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issue 4 : 2012




                  p r o p e r t y r is k and insu r ance solutions f o r a co m p lex w o r ld




                                                                                      “You need patience.
                                                                                The effort and investment
                                                                                           are long-term.”
“Partnership,
  transparency
  and trust.”




             smart
				          money
                 Funding risk improvement, getting a return on investment, and how
                 making good business decisions create an enduring enterprise


                                                                                                 “Be persistent
                                                                                                    at all levels.
                                                                                             You need to repeat
                                                                                                  the message.”



     +
         +
         USG beats back a 500-year flood and saves a core business unit
             Subramaniam: after sandy, Asking the tough questions
Introducing…
Jenny Chao, Ph.D.
Senior Research Specialist
Technical Team Leader
Explosion GrouP




Jenny studies the physics of explosions.
Since 2008, when she began her career with
FM Global, her research has centered on under-
standing these physics and applying that knowledge to
protection, suppression and mitigation solutions. “Our clients
need real, technically sound solutions relevant to their business.
This balance between scientific research and practical engineering
makes FM Global an exciting company to work for.    ”

Research holds a critical place in the FM Global business model.
With scientists and researchers from 14 countries, speaking
16 languages, with 50 advanced degrees, the department blends
integrated computational and experimental/testing activities, including
both small- and large-scale experiments and testing at our 1,600-acre
(647-hectare) Research Campus, as well as 10+ teraflop scientific
computing at our Center for Property Risk Solutions.

Visit fmglobal.com/research
50 years and counting
In 2013, FM Global will commemorate 50 years of providing
global property insurance capabilities to policyholders worldwide
contents : ISSUE 4 2012


                                                                                                    [ 48 ]



               SMART
                 MONEY
                              [ 38 ]                            [ 24 ]                                [ 26 ]




                                                                [ 30 ]                                [ 32 ]




cover story                                             the idea
48  onvincing Arguments: Investing in
   C                                                    22 Tranquillo: The X Factor
   Risk Improvement                                     24  ubramaniam: Asking The Tough Questions
                                                           S
                                                        26 MacGrath: Truth Wins Out
features
38  Best-Laid Plan: USG Beats a 500-Year Flood
   A                                                    the science
                                                        30   Engineering: A Sprinkler Upgrade
the latest
                                                        31   UTL: Spark Ignites Plastic
08   On The Agenda: Events
                                                        32     TH: Ceiling-Level Sprinklers
                                                              U
08   Updates: News and Notes
                                                        34     esearch: Measuring Explosions and Drainage
                                                              R
12   A
      round the World: A Look at Climate Anomalies
14   T
      alking Points: Georgene Saliba, Lehigh Valley
16   A
      uthor Profile: Henry Petroski, Duke University
18   Book Report: Brand Resilience
Reason
                                              EXECUTIVE EDITOR Johanna Hetherton          FM Global AROUND THE WORLD


                                                         MANAGING EDITOR Bob Gulla        FM Global products and services are available around the world.
                                                           robert.gulla@fmglobal.com      The countries listed below represent those where we regularly serve our clients.

                                                  ART DIRECTOR Jennifer Cournoyer         asia pacific

                                                   jennifer.cournoyer@fmglobal.com        Australia Bangladesh Brunei Cambodia China Hong Kong
                                                                                          India Indonesia Japan Laos Macau Malaysia
                                                                            Editorial
                                                                                          New Zealand Pakistan Philippines Singapore South Korea
                                                    deputy editor   Christian Campbell
                                                                                          Sri Lanka Taiwan Thailand Vietnam
        senior editors   Andrew Erskine, Kerri Germani, Patricia Iannotti, John Rufo
 contributing writers    Steve Turgeon, Alan Earls, Stephanie Van Ness, Hank Giles        europe, middle east and africa

                                                 technical editor   John C. Harrington    Armenia Austria Azerbaijan Bahrain Belgium Bosnia Botswana
                                                                                          Bulgaria Burkina Faso Cameroon Croatia Czech Republic Denmark
                                                                                   Art
                                                                                          Egypt Estonia Finland France Germany Ghana Greece Hungary
                                                   creative director   Rebecca Marino
                                                                                          Iceland Israel Italy Jordan Kazakhstan Kenya Kuwait Kyrgyzstan
                                                associate art director   Nicole Caddell
                                                                                          Latvia Lebanon Liechtenstein Lithuania Luxembourg Macedonia
                                             designers   Elizabeth Kenty, Stephen Pine
                                                                                          Madagascar Morocco Mozambique Netherlands Norway Oman
                                                      design intern   Veronica Morena
                                                                                          Poland Portugal Qatar Republic of Ireland Romania Russia Saudi Arabia
                                   contributing photographers    Lou Bopp, Tom Kates
                                                                                          Serbia Slovakia Slovenia South Africa Spain Sweden Switzerland
           contributing illustrators   Jesse Lefkowitz, Justin Gabbard, Rick Shiers
                                                                                          Tunisia Turkey Ukraine United Arab Emirates United Kingdom
                                                                          Production
                                                                                          north america
                                                  production manager     Sheena Carter
                                                                                          Bahamas Canada Costa Rica Dominican Republic El Salvador
                                               production coordinator     Amy Carbone
                                                                                          Guatemala Honduras Jamaica Mexico Nicaragua Panama
                                                                  video Production        Trinidad and Tobago United States
                                 producers   Bob Gulla, Nicole Caddell, Stephen Pine
                                                                                          south america
                                    contributing videographers    Lou Bopp, Jon Ryan
                                                                                          Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador
                                         customer service and subscriptions               Paraguay Peru Uruguay Venezuela
                           270 Central Ave., P.O. Box 7500, Johnston, RI 02919 USA
                                 fax: +1 (1)401 477 7010, phone: +1 (1)401 477 7744       To reach the FM Global office nearest you,
                                                                                          visit www.fmglobal.com/contact.
                             (1)877 364 6726 (toll-free in Canada and United States)
                                             email: customerservices@fmglobal.com
                                                                                          This publication is made available for informational purposes
                                                                             reprints     only in support of the insurance relationship between FM Global
                                                                 Address inquiries to:    and its clients. This information does not change or supplement
                                       Adam Houser, manager, intellectual property        policy terms or conditions. The liability of FM Global is limited to
                                                phone: +1 (1)401 275 3000, ext. 1826      that contained in its insurance policies.
                                                 email: adam.houser@fmglobal.com
                                                                                          P07001 © 2012 FM Global. All rights reserved.
                                                                    correspondence        In the United Kingdom: FM Insurance Company Limited,
                                       Send to Reason, FM Global Communications           1 Windsor Dials, Windsor, Berkshire, SL4 1RS.
                                                                                          Regulated by the Financial Services Authority.
                     270 Central Avenue, P.O. Box 7500, Johnston, RI 02919 USA
                   fax: +1 (1)401 464 9031, phone: +1 (1)401 275 3000, ext. 2185
                                                                                          Have a question or want to subscribe?

                                                                    advisory board
          Nick Batten (Client Service and Sales), Jeffrey Beauman (Underwriting)
    Chris Boston (Client Service and Sales), Karen Freedman (Enterprise Learning)
Louis Gritzo (Research), Mark Gryc (Engineering), John C. Harrington (Engineering)
               Belinda Oliver (Marketing), Duncan Reid (Client Service and Sales)
                                 Burton Wright (Claims), Martha Young (Marketing)




  To view Reason magazine online, visit fmglobal.com/reason. To download FM Global’s Risk Essentials app for your iPad, visit itunes.com/apps/riskessentials.
[ contributors ]
                                                                                         If you have
                                                                                         something to say,
Jenny C. Chao is senior research specialist at FM Global in Norwood, Mass., USA.
                                                                                         why not say it?
She is responsible for conducting experimental research on explosion phenomenon
and protection methods; she is the technical team leader of the explosion group.
n	 Favorite Book: The Last Crossing by Guy Vanderhaeghe
n	 Favorite Recording: Paint It Black by The Rolling Stones
n	 Favorite Film: The English Patient, directed by Anthony Minghella
                                                                                                   At FM Global, we’re
                                                                                                   always open to new
                                                                                                   ideas, so send us
Chad Lykins is an account manager for Chicago operations. He works together                        your feedback!
with the client service team to manage client service and underwriting activities on
existing accounts as well as new business. 
n	 Favorite Book: The Gunslinger by Stephen King
n	 Favorite Recording: Gangnam Style by PSY
n	 Favorite Film: Christmas Vacation, directed by Jeremiah S. Chechik




Stefano Tranquillo is vice president and operations manager of FM Global’s
Northern Europe operations based in Windsor, U.K. He is responsible for ensuring
the profit and growth of business written and serviced from this operation. He is also
responsible for overseeing the field engineering servicing of all FM Global-insured
locations within the operations’ territory.
n	Favorite Recording: Bandadois by Gilberto Gil
n	Favorite Book: The Alchemist by Paulo Coelho
n	Favorite Film: The Shawshank Redemption, directed by Frank Darabont
                                                                                         You can submit your thoughts
Ted Weber is assistant vice president and senior engineering technical specialist at
                                                                                         via email or through our
FM Global, based in Johnston, R.I., USA. He manages the company’s “Learning from         website, where all discourse
Losses” effort.                                                                          is healthy discourse!
n	 Favorite Recording: Anything by Eric Clapton or Stevie Ray Vaughan
n	 Favorite Book: The Adventures of Huckleberry Finn by Mark Twain
n	Favorite Film: Monty Python and the Holy Grail, directed by Terry Gilliam

   and Terry Jones




                                                                                               email:
                                                                                               reason@fmglobal.com
                                                                                               web:
                                                                                               fmglobal.com/reason
[ editor’s note ]




                                                    The Main Ingredient
                                                     During the interviews conducted for the marketing study on Investing in
                                                     Risk Improvement featured on the cover of this issue, one client wisely
                                                     stated, “Risk improvement is about making a long-term commitment
                                                     to facilities, staff and education.” At FM Global, our business model is
                                                     entirely predicated on long-term partnerships, and building trust along the
                                                     way. Like any relationship, the one between insurer and client takes time to
                           develop. Trust doesn’t just exist. It needs to germinate. It builds as it’s exercised and practiced. And
                           it grows stronger as it’s tested and proven.
                           	Essentially, embracing the concept of risk improvement requires chain links of demonstrated
                           trust. That is, there need to be bonds among numerous parties in order to succeed, including trust
                           between the client service team and the risk manager, the risk manager and the c-suite, the engineer
                           and the plant manager, the plant manager and employees, and so forth. In that way, each link serves
                           as a trusted advisor to others. As each of these links set and strengthen, trust develops and risk
                           improvement projects become more feasible.
                           	     And, as demonstrated in these pages, there are many ways to tackle risk improvement proj-
                           ects. If money is an issue—and when isn’t it?—why not consider linking risk improvement to
                           operations-level bonuses, using captive profits to fund risk improvement/premium incentives, put
                           in place a premium allocation system that rewards risk quality, or …
                           	The client interviews conducted for this research reveal how some risk managers experienced
                           success getting buy-in and investments in risk improvement financed and implemented. Risk man-
                           agers and plant managers might see their own situations reflected in some of these tactics and case
                           studies, and so could benefit by the stories shared here.
                           	Elsewhere in the issue, we explore a successful partnership at USG, a pioneering building
                           materials company. Over the years, USG and FM Global have cultivated a successful alliance that
                           reflects the pride both entities have in their commitment to safety, integrity and productive long-
                           term relationships. And, oh yeah, they beat back a potentially devastating flood, too. You can read
                           about it in this magazine, and see our new “Working Together” video, starring USG, on our website,
                           www.fmglobal.com/reason.




                                                                                                     Bob Gulla,  anaging editor
                                                                                                                m
                                                                                                     reason@fmglobal.com




6   [   Reason ]   ISSUE 4 : 2012
[ the latest ]




Recessions
are the economy’s forest fires;
while painful, they seem to be necessary. Prepare for
them as opportunities to rid your company of excess
and develop your organization’s resilience.
When the fire is out, discover the room you now have
for things to grow—new
               ideas,
new strategies and
new opportunities.



