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The Art of Pricing
The rewards of strategic revenue management
Summary Strategic Pricing Workshop ESOMAR – by P&G and SKIM
1
Pricing…
Influences volume sold
Influences revenue / sales value
Influences profitability
Hence, setting the right price is important!
2
Price lever has approximately a 10:1 relative
impact on operating profit
3
Financial Lever McKinsey (1992) A.T. Kearney (2000)
Price 11.1% 8.2%
Variable cost 7.8% 5.1%
Sales volume 3.3% 3.0%
Fixed cost 2.3% 2.0%
Average impact of a 1% improvement in different levers on operating profit
Pricing in the organization: key takeaways
• Better management of pricing is the fastest and most cost effective way
to increase profits
• Value pricing is the most customer-centric approach and most realistic;
taking competition into account
• It’s critical to include customer value, competition and costs into your
pricing model
• Different stakeholders do have different interest and will elaborate and
interpret the outcomes differently
• Different methods generate different outcomes
4
When to do pricing research?
Price should be assessed throughout the new
product development funnel and beyond…
5
1
Idea
generation
2
Idea screening
3
Concept
development
4
Business
opportunity
5
Product /
Package test
6
Technical
implementation
7
Commercial
implementation
Successful
market
introduction
Product innovation funnel
Idea stage
•Assess competitive
landscape
•Ballpark range of
wtp
Development stage
•Price maximizing trial
•Price maximizing repeat
•ROI financials
Commercial stage
•Portfolio pricing
•Distribution channels
•Pricing policy
Post launch stage
•Price tracking
•Strategy compliance
6
2 Basic types of pricing research methodologies
Rear View Forward Looking
Based on historic point of sale data Based on ad-hoc research
Rear View pricing methodologies
• Examples:
1. Marketing mix modeling
2. Store level modeling
3. Consumer tracking studies
• Pros & Cons
 If detailed data is available (weekly, by store), rather accurate model of what happened in
the past
Data often not available
Limited to events from the past
Rarely accounts for changes in price sensitivity due to e.g. changing economic cycles (e.g.
inflationary periods), new market developments (e.g. new competitive entries), or
increased brand equity.
7
Forward looking pricing methodologies
• Van Westendorp Price Meter
• Looks for more than just Price Willingness to Pay and is able to identify optimal price
points. But:
» Does not take competitive products into consideration
» Is very cognitive (not intuitive)
• Choice-Based Conjoint
• Intuitive method that takes competition into consideration - is therefore very appropriate for
products that are in a competitive market
• Changing other product characteristics is also possible, which provides possibilities for
portfolio management or different executions of price changes (e.g. via pack size changes)
8
200 pricing studies in the past 5 years
18 7000 500 45
999
10
Meta analysis of past pricing studies: 5 lessons
1. Sensitivity to down pricing is higher than to up pricing
2. Price tier distance drives trading up
3. Category matters more than country
4. Primary shopper profile impacts price sensitivity
5. Consumers are more sensitive to price changes than to pack size
changes
1 - Sensitivity to down pricing is higher than to up
pricing
11
Base case
price PBC
PS Mean SD
Down -1.64 1.76
Up -1.10 0.68
-20%
20%
-10% 10%
SKU-level price change
Changeofdemand
2 - Price tier distance drives trading up
12
Small Medium Large
Tier distance
Lower
Higher
Tier
Down-trading
Up-trading
Up-trading
Down-trading
Up-
trading
Down-trading
3 - Category matters more than country
13
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
Dishwashing detergent (3)
Shampoo (3)
Razors and Blades (3)
Diapers (9)
Female care (9)
Laundry detergent (8)
Pet food (3)
Down pricing
Up pricing
SKU-level
price
sensitivity
3 - Category matters more than country
14
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
Italy (7)
Germany (19)
Spain (13)
UK (20)
Russia (6)
France (8)
Netherlands (9)
Down pricing
Up pricing
SKU-level
price
sensitivity
4 - Primary shopper profile impacts price
sensitivity
15
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5
Hyper/super
markets
Specialty
channel
Discounter
channel
Down pricing
Up pricing
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
Women (45)
Men (8)
Down pricing
Up pricing
5 - Consumers are more sensitive to price
changes than to pack size changes
16
-20%
20%
-10% 10%
<- Down-pricing / Up-sizing Up-pricing / Down-sizing ->
Changeofdemand
Pack size changed Price changed
17
Meta analysis of past promotion studies: 5
lessons
6. A promotion is on average 60% more effective than a price decrease.
7. Explicit price discount (in % or in cash) is most successful in driving
sales
8. For premium products framing promotions in cash discount has a
greater effect than percent discount.
