………………………..
- 12. On having good ideas, Labour leads on low pay and wage growth but lags the Tories on targeting welfare 12 #livingstandards ……………………………………………………………………………………………………..
- 13. Like all parties, Labour does less well on reducing household bills, affordable childcare & reducing taxes 13 #livingstandards ……………………………………………………………………………………………………..
- 14. Strongest sentiment is parties have a long way to go to convince voters they have good ideas on living standards 14 #livingstandards ……………………………………………………………………………………………………..
- 15. …………………………………………………………………………………………………….. Living Standards: the 2015 challenge 15 #livingstandards
Editor's Notes
- one in four (25 per cent) blame either the Conservatives alone (16 per cent) or the Coalition (9 per cent). a large minority of all voters, one in five (19 per cent), hold all the major parties equally responsible in the polling and a further 16 per cent think that external factors beyond the control of any party have caused the living standards decline. Who do you believe is mainly to blame for the fall in living standards experienced in this country over the last few years? Mostly Labour 30All the main parties 19Mostly the Conservatives 16Mostly the Coalition 9Mostly the Liberal Democrats 1None of them - external factors 16Not sure 8
- Almost one in three people (30 per cent) feel Labour is mostly to blameWho do you believe is mainly to blame for the fall in living standards experienced in this country over the last few years? Mostly Labour 30All the main parties 19Mostly the Conservatives 16Mostly the Coalition 9Mostly the Liberal Democrats 1None of them - external factors 16Not sure 8
- Who do you believe is mainly to blame for the fall in living standards experienced in this country over the last few years? Con LabMostly Labour 0.66 0.03All the main parties 0.07 0.21Mostly the Conservatives 0.03 0.35None of them - external factors 0.14 0.17Mostly the Coalition 0.02 0.20Mostly the Liberal Democrats 0.00 0.01
- • Men are more likely to hold Labour mostly responsible for the decline in living standards – more than one in three men (35 per cent) take this view, compared to one in four (26 per cent of women). Women are more likely than men to say that all the main parties are to blame – almost one in four women (23 per cent) think this, compared to one in six men (16 per cent).
- In two years' time, in 2015, do you expect to be better off in 2015 than you are now? now six months earlier Better off 0.25 0.19About the same 0.40 0.28Worse off 0.26 0.46
- Taking everything into account, which of these statements comes closer to your view?Feb 20130.50 Looking to the next election and in 2015 and beyond, it should be possible for a government with the right policies to ensure that overall growth in the economy results in steadily rising family living standards.0.35 These days it is very hard for government to secure higher family living standards. Looking to the next election in 2015 and beyond, the most that we can expect of government is to secure a stable economic and business environment, with sound public finances, low inflation and some overall growth in the economy.0.16 Don't knowNow0.41 ‘Looking to the next election in 2015 and beyond it should be possible for a government with the right policies to ensure that overall growth in the economy results in steadily rising family living standards’0.41 ‘These days it is very hard for government to secure higher living standards. Looking to the next election in 2015 and beyond, the most we can expect of government is to secure a stable economic and business environment, with sound public finances, low inflation and some overall economic growth’0.18 Don't know
- Almost three out of ten people (29 per cent) think a Labour government would be best able to raise the wages of the low-paid without harming the economy (compared to 12 per cent for the Conservatives, 6 per cent for either a Conservative-Liberal Democrat or Labour-Lib Dem coalition). However just as many, 29 per cent, think it will make no difference which party is in powerOne in four (26 per cent) think a Labour government would best ensure that most people’s wages rise in line with overall economic growth (compared to 15 per cent for the Conservatives, and 5 per cent for either form of coalition). However even more people, 29 per cent, think it will make no difference who is in powerOne in four (24 per cent) think a Labour government would be best at increasing the amount of affordable housing in Britain (compared to 13 per cent for the Conservatives, 7 per cent for a Labour-Lib Dem coalition and 6 per cent for a Conservative-Lib Dem coalition). Even more people, 29 per cent, think it will make no difference who is in powerThe measure where the Conservatives lead Labour is on easing the pressure on households by reducing taxes. Here 22 per cent say a Conservative majority is most likely to achieve this (compared to 18 per cent who say Labour, 6 per cent a Conservative-Liberal Democrat Coalition and 4 per cent a Labour-Liberal Democrat coalition). Again, the largest proportion - 29 per cent - say it will make no difference which party governs
- Taking everything into account, which of these statements comes closer to your view?Feb 20130.50 Looking to the next election and in 2015 and beyond, it should be possible for a government with the right policies to ensure that overall growth in the economy results in steadily rising family living standards.0.35 These days it is very hard for government to secure higher family living standards. Looking to the next election in 2015 and beyond, the most that we can expect of government is to secure a stable economic and business environment, with sound public finances, low inflation and some overall growth in the economy.0.16 Don't knowNow0.41 ‘Looking to the next election in 2015 and beyond it should be possible for a government with the right policies to ensure that overall growth in the economy results in steadily rising family living standards’0.41 ‘These days it is very hard for government to secure higher living standards. Looking to the next election in 2015 and beyond, the most we can expect of government is to secure a stable economic and business environment, with sound public finances, low inflation and some overall economic growth’0.18 Don't know
- Low pay, as well as being identified by respondents as a policy area where a future Labour government is most likely to deliver, is named as the measure on which the party has the strongest ideas. Almost one in six (14 per cent) name this as one of the areas on which the party has good ideas, rising to more than one in four (28 per cent) among Labour supporters. Labour also scores relatively well on whether wages would rise in line with overall growth and getting the right level of welfare support to those who need it – one in ten (11 per cent) of people think Labour has good ideas in these areas, rising to 24 per cent and 21 per cent respectively among Labour supporters.
- Labour does less well on ideas to reduce household bills and to deliver good, affordable childcare. Only a handful of people (5 per cent and 4 per cent respectively) name these as areas where Labour has good ideas. And 4 in 10 people (39 per cent) say the party has no good ideas on any of the eight measures – though this is slightly lower than both Conservatives (43 per cent) and Liberal Democrats (47 per cent)
- Labour does less well on ideas to reduce household bills and to deliver good, affordable childcare. Only a handful of people (5 per cent and 4 per cent respectively) name these as areas where Labour has good ideas. And 4 in 10 people (39 per cent) say the party has no good ideas on any of the eight measures – though this is slightly lower than both Conservatives (43 per cent) and Liberal Democrats (47 per cent)
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