— “Management Tip,” Harvard Business Review
[ thelatest ]




On The AGENDA                                                                         Updates


International Roofing                     SPS/IPC/DRIVES Italia
Expo 2013                                 Parma, Italy
San Antonio, Texas, USA                   May 21 – 23, 2013
Feb. 5 – 7, 2013                          SPS/IPC/Drives Italia is the leading
The first and largest roofing industry    event for industrial automation in Italy.
gathering, the International Roofing      This new event, a sister event to the
Expo brings all segments of the roofing   SPS/IPC/DRIVES exhibition in Germany,
construction and maintenance industry     offers a wide range of seminars,
together for three days of face-to-face   conferences and workshops focused
interaction, product review, education    on current topics within the industry.
and networking.
                                          AIRMIC
AMRAE                                     East Sussex, U.K.
Lyon, France                              June 10 – 12, 2013
Feb. 6 – 8, 2013                          AIRMIC (Association of Insurance
AMRAE (Association pour le manage-        and Risk Managers in Industry and           Learn your lessons
ment des risques et des assurance         Commerce) is a member association
de l’enterprise) is a professional        supporting those responsible for risk       A new, scenario-based
association whose members are the         management and insurance within their       hot work course available
major players of business risk in the     own companies. AIRMIC has more              for the taking
workplace. Through the exchange of        than 1,000 individual members rep-
information and experience among          resenting more than 450 companies.          A new hot work course is available
members, through numerous meet-           The annual conference and exhibition        to clients through the FM Global
ings and technical committees,            offers networking opportunities for risk    Client Training Center. Advancing
AMRAE aspires to increase the             professionals, insurance professionals,     Your Hot Work Skills is scenario-
professionalism and credibility of        insurers, brokers, loss adjusters, com-     based, allowing clients the oppor-
its members in order to better protect    pany secretaries, treasurers, finance       tunity to refresh or practice their
the results and optimize the costs of     directors, claims managers and profes-      hot work skills in a safe setting.
risk to their businesses.                 sionals, analysts, journalists, consul-     This training reinforces the imple-
                                          tants, health and safety and security       mentation of loss management
RIMS 2013                                 practitioners, business continuity          programs in client facilities, and
Risk and Insurance Management             managers and solicitors.                    it helps clients understand hot
Society Annual Conference                                                             work hazards, how to reduce loss
Los Angeles, Calif., USA                                                              and drive down the overall cost
April 21 – 24, 2013                                                                   of risk. Advancing Your Hot Work
                                                                                      Skills is designed for managers,
Launched in 1963, RIMS Annual
                                                                                      maintenance personnel and equip-
Conference and Exhibition attracts
                                                                                      ment operators. After completing
some 10,000 risk and insurance
                                                                                      the course, participants will be
professionals of all experience levels,
                                                                                      able to demonstrate the proper
business executives with risk manage-
                                                                                      procedures used during the three
ment interests, brokers, insurers and
                                                                                      phases of hot work—before, dur-
service providers for the ultimate edu-
                                                                                      ing and after—and to properly
cational and networking experience.
                                                                                      audit completed hot work permits.


8   [   Reason ]   ISSUE 4 : 2012
[ the latest ]




                                                          Denny Anderson Gets the Nod
                                                          Named Risk Innovator for his work on the SimZone

                                                          Risk  Insurance magazine recently released its fifth annual Risk
                                                          Innovator issue and FM Global was again represented. Denny
                                                          Anderson, vice president, manager, engineering application training,
                                                          was selected as a “risk innovator” for his part in creating the SimZone,
                                                          a place where FM Global’s engineers study risk firsthand. Opened in
                                                          2011 at FM Global’s Center for Property Risk Solutions in Norwood,
                                                          Mass., USA, the SimZone is a state-of-the-art, hands-on training facil-
                                                          ity devoted to educating field engineers and clients about the many
                                                          hazards confronting policyholders, along with the protection solutions
                                                          available to minimize, or mitigate, those hazards.
                                                          	Anderson, who has been with FM Global since 1977, was one of
                                                          15 winning innovators recognized by the magazine in 2012. Ten of the
                                                          awards went to individuals, four of them were shared between two
                                                          people, and one award was given to two teams.
                                                          	    Previous FM Global employees recognized as Risk Innovators
                                                          include Wes Baker, assistant vice president and senior engineering tech-
                                                          nical specialist; Dr. Archibald Tewarson, retired senior research specialist;
                                                          and Karen Freedman, vice president and manager, enterprise learning.




Winning the big one
Dave Pajak, Syracuse University risk executive, earns the 2012 Distinguished Risk Manager Award at URMIA

                                 The University Risk Manage-         risk management, environmental health and safety for Syracuse
                                 ment and Insurance Association      University since 1990 and as the chief emergency management
                                 (URMIA) recently honored            officer since January 2008. Pajak was recently featured in a Reason
                                 David Pajak, ARM, MBA,              magazine article about Syracuse University’s eclectic mix of risk
                                 director of risk management         management challenges.
                                 and chief emergency manage-         	The University Risk Management and Insurance Association
                                 ment officer at Syracuse Uni-       is an international nonprofit educational association serving
                                 versity, as one of two recipients   colleges and universities. Its core purpose is to promote the
                                 of the 2012 Distinguished Risk      advancement and application of effective risk management
                                 Manager (DRM) award. The            principles and practices in institutions of higher education.
                                 DRM award is one of the high-       URMIA represents more than 1,875 individuals at more than
                                 est honors given by URMIA.          560 institutions of higher education and more than 100 companies
Award recipients are nominated and selected by their peers. Since    with members ranging from small schools and community col-
1989, URMIA has recognized 45 members with the DRM award.            leges to the largest educational institutions. For more information,
	David Pajak has more than 20 years of experience in higher          visit www.urmia.org.
education risk management and has served as the director of


                                                                                                                ISSUE 4 : 2012   [   Reason ] 9
[ thelatest ]




Updates


                                      Sparky’s Wish List
                                      Support for a new educational fire prevention
                                      awareness program

                                      In support of its ongoing efforts to provide financial assistance to organizations working
                                      to combat fire, FM Global partnered with the National Fire Protection Association (NFPA)
                                      to help launch Sparky’s Wish List™—a new online registry designed to promote fire
                                      safety in communities across the United States.



                                     “ ire safety education saves lives, but with current budget
                                      F
Trailblazer!                          pressures, it’s hard for many departments to pay for a range of
Walker profiled in                    educational material, Sparky’s Wish List is designed to help close
national magazine                     the gap between what fire departments can afford and what
                                      they need to educate on fire safety.
                                                                         ”
“You can do any-                                                                                      Jim Shannon, NFPA president

 thing you want, in
 any environment, if                  	The FM Global Foundation’s US$50,000 contribution was used to purchase educa-
 you want it badly                    tional material for more than 80 fire departments that service the communities where
 enough.”                             many of the company’s largest clients are based. “It is gratifying to know that the material
                                      shipped was placed in the hands of local firefighters working every day to keep our kids
                                      and communities safe, said Brion Callori, senior vice president, manager, engineering and
                                                             ”
Maxine Walker, vice presi-            research at FM Global. “We are very pleased to support this program and we encourage
dent and division claims              others to join us.”
manager, Western division,            	Through a simple, online tool created by NFPA, fire departments are creating “wish
FM Global, was featured in            lists” of needed materials, which are then purchased by businesses, community mem-
the November 2012 issue               bers and others. Items on the registry are priced starting at US$12.50. In total, FM Global
of Risk  Insurance maga-             purchased US$50,000 worth of banners, DVDs, coloring books, brochures, storybooks,
zine in a profile by Janet            stickers and other material used during Fire Prevention Week in October.
Aschkenasy titled, “Blazing           	    “Fire safety education saves lives, but with current budget pressures, it’s hard for many
Her Own Trail. Walker has
               ”                      departments to pay for a range of educational material, said Jim Shannon, NFPA president.
                                                                                              ”
been with FM Global for               “Sparky’s Wish List is designed to help close the gap between what fire departments can
31 years, beginning with              afford and what they need to educate on fire safety. ”
the company as a loss pre-            	    Fire departments in the United States respond to more than 350,000 home fires
vention engineer and even-            annually. “FM Global has been a generous donor to fire prevention causes for many
tually working her way                years, said Shannon. “We are honored to work with them to help local departments
                                            ”
over to claims. Walker sits           continue to meet community needs during these challenging financial times.       ”
on the board of directors of          	The effort is named for Sparky the Fire Dog®, NFPA’s official mascot and spokesdog.
the Loss Executives Asso-             He visits schools and participates in community events to spread fire safety messages,
ciation and is a registered           often accompanied by his firefighter friends. Visit www.sparkyswishlist.org for instruc-
professional adjuster.                tions and other information.


10   [   Reason ]   ISSUE 4 : 2012
[ the latest ]




You Really Like Us!                                                                             a good view
FM Global recognized at “Buyers Choice” awards                                                  New ‘Layered Sketches’ provides
                                                                                                multilayered view of risk
Insurance buyers representing both large and mid-size organizations say FM Global is
the best commercial property insurer for “service,” “expertise” and “overall,” in Business      An enhancement to Sketches, a risk manage-
Insurance magazine’s 2012 Buyers Choice awards.                                                 ment tool available on FM Global’s secure
	The findings are based on data collected by Blackstone Group, an independent                   client extranet, MyRisk®, will be available to
global market research firm. Buyers ranked key service and expertise attributes such as         clients in a staged rollout.
“providing good value for premium paid,” “demonstrating reliable customer service and           	     Dubbed “Layered Sketches,” the
responsiveness” and “providing timely claims payments.” Buyers then identified who              enhancement calls for multidimensional views
they would recommend who best demonstrated such attributes. The magazine noted                  of potential risks to a location, layered on top
“FM Global sets itself apart with (its) emphasis on engineering services.”                      of each other to reveal detailed information
                                                                                                not available through the traditional paper
                                                                                                sketches or single-dimension electronic
The Feeling Is ‘Mutual’                                                                         Sketches currently available. These additions
                                                                                                might include dimensions such as aerial views
Ratings companies affirm FM Global’s market leadership                                          or client-supplied drawings, and they allow for
                                                                                                custom configuration of standard details like
Insurance ratings companies A.M. Best and Fitch have affirmed FM Global’s financial
                                                                                                construction, building exteriors and interiors,
performance. A.M. Best affirmed FM Global’s A+ (Superior) financial strength rating
                                                                                                as well as fire protection and elevations.
and “stable” outlook, noting FM Global’s “excellent level of risk-adjusted capitalization,
                                                                                                	     The enhanced capability helps risk
historically solid underwriting and operating performance, benefits gained from its inno-
                                                                                                managers to better understand their risks
vative loss prevention process and approach to property conservation, as well as its market
                                                                                                globally, across many locations that they might
leadership position in the commercial property market.”
                                                                                                not otherwise visit. Also, the format allows for
	    Fitch Ratings affirmed FM Global’s “AA” (Very Strong) financial strength rating
                                                                                                easy dissemination of information that can be
and “stable” outlook, reporting that “the ratings continue to reflect FM Global’s strong
                                                                                                readily shared with various audiences, ranging
capital and long-term underwriting profitability, competitive advantages derived from the
                                                                                                from client facilities personnel to contractors
company’s engineering expertise and global presence in specialty commercial property
                                                                                                and city inspectors.
insurance markets, as well as benefits drawn from the company’s mutual status.”




                                                                          MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS SEEN
                                                                          U.K. magazine presents recognition award
                                                                          for loss adjuster achievement
                                                                          FM Global recently received the “Loss Adjuster Training
                                                                          Scheme of the Year Award” from Post Magazine, the U.K.’s
                                                                          leading weekly insurance publication.
                                                                          	According to the magazine, the award highlights “excel-
                                                                          lence and achievement in loss adjusting” and honors an orga-
                                                                          nization that “has successfully utilized training” to contribute
David Henderson (right), operations vice president and claims manager,    to “a reduced claims life cycle, “improved customer satisfac-
                                                                                                         ”
U.K., receives an award from presenter/comedian Alfie Moore.              tion, “enhanced decision-making” and “business success.
                                                                              ”                                                         ”


                                                                                                                    ISSUE 4 : 2012   [   Reason ] 11
[ thelatest ]




Around the World
A look at the global climate anomalies and significant weather events that occurred in October 2012.




Arctic Sea Ice extension
below normal
October 2012 sea ice extent
was 24.6 percent below the
1979 – 2000 average, the
second smallest ice extent on
record, behind 2007.
                                                                   Record cold
                                                                   temperature in the
                                                                   united kingdom
Hurricane Sandy Strikes
                                                                   The United Kingdom was 2.3°F (1.3°C)
Packing wind of 176 mph (283 kph),                                 below the 1981 – 2010 average, its coldest
Sandy dumped copious rain over                                     October since 2003.
Jamaica, Haiti, the Dominican Republic,                            Regionally, Scotland had its seventh coolest
Cuba and the eastern United States.                                October on record and coolest since 1993.
Sandy also brought blizzard conditions to
the Central and Southern Appalachians,
where more than one foot (0.3 meters)
of snow fell in six states from North                              Flooding in Western
Carolina to Pennsylvania. At least 190                             and central africa
people were killed.
                                                                   Heavy rain continued to cause
                                                                   flooding across Nigeria, Niger, Chad
                                                                   and Cameroon.


Above average temperature
in Argentina

The temperature was above average across
northern Argentina during October. Many
locations reported their highest minimum                                        Antarctic Sea
temperature in at least 51 years.                                               Ice extension
                                                                                above normal
                                                                                October 2012 sea ice extent was 3.4
                                                                                percent above the 1979 – 2000 average,
                                                                                the third largest ice extent on record.




12   [   Reason ]   ISSUE 4 : 2012
[ the latest ]




W
                hile there may be debate about climate changes and          with a combined global land and ocean average surface temperature
                causes, there has been much activity of late. In fact,      of 1.04°F (0.58°C) above average. Much of the United States, south
                record to near-record warmth over land from April           central Canada, northern Argentina, part of southern Europe, parts of
                to September and above-average sea surface tem-             the northwestern and southern Atlantic Ocean, and parts of the south-
perature across much of the world’s oceans resulted in the first 10         ern Indian Ocean all experienced record warmth for the year to date.
months of 2012 ranking as the eighth warmest such period on record,




                            Increased precipitation
                            in Finland
                            Precipitation across parts of western Finland were
                            double the monthly average, with some stations
                            breaking October monthly records.


                            Increased temperature
                            in the Republic of maldova
                            The monthly temperature ranged from                                         Typhoon Son-tinh
                            4.5°F – 6.3°F (2.5°C – 3.5°C) above                                         (Ofel) hits
                            average across the country.
                                                                                                        With wind reaching 127 mph (204 kph),
                                                                                                        Son-Tinh brought heavy rain and high
                                                                                                        wind to the Philippines, Vietnam and
                                                                                                        China. At least 30 people were killed.