9. Tier distance is critical when using promotions to trade up consumers.
10. Frequent promotions make products more fragile in terms of regular
price and promotion sensitivity.
6 - A promotion is on average 60% more
effective than a price decrease.
18
1
2
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
% discount/price decrease
volumeshareindex
Promotion
(slope = 2.0)
Price decrease
(slope = 1.0)
7 - Explicit price discount (in % or in cash) is
most successful in driving sales
19
Promotion type Rank
Percent discount 1
Direct
Cash discount 2
From-To 3
Implied
Now for 4
Multi-unit price 5
Additional pack 6
Larger pack 7
8 - For premium products framing promotions in
cash discount has a greater effect than percent
discount.
20
0 0.5 1 1.5 2
Relative expensiveness
Promotioneffectiveness
Cash discount
Percent discount
9 - Tier distance is critical when using
promotions to trade up consumers.
21
Low tier
distance Promotions
on tier 1
brand
Consumers
move to tier 1
OutcomeStrategySituation
High
Mid
10 - Frequent promotions make products more
fragile in terms of regular price and promotion
sensitivity.
22
Note: The graph will
be different for
individual product
groups
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
% of time on promotion
Low
HighSKUprice
sensitivity
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
% of time on promotion
Low
HighSKUprice
sensitivity
10 - Frequent promotions make products more
fragile in terms of regular price and promotion
sensitivity.
23
0
1
2
3
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
% of time on promotion
Promotion
effectiveness
0
1
2
3
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
% of time on promotion
Promotion
effectiveness
Contact us to discuss your pricing strategy
Ji-Hoon Dierckx
P&G Associate Director
Dirk Huisman
SKIM Founder & Chairman
John Ashraf
SKIM Product Owner,
Pricing & Portfolio Management

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ESOMAR Workshop "The art of pricing"

  • 1. expect great answers The Art of Pricing The rewards of strategic revenue management Summary Strategic Pricing Workshop ESOMAR – by P&G and SKIM 1
  • 2. Pricing… Influences volume sold Influences revenue / sales value Influences profitability Hence, setting the right price is important! 2
  • 3. Price lever has approximately a 10:1 relative impact on operating profit 3 Financial Lever McKinsey (1992) A.T. Kearney (2000) Price 11.1% 8.2% Variable cost 7.8% 5.1% Sales volume 3.3% 3.0% Fixed cost 2.3% 2.0% Average impact of a 1% improvement in different levers on operating profit
  • 4. Pricing in the organization: key takeaways • Better management of pricing is the fastest and most cost effective way to increase profits • Value pricing is the most customer-centric approach and most realistic; taking competition into account • It’s critical to include customer value, competition and costs into your pricing model • Different stakeholders do have different interest and will elaborate and interpret the outcomes differently • Different methods generate different outcomes 4
  • 5. When to do pricing research? Price should be assessed throughout the new product development funnel and beyond… 5 1 Idea generation 2 Idea screening 3 Concept development 4 Business opportunity 5 Product / Package test 6 Technical implementation 7 Commercial implementation Successful market introduction Product innovation funnel Idea stage •Assess competitive landscape •Ballpark range of wtp Development stage •Price maximizing trial •Price maximizing repeat •ROI financials Commercial stage •Portfolio pricing •Distribution channels •Pricing policy Post launch stage •Price tracking •Strategy compliance
  • 6. 6 2 Basic types of pricing research methodologies Rear View Forward Looking Based on historic point of sale data Based on ad-hoc research
  • 7. Rear View pricing methodologies • Examples: 1. Marketing mix modeling 2. Store level modeling 3. Consumer tracking studies • Pros & Cons  If detailed data is available (weekly, by store), rather accurate model of what happened in the past Data often not available Limited to events from the past Rarely accounts for changes in price sensitivity due to e.g. changing economic cycles (e.g. inflationary periods), new market developments (e.g. new competitive entries), or increased brand equity. 7
