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Experimentation
Outcomes over OutputsFrom the real world
@AndrewRusling
Performance
@AndrewRusling
Output Outcome Impact
$
WHY HOW
Belief
Frequency
Rigor
Learning
Practice
Clarity
Focus
Effort
Outcomes
Achieved
Product Lifecycle Phases
Spark
Problem
Validation
Product
Validation
Scale Sunset
Lesson learnt:
Mindset is crucial
Photo reference: https://www.flickr.com/photos/simmogl/2449850215
Listen to your customers,
give them what they want,
not what they ask for.
Good at finding a spark
Terrible for validating the worth of that spark
Customer interviews
Image Reference: http://happilyhaverland.blogspot.com/2013/01/
Lessons Learnt: Interviews
• Pre-qualify your interviewees
• Face to face
• Ask to record the session
• Try whole team, then scale back
• Start Open, Narrow in
• Discuss your product last
Image Reference: https://www.flickr.com/photos/wocintechchat/22518583822
Your understanding What the user sees
Photo Reference: https://www.flickr.com/photos/eggrole/7524458398
Observational Testing
“Nothing is quite so humbling as being forced to
watch in silence as some poor play-tester stumbles
around your level for 20 minutes, unable to figure
out the "obvious" answer that you now realize is
completely arbitrary and impossible to figure out.”
Customer Testing
Observational Testing: Process
1. Provide an objective
2. Observe them and their screen
1. No guidance
2. Video record
3. Ask them to explain their thinking
Observational Testing: Benefits
• Challenge your design approach
• Validate hypothesis
• Dramatically increase usability
Illusion of choice
Telstra Open APIs
Surveys: Open over Closed
CD 1:
CD 2:
CD 3:
Please enter your top 3 Albums
Yield: Pearl Jam
1
2
3
4
5
Please prioritise these Albums
AC DC Live: AC DC
Meddle: Pink Floyd
Garbage: Garbage
Wish you were here: Pink Floyd
CLOSED OPEN
• Alt. Background colour
• Alt. Background
• Alt. Eye direction
• Alt. Barry direction
• Alt. Barry image
• Just Letters
• Just jetpack
• Overlay text
• Etc. etc.
Always set a hypothesis
• Yes it will be a guess!
• Guess hypothesis still educate
? Baseline: Messaging anytime
Hypothesis: Messaging during prime time will increase open rate.
Validated
Invalidated
Photo by: https://www.deviantart.com/romanjones, Licensed by Creative Commons
Hypothesis can only be disproven
Versions released each week
1. Baseline version, just basic game, no
progression.
2. Improved tutorial
3. UI/UX tweaks
4. First trial of progression system
5. Second trial of different progression system
6. Third trial of different progression system
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
ACTIVEUSERS
END OF WEEK
Total Retention
Tutorial
UI/UX
Progress1
Progress2
Progress3
Base
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
ACTIVEUSERS
END OF WEEK
Total Retention with Cohort Size
Tutorial
UI/UX
Progress1
Progress2
Progress3
Base
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
%ofactiveUsersbycohort
End of week
Retention by Cohort
TutorialUI/UX
Progress 1
Progress 2
Progress 3
Base
Key Lessons I learnt
• Mindset is crucial
• Listen to your customers
• Customer Interviews
• Observational testing
• Survey's need to be open
• Always set a hypothesis
• Negative hypothesis
• Cohort analysis
bit.ly/OutputsToOutcomes
Blog:
www.journey-to-better.com
bit.ly/FreeAgilePosters
bit.ly/ScrumRolesGame bit.ly/Weekend_Escape
andrewrusling@hotmail.com
@andrewrusling
Thank you

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Experimentation from the real world; move from outputs to outcomes