                            Record droughts
                            in Australia
                            Rainfall across Australia was 48 percent below
                            average, ranking as the 10th driest October in the
                            113-year period of record. Rainfall in Southern
                            Australia was just 18 percent below average.




                                                                                                Note: Material provided in this map was compiled from
                                                                                                NOAA’s NCDC State of the Climate Reports. For more
                                                                                                information, please visit: http://ww.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc.



                                                                                                                          ISSUE 4 : 2012   [   Reason ] 13
[ thelatest ]




Talking Points with Georgene Saliba
Administrator for risk management and patient safety at Lehigh Valley Health Network,
one of the United States’ most widely respected health care organizations



                                         You didn’t start your career in risk management. Can you talk a little
                                         about your background?
                                         I graduated from nursing school and I have an R.N. degree; and when I was pursu-
                                         ing a bachelor of science in nursing I picked risk management for my independent
                                         study. A year later I was offered a part-time position in risk management. I’ve been
                                         in risk management ever since, and I now lead the department.

                                         How satisfying has your career in risk management been?
                                         I always promised myself that if it wasn’t what I wanted to do when I woke up in
                                         the morning, I’d move on. Twenty-nine years later, it is still eventful. When I think
                                         I’ve heard it all, I answer the phone … I’m clinical by background. If you told
                                         me way back in nursing school that I would eventually be placing insurance for a
                                         billion-dollar company, I would have told you you were crazy! Risk management
                                         has allowed me to grow, both personally and professionally. I love the interaction
                                         with people; I love the health care setting. But risk management allows me to learn
                                         more, and that’s what I’ve always strived to do: keep learning.

                                         How did you first become familiar with your insurer?
                                         The FM Global relationship for me began about eight years ago. In fact, we just cel-
                                         ebrated our eighth anniversary. I think what drew me to FM Global were the people
                                         and the partnership. They weren’t just my insurance company. They were there to
                                         help me in my job. Again, I have a clinical background, so having their engineers
                                         as partners provided me with greater depth and understanding. Seeing the Research
                                         Campus was phenomenal! It gave me insight that I would not have had. FM Global
                                         is a company that works with us. They are part of us, and they help us understand
                                         our risks in order to insure our property. I want to protect patients, and they help me
                                         do that. The relationship is truly a partnership.

                                         Can you give an example of how the partnership has worked?
                                         We were building a residence for families of patients coming from outside of our
                                         geographic area. Because it’s not a hospital building per se, you can build it at
                                         residential code. You don’t have to have a residential building fully sprinklered. But
                                         my engineering team talked to me extensively about dormitory fires and the like.
                                         We weren’t originally going to sprinkler the roof, because that wasn’t required. It
                                         would cost more money to install these extra sprinklers. But the argument was very
                                         compelling, to see a video of how fire can quickly engulf an entire building. By the
                                         way, the building was already in construction, so it was going to cost more to retrofit
                                         the plumbing. But I went to my CFO and said, “Here’s what’s going on. Here’s what
                                         it’s going to cost, and one life lost in a fire is going to cost us a lot more than this.”
                                         That education made me stand up and say very convincingly that this was the right
                                         thing to do.



14   [   Reason ]   ISSUE 4 : 2012
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You sound like you understand not                 plan, but those plans are predicated on every-     always like my eggs in one basket. From a
just the “what,” but the “how” …                  thing working well—the idea that it won’t          property perspective, and really understand-
The engineers bring to the table the expertise,   scares me. I don’t want to lose anybody. The       ing who we are and what we’re doing, it’s
the understanding, the rationale and why it       thought of a fire keeps me awake. We have          our relationship with FM Global that’s really
makes sense. It’s not just, “You’ve gotta do      all fire-rated walls, and they will prevent pen-   important. As I add a property, or improve
this because these are the regulations.” They     etration from one building to another. But I       one, they understand the core values of this
bring the expertise and the knowledge of          worry about a failure. From a clinical risk        institution. I have no problem with them
what they’ve seen and what could happen if        management and patient safety perspective, I       having 100 percent of the program, because
you don’t fully understand the risk.              worry about medical error every night. We’re       I need a company that understands that core
                                                  human. We make mistakes. As much as we try         value. That’s what I know I get when I work
This partnership allows for a nice                to standardize processes there will always be      with FM Global.
alignment.                                        a human side to medicine.
FM Global is a mutual company and we’re                                                              What kind of lessons have you learned
a not-for-profit, so we’re in it together. It’s   What are your current risk improve-                in your role as risk manager, and what
a service standard, and we’re both here for       ment projects?                                     sort of advice might you have for peo-
service. To mutually benefit, our money           This organization is constantly in change to       ple in the same position?
goes back into my insurance. It’s a partner-      meet the needs of the community. We built          Don’t be afraid of going outside your comfort
ship, a sharing. It’s mutual.                     a new tower, a green building, a few years         zone. I began my career as a nurse. I took on
                                                                                                     new responsibility. I wanted to learn more.
                                                                                                     I wanted to learn the insurance, and do that
                                                                                                     part of risk management. I started with small
The building was already in construction, so it was going                                            pieces and then went into the DO, crime,
to cost more to retrofit the plumbing. But I went to my CFO                                          fiduciary, auto, etc. Don’t be afraid to take
and said, “Here’s what’s going on. Here’s what it’s going                                            on new things. It’s also important for the risk
                                                                                                     manager NOT to be known as the naysayer.
to cost, and one life lost in a fire is going to cost us
                                                                                                     Listen open-mindedly. It’s easy to say, “No,
a lot more than this.”                                                                               that’s too much of a risk. I’m not going to
                                                                                                     do that.” That won’t get you anywhere, and
                                                                                                     it certainly won’t get people to talk to you.
                                                                                                     What you have to say is, “What are you trying
                                                  ago and kept the seventh floor of that build-      to do? How can I help you get from point A to
Lehigh Valley continues to grow. Is               ing as shell space. Well, the seventh floor is     point B?” Recognize what your risks and ben-
FM Global keeping pace with the                   now being outfitted for more patient beds to       efits are, taking into account your appetite for
challenges of a growing company?                  meet those needs. Another thing we do as we        risk. Always keep your eye on the ball. What
As we continue to grow, especially related to     expand is lease buildings. Some of them are        is the outcome? Safety and patient safety need
buildings and leased properties, FM Global        in shopping malls, and we ask FM Global            to be at the forefront, but you can work with
provides the expertise for this growth, the       to the table with those plans to help us           the people around the table so that they know
outside engineering expertise that allows us      have it properly sprinklered and to help us        they can come to you for advice.
to see clearly the buildings we’re looking at.    meet the different regulations and require-        	 You also want to get the ear of the
                                                  ments for those locations. It’s reassuring to      c-suite. And when you get it, you want to
What are some of the risk management              have FM Global at the table with us for all        walk in knowledgeably. Bring the data. If
issues that keep you awake at night?              of these projects.                                 you make your case with confidence, you’ll
A lot of things! We have a fleet of cars, and                                                        get them to come to you. Keep yourself in
I worry about one of them hitting a school        FM Global has 100 percent of your                  the forefront. Let people know who you are
bus. I worry about floods. I worry about los-     program. What are the benefits of this             and that you’re there to help.
ing power. We have back-up generators to          kind of continuity?
our back-up generators, but I have seen some      FM Global has 100 percent of my property
failures. I worry about evacuating 1,000          program. It’s the only line of my insurance
patients. We have a great emergency response      that a company has 100 percent. I don’t
[ thelatest ]




Making the Same Mistake Thrice
In exploring the root cases of failures and disasters, Henry Petroski, a Duke University professor,
discovers a persistent human failing: We think we’re much smarter than we actually are



                                                                                     over the St. Lawrence River in Quebec in
                                                                                     1907 and the structural failures of the Comet
                                                                                     airliner in the 1950s.
                                                                                     	     For Petroski, the point is not merely to
                                                                                     report on disasters but to analyze and contem-
                                                                                     plate their root causes. In the main, that turns
                                                                                     out to be “us”—people. And, it is not so much
                                                                                     a question of what failures teach us to do as
                                                                                     what they tell us not to do, he stresses.
                                                                                     	     For example, in the case of the Quebec
                                                                                     bridge, the chief engineer should have had
                                                                                     the “big picture” in mind and should have
                                                                                     understood the implications of decisions
                                                                                     made on smaller parts of the project. How-
                                                                                     ever, he never even visited the construction
                                                                                     site and instead allowed younger engineers,
                                                                                     with little or no field experience, to send him
                                                                                     back reports, upon which he based his further
                                                                                     instructions. “That would certainly be a key
                                                                                     lesson; projects must be overseen by people
                                                                                     with actual experience,” said Petroski. Like
                                                                                     most lessons from failure, that’s not very




                                     A
                                                  lthough our culture celebrates     profound, he admitted. “You say to your-
                                                  successes, those successes are     self, ‘gee, they should have known that.’ But
                                                  often built on lessons learned     it seems to take a failure for people to learn,”
                                                  from failures. And it is those     he said.
                                     failures that have been the focus of research   	 Learning lessons isn’t simply a mat-
                                     and attention by Dr. Henry Petroski, the        ter of acquiring experience and being cog-
                                     Aleksandar S. Vesic professor of civil engi-    nizant of failures, he noted. We all tend to
                                     neering at Duke University. Much of Profes-     learn lessons in the short term. However, in
                                     sor Petroski’s research has focused on the      the long term, measured in decades or more,
                                     relationship between success and failure        we forget, regardless of whether we lived
                                     in design. Over the years, his research has     through a bad event or not. The dominant
                                     been sponsored by the U.S. Army Corps of        factor is how far removed individuals are
                                     Engineers, the National Science Foundation,     in time from a serious incident or calamity
                                     the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation and other        that could provide cautionary guidance for
                                     organizations. He has published 15 books,       their decision-making. “There seems to be
                                     including the recently released To Forgive      a loss of memory. In the 1950s, Florida was
                                     Design, (Belknap, 410 pages, US$27.95),         hit with some terrible hurricanes, with roofs
                                     which chronicles some of the most dramatic      torn off of houses. Then, there was a long
                                     and startling engineering failures of modern    period without any really severe storms.
                                     history, among them the collapse of a bridge    So, builders began to use less conservative


16   [   Reason ]   ISSUE 4 : 2012
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 techniques like using weaker material and        believe that the tools, techniques and mod-        	 Setting and maintaining higher stan-
 not employing as many nails,” he explained.      els have improved to the point where those         dards is an important, ongoing process,
 “Then, when the next big hurricane finally       issues aren’t a concern any more,” said            noted Petroski; however, we tend to forgo
 came, there was terrible damage and it was       Petroski. In other words, there is a persis-       best practices when things are working well.
 as if they hadn’t learned anything,” said        tent human failing that tends to lead us to        We relax and become less conscious of risk.
 Petroski.                                        think we are smarter now than ever before          	 Although governmental oversight has
                                                                                                     a role in taming failures and reducing risk,
                                                                                                     Petroski said businesses, individuals and
“In the 1950s, Florida was hit with some terrible hurricanes,                                       insurers can and should be motivated by
                                                                                                     their own self-interest to constantly study
 with roofs torn off of houses. Then, there was a long period
                                                                                                     failures and avoid them.
 without any really severe storms. So, builders began to use                                         	 “Insurance companies are very inter-
 less conservative techniques like using weaker material                                             ested in failures; they often perform and pub-
 and not employing as many nails. Then, when the next big                                            lish valuable studies,” he explained. Indeed,
                                                                                                     in the 19th century, when steam boilers were
 hurricane finally came, there was terrible damage and
                                                                                                     blowing up regularly, particularly on ships,
 it was as if they hadn’t learned anything.”                                                         it was insurance companies that became
                                                                             Dr. Henry Petroski      interesting in solving the problem, he noted.
                         the Aleksandar S. Vesic professor of civil engineering at Duke University   Because they were providing insurance, they
                                                                                                     wanted to institute practices that would help
                                                                                                     prevent failures from occurring. Among the
 	 It happens in institutions too, NASA           and that, therefore, we can take more risk.        steps they advocated were proper inspection
 being a prime example. “There were many          “It isn’t usually put in those terms but that      by qualified professionals.
 lessons learned from the Challenger disaster     is what it comes down to,” he said. There is       	Even the insurance policies that insur-
 in 1986, but 17 years later, in 2003, when       also difficulty with the concept of risk, in       ance companies write play a “guiding hand”
 Columbia disintegrated, it turns out that        Petroski’s view. “We know these disasters          role that encourages good practices and dis-
 many of the same poor practices that NASA        are rare events—the exception to the rule—         courages bad practices.
 had been scolded for before were again           and we tend to think of them in terms of           	That’s the “silver lining” in the fail-
 found to be the root cause of the tragedy,”      numeric or statistical terms, such as a one-       ure picture: Insurers have a vested interest
 said Petroski. And, he added, that is despite    in-a-million chance,” he noted. Although           and will continue to work to prevent disas-
 the fact that NASA consistently focuses on       those may be the actual odds, they don’t tell      ters. Still, he admitted, human nature seems
 failures and how to avoid them!                  us when something will go wrong. “With             immutable. “Even before recorded history,
 	 “The short lesson we can take from             the Titanic, it happened on the maiden voy-        there were probably failures. People just
 these failures is that a culture seems to        age,” he added.                                    don’t learn,” he said. But they do learn more
 develop among people where they expect           	Nor is it a new problem. Petroski said            about the exposure. And, despite continued
 things to happen in a certain way. Then,         some of the earliest writers on technology,        challenges, Petroski admited that science
 even when there are many little warnings—        such as Marcus Vitruvius Pollio, a Roman           and technology continue to improve, making
 indicators—that things are going wrong, the      writer, architect and engineer, wrote about        it possible to create safer and better designs.
 people or organization tends to rationalize      failures. “Two thousand years ago, they            “Learning from failure is really something
 those things away,” said Petroski.               understood that accidents and failures were        that applies at least as much to management
 	    “If something happened 10 or 20 years       happening that shouldn’t be happening,”            as it does to engineering,” he added. “It is an
 ago, they start to rationalize; they come to     Petroski said.                                     ongoing challenge.”