  • 8. Forward looking pricing methodologies • Van Westendorp Price Meter • Looks for more than just Price Willingness to Pay and is able to identify optimal price points. But: » Does not take competitive products into consideration » Is very cognitive (not intuitive) • Choice-Based Conjoint • Intuitive method that takes competition into consideration - is therefore very appropriate for products that are in a competitive market • Changing other product characteristics is also possible, which provides possibilities for portfolio management or different executions of price changes (e.g. via pack size changes) 8
  • 9. 200 pricing studies in the past 5 years 18 7000 500 45 999
  • 10. 10 Meta analysis of past pricing studies: 5 lessons 1. Sensitivity to down pricing is higher than to up pricing 2. Price tier distance drives trading up 3. Category matters more than country 4. Primary shopper profile impacts price sensitivity 5. Consumers are more sensitive to price changes than to pack size changes
  • 11. 1 - Sensitivity to down pricing is higher than to up pricing 11 Base case price PBC PS Mean SD Down -1.64 1.76 Up -1.10 0.68 -20% 20% -10% 10% SKU-level price change Changeofdemand
  • 12. 2 - Price tier distance drives trading up 12 Small Medium Large Tier distance Lower Higher Tier Down-trading Up-trading Up-trading Down-trading Up- trading Down-trading
  • 13. 3 - Category matters more than country 13 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Dishwashing detergent (3) Shampoo (3) Razors and Blades (3) Diapers (9) Female care (9) Laundry detergent (8) Pet food (3) Down pricing Up pricing SKU-level price sensitivity
  • 14. 3 - Category matters more than country 14 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Italy (7) Germany (19) Spain (13) UK (20) Russia (6) France (8) Netherlands (9) Down pricing Up pricing SKU-level price sensitivity
  • 15. 4 - Primary shopper profile impacts price sensitivity 15 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 Hyper/super markets Specialty channel Discounter channel Down pricing Up pricing 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 Women (45) Men (8) Down pricing Up pricing
  • 16. 5 - Consumers are more sensitive to price changes than to pack size changes 16 -20% 20% -10% 10% <- Down-pricing / Up-sizing Up-pricing / Down-sizing -> Changeofdemand Pack size changed Price changed
  • 17. 17 Meta analysis of past promotion studies: 5 lessons 6. A promotion is on average 60% more effective than a price decrease. 7. Explicit price discount (in % or in cash) is most successful in driving sales 8. For premium products framing promotions in cash discount has a greater effect than percent discount. 9. Tier distance is critical when using promotions to trade up consumers. 10. Frequent promotions make products more fragile in terms of regular price and promotion sensitivity.
  • 18. 6 - A promotion is on average 60% more effective than a price decrease. 18 1 2 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% % discount/price decrease volumeshareindex Promotion (slope = 2.0) Price decrease (slope = 1.0)
  • 19. 7 - Explicit price discount (in % or in cash) is most successful in driving sales 19 Promotion type Rank Percent discount 1 Direct Cash discount 2 From-To 3 Implied Now for 4 Multi-unit price 5 Additional pack 6 Larger pack 7
  • 20. 8 - For premium products framing promotions in cash discount has a greater effect than percent discount. 20 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Relative expensiveness Promotioneffectiveness Cash discount Percent discount
  • 21. 9 - Tier distance is critical when using promotions to trade up consumers. 21 Low tier distance Promotions on tier 1 brand Consumers move to tier 1 OutcomeStrategySituation High Mid
  • 22. 10 - Frequent promotions make products more fragile in terms of regular price and promotion sensitivity. 22 Note: The graph will be different for individual product groups 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% % of time on promotion Low HighSKUprice sensitivity 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% % of time on promotion Low HighSKUprice sensitivity
  • 23. 10 - Frequent promotions make products more fragile in terms of regular price and promotion sensitivity. 23 0 1 2 3 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% % of time on promotion Promotion effectiveness 0 1 2 3 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% % of time on promotion Promotion effectiveness
  • 24. Contact us to discuss your pricing strategy Ji-Hoon Dierckx P&G Associate Director Dirk Huisman SKIM Founder & Chairman John Ashraf SKIM Product Owner, Pricing & Portfolio Management