                                                                                                                        ISSUE 4 : 2012   [   Reason ] 17
[ thelatest ]




Playing Good Defense
In an interconnected world, protecting the brand from damage emerges as a corporate imperative




                                     Brand Resilience, Jonathan Copulsky
                                     Palgrave McMillan, New York, N.Y., 2011




                                     I
                                          n today’s hyperconnected world,               Taking inspiration from the U.S. Army’s
                                          brands have become uniquely suscep-           counterinsurgency tactics, the author lays
                                          tible to damage from a host of unex-          out a clear approach to identifying potential
                                          pected sources: the angry customer            sources of brand sabotage, creating mecha-
                                     who starts a website, the bored employee           nisms to protect from those threats, and then
                                     who posts a damaging YouTube video,                developing systems that monitor and adapt
                                     or the company executive who makes an              to the ever-changing nature of those threats.
                                     off-the-cuff tweet with unintended results.
                                     Consequently, chief marketing officers             Assessing risk inside and out
                                     need to not only nurture and develop their         There are significant risks, such as disgrun-
                                     brands, but also protect and fortify them          tled employees, consistent lack of product/
                                     from these unexpected threats, creating            service performance, third-party websites
                                     brand resilience.                                  posting scathing reviews of new products,
                                     	Think about the top 10 brands glob-               and outsourced suppliers’ labor practices.
                                     ally and the hundreds of billions of dollars       The key here is to have good risk intelli-
                                     in market value they possess. How much of          gence—and the ability to produce and act
                                     that value is at risk when brands do not fulfill   upon such intelligence. It requires leverag-
                                     their promise?                                     ing the organization to identify not only
                                     	In Brand Resilience, Jonathan Copul-              likely events, but also the unimaginable.
                                     sky contends that brands today are about
                                     trust and no longer about the quality of a         Galvanizing employees
                                     product or service. Will the product or ser-       As in any organizational initiative, getting
                                     vice that they provide meet the expectations       the organization on the same page requires
                                     set by their brand? Will others whom the           a clear mission, a purposeful outreach pro-
                                     consumer trusts believe in their brands? The       gram and a strategy for employee ownership
                                     Internet, and more specifically the advent         of the mission. Support from senior manage-
                                     of social media, has provided the means to         ment is critical.
                                     instantaneously voice the opinions of indi-
                                     vidual consumers to hundreds of millions           Deploying early warning systems
                                     of their peers about a brand experience. The       Predicting brand sabotage is extremely chal-
                                     author sites a litany of corporate examples        lenging. Casting a net over a wide range
                                     in today’s information age where ubiqui-           of potential sources of brand sabotage can
                                     tous corporate brands were ruined over-            minimize potential incidents. The author
                                     night—brands that took years and decades           suggests crowdsourcing (using internal and/
                                     to build.                                          or external human networks) information,
                                     	The good news is that Copulsky pos-               monitoring chatter related to the brand
                                     tulates a robust brand resiliency framework.       across many media sources, filtering out the


18   [   Reason ]   ISSUE 4 : 2012
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irrelevant and making compelling cases for       Measuring and tracking resilience
relevant signals.                                Critical actions can include: leveraging
                                                 ongoing client satisfaction and brand-
Repelling attacks on the brand                   tracking surveys, understanding firsthand
This is where crisis management planning         what happens at the front lines to deliver the
becomes critical. Think of a brand attack        brand, tracking brand shocks, starting a pro-
as an event, with the opportunity for pre-       gram for measuring brand value, and consid-
and post-event actions. Keep a timeline          ering survey measures of brand understand-
in mind as the response is developed and         ing among employees.
executed. Sometimes it requires an aggres-
sive response. Well-executed apologies can       Generating popular support
defuse reactions. Practice is critical to get-   Popular support is critical to achieving and
ting it right.                                   sustaining success. Systematically iden-
                                                 tifying and building strong relationships
                                                 and rewarding brand advocates is a critical
                                                 activity.
Consider how a natural                           	 In Copulsky’s words, the implica-
disaster or fire could have                      tions here are that “marketing is no longer
                                                 about building a brand; there’s now a need
a significant adverse impact
                                                 for brand defense.” In essence, there is an
on the brand, even in a supply                   inherent potential alliance forged between
chain, such as what happened                     risk management and marketing. Many              Good
to Ericsson over a decade                        operational, financial and strategic risks are
ago and, more recently, to                       intertwined with brand risk. Consider how
                                                 a natural disaster or fire could have a sig-
                                                                                                  Choice!
Toyota and Honda following                       nificant adverse impact on the brand, even       Click, tap, scroll, pinch
the Japan earthquake.                            in a supply chain, such as what happened to
                                                 Ericsson over a decade ago (a fire at a sup-     Now, Reason content is available
                                                 plier’s microchip manufacturing plant that       whenever you are, on whatever device
                                                 cost the Swedish company US$400 million          you happen to have at hand!
                                                 in lost sales, and its position in the mobile-
Learning and adopting defenses                   phone business) and, more recently, to car
                                                 manufacturers Toyota and Honda with the
                                                                                                  fmglobal.com/reason
In China, the word “crisis” means “oppor-
tunity.” The opportunity can be to do an         Japan earthquake. The lack of availability
extensive postmortem to understand what          of a product to a client due to a supply chain
happened, why it happened, what could            disruption can damage the brand. In assess-
have been done to prevent it, and what could     ing and managing risk, the consequences in
have been done better to address it. Learning    losing trust in a brand need to be factored.
from an incident provides an opportunity to      In particular, the case for investing in risk
review and modify policies and procedures,       improvement becomes more compelling.
accordingly.
[ thelatest ]




 Meet Brecker Bunny!
 The fire prevention grant program underwrites a product of a different sort




                                                                                                     proved to be a terrific resource for educating
                                                                                                     young children about burn safety.”
                                                                                                     	 Michael Spaziani is the director
                                                                                                     of FM Global’s Fire Prevention Grant Pro-
                                                                                                     gram and says that fire departments and
                                                                                                     brigades, as well as national, state, regional,
                                                                                                     local and community organizations can
                                                                                                     apply for funding to support a wide array
                                                                                                     of fire prevention, preparedness and control
                                                                                                     efforts. “Dan Gengler and WAFS are pas-
                                                                                                     sionate about fire safety and burn preven-
                                                                                                     tion, and FM Global was eager to assist them
                                                                                                     in their good work in Wisconsin by helping
                                                                                                     to underwrite the printing of Brecker Bunny
                                                                                                     Learns to Be Careful!” Spaziani said.
                                                                                                     	The book tells the story of a little bunny
 Brecker Bunny Learns to Be Careful!                                                                 who likes to be adventurous. Despite his
 by Hilary D.R. Bilbrey (author) and Michael Rose (illustrator)                                      parents’ best efforts to teach Brecker Bunny
                                                                                                     the rules of burn safety, Brecker Bunny for-
                                                                                                     gets and finds himself with a bad burn. In




                                                     H
“ ith financial assistance from
 W                                                                as FM Global wandered into         the book, Brecker Bunny eventually teaches
                                                                  the world of children’s book       others how to stay safe.
 the FM Global Fire Prevention
                                                                  publishing? Hardly, but through    	     For author Hilary Bilbrey, writing the
 Grant Program, we were able                                      the company’s Fire Prevention      book was very personal. At 18 months old,
 to fund one print run of 1,250                      Grant Program, the FM Global Foundation         Bilbrey’s young son was accidentally burned
 copies of Brecker Bunny                             helped underwrite a print run of Hilary Bil-    in the bathtub because the home’s water tank
 Learns to Be Careful!”                              brey’s Brecker Bunny Learns to Be Careful!      was inaccurately set to a high temperature.
                                                     	The grant application came from Dan            Finding no age-appropriate resources to
                                      Dan Gengler    Gengler, chairperson of the Wisconsin Alli-     explain to their son what was happening to
            chairperson of the Wisconsin Alliance
                            for Fire Safety (WAFS)
                                                     ance for Fire Safety (WAFS). Established        him, Bilbrey and her husband chose to create
                                                     in 1991, WAFS promotes fire safety and          something. In doing so, they discovered an
                                                     burn prevention throughout the state, and its   opportunity to educate children and families
                                                     members provide support for burn survivors      about fire safety and burn prevention.
                                                     of all ages who live in Wisconsin.              	     “We’ve had great response to our free
                                                     	     Since 2009, WAFS has been distribut-      distribution of Brecker Bunny Learns to Be
                                                     ing copies of Bilbrey’s book to fire depart-    Careful!; it’s become an important resource
                                                     ments, schools and day care facilities around   for our community outreach efforts,”
                                                     the state. “With financial assistance from      explained Gengler. “Our copies have been
                                                     the FM Global Fire Prevention Grant Pro-        fully distributed, and we are actively raising
                                                     gram, we were able to fund one print run of     funds for another print run.”
                                                     1,250 copies of Brecker Bunny Learns to Be      	     For more information about WAFS, go
                                                     Careful!” explained Gengler. “The book has      to www.wafs.org.


 20   [   Reason ]   ISSUE 4 : 2012
[ the idea ]

Taking Our Temperature
A look at how climate change around the world likely contributes to the following weather-related
events through observed changes and attribution of observed changes.



         Observed changes since 1950         Attribution of observed changes to human-caused climate change




            Heat                          Very likely (90)                           Likely (66)




       Coastal                         Likely (66)                     Likely (66)
    high water



     Regional                                                      Medium
                                       Likely (66)              confidence (50)
  precipitation



       Regional                    Medium                    Medium
        drought                 confidence (50)            confidence (50)



      Cyclone                          Likely(66)                   Low confidence (10)
   wind speed



      Cyclones                          Low confidence(10)/Low confidence (10)
        overall



     Tornadoes                    Low confidence(10)/Not given



                            0           25           50        75          100           125       150   175
                                               TOTAL SCORES BASED ON PERCENTAGE OF PROBABILITY


Data: IPCC, SREX, 2012
[ theidea ]




The X Factor	
Why it’s critical to embed risk management considerations into all business decision-making




T    here is no doubt that business exposure to natural
     catastrophes is on the rise. According to recent annual
research into the effect of natural catastrophes and man-
                                                                     	     Why is it that some c-suite executives
                                                                     ignore the enormous potential risk brought
                                                                     by natural hazards? More importantly, how
                                                                     can we work to change board members’ atti-
                                                                     tudes to risk?
made disasters, insured losses have increased, on aver-
                                                                     	Natural catastrophes can have far-
age, from less than US$9.6 billion to more than US$96                reaching implications on entire business
billion in recent years. Further, the globalization of busi-         models. An illustration of this can be seen in
                                                                     many high street technology retailers where
ness has meant that the number of organizations exposed              the cost of hard drives has increased substan-
in high-risk areas prone to flooding and earthquakes has             tially. The increase in prices late last year
                                                                     stemmed from the severe floods in Thailand,
also increased dramatically. Despite these alarming statis-          which destroyed nearly one-third of the
tics, however, the risk management industry is still facing          world’s hard-drive manufacturing capacity.
                                                                     Furthermore, many information technology
a challenge when it comes to getting senior management-              analysts have forecast that the production of
level buy-in to risk protection against catastrophic loss.           hard drives will not be back to normal until


22   [   Reason ]   ISSUE 4 : 2012
[ the idea ]




2013, by which time its main competitor,         and profit a priority, rather than looking at      likely to make c-suite executives sit up and
the solid-state drive, may have already taken    ways to protect their assets. These pres-          take note of them. Furthermore, presenting
the majority of the market share. This single    sures will often make c-suite executives           statistics like this will help the c-suite con-
event of flooding in Thailand demonstrates       hesitant to invest in comprehensive prepara-       sider physical risk as a future reality rather
the impact that natural disasters can have       tion for a natural disaster, believing it to be    than just a probability.
on businesses in both the short term and for     too expensive. The reality is that the over-       	     Risk can also be discussed in a more
years to come.                                   all costs incurred from a natural disaster are     positive framework. Instead of approach-
                                                                                                    ing the boardroom with downside risk and
                                                                                                    stories of doom and gloom, risk managers
                                                                                                    should present the upside of risk and how
                                                                                                    becoming more resilient can help build com-
        Insurance on its own doesn’t take into account
                                                                                                    petitive advantage. Rather than focusing on
        reputation, market share and share price,                                                   potential losses, risk managers could focus
        and cannot fully protect an organization from                                               the conversation on the importance of pre-
        the effects of business interruption following                                              paredness and prevention for ensuring reten-
                                                                                                    tion of sustained growth and financial long-
        natural catastrophes.
                                                                                                    term sustainability.
                                                                                                    	 It is interesting to note that compa-
                                                                                                    nies are very good at quantifying business
                                                                                                    opportunities with exact figures of potential
	 Human psychology, in terms of its              far greater when the loss of business, drop        profits. However, some are less competent
manifestations in behavior, appears to be the    in share price and damaged reputation are          at understanding and accurately quantifying
foremost factor in why people underestimate      taken into account.                                the damage that a natural catastrophe could
the risk of a natural disaster. The assump-      	 Risk managers are faced with a great             cause in terms of business operations and
tion is that if a natural catastrophe occurs,    “challenge” in obtaining buy-in from c-suite       reputational losses.
the consequences of that incident will have      executives, and it is often perceived that there   	 C-suite executives have a crucial role
greater repercussions elsewhere. There is        is a glass ceiling for risk managers trying to     to play when it comes to developing an
also a curious human behavior that assumes       get their message into the boardroom. Part of      approach to loss prevention. They should
that because a disaster has now happened,        the problem is that some c-suite executives        work alongside risk managers to ensure that
it won’t happen again. This can be seen in       view insurance alone as the all-encompass-         across their organizations, risk management
post-Hurricane Katrina, New Orleans, La.,        ing solution to managing risk, rather than         is not viewed as a box-ticking exercise, but is
USA. Despite the disaster’s human and            loss mitigation programs, which are gener-         embedded into all business decision-making
financial devastation, much of the city still    ally perceived as too costly and surplus to        and becomes a key part of corporate strategy.
remains ill-prepared to withstand another        requirements. Insurance on its own doesn’t         To improve the resilience of their organiza-
major hurricane.                                 take into account reputation, market share         tions, c-suite executives must work closely
	    A psychological study by the Wharton        and share price, and cannot fully protect an       with risk managers to build a strong corpo-
School of the University of Pennsylvania         organization from the effects of business          rate culture that embraces the critical impor-
provided four reasons as to why people take      interruption following natural catastrophes.       tance of business continuity and focuses on
these unusual attitudes to risk: risk underes-   Risk managers must approach the c-suite            sustainable success.
timation; procrastination of risk prevention     with relevant loss prevention strategies to
(especially when investing time and money);      potential disasters and clearly define the
short-term focus; and hyperbolic discount-       competitive advantage that could be gained.        Stefano Tranquillo is vice president, opera-
ing (people place more emphasis on things        	     One action risk managers can take is to      tions manager for FM Global’s Northern
that happen immediately).                        change the language they use when commu-           Europe operations.
	These inherent attitudes to risk are            nicating with the c-suite by presenting risk
magnified when they are coupled with the         relevant to the lifetime of a property, rather
emphasis placed on c-suite executives to         than on a year-by-year basis. Statistics of
deliver results on a quarterly basis, often      risk presented in the context of a building’s
meaning that businesses make fast growth         lifetime are far more compelling and more


                                                                                                                      ISSUE 4 : 2012   [   Reason ] 23
[ theidea ]




Asking the Tough Questions
In the wake of Superstorm Sandy, Shivan Subramaniam, chairman and CEO, discusses why even a
solid insurance policy isn’t enough to restore a damaged reputation or loss of market share




                                                                 	     Current estimates of US$62 billion in
                                                                 damage now place it as the nation’s second-
                                                                 costliest natural disaster after Hurricane
                                                                 Katrina.
                                                                 	 For businesses, it is critical that this
                                                                 public debate, as important as it is, does not
                                                                 distract attention from what they need to do
                                                                 today to reestablish operations and ensure
                                                                 adequate business continuity in the future.
                                                                 As they contemplate the potential impact
                                                                 of Sandy on the busiest retail season of the
                                                                 year, companies also need to plan for the
                                                                 long term.
                                                                 	     Some advocates of sweeping protection
                                                                 have pointed to the Dutch, who, after a series
                                                                 of devastating floods in the 1950s, invested
                                                                 in a flood management system damming all
                                                                 of the river mouths and sea inlets along their
                                                                 coast. It was a 20-year undertaking.
                                                                 	     Others have created similarly imagina-
                                                                 tive and expensive defenses. For example,
                                                                 the Thames Barrier, located just downstream
                                                                 of London, was built to prevent that city
                                                                 from being flooded by high tides and storm
                                                                 surge; the billion-dollar barrier has been
                                                                 raised 119 times in the past 30 years.
                                                                 	     On the other side of the argument are
                                                                 the policy pragmatists, who concede that
                                                                 changes must be made. But they shake
                                                                 their head at the fantasy that there is either
                                                                 the financial capacity or public will for
                                                                 such ambitious solutions. Indeed, as Mayor
                                                                 Bloomberg observed recently with respect to



W
                                                                 costs for New York, the Thames is a single
       ith New York (USA) Governor Cuomo’s announced             river and the New York area has an immense
       plan to ask the federal government for more than          coastline and tidal harbor to protect.
                                                                 	 For businesses, however, the issue
US$30 billion in disaster aid, the public debate is filled       should not be about a showdown between
with a vast array of schemes to protect vulnerable areas of      flood-protection absolutists and policy
                                                                 defeatists. “How much protection do we
New York from ever again being exposed to the violence           need?” and “How much protection can we
and destruction of a superstorm such as Sandy.                   afford?” are the wrong questions.


24   [   Reason ]   ISSUE 4 : 2012
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
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FM Global Reason Magazine
FM Global Reason Magazine
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FM Global Reason Magazine

  • 1. issue 4 : 2012 p r o p e r t y r is k and insu r ance solutions f o r a co m p lex w o r ld “You need patience. The effort and investment are long-term.” “Partnership, transparency and trust.” smart money Funding risk improvement, getting a return on investment, and how making good business decisions create an enduring enterprise “Be persistent at all levels. You need to repeat the message.” + + USG beats back a 500-year flood and saves a core business unit Subramaniam: after sandy, Asking the tough questions
  • 2. Introducing… Jenny Chao, Ph.D. Senior Research Specialist Technical Team Leader Explosion GrouP Jenny studies the physics of explosions. Since 2008, when she began her career with FM Global, her research has centered on under- standing these physics and applying that knowledge to protection, suppression and mitigation solutions. “Our clients need real, technically sound solutions relevant to their business. This balance between scientific research and practical engineering makes FM Global an exciting company to work for. ” Research holds a critical place in the FM Global business model. With scientists and researchers from 14 countries, speaking 16 languages, with 50 advanced degrees, the department blends integrated computational and experimental/testing activities, including both small- and large-scale experiments and testing at our 1,600-acre (647-hectare) Research Campus, as well as 10+ teraflop scientific computing at our Center for Property Risk Solutions. Visit fmglobal.com/research
  • 3. 50 years and counting In 2013, FM Global will commemorate 50 years of providing global property insurance capabilities to policyholders worldwide
  • 4. contents : ISSUE 4 2012 [ 48 ] SMART MONEY [ 38 ] [ 24 ] [ 26 ] [ 30 ] [ 32 ] cover story the idea 48 onvincing Arguments: Investing in C 22 Tranquillo: The X Factor Risk Improvement 24 ubramaniam: Asking The Tough Questions S 26 MacGrath: Truth Wins Out features 38 Best-Laid Plan: USG Beats a 500-Year Flood A the science 30 Engineering: A Sprinkler Upgrade the latest 31 UTL: Spark Ignites Plastic 08 On The Agenda: Events 32 TH: Ceiling-Level Sprinklers U 08 Updates: News and Notes 34 esearch: Measuring Explosions and Drainage R 12 A round the World: A Look at Climate Anomalies 14 T alking Points: Georgene Saliba, Lehigh Valley 16 A uthor Profile: Henry Petroski, Duke University 18 Book Report: Brand Resilience
  • 5. Reason EXECUTIVE EDITOR Johanna Hetherton FM Global AROUND THE WORLD MANAGING EDITOR Bob Gulla FM Global products and services are available around the world. robert.gulla@fmglobal.com The countries listed below represent those where we regularly serve our clients. ART DIRECTOR Jennifer Cournoyer asia pacific jennifer.cournoyer@fmglobal.com Australia Bangladesh Brunei Cambodia China Hong Kong India Indonesia Japan Laos Macau Malaysia Editorial New Zealand Pakistan Philippines Singapore South Korea deputy editor Christian Campbell Sri Lanka Taiwan Thailand Vietnam senior editors Andrew Erskine, Kerri Germani, Patricia Iannotti, John Rufo contributing writers Steve Turgeon, Alan Earls, Stephanie Van Ness, Hank Giles europe, middle east and africa technical editor John C. Harrington Armenia Austria Azerbaijan Bahrain Belgium Bosnia Botswana Bulgaria Burkina Faso Cameroon Croatia Czech Republic Denmark Art Egypt Estonia Finland France Germany Ghana Greece Hungary creative director Rebecca Marino Iceland Israel Italy Jordan Kazakhstan Kenya Kuwait Kyrgyzstan associate art director Nicole Caddell Latvia Lebanon Liechtenstein Lithuania Luxembourg Macedonia designers Elizabeth Kenty, Stephen Pine Madagascar Morocco Mozambique Netherlands Norway Oman design intern Veronica Morena Poland Portugal Qatar Republic of Ireland Romania Russia Saudi Arabia contributing photographers Lou Bopp, Tom Kates Serbia Slovakia Slovenia South Africa Spain Sweden Switzerland contributing illustrators Jesse Lefkowitz, Justin Gabbard, Rick Shiers Tunisia Turkey Ukraine United Arab Emirates United Kingdom Production north america production manager Sheena Carter Bahamas Canada Costa Rica Dominican Republic El Salvador production coordinator Amy Carbone Guatemala Honduras Jamaica Mexico Nicaragua Panama video Production Trinidad and Tobago United States producers Bob Gulla, Nicole Caddell, Stephen Pine south america contributing videographers Lou Bopp, Jon Ryan Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador customer service and subscriptions Paraguay Peru Uruguay Venezuela 270 Central Ave., P.O. Box 7500, Johnston, RI 02919 USA fax: +1 (1)401 477 7010, phone: +1 (1)401 477 7744 To reach the FM Global office nearest you, visit www.fmglobal.com/contact. (1)877 364 6726 (toll-free in Canada and United States) email: customerservices@fmglobal.com This publication is made available for informational purposes reprints only in support of the insurance relationship between FM Global Address inquiries to: and its clients. This information does not change or supplement Adam Houser, manager, intellectual property policy terms or conditions. The liability of FM Global is limited to phone: +1 (1)401 275 3000, ext. 1826 that contained in its insurance policies. email: adam.houser@fmglobal.com P07001 © 2012 FM Global. All rights reserved. correspondence In the United Kingdom: FM Insurance Company Limited, Send to Reason, FM Global Communications 1 Windsor Dials, Windsor, Berkshire, SL4 1RS. Regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 270 Central Avenue, P.O. Box 7500, Johnston, RI 02919 USA fax: +1 (1)401 464 9031, phone: +1 (1)401 275 3000, ext. 2185 Have a question or want to subscribe? advisory board Nick Batten (Client Service and Sales), Jeffrey Beauman (Underwriting) Chris Boston (Client Service and Sales), Karen Freedman (Enterprise Learning) Louis Gritzo (Research), Mark Gryc (Engineering), John C. Harrington (Engineering) Belinda Oliver (Marketing), Duncan Reid (Client Service and Sales) Burton Wright (Claims), Martha Young (Marketing) To view Reason magazine online, visit fmglobal.com/reason. To download FM Global’s Risk Essentials app for your iPad, visit itunes.com/apps/riskessentials.
  • 6. [ contributors ] If you have something to say, Jenny C. Chao is senior research specialist at FM Global in Norwood, Mass., USA. why not say it? She is responsible for conducting experimental research on explosion phenomenon and protection methods; she is the technical team leader of the explosion group. n Favorite Book: The Last Crossing by Guy Vanderhaeghe n Favorite Recording: Paint It Black by The Rolling Stones n Favorite Film: The English Patient, directed by Anthony Minghella At FM Global, we’re always open to new ideas, so send us Chad Lykins is an account manager for Chicago operations. He works together your feedback! with the client service team to manage client service and underwriting activities on existing accounts as well as new business.  n Favorite Book: The Gunslinger by Stephen King n Favorite Recording: Gangnam Style by PSY n Favorite Film: Christmas Vacation, directed by Jeremiah S. Chechik Stefano Tranquillo is vice president and operations manager of FM Global’s Northern Europe operations based in Windsor, U.K. He is responsible for ensuring the profit and growth of business written and serviced from this operation. He is also responsible for overseeing the field engineering servicing of all FM Global-insured locations within the operations’ territory. n Favorite Recording: Bandadois by Gilberto Gil n Favorite Book: The Alchemist by Paulo Coelho n Favorite Film: The Shawshank Redemption, directed by Frank Darabont You can submit your thoughts Ted Weber is assistant vice president and senior engineering technical specialist at via email or through our FM Global, based in Johnston, R.I., USA. He manages the company’s “Learning from website, where all discourse Losses” effort. is healthy discourse! n Favorite Recording: Anything by Eric Clapton or Stevie Ray Vaughan n Favorite Book: The Adventures of Huckleberry Finn by Mark Twain n Favorite Film: Monty Python and the Holy Grail, directed by Terry Gilliam and Terry Jones email: reason@fmglobal.com web: fmglobal.com/reason
  • 7. [ editor’s note ] The Main Ingredient During the interviews conducted for the marketing study on Investing in Risk Improvement featured on the cover of this issue, one client wisely stated, “Risk improvement is about making a long-term commitment to facilities, staff and education.” At FM Global, our business model is entirely predicated on long-term partnerships, and building trust along the way. Like any relationship, the one between insurer and client takes time to develop. Trust doesn’t just exist. It needs to germinate. It builds as it’s exercised and practiced. And it grows stronger as it’s tested and proven. Essentially, embracing the concept of risk improvement requires chain links of demonstrated trust. That is, there need to be bonds among numerous parties in order to succeed, including trust between the client service team and the risk manager, the risk manager and the c-suite, the engineer and the plant manager, the plant manager and employees, and so forth. In that way, each link serves as a trusted advisor to others. As each of these links set and strengthen, trust develops and risk improvement projects become more feasible. And, as demonstrated in these pages, there are many ways to tackle risk improvement proj- ects. If money is an issue—and when isn’t it?—why not consider linking risk improvement to operations-level bonuses, using captive profits to fund risk improvement/premium incentives, put in place a premium allocation system that rewards risk quality, or … The client interviews conducted for this research reveal how some risk managers experienced success getting buy-in and investments in risk improvement financed and implemented. Risk man- agers and plant managers might see their own situations reflected in some of these tactics and case studies, and so could benefit by the stories shared here. Elsewhere in the issue, we explore a successful partnership at USG, a pioneering building materials company. Over the years, USG and FM Global have cultivated a successful alliance that reflects the pride both entities have in their commitment to safety, integrity and productive long- term relationships. And, oh yeah, they beat back a potentially devastating flood, too. You can read about it in this magazine, and see our new “Working Together” video, starring USG, on our website, www.fmglobal.com/reason. Bob Gulla, anaging editor m reason@fmglobal.com 6 [ Reason ] ISSUE 4 : 2012
  • 8. [ the latest ] Recessions are the economy’s forest fires; while painful, they seem to be necessary. Prepare for them as opportunities to rid your company of excess and develop your organization’s resilience. When the fire is out, discover the room you now have for things to grow—new ideas, new strategies and new opportunities. — “Management Tip,” Harvard Business Review
  • 9. [ thelatest ] On The AGENDA Updates International Roofing SPS/IPC/DRIVES Italia Expo 2013 Parma, Italy San Antonio, Texas, USA May 21 – 23, 2013 Feb. 5 – 7, 2013 SPS/IPC/Drives Italia is the leading The first and largest roofing industry event for industrial automation in Italy. gathering, the International Roofing This new event, a sister event to the Expo brings all segments of the roofing SPS/IPC/DRIVES exhibition in Germany, construction and maintenance industry offers a wide range of seminars, together for three days of face-to-face conferences and workshops focused interaction, product review, education on current topics within the industry. and networking. AIRMIC AMRAE East Sussex, U.K. Lyon, France June 10 – 12, 2013 Feb. 6 – 8, 2013 AIRMIC (Association of Insurance AMRAE (Association pour le manage- and Risk Managers in Industry and Learn your lessons ment des risques et des assurance Commerce) is a member association de l’enterprise) is a professional supporting those responsible for risk A new, scenario-based association whose members are the management and insurance within their hot work course available major players of business risk in the own companies. AIRMIC has more for the taking workplace. Through the exchange of than 1,000 individual members rep- information and experience among resenting more than 450 companies. A new hot work course is available members, through numerous meet- The annual conference and exhibition to clients through the FM Global ings and technical committees, offers networking opportunities for risk Client Training Center. Advancing AMRAE aspires to increase the professionals, insurance professionals, Your Hot Work Skills is scenario- professionalism and credibility of insurers, brokers, loss adjusters, com- based, allowing clients the oppor- its members in order to better protect pany secretaries, treasurers, finance tunity to refresh or practice their the results and optimize the costs of directors, claims managers and profes- hot work skills in a safe setting. risk to their businesses. sionals, analysts, journalists, consul- This training reinforces the imple- tants, health and safety and security mentation of loss management RIMS 2013 practitioners, business continuity programs in client facilities, and Risk and Insurance Management managers and solicitors. it helps clients understand hot Society Annual Conference work hazards, how to reduce loss Los Angeles, Calif., USA and drive down the overall cost April 21 – 24, 2013 of risk. Advancing Your Hot Work Skills is designed for managers, Launched in 1963, RIMS Annual maintenance personnel and equip- Conference and Exhibition attracts ment operators. After completing some 10,000 risk and insurance the course, participants will be professionals of all experience levels, able to demonstrate the proper business executives with risk manage- procedures used during the three ment interests, brokers, insurers and phases of hot work—before, dur- service providers for the ultimate edu- ing and after—and to properly cational and networking experience. audit completed hot work permits. 8 [ Reason ] ISSUE 4 : 2012
  • 10. [ the latest ] Denny Anderson Gets the Nod Named Risk Innovator for his work on the SimZone Risk Insurance magazine recently released its fifth annual Risk Innovator issue and FM Global was again represented. Denny Anderson, vice president, manager, engineering application training, was selected as a “risk innovator” for his part in creating the SimZone, a place where FM Global’s engineers study risk firsthand. Opened in 2011 at FM Global’s Center for Property Risk Solutions in Norwood, Mass., USA, the SimZone is a state-of-the-art, hands-on training facil- ity devoted to educating field engineers and clients about the many hazards confronting policyholders, along with the protection solutions available to minimize, or mitigate, those hazards. Anderson, who has been with FM Global since 1977, was one of 15 winning innovators recognized by the magazine in 2012. Ten of the awards went to individuals, four of them were shared between two people, and one award was given to two teams. Previous FM Global employees recognized as Risk Innovators include Wes Baker, assistant vice president and senior engineering tech- nical specialist; Dr. Archibald Tewarson, retired senior research specialist; and Karen Freedman, vice president and manager, enterprise learning. Winning the big one Dave Pajak, Syracuse University risk executive, earns the 2012 Distinguished Risk Manager Award at URMIA The University Risk Manage- risk management, environmental health and safety for Syracuse ment and Insurance Association University since 1990 and as the chief emergency management (URMIA) recently honored officer since January 2008. Pajak was recently featured in a Reason David Pajak, ARM, MBA, magazine article about Syracuse University’s eclectic mix of risk director of risk management management challenges. and chief emergency manage- The University Risk Management and Insurance Association ment officer at Syracuse Uni- is an international nonprofit educational association serving versity, as one of two recipients colleges and universities. Its core purpose is to promote the of the 2012 Distinguished Risk advancement and application of effective risk management Manager (DRM) award. The principles and practices in institutions of higher education. DRM award is one of the high- URMIA represents more than 1,875 individuals at more than est honors given by URMIA. 560 institutions of higher education and more than 100 companies Award recipients are nominated and selected by their peers. Since with members ranging from small schools and community col- 1989, URMIA has recognized 45 members with the DRM award. leges to the largest educational institutions. For more information, David Pajak has more than 20 years of experience in higher visit www.urmia.org. education risk management and has served as the director of ISSUE 4 : 2012 [ Reason ] 9
  • 11. [ thelatest ] Updates Sparky’s Wish List Support for a new educational fire prevention awareness program In support of its ongoing efforts to provide financial assistance to organizations working to combat fire, FM Global partnered with the National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) to help launch Sparky’s Wish List™—a new online registry designed to promote fire safety in communities across the United States. “ ire safety education saves lives, but with current budget F Trailblazer! pressures, it’s hard for many departments to pay for a range of Walker profiled in educational material, Sparky’s Wish List is designed to help close national magazine the gap between what fire departments can afford and what they need to educate on fire safety. ” “You can do any- Jim Shannon, NFPA president thing you want, in any environment, if The FM Global Foundation’s US$50,000 contribution was used to purchase educa- you want it badly tional material for more than 80 fire departments that service the communities where enough.” many of the company’s largest clients are based. “It is gratifying to know that the material shipped was placed in the hands of local firefighters working every day to keep our kids and communities safe, said Brion Callori, senior vice president, manager, engineering and ” Maxine Walker, vice presi- research at FM Global. “We are very pleased to support this program and we encourage dent and division claims others to join us.” manager, Western division, Through a simple, online tool created by NFPA, fire departments are creating “wish FM Global, was featured in lists” of needed materials, which are then purchased by businesses, community mem- the November 2012 issue bers and others. Items on the registry are priced starting at US$12.50. In total, FM Global of Risk Insurance maga- purchased US$50,000 worth of banners, DVDs, coloring books, brochures, storybooks, zine in a profile by Janet stickers and other material used during Fire Prevention Week in October. Aschkenasy titled, “Blazing “Fire safety education saves lives, but with current budget pressures, it’s hard for many Her Own Trail. Walker has ” departments to pay for a range of educational material, said Jim Shannon, NFPA president. ” been with FM Global for “Sparky’s Wish List is designed to help close the gap between what fire departments can 31 years, beginning with afford and what they need to educate on fire safety. ” the company as a loss pre- Fire departments in the United States respond to more than 350,000 home fires vention engineer and even- annually. “FM Global has been a generous donor to fire prevention causes for many tually working her way years, said Shannon. “We are honored to work with them to help local departments ” over to claims. Walker sits continue to meet community needs during these challenging financial times. ” on the board of directors of The effort is named for Sparky the Fire Dog®, NFPA’s official mascot and spokesdog. the Loss Executives Asso- He visits schools and participates in community events to spread fire safety messages, ciation and is a registered often accompanied by his firefighter friends. Visit www.sparkyswishlist.org for instruc- professional adjuster. tions and other information. 10 [ Reason ] ISSUE 4 : 2012
  • 12. [ the latest ] You Really Like Us! a good view FM Global recognized at “Buyers Choice” awards New ‘Layered Sketches’ provides multilayered view of risk Insurance buyers representing both large and mid-size organizations say FM Global is the best commercial property insurer for “service,” “expertise” and “overall,” in Business An enhancement to Sketches, a risk manage- Insurance magazine’s 2012 Buyers Choice awards. ment tool available on FM Global’s secure The findings are based on data collected by Blackstone Group, an independent client extranet, MyRisk®, will be available to global market research firm. Buyers ranked key service and expertise attributes such as clients in a staged rollout. “providing good value for premium paid,” “demonstrating reliable customer service and Dubbed “Layered Sketches,” the responsiveness” and “providing timely claims payments.” Buyers then identified who enhancement calls for multidimensional views they would recommend who best demonstrated such attributes. The magazine noted of potential risks to a location, layered on top “FM Global sets itself apart with (its) emphasis on engineering services.” of each other to reveal detailed information not available through the traditional paper sketches or single-dimension electronic The Feeling Is ‘Mutual’ Sketches currently available. These additions might include dimensions such as aerial views Ratings companies affirm FM Global’s market leadership or client-supplied drawings, and they allow for custom configuration of standard details like Insurance ratings companies A.M. Best and Fitch have affirmed FM Global’s financial construction, building exteriors and interiors, performance. A.M. Best affirmed FM Global’s A+ (Superior) financial strength rating as well as fire protection and elevations. and “stable” outlook, noting FM Global’s “excellent level of risk-adjusted capitalization, The enhanced capability helps risk historically solid underwriting and operating performance, benefits gained from its inno- managers to better understand their risks vative loss prevention process and approach to property conservation, as well as its market globally, across many locations that they might leadership position in the commercial property market.” not otherwise visit. Also, the format allows for Fitch Ratings affirmed FM Global’s “AA” (Very Strong) financial strength rating easy dissemination of information that can be and “stable” outlook, reporting that “the ratings continue to reflect FM Global’s strong readily shared with various audiences, ranging capital and long-term underwriting profitability, competitive advantages derived from the from client facilities personnel to contractors company’s engineering expertise and global presence in specialty commercial property and city inspectors. insurance markets, as well as benefits drawn from the company’s mutual status.” MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS SEEN U.K. magazine presents recognition award for loss adjuster achievement FM Global recently received the “Loss Adjuster Training Scheme of the Year Award” from Post Magazine, the U.K.’s leading weekly insurance publication. According to the magazine, the award highlights “excel- lence and achievement in loss adjusting” and honors an orga- nization that “has successfully utilized training” to contribute David Henderson (right), operations vice president and claims manager, to “a reduced claims life cycle, “improved customer satisfac- ” U.K., receives an award from presenter/comedian Alfie Moore. tion, “enhanced decision-making” and “business success. ” ” ISSUE 4 : 2012 [ Reason ] 11
  • 13. [ thelatest ] Around the World A look at the global climate anomalies and significant weather events that occurred in October 2012. Arctic Sea Ice extension below normal October 2012 sea ice extent was 24.6 percent below the 1979 – 2000 average, the second smallest ice extent on record, behind 2007. Record cold temperature in the united kingdom Hurricane Sandy Strikes The United Kingdom was 2.3°F (1.3°C) Packing wind of 176 mph (283 kph), below the 1981 – 2010 average, its coldest Sandy dumped copious rain over October since 2003. Jamaica, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Regionally, Scotland had its seventh coolest Cuba and the eastern United States. October on record and coolest since 1993. Sandy also brought blizzard conditions to the Central and Southern Appalachians, where more than one foot (0.3 meters) of snow fell in six states from North Flooding in Western Carolina to Pennsylvania. At least 190 and central africa people were killed. Heavy rain continued to cause flooding across Nigeria, Niger, Chad and Cameroon. Above average temperature in Argentina The temperature was above average across northern Argentina during October. Many locations reported their highest minimum Antarctic Sea temperature in at least 51 years. Ice extension above normal October 2012 sea ice extent was 3.4 percent above the 1979 – 2000 average, the third largest ice extent on record. 12 [ Reason ] ISSUE 4 : 2012
  • 14. [ the latest ] W hile there may be debate about climate changes and with a combined global land and ocean average surface temperature causes, there has been much activity of late. In fact, of 1.04°F (0.58°C) above average. Much of the United States, south record to near-record warmth over land from April central Canada, northern Argentina, part of southern Europe, parts of to September and above-average sea surface tem- the northwestern and southern Atlantic Ocean, and parts of the south- perature across much of the world’s oceans resulted in the first 10 ern Indian Ocean all experienced record warmth for the year to date. months of 2012 ranking as the eighth warmest such period on record, Increased precipitation in Finland Precipitation across parts of western Finland were double the monthly average, with some stations breaking October monthly records. Increased temperature in the Republic of maldova The monthly temperature ranged from Typhoon Son-tinh 4.5°F – 6.3°F (2.5°C – 3.5°C) above (Ofel) hits average across the country. With wind reaching 127 mph (204 kph), Son-Tinh brought heavy rain and high wind to the Philippines, Vietnam and China. At least 30 people were killed. Record droughts in Australia Rainfall across Australia was 48 percent below average, ranking as the 10th driest October in the 113-year period of record. Rainfall in Southern Australia was just 18 percent below average. Note: Material provided in this map was compiled from NOAA’s NCDC State of the Climate Reports. For more information, please visit: http://ww.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc. ISSUE 4 : 2012 [ Reason ] 13
  • 15. [ thelatest ] Talking Points with Georgene Saliba Administrator for risk management and patient safety at Lehigh Valley Health Network, one of the United States’ most widely respected health care organizations You didn’t start your career in risk management. Can you talk a little about your background? I graduated from nursing school and I have an R.N. degree; and when I was pursu- ing a bachelor of science in nursing I picked risk management for my independent study. A year later I was offered a part-time position in risk management. I’ve been in risk management ever since, and I now lead the department. How satisfying has your career in risk management been? I always promised myself that if it wasn’t what I wanted to do when I woke up in the morning, I’d move on. Twenty-nine years later, it is still eventful. When I think I’ve heard it all, I answer the phone … I’m clinical by background. If you told me way back in nursing school that I would eventually be placing insurance for a billion-dollar company, I would have told you you were crazy! Risk management has allowed me to grow, both personally and professionally. I love the interaction with people; I love the health care setting. But risk management allows me to learn more, and that’s what I’ve always strived to do: keep learning. How did you first become familiar with your insurer? The FM Global relationship for me began about eight years ago. In fact, we just cel- ebrated our eighth anniversary. I think what drew me to FM Global were the people and the partnership. They weren’t just my insurance company. They were there to help me in my job. Again, I have a clinical background, so having their engineers as partners provided me with greater depth and understanding. Seeing the Research Campus was phenomenal! It gave me insight that I would not have had. FM Global is a company that works with us. They are part of us, and they help us understand our risks in order to insure our property. I want to protect patients, and they help me do that. The relationship is truly a partnership. Can you give an example of how the partnership has worked? We were building a residence for families of patients coming from outside of our geographic area. Because it’s not a hospital building per se, you can build it at residential code. You don’t have to have a residential building fully sprinklered. But my engineering team talked to me extensively about dormitory fires and the like. We weren’t originally going to sprinkler the roof, because that wasn’t required. It would cost more money to install these extra sprinklers. But the argument was very compelling, to see a video of how fire can quickly engulf an entire building. By the way, the building was already in construction, so it was going to cost more to retrofit the plumbing. But I went to my CFO and said, “Here’s what’s going on. Here’s what it’s going to cost, and one life lost in a fire is going to cost us a lot more than this.” That education made me stand up and say very convincingly that this was the right thing to do. 14 [ Reason ] ISSUE 4 : 2012
  • 16. [ the latest ] You sound like you understand not plan, but those plans are predicated on every- always like my eggs in one basket. From a just the “what,” but the “how” … thing working well—the idea that it won’t property perspective, and really understand- The engineers bring to the table the expertise, scares me. I don’t want to lose anybody. The ing who we are and what we’re doing, it’s the understanding, the rationale and why it thought of a fire keeps me awake. We have our relationship with FM Global that’s really makes sense. It’s not just, “You’ve gotta do all fire-rated walls, and they will prevent pen- important. As I add a property, or improve this because these are the regulations.” They etration from one building to another. But I one, they understand the core values of this bring the expertise and the knowledge of worry about a failure. From a clinical risk institution. I have no problem with them what they’ve seen and what could happen if management and patient safety perspective, I having 100 percent of the program, because you don’t fully understand the risk. worry about medical error every night. We’re I need a company that understands that core human. We make mistakes. As much as we try value. That’s what I know I get when I work This partnership allows for a nice to standardize processes there will always be with FM Global. alignment. a human side to medicine. FM Global is a mutual company and we’re What kind of lessons have you learned a not-for-profit, so we’re in it together. It’s What are your current risk improve- in your role as risk manager, and what a service standard, and we’re both here for ment projects? sort of advice might you have for peo- service. To mutually benefit, our money This organization is constantly in change to ple in the same position? goes back into my insurance. It’s a partner- meet the needs of the community. We built Don’t be afraid of going outside your comfort ship, a sharing. It’s mutual. a new tower, a green building, a few years zone. I began my career as a nurse. I took on new responsibility. I wanted to learn more. I wanted to learn the insurance, and do that part of risk management. I started with small The building was already in construction, so it was going pieces and then went into the DO, crime, to cost more to retrofit the plumbing. But I went to my CFO fiduciary, auto, etc. Don’t be afraid to take and said, “Here’s what’s going on. Here’s what it’s going on new things. It’s also important for the risk manager NOT to be known as the naysayer. to cost, and one life lost in a fire is going to cost us Listen open-mindedly. It’s easy to say, “No, a lot more than this.” that’s too much of a risk. I’m not going to do that.” That won’t get you anywhere, and it certainly won’t get people to talk to you. What you have to say is, “What are you trying ago and kept the seventh floor of that build- to do? How can I help you get from point A to Lehigh Valley continues to grow. Is ing as shell space. Well, the seventh floor is point B?” Recognize what your risks and ben- FM Global keeping pace with the now being outfitted for more patient beds to efits are, taking into account your appetite for challenges of a growing company? meet those needs. Another thing we do as we risk. Always keep your eye on the ball. What As we continue to grow, especially related to expand is lease buildings. Some of them are is the outcome? Safety and patient safety need buildings and leased properties, FM Global in shopping malls, and we ask FM Global to be at the forefront, but you can work with provides the expertise for this growth, the to the table with those plans to help us the people around the table so that they know outside engineering expertise that allows us have it properly sprinklered and to help us they can come to you for advice. to see clearly the buildings we’re looking at. meet the different regulations and require- You also want to get the ear of the ments for those locations. It’s reassuring to c-suite. And when you get it, you want to What are some of the risk management have FM Global at the table with us for all walk in knowledgeably. Bring the data. If issues that keep you awake at night? of these projects. you make your case with confidence, you’ll A lot of things! We have a fleet of cars, and get them to come to you. Keep yourself in I worry about one of them hitting a school FM Global has 100 percent of your the forefront. Let people know who you are bus. I worry about floods. I worry about los- program. What are the benefits of this and that you’re there to help. ing power. We have back-up generators to kind of continuity? our back-up generators, but I have seen some FM Global has 100 percent of my property failures. I worry about evacuating 1,000 program. It’s the only line of my insurance patients. We have a great emergency response that a company has 100 percent. I don’t
  • 17. [ thelatest ] Making the Same Mistake Thrice In exploring the root cases of failures and disasters, Henry Petroski, a Duke University professor, discovers a persistent human failing: We think we’re much smarter than we actually are over the St. Lawrence River in Quebec in 1907 and the structural failures of the Comet airliner in the 1950s. For Petroski, the point is not merely to report on disasters but to analyze and contem- plate their root causes. In the main, that turns out to be “us”—people. And, it is not so much a question of what failures teach us to do as what they tell us not to do, he stresses. For example, in the case of the Quebec bridge, the chief engineer should have had the “big picture” in mind and should have understood the implications of decisions made on smaller parts of the project. How- ever, he never even visited the construction site and instead allowed younger engineers, with little or no field experience, to send him back reports, upon which he based his further instructions. “That would certainly be a key lesson; projects must be overseen by people with actual experience,” said Petroski. Like most lessons from failure, that’s not very A lthough our culture celebrates profound, he admitted. “You say to your- successes, those successes are self, ‘gee, they should have known that.’ But often built on lessons learned it seems to take a failure for people to learn,” from failures. And it is those he said. failures that have been the focus of research Learning lessons isn’t simply a mat- and attention by Dr. Henry Petroski, the ter of acquiring experience and being cog- Aleksandar S. Vesic professor of civil engi- nizant of failures, he noted. We all tend to neering at Duke University. Much of Profes- learn lessons in the short term. However, in sor Petroski’s research has focused on the the long term, measured in decades or more, relationship between success and failure we forget, regardless of whether we lived in design. Over the years, his research has through a bad event or not. The dominant been sponsored by the U.S. Army Corps of factor is how far removed individuals are Engineers, the National Science Foundation, in time from a serious incident or calamity the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation and other that could provide cautionary guidance for organizations. He has published 15 books, their decision-making. “There seems to be including the recently released To Forgive a loss of memory. In the 1950s, Florida was Design, (Belknap, 410 pages, US$27.95), hit with some terrible hurricanes, with roofs which chronicles some of the most dramatic torn off of houses. Then, there was a long and startling engineering failures of modern period without any really severe storms. history, among them the collapse of a bridge So, builders began to use less conservative 16 [ Reason ] ISSUE 4 : 2012
  • 18. [ the latest ] techniques like using weaker material and believe that the tools, techniques and mod- Setting and maintaining higher stan- not employing as many nails,” he explained. els have improved to the point where those dards is an important, ongoing process, “Then, when the next big hurricane finally issues aren’t a concern any more,” said noted Petroski; however, we tend to forgo came, there was terrible damage and it was Petroski. In other words, there is a persis- best practices when things are working well. as if they hadn’t learned anything,” said tent human failing that tends to lead us to We relax and become less conscious of risk. Petroski. think we are smarter now than ever before Although governmental oversight has a role in taming failures and reducing risk, Petroski said businesses, individuals and “In the 1950s, Florida was hit with some terrible hurricanes, insurers can and should be motivated by their own self-interest to constantly study with roofs torn off of houses. Then, there was a long period failures and avoid them. without any really severe storms. So, builders began to use “Insurance companies are very inter- less conservative techniques like using weaker material ested in failures; they often perform and pub- and not employing as many nails. Then, when the next big lish valuable studies,” he explained. Indeed, in the 19th century, when steam boilers were hurricane finally came, there was terrible damage and blowing up regularly, particularly on ships, it was as if they hadn’t learned anything.” it was insurance companies that became Dr. Henry Petroski interesting in solving the problem, he noted. the Aleksandar S. Vesic professor of civil engineering at Duke University Because they were providing insurance, they wanted to institute practices that would help prevent failures from occurring. Among the It happens in institutions too, NASA and that, therefore, we can take more risk. steps they advocated were proper inspection being a prime example. “There were many “It isn’t usually put in those terms but that by qualified professionals. lessons learned from the Challenger disaster is what it comes down to,” he said. There is Even the insurance policies that insur- in 1986, but 17 years later, in 2003, when also difficulty with the concept of risk, in ance companies write play a “guiding hand” Columbia disintegrated, it turns out that Petroski’s view. “We know these disasters role that encourages good practices and dis- many of the same poor practices that NASA are rare events—the exception to the rule— courages bad practices. had been scolded for before were again and we tend to think of them in terms of That’s the “silver lining” in the fail- found to be the root cause of the tragedy,” numeric or statistical terms, such as a one- ure picture: Insurers have a vested interest said Petroski. And, he added, that is despite in-a-million chance,” he noted. Although and will continue to work to prevent disas- the fact that NASA consistently focuses on those may be the actual odds, they don’t tell ters. Still, he admitted, human nature seems failures and how to avoid them! us when something will go wrong. “With immutable. “Even before recorded history, “The short lesson we can take from the Titanic, it happened on the maiden voy- there were probably failures. People just these failures is that a culture seems to age,” he added. don’t learn,” he said. But they do learn more develop among people where they expect Nor is it a new problem. Petroski said about the exposure. And, despite continued things to happen in a certain way. Then, some of the earliest writers on technology, challenges, Petroski admited that science even when there are many little warnings— such as Marcus Vitruvius Pollio, a Roman and technology continue to improve, making indicators—that things are going wrong, the writer, architect and engineer, wrote about it possible to create safer and better designs. people or organization tends to rationalize failures. “Two thousand years ago, they “Learning from failure is really something those things away,” said Petroski. understood that accidents and failures were that applies at least as much to management “If something happened 10 or 20 years happening that shouldn’t be happening,” as it does to engineering,” he added. “It is an ago, they start to rationalize; they come to Petroski said. ongoing challenge.” ISSUE 4 : 2012 [ Reason ] 17
  • 19. [ thelatest ] Playing Good Defense In an interconnected world, protecting the brand from damage emerges as a corporate imperative Brand Resilience, Jonathan Copulsky Palgrave McMillan, New York, N.Y., 2011 I n today’s hyperconnected world, Taking inspiration from the U.S. Army’s brands have become uniquely suscep- counterinsurgency tactics, the author lays tible to damage from a host of unex- out a clear approach to identifying potential pected sources: the angry customer sources of brand sabotage, creating mecha- who starts a website, the bored employee nisms to protect from those threats, and then who posts a damaging YouTube video, developing systems that monitor and adapt or the company executive who makes an to the ever-changing nature of those threats. off-the-cuff tweet with unintended results. Consequently, chief marketing officers Assessing risk inside and out need to not only nurture and develop their There are significant risks, such as disgrun- brands, but also protect and fortify them tled employees, consistent lack of product/ from these unexpected threats, creating service performance, third-party websites brand resilience. posting scathing reviews of new products, Think about the top 10 brands glob- and outsourced suppliers’ labor practices. ally and the hundreds of billions of dollars The key here is to have good risk intelli- in market value they possess. How much of gence—and the ability to produce and act that value is at risk when brands do not fulfill upon such intelligence. It requires leverag- their promise? ing the organization to identify not only In Brand Resilience, Jonathan Copul- likely events, but also the unimaginable. sky contends that brands today are about trust and no longer about the quality of a Galvanizing employees product or service. Will the product or ser- As in any organizational initiative, getting vice that they provide meet the expectations the organization on the same page requires set by their brand? Will others whom the a clear mission, a purposeful outreach pro- consumer trusts believe in their brands? The gram and a strategy for employee ownership Internet, and more specifically the advent of the mission. Support from senior manage- of social media, has provided the means to ment is critical. instantaneously voice the opinions of indi- vidual consumers to hundreds of millions Deploying early warning systems of their peers about a brand experience. The Predicting brand sabotage is extremely chal- author sites a litany of corporate examples lenging. Casting a net over a wide range in today’s information age where ubiqui- of potential sources of brand sabotage can tous corporate brands were ruined over- minimize potential incidents. The author night—brands that took years and decades suggests crowdsourcing (using internal and/ to build. or external human networks) information, The good news is that Copulsky pos- monitoring chatter related to the brand tulates a robust brand resiliency framework. across many media sources, filtering out the 18 [ Reason ] ISSUE 4 : 2012
  • 20. [ the latest ] irrelevant and making compelling cases for Measuring and tracking resilience relevant signals. Critical actions can include: leveraging ongoing client satisfaction and brand- Repelling attacks on the brand tracking surveys, understanding firsthand This is where crisis management planning what happens at the front lines to deliver the becomes critical. Think of a brand attack brand, tracking brand shocks, starting a pro- as an event, with the opportunity for pre- gram for measuring brand value, and consid- and post-event actions. Keep a timeline ering survey measures of brand understand- in mind as the response is developed and ing among employees. executed. Sometimes it requires an aggres- sive response. Well-executed apologies can Generating popular support defuse reactions. Practice is critical to get- Popular support is critical to achieving and ting it right. sustaining success. Systematically iden- tifying and building strong relationships and rewarding brand advocates is a critical activity. Consider how a natural In Copulsky’s words, the implica- disaster or fire could have tions here are that “marketing is no longer about building a brand; there’s now a need a significant adverse impact for brand defense.” In essence, there is an on the brand, even in a supply inherent potential alliance forged between chain, such as what happened risk management and marketing. Many Good to Ericsson over a decade operational, financial and strategic risks are ago and, more recently, to intertwined with brand risk. Consider how a natural disaster or fire could have a sig- Choice! Toyota and Honda following nificant adverse impact on the brand, even Click, tap, scroll, pinch the Japan earthquake. in a supply chain, such as what happened to Ericsson over a decade ago (a fire at a sup- Now, Reason content is available plier’s microchip manufacturing plant that whenever you are, on whatever device cost the Swedish company US$400 million you happen to have at hand! in lost sales, and its position in the mobile- Learning and adopting defenses phone business) and, more recently, to car manufacturers Toyota and Honda with the fmglobal.com/reason In China, the word “crisis” means “oppor- tunity.” The opportunity can be to do an Japan earthquake. The lack of availability extensive postmortem to understand what of a product to a client due to a supply chain happened, why it happened, what could disruption can damage the brand. In assess- have been done to prevent it, and what could ing and managing risk, the consequences in have been done better to address it. Learning losing trust in a brand need to be factored. from an incident provides an opportunity to In particular, the case for investing in risk review and modify policies and procedures, improvement becomes more compelling. accordingly.
  • 21. [ thelatest ] Meet Brecker Bunny! The fire prevention grant program underwrites a product of a different sort proved to be a terrific resource for educating young children about burn safety.” Michael Spaziani is the director of FM Global’s Fire Prevention Grant Pro- gram and says that fire departments and brigades, as well as national, state, regional, local and community organizations can apply for funding to support a wide array of fire prevention, preparedness and control efforts. “Dan Gengler and WAFS are pas- sionate about fire safety and burn preven- tion, and FM Global was eager to assist them in their good work in Wisconsin by helping to underwrite the printing of Brecker Bunny Learns to Be Careful!” Spaziani said. The book tells the story of a little bunny Brecker Bunny Learns to Be Careful! who likes to be adventurous. Despite his by Hilary D.R. Bilbrey (author) and Michael Rose (illustrator) parents’ best efforts to teach Brecker Bunny the rules of burn safety, Brecker Bunny for- gets and finds himself with a bad burn. In H “ ith financial assistance from W as FM Global wandered into the book, Brecker Bunny eventually teaches the world of children’s book others how to stay safe. the FM Global Fire Prevention publishing? Hardly, but through For author Hilary Bilbrey, writing the Grant Program, we were able the company’s Fire Prevention book was very personal. At 18 months old, to fund one print run of 1,250 Grant Program, the FM Global Foundation Bilbrey’s young son was accidentally burned copies of Brecker Bunny helped underwrite a print run of Hilary Bil- in the bathtub because the home’s water tank Learns to Be Careful!” brey’s Brecker Bunny Learns to Be Careful! was inaccurately set to a high temperature. The grant application came from Dan Finding no age-appropriate resources to Dan Gengler Gengler, chairperson of the Wisconsin Alli- explain to their son what was happening to chairperson of the Wisconsin Alliance for Fire Safety (WAFS) ance for Fire Safety (WAFS). Established him, Bilbrey and her husband chose to create in 1991, WAFS promotes fire safety and something. In doing so, they discovered an burn prevention throughout the state, and its opportunity to educate children and families members provide support for burn survivors about fire safety and burn prevention. of all ages who live in Wisconsin. “We’ve had great response to our free Since 2009, WAFS has been distribut- distribution of Brecker Bunny Learns to Be ing copies of Bilbrey’s book to fire depart- Careful!; it’s become an important resource ments, schools and day care facilities around for our community outreach efforts,” the state. “With financial assistance from explained Gengler. “Our copies have been the FM Global Fire Prevention Grant Pro- fully distributed, and we are actively raising gram, we were able to fund one print run of funds for another print run.” 1,250 copies of Brecker Bunny Learns to Be For more information about WAFS, go Careful!” explained Gengler. “The book has to www.wafs.org. 20 [ Reason ] ISSUE 4 : 2012
  • 22. [ the idea ] Taking Our Temperature A look at how climate change around the world likely contributes to the following weather-related events through observed changes and attribution of observed changes. Observed changes since 1950 Attribution of observed changes to human-caused climate change Heat Very likely (90) Likely (66) Coastal Likely (66) Likely (66) high water Regional Medium Likely (66) confidence (50) precipitation Regional Medium Medium drought confidence (50) confidence (50) Cyclone Likely(66) Low confidence (10) wind speed Cyclones Low confidence(10)/Low confidence (10) overall Tornadoes Low confidence(10)/Not given 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 TOTAL SCORES BASED ON PERCENTAGE OF PROBABILITY Data: IPCC, SREX, 2012
  • 23. [ theidea ] The X Factor Why it’s critical to embed risk management considerations into all business decision-making T here is no doubt that business exposure to natural catastrophes is on the rise. According to recent annual research into the effect of natural catastrophes and man- Why is it that some c-suite executives ignore the enormous potential risk brought by natural hazards? More importantly, how can we work to change board members’ atti- tudes to risk? made disasters, insured losses have increased, on aver- Natural catastrophes can have far- age, from less than US$9.6 billion to more than US$96 reaching implications on entire business billion in recent years. Further, the globalization of busi- models. An illustration of this can be seen in many high street technology retailers where ness has meant that the number of organizations exposed the cost of hard drives has increased substan- in high-risk areas prone to flooding and earthquakes has tially. The increase in prices late last year stemmed from the severe floods in Thailand, also increased dramatically. Despite these alarming statis- which destroyed nearly one-third of the tics, however, the risk management industry is still facing world’s hard-drive manufacturing capacity. Furthermore, many information technology a challenge when it comes to getting senior management- analysts have forecast that the production of level buy-in to risk protection against catastrophic loss. hard drives will not be back to normal until 22 [ Reason ] ISSUE 4 : 2012
  • 24. [ the idea ] 2013, by which time its main competitor, and profit a priority, rather than looking at likely to make c-suite executives sit up and the solid-state drive, may have already taken ways to protect their assets. These pres- take note of them. Furthermore, presenting the majority of the market share. This single sures will often make c-suite executives statistics like this will help the c-suite con- event of flooding in Thailand demonstrates hesitant to invest in comprehensive prepara- sider physical risk as a future reality rather the impact that natural disasters can have tion for a natural disaster, believing it to be than just a probability. on businesses in both the short term and for too expensive. The reality is that the over- Risk can also be discussed in a more years to come. all costs incurred from a natural disaster are positive framework. Instead of approach- ing the boardroom with downside risk and stories of doom and gloom, risk managers should present the upside of risk and how becoming more resilient can help build com- Insurance on its own doesn’t take into account petitive advantage. Rather than focusing on reputation, market share and share price, potential losses, risk managers could focus and cannot fully protect an organization from the conversation on the importance of pre- the effects of business interruption following paredness and prevention for ensuring reten- tion of sustained growth and financial long- natural catastrophes. term sustainability. It is interesting to note that compa- nies are very good at quantifying business opportunities with exact figures of potential Human psychology, in terms of its far greater when the loss of business, drop profits. However, some are less competent manifestations in behavior, appears to be the in share price and damaged reputation are at understanding and accurately quantifying foremost factor in why people underestimate taken into account. the damage that a natural catastrophe could the risk of a natural disaster. The assump- Risk managers are faced with a great cause in terms of business operations and tion is that if a natural catastrophe occurs, “challenge” in obtaining buy-in from c-suite reputational losses. the consequences of that incident will have executives, and it is often perceived that there C-suite executives have a crucial role greater repercussions elsewhere. There is is a glass ceiling for risk managers trying to to play when it comes to developing an also a curious human behavior that assumes get their message into the boardroom. Part of approach to loss prevention. They should that because a disaster has now happened, the problem is that some c-suite executives work alongside risk managers to ensure that it won’t happen again. This can be seen in view insurance alone as the all-encompass- across their organizations, risk management post-Hurricane Katrina, New Orleans, La., ing solution to managing risk, rather than is not viewed as a box-ticking exercise, but is USA. Despite the disaster’s human and loss mitigation programs, which are gener- embedded into all business decision-making financial devastation, much of the city still ally perceived as too costly and surplus to and becomes a key part of corporate strategy. remains ill-prepared to withstand another requirements. Insurance on its own doesn’t To improve the resilience of their organiza- major hurricane. take into account reputation, market share tions, c-suite executives must work closely A psychological study by the Wharton and share price, and cannot fully protect an with risk managers to build a strong corpo- School of the University of Pennsylvania organization from the effects of business rate culture that embraces the critical impor- provided four reasons as to why people take interruption following natural catastrophes. tance of business continuity and focuses on these unusual attitudes to risk: risk underes- Risk managers must approach the c-suite sustainable success. timation; procrastination of risk prevention with relevant loss prevention strategies to (especially when investing time and money); potential disasters and clearly define the short-term focus; and hyperbolic discount- competitive advantage that could be gained. Stefano Tranquillo is vice president, opera- ing (people place more emphasis on things One action risk managers can take is to tions manager for FM Global’s Northern that happen immediately). change the language they use when commu- Europe operations. These inherent attitudes to risk are nicating with the c-suite by presenting risk magnified when they are coupled with the relevant to the lifetime of a property, rather emphasis placed on c-suite executives to than on a year-by-year basis. Statistics of deliver results on a quarterly basis, often risk presented in the context of a building’s meaning that businesses make fast growth lifetime are far more compelling and more ISSUE 4 : 2012 [ Reason ] 23
  • 25. [ theidea ] Asking the Tough Questions In the wake of Superstorm Sandy, Shivan Subramaniam, chairman and CEO, discusses why even a solid insurance policy isn’t enough to restore a damaged reputation or loss of market share Current estimates of US$62 billion in damage now place it as the nation’s second- costliest natural disaster after Hurricane Katrina. For businesses, it is critical that this public debate, as important as it is, does not distract attention from what they need to do today to reestablish operations and ensure adequate business continuity in the future. As they contemplate the potential impact of Sandy on the busiest retail season of the year, companies also need to plan for the long term. Some advocates of sweeping protection have pointed to the Dutch, who, after a series of devastating floods in the 1950s, invested in a flood management system damming all of the river mouths and sea inlets along their coast. It was a 20-year undertaking. Others have created similarly imagina- tive and expensive defenses. For example, the Thames Barrier, located just downstream of London, was built to prevent that city from being flooded by high tides and storm surge; the billion-dollar barrier has been raised 119 times in the past 30 years. On the other side of the argument are the policy pragmatists, who concede that changes must be made. But they shake their head at the fantasy that there is either the financial capacity or public will for such ambitious solutions. Indeed, as Mayor Bloomberg observed recently with respect to W costs for New York, the Thames is a single ith New York (USA) Governor Cuomo’s announced river and the New York area has an immense plan to ask the federal government for more than coastline and tidal harbor to protect. For businesses, however, the issue US$30 billion in disaster aid, the public debate is filled should not be about a showdown between with a vast array of schemes to protect vulnerable areas of flood-protection absolutists and policy defeatists. “How much protection do we New York from ever again being exposed to the violence need?” and “How much protection can we and destruction of a superstorm such as Sandy. afford?” are the wrong questions. 24 [ Reason ] ISSUE 4 : 2012